Maybe, maybe not. I just looked at the numbers and the polls were accurate. Prognosticate may have got a lot wrong. The polls provide numbers, what one does with the numbers provided is at their discretion. Is everyone saying the polls on the generic ballot was wrong? The polls said the Republicans would win the popular vote for congress by 2.5 points, they won it by 2.8. The polls were off by 0.3 of a single point. Which is amazing when the polls have a margin of error of plus or minus 3 points. To be considered accurate that gives the polls a range of between 5.5-point republican win to a 0.5-point loss. Perhaps no one understands the MOE.
The polls predicted a 50-50 tie in the senate. They got one out of 35 senate races wrong. That is accurate, at least to me. Perhaps all of these pundits and it is the pundits, the talking heads who are saying the polls were screwed up. It wasn’t the polls; it was the talking heads and predictors who may have screwed it up. I go by polls; I predicted a GOP gain of 13-15 seats. They gained 9 which I think was darn close. I’m happy and satisfied with the results. So, I missed it by 4-6 seats. Out of 435, that darn good. That close to a 99% accuracy rate.
No poll predicted a red wave. Maybe some pundits did, but I don’t pay any attention to them. When the polls, going by poll numbers only, not any talking head, when they predict and got it right in 34 out of 35 senate races, what’s was wrong with the polling? Same for the house, when they miss it my less than a single point, 0.3 of a point to be exact, what was wrong with the polls? I don’t see it. I think this has more to do with covering the talking heads, predictors butt. My opinion.
