New Swing State Billboard Campaign ... Support Him Over His Felony Convictions
I like this.

I am not as pessimistic as others. I believe there is a current of democracy that is underlying this election. Yes, there is still a problem with the geriatric election - between an 81 year old and a 78 year old - but I think, when push comes to shove, this election will end up as 2020 did. I think that the horror that was the Donald Trump Presidency will inspire a democratic turnout. The stakes are just too high.

I think the prospect of electing a convict is just going to be too much for too many voters. We will see how soon it begins to affect the polling, but I think it is there.What the Polls Are Saying After Trump’s Conviction
 (New York Magazine).

"Donald Trump is now a convicted felon, but what impact that has on the 2024 presidential race remains to be seen. The first indicators of how voters might respond will be the results of polls conducted soon after a New York jury found Trump guilty on 34 counts of falsifying business records. While it’s worth keeping in mind the many potential flaws of early polling following a major news event, here’s what those polls say so far (this post will be updated as more poll results come out)."
....
Possible insights from YouGov’s post-verdict snap poll
The national Daily Questions survey was conducted online Thursday among 3,040 adults. Per YouGov’s summary of the results, “Americans’ immediate reactions are polarized along party lines, with 86 percent of Democrats but just 15 percent of Republicans believing the former president is guilty of felony charges,” with independents “nearly twice as likely to think he’s guilty as to think he’s not.” But overall, 50 percent approved of the conviction.

Nearly two-thirds of respondents also said it was at least probable Trump has ever committed crimes, but almost as many didn’t think he will ever go to prison, regardless:

63% say he probably or definitely won’t go to prison, compared to 20% who say he probably or definitely will. Democrats are the most likely political grouping to expect Trump to go to prison, but even among them, 33% say he will be imprisoned and 54% say he won’t.
....
A Morning Consult poll finds majority approval of the verdict
The Morning Consult survey on Friday found that 54 percent of voters approved (“strongly” or “somewhat”) of the verdict and that Trump committed a crime. In addition, 15 percent of Republican voters, 8 percent of Trump supporters, and 49 percent of independents thought he should end his presidential bid. (Morning Consult also notes the GOP percentage is in line with the number of potential Republican primary voters who still supported Nikki Haley at the end of her campaign.)

Regarding the possible sentences for Trump, a solid majority of survey respondents — 69 percent — thought Trump should be fined as punishment. Another 49 percent thought probation would be best. About half opposed sentencing Trump to prison time, and 44 percent thought he should go to jail.

Seven in ten voters indicated they wanted the other Trump trials resolved before Election Day.
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Now, snap polls are not particularly instructive, but there are indications that the biggest effect will be with independent voters.

Of most interest to me is this: Trump has not increased his voter share. That share was not enough to win him the popular vote in either of his previous elections, and the swing-state voters in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada and Michigan also have the specter of local prosecutions of 2020 election fraudsters.

And, of course, there is the issue of abortion. Arizona, Nevada,Montana (Jon Tester is running for reelection to the Senate), Missouri, among others, will have ballot initiatives on the ballot to protect abortion, and it has already affected some other States where one would not have expected so much support.

This election will be determined by turnout. When push comes to shove, I think Democrats and progressives will be inspired to turn out. Also, the Biden campaign has a better ground game and is not hampered by staggering criminal defense bills. While the Democrats are defending more Senate seats than Republicans, I think the wind is at those candidates' backs.

Last edited by NW Ponderer; 06/05/24 09:07 AM.
A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.

Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich