If I dig out my old crystal ball, 2026 should be a banner year for the democrats with a big depends in front of that banner year. MAGA makes up approximately 25% of the electorate, they’re not going to change their votes. You do have another quarter of the electorate who voted for Trump who aren’t MAGA Trumpers. The read I’m getting is Trump is governing only for the MAGA portion of the country. If he continues doing that, look for the democrats to regain the house in 2026 by a large margin. Trump is getting high marks on his job approval so far, but that is because he’s tackling the illegal immigration problem which was the second most important issue in last years election. Trump has issued a couple of EO’s on the illegal immigration problem, but he didn’t really need to do that, all he needed to do was enforce the laws already on the books.
Inflation was the top issue, rising prices. No EO is going to solve this issue. I don’t think there’s much the government can do about inflation other than let it run its course. Inflation is currently at 2.9% and falling. Trump took office at the right time. Give it another 6 months or so, inflation should tame itself. If Biden had six more months to go on his presidency, he would have gotten the credit.
But Trump is a vindictive man with revenge in his heart. Even if Trump is successful on illegal immigration and rising prices, him taking his revenge out on his political opponents will doom the GOP. Most Americans don’t like radical change, they don’t like being taken out of their comfort zone which is what Trump is doing so far.
