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Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 8,099 Likes: 136
veteran
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veteran
Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 8,099 Likes: 136 |
On 1 Feb Trump’s overall job approval was at 49.9%, disapproval 44.7%. Today, 47.5% approve/50.1% disapprove. A little early to be singing hosannas ... especially since no one is coming, much less a non-MAGA savior from Trump. His approval is still within the MOE. While it is true his disapproval is more significant, it is still just above 50%. What amazes me about this is everyone saw this coming (if they had their eyes open) and yet act as if they were surprised. Since everyone knew about the impending chaos and economic maelstrom, why is his approval so high? Well the answer is Trump is the savior of America, regardless if you are a MAGA or serious Trump voter. The expectation is high, which suggests to me that these same folks are poised to willingly bear the brunt of higher inflation based on promises of a better future. Bottom line ... don't expect his approval to go down much.
ignorance is the enemy without equality there is no liberty America can survive bad policy, but not destruction of our Democratic institutions
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Joined: Sep 2019
Posts: 3,012 Likes: 63
enthusiast
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enthusiast
Joined: Sep 2019
Posts: 3,012 Likes: 63 |
I do expect Trump’s approval to go down given time. I’d say around July/August, somewhere in that time frame Trump’s approval will be down to around 40%. I don’t expect any sudden drop. It took 5 months from 1 June through 1 Nov 2021 for Biden’s overall job approval to drop from 54% down to 41%. These things take time.
Chaos wasn’t on everybody’s mind, but a lot of their minds were focused on their financial situation and the drop in their standard of living. The problem wasn’t those who voted, it was with those who didn’t. With previous democratic voters. Among those who actually voted, democrats made up 36% in 2016, 37% in 2020, but only 31% in 2024. Why the 6-point drop? Why did so many previous democratic voters stay home? This is something that has all the experts and political pundits flummoxed, baffled. Numerous theories abound, but none of them explains to my satisfaction why those previous democratic voters didn’t get out and vote last year. If just a quarter of those previous democratic voters who didn’t vote, voted. Harris would be sitting in the Oval Office today.
On a whim, I decided to go back and check out voter enthusiasm for voting for the presidency last year. Enthusiastic, democrats 62%, not enthusiastic 19%. Republicans, enthusiastic 69%, not enthusiastic 14%. Why were the democrats, previous democratic voters much less enthusiastic to go vote last year than the republicans? I don’t know, only a few theories.
It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.
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