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I was going over the favorable/unfavorable ratings of several politicians. I’ve always believed what these elected officials are thought of nationally is irrelevant. It’s what the people, voters think of them in their district or state that counts. Nationally, no one can vote these people out of office or reelect them except the folks who live in their district or state.

Nationally
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 32/43 favorable/unfavorable
Kyrsten Sinema 21/33 favorable/unfavorable
Marjorie Taylor Greene 28/40 favorable/unfavorable
Mitt Romney 34/45 favorable/unfavorable
George Santos 17/52 favorable/unfavorable
Ron DeSantis 41/35 favorable/unfavorable
Nikki Haley 34/28 favorable/unfavorable
Joe Biden 44/51 favorable/unfavorable
Kamala Harris 40/50 favorable/unfavorable
Kevin McCarthy 33/41 favorable/unfavorable
Mitch McConnell 25/56 favorable/unfavorable
Chuck Schumer 33/43 favorable/unfavorable
Hakeem Jeffries28/28 favorable/unfavorable
Donald Trump 40/55 favorable/unfavorable

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/o5fgyskici/econTabReport.pdf

It seems a lot of these folks, elected officials are unknown by many nationally. Which may explain why DeSantis, Haley are viewed positively, Jeffries is a wash at 28-28, but everyone else is viewed negatively by all Americans. Some more than others.

But again, does it really matter what all of America thinks of these people? There’s nothing any of them can do about them unless they can vote for or against them. This doesn’t apply to Biden, Trump, Harris, DeSantis, Haley who either are or might be running for national office, the presidency. These few I think what all of America thinks of them is important. These rest, no.

I received a report from Gallup on Biden’s overall job approval, currently at 42%. That got me thinking, in today’s modern political era of polarization, the great divide, the super, mega, ultra-high partisanship, does a president’s overall job approval mean much if anything in today’s modern political era? Especially considering the results of the 2022 midterms. First, let’s look at previous presidents prior to what I term is today’s modern political era of polarization, the great divide, the super, mega, ultra-high partisanship. Comparting a president’s overall job approval to the job approval the opposing party or the party that is out of power.

Bill Clinton 55% overall average job approval, from Republicans 32% average job approval
G.H.W. Bush 61% overall average job approval, from Democrats 45% average job approval
Reagan 53% overall average job approval, from Democrats 40% average job approval
Carter 46% overall average job approval, from Republicans 31% average job approval

Approximately a third of the opposite party approved of the job the president was doing. Now the ratings for today’s modern political era ratings beginning in 2004 which I think is the time today’s modern political begin.

2004-08 G.W. Bush Overall job approval average 37%, from Democrats 8%, from Republicans 85%, from independents 32%
2009-2016 Obama overall job approval average 47%, from Democrats 85%, from Republicans 9%, from independents 46%
2017-2020 Trump overall job approval average 41%, from Democrats 6%, from Republicans 90%, from independents 37%
2021-today Biden overall job approval average 44%, from Democrats 86%, from Republicans 5%, from independents 41%

What stands out here is the opposing party approval of any of the above presidents is in the single digits. That’s a far cry from the average third of the opposing party approving a president’s job performance pre-modern political era of polarization, the great divide, the super, mega, ultra-high partisanship.

You can make of this what you will. I think what this means in today’s modern political era is a president’s overall job approval will always be 5-10 points lower than what it was previously or prior to today’s modern political era. Biden is sitting at 44% overall job approval today, that job approval would be at 50% or so in the previous political era in my opinion. This modern political era means many other things besides a sitting president being shortchanged on his job approval numbers. Many other and more important things, but those can be addressed later if need be or wanted.

A while back I posted on this site a list of states, blue states trending red, red states trending blue. Several of the state’s blacks are moving out of are on my blue states trending red, some of the red states trending blue are the states the blacks are moving to. Make of this what you will.

Democrats: Why in the Hell Are Black People Moving to Red States?

https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/democrats-why-hell-black-people-202500672.html

Also interesting when it comes to the black vote is how the percentage of blacks voting republican has increased with each election since 2008. The percentage of blacks who voted Republican in 2008 4%, 2012 6%, 2016, 8%, 2020 12%, 2022 13%. This is a small trend taking its time, but a trend, nonetheless. Hispanics have also increased their percentage voting republican since 2012, from 27% to 39% in 2022.

Interestingly since Kemp is mentioned in the Article, he received 13% of the black vote, 43% of the Hispanic vote while running against Stacy Abrams, a black woman who he defeated by 8 points. DeSantis in Florida matched Kemp with 13% of the black vote, 13% was the national average for 2022. He did even better among Hispanics receiving 58% of their vote. Way above the national average of 39%. Compare those votes to New York where only 6% of blacks voted republican along with 22% or Hispanics. Texas was also interesting, 15% of blacks voted for Abbot, 43% of Hispanics did also. Above the national average.

Minorities voting against their own self-interest is not a new phenomena. What do Republicans offer minority communities? Tainted water.

SEE: Flint, Mi

Could be, but the migration seems to have boiled down to bread, butter and roofing issues. That was stated in the article. In other words, supporting black lives matter or defund the police means little if that doesn’t put a roof over your head and food on the table. This from the article.

In those cities, the cost of living on top of the grinding structural racism in housing, schools, jobs and entrepreneurship, chews at Black people more than red meat Southern politics. The Democrats can talk all the Black Lives Matter they want, but the nitty gritty of a roof over the head and bread on the table is more important than a ranting Ron DeSantis in Florida, a curmudgeonly Greg Abbott in Texas, or a combative Brian Kemp in Georgia.

I didn’t include New York, New Jersey, Illinois and California in my list of trending states from blue to red or red to blue. They’re safe Democratic states, not swing states. Now I’m going back to take a look at them as the article states those four states have lost the most blacks going to red states.

California 2000 D+12, 2022 D+13
Illinois 2000 D+12, 2022 D+7
New Jersey 2000 D+10, 2022 D +6
New York D+15, 2022 D+10

It does seem the loss of blacks has moved 3 of the 4 solid Democratic states to being a bit more republican. Republicans flipped or gained 4 New York previously held Democratic house seats, GOP flipped one in New Jersey, no change in Illinois, the Republican flipped or gained 2 previously held Democratic house seats in California. California, New Jersey and New York provided 7 of the 9 seats the Republicans gained last year to regain control of the house. Was it because of the loss of blacks moving south due to bread, butter, roofing issues, you decide?

States that blacks have fled to compare with those states above in which blacks have left.

Florida 2000 R+1, 2022 R+3
Georgia 2000 R+10, 2022 R+3
North Carolina 2000 R+9, 2022 R+3
Texas 2000 R+10, 2022 R+5

When Rs ever supported THAT? Their 2017 tax reform is sunsetting for us average folks next year. The rich 1% never sunsets.

Did you read the article? It explains why blacks are moving to the south, to places like Georgia, Florida, North Carolina and Texas. From the article on some of the reasons why.

What matters is that Black unemployment is higher in California, Illinois, and New York than in Florida, Georgia, or Texas. What matters is that of the 12 most segregated cities for Black people, as measured by Brookings, 11 of them are north of the Mason-Dixon Line.

And

Recent stories in the New York Times and Washington Post, feature the massive declines in New York City, Chicago, Los Angeles and San Francisco of blacks.

In those cities, the cost of living on top of the grinding structural racism in housing, schools, jobs and entrepreneurship, chews at Black people more than red meat Southern politics. The Democrats can talk all the Black Lives Matter they want, but the nitty gritty of a roof over the head and bread on the table is more important than a ranting Ron DeSantis in Florida, a curmudgeonly Greg Abbott in Texas, or a combative Brian Kemp in Georgia.

Read the article, your questions will be answered as to why before you rant and rave.

https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/democrats-why-hell-black-people-202500672.html

What’s happening is the political landscape of 1960 is returning slowly with migration playing a big part. In 1960 most of the northeast and Midwest along with California was red. The South a solid blue. Virginia has already become a blue state, Georgia, North Carolina and Texas in 10-20 years or so will follow. But states like Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Minnesota are slowly getting redder. Many states in the northeast are becoming likely democratic instead of solid democratic.

All Republicans dispute that statement and say there is no such thing.

Objective people and those affected by "the grinding structural racism" know the truth.

Republican denial of that racism is what has powered and empowered THE BASE, so now the party is dependent on what THE BASE wants. Right now it wants Trump and the politics of revenge against all people not loyal to Trump.

Consider Texas Republicans. If you are not loyal and pass the purity test you will be censured. If that sounds like it came out of some 3rd rate dictators playbook .... well it did. Fascism has come to the mainstream Republican Party. Gov DeSantis said it best. He won 50% of the vote but he'll use 100% of the power for his own agenda, which is use of big government to crush all opposition to his ideas and rule.

If you think this may be a problem for America ... honk

Regardless , blacks will continue to move out of New York, New Jersey, Illinois, California to the south. You can either buy what was said in the article or not. It makes no difference, blacks are leaving those big cities like Chicago, San Francisco, New York etc. for the south. That’s undeniable. California lost a congressional seat, so too New York and Illinois. Florida gained one, also North Carolina gained a seat and Texas two. This could be attributed to blacks leaving the for mentioned states going to the later mentioned states. Although New York, Illinois, California aren’t in danger of turning red say 10-15 years from now, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania are. Down south, Georgia, North Carolina, Texas all might be blue states in 10-15 or so years. All thanks to blacks moving out of the northern states to the southern ones. Out west we have Arizona going blue while Nevada and New Mexico are going red.

After the 1992 Rodney King riots in Los Angeles, black Americans moved to San Bernardino, Las Vegas, and Phoenix. Hispanics moved in and backfilled the vacancies.

The reasons why black Americans moved out of Los Angeles in 1992 was because they were not getting fair treatment by law enforcement.