Here are some polls for comparison, two-way, Trump led Biden by 3 points, Trump leads Harris by 2 points.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-bidenhttps://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harrisFive-way, Trump led Biden by 3.7 points, Trump leads Harris by 4.7 points.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/po...ump-vs-biden-vs-kennedy-vs-west-vs-steinhttps://www.realclearpolling.com/po...mp-vs-harris-vs-kennedy-vs-stein-vs-westEither Biden or Harris, the race was close with Trump having a slight edge. I follow the numbers, it is important to know, realize that all these polls, both Trump vs. Biden and Trump vs. Harris were taken prior to Biden’s withdrawal. The public and the polls haven’t had time to catch up with Biden leaving the race nor have they given time for the adjustments to Harris becoming the democratic nominee. What these polls do show is that it made little difference if the democratic nominee was Biden or Harris prior to the Biden withdrawal. This could change in the coming weeks mainly because it was a what if question when it came to Trump vs. Harris whereas Trump vs. Biden was reality.
What I’ll be watching in the next couple of weeks is enthusiasm to vote in this years presidential election which was at an all time low, movement in those intending to vote third party along with those, approximately 30% of the electorate who disliked and didn’t want neither Trump nor Biden as their next president, if some will move out of this category to support Harris or will they remain in the dislike and don’t want column being the election is now Harris vs. Trump. Whether their dislike of Biden rubs off on Harris which it may not have to. As of today, Harris has a lower positive or favorable as seen by all Americans than either Trump or Biden. But now what if has now become reality, this too can change.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/favorability/political-leaders
