Here’s how independents voted over the last 20 years. Not quite the vote one party in one election and kick them out them out the next, but close. This shows you how quickly independents can become dissatisfied with the people, party they just voted for.

2004 vote Republican, reelect Bush
2006 vote Democratic give control of congress to the democrats
2008 vote democratic, elect Obama
2010 vote Republican give the GOP control of the house
2012 vote Democratic, reelect Obama
2014 vote Republican, give the Republicans control of the senate
2016 vote Republican, elect Trump
2018 vote Democratic, give the Democrats control of the House
2020 vote Democratic for president, elect Biden, vote republican for congress, letting the GOP gain 13 house seats.
2022 ????? If the polls are correct, independents will vote Republican giving the GOP control of the house

There’s a larger, deeper story here, but this isn’t the time to get into it. I’m not so sure the democrats will remain on the outs for the next 10 years, Greger. It depends on who both parties nominate in 2024. But I wouldn’t be surprised if the party in power loses the house in 2026 and perhaps the senate. Then again depending on who is nominate to challenge the current president, a loss there in 2028 wouldn’t surprise me either. The party that nominates a candidate most attractive to independents will win. Not necessarily their base, but one who can attract and receive the vote of independents. Who by the way if Gallup is to be believed, make up 43% of the electorate. Democrats 28%, Republicans 27%.

If I were a democrat, I'd nominate Tammy Duckworth in 2024 to go against DeSantis. I'd stay away from old has beens like Sanders, Warren, anyone over 60 and anyone who previously ran for the democratic nomination.

Last edited by perotista; 10/27/22 12:28 AM.
It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.