There has been several arguments floating around the net implicitly grounded in the thought that reasonable men would act according to well founded logical arguments and yet we have seen in recent historical events the very lack of a well thought out plan of action. Reasonable speculation can only take us so far before reality, representing every possible action, rears it's ugly head and offers the viscerally illogical paths of irresponsible recklessness. Apparently many people believe common sense and logic will prevail as it is seemingly the current method of action. This is akin to the argument that what the administration has done to prevent another terrorist attack on America has worked. My response is if the "enemy" has not planned another attack then doing nothing would have worked just as well. Likewise because reasonable people at State and the Pentagon have the upper hand does not imply they will have it tomorrow. If the President was so easily convinced to invade Iraq on the advice of a "slam dunk" what would convince him now to attack Iran?
Neocon thinkers (many of whom I believe to be unregistered ISraeli agents, as they would prefer to represent the Israel policy positions before American policies)believe that Iran must be dealt with sooner rather than later. John Bolton talks about it incessantly and Reuel Gerecht argues the case in the previously posted link.
Anyway regarding this issue I am not as optimistic as you.
