I’ll just hit a couple of points, my reasoning for a low voter turnout is the high dislike and unwantedness of both major party candidates. 58% of all Americans don’t want Biden to run again, 53% don’t want Trump to run again either. Questions 14 and 15. As I said I’m relying on numbers, although I know they’ll change over time.

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_HvTrDQB.pdf

And if you look today, round off, Biden is viewed by just 39% of all Americans in a positive or favorable manner, 55% negative or unfavorable. Trump is close to identical at 42% favorable or positive vs. 54% negative/unfavorable.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/biden_favorableunfavorable-6677.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/trump_favorableunfavorable-5493.html

Then we have 64% of all Americans who think this country needs another viable choice other than Biden and Trump, 36% think the choice between Biden and Trump is good enough.

https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/HHP_Jan24_KeyResults.pdf

As for abortion, I always viewed that issue as being baked in. Over the last 50 years of so, those avid pro-choicers, those who decide their vote on the abortion issue have become democrats as those avid-pro lifers became republicans. As for third party, we had Johnson, Stein, a few other who were just a third name on the ballot not named Trump nor Clinton that drew 6% of the vote. They were out spent in 2016 1.8 billion by the two major party candidates to a bit over 3 million. There was no way for any of the third party candidates to get their message out, no media attention, no name recognition, no nothing. Yet they drew 6% of the vote in 2016. No labels and RFK Jr. have roughly 7 more months to get on the ballot in most states. Once we know on how many states, we’ll have a better idea. No Labels say they’re well financed, time will tell. RFK Jr. has name recognition.

One last thing about age and mental acumen. 55% of all Americans that Biden’s age severely limit his ability to do the job. Question 21. But only 23% says the same about Trump. Question 24.

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_HvTrDQB.pdf

I do think Brown stands a better chance of winning than Tester does in Montana. It all determines who their opponent will be. But for the most part we’re on the same sheet of music. I’d be more worried about the 30% of the electorate searching for someone other than Biden or Trump. What will they do? Who knows at this time?