The possible red wave received a lot of news attention from January until July when it ended. Take a look at the graph below. July, August, September to mid-October there was even talk of the possibility of the Democrats retaining control of the House. I think one hears what one wants to hear. The Democrats were but 0.8 of a single point behind the GOP come mid-October signaling that either party could gain or lose 4-5 seats. It ended up with the polls stating the GOP would win the popular vote by 2.5 points, not predicting a red wave. The Republicans won the overall congressional vote by 2.8 points or 54,506,136 votes to the democrats 51,477,313 votes.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2022-generic-congressional-vote-7361.html

A wave election is indicated by one or the other party having a lead of plus 8 in the generic congressional ballot. R +8 or D +8 or more. 2.8 isn’t even close to the R +8 required to indicate a wave election. In 2018 when the Democrats gained 33 seats, they had a D +7.3 and won by 8.4 points.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html

In 2010 the GOP had a +9.4 in the generic, they gained 63 seats.

A wave election is defined by the party not in control or out of power regaining control of the house by gaining 30 or more house seats.

Now I go by the cold hard numbers of the polls, not by what either the Republican nor the Democratic talking heads are saying. They’re idiots telling their base what they want to hear.

Last edited by perotista; 01/26/23 12:29 AM.
It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.