Capitol Hill Blue Forums Hot Topics & Breaking News News GOP and Democrats All But Tied Going into Midterms

I guess we have gone into the "silent period" holding our collective breaths until the election is over.

For those who want to go to bed early election night. Here’s what to watch for. 1 NH, if the Republicans win NH, they’re probably on their way to a 4-seat gain in the senate. 2 PA, OH and GA, if the democrats win in all three without a runoff in GA, they’re going to retain the senate and gain a couple of seats. A split, the Dems win PA, the Reps win OH and GA goes to a runoff, chances are you’ll have to wait until 7 Dec, after the GA runoff to know who will control the senate.

The same applies to the house, if NH goes GOP, both the senate and NH-01 you’re looking at a 25 plus seat gain for the Republicans. If the Democrat Hassan wins her senate race and Pappas wins in NH-01 district there, the loss in the house will be limited to 15 or less seats, although the GOP will still gain enough seats to regain control.

Then you could have mixed signals from above, which would mean it will be a very long night.

Being on the west coast, we'll see a lot of the 11:00 pm east coast numbers. Things will probably change overnight if close, but those numbers will be good to know before going to bed.

I’m interested in one race here in GA. I’d like to know the results of that race. Then I’ll go to bed. No need to stay up late and fret about the results of all the other races. Those results are going to be what they are whether I stay up or not. I can find out what they were in the morning. Then begin my diagnostics as to why those results were what they were. I have a long history of not worrying about things I can’t help, control or have a say in.

20:02 PDT

Looks like CO-3 is kicking Lauren Boeber's pathological lying ass to the curb.

The MAGAloons in AZ are losing at the moment as well: Lake, Masters, Finchum

Things are not going so badly tonight. We’ve gone from Red Tidal Wave to Red Surge to Red Ripple to waking up with Blue Skies!

That red wave? It was only Trump throwing ketchup on the WH dining room.

Rs flooded the zone with narrative-friendly polls in the last week, results not matching up.

In the last four midterm elections, the ‘out’ party has won independent voters by double digits. Exit polls show Democrats winning indies by 1 pt. 49/48. This is why things are so close.

Good morning after a long good night’s sleep. We have currently, as of 0800hrs this AM a 48-48 tie in the senate with NV, AZ, WI and GA not called yet. If Kelly, Laxalt and Johnson hang on and win, they’re ahead now and I don’t think none of the 3 will give up their lead, this will give the GOP a 50-49 advantage with GA going to a runoff for control of the senate. The House as of this AM stands at 199-172 Republican with the rest still to be decided. It’ll take a few days to come up with the final numbers.

But thanks to Trump with his dumb chosen candidates like Oz in PA, Walker in GA, Masters in AZ, Bolduc in NH and more, the Democrats still stand a 50-50 chance of retaining the senate depending on the 6 Dec GA runoff. There’s still 64 house races undecided. If they split right down the middle, the GOP would end up with a 231-204 advantage.

It seems the polls were right on, correct in most cases. As was my forecast. That’s called blowing one’s horn. Once I get the exit polls, I’ll dissect the reason why. I call this election a split decision when it shouldn’t have been according to Historical Norms, standards. The Republicans should have had their wave election. But that is what it is or wasn’t. I’ll add this as an early observation, independents seemed to go against Trump’s chosen candidates, but for republicans over democrats who weren’t a high profile Trump choice. But thanks to Trump, the democrats were able to keep their losses to a bare minimum. More to come on this at a later date once the exit polls are digested.