I wouldn't bet much on former Republicans voting for Democrats. Those folks above will not vote for Donald Trump again and will spend their money supporting GOP candidates more to their liking.

But like the covid deaths, I imagine those numbers will be insignificant in the greater scheme of things.

A lot of Republicans might abstain if Donald Trump made it onto the ballot. But most voters just go to the polls and vote a straight ticket for whichever party they identify with.

Whichever party their dad voted for...or against that party in many cases. Without having to think too hard about it.

I kind of get the feeling that Republicans aren't very fired up about this election. Primary voters and the Trumpy crowd might be fired up over perceived wrongs to them in the post-presidential persecution of their former golden boy.

But, having said that... the potential for an increased number of Republican-leaning couch sitters certainly exists. The less interested voters who might get off the couch if an issue or a candidate inspired them...or might just sit it out over the embarrassment caused by Trump and his cronies...

Elections are all about turnout. And turnout cannot be predicted.

Because you never know who's gonna get up and vote and who's gonna sit on the couch.

All the regulars will be there of course but it's the irregulars that win and lose elections. Everything is looking pretty rosy for the Dems outside of the inflation thing.

Not rosy enough to retain control of the House though.
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Good coffee, good weed, and time on my hands...