Originally Posted by perotista
Down ballot Democrats, senate candidates are outperforming Biden in their states by 10 or more points.

Examples, Arizona -Gallego up by 5 over Lake, Trump up by 4.4 over Biden.
Pennsylvania Casey up by 7 over McCormick, Trump up by 2.3 over Biden.
Ohio Brown up by 5 over Moreno, Trump up by 7 over Biden
Michigan Slotkin up by 4 over Rogers, Trump up by 0.3 over Biden
Wisconsin Baldwin up by 12 over Hovde, Trump by 0.1 over Biden
Nevada Rosen up by 14 over Brown, Trump by 5.3 over Biden

What all these states have in common is the democratic senate candidate is leading their republican rival, all outside the MOE with a couple leading by 10 points or more while Biden is trailing Trump. A couple of weeks ago I spoke of Biden’s labilities, I suggest by looking at the above that those liabilities are for real. Usually the down ballot candidates hope to ride the presidential candidates coat tails to a win. In this case, it is Biden that may have to hope he’s able to ride the down ballot democrats coat tails to a win in their states.

Why Senate Democrats Are Outperforming Biden in Key States

https://www.yahoo.com/news/why-senate-democrats-outperforming-biden-113401743.html
This is normal, actually. It's the local over national issue - in every election. Congressional incumbents always, always, always outperform Presidential incumbents. It's why they are re-elected over and over again. But, there is a carry-over effect in the voting booth. Usually is it referred to as the "coattails" effect - a presidential candidate pulling "down ballot" candidates over the line, but it works both ways. In this election, those State candidates - and ballot measures - are going to bring voters to the voting booth. When they get there, they are going to be thinking about the other races and make their decision - usually in conformity with how they voted on their motivating issues.

Trump does not inspire coattails - indeed, the opposite. In many States local Republicans also outperformed Trump in 2020. I'm not surprised at all. But, the real numbers are actually better for Biden than the polls indicate. It's not that he doesn't have anything to worry about - he does - but that the polls are not really telling a meaningful story, and the press even less so.

A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.

Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich