I would have sworn that when the federal indictments came down, that would be the end of Trump
You continue to analyze as if Trump were the normal candidate of yesteryear. He is not. Please begin to think outside that box, and analyze accordingly. I have been typing since the beginning none of the indictments nor will any convictions change the mind of MAGA. Trump is not just a candidate. He is the Savior of America sent by God. He is the media for which they will display their bigotry. Why would you think or believe almost all elected Republicans still support him? Because Trump is the vehicle and voice of MAGA. If Gov DeSantis had the balls he would have preemptively began a campaign of overtly using the language of bigotry, and may have had a following. MAGA is looking for a God-like figure to save them from their own bigotry and ignorance.
Which leads me to believe we’ll have a very low voter turnout
Ergo I will conclude Trump may win outright.
Imagine a coup rendered by voter apathy. And you continue to believe it can't happen in America. In real time you are watching Democracy swirling around the toilet drain.