LOL, this far out, I’m neither pessimistic nor optimistic. There’s still a long way to go. The thing is all three races, for the House, the senate and the presidency are all too close to call or to make a prediction. The problem is that since the 2022 midterms, Trump has led Biden by 2 points on average, the house and the senate have been a tossup as to which party controls either one. I’ve never seen such steadiness. That may be due to the current modern political era of polarization, the great divide along with the super, mega, ultra-high partisanship. An era in which independents have become alienated to politics, I should say partisan politics. Although that group has grown from 30% of the electorate to 42% today over the last 15 years or so. Perhaps this growth also shows many of those who deserted both major parties have also become alienated or dissatisfied or come to detest how polarized and partisan our politics have become. How many of our elected official have retired citing the reason is the highly partisan atmosphere, the polarization of congress which makes governing, compromising, working with the other side impossible?
The more the more moderate folks leave the two major parties to become independents, the more retirement of those willing to compromise and work with the other side retire, the more polarized and partisan our politics become. Middle America is stuck in-between the two major parties with neither representing them anymore. This can be seen in the two major parties’ choice of presidential candidates, where around 60% of all Americans don’t want Biden reelected nor do approximately 60% want Trump to regain the white house. Something to think about.
