Of course they’ll win because FL 01 and FL 06 are deep red, solid, safe districts, rporter. I’ve seen and heard for the last month Trump is losing support. But I go by numbers, especially job approval numbers which really haven’t moved. I don’t go by what pundits or others say. Trump was at 49.0% overall job approval on 5 Feb, he’s at 48.8% approval today, a month later. I think what you need to keep in mind is MAGA makes up but a quarter of the electorate and republicans roughly 30% of the electorate. MAGA and most of the GOP will never desert Trump. But you have that remaining 20% will begin at sometime in the near future begin to desert Trump, go over to the opposition or switch to the disapproval side of the leger. Give it time. The first 100 days of any president’s term is considered the honeymoon phase. After that, folks start to hold the president accountable. In other words, Trump right now has inflated approval ratings as folks want to give him a chance.
Biden had a 57% job approval during the honeymoon phase, 42% from then on.
Obama 66% job approval during the honeymoon, 48% there after and so on
