Let’s say I’m less pessimistic than you are. I’d be a lot more optimistic if the DNC and Democratic Party leaders had listened to their base and democratic leaning independents prior to the primaries.
Poll: Two-thirds of Democrat-leaning voters don't want Biden as 2024 nominee
https://www.axios.com/2023/09/07/poll-biden-2024-second-term-democrat-voters-cnnBut the DNC and Democratic Party leaders used everything within their power to ensure Biden wasn’t challenged. Thus, guaranteeing him the nomination. I was really surprised how meekly the base and democratic voters went along with their fait accompli. But that’s is history. I realize that this election is still 50-50. That even though Trump leads in the polls, his lead is still within the MOE. That there’s still an ocean’s full of water to flow under the election bridge between now and November. I realize this election boils down to the 30% or so who dislike and don’t want neither Trump nor Biden as the next president. That those Biden and Trump supporters, solidly for either one are set in stone. Having 30% of the electorate still in flux or disliking both and wanting neither one means anything can happen.
I also realize that with Biden’s numbers as a sitting president running for reelection he should be losing in a landslide. That no sitting president won reelection with an overall job approval below 50%. The same goes for how all Americans view the sitting president. That only one presidential candidate viewed below 50% favorably won since 1948. That was Trump in 2016 who was viewed favorably by 36% of all Americans, his opponent was Hillary Clinton who was viewed favorably by 38%. One of them had to win. Same for 2024, Biden is currently view favorably by 40% of all Americans vs. Trump who is viewed Favorably by 42%.
Sure, Trump has a slight advantage today, but I’m not willing to throw in the towel. This is like having your team trailing 4-3 at the end of 5 innings of game 7 of the world series. It isn’t like you’re facing a Sandy Koufax or a Bob Gibson on the mound. It’s Trump. But your team doesn’t have its best pitcher going either. Still, the game is far from over.