We do have some battle groundstates with Trump vs. Harris.
Arizona -
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/arizona/trump-vs-harrisGeorgia -
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/georgia/trump-vs-harrisWisconsin -
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/wisconsin/trump-vs-harrisMichigan -
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/michigan/trump-vs-harrisPennsylvania -
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/pennsylvania/trump-vs-harrisMissing are New Hampshire, Minnesota, Virginia, Nevada. No polls there since Harris replaced Biden. It’s still very early and as I stated, folks haven’t really had much time to wrap their heads around Harris replacing Biden. There’s hardly any difference in the above battleground polls between Trump vs. Biden and Trump vs. Harris. I think that is because folks haven’t had time to get a good look at Harris or how Harris has reenergized the Democrats and perhaps some independents. I do know enthusiasm for voting for the president has risen from 43% with Biden vs. Trump to 48% Harris vs. Trump among all Americans and rose from 25% among independents, Biden vs. Trump up to 31% with Harris vs. Trump. Harris has piqued some attention to this election that wasn’t there with Biden. Although horserace numbers remain about the same, the added interest and energy, enthusiasm can only benefit Harris in the long run, give it time.
https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_U76IOiF.pdfhttps://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_sPu9WiO.pdfJust don’t get too giddy about early indications as there still just early indications. Good start, but still a long way to go.