You’re totally wrong about 538. They rated the senate as a dead heat which it was and still is. They stated the Republicans likely would retake the house which they will. But no red wave. RCP, senate wise, they had 8 states in the tossup column, could go either way.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map.html

RCP did have the Republicans at 227 seats in the house to 174 Democratic with the rest as tossups. Still the definition of a wave election is the party out of power gaining 30 or more seats plus retaking control of the house. At 227 that a gain of 14 seats, below the wave election forecast. RCP was definitely bias toward the GOP this time around.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/house/elections-map.html

Republicans were going with their heart like you were stating the Democrats would retain control of both chambers.


It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.