I’m with you jgw. Perhaps Cory Booker is beginning to emerge as that leader. I’m impressed with him after his 25-hour speech or filibuster in the senate railing against both Trump and Musk. Math wise, it’s way too early to read much into numbers this far out from the midterms. The generic congressional ballot, the democrats have a slight edge 45.3 to 44.5. A lead well within the MOE of the polls of plus or minus 3 points. Then if one goes district by district, the democrats currently have 22 seats in the competitive column or at risk of switching to the GOP’s 18 seats at risk of switching. Senate wise, I would place 3 democratic seats up in 2026 in the at-risk column, Georgia, Michigan and Minnesota. Georgia is the one state most likely to switch to the GOP. The republicans have 2 seats, Maine and North Carolina in the at-risk category with Maine most likely to go democratic as Collins is retiring.
Lastly look at Trump’s overall job approval, currently there’s a plurality of Americans disapproving of his job performance. It’s very close 47.7% approve, 49.9% disapprove. Going by months.
1 Feb 49.4% approve/44.7% disapprove
1 Mar 48.7% approve/ 47.9% disapprove
1 Apr 47.7% approve/49.9% disapprove
You can see the slow downward trend.