Sure, the boat has rocked from side to side a bit, but its general heading has been the same.

When was the last time you predicted a win for Democrats in the House this midterm?

Because historic norms are what they are, I'd venture never. These races aren't that dynamic.

Once the parameters of this election were set, the outcome became fairly obvious.

The Senate could have gone either way this time...but it didn't. It just stubbornly remained out of the hands of either party and as such will be a win for the Dems.

With a weak performance in 2020, Dems barely clung to the House with a 5 seat majority.
If the economy had performed well they could have hung on. It didn't. They won't.

Just as we have both been predicting for months.


Good coffee, good weed, and time on my hands...