Perotista’s Senate and House forecast, updated 19 Oct 2022

Senate +1-3 equals lean, but within the MOE. These states are very competitive with one party or candidate having a slight advantage. +4-6 outside the MOE, equals likely but still competitive. +7 and above, those states aren’t listed. They’re considered solid or safe for the party that currently holds them.

Senate changes – AZ D Kelly up from +4 to +5, GA D Warnock up from +1 to +3, NV R Laxalt from -1 to +1, NC R Budd up from +1 to +2, PA D Fetterman down from +6 to +4, WI R Johnson up from +1 to +2

Arizona Kelly D – Kelly +5 Democratic hold R 50 D 50
Georgia Warnock D – Warnock +3 Democratic hold R 50, D 50
Florida Rubio R – R Rubio +5 Republican hold R 50 D 50
Nevada Cortez Masto D – R Laxalt +1 Republican gain R 51 - D 49
New Hampshire Hassan D – Hassan +6 Democratic hold R 51 D 49
North Carolina Burr R – Burr is retiring, open seat. R Budd vs. D Beasley. Budd +2 Republican hold. R 51 D 49
Ohio – Portman R – Portman is retiring, open seat. R Vance vs, D Ryan Vance +3 Republican hold. R 51 D 49
Pennsylvania Toomey R – Toomey is retiring, open seat. R Oz vs. D Fetterman, Fetterman +4 Democratic gain R 50 D 50
Wisconsin Johnson R – R Johnson +2 Republican hold. R 50 D 50

The 50-50 tie remains with VP Harris providing the tie breaking vote and giving the Democrats control of the senate. Democrats pickup PA, Republicans gain NV.

House of Representatives

Currently the House of Representative consists of 222 Democrats, 213 Republicans. The GOP needs a net gain of 5 seats to take control of the House. There are 61 competitive, switchable, at risk districts. Currently held by 44 Democrats and 17 Republicans. Safe seats, 178 Democratic, 196 Republican. Probable net gain for the Republicans is 11-13 seats. Which would give the GOP control of the house with the majority over the Democrats somewhere between 224-212 to 226-209.

It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.