An analysis done by Simon Rosenberg shows there appears to be a "ferocious" GOP effort to "flood the zone with their polls, game the averages, declare the election is tipping to them." He says that while it's entirely possible for Republicans to win in many of the elections next week, the polling and early turnout numbers so far suggest there's not really any sudden shift to the GOP - especially not if there's strong turnout by young voters upset by the GOP lawsuits blocking student aid forgiveness and taking abortion rights away.

Rosenberg warned that media organizations are being "played" if they uncritically report polling averages like those from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, given the number of GOP-aligned polls being added in recent weeks in key states. Just look, he says, at the percentages of polls the GOP-friendly groups have been doing in states Republicans consider competitive, compared to polling in states where Republicans don't think there'll be much movement.

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It's not just Rosenberg, either; Tom Bonier, CEO of Progressive data firm TargetSmart, pointed out Friday that an "avalanche" of GOP polling - some relying on an "older, whiter, more male" sample of voters than in the actual electorate - was making it look like Republicans were moving ahead.

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Digging further into that particular one-day poll is eye opening; it shows Republican Gov. Brian Kemp with almost 20 percent of the Black vote, which is...nah, not likely. A recent survey of Black voters in Georgia showed only 15 percent had a "favorable" view of Kemp, and that's not even the same as saying they'd vote for him.

The influx of GOP polling showing Herschel Walker suddenly up three points - which has brought him within a point of Sen. Raphael Warnock in the FiveThirtyEight aggregate - all appeared well after news stories about Walker's having paid for an abortion. As Kerrey Eleveld explains at Daily Kos, until around October 21, Warnock had a fairly steady three or four-point lead.

Roughly half of the polls included in recent swing-state averages have come from Republican-aligned firms.

Media loves a good bait-click story and they're certainly setting themselves up for good stories about "stolen elections" if the Dems sweep the House and Senate as Michael Moore predicts will happen. These right-leaning polls are not only misleading, they are dangerous.

Republicans all ready amped up from Trump's 2020 election lies will claim "we were ahead in the polls - now look at what happened! There were stolen elections! Election fraud! The polls are the 'proof' " - which will give them the excuse for more J6s.

Contrarian, extraordinaire