Rick, caution may be the better desecration here. Trump’s numbers aren’t devastating across the board. Harris does have a 1.7-point lead, but that is well within the MOE meaning a basic tie when taking the MOE into consideration which everyone should. When looking at the battleground or swing states, all 7 are also within the MOE. Bottom line is we’re dead even whether that be nationwide or in the battleground, swing, tossup states.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states

I do have a theory though. That 47% is Trump’s threshold. He received 46.1% of the vote in 2016, 46.9% in 2020 and has been below 47% in since Biden’s withdrawal. That for Trump to win he needs a sizeable third-party vote as happened in 2016 when 6% of the electorate voted third party vs. 1.7% in 2020 when Biden won. With Kennedy’s withdrawal, there won’t be any sizeable third-party vote. The third-party vote is currently at 2% divided between Stein, West and Oliver. Which is down from 12% back on 21 July when Biden withdrew with Trump ahead of Biden by 5 points. Harris picked up most of that 10-point third party drop rising from Biden’s 39% to her currently 48%. Trump rose from 44 to 47% rounding off. Neither candidate has gained or lost support since 8 August outside of gaining or losing a few tenths of a point every now and again. Both have stagnated since then.

You can call me a cautious realist. If this were the super bowl, we’re still in the first quarter with Harris ahead by a FG.

It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.