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I think Nate Silver of 538 fame is seeing something I’m not or I’m just slow to climb aboard. He had the GOP at a 29% chance of winning control of the senate in September, today he has upped the Republican chances to 43%
I see it as a no worse than a 50-50 tie or the Dems gain a Senate seat. On the House, Republicans regaining control was at 68% on 4 October, that’s up to 80% today. I’ve always had the GOP retaking the House, so Nate is just confirming it.
It seems Nate thinks the momentum shift which occurred at the beginning of the month is stronger than I think or thought. Still, we both agree that the only states that will flip is PA and NV causing the senate to remain 50-50. That result would still leave the senate in Democratic control. Good for any Biden’s nominees to be confirmed.
It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.
