No doubt MAGA Republicans still love Trump. But they’re getting slowly smaller. Yes, Trump is still a force within the Republican Party. But that’s it. As for independents, I look at the favorable/unfavorable stats along with how they voted. Nothing like how independents voted to let you know how they feel about Trump. 46% of independents voted for Trump in 2016, 42% for Hillary Clinton, 12% third party against both major party candidates. Then in 2018, 42% of independents voted for Republican congressional candidates. The MAGA year candidates. 2020, 41% of independents voted for Trump.

Trump’s unfavorable rating among independents 57% in 2016, 58% in 2018, 60% in 2020 and 58% in 2022. 47% of independents voted for Republicans in 2022, but you can break that down into Trump Republican Chosen candidates, 42% and non-Trump chosen candidates 52%. A whopping 10-point difference in how independents voted there. Many Trump chosen candidates lost because of the independent vote, Tshibaka, Oz, Mastriano, Cox, Diehl, Bolduc, Walker, Lake, Masters, Laxalt and many more. Meanwhile non-Trump chosen candidates were winning and winning because of independents. Which as I have been saying, Trump is the biggest asset the Democrats have going for them. Trump enables the Democrats to attract and win the independent vote. Whereas, they might not without Trump.

Trump has a threshold of around 40% of the nationwide electorate. No higher. You may consider that a lot, but you have 60% against him. Trump isn’t about to win any national election and most of Trump’s chosen candidates probably won't win either. If Trump chosen candidates are going to win, they’ll win in deep red states and districts.


It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.