Capitol Hill Blue Forums Political Issues Politics In General Trump 2.0

Wow! My intention was to, hopefully, have somebody to come and set out a plan for the Democrats to get going on. It was not my hope to shut it all down. I know there is somebody who can do that out of the thousands/millions of Democrats there has to be somebody with the brains it will take to do the task. I have seen several, on TV, with great thoughts on this subject. I do not remember their brains (and often my own) but I know they are out there!

Next time I hear somebody like that I will try and remember who and where they were from.

The problem, I fear, is that it is too late. One could have a JFK suddenly appear and it wouldn’t matter. The forces of oligarchy and fascism have dug in so deep that they cannot be dislodged without some sort of epochal disaster - a disaster that most (if not all) of us here would not survive.

Pretty soon there are going to be 3 (I think) places in the house that are going to need replacing. I suspect that the Democrats are going to work with a will to get every one of them. If they do then the Democrats are going to own the House. If they own the house then, perhaps, it will liven them and give them a road forward. If they screw it up, however.................

I am also assuming that the Republicans have done a really great job pissing everybody off which may be helpful..........

Currently the House is made up of 218 republicans, 215 democrats, 2 vacancies. Both vacancies are in Florida. FL 01 formerly held by Matt Gaetz and FL 06 which was held by Michael Waltz.

https://clerk.house.gov/Members/ViewVacancies

The special election to replace both or to fill the vacancies will be held on 1 April. You had 2 Trumpers win the GOP primaries which are expected to win.

https://apnews.com/article/florida-...z-gaetz-edadda6d7c353821ce35415bd21b6ba5

My timeline might be off. They way he is going at it, this might happen by July 4th! Wouldn't that be a treat? I mean, he is alienating all of our allies and the only ones left that will have us as allies, are Russia and China.

The reality is, I believe after watching probably 100 interviews with MAGA and from my own personal experience being surrounded by MAGA, that it doesn't matter what Trump does or says or what happens as a result of what he does or says, they will continue to unconditionally support the son of God. So your comment noting those two candidates would probably win is a bit misleading ... of course they will win! ... it's a foregone conclusion!.

I see a number of pundits are proclaiming Trump is losing support for what is happening ... Yikes .... I believe anyone making those claims now are completely delusional and have no business speaking or writing for an audience greater than one. We are not even 100 days into the Reign of King Donald I, so anything said now would be irrelevant two years from now and maybe now even 50 days from now.

So let me confute my own comment, I say King Donald as it is clear he has subsumed all Congressional prerogatives at this point, and it is now clear that a Republican led Congress can even pass legislation, thus making the only "laws" are the fiats coming from the WH. Since that is the signature of a king, govern by fiat, I can safely conclude my comment is accurate.

Somehow, when I type the words the Reign of King Donald, it doesn't seem like Democracy is anywhere to be found. The SC just sided against Trump on a very narrow suit regarding USAID, which can in my opinion be interpreted as they supported the contractual agreements, it's black letter law and even then 4 MAGA justices thought Trump is indeed the king, so when he stops the flow of money from other streams, they will definitely side with him. Despite lower courts stopping the legal carnage, I suspect when these suits make it to the SC, they will side with Trump. After all he is the son of God, savior of America and in all respects is King of America.

It appears GROK has determined Trump has a 75%-85% likelihood of being a Putin asset.

I guarantee no Congressional Russia hawk will say anything negative about this, nor will MAGA say anything. I suspect MAGA has already been Russified so being a Putin ally is good .... but they will never say anything negative about Trump. As the son of God, Trump can do no wrong. Vive le roi

Of course they’ll win because FL 01 and FL 06 are deep red, solid, safe districts, rporter. I’ve seen and heard for the last month Trump is losing support. But I go by numbers, especially job approval numbers which really haven’t moved. I don’t go by what pundits or others say. Trump was at 49.0% overall job approval on 5 Feb, he’s at 48.8% approval today, a month later. I think what you need to keep in mind is MAGA makes up but a quarter of the electorate and republicans roughly 30% of the electorate. MAGA and most of the GOP will never desert Trump. But you have that remaining 20% will begin at sometime in the near future begin to desert Trump, go over to the opposition or switch to the disapproval side of the leger. Give it time. The first 100 days of any president’s term is considered the honeymoon phase. After that, folks start to hold the president accountable. In other words, Trump right now has inflated approval ratings as folks want to give him a chance.

Biden had a 57% job approval during the honeymoon phase, 42% from then on.
Obama 66% job approval during the honeymoon, 48% there after and so on

One should infer there is about the same probability Trump-Putin are in collusion to partition Ukraine. The pace at which Trump wanted to get a deal on rare earths and tossing any leverage Ukraine had, blaming Ukraine, and Putin not giving up anything, should be at least thought worthy. Trump and Putin gets everything .... Ukraine gets nothing.

I'm taking that with a heavy dose of salt. I am still convinced Trump can not be thought of in the old ways. This is new landscape, and so requires a different lens. Trump has a huge advantage getting out whatever message he wants. Fox propaganda (and of course the rest of the right wing Trump echo chambers), and now in addition to Truth Social, he has effective control of X, and that does not include the WH bully pulpit. MAGA of course would have voted for Trump, but in addition, whatever the difference is to 50% of current election, voted for a sexual predator, and convicted felon. They know he is corrupt and yet voted for him. Now if you think you can put that in the old style analysis and come up with 49% approval, I think you should check your algorithm. In times BT (before Trump) no candidate with his baggage would have been nominated much less elected. Now AT (after Trump), it's clear any fool with the right message can be elected by an equally foolish electorate. My point being 49% AT may be equivalent to 75% BT.

New lens