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More money has been spent for this 2022 midterm TV adverting, than in 2020 the presidential election cycle. In addition to what I stated above, also predict record turnout. Record turnouts favor the Dems.
High turnout always benefiting the Democrats is an old wife’s tale which I have proved here before. Here you go again. I limit this to just the midterms since that is what we have this year.
When the house changed hands, control 1994, 2010 and 2018, turnout was high. 2 for the Republicans, 1 for the Democrats. But in 2006 when the democrats took control of the house with a net gain of 33 seats, turnout was low. Finally, looked back at gains of one party or the other of 30 or more seats to compare that to voter turnout in the midterms.
In 3 of the 4 high voter turnout midterm elections, it was the republicans who gained 30 or more seats vs. 1 for the Democrats. The two elections that had low voter turnout, the democrats picked up 30 plus seats in both of those.
It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.