I’m not certain I didn’t cover this on another subject. You’re correct about those not voting this time. 2020 63% voter turnout, 159 million. 2024 59% voter turnout using VAP, 156 million. 3 million less folks voted in 2024 than 2020 although those eligible to vote rose by 7 million. Along with less voters turnout out, in 2020 37% of those who voted were democrats, 35% republicans. In 2024 31% were democrats, republicans maintain their 35% of those who actually voted.
https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-resultshttps://www.cnn.com/election/2024/exit-polls/national-results/general/president/0Why the 6-point drop in democratic voter turnout is something I’ve been researching, but I can’t find any definitive cause. As for the religious, Trump won the protestant vote 63-36 over Harris, Trump also won the Catholic vote 59-39, lost the Jewish vote to Harris 78-22 and lost the no religion folks to Harris 71-27.
There were several role reversals, for the first time since 1984 Trump became the first republican to win the working class, blue collar workers 51-47 over Harris while Harris won the college grads 56-42. College grads had gone republican from 1972 through 2008 when Obama won them. Romney took them back in 2012, Clinton won them in 2016, Biden in 2020 and Harris in 2024. Blue collar workers used to be a democratic party staple while college grads were steadily republican in the past. Trump came within 5 points of winning union households. Other groups, Trump won 46% of the Hispanic vote, the most ever by a republican. He won 13% of the black vote, the most for a republican since Gerald Ford won 15% back in 1976. Trump won first time voters 55-44 over Harris, the first time a republican had done that since 1988. There’s more on role reversals or long-time groups of voters who had a habit in the past of voting republican and or democrat, switched this year to voting for the opposite party they had in the past.
