Capitol Hill Blue
Posted By: Scoutgal Campaign 2016 - 08/18/15 04:12 PM
This is for discussion of all 2016 campaign candidates and issues
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/18/15 04:21 PM
Is Former Texas Governor Rick Perry the first candidate to fall?

Indicted Rick Perry Quits Paying His Staff Because His Campaign Is Going Broke

Quote
Most Perry staffers are soldiering on without pay, determined to keep the struggling candidate in the race. While the campaign’s funds have dried up, a pro-Perry super PAC is still flush with cash and can compensate for some of the campaign’s shortcomings. The super PAC however cannot coordinate efforts with the Perry campaign.
Posted By: jgw Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/19/15 09:40 PM
The only current candidates, with any percentage in polls, to not obviously bought and paid for are Trump and Sanders. ALL the others, to one degree or another, have their super pacs, and millions from large donors who, as Trump has said; "are expected to perform for those giving the money". I listen to the talking heads and not a one of them have even mentioned this simple fact yet they continue to wonder why so many candidates are not polling well. I would suggest that people are simply sick and tired of all the ranked candidates being beholden to whoever.

In the same vein I would also suggest that the two major democratic senators; Menendez and Shumer, voting against the Iran deal are more interested in their cozy relationship with Israel than an interest in what makes sense. These two should be unelected and encouraged to move the the country that actually has their loyalty.

How about this: http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2015...ost-american-jews-support-iran-deal.html

Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/20/15 07:33 PM
Bernie not only does not accept corporate donations, but he won't sling mud at the other candidates-A man who will run on the issues!

Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/20/15 07:41 PM
And for some comedic relief:

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/20/15 07:48 PM
YAY! Someone finally speaking the truth. ThumbsUp (I meant, of course, Bernie) not the Palin.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/20/15 08:02 PM
Feel The Bern!
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/20/15 11:40 PM
The mudslinging and bad behavior has already begun.
No, not the mudslinging between the candidates, the mudlinging between the various supporters on social media.

Already liberals are demonstrating how easy they are to beat by exhibiting behaviors not previously seen in right wing groups, threats to stay home and not vote if their candidate doesn't get the party nomination, threats to vote for Republican candidates...
Hillary people are bashing Bernie people, Bernie people are bashing Hillary people and all this despite the fact that Bernie has publicly stated that he will not play the negative card on his female opponent.

I had to leave the Facebook "Bernie Believers" group for just that reason.
I got tired of being accused of being a Hillary mole and tired of the constant whining.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/21/15 09:09 PM
Jeffery~You are correct. Although I have seen some ask that we do not bash Bernie, Hillary or each other, I do not see a lot of cooperation. I actually had one group say that if Hillary doesn't get the nomination he will commit suicide, and he said he will blame all those who vote for other candidates in the Democratic Primary. rolleyes A lot of people then told him he was playing right into the hands of the GOP. He then changed his tune, but I thought he was an idiot.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/21/15 11:36 PM
Quote
suicide

I think we could stand the loss of one vote, if it removed such an idiot from the gene pool. There is such a thing as "common good" that helps both Democrats and Republicans. Everything is not a zero-sum game.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/22/15 12:16 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
suicide

I think we could stand the loss of one vote, if it removed such an idiot from the gene pool. There is such a thing as "common good" that helps both Democrats and Republicans. Everything is not a zero-sum game.

True ThumbsUp
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/22/15 03:11 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
suicide

I think we could stand the loss of one vote, if it removed such an idiot from the gene pool. There is such a thing as "common good" that helps both Democrats and Republicans. Everything is not a zero-sum game.

True ThumbsUp

I think I will post this on that group!
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/23/15 04:18 PM
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/23/15 05:06 PM
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/10/15 07:05 PM
Latest poll standings for GOP candidates:

2016 Republican Presidential Nomination

Latest poll standings for Democratic Candidates:

2016 Democratic Presidential Nomination [b][/b]
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/11/15 10:28 PM
Rick Perry first to exit 2016 Republican presidential race

Quote
Former Texas Gov. Rick Perry ended his second bid for the Republican presidential nomination on Friday, becoming the first major candidate of the 2016 campaign to give up on the White House.

The longest-serving governor in Texas history told a group of conservative activists in St. Louis that "some things have become clear" and he was suspending his campaign.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/12/15 01:27 AM
Another one bites the dust. ThumbsUp
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/12/15 01:39 AM
Color me shocked. Maddie predicted it this week.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/12/15 10:34 AM
I hope that the rest follow shortly. ThumbsUp
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/14/15 06:38 PM
Kinda says it all. Give 'em hell, Bernie.

[Linked Image from s16.postimg.org]
Posted By: Hekate Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/15/15 03:38 AM
Nice to see some familiar folks. Campaign season, and I thought I'd say hello. Lived in Burlington in the '80s, and I remember Bernie campaigning door-to-door.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/15/15 07:21 AM
I got an invite to the Democratic debate in Las Vegas. Wondering if I should go.
Posted By: Hekate Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/16/15 01:32 AM
I "entered" a drawing for round trip plus attendance. I figured I'd be cheap, as I'm already here/there.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/16/15 04:58 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I got an invite to the Democratic debate in Las Vegas. Wondering if I should go.
Absolutely!!! Hit the slots too while you're there and take in a Cirque show. smile
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/16/15 12:25 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I got an invite to the Democratic debate in Las Vegas. Wondering if I should go.

Give 'em hell, NW!
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/16/15 03:46 PM
Hekate! It's good to see you again.
This campaign cycle has gone a bit boring on us after promising to rival Comedy Central and the NFL in entertainment value.
Donald Trump has shewed the entire field of various unqualified and even less interesting candidates back into the woodwork from which they came.
The press is doing a pretty good job of promoting a horse race where none exists in regard to the Democratic side of things, alternately ignoring Sanders then pointing out that he leads is some polls by double digits.
At this point I'm just in a holding pattern, I'd like to see a Social Democrat like Sanders elected but find it unlikely since he has intentionally limited his financial resources. Drawing crowds and shaking hands will not work as well as millions of dollars spent on television and radio ads.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/17/15 01:26 PM
The Repubs have offered a new proof to the paradox of Hilbert's Hotel:
How many morons can you fit on a stage?
An infinite number, apparently. LOL
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/18/15 12:57 PM
I, and many others, have noted the swing to extremism, particularly in the Republican party since the advent of Newt Gingrich. The current bevy of GOP presidential candidates demonstrates this in spades. Here's a new, potential, explanation:
Quote
Although the House and Senate are quite different from electoral and institutional standpoints, they share one important thing in common: the same members. In the current Senate, about half of senators first served in the House. Examples include staunch liberals such as Barbara Boxer of California and Richard Durbin of Illinois as well as staunch conservatives like James Inhofe of Oklahoma and David Vitter of Louisiana. Notably, this seems to be a modern development. In the 80th Congress (1947-1949), just 19 percent of senators came from the House.
How the House has made the Senate more polarized.


I don't think it is inconsequential that the of the candidates are Senators with some pretty extreme views. It also makes me wonder if Governorships follow the same pattern of radicalization. It's sort of self-reinforcing.

I think the pattern is much less pronounced on the D side, as even Sanders, although self-identified as aa "Social Democrat" is still, all in all, pretty mainstream.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/20/15 04:46 PM
Ben Carson thinks the Constitution prohibits Muslim fathead people from being President. Presumably the category includes all non-Christians.

Carson litmus test
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/20/15 05:01 PM
I’m sure it does. I’ve long wondered who might be elected first as POTUS.

A person claiming to have no religion or a Muslim. As it stands today on the national level a person who does not claim to be a practicing Christian has zero chance of being elected.

You do have the very occasional proclaimed atheist being elected in some small local election somewhere. In a cave in Vermont perhaps.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/21/15 04:40 AM
I think Ben Carson has demonstrated his complete lack of qualification to hold elected office. Period. Any elected office.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/21/15 12:50 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I think Ben Carson has demonstrated his complete lack of qualification to hold elected office. Period. Any elected office.
I listened to part of the Commonwealth Club yesterday, featuring Dr. Carson. For the most part, he espouses all of the temious and shallow right-wing "positions" on the issues. The business model is to first state a broad assumption that is flawed (lower taxes on investment capital stimulates the economy, for instance), then proceed to elaborate on how America will be wonderfully transformed by it in a few short days.

I found it interesting that Carson was every bit as egotistical about his "accomplishments" as Trump is, given the opportunity to Bogart the spotlight without competition. Bennie is sacrificing himself for our good to run for President. Like Jesus...
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/21/15 01:29 PM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Bennie is sacrificing himself for our good to run for President. Like Jesus...

And we all know how that ended...
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/21/15 02:44 PM
Not to put too fine a point on it, but this is the most unqualified group of candidates put forth in my lifetime, and not because they are Republicans (although that doesn't help). It's like they took bits and pieces of Mitt Romney and Barack Obama and tried to run on just that. Freshman Senators (x3), Rich (Trump, Fiorina), "business leader" (Trump, Fiorina - and Carson tries to claim that too), marginal governor (Walker, Huckabee, Perry, Bush, Jindal, Pataki). Oh, and the perennial "also ran" (Perry, Huckabee, Santorum). The only "qualified" candidate, really, is Kasich (national legislator and executive), and we can see how popular he is.

On the Dem side, Clinton qualifies, as, like Kasich, having been a multi-term legislator and executive. Bernie Sanders, though I love him, has no executive experience, nor does Murphy. Biden, should he run, checks all the blocks, too. At least the Dems have "serious" candidates.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/21/15 02:48 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by logtroll
Bennie is sacrificing himself for our good to run for President. Like Jesus...
And we all know how that ended...
In a persistant, strange, multi-millennial religion?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/21/15 02:53 PM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by logtroll
Bennie is sacrificing himself for our good to run for President. Like Jesus...
And we all know how that ended...
In a persistant, strange, multi-millennial religion?

Actually derivative...
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/21/15 04:18 PM
The older I get, the less respect I feel for "religion". Much of that disrespect is in how it is being used and abused, from faux "religious" candidates to genuine nutjobs, from arrogant county clerks who abuse their own citizenry to fanatical warriors who destroy antiquities and murder innocents. The infection of the current campaign with "religious" rhetoric is sickening. How can religion maintain any respectability in this environment? Especially when rooted in such questionable soil (yes, that especially includes Christianity).
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/21/15 04:40 PM
On the bright side, this is driving young Americans and future voters away from religion.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/21/15 06:21 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
The older I get, the less respect I feel for "religion". Much of that disrespect is in how it is being used and abused, from faux "religious" candidates to genuine nutjobs, from arrogant county clerks who abuse their own citizenry to fanatical warriors who destroy antiquities and murder innocents. The infection of the current campaign with "religious" rhetoric is sickening. How can religion maintain any respectability in this environment? Especially when rooted in such questionable soil (yes, that especially includes Christianity).

I've never understood how something that relies on dogma in order to justify its existence can survive at all. But I guess that's just me...
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/21/15 08:23 PM
Careful not to step in any dogma shiit.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/21/15 09:56 PM
Scott walker out of the race. Another one bites the dust!!! ThumbsUp
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/21/15 10:18 PM
It's official! Scott Walker Ends Presidential Campaign

Good riddance! Two down, 215 to go...

As for WHY he dropped out: Scott Walker: What Went Wrong? And this is from the decidedly conservative National Review. Among their conclusions:
Quote
Walker’s rise came so early that he didn’t yet have a campaign in place and hadn’t fully studied up on national issues, and it showed. His Iowa bounce played into a key strategic decision to make the Hawkeye State central to his campaign, and relatedly, to compete directly for the Right of the party, which for him required changes in tone and position. Walker is a conservative but not a fire-breather. That made his attempt to straddle the grassroots and the establishment — which would have been difficult for any politician — harder to pull off.
Above all, the past few months have amplified questions about whether Walker’s campaign and, more importantly, the candidate himself are built to thrive on a stage larger and less forgiving than Wisconsin. Political observers had long worried about whether he had the charisma to succeed in a presidential contest. Now, there are doubts about his substance. At times, the candidate and his operation have appeared accident-prone and politically immature.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/21/15 11:10 PM
Rubio Team Moves Immediately to Capitalize on Walker Flameout ... the vultures circle.

Labor tap-dances on Walker's political grave ... The enemies exult.

Why Scott Walker Failed... The pundits eulogize and explain.

Could it maybe have been... he wasn't a very good candidate? He got elected in off-elections - all three times. Could it be pending indictments? Could it be he wasn't even going to win Wisconsin? Scott Walker's popularity dips in Wisconsin
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 20 - 09/21/15 11:36 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Could it maybe have been... he wasn't a very good candidate? He got elected in off-elections - all three times. Could it be pending indictments? Could it be he wasn't even going to win Wisconsin?

All of the above plus he has the personality of a fungal infection!
grin
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 20 - 09/22/15 02:09 AM
I think most of us saw this coming. Same with Rick Perry.

Can't say I ever thought it would be Trump to knock out the one percenters though.

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/22/15 08:51 AM
Ted Cruz appeared on Late show with Stephen Colbert. It was illuminating. He is TRULY a charlatan. He misquoted the Constitution, and raised the same misdirected issue about "five unelected judges". Of particular note was his misdirection about his support. He claimed his support came from 175,000 donors, but the reality is 95%+ came from $million plus donation from a few very rich donors.
Quote
More than 95% of the total contributions to super PACs supporting Ted Cruz came from donations of $1 million or more, more than any other candidate.
NYTimes What I haven't been able to find is how many individual donors each candidate has.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/22/15 11:57 AM
i did not see it but did read the synopsis on colbert site.

his reference to 5 unelected judges was to the 5-4 voting pattern which has been the standard for some time now. he obviously does not like what the 5 who are against his positions are saying (when they are against his positions).

bit how did he overlook the obvious as a Constitutional "scholar" and not see the issue is not about "marriage" par se but about equal rights which the Constitution does address?





Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/22/15 12:34 PM
The current Republican presidential candidate field looks like this:

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump


Who do you think will be the next to drop out?

I think it will be Jindal.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/22/15 02:55 PM
I think Jindal is a good bet, but Pataki has no cash, and has burned through almost all SuperPAC support (what little he had). It may be a race there. Jindal was an also-ran when he started, but has evangelical support. Pataki doesn't even have that. My son was disappointed Walker dropped out because he diluted the field. Surprised me, because he hates talking Politics.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/22/15 03:06 PM
Pataki would be logical too. But I think hubris may keep him in the race a little longer. Jindal is the proverbial snowball's chance in hell.

And now we have Carly liar pants on fire.

Quote
Carly Fiorina has a big problem with the truth. More specifically, she has a problem with embellishing the truth, in a manner very reminiscent of disgraced NBC anchor Brian Williams.

On Friday, conservative radio host Sean Hannity asked Fiorina to explain stories that Hewlett-Packard violated in the Iran embargo, by selling millions of dollars of computers, parts and equipment through a Dubai-based company, while she was CEO.

"The SEC did a thorough investigation and concluded that no one in management, myself included, knew anything about it," Fiorina told Hannity.

She repeated the line, nearly verbatim, to FOX News Sunday host Chris Wallace, this weekend.

"In fact, the SEC investigation proved that neither I nor anyone else in management knew about it," she told Wallace.

Yes, except the SEC investigation didn't. In fact, the SEC didn't perform an investigation at all, especially one that cleared her of any knowledge of the affair.

What is true is that the SEC's Division of Corporate Finance inquired about HP's dealings with Iran. There was back and forth, with the SEC asking questions, and HP answering, which ended with this letter from the SEC. But, there is no record of the Enforcement Division -- the only division that performs investigations -- taking up the matter. Thus, no investigation was performed.

Huff Post

The Letter
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/22/15 06:42 PM
That, and of course, the fact that she took "liberties" with reality in her debate performance. Carly Fiorina won the GOP debate, but fact checkers will have a field day. In fact, they did! Fact-checking Carly Fiorina's debate claims.

Quote
This has become something of a habit for Fiorina, who has a notable facility for delivering answers that thrill conservatives but fall apart under close examination. In a recent interview with Katie Couric, for instance, Fiorina delivered a four-minute riff on climate change that the National Review enthused "shows how to address the left on climate change." The only problem, as David Roberts pointed out, was that every single thing she said in it was wrong.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/23/15 03:31 AM
Carson digs a hole over Muslims.... and keeps on digging! Ben Carson Can’t Change Subject After Contentious Muslim Remark

Scott Walker's exit sets off Republican feeding frenzy

How Ted Cruz Gave Away The GOP’s Muslim Strategy
Quote
the belief that Obama is a Muslim is an entrenched “fact” on the right, much like the belief that global warming is a hoax or Planned Parenthood is a for-profit company that makes its money selling fetal parts. Carson and Cruz aren’t really talking about a hypothetical Muslim president in some future world. This is all a coded way to talk about Obama.

In that light, the discussion makes more sense. When Carson says that “I would not advocate that we put a Muslim in charge of this nation,” he’s aligning himself with right wing forces that don’t accept the legitimacy of Obama’s presidency, even going so far as to float conspiracy theories that Obama faked his birth certificate to conceal his Kenyan origins.

When Cruz replies by saying, “there shall be no religious test for holding public office” but “what are the consequences been in the last six and a half years of the Obama presidency?” he’s rejecting the birther part of the conspiracy theory, but still arguing that Obama is launching “an assault on Christians.”
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/23/15 12:38 PM
National Review???? ..... i was effectively banned from site for providing facts .... yes those onerous facts .... and a different perspective .... talk about sheeple .... but i digress

the folks at NR have been told AGW is a hoax and therefore it is reality ..... so when Fiorina says etc etc it is not a lie unless we compare to the actually facts

remember, at this time she is only trying to become the REPUBLICAN nominee, thus she will say what is necessary to endear herself to them and win the primary .... me conservative .... everyone else liberal ...ugh


Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/23/15 01:24 PM
Marcotte has herself been seduced by conspiracy. Conservatives are not smart enough to implement a plan to entrap anyone. When they talk about Muslims and political office it is what they believe. It is not a part of some intricate plan. These folks are for the most part very simple in what they believe

It is however an interesting take that this is a larger euphemism directed against Pres Obama. I did not get that from the current discussion because I never thought Pres Obama was a Muslims and would therefore not be included in the discussion but from Sen Cruz' remarks , he makes it clear the president should have been included. But again, it is not some conspiracy. This is what these folks believe and once the seeds of duplicity have been planted, it can not be eradicated from their minds.

Yesterday I happened to catch a couple of Dr Carson supporters convey the meaning of his remarks. Someone in Dr Carson's campaign responded and it was clear he was a Muslim bigot. The other was a conservative operative who managed to change the facts and thus responded to a straw argument.

His contention is no Muslim can be president since they would not support the Constitution first. Suppose that should be the test for office. If so then at least half of the current crop of republican candidates should not be running as they profess their allegiance to a higher authority than the Constitution. Why, even Dr Carson is one of those people.

Dr Carson is I believe one of those typical conservatives who use the "right" words to rationalize to themselves they believe in the Constitution but it is a sham. He has Muslim associates; he tolerates them but they can not run for office. He justifies his position by pointing to his irrational fears.

He represents the most insidious aspect of religion. The belief only he is right.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/23/15 03:52 PM
What kills me is that these GOP candidates think they are being subtle.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/23/15 04:05 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
What kills me is that these GOP candidates think they are being subtle.

As subtle as an elephant in heat.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/23/15 05:59 PM
Jeb! Is sounding like the least dangerous Republican candidate.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/23/15 06:10 PM
But...

Originally Posted by CNN
Jeb Bush argued Tuesday that the United States is "creeping toward multiculturalism" and described it as "the wrong approach."

His answer came in response to a question at an Iowa diner Tuesday from a woman who wanted to know how the former Florida governor would help refugees and immigrants integrate into U.S. society and "empower them to become Americans."

"We should not have a multicultural society," the Republican presidential candidate responded.

But Bush, who's a self-admitted policy wonk and tends to use nuanced language, was referring to "multicultural" in the literal sense -- a social model in which cultures live in "isolated pockets," as he described them, rather than assimilating into society.

He'd better learn what multicultural means - this sounds either xenophobic or just plain dumb.
Multicultural DOES NOT mean that every group lives in its own "isolated pocket". It DOES MEAN accepting and integrating other cultural values into the heterogeneous mix of what is called "American" culture. (Some would argue that that is an oxymoron.)
It also means tolerance and inclusion.

CNN
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/23/15 09:41 PM
"Least dangerous" does not mean "not dangerous."
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/24/15 02:11 PM
he failed the purity test
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/24/15 06:10 PM
Originally Posted by rporter314
he failed the purity test

and the IQ test LOL
Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/25/15 01:00 AM
Quote
Rporter said:
His contention is no Muslim can be president since they would not support the Constitution first. Suppose that should be the test for office. If so then at least half of the current crop of republican candidates should not be running as they profess their allegiance to a higher authority than the Constitution. Why, even Dr Carson is one of those people.

Yep. Dr. Carson and Kim Davis disqualify themselves from public office and public service.

And how about those people who pledge to and worship Grover Norquist? Disqualified, according to Dr. Carson.

Wow. That would knock out a lot of GOP office holders.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/25/15 10:46 AM
Christian Law, or U.S. Law? The founders were clear on this... even though you can't find it anywhere in the Constitution, bastardized quotes taken out of context by some of the signers who you have never heard of provide irrefutable proof that the Constitution is based upon the Ten Commandments given to Moses on some stone tablets found beneath a Burning Bush (is that why the Bush family is so popular?). Some say there were fifteen Commandments, but Moses was unable to carry three heavy stone tablets and dropped one, shattering it into uselessness (God should have invented paper sooner, though it likely would have fared poorly under a burning bush, now that I think of it - there's that infinite wisdom again...).

Anyway, only a moron would not recognize that U.S. Law is derived directly and sanctimoniously, from the Bible.

Does anyone remember which page the "no Gods before me" clause is on? The sticky note seems to have fallen out of my Constitution...

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/25/15 04:31 PM
Who's paid for your candidate? Super PACs, attack ads and million-dollar donors

LA Times .
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/25/15 05:33 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Who's paid for your candidate? Super PACs, attack ads and million-dollar donors

LA Times .

Very enlightening...
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/26/15 03:51 PM
It amazes me that the people who want to wrap themselves in the Constitution to justify their abhorrent behavior and claims know the least about it.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/27/15 04:12 AM
They cherry pick it just like they do the Bible.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/27/15 09:34 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
It amazes me that the people who want to wrap themselves in the Constitution to justify their abhorrent behavior and claims know the least about it.

They've pretty much never learned reading comprehension.
I guess kindergarten was too subversive for them.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/28/15 03:59 PM
A worthy read: Sanders and Trump Offer Two Roads Out of Establishment Politics—Which Will We Follow?

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/28/15 04:19 PM
The "working class" in America includes both the "working poor" and the "middle class". In other words, 90% of the American populace. Workers in the US have been screwed forever, but particularly since 1980. It has been a focused disadvantage since Ronald Reagan, but both parties have participated in deregulation and trade policies that favored big business, and tax policies that favor the "investment class" - those with significant enough assets to earn substantial portions of their income from investments. (Full disclosure, I am one of them.)

The "playing field" tilted decidedly with "trickle down" economics and the deliberate devaluation of labor, including open hostility toward unions and social safety-net programs. Voters have been sold a false bill of goods, and, sadly, bought into it big time. Derisive terminology and divisive politics have become the rule.

But here's the reality: we have lots in common. Black lives do matter, and most people recognize injustice when they see it. Immigrants want what we all want, and are willing to start from the bottom to get there (as long as they can start). We all want as much freedom as we can get within safe borders and with security if we stumble. (It's easier to strive if there is a net to catch you - even Donald Trump has relied on the safety net to make it.) Everyone wants to get ahead and wants a fair shot at getting there.

That is where the focus should be this election year (and every election year). That is what made America great, and what will allow us to lead in the future. What we need is leaders who recognize that.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/28/15 11:27 PM
Originally Posted by Richard Gavle
Look its pretty damn simple,

If we do not allow the 1% to pay nothing back, they will not be eager to alter laws so that the medium size business owner can have a second vacation house or another 60ft sport fisher. And everyone knows if both of these groups are not kept happy they will close up shop and none of us will get to continue to earn comparatively less than half of what we did 20-30 yrs ago...

Remember that, and be grateful they have not yet cut you down to minimum wage and made it a jailable offense to work less than 60 hrs a week!
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/29/15 01:28 PM
Carly Fiorina defends waterboarding

Here we go again.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/29/15 02:40 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
If you superimpose Dick Cheney's face over Fiorina's, it's almost an exact match. Hmm
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/29/15 03:11 PM
Predictions:* the GOP field is not likely to be winnowed much further until February (excepting maybe Jindal and Gilmore). After the three earliest States there will be a large exodus. Santorum, Pataki, Carson, Fiorina, and maybe even Christie, will drop out. Huckabee and Paul will be clinging to life with a hope for a "southern strategy" and unique constituencies. Theirs are "issues" candidacies, not real contenders (as is Graham's).

On the Dem side, Murray and Chafee will bow out. Sanders will have done well enough in New Hampshire and Iowa to keep it a race and continue to push Clinton to the left. Clinton will find that to not be such an uncomfortable place to be, as she has been shoring up her bona fides on that side consistently already (Keystone, immigration, etc.).

By mid-March, Clinton will have cleared the field, begun to pivot to the General election, and be gearing up for the Convention and establishing the juggernaut of a campaign. The GOP field will still be in flux. Trump may bow out by April, or may take his marbles to an Independent run. Rubio and Bush will be slugging it out for the establishment mantle, with Kasich clinging to relevance. Huckabee may finally run out of money and give inb with a sanctimonious speech about the importance of "values". Cruz will be riding the "outsider" money train and continue being the obnoxious a-h he always is (all the way to the Convention) where he will be a disruptive, destructive force hampering his party's chances in November.

* Bookmark this so you can laugh at me come May.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/29/15 04:06 PM
Dutifully bookmarked wink
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/29/15 09:51 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer

I suggest that we waterboard both Dick Cheney and Carly Fiorina. Just as a matter of principle.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/29/15 09:57 PM
Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul Reportedly Preparing To Exit Presidential Race

Quote
Many within the GOP establishment — including Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal and Kentucky Senator Rand Paul — are finally waking up to an inconvenient truth. Namely, this election cycle is a season for outsiders. As Donald Trump, Carly Fiorina, and Ben Carson surge in the polls, certain candidates who enjoyed mass quantities of encouragement and support from the Republican old guard are falling by the wayside with increasing speed, like Texas Governor Rick Perry, who many Republicans viewed as a shoo-in for the nomination and who suspended his campaign two weeks ago. Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, a favorite among social conservatives, followed suit a short time later, calling on his fellow republicans to band together and take frontrunner Donald Trump out of contention for the good of the party.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/15 12:12 AM
[Linked Image from commonsenseevaluation.com]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/15 12:21 AM
My bet is Jindal is next on the chopping block.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/15 12:23 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer

She reminds me of a rabid mongrel mad
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/15 10:40 AM
[Linked Image from wordsmith.org]
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/15 04:44 PM
I think many forget we rode this train last cycle. Outsiders zoomed to the front early, flashed, then burnt out. People love a challenger until the campaign gets down to brass tacks, then they go all "establishmenty." That is why Clinton and Bush (and Romney and McCain in previous cycles) have the advantage. Obama was the exception that proved the rule, and mostly because of his exceptional organizing prowess. This year is different because of the money, so Cruz and Huckabee, Trump and Fiorina, maybe even Paul, can stick around longer, but they won't gain traction. They will peak around 20-25% - enough to disrupt the race, but not to win it.

I'm betting on a Jindal announcement soon.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/15 05:15 PM
The next big Republican scandal is going to explode today.
Kevin McCarthy, the heir apparent to Speaker of the House, admitted that the entire Benghazi scandal is nothing but a taxpayer funded hit job on Hillary.



I don't think it occurs to the man that if you essentially admit that your entire party just put up the Benghazi scandal as a taxpayer subsidized witch hunt, you've discredited your entire party.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/15 09:39 PM
Poll: Donald Trump still on top as outsiders Fiorina, Carson rise

Quote
WASHINGTON — Billionaire businessman Donald Trump has strengthened his lead at the top of the USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll while two other outsider candidates, Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina, have gained ground over rivals with electoral experience.

Jeb Bush, who two months ago was second to Trump in the USA TODAY survey, has tumbled to single digits and fifth place. The third-place finisher last time, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, suspended his campaign entirely this month.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/01/15 07:31 PM
On another thread we have a great discussion going about the meaning of John Boehner's resignation, and I almost posted this there, but I think it is important for this broader discussion. Meet the Four Kinds of GOP Voters. The premise of the article, in trying to understand the polling strength of various candidates, is that the Republican electorate is not homogeneous, but made up of discernible types:
Quote
I see clearly four different types of GOP primary voters and caucus-goers. Not all of them, of course, are conservatives or even Republicans, since independents and even Democrats can vote in some of the early GOP primaries. Figuring out who these voters are and what they’re looking for is critical to each of the remaining candidates—because they’re not all equally up for grabs.

The GOP’s “True Believers” - what we used to call "died in the wool" - "aren’t for turning or wooing, at least not easily." They are the fervent acolytes for particular candidates, and won't change until their candidate is gone - if even then.

"The second category of GOP voters is the “Buckley Voters,” so called because they tend to follow the “Buckley Rule” and support the most conservative candidate they see as plausibly winning the presidency in the fall of next year." We see a lot of this in polls asking who is "most electable." "Buckley Voters are real deal small government, big defense, pro-life and pro-religious freedom conservatives, but they insist on being able to reach 270 electoral votes. They want, more than anything, another Reagan." [oh, GOD no!]

"That third category of voters are what I call 'center-right governing conservatives.'" These are the "old line" conservatives who are actually interested in passing legislation, and effective government. They, unfortunately, are the least "passionate" of Republican supporters, perhaps the "silent majority" - but not the influential majority.

Finally, there are the “Uniques.” "They are in this election to support a candidate for a unique reason or because of that candidate’s specific platform." Think of Graham (who also appeals to the "governing conservatives" bloc), and Rand Paul's libertarian-Republicans. They tend to be "single issue" voters, so it is hard for them to trust other candidates that don't focus on that issue.

In approaching this analysis, it is important to remember this is coming from a Republican advocate, not some left-wing critic. There are parallels on the left as well. I know that I am in the "governing Democrat" mold, even if not technically a Democrat. I am most interested in good policy.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/01/15 11:16 PM
Another great find, NWP!
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/02/15 05:16 AM
Jon Stewart is sometimes more respected as a serious journalist than people who do TV journalism for a living on American TV and cable news.
Maybe it's time we started giving a little grudging respect to CRACKED for the print version?

#5. He Blames A Specific Group Of Immigrants For All Our Problems (And Promises To Eliminate Them From Our Society)
#4. He'll Sell His Hate As Hope For The Poorest Citizens In This Country
#3. Don't Think Concentration Camps, Just Think Prisons
#2. Not Taking Him Seriously Makes Him More Dangerous
#1. He Used To Keep A Copy Of Hitler's Sequel To Mein Kampf By His Bed

5 Ways Donald Trump Perfectly Mirrors Hitler's Rise To Power
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/02/15 05:04 PM
Freud would have a field day with this one LOL

Quote
On Wednesday, Sept. 30, Republican presidential candidate Ben Carson reflected on his youth. Remembering when he and his friends would be chased by police for mischief, he said, "That was back in the day before they would shoot you."
There was laughter from the almost exclusively white crowd. Carson, perhaps sensing that he went too far, then immediately backed off of the statement and said, "I'm just kidding, you know they wouldn't do that."

The unstoppable truth...

Daily KOS
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/03/15 11:10 AM
The moron speaks...


Democrats pounce as Bush defends 'stuff happens' remarks

Quote
"We're in a difficult time in our country and I don't think more government is necessarily the answer to this. I think we need to reconnect ourselves with everybody else. It's very sad to see. I resist the notion," Bush said at a campaign stop in South Carolina. "I had this challenge as governor, 'cause we had, look, stuff happens, there's always a crisis. And the impulse is always to do something and it's not necessarily the right thing to do."

Emphasis is mine.

CNN


Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/03/15 03:19 PM

Rand Paul’s long, hard week of explaining why his campaign isn’t over

Quote
If Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) has his way, this will be the last week for a while when he can say he's still running for president and see that statement reported as news. On Monday, he was fending off a quote from anonymous "GOP strategist" who said he might drop out soon; on Tuesday, it was Donald Trump, a preternaturally talented taunter, who said Paul might quit. Thursday's announcement of a wan $2.5 million fundraising haul started a new round of pundit speculation, asking when Paul might just hang it up and run for re-election to his Senate seat.
It doesn't say much for the vigor of a campaign when a candidate has to insist he hasn't quit.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/03/15 03:26 PM
Poll: In Bobby Jindal vs. Hillary Clinton, Louisiana voters say they want the Democrat

and what does it say when the incumbent Governor would lose his own Republican State to an unpopular Democrat?
Quote
Louisiana has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1996, but the latest poll from The Advocate/WWL-TV found Jindal also is viewed less favorably than President Barack Obama among Louisiana voters.

The poll, conducted by Ron Faucheux of the Clarus Research Group on behalf of the news organizations, found Jindal’s favorability at just 34 percent in Louisiana as he campaigns for president. About 62 percent of voters said they now view Jindal unfavorably. Three percent were unsure.

Obama, meanwhile, polled at 40 percent favorable to 59 percent unfavorable. Just 1 percent of the Louisiana voters surveyed had no opinion on the sitting U.S. president.

Oh no! He's doomed:  Bobby Jindal camp denies they’ve lost ‘Duck Dynasty’ endorsement

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/03/15 03:35 PM
Meanwhile: Campaigns start too early? Well, not Jim Gilmore’s.

Quote
Jim Gilmore is running for president.

He’s just not campaigning for president. That’s what sets him apart.

In fact, since Gilmore — a former governor of Virginia — officially got into the presidential race on July 30, he has not held a single formal campaign event with actual voters present.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/03/15 10:47 PM
I think that a lot of candidates are forced to start early in order to garner the funds they need to run a campaign.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/15 10:44 PM
Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?

Quote
The “narrative” coming out of CNN’s Republican debate last week has been that Carly Fiorina notched another victory, in part by crushing Donald Trump. Here at FiveThirtyEight, we take a lot of shots at political media narratives, so it seems only fair to point out that, in this case, the narrative is right: Eight national polls of GOP voters have been conducted related to the Republican race for president since the debate, and they show a couple of clear winners and losers — Fiorina won; Trump lost.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/15 11:17 PM
The Donald is a dead duck...
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/15 11:23 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
The Donald is a dead duck...

Yes, and they are replacing this nut for one of the assortment in the Clown Bus.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/15 09:53 AM
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
The Donald is a dead duck...

Yes, and they are replacing this nut for one of the assortment in the Clown Bus.

Yeah, a regular trail mix. wink
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/15 11:43 AM
Campaign trail mix.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/06/15 09:56 PM
Looks like Democrat supporters are more intelligent that Republican supporters, if grammatical skills are any indication.

Grammar study

Chaffee, Sanders, and O'Malley supporters lead the pack, Trumpites are at the tail...
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/06/15 10:59 PM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Looks like Democrat supporters are more intelligent that Republican supporters, if grammatical skills are any indication.

Grammar study

Chaffee, Sanders, and O'Malley supporters lead the pack, Trumpites are at the tail...

Probably why the Republicans are not that upset at losing education funding.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/07/15 12:11 AM
Aww who needs ducashion, shucks crazy
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/07/15 01:11 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Aww who needs ducashion, shucks crazy

LOL
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/08/15 01:29 PM
Ben Carson does not understand what the debt ceiling is:

Ben Carson on the debt ceiling
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/08/15 01:53 PM
dunce Fake medical school diploma: $1000. Ben Carson, priceless...
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/08/15 05:33 PM
I have actually been impressed with the lack of acumen of the GOP field - economics, foreign policy, domestic issues, all seem to be beyond them. They don't, collectively, understand any issue of substance. It's really quite amazing.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/08/15 05:48 PM
This guy is a neurosurgeon, for God's sake. Is he some kind of medical idiot savant? Or maybe just not interested in politics?

I heard him on MarketWatch and his interview answers were pitiful.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/08/15 05:58 PM
Quote
his interview answers were pitiful.
Exactly what Republicans want in a President.

But seriously, is this truly the best that Republicans have to offer the nation?
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/08/15 09:48 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
This guy is a neurosurgeon, for God's sake. Is he some kind of medical idiot savant? Or maybe just not interested in politics?

I heard him on MarketWatch and his interview answers were pitiful.

Maybe he gave himself a lobotomy upon retirement.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/10/15 11:37 PM
Clinton investigation is a partisan attack and it's not just Kevin McCarthy who thinks so.

Will the Bengazzie Boogie and Emailgate become assets against the Republicans in Hillary's campaign for President?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/15 12:55 AM
That's all they have ever been. Note the timing of the committee's press releases and plan for release of its report.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/15 01:33 AM
Quote
Will the Bengazzie Boogie and Emailgate become assets against the Republicans in Hillary's campaign for President?

It wouldn't be the first time Republicans have had half baked politicized schemes blow up in their faces.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/15 10:29 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
Will the Bengazzie Boogie and Emailgate become assets against the Republicans in Hillary's campaign for President?

It wouldn't be the first time Republicans have had half baked politicized schemes blow up in their faces.

And it probably won't be the last.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/15 10:34 PM
Heads up guys. News flash:
Charles Koch - yeah that Koch - said in an interview on CBS:
"I'm a liberal "
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/15 10:55 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Heads up guys. News flash:
Charles Koch - yeah that Koch - said in an interview on CBS:
"I'm a liberal "

Bwahahahaha!
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/15 12:44 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Heads up guys. News flash:
Charles Koch - yeah that Koch - said in an interview on CBS:
"I'm a liberal "
If Issodhos were here he would agree - a Classical Liberal, as defined by Ludwig Von Mises, with absolutely no relevance to the meaning of the word today.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/15 06:04 AM
This prediction surprised me: Which Republican presidential candidate will drop out next? Maybe these two.

Quote
Sox who’s next? While it’s impossible to predict, based on previous research by me and several colleagues, I think Govs. Chris Christie and John Kasich are in danger of dropping out. Here’s why.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/15 09:39 AM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Heads up guys. News flash:
Charles Koch - yeah that Koch - said in an interview on CBS:
"I'm a liberal "
If Issodhos were here he would agree - a Classical Liberal, as defined by Ludwig Von Mises, with absolutely no relevance to the meaning of the word today.

What ever happened to Issy?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/15 04:16 PM
How Bernie Sanders turned himself into a serious presidential contender

Quote
Ahead of the showdown in Las Vegas, Sanders spent the weekend making the case he's not out of the mainstream, repeatedly arguing that it's "not a radical idea" to think someone should be paid a livable wage or that students should not go into a lifetime of debt. "I don't think this is a leftist, extremist position," he said at a Saturday rally in Boulder, Colorado, referring to a $15 minimum wage.

I think the reality is that more Americans support his ideas than what any of the other candidates are pedaling. The problem is with labels. Labeling is killing him, and will put a ceiling on his chances. But, I believe his ideas will take hold and inform the election. My wife and son are already ardent supporters.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/15 05:09 PM
Let's call a spade a spade here NWP. His "labeling problem" is of his own making. He has labeled himself a Socialist and in this day and age it is anathema to any chance he has of election.
Republicans and Democrats alike should and do fear Socialism. Particularly that of the Marxist/Leninist variety where government controls the means of production which is ostensibly "owned" by the workers.
It is seen by economic theorists, such as Marx, as a cure for the ravages of unregulated Capitalism. We're seeing some of these problems today as the United States enters a new "Gilded Age" where the wealthy control more and more of the finite assets available to the population at large and use this wealth to obtain more and more of these assets until there is not enough left for the lower classes to survive.

From the article linked to your post:
Quote
Bernie Sanders faces the biggest test of his decades-long career this week.
The committed Democratic socialist and sometimes self-styled radical has consistently argued that his brand of populist politics can win elections.

Bernie Sanders is not a Democratic Socialist.
He is a proponent of Social Democracy. There is a huge difference.

From Wikipedia:
Quote
Democratic socialism is a political ideology advocating a democratic political system alongside a socialist economic system, involving a combination of political democracy with social ownership of the means of production. Sometimes used synonymously with "socialism", the adjective "democratic" is added to distinguish itself from the Marxist–Leninist brand of socialism

Also from Wikipedia:
Quote
Social Democracy is a political ideology that supports economic and social interventions to promote social justice within the framework of a capitalist economy, and a policy regime involving welfare state provisions, collective bargaining arrangements, regulation of the economy in the general interest, redistribution of income and wealth, and a commitment to representative democracy. Social democracy aims to create the conditions for capitalism to lead to greater egalitarian, democratic and solidaristic outcomes. "Social democracy" is often used in this manner to refer to the social policies prominent in Western and Northern Europe - particularly in reference to the Nordic countries - during the latter half of the 20th century. Alternatively, social democracy is defined as a political ideology that advocates a peaceful, evolutionary transition of society from capitalism to socialism using established political processes.

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/15 05:34 PM
I think Sanders used it in the Northern European sense, and, really, we are all Social Democrats in that sense. But you are right that that is the self-imposed label that dooms him. He is trying, however, to get that meaning adopted by the mainstream to take away its sting. Ours is a Social Democratic Republic (and Representative Democracy), but most people don't recognize it for what it is.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/13/15 12:36 AM
I was hoping that Campaign 2016 would get its own Forum header INDEPENDENT of Campaign 2012 and not just a thread.
Maybe later.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/13/15 03:02 AM
I think you're right, Jeffery. We have over 20 candidates to keep track of and only the single thread to do it in. It's going to get pretty jumbled over the next year. For instance, Trump's Trumpet belongs under the Campaign 2016 header. Phil was our last official administrator and that duty should have fallen to him but since he is MIA and SkyHawk has not been heard from here or anywhere else for a very long time I suspect he has retired from his position as Chief Engineer of Administrative duties. He was the one who actually knew how to twiddle the knobs and tweak the settings. I honestly don't recall whether lowly moderators are given the power to add forums.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/13/15 07:18 AM
I agree with a forum rather than just a thread, but don't know how/if I can do it. Inquiring.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/13/15 05:32 PM
I have a PM to Doug to make this an independent forum.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/15 02:54 AM
Been watching the Democratic debate. It is remarkable how much more intelligent these folks are that the Republicans.

I am not a Clinton fan, but she is acquitting herself very well - I was afraid she would suck.

Still like Bernie the best.

I don't care much for Webb.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/15 05:23 AM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Been watching the Democratic debate. It is remarkable how much more intelligent these folks are that the Republicans.

Anderson Cooper: Hillz, how can you be president of America if you can't be president of EMAILS?


Hillary: Here are my emails, which were legal. Read them. READ THEM! And oh, also, ANDERSON, did you watch the news last week about how the whole "email" thing was just a big Republican bullshiit scam to tank my presidency? AND LOOK WHO'S STILL HERE, BITCHEZZZZZ.

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/15 05:25 AM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Been watching the Democratic debate. It is remarkable how much more intelligent these folks are that the Republicans.

Lincoln Chafee asked Anderson not to be so rough with him.


(BET ALL THE BOYS SAY THAT TO COOP LOL #GAYJOKE)

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/15 05:29 AM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Been watching the Democratic debate. It is remarkable how much more intelligent these folks are that the Republicans. .

Coop: How will you be different from Obama?


CHAFEE: Wars, wars, all the wars. I am sad about the wars. frown


O'MALLEY: I would be a real Democrat unlike that impostor, or something.


CLINTON: Boys have a penis and girls have a vagina.


SANDERS: All the socialist words you know and love.


WEBB: I'm a boring Marine. Argle, bargle, I'm really a Republican on most issues.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/15 11:39 AM
To be sexist, but pragmatic, Clinton finally got a hairstyle that works.

Now that I think of it, so did Sanders...
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/15 06:29 PM
I didn't feel any need to watch the debate. Chaffee and Webb are less than window dressing,

This is all you really need to know at this point...

Clinton 48.3% Leads the polls by 18.2%

Sanders 25.1%

Biden(who isn't running) 17.4%

Webb .9%

O'Malley .4%

Chaffee .3%

Real Clear Politics

Webb appeals to the Very Conservative Democrats who simply can't stomach the GOP and a few veterans. O'Malley and Chaffee, whatever their stances on the issues, essentially appeal to no one.

Joe Biden is a good man, but as Vice President he cannot break with President Obama's policies during the campaign. His two terms as Vice President were the pinnacle of a long and illustrious career. At 72 he should retire and enjoy the rest of his life, doing speaking engagements, fundraising, and driving his Corvette whenever and wherever he wants. He has seen enough misery in his life and does not need the added weight of the Presidency to drag him down from what should be a long and pleasant retirement.

There is a bit of a horse race forming up between Clinton and Sanders but over the course of the next year Bernie's "small donor only" funding is liable to prove insufficient as the primaries begin in earnest and demands for staff salaries, travel, and radio and television air time add up.
We may see Sanders narrow the gap but most of the 17% currently allocated to Biden in the polls will swing more heavily towards Clinton once it becomes clear that Vice President Biden is not going to run.

Right now Clinton, in my estimation, stands at about a 60% chance of winning the nomination compared to 40% for Bernie. I expect these numbers to hold true throughout the campaign.

I would also note here that should Clinton win the nomination and select Sanders as her running mate the Democratic Party might see an amazing turnout come November 2016. The Clinton's are masters at political triangulation and I'd be willing to bet that Bubba and Hilly have at least discussed this privately.




Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/15 07:00 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
...The Clinton's are masters at political triangulation and I'd be willing to bet that Bubba and Hilly have at least discussed this privately.
I bet they didn't use email to do it, either.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/15 07:39 PM
My son suggested the same idea(and he is not well informed on politics). I without thinking agreed but have had some time to think about it.

If the Dems went with left and lefter they would essentially limit their possible and probable voting groups to liberals only. So unless there is a huge Democratic Party turnout it sounds more like a recipe for failure than an opportunity to win the WH.

If they can find a centrist who can appeal to everyone to the right of Sec Clinton, they would be in a much better position to win. This is fairly standard general election politics and in this case it really makes sense.

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/15 08:10 PM
Here's one handicapper discussing VP choices:
Top 15 Hillary Running Mates for 2016

My prediction is for an up-and-comer, like Cory Booker, Duval Patrick, or Julian Castro. Indeed, Castro will be a star at the Convention whether or not he is the first Hispanic nominee. With him on the ticket, I see a huge turnout and a Dem blowout. Millenials, Hispanics, and liberals would love that combo, it would castrate (pun intended) Rubio or Bush's infiltration of the Hispanic population, and would install a front-runner for the 2024 race.

Clinton does not show her age as much as the men who are competing against her (and as much as the GOP youngsters hope), and the combination of a younger VP and an experienced Presidential candidate will have some of the same synergy that Obama/Biden had.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/15 08:46 PM

Las Vegas odds makers still have Hillary winning the November 2016 general election and Jeb Bush as the Republican POTUS nominee.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/15 11:59 PM
Shouldn't this be filed under Campaign 2016?
This is why we need Campaign 2016 to be its own forum header, not just a discussion thread.

But anyway, did anyone else notice that ALL the polls had Bernie as the winner while all the cable news anchors said Hillary won?
I'd like to take real ACTUAL anchors, tie them around their necks and drop them in the Pacific where they could actually do the job an anchor is supposed to do.

Reading CNN's OFFICIAL poll which had Bernie as the winner at EIGHTY PERCENT and then hearing the talking heads oozing and suppurating for Hillary reminded me of when the Carter administration sent emergency supplies of wheat to the Soviet Union because they were experiencing crop failures.
Meanwhile the nightly "Vremya" newscast had the anchors chortling about their magnificent bumper crops and "great benefit to Soviet people from collectives."

[Linked Image from scontent-lax3-1.xx.fbcdn.net]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/15/15 01:45 AM

Fact checkers have trouble finding misstated "facts" during first Dem debate - conservatives shake their tiny fists in fury and scream: Liberal media bias

Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/15/15 01:57 AM
Quote
If the Dems went with left and lefter they would essentially limit their possible and probable voting groups to liberals only.
Whoa there cowboy! Madame Clinton is a moderate.
She aint no lefty at all. Bernie Sanders' considerable success running further left than The Green Party is proving that there are a lot of Democratic voters who find Clinton far too conservative for their tastes.
I'll admit that she's way left of any of the Republican candidates but that puts her pretty much dead center on the right/left scale.
Clinton will not pull a single vote from anyone registered as a Republican. Moderate Democrats will all dutifully vote for her just as they will for Bernie Sanders if he should win the nomination. My thought is just that a lot of Progressives might stay home next November if Bernie is no longer in the picture.
I don't think it will matter one whit though. Whoever she chooses, she will still win the General Election against any of the Republican Insane Clown Posse. But if she wants to pull in the lefties and Millenials in droves Bernies as a running mate would do it. Julian Castro is a nice choice too but, I think she's already got the Hispanic vote locked up anyway.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/15/15 02:17 AM
Oh, and I mean no disrespect to the real Insane Clown Posse
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/15/15 03:34 AM
Where's God when shiit goes down?
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/15/15 04:19 AM
Here's something to consider...
All of you naysayers may very well be right, America may not be ready for a democratic socialist after all.
But does it really matter when the next ten years will see HALF of ALL human jobs become obsolete on a GLOBAL scale?
Moore's Law, the economies of scale, advanced robotics and artificial intelligence are all going to converge and make half the global workforce irrelevant in the next decade.
COUNT ON IT.

Someone please tell me how a fully unregulated, darwinist/dickensian capitalist system is going to be relevant in an environment like that?
Fish can argue all day long about why water is important and essential but if the pond dries up and they haven't adapted like this critter, they're gonna die.

Walking Catfish
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/15/15 04:22 AM
So my suggestion to all who are certain that democratic socialism cannot possibly work in America is, tell us all how you intend to fix capitalism then, fix it to account for an age in which employment and paychecks from the private sector are not always a reality for half the global workforce.

That is some pretty significant demand destruction and it doesn't stop there.
In TWENTY YEARS almost NINETY percent of all human labor will cease to exist.
But by then we most certainly will have made the adjustments to the economy or the adjustments will be made for us whether we like it or not.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/15/15 05:01 AM
Jeb Bush Has A Plan To Replace Obamacare; Here's What's In It

A velvet-covered sledgehammer. And this is what passes for "policy" amongst Republicans. What a joke. A sad, sick joke.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/15/15 12:36 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
So my suggestion to all who are certain that democratic socialism cannot possibly work in America is, tell us all how you intend to fix capitalism then, fix it to account for an age in which employment and paychecks from the private sector are not always a reality for half the global workforce.

Jeff, I think America might be ready for "democratic socialism" but not for a jewish 74 year old lefty from Brooklyn (the accent brings back such memories, as I was born in Brooklyn). I know that Obama's election may have done a little to change that, but it is much easier to vote for a half-black christian with a Harvard tie.
Another point that may be relevant is:
I don't think "democratic socialism" solves the problems you and I both think need to be solved. It does little or nothing to change capitalism, and therein lies the rub. The capitalist economic system is based on the exploitation of the working (or middle) class. Yes, the proletariat has changed a lot since Marx's day, but the system he sought to replace has only gotten worse.
I don't think the European examples are a good comparison. The U.S. is far too controlled by right wing forces and the republican (as opposed to parliamentary) system is made for gridlock, as we can see.
Change in North America will have to be a lot deeper and rely on much better education than what currently exists.
Electing a progressive President, while better than letting the Tea Party have its way, is not going to change much. It may help future generations to understand that there are REAL alternatives to the savage brand of capitalism that we live under. That would be a great accomplishment - if it were to happen.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/15/15 12:40 PM
Maybe an indicator of a trend - our local TEA Party just officially disbanded - they ran out of enthusiasm for the "cause"...
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/15/15 01:50 PM
The reality is that both Clinton and Obama are capitalist-driven democrats, and little will be accomplished along that line. Sanders cannot manage much in the way of change because a) he is too old, and b) he is too impatient. Elizabeth Warren could be a real force for change, even though she, too, is not "young" - and may yet be, if the Dems retake the Senate. She is the right kind of innovator because she understands both the power and corruption of capitalism. I thought that Obama was going to be that kind of an agent for change, and the ACA is a good example of how it can be done - work within the system to show the benefits of a change in paradigm. His education initiative is also working to affect that - as the discussion has already turned on how far to go rather than should education be cheaper? A similar debate is occurring over the minimum wage. In Tacoma the debate is whether to go to $12 in 2 years, or $15 in one. But no one is really arguing against raising the minimum wage (on the local level - in Congress it is quite different, where the Chamber of Commerce is in charge).

That is one of the things that too many people miss about how Obama has managed change in his administration. People now take health care as a given, and now we are just dickering over the price. The same with sexual orientation and same sex marriage. Education is the the next big hurdle. Imagine how much the real-world economy will improve with those three issues resolved: education will be less of a drag on incomes, more multi-income families will be created, and fewer medically-induced bankruptcies will take place.

The TEA-infused Republican party is fighting a rear-guard action and are losing miserably. The population has abandoned them nearly entirely, but we'll just have to see if the electorate has too. It will take both of those to change the political system which is far, far more conservative (in every sense of the word) than either. Sadly, the judiciary will be the last institution to change, as the damage to it has been even greater than to the Congress.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/15/15 03:17 PM
I think that Bernie Sanders would run into a lot of opposition from the Republicans in both houses, but not as much as President Obama has. I agree with NWP[b][/b] about Elizabeth warren. In fact, if it was a Warren/Sanders ticket, I would be on Heaven! ThumbsUp
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/15/15 09:06 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
The capitalist economic system is based on the exploitation of the working (or middle) class.

The technological forces I described above don't give a damn because they are poised to lay waste to the economic output of the middle class, thus creating the kind of demand destruction only seen in catastrophic natural disasters or nuclear winter.
The owners of capital do not seem to realize that they have unleashed the Kraken, and they might as well be running outside and yelling at a tornado.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/16/15 01:32 AM
Huckabee Suggests Poor People Should Be Sold Into Slavery For Stealing

Quote
The United States criminal justice system could be improved if we sell poor people convicted of crimes into slavery, according to Republican presidential candidate Mike Huckabee.

The former Arkansas governor weighed in on our nation’s current criminal justice system during an appearance yesterday on Mickelson in the Morning, a leading Iowa radio program.

Host Jan Mickelson began by bemoaning that the “criminal justice system has been taken over by progressives.” In order to fight back, he argued, conservatives should look to the biblical Book of Exodus. “It says, if a person steals, they have to pay it back two-fold, four-fold,” Mickelson explained. “If they don’t have anything, we’re supposed to take them down and sell them.”

Mickelson went on to argue why jails, which he claimed are a “pagan invention,” are inferior to slavery: “We indenture them and they have to spend their time not sitting on their stump in a jail cell, they’re supposed to be working off the debt.”

“Wouldn’t that be a better choice?” the host asked.

“Well, it really would be,” Huckabee replied without missing a beat. “Sometimes the best way to deal with a nonviolent criminal behavior is what you just suggested.”

Slavery? What pathetic louses these two people are. And prisons taken over by Progressives??? More like prisons for profit by corporations. rolleyes
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/16/15 02:56 AM
Jails are a Pagan invention? I wonder what sort of documentation they have to back up that claim? Everything that occurred in the Bible took place in a very small region of the Middle East. Detention facilities were probably somewhat rudimentary at that time and so crucifixion, stoning, the cutting off of hands, and selling one's daughters into slavery for canoodling behind the camel pens were far more common punishments. Roughly the same handling of ne'er do wells as is found in the Torah and the Quoran. I suspect that the jailing of prisoners became more popular when Christian kings built castles and fortresses with dungeons and such.
Is this what republicans mean when they say they want to take our country back? Back to the Dark Ages? At least we Pagans have evolved somewhat since those times. Christians seem to be unable to cope with modernity.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/16/15 12:37 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Jails are a Pagan invention? I wonder what sort of documentation they have to back up that claim? ... At least we Pagans have evolved somewhat since those times. Christians seem to be unable to cope with modernity.

Probably the same documentation they had to prove that Obama was born in Kenya and is a Muslim. Morons.
This brand of christianity has so little to do with Yeshua that it is a "sin" smile to call it christianity.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/16/15 03:54 PM
In one sense they are right, since prisons existed 2000 years before Jesus was born. "The beginning of prisons can be traced back to the rise of the state as a form of social organization. Corresponding with the advent of the state was the development of written language, which enabled the creation of formalized legal codes as official guidelines for society. The most well known of these early legal codes is the Code of Hammurabi, written in Babylon around 1750 BC. The penalties for violations of the laws in Hammurabi's Code were almost exclusively centered on the concept of lex talionis ("the law of retaliation") where people were punished as a form of vengeance, often by the victims themselves. This notion of punishment as vengeance or retaliation can also be found in many other legal codes from early civilizations, including the ancient Sumerian codes, the Indian Manama Dharma Astra, the Hermes Trismegistus of Egypt, and the Mosaic Code." So, one could also note that prisons were part of the Judeo Christian tradition.

It was actually Plato that first came up with the idea of using prisons as reformatories. But it was Christians of the 18th Century that promoted the idea of "Penitentiaries", "based on religious ideas that equated crime with sin, and saw prisons as a place to instruct prisoners in Christian morality, obedience and proper behavior. These later reformers believed that prisons could be constructed as humane institutions of moral instruction, and that prisoners' behavior could be "corrected" so that when they were released, they would be model members of society." So, in the larger sense, as with so many things espouse on the extreme right, they are diametrically wrong.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/17/15 05:34 PM
And there is no "rehabilitation" with the onset of prisons for profit. Just more corruption as with that judge who was just sentenced to 28 for abusing the system

US judge receives 28-year jail term for his role in kids-for-cash kickback

Quote
An American judge known for his harsh and autocratic courtroom manner was jailed for 28 years for conspiring with private prisons to hand young offenders maximum sentences in return for kickbacks amounting to millions of dollars.

Mark Ciavarella Jnr was ordered to pay $1.2m (£770,000) in restitution after he was found to be a “figurehead” in the conspiracy that saw thousands of children unjustly punished in the name of profit in the case that became known as “kids for cash”.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/20/15 03:55 PM
Jim Webb to drop out of Democratic presidential primary
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/20/15 04:13 PM
I never thought that Jim Webb had much of a chance at the Democratic nomination. I don't think that he'll do any better for the Independent one, either.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/20/15 04:48 PM
Can Justin Trudeau run for President? He'd not be the only Canadian in the race.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/20/15 06:06 PM
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
I never thought that Jim Webb had much of a chance at the Democratic nomination. I don't think that he'll do any better for the Independent one, either.
Some RWNs are claiming that if Webb runs as an Independent that it will split the Leftie vote. I think it's more likely that he would split the Rightie vote to some degree.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/20/15 06:51 PM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
I never thought that Jim Webb had much of a chance at the Democratic nomination. I don't think that he'll do any better for the Independent one, either.
Some RWNs are claiming that if Webb runs as an Independent that it will split the Leftie vote. I think it's more likely that he would split the Rightie vote to some degree.

I agree.I think that most Democrats will vote for either Bernie Sanders or Hillary Clinton. They will vote Blue, before voting Independent. But Jim Webb may draw the more moderate Republican vote, with all the nutjobs running for the GOP spot.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/20/15 09:53 PM
In the most recent Gallup poll American voters are 27% Republican, 27% Democrat, and 43% Independent. A record high for Independents. When asked which way they "leaned" Independents were split pretty much evenly bringing the total to 45% Republican and 44% Democratic.
That leaves 11% of the voters up for grabs. source

Even Republicans are not excited about their candidates. Once they've made a decision which one gets to run in the general election it's hard to imagine that American voters at large are going to be particularly thrilled with the idea of voting for a Trump/Carson/Bush/Cruz/Rubio.

The Democratic field is far more mainstream and is addressing the issues that, poll after poll, say Americans are more interested in than the divisive social issues predominating the Republican discussion.

If Webb has the financial backing to continue his run as an indepent it's far more likely he'd do more damage to Republicans than Democrats. I don't see him as a game changer in any event though.

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/21/15 06:53 AM
There's a conservative nut job that wrote today that Jebb Webb will now go Independent and split the Dem ticket.

I replied to said nut job that Jim Webb hardly has any Dem attention, and a Rep split is more likely if Webb goes independent.

I tell you, the right wingers are nuts and in their so-called analysis, they always get things backwards.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/21/15 06:54 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
Even Republicans are not excited about their candidates. Once they've made a decision which one gets to run in the general election it's hard to imagine that American voters at large are going to be particularly thrilled with the idea of voting for a Trump/Carson/Bush/Cruz/Rubio.

The Democratic field is far more mainstream and is addressing the issues that, poll after poll, say Americans are more interested in than the divisive social issues predominating the Republican discussion.

If Webb has the financial backing to continue his run as an indepent it's far more likely he'd do more damage to Republicans than Democrats. I don't see him as a game changer in any event though.
Well said. Thank you!! Bow
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/21/15 06:56 AM
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
I agree.I think that most Democrats will vote for either Bernie Sanders or Hillary Clinton. They will vote Blue, before voting Independent. But Jim Webb may draw the more moderate Republican vote, with all the nutjobs running for the GOP spot.
Yup, saw Gregor's post before yours. blush
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/21/15 12:39 PM
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
I agree.I think that most Democrats will vote for either Bernie Sanders or Hillary Clinton. They will vote Blue, before voting Independent. But Jim Webb may draw the more moderate Republican vote, with all the nutjobs running for the GOP spot.

Jim Webb never had the votes to take from the Dems and if he does run as an independent he'll probably do a lot worse than Nader with Dems. With the Republicans on the other hand...
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/21/15 07:39 PM

Biden decides against 2016 presidential bid

WaPo
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/22/15 06:56 PM
I am glad that Joe Biden has decided not to run. I liked him as a VP, but I still think that Bernie Sanders is a better choice-the BEST choice.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/22/15 07:20 PM
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
I am glad that Joe Biden has decided not to run. I liked him as a VP, but I still think that Bernie Sanders is a better choice-the BEST choice.

I agree, and I get the feeling that his heart was really not in it. And from the grueling strain that we know it causes on any serious candidate, your heart really has to be in it.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/22/15 08:01 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
I am glad that Joe Biden has decided not to run. I liked him as a VP, but I still think that Bernie Sanders is a better choice-the BEST choice.

I agree, and I get the feeling that his heart was really not in it. And from the grueling strain that we know it causes on any serious candidate, your heart really has to be in it.

I think that he is just to grief =-stricken over his son's death. Life has not always been kind to this man when it comes to his family. I hope that he can find some peace.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/23/15 03:32 PM
Lincoln Chafee ends Democratic bid for president
Quote
Democratic presidential hopeful Lincoln Chafee announced Friday that he is withdrawing from the race, ending a bid that had failed to gain any traction.

Chafee, a former governor and U.S. senator from Rhode Island, used an appearance in Washington at a Democratic National Committee forum on women’s leadership to make his announcement.

Chafee bowed out with a plea for “an end to the endless wars and the beginning of a new era for the United States and humanity.”

“Do we want to be remembered as a bomber of weddings and hospitals?” Chafee said. “Or do we want to be remembered as peacemakers, as pioneers of a more harmonious world?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/23/15 04:55 PM
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
I am glad that Joe Biden has decided not to run. I liked him as a VP, but I still think that Bernie Sanders is a better choice-the BEST choice.

I agree, and I get the feeling that his heart was really not in it. And from the grueling strain that we know it causes on any serious candidate, your heart really has to be in it.

I think that he is just to grief =-stricken over his son's death. Life has not always been kind to this man when it comes to his family. I hope that he can find some peace.

ThumbsUp
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/23/15 04:56 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Lincoln Chafee ends Democratic bid for president
Quote
Democratic presidential hopeful Lincoln Chafee announced Friday that he is withdrawing from the race, ending a bid that had failed to gain any traction.

Chafee, a former governor and U.S. senator from Rhode Island, used an appearance in Washington at a Democratic National Committee forum on women’s leadership to make his announcement.

Chafee bowed out with a plea for “an end to the endless wars and the beginning of a new era for the United States and humanity.”

“Do we want to be remembered as a bomber of weddings and hospitals?” Chafee said. “Or do we want to be remembered as peacemakers, as pioneers of a more harmonious world?

Did he ever have a chance?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/23/15 06:18 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
No, not really.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/23/15 06:23 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
No, not really.

Yeah, I didn't think he did. To be honest, he was so far off of my radar that I was really only reminded of him after I saw a part of the debate.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/23/15 07:15 PM
Jeb Bush campaign in reboot mode as salaries, staff cut

Portents?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/23/15 08:28 PM
One can hope grin
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/24/15 03:47 AM
Hillary did very well at the Benghazi hearings, she deserves credit for that.
If we start getting a sense of who she would pick to be in her administration, that would be a very good thing possibly.
If she picks the usual establishment people, that's a BAD thing.
In the meantime, we have a YEAR, and besides presidential politics, we need to get serious about recruiting game changers for Congress and we need to set about rooting out the cons in local government, city and state.
SEVENTY percent of city, state and local govt is now DOMINATED by the Republican Party, did you folks know that?
That means you could put Jesus Christ and Buddha on the ticket and it wouldn't even matter at the local level.
You could put the Caped Crusader and Superman in the White House and your town is still going to be fellating the same old ALEC backed Koch-suckers.
So....Hillary...okay, maybe we have to give her a chance....so....Bernie, what a wonderful miracle it would be...and then comes January 20th and you turn around and some jackleg con-tard is in your governor's mansion or sitting on your city council intoning about how we must give more tax cuts to the rich and cut services as if NOTHING CHANGED!!!
Do you folks see what I am getting at?
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/24/15 11:43 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer

He has a short time to try and at least overtake Ben Carson.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/24/15 11:46 AM
Lincoln Chafee has also dropped out of the Democratic race for President.

Linclon Chafee Drops Out Of Democratic Primary Race
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/25/15 01:32 AM
I think Marco Rubio is now the front runner for the GOP nomination, and apparently the betting markets think so too. NYT

I think Clinton's Benghazi appearance and experience (and political machine) will easily win her the Democratic nomination (sorry, Bernie). And I think Trump and Carson will flame out once voters start getting serious. Rubio has the backing of GOP establishment donors, now, as JEB!'s star is fading.

When it comes to brass tacks, though, the electorate will go with expertise over youth. Rubio is telegenic, youthful and well-spoken (he is a lawyer, after all), but he is callow, has spending skeletons in his closet, has little political experience and will have immigration issues to walk back (that his base will not like). Clinton will keep him on the defensive, and he'll never gain traction.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/25/15 12:30 PM
If Rubio does manage to beat out Trump and Carson, I agree that he will have a hard time winning or gaining anything, no matter who the Democratic nominee is.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/25/15 12:35 PM
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
If Rubio does manage to beat out Trump and Carson, I agree that he will have a hard time winning or gaining anything, no matter who the Democratic nominee is.

Agree. He's not a possibility. Just an empty suit, no substance.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/25/15 02:00 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
If Rubio does manage to beat out Trump and Carson, I agree that he will have a hard time winning or gaining anything, no matter who the Democratic nominee is.

Agree. He's not a possibility. Just an empty suit, no substance.

The only thing Rubio has going for him is that he's not quite as nutty as Trump, Carson, Cruz, Santorum or Lindsey(did I miss anyone?). And he is less callous or shallow than Fiorina or Kasich(but not by much). But Either Sanders or Clinton(or my dog Twinkie) can run circles around him and beat him three ways to Sunday in a head-to-head match up for the Presidency. Unless the Koch brothers back him and somehow cheat at the polls.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/26/15 01:22 PM
As Ben Carson slowly moves more into the spotlight, a bit more information is being highlighted. Personally, I get the sense that Carson is living in a partial fantasy world, that his strange closed eyes and slow speech are signs of metal aberration and not "thoughtfulness" (his thoughts, when he finally gets them out, are a jumble of shallow far right theories mixed with murky religiosity). And his story of having a violent temper as a teenager, attempting to stab his best friend but luckily breaking the knife on his buddy's belt buckle, then going into a fortress of solitude like state, emerging as Buddha... I suspect that is 98% boolshit.

Ben Carson
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/26/15 02:30 PM
I think you're right. Not just right wing wingnut but total certifiable whacko.
Why am I not surprised?
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/26/15 03:37 PM
Quote
And his story of having a violent temper as a teenager
do not know about that but i suspect he currently has anger problems. I have watched him in interviews and when the questions point to his gaffes his reaction is one of someone about to explode but then regains control. He obviously believes his beliefs and opinions are the only correct ones to have ... how can that be? ..... for he is the quizat haderach

for all the issues he has made extreme claims the one which gets me is his inability to understand his own position. He stated because Muslims do not believe the Constitution is the highest authority they should be disallowed from becoming president (and consequently any office which requires an oath to to uphold the Constitution to take office) and yet he believes God is the highest authority. Why doesn;t that disallow him for public office???

We have always had extremists apply for office but this election cycle says more about Americans by exposing the level of ignorance in America.



Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/26/15 06:19 PM
Carson reaches these absurd conclusions because he engages in what philosophers call "unreasoned beliefs" or "implicitly grounded" beliefs. In order to simplify his thought processes, he skips a few steps in the logical construction by "assuming" certain conditions. One of the assumptions is that "God" is an American Christian - so of course there is no conflict between the Constitution and Christianity because the Constitution is a Christian construct. It is a sloppy habit of thinking that strikes most politicians, although not just based upon Christian precepts. Most politicians believe that their thoughts are shared by their constituents, even if empirically that is demonstrably wrong. In another thread, for example, I pointed out that Ted Cruz was elected by only 625,000 voters out of 26 million - yet, he behaves as if his iconoclastic views represent not only all Texans, but all Americans. Most Americans (if polls are even slightly accurate) believe in same-sex marriage, gun control, Social Security, universal health care, and global climate change, among many other "mainstream" issues. That, however, does not influence the politicians.

Hillary Clinton, I believe, will win, because she is representing the views of most Americans in her positions. That, I think, will overwhelm the gerrymandering, the false narratives, etc. Bernie Sanders, too, is doing well because he is striking many of the same chords. Trump is doing well among the party base because he is appealing to their narratives - but those narratives only apply to about 30% of the GOP primary voting base. That is the ceiling of support that he and Carson will achieve.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/26/15 09:09 PM
Quote
to simplify his thought processes, he skips a few steps in the logical construction by "assuming" certain conditions
This is SOP for conservatives i.e. assuming the conclusions of predetermination. Suppose I told my math profs my proof of a complex theorem was just IO (intuitively obvious). What was the basis of my proof? O .... I believe it is true

When these folks are pressed they use the get out of jail free card i.e. I believe it is true ..... really!!!!! .... and that is suppose to let them off the hook

Modern conservatives have abandoned rational thought in favor of a theology of irrational memes.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/29/15 06:20 AM


Trump did well tonight, I thought. He didn't get all cray-cray. Jeb told Marco to go to work because he's missing too many Senate votes. Ted went on to be a crybaby and used up his time to rant on regarding the MSM instead of answering the question.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/29/15 02:41 PM
Didn't watch. Exceeded my tolerance level.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/29/15 04:13 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Didn't watch. Exceeded my tolerance level.

They've taught me that even clowns can be boring...
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/29/15 04:55 PM


Mike Huckabee claimed at last night's debate that he's run up against the "Clinton Machine" and is still alive to tell about. Huckster is playing on the RWing paranoia that those who cross the Clinton's some how end up dead.

...but, Mike Huckabee has never run in an election - not for president, for not governor, not for undersecretary of the PTA - against a Clinton. Never. Not once.

Huckster is your typical Rwingnut liar extraordinaire to pull something out of his piehole and say it as it were true.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/29/15 05:39 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Mike Huckabee claimed at last night's debate that he's run up against the "Clinton Machine" and is still alive to tell about. Huckster is playing on the RWing paranoia that those who cross the Clinton's some how end up dead.

...but, Mike Huckabee has never run in an election - not for president, for not governor, not for undersecretary of the PTA - against a Clinton. Never. Not once.

Huckster is your typical Rwingnut liar extraordinaire to pull something out of his piehole and say it as it were true.

Makes you wonder why he is running at all??? dunce
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/29/15 06:08 PM
I'm wondering why any of them are running. If this field is the best Republicans have to offer for the highest office in the land then the party has indeed hit rock bottom.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/29/15 06:48 PM
Quote
pull something out of his piehole and say it as it were true

I bet you edited that hole...

The Huckster has a rather unique backstory. But then again it's not like The Donald has ever run for dogcatcher either.

The unique aspect here is neither has the slightest idea of how the US government is supposed to work, or care.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/29/15 11:48 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Mike Huckabee claimed at last night's debate that he's run up against the "Clinton Machine" and is still alive to tell about. Huckster is playing on the RWing paranoia that those who cross the Clinton's some how end up dead.

...but, Mike Huckabee has never run in an election - not for president, for not governor, not for undersecretary of the PTA - against a Clinton. Never. Not once.

Huckster is your typical Rwingnut liar extraordinaire to pull something out of his piehole and say it as it were true.

Makes you wonder why he is running at all??? dunce

He's just running off his mouth.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/15 06:42 AM
[
Quote
pull something out of his piehole and say it as it were true

Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
I bet you edited that hole...
Pie was my first choice.

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/15 06:42 AM
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Mike Huckabee claimed at last night's debate that he's run up against the "Clinton Machine" and is still alive to tell about. Huckster is playing on the RWing paranoia that those who cross the Clinton's some how end up dead.

...but, Mike Huckabee has never run in an election - not for president, for not governor, not for undersecretary of the PTA - against a Clinton. Never. Not once.

Huckster is your typical Rwingnut liar extraordinaire to pull something out of his piehole and say it as it were true.

Makes you wonder why he is running at all??? dunce

He's just running off his mouth.
Yeah...no kidding. crazy
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/15 06:45 PM


Quote
"Hello?...Yeah, something came up and we can't make it." ~ Reince Preibus

RNC pulls out of Feburary 2016 NBC debate.

Here are the CNBC debate questions - what are the RNC POTUS candidate crybabies whining about?


Linky Dink

[To all candidates] So in 30 seconds, without telling us that you try too hard or that you’re a perfectionist, what is your biggest weakness and what are you doing to address it?

Mr. Trump, you’ve done very well in this campaign so far by promising to build a wall and make another country pay for it. Send 11 million people out of the country. Cut taxes $10 trillion without increasing the deficit. And make Americans better off because your greatness would replace the stupidity and incompetence of others. Let’s be honest. Is this a comic book version of a presidential campaign?

Dr. Carson, let’s talk about taxes. [Goes through Carson’s tax plan.] So what analysis got you to the point where you think this will work?

This one is for Senator Rubio. You’ve been a young man in a hurry ever since you won your first election in your 20s. You’ve had a big accomplishment in the Senate, an immigration bill providing a path to citizenship the conservatives in your party hate, and even you don’t support anymore. Now, you’re skipping more votes than any senator to run for president. Why not slow down, get a few more things done first or least finish what you start?
Governor [Bush], the fact that you’re at the fifth lectern tonight shows how far your stock has fallen in this race, despite the big investment your donors have made. You noted recently, after slashing your payroll, that you had better things to do than sit around and be demonized by other people. […] Ben Bernanke, who was appointed Fed chairman by your brother, recently wrote a book in which he said he no longer considers himself a Republican because the Republican Party has given in to know- nothingism. Is that why you’re having a difficult time in this race?

Ms. Fiorina, I — I’d like to ask you a question. You are running for president of the United States because of your record running Hewlett-Packard. [Goes through why Carly’s record at HP sucks old beaver twats.] [I]f you looked at your competitors, if you looked at the overall market. I just wonder, in terms of all of that — you know, we look back, your board fired you. I just wondered why you think we should hire you now.

Senator Cruz. Congressional Republicans, Democrats and the White House are about to strike a compromise that would raise the debt limit, prevent a government shutdown and calm financial markets that fear of — another Washington-created crisis is on the way. Does your opposition to it show that you’re not the kind of problem-solver American voters want? [This, by the way, is when Cruz sang his big solo about the lamestream media.]

Senator Paul, the budget deal crafted by Speaker Boehner and passed by the House today makes cuts in entitlement programs, Medicare and Social Security disability, which are the very programs conservatives say need cutting to shrink government and solve our country’s long-term budget deficit. Do you oppose that budget deal because it doesn’t cut those programs enough?

Governor Huckabee, who is here on the stage, has said that [Chris Christie] and others who think this way are trying to rob seniors of the benefits that they’ve earned. It raises the question: When it is acceptable to break a social compact?

Mr. Trump, let’s talk a little bit about bankruptcies. Your Atlantic City casinos filed for bankruptcy four times. [Blah blah blah.] Bankruptcy is a broken promise. Why should the voters believe the promises that you’re telling them right now?

Dr. Carson, in recent weeks, a number of pharmaceutical companies has been accused of profiteering, for dramatically raising the prices of life-saving drugs. […] Should the government be involved in controlling some of these price increases?

Governor Christie … General Motors paid more than $1 billion in fines and settlements for its ignition switch defect. One hundred and twenty- four people died as a result of these faulty switches. No one went to jail. As a former prosecutor, do you believe the people responsible for the switch and the cover-up belong behind bars?

Governor Bush, in a debate like this four years ago, every Republican running for president pledged to oppose a budget deal containing any tax increase even if it had spending cuts ten times as large. A few months later, you told Congress, put me in, coach, you said you would take that deal. Still feel that way?

Mrs. Fiorina, in 2010, while running for Senate … you called an Internet sales tax a bad idea. Traditional brick and mortar stores obviously disagree. Now that the Internet shopping playing field has matured, what would be a fair plan to even that playing field?

Senator Rubio, you yourself have said that you’ve had issues. [List of why Rubio is A Idiot who is bad with his own personal moneys.] In terms of all of that, it raises the question whether you have the maturity and wisdom to lead this $17 trillion economy. What do you say?
Governor John Kasich, you’ve called for abolishing the Export Import Bank, which provides subsidies to help American companies compete with overseas competitors. […] If subsidies are good enough for Ohio companies, why aren’t they good enough for companies trying to compete overseas?
Senator Cruz, working women in this country still earn just 77 percent of what men earn. […] I just wonder what you would do as President to try and help in this cause?

Dr. Carson, we know you as a physician, but we wanted to ask you about your involvement on some corporate boards, including Costco’s. Last year, a marketing study called the warehouse retailer the number one gay-friendly brand in America, partly because of its domestic partner benefits. Why would you serve on a company whose policies seem to run counter to your views on homosexuality?

[To Carson] This is a company called Mannatech, a maker of nutritional supplements, with which you had a 10-year relationship. They offered claims that they could cure autism, cancer, they paid $7 million to settle a deceptive marketing lawsuit in Texas, and yet your involvement continued. Why?

Senator Rubio, Wired magazine recently carried the heading, “Marco Rubio wants to be the tech industry’s savior.” [You support H1B immigration visas, your Republican friend Jeff Sessions says they are bad.] Why is he wrong?

Mr. Trump, let’s stay on this issue of immigration. You have been very critical of Mark Zuckerberg of Facebook who has wanted to increase the number of these H1Bs.

Senator Cruz … You’ve been a fierce critic of the Fed, arguing for more transparency. Where do you want to take that? Do you want to get Congress involved in monetary policy, or is it time to slap the Fed back and downsize them completely? What are your thoughts? What do you believe?

Dr. Carson, you told The Des Moines Register that you don’t like government subsidies, it interferes with the free market. But you’ve also said that you’re in favor of taking oil subsidies and putting them towards ethanol processing. Isn’t that just swapping one subsidy for another, Doctor?

Governor Huckabee, you have railed against income inequality. You’ve said that some Wall Street executives should have gone to jail over the roles that they played during the financial crisis. Apart from your tax plan, are there specific steps you would require from corporate America to try and reduce the income inequality?

Governor Bush, the tax reform bill that Ronald Reagan signed in 1986 cut the top personal income tax rate to 28 percent — just like your plan does. But President Reagan taxed capital gains at the same rate, while you would tax them at just 20 percent. … [W]hy would you tax labor at a higher rate than income from investments?

Governor Kasich, let’s talk about marijuana. We’re broadcasting from Colorado which has seen $150 million in new revenue for the state since legalizing last year. Governor Hickenlooper is not a big fan of legalization, but he’s said the people who used to be smoking it are still smoking it, they’re just now paying taxes. … [I]s this a revenue stream you’d like to have?
Mr. Trump … Marco Rubio has a bill to triple H-1Bs that would decimate women and minorities. Are you in favor of H-1Bs or are you opposed to them?
Mr. Trump, you’ve said you have a special permit to carry a gun in New York. After the Oregon mass shooting on October 1st, you said, “By the way, it was a gun-free zone. If you had a couple of teachers with guns, you would have been a hell of a lot better off.” Would you feel more comfortable if your employees brought guns to work?

Governor Huckabee, you’ve written about the huge divide in values between middle America and the big coastal cities like New York and Los Angeles. […] The leading Republican candidate, when you look at the average of national polls right now, is Donald Trump. When you look at him, do you see someone with the moral authority to unite the country?

Mrs. Fiorina, you were the CEO of a large corporation that offers a 401(k) to its employees. But more than half of American have no access to an employer sponsored retirement plan. […] Should the Federal Government play a larger role in helping to set up retirement plans for these workers?

[To Kasich] Most people can’t get a college degree without going into debt. Over 40 million Americans have student loans and many of them cannot pay them back. This country has over $100 billion in student loan defaults. […] What will you do to make sure that students, their families, taxpayers, won’t feel the economic impact of this burden for generations?

Governor Bush, daily fantasy sports has become a phenomenon in this country, will award billions of dollars in prize money this year. But to play you have to assess your odds, put money at risk, wait for an outcome that’s out of your control. Isn’t that the definition of gambling, and should the Federal Government treat it as such?

Governor Christie, you’ve said something that many in your party do not believe, which is that climate change is undeniable, that human activity contributes to it, and you said, quote: “The question is, what do we do to deal with it?”. So what do we do?

Senator Paul, among the leading conservative opponents to the creation of Medicare back in the 1960s was Ronald Reagan. He warned that it would lead to socialism. Considering the mounting cost of Medicare, was he right to oppose it?

Governor Bush, Mr. Trump says that he is capable of growing the economy so much that Social Security and Medicare don’t have to be touched. Do you want to explain how that is going to happen, Mr. Trump?

[To Carson] You’ve said that you would like to replace Medicare with a system of individual family savings accounts, so that families could cover their own expenses. Obviously, that would be a very controversial idea. Explain how that would work, exactly.




Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/15 07:46 PM
Hmmm... There were some unprofessional gratuitous snarks in there, but by-and-large those are genuine questions of legitimate interest, mostly crafted out of the candidates' own campaign trail remarks.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/31/15 06:05 AM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Hmmm... There were some unprofessional gratuitous snarks in there, but by-and-large those are genuine questions of legitimate interest, mostly crafted out of the candidates' own campaign trail remarks.
Exactly. Question #6 to Ted Cruz, was answered as a tirade against the media by Ted Cruz. Clearly, Cruz had rehearsed his speil ahead of time and then had the audacity to begin his answer when the one minute was up - at which point the mods said: Too late dumb ass, you wasted your opportunity to answer the question about debt.


( I loosely paraphrased the mod part. cool )
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/31/15 11:43 AM
It's all theater - and it's all Bullcrap - Grade A, Prime American Bullcrap, but Bullcrap nonetheless. Asking these spindle-heads questions is tantamount to asking a cripple to walk by putting one foot in front of the other.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/31/15 12:13 PM
There is a marked difference between the Republican "debates" and the Democrat "debate" (none of these things are really debates).

During the D-bate I actually learned a few things, such as rationales behind policy positions and past decisions, and was able to assess the various candidates' knowledge and experience to some degree.

The R-bates, however, are all about attacks on each other, hyperbolically denigrating the D's, or blaming the media. I have only the vaguest conception of their platforms, except their ideologic talking points. The prevalent GOP strategy is all about playing to the crazies - how telling is it when a party seeks to gain power by commandeering a majority of the votes of the most ignorant and delusional among us?
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/31/15 02:34 PM
Originally Posted by logtroll
There is a marked difference between the Republican "debates" and the Democrat "debate" (none of these things are really debates).

During the D-bate I actually learned a few things, such as rationales behind policy positions and past decisions, and was able to assess the various candidates' knowledge and experience to some degree.

The R-bates, however, are all about attacks on each other, hyperbolically denigrating the D's, or blaming the media. I have only the vaguest conception of their platforms, except their ideologic talking points. The prevalent GOP strategy is all about playing to the crazies - how telling is it when a party seeks to gain power by commandeering a majority of the votes of the most ignorant and delusional among us?

I agree! While watching the R-bates, it seemed like a reality show on Fox Network. The D-bates were more like watching a news program that was informative.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/01/15 04:02 PM


Originally Posted by logtroll
...by-and-large those are genuine questions of legitimate interest, mostly crafted out of the candidates' own campaign trail remarks.
Such mean questions! ~ Donald Trump
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/03/15 09:49 PM
Jeb Bush is desperately trying to restart his flagging campaign. I hear conflicting rumors of him dismissing his staff, yet he has revamped his slogan and now proclaims that Jeb Can Fix It! No word at all of any other candidate dropping out, even if their numbers are extremely dismal.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/04/15 04:26 PM


Quote
Jeb Bush's support among Republicans nationally has plummeted to the low single digits in the latest Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday, as the former Florida governor's campaign seeks to hit refresh with its "Jeb Can Fix It" tour.

Politico

Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/04/15 11:43 PM
This is a crazy wave in politics -- the fascists are winning elections, Carson leads Clinton in polls, it is time for the complacent to get off their butts and start voting, if nothing else.
In a way I am fortunate because I am old. But those of you 25-60 have to live with this crap for many years. Good luck.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/15 04:28 PM
Apparently Ben Carson is the only one who remembers his violent tendencies in his youth that were cured by a great effort of personal will and a miracle from God.

Brian Williams Syndrome?
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/15 04:47 PM


CNN Investigates Ben Carson’s Stories of Childhood Violence, Finds No Evidence


Now, I am not suggesting that Ben is batch!t crazy... coffee

Yes I am! smile
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/15 05:12 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Quote
Jeb Bush's support among Republicans nationally has plummeted to the low single digits in the latest Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday, as the former Florida governor's campaign seeks to hit refresh with its "Jeb Can Fix It" tour.

Politico

The only thing that Jeb has ever fixed was the Florida election where he made his brother win. rolleyes
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/15 05:18 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick

CNN Investigates Ben Carson’s Stories of Childhood Violence, Finds No Evidence


Now, I am not suggesting that Ben is batch!t crazy... coffee

Yes I am! smile

Baltimore PD also said that his story of being held up at a Popeye's Chicken restaurant doesn't check out.

Baltimore PD: Ben Carson Is A Liar, No Record of Him Being Robbed At Gunpoint In Popeyes
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/15 05:23 PM
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Quote
Jeb Bush's support among Republicans nationally has plummeted to the low single digits in the latest Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday, as the former Florida governor's campaign seeks to hit refresh with its "Jeb Can Fix It" tour.

Politico

The only thing that Jeb has ever fixed was the Florida election where he made his brother win. rolleyes
...and had Supreme help. cry

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/15 05:23 PM
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
Originally Posted by pdx rick

CNN Investigates Ben Carson’s Stories of Childhood Violence, Finds No Evidence


Now, I am not suggesting that Ben is batch!t crazy... coffee

Yes I am! smile

Baltimore PD also said that his story of being held up at a Popeye's Chicken restaurant doesn't check out.

Baltimore PD: Ben Carson Is A Liar, No Record of Him Being Robbed At Gunpoint In Popeyes
Perhaps voices told Ben that all of this was true. Hmm
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/15 07:11 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
Originally Posted by pdx rick

CNN Investigates Ben Carson’s Stories of Childhood Violence, Finds No Evidence


Now, I am not suggesting that Ben is batch!t crazy... coffee

Yes I am! smile

Baltimore PD also said that his story of being held up at a Popeye's Chicken restaurant doesn't check out.

Baltimore PD: Ben Carson Is A Liar, No Record of Him Being Robbed At Gunpoint In Popeyes
Perhaps voices told Ben that all of this was true. Hmm

Well he is claiming that the pyramids are really granaries.

Carson's theory: Egypt's pyramids stored grain
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/15 08:27 PM
I believe that the more exposure Ben Carson gets, the lower his chances become. It is funny that Trump called Bush the low energy candidate. If Bush is low energy, Carson is comatose.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/15 08:41 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I believe that the more exposure Ben Carson gets, the lower his chances become. It is funny that Trump called Bush the low energy candidate. If Bush is low energy, Carson is comatose.

LOL
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/15 11:16 PM
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Scoutgal
Originally Posted by pdx rick

CNN Investigates Ben Carson’s Stories of Childhood Violence, Finds No Evidence


Now, I am not suggesting that Ben is batch!t crazy... coffee

Yes I am! smile

Baltimore PD also said that his story of being held up at a Popeye's Chicken restaurant doesn't check out.

Baltimore PD: Ben Carson Is A Liar, No Record of Him Being Robbed At Gunpoint In Popeyes
Perhaps voices told Ben that all of this was true. Hmm

Well he is claiming that the pyramids are really granaries.

Carson's theory: Egypt's pyramids stored grain

Quote
The great Pyramids of Egypt are nothing more than grain silos. ~ Ben Carson
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/15 11:17 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I believe that the more exposure Ben Carson gets, the lower his chances become. It is funny that Trump called Bush the low energy candidate. If Bush is low energy, Carson is comatose.
Carson's calm soothing voice has a sleepy effect on me...

[Linked Image from i48.photobucket.com]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/15 11:55 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I believe that the more exposure Ben Carson gets, the lower his chances become. It is funny that Trump called Bush the low energy candidate. If Bush is low energy, Carson is comatose.
There's a theory out there that he's not really running at all.
I think the only people doing well in the polls are the ones who aren't really running.
Very interesting dunce
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/15 09:18 PM
Apparently Amazing Ben was also offered a "scholarship" to the U.S. Military Academy by none other than General Westmoreland hisself.

Ben calls the people reporting on his lies liars - in his own words...
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/15 03:57 AM
Bernie Sanders: A Swing and a Miss in the South

Dear Bernie:
For the most part, I would have to say that you knocked it out of the park tonight in South Carolina but despite your stellar performance in answering the questions and addressing the issues of the day, you struck out on the one most important issue that defines YOUR campaign.
You had a golden opportunity to address the elephant in the room, in the place where the elephant lives. I am talking about the divisive perception that too many Americans have regarding democratic socialism.
I don’t know if I should hold you responsible, or Rachel Maddow, or both of you, but the chance was there and neither of you grabbed it, and believe me, at this point in time, it needed grabbing.
You could have defined democratic socialism in such a compelling and forthright way that, after tonight, NO southerner would ever be able to use it as a radioactive tag again.

Have you been in Vermont so long that you aren’t aware of the image problem your brand of economics has? This is a serious problem and a serious question because in the South because for almost four decades, Republicans have owned the debate and you have serious work to do.
Want examples? Is that the problem? Do I have to come down there and help you?
I actually think that I could, and I don’t say that to toot my own horn but frankly I would have thought better minds than mine would have seized on it by now, but the silence is deafening.

So here goes, I will pretend that I am Bernie Sanders and I’ve just had this tossed at me:

“Mr. Sanders, we are in the Deep South, a part of the country that has, for the last forty years, positioned itself squarely against liberal economic policy. How do you, a self-described democratic socialist, think that you can square your ideas with this region, and with those in the rest of the country, who may have misconceptions about democratic socialism?
Clear the air for us on why you think it is the solution to our malaise.”

(Now here I go, remember, I am pretending to be Bernie Sanders, please be kind as this is not something I would normally believe I am qualified to do.)

“It’s very simple, Ms. Maddow.
America, particularly the South, has had a long and fruitful relationship with democratic socialism for many years. Nearly ALL of the economic policies enacted by President Franklin Delano Roosevelt were, by their nature and by their definition, democratic socialism.

When Roosevelt was inaugurated in 1932, nearly half the rural homes in the South had no running water and no electricity. Johnny Cash grew up in a home in Arkansas lit by kerosene lamps and they got their news and entertainment on a radio powered by batteries.
So did Loretta Lynn, the Coal Miner’s Daughter. The entire region lagged behind the rest of the country in terms of modernization of even the most basic necessities of civilized living.

Roosevelt's Rural Electrification Program was a part of the Works Progress Administration and the Tennessee Valley Authority was the result of a clear mandate to bring the heartland of the South into the twentieth century so that southern Americans could enjoy the fruits of modern life and modern health and efficiency.

The WPA and the TVA revolutionized industry, raised the standard of living and strengthened the South's entire economic outlook and hastened its recovery from the Great Depression.
And that is just one aspect of democratic socialism. The rest are rather obvious, public schools, the Interstate Highway System, water conservation and purification projects, Farm Bureaus, telecommunications, the NASA Space Program; all of these and more are and were part of the democratic socialist commitment to the large majority of middle class Americans, and if you grew up in the postwar years between 1947 and 1980, you benefited from the very same social and public goods that bore first fruits for both southerners and all Americans everywhere.

So in essence, democratic socialism is not by any measure, a foreign or dangerous economic policy, quite the contrary, democratic socialism corrected the greatest economic injustices brought on by the looming multiple failures of unfettered capitalism of the pre-crash years of the early twentieth century.

Democratic socialism, quite simply, was very much responsible for the greatest rise of American prosperity in the entire history of the nation, and its success has never been matched by anything that conservatives have done since the Reagan era began in 1980, and frankly, I believe that it is time for Americans to open their eyes and face the fact that they have been sold a 35 year old false promise of prosperity which was never meant to be theirs but rather, meant to for their corporate superiors and for the owners of capital itself.

Democratic socialism is a course correction that America took already, and it is time for America to remember that nothing succeeds like success, and democratic socialism already has that record of success, one just has to look at history to see it."

Your thoughts and criticisms are welcomed, and if you believe in what I wrote, please feel free to share.
Jeffery Haas
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/15 04:41 AM
Please send that excellent bit of speechifying to candidate Sanders. If he has anything on the ball at all he will hire you on the spot fot more!
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/15 07:46 AM
I agree, that was an excellent defense of the success of social Democracy. I also agree that the public has been sold a false bill of goods since Reagan (and even Goldwater). That groundwork needed to be laid now, especially with Paul Ryan as Speaker.

I also wanted to highlight the stupendously dishonest complaining of the Carson and Trump campaigns against the press. While I didn't like either the CNN or Politico pieces, the questions they raise are legitimate - how honest, really, is Carson? Is Trump really a good manager, or just a crooked real estate magnate? Do either of their platforms make sense? We are fast approaching the point of the election when votes are going to be cast so hard questions need to be asked. If there is validity to the stories Carson has told, where are the witnesses? Where is the corroboration? Can he be trusted? I, personally have little doubt that, like Brian Williams, his memories are shaded by what makes a good story, rather than accuracy. How much is just pure imagination? Is he, like Ronald Reagan, remembering a past that never was? I would want to know if my president was going senile before he took office.

I'm a little tired -no, very tired- of the deflection game. It's time to answer the danged questions. If you can't, or can't take the heat, drop out - but don't blame the messenger. Hillary Clinton has had to respond to some pretty stupid questions, but also address some pretty serious issues. She, I think, has acquitted herself well. None of the GOP candidate have done nearly as well.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/15 08:04 AM
Ben Carson’s most controversial beliefs and statements

and this guy is qualified to be President why? Seriously?

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/15 09:17 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Ben Carson’s most controversial beliefs and statements

and this guy is qualified to be President why? Seriously?
"God" spoke to him and told him to run. For realz! crazy
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/15 12:23 PM
Who is crazier - Ben Carson, or the people who can't see that he is crazy?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/15 12:41 PM
There are at least two certifiable crazies in this race. Ben Carson is just one of them.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/15 02:05 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
There are at least two certifiable crazies in this race. Ben Carson is just one of them.
I am of the mind that he is SERIOUSLY mentally ill (not just Republican crazy).
I can't recall a coherent sentence that this man has uttered.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/15 02:25 PM
some anecdotal is in order

yesterday while listening to a local conservative talk show, the host mentioned Dr Carson and the story from politico and his conclusion was, anyone who "lies" or embellishes stories would never be elected [as president] and ergo ergo

what struck me as odd was the fact he never mentioned the crazy stuff Dr Carson says as the real cause for not being elected. My conclusion was their candidates could say anything but could not lie. I suppose that makes sense to a conservative but I still hear the ringing in my ears.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/15 01:03 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
There are at least two certifiable crazies in this race. Ben Carson is just one of them.
I am of the mind that he is SERIOUSLY mentally ill (not just Republican crazy).
I can't recall a coherent sentence that this man has uttered.
Ted Cruz fits this, as does Mike Huckabee.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/15 01:06 AM
Dr, Carson has now admitted(or at least his campaign has) that he lied about applying and/or getting accepted to West Point. Also, CNN is questioning the veracity of his claim that he stabbed another boy when he was 14. And the Baltimore police have said they can find no record of his claim of being held up at a Burger King in that city. It seems that Ben Carson has a lot of mental delusions.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/15 02:14 AM
Holy krap.
Fred Reed has written about how top gun fighter pilots always have an
"I Love Me" room in their house or apartment....you know, with the obligatory shot of the pilot in the jet going straight vertical, the picture of the pilot standing next to his rig, the medals, the awards...it's all there in that room, and that's as it should be, because you gotta have something to toot your own horn.
But the ENTIRE HOUSE???????
Wow, that takes it to a whole new level. More than a little creepy.
HUMILITY? You ain't gonna find any in a house that is built as a shrine to yourself!

Ben Carson's house: a homage to himself – in pictures
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/15 02:59 AM
Why is it that those with the biggest egos are those with the least reason to have one?
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/15 03:21 AM
I think Ben Carson and Donald Trump are both a product of the ideas that the Republican Party has promoted over the past couple of decades: "Government IS the problem." "Government can't do anything right."

Neither one has ever been elected to any public office, and this fits the idea because if they had been elected, then they would be "politicians", another Tea Party suspect class.

Neither one of them has any experience working within an organization with complex rules like the executive branch, or working with a contentious institution like Congress. If elected they would be totally incompetent, probably getting impeached within the first year.

Their candidacies may be the ultimate Republican threat to shut down the government.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/15 04:42 AM
The slate of GOP candidates demonstrated why I feel the party is such a threat to the country's well being. The thought of any of them having executive authority is soul numbing.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/15 05:31 AM
The fact-checking of Ben Carson's life story will not hurt him among his supporters, who are vehemently opposed to facts.

---Andy Borowitz
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/15 10:46 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Why is it that those with the biggest egos are those with the least reason to have one?

I suppose that if they can't convince others of their "greatness" they have to try to convince themselves.
That way they have a captive audience.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/15 12:42 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Holy krap.
Fred Reed has written about how top gun fighter pilots always have an
"I Love Me" room in their house or apartment....you know, with the obligatory shot of the pilot in the jet going straight vertical, the picture of the pilot standing next to his rig, the medals, the awards...it's all there in that room, and that's as it should be, because you gotta have something to toot your own horn.
But the ENTIRE HOUSE???????
Wow, that takes it to a whole new level. More than a little creepy.
HUMILITY? You ain't gonna find any in a house that is built as a shrine to yourself!

Ben Carson's house: a homage to himself – in pictures

And now I wonder about how many of those "achievements" are lies? Hmm
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/15 12:43 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
The slate of GOP candidates demonstrated why I feel the party is such a threat to the country's well being. The thought of any of them having executive authority is soul numbing.
Looks like Rubio has met his Tar-Baby...

Marco Rubio got some 'splainin' to to do.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/15 12:54 PM
Ben Carson caught in another lie: Says he thought the offer to attend West Point was given when he had dinner on Memorial Day with General Westmoreland in Detroit when Ben Carson was 17. General Westmoreland's spokesman says the general was not even in Michigan on that Memorial Day.

Ben Carson admits he lied about Wes...tories about troubled childhood are true
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/15 01:53 PM
Here's how it was in 1973, when I was appointed to the U.S. Naval Academy by Senator Frank Church.

Admission to the military academies is by appointment, anyone interested in going to one of them must apply to their Senators or Congressperson, who each are allocated one appointment. A couple of other ways in are if you are the child of a serviceperson who received certain high honors (don't remember what they all are offhand, though one is to be dead from war), Presidential appointments, or, if you are already enlisted, you can petition your commanding officer for a nomination.

Appointees become employed by the United States and are paid 1/2 the salary of the lowest commissioned officer, get room and board, and the four year education is "free" (it is not a liberal arts education...). The deal is that you promise to serve five years after graduation (you can resign during the first two years and avoid the five-year commitment, however, you have to pay back some of the costs). I quickly learned I had made a serious life-mistake and processed out at three months.

I'm waiting for someone to fact check Carson's claim that West Point says "four year scholarship" anywhere on its website. That would constitute a lie about a lie (speaking of the Tar-Baby).
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/15 02:08 PM
Trump is not winning in the business world.

Trump losing investor trust.

Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/15 02:42 PM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Trump is not winning in the business world.

Trump losing investor trust.

HA HA!
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/15 06:27 PM


BAMZ! is ruining it for GOP fund raising. The last time we had a Republican administration, the GOP were finally seeing the fruits of their deregulation: skyrocketing unemployment combined with a drastic, almost catastrophic loss of jobs around the country. Big banks, with their risky bets, helped the Republicans bring Americans together...in unemployment lines and soup kitchens.

Now BAMZ! is dividing the country by exposing the Republicans as liars who swear he is ruining America by his longstanding tradition of creating jobs to push his partisan agenda of economic recovery. Bad BAMZ, bad!!!

During the last Republican administration, unemployment numbers were up to 10%. Employment rolls decreased in 11 out of 12 months in 2008, some months by as many as 800,000. And just when Americans were coming together in unemployment lines, BAMZ! sought to put a stop to it by lowing unemployment numbers. Unfair!!!! What are the Republican POTUS candidates supposed fund raise on now?

Very bad Librul college's take on the recovering economy linky dink
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/15 08:29 PM
i like to say .... ego without portfolio

but this guy has accomplished some things which "ordinary" folks would never be able to do

perhaps more appropriate would be ego extending beyond his portfolio
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/09/15 05:12 PM


Quote
Any president who doesn’t begin every day on his knees isn’t fit to be commander-in-chief of this country. ~ Ted Cruz




I won't ask what Ted Cruz is doing down there on his knees, and he won't have to tell me. smile
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/09/15 06:34 PM
Muslims pray five time a day. Perhaps that makes them over qualified...no?
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/09/15 08:04 PM
Originally Posted by Ken Condon
Muslims pray five time a day. Perhaps that makes them over qualified...no?
Ted Cruz...on his knees...commander-in-chief....don't ask, don't tell = bj's for Jesus, no? wink

Quote
Any president who doesn’t begin every day on his knees isn’t fit to be commander-in-chief of this country. ~ Ted Cruz
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/11/15 12:21 AM
Jury convicts all 8 defendants in Clay vote-buying case

Quote
FRANKFORT — Some of the most powerful public officials in Clay County corrupted elections in recent years, buying and stealing votes in pursuit of power and money, a federal jury ruled Thursday.

The jury convicted all eight people on trial, including former Circuit Judge R. Cletus Maricle, 66, and former school Superintendent Douglas C. Adams, 58, on a charge that they engaged in organized criminal acts to rig elections.

After a seven-week trial, jurors deliberated about nine hours before convicting the defendants on all the charges they faced, which included vote-buying, mail fraud, extortion and money laundering.

AND

KY Election Officials Arrested, Charged With 'Changing Votes at E-Voting Machines'

Kentucky has been very naughty!

Kansas also has been having some voter troubles.

Kris Kobach seeks to block release of voting machine paper tapes

Quote
WICHITA — The top election official in Kansas has asked a Sedgwick County judge to block the release of voting machine tapes sought by a Wichita mathematician who is researching statistical anomalies favoring Republicans in counts coming from large precincts in the November 2014 general election.

Secretary of State Kris Kobach argued the records sought by Wichita State University mathematician Beth Clarkson aren’t subject to the Kansas open records act and their disclosure is prohibited by Kansas statute. His response, which was faxed Friday to the Sedgwick County District Court, was made public Monday.


Hmmm, it seems that the political party most worried about voter fraud is the same party committing the fraud. gobsmacked
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/11/15 07:38 AM


Originally Posted by Scoutgal
Kentucky has been very naughty!
It's not the first time. SEE: November 2, 2004 11:16 pm EST (...to be exact wink )
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/11/15 07:45 AM
That was in 2009. I can't find the disposition of those cases.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/11/15 02:58 PM
And the beat goes on... Vote Buying Is at Center of Kentucky Judge-Executive Case Then, to top it off, the guy hired one of the other vote-buyers to be his "administrative assistant" after his prison sentence ended. The irony of all this is that - as was noted earlier in the thread - the POINT of the ACRU (the source for these stories) is, consistent with the ROT, to undermine confidence in election results, in support of bogus election-fraud suppression efforts. But, the net generally catches Republicans. The ACRU is meant to sound like the ACLU, but is, in fact, the opposite (ya gotta read the fine print: "Since the 2010 elections, 15 states have put common-sense laws in place to help prevent cheating — but too many have not. In 2011, measures requiring photo ID were approved in 14 states, but five were vetoed by liberal governors.")
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/11/15 05:01 PM

Thanks for your link NW_P. That link led to other links with the actual news stories. The article from Brad's blog does't yield any information from the MSM on Google.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/13/15 03:19 AM


Quote
Less than three months before the kick-off Iowa caucuses, there is growing anxiety bordering on panic among Republican elites about the dominance and durability of Donald Trump and Ben Carson and widespread bewilderment over how to defeat them.

Party leaders and donors fear nominating either man would have negative ramifications for the GOP ticket up and down the ballot, virtually ensuring a Hillary Rodham Clinton presidency and increasing the odds that the Senate falls into Democratic hands.

Linky Dink for the Washington Post
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/13/15 08:33 PM


The Donald equates Ben Carson's self-admitted thuggery as a youth to a pathology akin to child molestation.

[Linked Image from i48.photobucket.com]

Quote
"You don’t cure these people. You don’t cure a child molester. There’s no cure for it. "

Linky Dink
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/14/15 02:42 AM
There's nothing inherently wrong with requiring photo ids for all voters. As soon as you get a photo id into the hands of everybody in the state, then we can implement it. Until then, keep trying to pass out those IDs.

I think a good ID system could actually benefit some down-and-outers, because they could get some benefits with ID.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/14/15 04:33 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
There's nothing inherently wrong with requiring photo ids for all voters. As soon as you get a photo id into the hands of everybody in the state, then we can implement it. Until then, keep trying to pass out those IDs.

I think a good ID system could actually benefit some down-and-outers, because they could get some benefits with ID.

The problem is getting photo ID to all eligible voters. Now you have asshats in Alabama closing almost all DMVs just to prevent the populace from acquiring photo ID.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/14/15 08:52 PM
That was my point. We get the courts to put off implementing the photo ID requirement until AFTER everybody has an ID. Logically, that is perfectly reasonable unless your intent is voter suppression. (Which would of course be illegal.)

With Republican state spending priorities, that will probably be never.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/14/15 10:39 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
That was my point. We get the courts to put off implementing the photo ID requirement until AFTER everybody has an ID. Logically, that is perfectly reasonable unless your intent is voter suppression. (Which would of course be illegal.)

With Republican state spending priorities, that will probably be never.

ThumbsUp
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/15/15 12:59 PM
All the Democrats have to do to defeat Republicans is show their agenda priorities: take away voting rights, take away personal liberties, take away your jobs, take away any social security or welfare benefits, then spend what little budget is left to line the pockets of the wealthiest donors of the donor class. Does it never strike their supporters as odd that the party treats then with such contempt?
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/15/15 02:32 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
All the Democrats have to do to defeat Republicans is show their agenda priorities: take away voting rights, take away personal liberties, take away your jobs, take away any social security or welfare benefits, then spend what little budget is left to line the pockets of the wealthiest donors of the donor class. Does it never strike their supporters as odd that the party treats then with such contempt?

It has been shown-again and again. The Republican base refuses to see that. So what the Democrats need to do is SHOW UP AND VOTE! In EVERY election. Get registered and then VOTE!

If you do not vote, then you have no right to complain.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/15/15 04:16 PM


Trump surges among likely Republican primary voters: Reuters/Ipsos poll to 42%

Yahoo News
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/15/15 04:27 PM


SNL skewers Ben Carson: Young Ben Carson
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/15/15 06:12 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
SNL skewers Ben Carson: Young Ben Carson

ROTFMOL
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/15/15 08:42 PM


Carson on China in Syria: ‘My Sources Are Better’ Than Obama Admin

...if you say so, Ben. coffee
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/15/15 11:29 PM
not only are his sources better but he has two frontal lobes which he uses as the fount of his genius .... may he continue to rub them together to get a spark
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/16/15 12:56 AM
Ann Coulter said yesterday: "Donald Trump has been elected as President" in response to the dismal news from Paris. Great news to me, since everything Anne Coulter says is completely wrong.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/16/15 01:04 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Ann Coulter said yesterday: "Donald Trump has been elected as President" in response to the dismal news from Paris. Great news to me, since everything Anne Coulter says in completely wrong.

ThumbsUp
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/18/15 01:00 PM
from Politico .... " some Carson advisers did not think the Republican presidential candidate has a good grasp on foreign policy" ..... (Dr Carson's spokesperson said it was a hit piece and not true)

Unfortunately, people have heard what Dr Carson's foreign policy positions are, and did not need to read it from Politico. This is just the tip of the iceberg.



Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/18/15 06:37 PM
Carson has backtracked on his "sources" statement now, saying that it was "tongue in cheek".

And in other news not much worth mentioning Piyush "Bobby" Jindal has withdrawn from the presidential race saying that it was "not his time".

His disapproval rate as Governor of Louisiana has reached 70% and a Democrat in the governor's race is leading the Republican candidate by double digits.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/19/15 05:59 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
And in other news not much worth mentioning Piyush "Bobby" Jindal has withdrawn from the presidential race saying that it was "not his time".
Piyush's parents immigrated to the U.S. 45 years ago and promised li'l "Bobby" that he could be anything that he wanted to be when he grew up. So Piyush became a state governor, then he wanted to be POTUS.

The problem is, that polling at less than 1% won't get you to the WH. At this point, not even the Tooth Fairy™ would vote for Jindal. So much for those "you can be anything" dreams parents tell their kids. coffee
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/19/15 06:48 PM
His record as governor was a disaster. Things like this don't go unnoticed by voters. Obama is hated in Louisiana, but polls show that Jindal is hated even more. Other governors in the presidential race are also finding it hard to find any traction with voters. Scot Walker is also out, Jebbie might as well be, Chris Christie is going nowhere and Huckabee was never really in except among a few evangelicals. John Kasich might actually be the best among them and nobody cares a whit about him.
We will soon see the next phase of the Republican Primary Entertainment Extravaganza where Carson unravels under the weight of his own stupidity, Ted Cruz steps up his game and everyone continues to tread softly around Donald Trump.

Then the voting will begin and we'll find out what's really going on. So far we've just heard what the polls and pundits say. The voters get the final word.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/19/15 07:31 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Carson has backtracked on his "sources" statement now, saying that it was "tongue in cheek".
More like "foot-in-mouth".

Originally Posted by Greger
in other news not much worth mentioning Piyush "Bobby" Jindal has withdrawn from the presidential race saying that it was "not his time".
Jindal was the most perceptive of the GOP candidates...
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/19/15 09:28 PM
He Went There:

Trump Crosses the Nazi Line

Quote
“We’re going to have to do things that we never did before,” Trump told Yahoo News. “Some people are going to be upset about it, but I think that now everybody is feeling that security is going to rule.”

A-137862

That was my grandfather's "special ID badge", courtesy of Auschwitz.
[Linked Image from deepfreezevideo.com]

We know where this is going, don't we?
Concentration camps, final solutions, holocausts.
And here's a word for everyone who simply can't help that they hate Muslims...I am not a big fan of Islam because I'm not big on any organized religion anymore, but here's something you Muslim-haters might not have considered:
Once the Trump-Reich is done with the Muslims, (hypothetically) what makes you think they would stop there?
Sorry, it just doesn't work that way, look at history for God's sake.
Why do you think Martin Neimoller wrote that poem, the one that says, "First they came for the.....(etc)?"

Fascist regimes, especially ones founded atop an already established and entrenched oligarchy, ALWAYS turn into dictatorships and those dictatorships become increasingly paranoid, which means that they are compelled to PURIFY the population more and more, narrowing the group of those deemed worthy to exist. The paranoia gets driven by the increasingly HORRIBLE economic conditions endured by the general population so the regime requires more and more scapegoats.
Do you see how this is working? It's like rats in a cage, it's very very simple.

So, things inside the regime get worse and worse, first the Muslims, then the next group, then the next group, and on and on until it's YOUR GROUP.
So maybe I can't convince you to do away with your irrational hatred of Muslims, I don't give a s*** if you have mental issues, I am not your doctor, but just know that a fascist regime like Trump's will never run out of scapegoats, so once they run out of Muslims, they will just create a new group of "muslims", and they might not necessarily BE MUSLIMS, you get it?
They might be YOUR group.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/19/15 09:51 PM
Maybe another candidate needs to go one better?
How about Chris Christie? Ted Cruz?
Cruz is a Texan so maybe he could propose a "Shoot All Muzzies On Sight" law.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/19/15 10:03 PM
Or maybe Trump could use some visual aids?

[Linked Image from upload.wikimedia.org]

Nazi Concentration Camp Badges
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/20/15 01:27 AM
I saw what Trump has proposed several times on Facebook. My very first thought was how Hitler made a ll the Jews wear yellow six-pointed stars with the word "Juden" on them. It also reminded me of when the US rounded up all the Japanese(American-born or not) and stuck them in concentration camps. Trump is a dangerous man-even if he is a idiotic blowhard.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/20/15 04:11 AM
Had to share some comic relief:

http://giphy.com/gifs/obama-vs-cruz-with-a-tank-xTiTnFLfW4c3viXIxG
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/20/15 10:34 AM
Hey, how come the Czechs and Poles all had to wear the gay inverted orange triangle? Were the Nazis implying they were all secretly gay?

And what if you were something like a gay Jewish Pole? What badge did you get then?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/20/15 10:39 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Hey, how come the Czechs and Poles all had to wear the gay inverted orange triangle? Were the Nazis implying they were all secretly gay?

And what if you were something like a gay Jewish Pole? What badge did you get then?

CENSORED! &*(@__)#*^^^@#$
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/20/15 01:49 PM
Everyone wore inverted triangles. The color denoted your category, and letters mostly nationality. It was all very, very organized. Jews got TWO triangles, because they were special.

I don't think we have as much to worry about with Republicans because they are not organized. But they might just go for the badges thing. They're all about labels.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/20/15 03:52 PM


Marco Rubio has unveiled his plan to kill all the terrorists to death:

Quote
When I am president, what I will do to defeat ISIL is very simple: whatever it takes.

Apparently 'whatever' means no meetings though. Mr. Senator-In-Name-Only missed the The Aftermath of Paris: America's Role ( Senate.gov ) meeting so that he could go to California again and collect more monies so that he can possibly be Commander-In-Chief - because raising more money is more relevant to being Commander-In-Chief than going to some boring Senate meeting on ISIS/L, man.

Tampa Bay.com
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/20/15 10:36 PM
I am afraid we are going to have to do something permanent and very visible for the Syrian refugees. Like tattoo MUSLIM across their forehead...

That way they can't buy no gunz.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/20/15 10:40 PM
Quote
A-137862

That was my grandfather's "special ID badge", courtesy of Auschwitz.

never forget
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/23/15 04:07 PM

Dead Andrew's pithy blog must not like Hillz' polling numbers: EXCLUSIVE: Bill Rape Accuser Blasts ‘Evil’ Hillary: ‘Shame on you!’

(For conservatives who find everything on Brietbard truthful, the key word in the sentence above is "accuser." Just saying'... smile )
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/24/15 01:35 AM
His ideas were termed socialism by the right and yet it was his ideas that triggered the greatest leap forward in living standards in American history.
Indeed the postwar era in the United States saw our manufacturing, education, health care, infrastructure, upward mobility, job security, and overall standard of living become THE ENVY OF THE ENTIRE WORLD.
We led the way in inventing new technologies, we led the way in defining human generosity and we led by example so well that EVERYONE in the world either wanted to come to America or BE LIKE Americans.

And nothing, NOTHING the right has done in the years since Reagan has EVER EVER duplicated that. It can't because the right wing doesn't offer anything except service to an aristocracy, and fear for the majority.

Conservatism has always had a welcome home as a function of liberal ideology.
Core values like thrift, long term goals and planning, moral grounding, thoughtfulness and common sense are all important conservative values that almost all liberals possess and possess proudly.

But conservatism as a standalone political ideology IS DEAD.

Sanders channels FDR

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/24/15 07:34 AM

Here in Portland, I see nary a Hillary bumpersticker. Bernie stickers? All over the place.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/24/15 10:56 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Here in Portland, I see nary a Hillary bumpersticker. Bernie stickers? All over the place.

ThumbsUp
Hope springs eternal.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/24/15 02:52 PM
Conservatism has always claimed virtues it never possessed and a coherence never evident.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/24/15 09:17 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Conservatism has always claimed virtues it never possessed and a coherence never evident.

Exactly!
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/26/15 02:14 AM
I am frankly disturbed by the tenor of the campaign this year. Not so much on the Dem side, which is less crowded, but the blatant bigotry that seems to keep Trump and Carson at the top of the R polls. I really don't get it. We haven't seen this level of open hostility since George Wallace and Joe McCarthy. I don't think that is anywhere near an exaggeration. It appears that there are a number of others who agree with that assessment. The New York Times Just Compared Donald Trump To 'Joseph McCarthy In 1950'; Donald Trump and 21st-century McCarthyism; Donald Trump’s creeping fascism needs to be rejected - and these are relatively conservative editorial boards (I didn't include WSJ because Rupert Murdoch apparently hates Trump).
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/26/15 04:04 AM
If the shoe fits!
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/26/15 04:45 PM
It seems that Ben Carson is fading in the campaign and even Donald Trump is slightly losing ground for his claims that thousands of Muslims cheered directly after 9/11. Cruz is improving. While Trump is morphing into Joseph McCarthy 2.0, Cruz is morphing into Torquemada, Along with Huckabee.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/26/15 06:02 PM
We're a year of from the election and I'm already weary. I thought the last election was bad, but nothing beats this year. Well, nothing in my lifetime. At least when Reagan ran he promised hope but sowed deception. This year, the candidates are skipping the first half and just promoting deception as policy. Really, which GOP candidate has been honest? The level of vitriol and outright lying is appalling.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/26/15 06:43 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
We're a year of from the election and I'm already weary. I thought the last election was bad, but nothing beats this year. Well, nothing in my lifetime. At least when Reagan ran he promised hope but sowed deception. This year, the candidates are skipping the first half and just promoting deception as policy. Really, which GOP candidate has been honest? The level of vitriol and outright lying is appalling.

Precisely!
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/26/15 06:54 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
... This year, the candidates are skipping the first half and just promoting deception as policy. Really, which GOP candidate has been honest? The level of vitriol and outright lying is appalling.
That, my friend, is WILL! The solutions are myriad, only needing the WILL to implement them.

The Donald is the Exemplar of Will, which explains why he is the Right Wing favorite.
Posted By: Scoutgal Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/26/15 07:58 PM
I will not let the campaign ruin my day. Mr. Scoutgal made me bacon and eggs for breakfast(and did the dishes! ThumbsUp ) and we are leaving shortly for my daughters where we will have the Thanksgiving feast-and most important-see our grandson! laugh
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/27/15 05:44 AM
Oh, I'm enjoying watching the Republican candidates immensely! As they hack away mercilessly at each other, at all minority groups, at everyone who isn't a Christian, to cement their ties with America's stupidest, most racist, bigoted, misinformed voters they are also making it impossible for themselves to win in the general election.
I think Republicans know it, probably even the candidates know it. With every ridiculous statement, with every lie, with every mistake they are giving the election to The Democrats.
There isn't a serious contender among them.

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/27/15 06:13 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Oh, I'm enjoying watching the Republican candidates immensely! As they hack away mercilessly at each other, at all minority groups, at everyone who isn't a Christian, to cement their ties with America's stupidest, most racist, bigoted, misinformed voters they are also making it impossible for themselves to win in the general election.
I think Republicans know it, probably even the candidates know it. With every ridiculous statement, with every lie, with every mistake they are giving the election to The Democrats.
There isn't a serious contender among them.

Right on! ThumbsUp
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/27/15 06:23 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
There isn't a serious contender among them.
I couldn't agree more. What amazes me, though, is what passes for a "serious contender". Ben Carson? Donald Trump? Carly Fiorino? Ted Cruz? Really!!?

Marco Rubio, while seriously lightweight, at least sounds like he wants to be taken seriously. Kasich is actually qualified, but doesn't stand a chance because he can't be heard. Bush was a has-been before he was. Ditto, Christie, who lost the East Coast A-hole slot to Trump. Thankfully Walker and Jindal are out, just because their ideas sucked so bad. Not a one has made a serious policy proposal in a year. I don't see that changing.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/27/15 06:51 PM
It’s “funny” in a way. The Republicans are doomed to try to out do one another delivering nonsense while pandering to their looney base. Whoever makes it to the finals has by then delivered enough recorded nonsense that they will be doomed in the general.

And if you read the comments following any article--there you go again--they are convinced they are on the road to a glorious and overwhelming victory. Their circular jerking echo chamber runs at around 180db.

So then we will likely have Ms. Clinton as POTUS, and an even more deranged and outraged House and (likely) Senate. Can that lead to anywhere good?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/27/15 08:29 PM
The contest amongst GOP candidates seems to be who can say the most outlandish things and gain favor with the ranks of the brain dead.
For pure entertainment value it beats any other show on TV.
From a political standpoint it is a testament to the bankruptcy of the system.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/27/15 08:35 PM
A Democratic win could possibly retake the Senate and narrow the gap slightly in the House. A very decisive win should convince at least a few more moderate conservatives that the path they have chosen is not one America chooses to follow them on.

Quote
they are convinced they are on the road to a glorious and overwhelming victory.
Because they can't imagine that they are not actually a majority. As it turns out, the moral majority is neither moral nor a majority.

Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/28/15 12:35 AM
If anybody can out-maneuver a Republican House, I think it's Hillary. I suspect she was actually a lot of Bill's famed political prowess.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/29/15 06:01 PM
I just realized why Donald Trump has so much staying power (other than his billions of dollars). He is a walking, talking (and talking and talking) conspiracy theory. Conspiracists get more ardent the more evidence that is arrayed against them, and "The Donald" and "Dr. Ben" represent the font of anti-evidentiary platitudes. If you feel downtrodden, or paranoid, they are your candidates.

Now, when I started to write this, I was just expressing my opinion, but then I started reading other views. Turns out there is meat on them there bones. Trump
Quote
[is] now supported by 25 to 30 percent of the 25 to 30 percent of Americans who self-identify as Republicans, notes data guru Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight. That works out to about 6 to 8 percent of the total US electorate.

As Mr. Silver points out, that’s about as many Americans as believe the moon landings were faked.
No, Donald Trump supporters aren't actually everywhere. And may very well be the same people.

Quote
Trump’s voters are less-educated, lower-income white Republicans. Carson is a traditional evangelical, social-conservative GOP candidate.
In other words, very, VERY low information voters. (In other, other words, the GOP base - or the basest of the base.) Together they make up the approximately same percentage as Hispanic voters.

And if you think "The Donald" is certifiably crazy, you have company there, too, among the psychiatric community. Clinical Psychologists Diagnose Don...t Pretty, Especially For His Supporters; Is Donald Trump Actually a Narcissist? Therapists Weigh In! To which my response is, "duh!" He is such a classic narcissist that he is used as a case study - I'm dead serious. (“He’s so classic that I’m archiving video clips of him to use in workshops because there’s no better example of his characteristics. Otherwise, I would have had to hire actors and write vignettes. He’s like a dream come true.” - Dr. George Simon)

So how dangerous is that? As one psychologist put it, “For me, the compelling question is the psychological state of his supporters. They are unable or unwilling to make a connection between the challenges faced by any president and the knowledge and behavior of Donald Trump. In a democracy, that is disastrous.” The same can be said of Ben Carson, who insists that the pyramids were created by Joseph to store grain (Ben Carson's unusual theory about pyramids), and espouses other crazy - I mean that literally - ideas.
Quote
On Friday, CNN debunked a story from his autobiography about nearly stabbing a friend in his rage-filled youth. We learned he thinks the pyramids were built by the Old Testament patriarch Joseph to store grain, a theory which is wrong — according to the ancient Egyptians themselves. He claimed the Founding Fathers had never held elective office, an obvious falsehood. Then his campaign claimed he meant they had never held federal office; which is true only because there was no federal government at the time to hold an office in.
Why Ben Carson's Tenuous Relationship To Facts Is Helping, Not Hurting, His Campaign. To those who reject the narrative of the world that is based upon fact, support for a man who is more concerned with "narrative" than reality is a logical choice. For the rest of us it is a disaster.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/29/15 06:09 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I just realized why Donald Trump has so much staying power (other than his billions of dollars). He is a walking, talking (and talking and talking) conspiracy theory. Conspiracists get more ardent the more evidence that is arrayed against them, and "The Donald" and "Dr. Ben" represent the font of anti-evidentiary platitudes. If you feel downtrodden, or paranoid, they are your candidates.
...
To those who reject the narrative of the world that is based upon fact, support for a man who is more concerned with "narrative" than reality is a logical choice. For the rest of us it is a disaster.

Why Sir, I believe you have nailed it! ThumbsUp ThumbsUp
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/01/15 03:48 PM


Have any of you seen the BLM (Black Live Matter) protester at a Donald Trump rally recently? He received a beat-down by Donald supporters before security intervened. I saw that video, and one thing stuck out at me, so I viewed the video again - besides the BLM protester, there was nary another black American supporter there.

For me, this confirms that Donald's supporters are a minority of the GOP (old, white) base and as Nate Silver points out, there are as many who support The Donald as there are who don't believe that we landed on the moon. It's always the same amount people - about 6 to 8 percent.

Not only are these people a fraction of the GOP base, they are the deluded fraction of the GOP base - but they think they are the majority of Americans. Priceless!!!
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/01/15 03:52 PM

If you want to see this delusion by these extreme conservatives on full display, there is a very conservative Disqus blog that has a lot of these mentally ill deluded folks I'm talking about above gathered onto one blog.

Just peruse their comments, if nothing else - and bring popcorn - it's a hoot: Linky Dink
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/03/15 07:20 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
If you want to see this delusion by these extreme conservatives on full display...
Simply watch the GOP candidates in front of cameras...

Cruz Condemns Colorado Shooting, Rejects Anti-Abortion Link
Quote
When a reporter reminded Cruz it has been reported Dear made a comment about "baby parts" while being apprehended, Cruz retorted, "It’s also been reported that he was registered as an independent and a woman and a transgendered leftist activist. If that’s what he is, I don’t think it’s fair to blame on the rhetoric on the left. This is a murderer.”

Carly Fiorina Calls Planned Parenthood Shooter a 'Protester,' Decries 'Left-Wing Tactics'.
Quote
“This is so typical of the left to immediately begin demonizing a messenger because they don’t agree with the message. The vast majority of Americans agree what Planned Parenthood is doing is wrong.”
Messenger? What planet does she come from? HE KILLED 3 PEOPLE. What kind of a message is that? How is that a protest? BUT she didn't stop there! She went on to equate BLM protesters being shot by white supremacists with the shooter at the clinic.

Next, I suppose, that they will blame the San Bernadino rampage on government being too big and a protest against coddling the disabled. This is beyond idiotic, these people are truly, truly sick.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/03/15 07:56 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Carly Fiorina Calls Planned Parenthood Shooter a 'Protester,' Decries 'Left-Wing Tactics'.
Quote
“This is so typical of the left to immediately begin demonizing a messenger because they don’t agree with the message. The vast majority of Americans agree what Planned Parenthood is doing is wrong.”
Messenger? What planet does she come from? HE KILLED 3 PEOPLE. What kind of a message is that? How is that a protest? BUT she didn't stop there! She went on to equate BLM protesters being shot by white supremacists with the shooter at the clinic.
Cara Sneed-Fiorina is seriously messed-up in the head. crazy

You’d think given how the "vast majority" of Americans agree with Fiorina, according to Fiorina, and want to murder Planned Parenthood with a rusty coat hanger, she ought to be more popular with the voters these days.

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/03/15 05:52 PM
The bar for a Presidential candidacy has been set so low this season that I am not sure that it can be lowered. Ben Carson, Donald Trump, and Carly Fiorina have no business running for office, let alone the highest office in the land. Amateurs gave us the Iraq war fiasco, but these bozos don't think it went far enough! Donald Trump exults in being an ignoramus - and lies so frequently he doesn't recognize reality. Ben Carson is just an Ego attached to a body, and demonstrates that it doesn't take brains to be a brain surgeon. Carly Fiorina wouldn't know the truth if it bit her on the ... wherever.

If there is one thing that Barack Obama did wrong it is that he gave credence to inexperienced pols thinking they could be President. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio don't have a clue what governing means, but because they won one election think that they know how to run a country.

But we can't really blame this parade of horribles on the overweening egos of the politicians - that has always been the case. No, we have to blame it on an electorate that isn't able to discern reality from fantasy. Some of that is engineered, but mostly it is the result of an electorate that doesn't really care. How do we get them to care?
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/03/15 06:16 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
... How do we get them to care?
Hard times...
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/03/15 06:55 PM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
... How do we get them to care?
Hard times...

And to that end: we implement the full monty of the Republican line:

1) Austerity measures that make it impossible (more than it already is) for anyone to save money.

2) Do away with Social Security, unemployment, welfare, Affordable care, medicare and medicaid, all of the so-called "entitlements".

3) Don't allow ANYONE to immigrate to this country. If you weren't born here and don't already live here get the hell out.

4) Don't allow women to make as much as men for the same work, don't allow them any form of healthcare and/or contraception.
No choice or control over their own bodies.
And while we're at it: just ban them from work altogether, that way they can be where they belong- barefoot in the kitchen.

5) Start a war with Iran and Russia (and maybe China too, that way we don't have to honor the trillions that they hold in US treasuries).

5) Everyone will have free reign to carry a weapon - even an assault weapon. Hell, even anti-aircraft weapons.

6) Do not allow minorities to vote. I would say reinstate slavery, but that will follow naturally from all of the above.

7) Do absolutely nothing about CO2 emissions, climate change etc.

Result:
This country will become the biggest shytehole on the planet. Then they'll learn (or die) whichever comes first.

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/03/15 07:21 PM
I'm not for the dystopian approach, especially as I am entering retirement. I think the needed to be a less radical approach. I have previously recommended a full-bore PR campaign just extolling the virtues of democratic leadership. Dems are actually better on the economy and defense than Republicans ever have been. Quick, name the last successful GOP war President. Stumped? I thought so.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/03/15 07:33 PM
Would that your approach could work. Somehow it seems that people only learn after they get burned. No use telling them that fire will burn.
But on the dystopian front: Hollywood makes bundles selling that horse dung. You never know...
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/03/15 08:31 PM
Quote
HE KILLED 3 PEOPLE.

The stupidest thing is that Deer actually killed three people that had nothing to do with Planned Parenthood: One was a police officer and two were simply accompanying patients. Do you think maybe somebody should tell him he killed three innocent bystanders?
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/03/15 08:43 PM
Quote
No, we have to blame it on an electorate that isn't able to discern reality from fantasy. Some of that is engineered, but mostly it is the result of an electorate that doesn't really care. How do we get them to care?

This has a lot to do with "fact free news". It used to be that if Walter Cronkite said it on the news, it was probably mostly true. Now people go on TV and pretend to be news and present any opinion as essentially equal, even about things that are not subject to opinion. So you see a story with one moron saying "the earth is flat" and one scientist saying "the earth is roughly spherical". A certain percentage of people (about the same percentage as Trump supporters) will decide to believe the flat-earth guy.

Maybe we need a big red band saying FALSE at the bottom of the TV whenever the story is BS and a big green band saying TRUE when it is objectively true. Then the morons could just follow the color coding, and only illiterate color-blind Americans would go in for mass shootings.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/03/15 11:40 PM
William Falk, the editor of The Week Magazine, had the following to say regarding the state of our union and the upcoming election.

Here’s a strange thought to chew on a year before the presidential election: The votes of 95 percent of Americans likely to cast ballots are already determined. People who lean conservative will vote for any Republican who emerges from the scrum (with the possible exception of the divisive Donald Trump). Ditto for people who lean liberal. New research by Michigan State political scientist Corwin Smidt confirms that the percentage of voters who are truly “independent,” swinging from party to party, has plunged from 15 percent in the 1960s to just 5 percent today. Crossing over party lines to vote for the other tribe’s presidential candidate has become unimaginable. As Jonathan Chait put it this week in NYMag.com: “The dominant fact of American politics is that nobody is changing their mind about anything.”

It wasn’t always this way. For much of the latter half of the 20th century, there were liberal-leaning Republicans and conservative-leaning Democrats. It was not impossible to find common ground. Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton both actively sought the votes of people who traditionally vote for the other party, and enjoyed great popularity partly as a result. But since 2004, polarization on immigration, climate change, abortion, religion, and social issues has become so acute that every presidential election seems to represent a major turning point, with the very definition of our nation at stake. Polls suggest that the gulf between the two parties is actually widening. Republicans loathe Hillary Clinton as much as they do Barack Obama; Democrats see Trump and Ben Carson as wackos and frauds, and have only slightly less contempt for the rest of the field. So here’s a safe if depressing prediction: The new president John Roberts swears in on Jan. 20, 2017, will be very quickly despised and distrusted by roughly 45 percent of the nation. Is this a democracy, or a dysfunctional family?
William Falk, Editor-in-chief


Not much I can add to that. I feel dispair.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/04/15 10:27 AM
Quote
Is this a democracy, or a dysfunctional family?

Is there a difference?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/04/15 05:24 PM
To avoid despair, I go back to my last suggestion: an all-out DEM PR campaign. It's not as if they don't have the bona fides to support it. Social Security, Medicare, ACA, clean water, clean air, consumer protection, etc. - all Dem accomplishments. Balanced budgets, keeping America safe - actually Dems too.

I won't give into despair. I believe a GOP meltdown is more likely than a Democalypse.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/11/15 03:55 PM

Don't you love the smell of Republican Civil War in the morning?

Quote
More than 20 of them convened Monday for a dinner held by Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus, where the prospect of Trump nearing next year’s nominating convention in Cleveland with a significant number of delegates dominated the discussion, according to five people familiar with the meeting.

- WaPo

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/11/15 04:09 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Don't you love the smell of Republican Civil War in the morning?

Quote
More than 20 of them convened Monday for a dinner held by Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus, where the prospect of Trump nearing next year’s nominating convention in Cleveland with a significant number of delegates dominated the discussion, according to five people familiar with the meeting.

- WaPo

The fact that they are ALREADY talking about a brokered convention means that The Donald is going to be ousted one way or another.
If he runs on an independent ticket, so much the better. He'll take away votes from whomever the nominee is.
It's a lose-lose for the Repubs. ThumbsUp
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/11/15 05:27 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
The fact that they are ALREADY talking about a brokered convention means that The Donald is going to be ousted one way or another.
If he runs on an independent ticket, so much the better. He'll take away votes from whomever the nominee is.
It's a lose-lose for the Repubs. ThumbsUp
The last time we had three candidates, we got a Clinton elected into Office. smile , Hmm
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/11/15 05:28 PM

Having stated the above, I am not a Hillary fan, I'd prefer Bernie and will vote for him in the primaries. I will vote for Hillz if she is the nominee over any of the R-clown bus riders.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/11/15 06:09 PM


First the RNC came for Donald Trump, then Ben Carson said: I think you want the other guy

Doctor Ben Carson would like you all to know he is not one bit pleased about these murmurings that the GOP establishment is plotting to deny the nomination to Donald Trump - or to Ben Carson, which could totally still happen, he thinks.

And by golly, if all those Washington Insiders who have never separated conjoined twins even once keep planning for a brokered convention, Carson said Friday, he will say goodbye to the Republican Party and let it collapse without him.

Talking Points Memo
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/11/15 06:45 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Having stated the above, I am not a Hillary fan, I'd prefer Bernie and will vote for him in the primaries. I will vote for Hillz if she is the nominee over any of the R-clown bus riders.

With ya on that one, brother. As Scout very aptly said: I'll hold my nose and vote for Hillary.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/11/15 07:50 PM
Quote
I am not a Hillary fan
Rick, if I recall correctly, you were supporter of Madame Clinton in 2008, or at least preferred her over Pres. Obama.

I like Bernie, I like everything he stands for, but I still think Clinton will be a more effective president. In 2008 I preferred Obama because I was afraid the Republicans were so united in their campaign against her that she would be defeated. Ultimately McCain's selection of Sarah Palin as a running mate pretty much doomed their chances of winning that time around so her electability was a moot point. All in all, I believe President Obama has done a fine job and I'm glad he has been our president rather than Hillary Clinton.
Things have changed though, in my opinion, she is the best candidate in the race to deal with the problems we face today and the grumpy Republican majority in Congress and to keep America moving forward.

While there is only one Bernie Sanders and we shall not see his like again in my lifetime, I simply don't believe he can enact all(or any of) the sweeping domestic changes he endorses.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/11/15 07:57 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
I am not a Hillary fan
Rick, if I recall correctly, you were supporter of Madame Clinton in 2008, or at least preferred her over Pres. Obama.
I voted for BAMZ! in the 2008 primary. So, no was not a Hillary deciple then either.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/11/15 08:30 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
...
Things have changed though, in my opinion, she is the best candidate in the race to deal with the problems we face today and the grumpy Republican majority in Congress and to keep America moving forward.
...

I don't think so. She'll be a Repub lite (not the crazy, zombie, crypto-fascist wing).
My hope is that Bernie can make enough of a difference in the political discourse that she will have to wake up and smell the manure. But in the primary, he's got my vote.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/11/15 09:19 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
My hope is that Bernie can make enough of a difference in the political discourse that she will have to wake up and smell the manure. But in the primary, he's got my vote.
ThumbsUp

Hillary won't fall far from the tree. Bill did give us NAFTA, the repeal of Glass-Steagall, and unregulated derivatives. Bill did broker the Easter Sunday accord and oversee economic development and growth in the U.S.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/12/15 03:18 AM
If I could vote in the primary I too would throw Bernie a bone.
But I can't and I'm not going to change my political affiliation just for this election. I'm an Independent and proud that I have never been associated with any particular political party.

Hillary may not be far enough left for some but I don't think the time is right for someone like Bernie. I don't believe Madame Clinton is by any means "Republican light". She's not as far left of the center line as Bernie but these days Republicans have veered totally off the road, across the ditch and are somewhere way out in the woods on the right hand side.

No matter which one of them gets the nomination I wont have to hold my nose to vote for either of them. I'll gladly vote for whichever candidate is running against the new National Socialist Party.

Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/12/15 01:07 PM
its somewhat early here, as my brain is trying to wake up but some stream along the way ....

based on current trends i see a situation of three blocks at the convention
1. the Trump
2. Sen Cruz
3. establishment (Rubio-Bush complex)

i see each block having about the same support and none giving an inch. how many times will they vote before everyone realizes the party is completely fractured and they can not present a candidate unless they broker for a single voice? either the establishment gives in to the crazies or vice versa.

the other day limbaugh was commenting about Fiorina's comment that if Trump was the candidate Sec Clinton would easily win but he poo pooed that by arguing if that were true then she, Fiorina, could do the same. Clearly he is clueless as the comparison is not equivalent. had he actually understood the difference he would understand the establishments quandary as they clearly understand the situation.

everyone's analysis is if Trump is the candidate Sec Clinton wins easily. the establishment has no choice but to broker the convention at the convention

Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/12/15 02:21 PM
Quote
everyone's analysis is if Trump is the candidate Sec Clinton wins easily. the establishment has no choice but to broker the convention at the convention

The problem faced by the Republican establishment is that whichever candidate they choose from this long circus train, Madame Clinton will win easily.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/12/15 05:17 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
The problem faced by the Republican establishment is that whichever candidate they choose from this long circus train, Madame Clinton will win easily.
Exactly, which is why I'm reading that the RNC is thinking about drafting Mitt.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/12/15 07:43 PM
And of course, if they don't pick Trump, off he goes into a Third Party run. The question then would be how many of his voters would also vote for Republican Senators and Representatives or if they would share his irritation with the Republican party. So a Trump run could result in a Democratic Congress for Hillary.

There's also the gender factor. How many women care more about gender than party affiliation? Hillary could end up with unprecedented turnout, just because women would have a chance to vote for the first female President. Does't every woman want to be able to tell her granddauhters she voted for the first female President? 50 years from now, we may not even remember what Republicans were, but we will still have gender.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/14/15 03:28 AM
It dawns on me, after reading a few articles like this one, that Bernie Sanders may have a better chance than I'm giving him credit for in garnering the Democratic nomination. I know a lot of people planning to vote for him in the primaries but expecting to vote for Madame Clinton in the general election.

It's entirely possible that there are enough of them to actually swing it his way.

On another note, regarding gender, millennials don't trust Hillary and Bernie's message resonates with them... But will they vote in sufficient numbers in the primary elections to make a difference? My youngest wants very much for there to be a woman elected to the Presidency, but she intends to vote for Bernie in the primaries.

Bernie has, without a doubt, won the internet. While mainstream media may not be giving him the coverage he deserves, I see far more coverage of Bernie on the internet than I see of Madame Clinton.

We may actually have a horse race folks.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/14/15 05:12 AM
Hey Greger!

This board needs someone to replace Donna. You up to the task?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/14/15 01:07 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Bernie has, without a doubt, won the internet. While mainstream media may not be giving him the coverage he deserves, I see far more coverage of Bernie on the internet than I see of Madame Clinton.

We may actually have a horse race folks.

That would certainly be refreshing. I was just about to post something about the lack of mainstream media coverage of our friend Bernie. You beat me to it ThumbsUp
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/14/15 02:37 PM
Feel the Bern!
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/14/15 02:57 PM
There are rumors afoot around the internets that Donald Trump has begun a slump in the polls, giving way to the original batshite crazy Republican candidate Rafael Edward Cruz. You remember him....the freshman Senator out of Texas despised by his peers in Congress and originally given not a snowball's chance is South Texas of ever winning the nomination?
He's the establishment favorite now. Not because they deem him an establishment politician but because compared to Trump he is considered "controllable".
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/14/15 03:03 PM
Quote
Feel the Bern!
I'm still not really "feeling the Bern"

And I believe the ever present mistrust of Madame Clinton is misplaced and largely a product of Republican propaganda.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/14/15 03:20 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
I'm still not really "feeling the Bern"
Given the richness of your cuisine, I'm surprised. smile
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/14/15 03:19 PM
Quote
I believe the ever present mistrust of Madame Clinton is misplaced and largely a product of Republican propaganda
I have to agree

when embellished stories, tenuous accusations, misinterpretations of statements, and outright lies are removed from the conversation, there is just not much there, other than she was married to Pres Clinton.

I support the facts, not the propaganda
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/14/15 04:43 PM
Originally Posted by rporter314
Quote
I believe the ever present mistrust of Madame Clinton is misplaced and largely a product of Republican propaganda
I have to agree

when embellished stories, tenuous accusations, misinterpretations of statements, and outright lies are removed from the conversation, there is just not much there, other than she was married to Pres Clinton.

I support the facts, not the propaganda
I agree as well. That's why this whole EIGHTH! Benghazi hearing is happening - 'cept Hillz 11-hour testimony made Trey Gowdy look like an idiot and he's not seeking re-election.

...and I'll take Trey Gowdy any day over rat-faced Darryl Issa.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/14/15 05:24 PM
Quote
made Trey Gowdy look like an idiot and he's not seeking re-election.


Perhaps as president Hillary Clinton can make a lot more Republican congress members look like idiots and abandon their seats.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/14/15 07:05 PM


How about President Bernie and VP Hillz? cool
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/15/15 02:32 AM
Or vice versa, depending on who gets the nod.

It won't happen though. Both are excellent choices for President, but I'm not sure either is Vice Presidential material.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 12/15/15 05:25 PM


RNC: Save us Ted Cruz, you're our only hope
[Linked Image from i1308.photobucket.com]
RNC hopes Ted Cruz's raise in poll saves them from The Donald
CNN.com
Posted By: Doug Thompson Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/03/16 11:16 AM
I'm told there is a problem with this topic. This is a test. This is only a test. If this had been a real letter bomb your fingers would be missing.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/11/16 10:39 PM
And I THINK we are back ON THE AIR...welcome back to Campaign 2016 everyone.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/11/16 10:46 PM
And to start back up, let's address the current brou-haha over Hillary supposedly getting an equal number of delegates even after Bernie beat her soundly in NH.

The fact is, these are superdelegates and although most of them already pledged to Hillary, the fact is, they CAN change their mind anytime. At this stage, Obama was in the same position.

Clinton Did NOT Win Equal Delegates in New Hampshire
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/11/16 10:52 PM
After Sanders' Big Win in New Hamps...ith Superdelegates. Here's Why It's B.S.

After Sanders' Big Win in New Hampshire, Establishment Figures Want to Scare You with Superdelegates. Here's Why It's Bulls***
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/12/16 12:02 AM
It appears to be fixed. Glory Hallelujah.

If Bernie Sanders should keep winning in the primaries there is a good chance some of the superdelegates will swing his way. However, neither of those scenarios is really likely.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/17/16 03:49 AM
What does everyone think of the whole brouhaha surrounding Clinton getting an equal number of NH superdelegates despite getting CRUSHED by Sanders?
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/17/16 04:08 AM
New Hampsha is a small state. It really can't have all that many delegates anyway. If Bernie is gonna grab the gold ring he's gonna need repeat performances in a bunch of other states. I really don't foresee it happening but I will be pleasantly surprised if it does.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/17/16 04:10 AM
And Major Kudos go out to Moderator Haas for his brilliant effort in getting this forum working correctly. ThumbsUp
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/17/16 10:32 AM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
What does everyone think of the whole brouhaha surrounding Clinton getting an equal number of NH superdelegates despite getting CRUSHED by Sanders?
Same shyte different day.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/17/16 06:07 PM
Superdelegates are not REQUIRED to stick with a specific candidate even if they are pledged?
If another candidate arrives at the convention packing an overwhelming majority, even superdelegates have to respond to the will of the people?

Is that what you're saying?
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/17/16 06:29 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
What does everyone think of the whole brouhaha surrounding Clinton getting an equal number of NH superdelegates despite getting CRUSHED by Sanders?
It sucks. mad
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/17/16 06:31 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
New Hampsha is a small state. It really can't have all that many delegates anyway.
32 Delegates. Clinton got 9 Super Delegates out of it, then they split the remainder 50/50.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/17/16 06:32 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
And Major Kudos go out to Moderator Haas for his brilliant effort in getting this forum working correctly. ThumbsUp
Yay!!! We now have a tech dweeb for Moderator. It's about time!!11!!!!!1!!1!1!!! Tech dweebs rule!!!!1!! smile

Huzzah! laugh
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/17/16 08:36 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
New Hampsha is a small state.

If I actually pronounce it "Noo Hampsha" I might turn into a "chowda-head".
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/17/16 08:37 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Greger
And Major Kudos go out to Moderator Haas for his brilliant effort in getting this forum working correctly. ThumbsUp
Yay!!! We now have a tech dweeb for Moderator. It's about time!!11!!!!!1!!1!1!!! Tech dweebs rule!!!!1!! smile

Huzzah! laugh

Aww shux, tain't nuthin. I used to help run a forum devoted to camera stuff and it was UBB, so everything looked sort of familiar.
I probably killed that camera forum about a half dozen times figuring it out so basically I already made all the screwups years ago.
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/17/16 10:18 PM
Just a bit of self-horn-tooting, I have done a bit around here before
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/17/16 10:44 PM
Originally Posted by Phil Hoskins
Just a bit of self-horn-tooting, I have done a bit around here before
That was you? I thought it was all magic!
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/18/16 01:24 AM
Don't think for one minute, Phil, that we don't appreciate your efforts around here. You've been steady as a rock for years.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/19/16 12:49 AM
Phil, you KNOW we Ranters love you more than we love our luggage.
If you didn't know, now you do.
I am just a bottle washer and a tire jockey, and as can be seen by the evidence, STILL IN NEED of massive amounts of guidance, which you supplied just a mere two days ago.

So for the record, allow me to send all those flowers I got over to Phil, NWP, Skyhawk, Greger and of course our head honcho Doug.

I am deeply grateful for being allowed to toggle the switches and jiggle the handle on the machinery but I am the least experienced at the ART of moderating and the credit for that goes decidedly to the above and many others who may no longer be with us.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/25/16 02:35 AM


Marco Rubio is pretty sure that his unique strategy of not winning any states will help him carve a path to the nomination.

Quote
“You don’t win the nomination by how many states you win,” Rubio responded before adding that he will have to win some winner-take-all states in March.

- TPM

[Linked Image from ]
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/25/16 09:44 AM
You just need more candidates to drop out, and Rubio will ascend to the lead. All those minor candidates should drop out now. By staying, they are just hurting their party. A court decision that disqualifies Cruz would put Rubio in the lead too.

Of course, I could be wrong. Just depends on how racist the old white men are. Could be they won't vote for a Hispanic. But he doesn't seem all that Hispanic. Just look at the sharp suit and tie!
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/25/16 09:44 PM


Vicente Fox:
Quote
No estamos pagando para pinche la pared

Real Clear Politics
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/26/16 08:41 AM

Now that Rick Perry's indictments have been set aside, he thinks he has a chance (again!) at being POTUS in 2016 because of a brokered GOP convention.

Linky Dinky
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/26/16 03:08 PM
On the subject of who would be more likely to advance an agenda as President - Clinton or Sanders - the following was posted on a local blog by a guy I know:

Quote
As for Bernie Sanders vs. Hillary Clinton: You knock Sanders because he is, in your description, an ineffective legislator and unlikely to pass an agenda if he wins the presidency. On the other hand, it is implied, Clinton will be effective.

I remember 2007, when Barack Obama was first coming into view. At public events around the country and in Silver City, Obama was making an appeal that politics had become corrosive and poisonous, and the people of the country needed a new way of talking to one another. Obama promised he could break through the logjam. My attitude towards Obama and towards those who supported him and pushed that line was that they were deluded. "With whom," I thought, "do you think you are dealing? Have you been paying attention to the Republicans?"

To those who think that President Bernie Sanders will be ineffective but President Hillary Clinton will "get things done," I say: "With whom do you think you are dealing? Have you been paying attention to the Republicans?" The reality is that neither President Sanders nor President Clinton will get much -- if anything -- done, at least initially, and maybe for the entire course of their presidencies. That does not mean that it does not matter which one becomes president.

To take just one issue: Neither President Clinton nor President Sanders, faced with a Republican majority in both houses of Congress, is going to get anything through. But President Clinton will call, repeatedly, for an increase in the minimum wage from $7.25/hour to $10.10/hour (which is what Obama is currently calling for -- to no avail). What is persuasive about that call? That it will raise income for a full-time worker from the poverty line for a family of 2 to the poverty line for a family of 3? Clearly, that still leaves children in poverty -- a fact that Clinton will never mention. On the other hand, President Sanders will call -- over and over again -- for a minimum wage of $15.00/hour. He will say, truthfully, that at $15.00, a family of five that now lives at about 50% of the poverty line will be lifted above the poverty line.

Which message, repeated over and over again from the bully pulpit of the White House, is likely to catch on and resonate and perhaps -- just perhaps -- get people to change whom they elect to Congress? The one that calls for us to keep children of working parents in poverty? Or the one that calls for us to lift children out of poverty?

I take it as a given that neither Sanders nor Clinton will get much if anything done in a first term, and maybe not in a second, either. We don't know what changes the atmosphere created by President Sanders might instigate. We do know what changes President Clinton, trying to "get things done," will bring. We have had that experience. We will get welfare reform that cuts the ground out from the unemployed and underemployed in an economy that creates ever more people in those two categories. We will get further proof that "the era of big government is over." (Who said that? Hmm. I wonder.) We will get more trade deals like NAFTA (Clinton's current expedient and soon-to-be-abandoned opposition to the TPP notwithstanding).

Pundits say that there is not much difference between the policy pronouncements of Sanders and Clinton. I'm not sure I agree, but even if I did, is there anyone foolish enough to believe that President Clinton will be saying from the White House lawn what candidate Clinton is saying now while Bernie Sanders has a megaphone? On the other hand, is there anyone who thinks President Sanders will be saying anything other than what he is saying now, no matter who the opposition is?

It is a possibility that we won't ever get what President Sanders will call for. It is a certainty we will never get what President Clinton will not even talk about.

AW
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/26/16 05:12 PM
Hillary comes from a tradition of finding the areas of commonality and striking a compromise with your opponents. (Lookup Bill Clinton triangulating.) I've never heard that about Bernie Sanders.

And in fact the positions they are taking right now reflect this difference. That is why many people think Clinton will be more likely to accomplish stuff.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/26/16 06:00 PM
I think my friend agreed, but the devil is in the details of the "stuff".
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/26/16 07:32 PM
Loggy, I am quite enamored of your blogger friend and would love to read more from him.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/26/16 08:00 PM
10-4.

He doesn't post very often, but when he does he has a knack for getting to the core of things.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/26/16 11:15 PM
Come on, mate...give us some details! ThumbsUp
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/27/16 02:02 AM
He's married.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/27/16 04:12 AM
Errrr....I wasn't saying I was enamored in a sexual way.
I realize that I have a lot of gay friends, Loggy, but please know I am hetero and happily married to Mrs. Haas.

[Linked Image from deepfreezevideo.com]
[Linked Image from deepfreezevideo.com]

Maybe I used the wrong words, maybe it's a budding bromance but I assure you the only fluids I would like to exchange with your buddy would be Budweiser.

I just want to read his blog fer Criminey's sake. ROTFMOL
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/27/16 04:13 AM
Dammit Rick, this is all YOUR fault! LOL
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/27/16 04:58 AM
I see, you're only interested in him for his mind!

I may have used inappropriate terminology - Alan doesn't have a blog, he just posts once in a while on a local community forum. I have quoted him here before when he has written something I thought worth sharing, and will continue to do so, but don't hold your breath between posts.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/27/16 05:34 AM
The guy's a genius, and it's okay if you want to keep him to yourself!
Don't ever let Rick find out though. ROTFMOL
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/27/16 05:38 AM
And I wanted to take this opportunity to thank EVERYONE at Capitol Hill Blue.
I don't know where to post this so anywhere will do.
It is BECAUSE OF Capitol Hill Blue's members that my wife, Karen Mitchell Haas, has finally become intensely politically aware and awake.

Truth be told it began about two or three years ago but today it is in full flower.
When we first got together my political involvement annoyed her so much that I actually worried that it might split us up. She even told me that even though she loved me deeply and found me fun to be with, my political rantings drove her crazy.

Well, I am proud to say she is now INFECTED.
She hardly ever types...MS is something that has messed up her hands so when she does type it's with one finger but she reads EVERYTHING, and she is now an avid reader of CHB and has been for a while now.

Don't be surprised if she decides to join someday.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/27/16 07:21 AM


Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Dammit Rick, this is all YOUR fault! LOL
What did I do? Hmm , gobsmacked
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/27/16 09:21 AM
Quote
my wife, Karen Mitchell Haas, has finally become intensely politically aware and awake

And I bet she loves the ACA provision about insurance companies having to take everybody! I sure do. It came along just in time for me. Without it I would be uninsured and looking at $1000000 medical bills for all those MRIs and muscle tests.

When Republicans talk about killing Obamacare it is a matter of life and death for me.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/27/16 06:14 PM
Actually Congress screwed Karen and her fellow veterans anyway.
The ACA says that parents are allowed to keep their kids on their policy till age 26, right?
Karen, as a 100 percent disabled service connected veteran, was allowed to keep Daryl and Brianne on her VA coverage, using CHAMPVA, till they were eighteen.

Then when the ACA passed we were first told they would be allowed to stay till 26 but Congress "forgot" to pay attention to the loophole, thus the VA is actually NOT IN COMPLIANCE with the ACA because the ONE GROUP - - 100 percent disabled service connected veterans, STILL lose coverage for their kids at age eighteen, so we had to buy outside coverage for both kids instead of keeping them on the CHAMPVA plan.

The loophole was brought up in Congress in 2010 and we were promised they would fix the loophole but of course Republicans filibustered and the motion got tabled, and never revisited again.

Brianne is relatively healthy, but Daryl is a "million dollar kid" who would have perished in infancy had it not been for the Clinton efforts at passing the S-Chip program in the 1990's, so Daryl must thank President Clinton for saving his life.

Karen's exposure to spent nuke sub fuel and other radioactive compounds stored at the defunct Naval Radiological Laboratory in Hunter's Point is the cause of Daryl's five major heart defects, which closely mimic "Chernobyl Heart Syndrome", found in parents of children who were living in close proximity to the damaged Chernobyl nuclear reactor in 1986.

In essence, Karen is not only an MS patient, she's also an "atomic sailor" much like the old soldiers who got accidentally dosed during the early nuclear tests at the Nevada Test Site or at the H-bomb tests at Bikini Atoll.

We are currently gathering all the names of all sailors and civilian contractors who worked or served at Hunters Point in the last forty years in an effort to launch a class action lawsuit.

I'm guessing that the Republicans will, sooner or later, take a shot across the bow at Veteran's Benefits in a BIG way, and attempt to cut benefits and privatize medical services.
A nice fat class action lawsuit might help defray the loss of both, the way I figure it but I am aware of the fact that these things take time, which is why we started our project back in 2008.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/27/16 06:28 PM


What I gather from your own personal experience, Jeff, is that Republicans love the military when they are warriors taking other country's resources, but don't like them once they come home, treat them differently, and rather could care less about them.

Shameful! mad
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/27/16 07:29 PM
Yeah, no kidding!

[Linked Image from makethemaccountable.com]
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/27/16 08:37 PM
And it is hard for me to comprehend how ALL the folks at the Dallas VA can be SO wonderful, because either all of them are liberals, or they are the few remaining GOOD conservatives still living in Texas.

We're really proud of the terrific job that the LONG BEACH VA is doing but I am on record as also praising the Dallas VA for being instrumental in helping Karen in the very beginning and all through our ten years living in Texas.

You'd think that, being in a red state, the Dallas VA would be horrible...the Memphis VA certainly was a horror story! But Dallas stands out as one of the GOOD things about Texas and we still owe them big time for helping Karen.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/28/16 05:16 AM
I have heard nothing but praise for VA Hospitals, in every state. BTW those are federal employees, so I don't think the state matters much. (I'm prejudiced: I met my wife when we were both working in research at the VAH in San Diego.) It can take a while to be accepted, but once you are in the care is very good.

I also have to say: Your wife's exposure at Hunter's Point may have been accidental, but all those sailors off Bikini and soldiers in New Mexico were exposed on purpose. The government wanted to know exactly what would happen to troop effectiveness in the event nuclear weapons were used on the battlefield.

We did a lot of very stupid things back then, mostly because we didn't know any better. Of course, they used to sell Radium Water as a cure-all too!
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/28/16 11:42 AM
Why Democrats Should Beware Sanders’ Socialism

Very worth reading, if you think Sanders is the solution.

We are suffering from Republicans redefinition of everything progressive and Liberal as Socialist, but there is a huge difference.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/28/16 01:49 PM
I found the article to be a muddle of theoretical/philosophical musings intermixed mixed with fairly rigid Big S and Big L word definitions sprinkled with a few speculative anecdotal "for instances".

For instance, the proposed tax on financial transactions being a probable depressant on "investing" - for one thing, unlike Mr. Trump, Sanders does not have the superpower to create laws unilaterally that will fix everything, and what are now his rather generically detailed proposals would have to be worked out in the sausage-making process, resulting, in a perfect world, of better crafted legislation.

In the real world, nothing will happen because of the sausage-making process, but at least we would be shifting a bit of our collective consciousness to the fact that much of what happens on Wall Street, that is now naively accepted under the rubric of "investing", might become better understood to be what it really is - a substantially rigged gambling game - harmful to a healthy and productive economy.

Sanders will get virtually none of his grand Socialist, or even democratic socialist, schemes enacted if he is elected President. Raising red flags about what Bernie would do to this country is another fantasy apocalyptical red herring meme, just when what we need is to break free of our ignorance.

I think of Bernie as more of a Socratic teacher who is trying to break down our crystallized cultural thought habits, including our stale definitions of words - like capitalism, liberalism, socialism - and bring us into a more open and solution oriented mode of understanding and addressing our rather yuuge set of problems.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/28/16 05:45 PM
I don't know if I'm ready to compare Bernie to Socrates.

As the author points out, all of Bernie's big plans require enormous tax increases. Now, as a Democrat, I don't really have a problem with increasing taxes here and there to accomplish important goals. But to our Republican controlled congress the only important goal is to decrease taxes. The irresistable force would meet the immovable object and while there might be a lot of grunting and groaning gong on from both sides of the aisle the result would essentially be an enormous clash of ideologies and a stalemate of Biblical proportions.

But from the looks of things we'll never see it happen anyway and so all this chatter about socialism becomes pretty much a moot point.

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/28/16 06:31 PM

At one time in American history, the wealthy paid taxes, now a days, not so much.

[Linked Image from newsbatch.com]

Source
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/29/16 12:52 AM
Posted on Facebook today:
Quote
Not that anyone should care, but many of you have told me (often repeatedly) of you preference for our next President, I will share my thinking.

I basically suspect anyone crazy enough to run for the office, but of those who have chosen to do so, there isn't anyone on the Republican side that I would even hire to scoop up dog poop.

Between Sanders and Clinton, I would choose Clinton. I like the rhetoric of Sanders but rhetoric isn't enough. The person needs to be electable to start with, and I doubt he would get enough votes. Beyond that, person is only as good in office as they are able to move the nation and Congress to action.

Clinton has the balls for the job but I just don't think Sanders does. Finally, I think the nation needs to elect a woman as President. We are seriously retarded in giving women power at this level compared to most nations of the world.

So, as has been the case with every election during my lifetime except Mr. Carter, I unenthusiastically support Hillary Clinton, at least at this point.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/29/16 01:25 AM
funny:
Quote
there isn't anyone on the Republican side that I would even hire to scoop up dog poop
C'mon guy, tell us how you really feel...

I guess I'm just a pragmatist. Both Trump and Sanders have unrealistic goals, to the point of insanity. Why bother electing somebody who can't fulfill even one tiny bit of their campaign promises, and you know that? Do you really like government not to be able to do anything? That seems like the last 6 years to me. I'm tired of it.

Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/29/16 02:05 AM
Well, that's three of us pretty much on the same page.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/29/16 01:49 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
I don't know if I'm ready to compare Bernie to Socrates.
I didn't have much time to come up with a better comparison, the point is that Bernie is questioning the roots of some of our problems and bringing them out in the open for examination.

Madame Clinton is not.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/29/16 05:08 PM
They are both addressing essentially the same issues. She wants to make college more affordable. He wants to make it free.
She wants to build on the ACA. He wants to dump it and start over. Women's rights, racial equality, LBGT rights, higher wages, regulation of Wall Street, immigration etc. etc. All the normal liberal progressive issues. She wants to take the slow and steady route, he wants it all at once.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/29/16 06:37 PM
Agreed: Her plans require at least a Democratic Senate and some arm-twisting in the House (both well within the realms of possibility). His plans require not only a Democratic Senate and House, but a very liberal Democratic Senate and House.

Don't forget, the ACA has no public option and kisses Big Pharma butt because of some Democrats who were very resistant to the bill. We have a number of fairly conservative Democrats in Congress. Even with a simple majority of Democrats, we can't pass things like raising top tax rates to 70%.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 02/29/16 10:23 PM
In case one missed this:

Will Trump Upend The G.O.P.?

Trump fever, Trump panic in the G.O.P. On the eve of Super Tuesday, we’ll look at the political battle shaking the party.


http://www.npr.org/podcasts/510053/on-point-with-tom-ashbrook
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 12:28 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
They are both addressing essentially the same issues. She wants to make college more affordable. He wants to make it free.
She wants to build on the ACA. He wants to dump it and start over. Women's rights, racial equality, LBGT rights, higher wages, regulation of Wall Street, immigration etc. etc. All the normal liberal progressive issues. She wants to take the slow and steady route, he wants it all at once.

Not sure Bernie wants to "dump the ACA" and start over, if only because he's aware of the difficulties that would arise from a scorched Earth approach. He does want to put something else together and TRANSITION to it when it's ready.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 02:59 AM
Bernie is an advocate of "Medicare For All". While I agree that it's probably the best plan overall I just don't think it's going to happen during the next administration. It will involve some pretty massive tax increases and the destruction of a lot of for profit private insurance companies while growing government to take the place of the private companies.
As long as there are Republicans, as we know them, it aint gonna happen.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 03:18 AM
Did anyone listen to that podcast I linked?
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 08:35 AM
Actually, Medicare contracts with these same insurance companies to handle all the claims. They just do it for much less profit than they rake in from regular insurance plans.

So all it would take is shifting the employer contributions that now pay for health insurance directly into Medicare. The insurance companies would still be handling the same number of claims, they would all be Medicare claims instead of both kinds. And they would not be too happy with their lower profits. They make 20% of every health care dollar on regular policies. I think on Medicare they only get 5%.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 01:12 PM
it still does not solve the problem

premiums of any kind are a result of the cost of payouts .... thus if the cost drivers are not held in check it would not matter if it is medicare or private insurance i.e. the premiums still go up

the government addresses the problem by lowering payouts which may, in itself, be a cause of rising doctors costs

the challenge is to find an economic solution which manages rising costs at an acceptable level .... ACA attempts to do that, but like an octopus trying to walk on land, it gets in its own way

while medicare increases the pool size, which should have a reduction in premiums as a short term effect, it still will not inherently reduce cost drivers, which in the long term continue to cause premiums to rise at the same rates

Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 04:17 PM
I listened to most of it, Big I. Intriguing that some see Trump for the lying, unethical salesman that he is while others see value and competence. Blows me away.

Bernie and Hillary are both beating Trump handily in a new poll.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 04:19 PM
What is it that Clinton will be able to accomplish with R majorities in the House and Senate?
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 04:59 PM
In a nutshell, the same sort of things that President Obama has accomplished.
A lot can be done with executive orders as long as the President is working within existing law. The Supreme Court decides if the executive order is overreaching. With a more liberal supreme court Hillary's executive orders would more easily pass muster.

Most of Bernie's plans require new legislation and tax increases.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 07:23 PM
I bet Bernie could learn to do executive orders.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 08:28 PM
He could, but I imagine it would break his spirit. He wants to lead a revolution, which means having a Liberal Democratic majority in both Houses of Congress so he can pass all his bills to reform America into a Social-Democratic utopia.

I think Clinton's goals are a bit more modest. Of course, she would like a Democratic majority Congress but has the temperament to work with Republicans too. Heck, she was a Young Republican for Eisenhower!
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 08:32 PM
Good article about why Trump now:
Obama Didn't Create Trump

Quote
Obama is an adult. Therefore, Republicans are nominating a child.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 08:58 PM
Eisenhower these days would be viewed as a far radical leftist. I mean, the federal gummint building an interstate freeway system?

That borders on Communism --don’t it?
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 09:42 PM
That's the strange thing: Only a Great Country could tackle something like the US Interstate Highway System. Does that mean Donald Trump wants to make America the kind of country that can take on big government projects?
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 10:08 PM
Quote
Does that mean Donald Trump wants to make America the kind of country that can take on big government projects?
Like an enormous wall along our southern border?
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 10:12 PM
I guess we'll have to do it, since the Mexicans refuse to pay for it.

Interesting that Republicans actually DO want Big Government to take on Big Projects. (Just as long as a Republican is doing it, and they get Haliburton to hire all non-union labor.) Seems a bit New Deal to me.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 10:39 PM
Lets assume Trump wins the general. Which he won’t. But for “fun” let’s say he does.

I could see him attempting to rebuild failing infrastructure and not necessarily The Wall. He might be able to drop the wall idea by proclaiming it unfeasible. Hey-- he can and does say anything and everything that pops into his head. And he is “The Builder” right? A hotel here, a golf course there, and then bridges to everywhere.

All new infrastructure would be required to have a huge T be slapped on the sides in red, white, and blue.

It would certainly be a wild and unpredictable adventure with Trump at the helm. But it’s not going to happen.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/01/16 11:30 PM
Trump's new book: The Art of the New Deal: Lubing America with Snake Oil.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/02/16 02:59 AM
Bend over, America!
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/02/16 03:38 PM
Looks like Hillary's Southern Strategy is working well - running as Mrs. Bill gets a lot of votes!
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/02/16 06:06 PM


Originally Posted by logtroll
Looks like Hillary's Southern Strategy is working well - running as Mrs. Bill gets a lot of votes!
The deep red down-there regions of the Confederate states of AmeriKKKa sure likes them some Mrs. Bill Clinton! laugh
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/02/16 09:09 PM
I think most Democrats in the deep south are Black. Hence the support for Hillary, since they LOVE Bill.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/03/16 02:54 AM
Oh, there's a heap of us Southern Democrats left that are white.
We like Mr. Bill aplenty too, and look forward to having him as the first First Gentleman.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/03/16 08:52 PM



I thought two-time loser Mitt was going to tell us that the family dog still travels on the roof of the family station wagon. Good ol' Mitt only told us how the Republicans suck and especially Donald Trump.

Mitt sounds like he wants his ass kicked a third time, and this time by a lady.

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: jgw Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/03/16 10:30 PM
http://www.dailykos.com/stories/201...when-you-realize-George-Carlin-was-right
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/05/16 12:53 AM
Hilarious:
Obama Caused Trump

Bobby Jindal blaming Democrats for electing a serious, thoughtful, law professor. Because of course, Republicans had to do "the opposite thang" and support Trump.

Quote
This is your fault, Democrats. If you had elected a red-faced, racist bullying lout as president, then Republicans would be reacting today by rallying around somebody who’s intellectual, humble, and non-abusive, and we’d all be in fine shape. But nooooooo. You had to nominate a wonkish, emotionally controlled law professor, forcing Republicans to turn to an unhinged racist reality-television star in response.

Article author paraphrasing Jindal
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/08/16 03:37 PM
Hillary's dirty trick

Clinton plays fast and loose with the facts to trip up Sanders at the last debate. I don't care for that sort of behavior.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/08/16 04:49 PM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Hillary's dirty trick

Clinton plays fast and loose with the facts to trip up Sanders at the last debate. I don't care for that sort of behavior.
Expect more of the same when she becomes president. Also too, there'll be scandals du jour if the Clinton tradition continues. Seems that scandals and the name "Clinton" go hand and hand... coffee
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/08/16 06:17 PM
From the article...

Quote
We rate Clinton’s claim Half True.

Not exactly playing fast and loose with the facts. This is politics, not Sunday School.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/08/16 06:38 PM
Half true, except for the part that Sanders didn't vote for, which funded the auto bailout, didn't say it was going to be for the auto bailout. Then Sanders did vote for the auto bailout, which didn't pass. "Half true" is not accurate. It was an intentional lie.

You can say "this is politics, not Sunday school", if you think like Ma_R. But you can also say that it is dirty play for the sake of winning. Which I had hoped was behavior limited to the Rs.

I am not favorably impressed.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/08/16 08:16 PM


It's not the first time that Hillary has told a whopper.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/08/16 08:59 PM
Quote
I had hoped was behavior limited to the Rs.
It has never and will never be limited to one party or the other.
Bernie is, perhaps, more honest than most but this graph from Politifact has them pretty much rated the same.
Which would mean that Bernie has probably told some whoppers along the way too.
Scroll down to see the graph

I don't subscribe to the Republican fueled meme that Madame Clinton is inherently dishonest. Neither do I believe, as as extreme progressives do, that Bernie is above reproach.

Bernie voted against the money that eventually went to the auto industry. Why? Because Bernie doesn't compromise. Everything is a black or white issue to him.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/08/16 11:43 PM
Limbaugh touched on the Sec Clinton honesty meme today .... his story is people continue to comment that at any moment X (the FBI is the current entity) will reveal the truth of her lies and file charges .... he continued by saying for 20 some years there has never been any one who can prove she is a liar .... he of course continued with the conspiracy theory that because DoJ etc etc even if the truth was found out

it of course never occurred to this cretin, there may not be anything to the continued conservative memes if no one has produced the proof after 20 years

Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 12:14 AM
I wonder if Limbaugh will ever face a Joseph McCarty moment? When someone will call him out to the carpet for his endless and misleading self serving rants. And then leave him twisting in the wind.

Likely not. Limbaugh’s ego is made of diamond impregnated titanium. And he will certainly “know” the truth. As it spills out from his huge pie hole.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 12:35 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
...Bernie voted against the money that eventually went to the auto industry. Why? Because Bernie doesn't compromise. Everything is a black or white issue to him.
Nuh-uh...

Quote
The claim, though, leaves listeners with the impression that Sanders’ opposed bailing out the auto industry. But he voted in favor of providing auto companies with $14 billion, which was separate from the Wall Street bailout funds he opposed. That standalone measure failed.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 12:40 AM
Limbaugh is an entertainer. He can't even be sued for libel or defamation....

Quote
In tort law a plaintiff cannot bring a libel lawsuit against a defendant with a public reputation as a liar. The legal reasoning is that a known liar cannot damage the reputation of anybody, because nobody will believe the slanderous remarks of a known public liar!

That means that Limbaugh, Hannity and O' Reilly have made so many inaccurate, misleading and untruthful remarks about various people that they cannot be sued for libel because any reasonable person would never believe anything they said. So goes the precedent of law.

Therefore Limbaugh, Hannity and O'Reilly are practically exempt from tort actions and the more they slander people the harder it becomes to bring a lawsuit against them.
Really?

But people do believe what they say. Fervently. And they spread it far and wide until even Democrats have heard it so many times that they believe it too. Hillary Clinton is not a serial liar. She's a politician campaigning for the highest office in the land. Bernie Sanders is no saint either. Doesn't matter to me which one you like or which one you vote for, just so you vote for one or the other of them.....
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 01:26 AM
[Linked Image from i1083.photobucket.com]
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 01:40 AM
See! No compromise. Same with fracking. He'd ban it outright. She'd make it safer. We are not at a point where we can abandon fossil fuels yet.
I don't think Bernie could ban fracking. But Madame Clinton COULD make it safer.

Free college....He can't do it. But she can work to reduce interest rates and strive for more scholarships and grants for those who can't afford college.

Medicare for all. Not gonna happen. But states can be coerced into accepting expanded Medicaid.

I like everything Bernie stands for and believe that it will all ultimately happen. But not in the next eight years.

Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 03:05 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
See! No compromise.
Not following. The subject was Sanders voting for the auto bailout, or not. He did. Clinton lied.

Besides, taking a harder line does not exclude compromise, it just moves the potential endpoint of compromise.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 03:32 AM
He voted against the bill that bailed out the auto industry.
Because he would not compromise and also bail out Wall St.

He took the hard line and voted for the stand alone bill that did not pass.

The art of the possible....



Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 03:43 AM
I don't think the auto bailout was part of the TARP bill. GW Bush used TARP money for it on his own.

Backfire?
Quote
Clinton's team is shaken by the close race that's emerging in Michigan, sources told CNN's Jeff Zeleny. Michigan Democrats who are aligned with Clinton's campaign do not believe that Clinton's attack on Sanders' position on the auto bailout worked as they intended.

Wasn't Clinton up by double digits in Michigan a few days ago?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 04:26 AM
This is shaping up to be the most consequential race in decades.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 04:50 AM
Quote
GW Bush used TARP money for it on his own.
I remember it really pissed off the Republican rank and file. They were calling GM "Government Motors" and swearing they'd never buy another Chevy. More likely it was Obama rather than Bush.

Maybe folks are getting off their asses finally and surging for Bernie. He's got a ways to go but it's still a horse race.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 04:58 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
This is shaping up to be the most consequential race in decades.

Isn't it great to live in such interesting times....
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 08:38 AM
Bush used TARP for the auto bailout in December 2008
Quote
December 19, 2008, a week after Republicans in the Senate had killed a bailout bill proposed by Democrats, saying it didn’t impose big enough wage cuts on the U.A.W., Bush unilaterally agreed to lend $17.4 billion of taxpayers’ money to General Motors and Chrysler, of which $13.4 billion was to be extended immediately. He had to twist the law to get the money. Deprived of congressional funding, he diverted cash from the loathed TARP program, which Congress had already passed, but which was supposed to be restricted to rescuing the banks. “I didn’t want there to twenty-one-per-cent unemployment,” he said to a meeting of the National Automobile Dealers Association in Las Vegas last month, explaining why he acted as he did. “I didn’t want history to look back and say, ‘Bush could have done something but chose not to do it.’ ”
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 04:53 PM
Funny. When the "compassionate conservative" finally does something compassionate the other conservatives hate him for it.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 05:02 PM
J. Swift would not be surprised...
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 05:45 PM
Like the second amendment, they only paid attention to the second half.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 07:15 PM
GOP establishment creeps toward Cruz

If Sen Cruz is the GOP nominee and the Democratic nominee has a "heart attack" we will have a president whose sole intention is the destruction of America and to lay the foundation for Armageddon .... go Trump
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/09/16 11:09 PM
Originally Posted by rporter314
Ted Cruz really creeps me out too. Apparently, creeps his daughter out as well:

Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/10/16 03:13 AM
If such a thing can be said, Cruz is far worse than Trump.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/10/16 03:57 AM
Quote
This is shaping up to be the most consequential race in decades.
Actually if you think about it the 2000 election may have been equally consequential. Except "we" lost that one and the consequences were horrendous.

With a President Al Gore it's entirely possible that the 9/11 attack may not have happened. The Afghan and Iraqi wars certainly wouldn't have happened, nor the Great Recession. Perhaps we would not have had our first black president but may have avoided the TEA Party and the radicalization of the Republican Party altogether. Al Gore is an environmentalist and would have supported efforts early on to fight global warming and would have embraced renewable energy sources. Perhaps Hillary Clinton would be our president now and Donald Trump nor Ted Cruz would even be candidates in this election.
Perhaps we'd be poised today to elect Senator Obama as our next President.....
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/10/16 05:08 AM


Originally Posted by Greger
If such a thing can be said, Cruz is far worse than Trump.
It can be said...and it's true. Hmm
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/13/16 08:58 PM


SNL Cold Open 03/13/2016

Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/15/16 02:06 AM
Quote
It was the spring of a presidential election year, but there was no sense of hope and renewal in the land.

Instead, the United States was in the grip of tribalism and seething fear. Voters were energized by anger and resentment. The media ran red with violent language; surging crowds, cops and protesters filled city streets.

The main candidates were: a shopworn Democratic front-runner who embodied the party establishment; a white-haired, professorial anti-war protest candidate beloved by college students; a disruptive, race-baiting outsider with a knack for drawing press attention; and an unctuous, beady-eyed Republican lawyer practicing dirty tricks.

At its nominating convention in a Midwestern city that summer, one of the two political parties was torn apart, both inside the hall and out, as protestors clashed with police, who, it was later determined, were the instigators of the riots.

The general election hinged on which party could woo the most votes of a white working class that had been energized in the first place by the outsider candidate, who had railed against a powerful “Them” against “Us.”

That was 1968, not 2016.
limk
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/15/16 03:32 AM
Sigh, except the bottom line was not Nixon.
The bottom line was Eugene McCarthy, and the ultra left were threatening to sit out the vote if HHH won the party nomination. He did, they did, and with Wallace sucking away swing votes we got Richard Milhous Nixon as the president.

Trump isn't Wallace on steroids because Trump isn't a third party candidate.
If and when he BECOMES one, then the article will be making a valid point but right now we are in uncharted territory.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/15/16 03:38 AM
Originally Posted by logtroll
I bet Bernie could learn to do executive orders.

Maybe some folks are concerned about the Old Dog/New Tricks thing?
I agree, by the way, Bernie is house trained.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/15/16 03:41 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
He could, but I imagine it would break his spirit. He wants to lead a revolution, which means having a Liberal Democratic majority in both Houses of Congress so he can pass all his bills to reform America into a Social-Democratic utopia.

I think Clinton's goals are a bit more modest. Of course, she would like a Democratic majority Congress but has the temperament to work with Republicans too. Heck, she was a Young Republican for Eisenhower!

Break his spirit? I think a 74 year old man who was broke almost up till he turned 40 knows a thing or two about broken spirits.
Moving into the White House fish bowl will only confirm what that tough old codger already knows.
Painting him as some looney fantasy character is silly.
Besides, everyone knows that the role of Rainbow Farting Unicorn was taken by Jill Stein a long time ago. ThumbsUp

HINT: I think RR needs to add the Rainbow Farting Unicorn emoji.
What say Ranters, should we expand our emoji menu? Is it okay with the big honchos? Might be fun!
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/15/16 05:11 PM


This adorable little old lady shouldn't be at a Trump rally, she should be at home teaching her parrot the N-word:

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/15/16 06:55 PM
Trump may have violated federal law by promising his former rival "Sleepy Ben" a plum position in the administration of the Trump States of America in exchange for his endorsement.

Ben Carson pisses on whatever dignity he may have had left and endorses Donald Trump for president

Candidate Trump may be a lot closer to a jail cell than Hillary Clinton.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/15/16 09:57 PM
Something that Trump may have done already in this campaign:
Quote
When Donald Trump called Mexican immigrants rapists and drug dealers in his campaign announcement last June, Ma Healy got mad.

Two weeks ago, in her own small way, the Mexican-born Ms. Healy got even. She became a United States citizen, 14 years after moving here with her American husband. In Florida’s primary on Tuesday, she will vote for Bernie Sanders, and if Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic presidential nomination, Healy will happily support her.

“We can’t have Donald Trump in the White House,” said Healy of Naples, Fla., interviewed at a Sanders rally in Miami last week.

Healy is part of a wave of Latinos getting their US citizenship for the express purpose of voting against Mr. Trump. Overall naturalizations typically rise in election years, but in 2016 the numbers are stark: Applications could approach 1 million this year, 20 percent higher than average, according to The New York Times.
On Florida primary day, clues to power of Hispanic vote
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/15/16 10:46 PM
I just heard that a lot of Florida voters are being turned away because they are registered independent and didn't know they couldn't vote in the primaries. These are apparently first time voters, at least in the primaries, or they would already know this.
It's not too great a stretch to imagine that most of them would have voted for Bernie Sanders.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/15/16 11:47 PM
I think this may be the "oh shoot" moment for Donald Trump: Independents in Florida can't vote for him!

But regular registered Republicans can vote for Rubio. Donald loses the celebrity factor.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/16/16 12:28 AM
Just announced that Clinton and Trump won here.

No surprise.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/16/16 12:29 AM
Donald Trump Independents? No such thing. Anyone who would vote for that cretin would have registered Republican.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/16/16 04:09 AM

Welp, it's Hillz v The Donald this November.

Sad face for Bernie. frown
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/16/16 04:14 AM
We are genuinely facing an existential moment in elections. Do we really want to become a third world country?
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/16/16 04:32 AM

Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
We are genuinely facing an existential moment in elections. Do we really want to become a third world country?
It says a lot about this country when Hillary Clinton is the lesser of two evils to be our President.

Bernie tried. Hmm
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/16/16 06:19 AM


Whatever... rolleyes

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/16/16 05:10 PM
It was a long shot at best anyway, Rick. I'm extremely pleased that Bernie was able to run and that he got young people excited about politics. He also proved that a genuinely progressive candidate has a chance at grabbing the gold ring. Bernie pulled Madame Clinton farther to the left than she would have gone without his competition and showed her it was okay to proudly run on progressive measures.

Bernie Sanders, while he may not have become President, has become instead a genuine hero.

I hope he continues his campaign through to the end. His supporters deserve it.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/17/16 05:56 AM
And if Clinton really wants his supporters to go out there and vote her a Democratic Senate, she will announce a position for him in her administration before the election.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/17/16 01:50 PM
I think Clinton is the preferred candidate of Drudge. Sanders' problem is much of the rest of the race is proportional. He can win New York and California and not make significant inroads on Clinton's lead. I personally don't see their continued contest as detrimental.

Do you think that Trump will face any significant backlash from cancelling debates? Note is when they actually matter. I think Kasich made a tactical error in joining Trump in cancelling the FOX debate. Both he and Cruz has an opportunity for extended time and great visuals in an empty podium. Maybe next time?
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/17/16 04:27 PM


Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
...Kasich made a tactical error in joining Trump in cancelling the FOX debate. Both he and Cruz has an opportunity for extended time and great visuals in an empty podium.
True. The situation also would have made it seem that Trump arrogantly thinks he has the nomination locked-up.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/17/16 06:28 PM
I didn't realize that there are no more scheduled debates. Trump has already won that opportunity. How can Cruz and Kasich now demand more debates? Kasich actually might have helped himself of it were only he and Cruz on the stage. Maybe he was afraid people would actually notice him...
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/17/16 06:29 PM

Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I didn't realize that there are no more scheduled debates.
There were more, but Trump feels that he has already been asked and answered 11...12 times already - so he's done with ALL of the GOP debates.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/17/16 07:50 PM
As the front runner, he knows that debates will not be in his favor. At this point, he'll be expected to provide details to fill in his vague statements, and he doesn't have any.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/17/16 10:55 PM
We'll see him again debating Madame Clinton, who has some concrete plans, and all his bluster and insults will be wasted when he comes up against someone who is at complete odds with his demagoguery. Thus far he has really only debated with people who agree with him.

Those debates should be a lot more interesting and more damaging to him than any debates against fellow Republicans.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/18/16 04:39 PM
I think Cruz will put pressure on Trump to debate. Cruz knows he is a formidable debater, and needs to keep Kasich down. Kasich is closer to mainline Republican than Cruz. If Kasich gets a few more wins... He Could Become the establishment candidate
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/19/16 01:13 AM

Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I think Cruz will put pressure on Trump to debate.
Trump doesn't care about #Lyin'Ted Hmm
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/19/16 06:05 PM
I agree. Trump cares about no one but trump. If the two were to debate it would result in some evangelicals and genuine conservatives switching to Cruz. Trump knows this and will avoid any direct face off that would hasten something that's already happening.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/19/16 06:54 PM


Originally Posted by Greger
...it would result in some evangelicals and genuine conservatives switching to Cruz...
Ted Cruz: White House or White Horse ?
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/19/16 07:15 PM


At first Dr. Sleepy said that God told him to endorse Trump. Then Dr. Sleepy changed his story and gave us the real one: Trump promised Dr. Sleepy a job in a Trump Administration.

Oopsie, that's a Federal violation.

Note to self: Don't tell Dr. Sleepy anything - he can't keep a secret.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/20/16 01:18 AM
Do you imagine for one moment that if anyone asked Donald Trump today whether he offered a position to Dr. Carson that he would fess up and just say yes? Unless Carson has it in writing, on tape, or on video, then it never happened.
Carson was a toy for Republicans to play with early on, just like Herman Caine. There's not a snowball's chance in Hell that Republicans would ever support a black candidate. Donald Trump is a RACIST for chrissake! He won't even allow black people into his rallys. Carson is a fool to think Trump wants anything out of him more than the endorsement he already gave. Go home Ben. Take a gaddam nap.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/21/16 12:40 AM
Probly one of those "leadership" jobs where you show up now and the and collect a nice paycheck.
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/23/16 01:50 AM
Quote
The 2016 presidential election is looking like it will be a matchup between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. While this election season has been full of surprises, it is likely that the most decisive period in the election has already passed, the outcome is set and this presidential election will be the first time since 1952 that Democrats will hold on to the White House for three terms in a row.
.
In a prior Politico article, I laid out the primary factors that have shaped the outcome of presidential election in eight of the last nine presidential elections: the state of the economy, the incumbent president’s job approval and how and when the nomination fight is settled. Right now, none of these factors is working in the Republicans’ favor.
Politico
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/23/16 02:12 AM
Originally Posted by Phil Hoskins

Quote
While it’s not exactly Morning in America, it’s undeniable progress and helps make the case for keeping a Democrat in the White House.

The only reason it ever WAS "Morning in America" is because Reagan's military buildup, together with his tax cuts, TOGETHER WITH the still vibrant economy (compared to OUR own post 2008 meltdown Republican obstructed recovery) and still extant manufacturing sector had not yet been destroyed by trickle down Reaganomics.

In other words, it felt warm because Reagan was tossing the furniture into the fireplace and there was still enough room for everyone to crowd around close to the flames.

By the time Clinton took office in 1992, outsourcing had begun in earnest, the tax cuts had redistributed income upward to the elites and the military buildup had run its course.

It was all smoke and mirrors.
Posted By: HalBrown Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/23/16 10:52 PM
Too bad the Republicans can’t nominate the Trumpinator.

[Linked Image from images.dailykos.com] Just think, were it not for two words in Article II, Section 1 of the U.S. Constitution, Republican and former Mr. Universe, two term governor of our largest state, world renown movie star, and the man selected to replace Donald Trump as host of “Celebrity Apprentice" Arnold Schwarzenegger could be running for president. Take out the words “natural born” from our Constitution and it could have happened.

Adding to his appeal is the fact that Arnold has actually governed; but he also fathered a child with the family housekeeper showing he is truly a man of the people as opposed to Trump who only has had affairs with supermodels.

Of course Trump couldn’t discredit him with the birther attack, and even if he could, who would care since Austria last I knew was a mostly white country.

I can visualize a debate where one candidate is a real actor, one who can effect an ominous presence and a voice that would prompt urinary incontinence in his competition.

I can hear in my head Schwarzenegger saying things like “whose finger do you want on the nuclear button, mine or one of these guys” or for that matter, “who do you really want going mano a mano with Putin, tiny fingers Donald, sweaty Cruz, or Conan the Destroyer?"

Finally, can you imagine Trump trying to stand on the same stage with him and try to dismiss his candidacy by calling him little Arnold?

I wonder if the Terminator ever thinks about all this.

I just put this on The Daily Kos Community.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/23/16 11:13 PM
Originally Posted by HalBrown
Bow
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/23/16 11:52 PM
Fox News poll has Sen Cruz within striking distance. While distracted by a buffoon, you guys may have allowed a truly insidious person the opportunity to win the general.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 12:02 AM
Originally Posted by HalBrown
I can visualize a debate where one candidate is a real actor, one who can effect an ominous presence and a voice that would prompt urinary incontinence in his competition.

I can hear in my head Schwarzenegger saying things like “whose finger do you want on the nuclear button, mine or one of these guys” or for that matter, “who do you really want going mano a mano with Putin, tiny fingers Donald, sweaty Cruz, or Conan the Destroyer?"

Finally, can you imagine Trump trying to stand on the same stage with him and try to dismiss his candidacy by calling him little Arnold?

I wonder if the Terminator ever thinks about all this.

I just put this on The Daily Kos Community.

My wife can't stand it when I do my Arnold impersonations.
She says I am fairly good at it but that it just annoys the crap out of her, which naturally inspires me to do it even more.

ACCEPT NO SUBSTITUTES!
[Linked Image from archive.thearnoldfans.com]


The "REAL" Fake Arnold pranks George Takei on the Stern show.
BONUS! Arnold discusses the natural born restriction at 3:24 in the clip!


Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 12:09 AM


Originally Posted by rporter314
Fox News poll has Sen Cruz within striking distance. While distracted by a buffoon, you guys may have allowed a truly insidious person the opportunity to win the general.
There is no way a Seven Mountain Dominionist will become POTUS in the U.S. today. Hmm
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 12:20 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by rporter314
Fox News poll has Sen Cruz within striking distance. While distracted by a buffoon, you guys may have allowed a truly insidious person the opportunity to win the general.
There is no way a Seven Mountain Dominionist will become POTUS in the U.S. today. Hmm

Why do you assume that people know he is one, or assume that they even know what Seven Mountain Dominionism is?

I wish that they did, but I wager most of them just think Ted's an ordinary guy with strong Christian beliefs.
Not all Christians (or plain old Republicans) know what other sects of their own faith believe.
Most of them just think theirs is the one true faith, but they don't always know the specifics.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 12:27 AM
Quote
While distracted by a buffoon, you guys may have allowed a truly insidious person the opportunity to win the general.
Now wait a minute there, Mr. porter, we had nothing to do with that!
And since when do we trust Fox News polls anyway?

TRUMP 2016
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 12:34 AM
Quote
“It’s like being shot or poisoned,” Graham told reporters Thursday in response. “What does it really matter?”
....
“Donald Trump, I think, is the most unprepared person I've ever met to be commander in chief,” Graham said. “And when it comes to Sen. Cruz, he's exhibited behavior in his time in the Senate that make it impossible for me to believe that he could bring this country together.”
Politico



Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 05:21 AM
If you can find it, watch Trevor Noah with Lindsey Graham. Amazing.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 05:43 AM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Why do you assume that people know he is one, or assume that they even know what Seven Mountain Dominionism is?
...because I am spreading the word. rolleyes , coffee


So should you. smile
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 05:44 AM


Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
...I wager most of them just think Ted's an ordinary guy with strong Christian beliefs.
He's more of the rolling in the aisle, snake-handling, speaking in tongues kinda Christian. gobsmacked
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 05:49 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
You shoulda put the title of the article - it's priceless!! laugh

Quote
Graham: Choice between Trump, Cruz like 'being shot or poisoned
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 05:51 AM


Originally Posted by Phil Hoskins
If you can find it, watch Trevor Noah with Lindsey Graham. Amazing.
Why clutch Miss Lindsey's..erm Senator Graham's pearls. smile
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 06:10 AM

...from Phil's link:

Quote
“So in Bernie's world, the big banks are out to get you and rich people are screwing the system so you don't have a chance. In Donald Trump's world, the illegal immigrants [are] gonna sell drugs to your kids and rape your wife. Foreigners are going to take your jobs,” Graham said. “This is not exactly the America that I envisioned for the 21st century. I will tell you this, that we have an election cycle that is beyond strange.”
That's a fairly accurate description about The Donald from Graham. So what's the big dealio about Graham throwing shade at Bernie? Graham makes it seem that big banks out to get us and rich people screwing the system is, and ought to continue to be, normal. Hmm
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 02:33 PM
I'm starting to like Mitt

Quote
“Donald Trump has had several foreign wives,” Romney joked at the annual dinner for the National Republican Congressional Committee Tuesday night. “It turns out that there really are jobs Americans won’t do.”
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 02:40 PM
if Sen Cruz wins the Republican nomination and should the Democrat nominee stumble and have a "heart attack" we will have a seriously demented potus .... the FN polls are a flashing yellow warning light .... the end is near
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 04:16 PM


Originally Posted by rporter314
if Sen Cruz wins the Republican nomination and should the Democrat nominee stumble and have a "heart attack" we will have a seriously demented potus .... the FN polls are a flashing yellow warning light .... the end is near
Bernie is very healthy. smile
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 04:18 PM


Originally Posted by logtroll
I'm starting to like Mitt

Quote
“Donald Trump has had several foreign wives,” Romney joked at the annual dinner for the National Republican Congressional Committee Tuesday night. “It turns out that there really are jobs Americans won’t do.”

ROTFMOL
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 04:23 PM
Quote
“Donald Trump, I think, is the most unprepared person I've ever met to be commander in chief,” Graham said. “And when it comes to Sen. Cruz, he's exhibited behavior in his time in the Senate that make it impossible for me to believe that he could bring this country together.”

But Graham didn’t save the criticisms solely for his own party. He called Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders, a self-identified socialist, “by far the most liberal person to ever offer themselves as a candidate in a serious fashion for president of the United States.”

And so Senator Graham feels that Trump, Cruz, and Sanders are all unqualified to be president. No mention, however, of Madame Clinton.
It's practically an endorsement....
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 04:28 PM


Originally Posted by Greger
And so Senator Graham feels that Trump, Cruz, and Sanders are all unqualified to be president. No mention, however, of Madame Clinton.
It's practically an endorsement....
Greger finds a silver lining in Miss Lindsey's...erm Senator Graham's analysis of POTUS candidates. smile
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 05:00 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
...I wager most of them just think Ted's an ordinary guy with strong Christian beliefs.
He's more of the rolling in the aisle, snake-handling, speaking in tongues kinda Christian. gobsmacked

Yes, I know, I grant you everything.
I just don't think a lot of American voters know that....YET.
Gotta remember, most of us still get the bulk of our "news" from the "news" networks. You know, those propaganda factories on cable tee vee?

When is the last time ANYONE heard CNN, MSNBC, FOX or any other cable "news" network put out ANYTHING about Ted Cruz's doomsday cult dominionist tendencies?
Never!

They won't touch that with a ten foot pole! ROTFMOL
Why? Because it might cost them the Boeing account, or the Crest toothpaste account, or the Nestle account, or it might piss off some of the top muckety mucks in corporate HQ.

The only time most Americans will see the true face of Unca Ted's real leanings is if he takes the oath of office, and then turns around and makes a heartfelt speech about how it is time for America to abandon the wicked secular roots of our government and adopt The Bible as the law of the land.
And then his speech will surely veer in the direction of The Seven Mountains and his plan to guide America as she "transfers the wealth of the wicked to the righteous, and how he is going to deputize his ministers as sworn officers of "God's Bankers" to go out into the nation and commence "the Holy Takings".

Yeah, that's about the time most Americans will get hip to Unca Ted for REAL.
Step outside the bubble for a moment my friend.
YOU know all this stuff about Ted, I KNOW all this stuff about Ted.
But most people do not have the slightest clue.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 05:04 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
...from Phil's link:

“So in Bernie's world, the big banks are out to get you and rich people are screwing the system so you don't have a chance.

Well cheeze whiz, Graham...you say it like you don't think it's the truth. Sell me. Tell me why it's a lie. Convince me that Mister Potter from It's a Wonderful Life is actually MY FRIEND and only wants what's best for me and my family!

[Linked Image from por-img.cimcontent.net]
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 05:06 PM
Originally Posted by logtroll
I'm starting to like Mitt

Quote
“Donald Trump has had several foreign wives,” Romney joked at the annual dinner for the National Republican Congressional Committee Tuesday night. “It turns out that there really are jobs Americans won’t do.”

Mitt's fellow Mormons have had several foreign wives too, ALL AT THE SAME TIME.
Some of them are twelve year old Mexican girls, last I heard.

FLDS Linky Dinky
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 05:19 PM


Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
The only time most Americans will see the true face of Unca Ted's real leanings is if he takes the oath of office...

We've already seen Ted's true real leanings:

Quote
We need to empower law enforcement to patrol and secure Muslim neighborhoods before they become radicalized.
This is weird given that Republicans and even Ted Cruz are nominally AGAINST a police state and FOR religious liberty ( LOL just kidding) and that’s why they want you to have your anti-police-state arsenal all lubed up and ready to go and fight our tyrannical government.

This is also the guy who thinks the moral of Green Eggs and Ham is not to buy new things - so there is that too. coffee
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 05:26 PM

...to which BAMZ!!!! said of Canuck Ted's Muslim Neighborhood patrolling idea:

Quote
As far as the notion of having surveillance of neighborhoods where Muslims are present, I just left a country that engages in that kind of neighborhood surveillance, which, by the way, the father of Sen. Cruz escaped for America, the land of the free...

Gawd, I'm gonna miss President Cool. smile

[Linked Image from dailycaller.com]
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/24/16 08:44 PM
Quote
“And when it comes to Sen. Cruz, he's exhibited behavior in his time in the Senate that make it impossible for me to believe that he could bring this country together.”

Good fit! Republicans have given up on "bringing this country together". All they want to do now is defeat Democrats, and then tell all the Democrats what to do. Forever.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/26/16 06:32 AM


Jimmy Kimmel, who continues to be trim and bearded and sexxxy, has finally stepped up to do what no other man will: Jimmy mansplains to Hillary how to give a speech:


Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/26/16 05:57 PM
Larry Flynt says Sen Cruz more dangerous than Trump because Sen Cruz actually believes what he says

at least two of us realize the end is near
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/26/16 06:33 PM
He not only believes what he says, he will do what he says he will do.

And Congress will support him. And the Supreme Court will swing fully to the right. The ACA will be reversed, there will be unprecedented warfare, jobs will disappear, the economy will collapse worldwide, and Jesus Christ will reign supreme.

And, above all, it will all be the fault of Democrats.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/26/16 06:39 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
He not only believes what he says, he will do what he says he will do.

And Congress will support him. And the Supreme Court will swing fully to the right. The ACA will be reversed, there will be unprecedented warfare, jobs will disappear, the economy will collapse worldwide, and Jesus Christ will reign supreme.

And, above all, it will all be the fault of Democrats.
Ted Cruz will never be POTUS.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/26/16 06:58 PM
sorry Rick if I do not take your proclamation as an iron clad prediction .... I prefer to stack the deck to prevent calculating the possibility of it ever becoming a bet to consider

Go Trump

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/26/16 07:05 PM
Originally Posted by rporter314
sorry Rick if I do not take your proclamation as an iron clad prediction .... I prefer to stack the deck to prevent calculating the possibility of it ever becoming a bet to consider

Go Trump
True. I also don't understand why the anti-Trump protests are so early in the year. It's only March for Pete's sake! Hmm

Wait until September. Sheesh!! cool
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/27/16 02:12 AM
Here's a GREAT idea!

Lots of guns at the Republican National Convention
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 03/27/16 09:41 PM
That would be great. Instead of horse trading for delegate votes, they could just shoot it out!

Last Man standing wins.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 04/11/16 04:53 AM

Whoooooo boy. The Trumpeters are PISSED!!!!! that no one voted in Colorado, but Cruz picked up all 21 delegates.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 04/11/16 04:50 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Whoooooo boy. The Trumpeters are PISSED!!!!! that no one voted in Colorado, but Cruz picked up all 21 delegates.
So, it turns out that reality is not quite as WMD described above. As it turns out, Trump's CO State Slate was full of errors and confusion. Leave it to a a real news organization to sort things out. smile
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 04/12/16 04:27 PM
you may become PO as well if Sen Cruz wins nomination and goes on to win the general and then disenfranchises everyone but his brand of Christians, dismantles government, starts WWIII all to fulfill end times prophecies ... hallelujah and amen

will you be singing .... "It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine" - REM
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 04/12/16 05:19 PM
Originally Posted by rporter314
you may become PO as well if Sen Cruz wins nomination and goes on to win the general and then disenfranchises everyone but his brand of Christians, dismantles government, starts WWIII all to fulfill end times prophecies ... hallelujah and amen

will you be singing .... "It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine" - REM
Luckily for us, no one likes Ted Cruz. He'll never be POTUS.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 04/12/16 09:54 PM
EVER
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 04/28/16 04:11 PM

[Linked Image from pbs.twimg.com]
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 04/28/16 05:07 PM
In 2008 John McCain, whose re-election bid is looking mighty shaky right now, chose a random, unvetted, woman as a running mate in the hopes that he would gain the votes of women who had voted for Hillary Clinton in the primaries. We all know how that worked out.
I've seen in posited elsewhere that the Cruz/Fiorina ticket is like hitching a dead horse to a broken wagon. Cruz has no hopes of becoming the nominee and his appointment of a "runnning mate" is both premature and inexpedient.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 04/28/16 06:07 PM
Unfortunately there is a significant number of ultra-conservatives and fundamentalist Christians who support a theocratic agenda and intractable policy initiatives. These folks are well funded and well organized.

Do not be fooled into believing they are not a threat to America.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/05/16 02:21 AM

Reading through the comments section of this completely asinine conservative conspiratorial piece of what Obama will do once "Donald Trump is elected President" - I just wish these old white conservatives will go the way of the dinosaur already. What a complete and utter waste of oxygen, food, and other resources these idiots are. Sheesh. rolleyes

Update: Commenting with the phrase 'Tea Party' triggers an automatic looksie by a moderator. ROTFMOL
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/05/16 06:37 AM
Mike Savage: And of course, if absolutely NONE of this happens we will just forgot I side those things.
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/07/16 06:19 AM
The number of high profile Republicans saying they will noy back Trump[ tells me the parity will find a way to block his nomination.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/07/16 04:33 PM
I thought that might be possible until Cruz and Kasich dropped out.
At this point the number of high profile Republicans not backing Trump is shrinking. Paul Ryan remains a holdout but I expect they will come to terms in a series of meetings before the Convention.
Trump will "make a deal"with Ryan.
It appears he will have the delegates, as he is running uncontested now, and as much as some Republicans don't like him they have run out of means to stop him.
I still remain certain that Madame CLinton will defeat him soundly in the general election.

Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/07/16 05:17 PM
Trump was in Eugene last evening and had a packed rally. I went there in the afternoon to scope out the crowd but left after I had made my assessment. I did watch his Eugene stump speech on uTube.

It seems to me that his talking points are the result of compilations of surveys done by his staff on the issues his constuants are concerned about. He knows in advance what they want to hear and delivers it. “Make America great again”, build the beautiful wall, re-open the coal mines and the lumber mills, open up the forests to unrestricted logging, keep out Muslims and other undesirables, the media is full of stupid people, I’ll make the factories hum and put everyone (here) back to work in high paying blue collar jobs, insiders are unwelcome in politics, on and on.

He implies he will fix all of this with a wave of his hand. He doesn’t offer a smidgeon of detail on how he will accomplish any of this but rather just says “trust me”--I will make this happen. And his fans love him for it. Cut out the details and just deliver.

It’s astonishing--but they lap it up.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/07/16 05:38 PM
In a related vein:

Quote
On Thursday evening, a 40-year-old man — with dark, curly hair, olive skin and an exotic foreign accent — boarded a plane. It was a regional jet making a short, uneventful hop from Philadelphia to nearby Syracuse.

Or so dozens of unsuspecting passengers thought.



Ivy League economist ethnically profiled
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/07/16 05:41 PM
Originally Posted by Ken Condon
THe implies he will fix all of this with a wave of his hand. He doesn’t offer a smidgeon of detail on how he will accomplish any of this but rather just says “trust me”--I will make this happen. And his fans love him for it. Cut out the details and just deliver.
In the documentary that I linked, the narrator stated the very same about 1930s Germany - little detail about how Hilter would make Germany great again. We know the results of that effort.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/08/16 03:46 AM
Thing is rick, Hillary’s policies and supposed future direction would have been considered Republican ideas 25 years ago. But due to AM radio, Fox, blogs, and other extremely right wing noise makers, the US body politic has been pulled very much to the right. So Hillary seems to be a rightist in her own right, by lefties.------Sorry.

But you already knew that.

Perhaps the true lefty- Bernie- could be elected to POTUS. I’m not counting on that--mainly due to his age. Hillary is six years his junior if memory serves. Also Bernie promises stuff that simply will not, nor cannot. get through today’s congress. Single payer, free college, Wall Street eviscerated, higher federal minimum wage etc. That sounds appealing to many- but simply won’t happen unless Santa comes to town. Or many more Democrats get elected to congress this November

Bernie has put a bug in the ear of many. Perhaps-down the road-some of his ideas might come to fruition. Assuming the US doesn’t come apart at the seams before then.......Then there is the coming of the robots to replace most labor. But that is a discussion for another thread.
Posted By: matthew Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/08/16 09:15 PM
Originally Posted by Ken Condon
....Assuming the US doesn’t come apart at the seams before then.......
That is indeed a concern. The present situation is more than a little reminiscent of America in the 1850's or Germany in the 1920's -- except than there are a lot more guns around.
.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/09/16 04:23 AM
Not a single former Republican President intends to attend the Republican Convention, not even the ones that are alive!
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/09/16 04:34 PM


Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Not a single former Republican President intends to attend the Republican Convention, not even the ones that are alive!
These fellas don't want to appear to be supporting HIlter 2.0. gobsmacked
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/09/16 04:37 PM
Originally Posted by Ken Condon
Thing is rick, Hillary’s policies and supposed future direction would have been considered Republican ideas 25 years ago. But due to AM radio, Fox, blogs, and other extremely right wing noise makers, the US body politic has been pulled very much to the right. So Hillary seems to be a rightist in her own right, by lefties.------Sorry.

But you already knew that.

Perhaps the true lefty- Bernie- could be elected to POTUS. I’m not counting on that--mainly due to his age. Hillary is six years his junior if memory serves. Also Bernie promises stuff that simply will not, nor cannot. get through today’s congress. Single payer, free college, Wall Street eviscerated, higher federal minimum wage etc. That sounds appealing to many- but simply won’t happen unless Santa comes to town. Or many more Democrats get elected to congress this November

Bernie has put a bug in the ear of many. Perhaps-down the road-some of his ideas might come to fruition. Assuming the US doesn’t come apart at the seams before then.......Then there is the coming of the robots to replace most labor. But that is a discussion for another thread.
Pretty much my thinking as well
Posted By: Bored Member Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/09/16 05:04 PM
[Linked Image from rlv.zcache.com]
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/09/16 06:33 PM
Speaking of that half term, failed vice presidential nominee, I hear she's supporting Paul Ryan's primary opponent in Wisconsin.

I bet he's absolutely thrilled at that. Her support is probably the kiss of death for his attempt to unseat Speaker Ryan.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/10/16 01:39 AM
Quote
Not a single former Republican President intends to attend the Republican Convention, not even the ones that are alive!

I'm sure the ghost of Ronald Reagan will be there.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/10/16 05:06 PM
Quote
I'm sure the ghost of Ronald Reagan will be there.

That's spooky. In more ways than one...
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/10/16 10:00 PM
Heidi Cruz just announced God's plan did not have the Senator winning this cycle. She warned us that God would still have him in mind in 2020.

No comment is appropriate for those who believe they speak on behalf of God
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/10/16 10:13 PM
God told me his plan includes having Ted lose again in 2020. It's so he can develop more humility.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/10/16 10:28 PM
Does she have a two way radio?
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/10/16 11:31 PM
You know what they say:

Anybody can talk to God. Christians do it often and Muslims do it five times a day. But when God talks to you it's time to get your meds adjusted.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/11/16 06:58 AM


West Virginia and Nebraska both went to Bernie, tonight. smile Oh well, Hillary... Hmm

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/11/16 07:12 AM

Oregon is next week, and she's not even been here. Bernie has been here lots. You know what THAT means... laugh
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/18/16 06:52 AM


[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
(0.5%) is really a tie. gobsmacked

...but Bernie wins Oregon, outright smile
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/18/16 08:30 PM
Loses, loses, loses, but still has more than 50% of the delegates by the time they get to the convention. Which means it will not really be much of a convention, since she wins on the first and only vote.

What WILL be interesting will be who she announces as VP. Warren? Sanders? Somebody else who can deliver a big slightly Red state?

Either one of those guys would be a big plus, in terms of getting the Sanders fans to come out and vote the down ballot races. I doubt she needs somebody to the right to get the Independents to vote for her. She is already Republican enough.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/18/16 11:18 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
What WILL be interesting will be who she announces as VP. Warren? Sanders? Somebody else who can deliver a big slightly Red state?
It won't be Warren, Lizzy really doesn't like Hillz! I was thinking Hillz! should make Bernie her VP to soothe and heal wounds.

Any "big red state" is mostly purple now anyway - and the really big red state - no really cares about Alaska anyway. smile
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/20/16 12:30 AM
I am sick to death of the people who post for Bernie on Facebook and criticize anyone who doesn't swallow their views.
Posted By: Bored Member Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/20/16 01:49 AM
Well after that Megyn Kelly interview of Drumpf I hope she rinsed her mouth out because she definitely swallowed a load of something.

What a bore.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/20/16 02:24 AM
Originally Posted by Bored Member
Well after that Megyn Kelly interview of Drumpf I hope she rinsed her mouth out because she definitely swallowed a load of something.

What a bore.
It was a gentle softball interview considering Trump's nastiness and his mob's threats against Kelly.

The Donald deserved a blistering reprimand for his unpresidential behavior.

The only reason Kelly was hard on Trump during the debates was because no one thought he would win the GOP nomination. Now that he has, Megyn starts kissing ass and throwing the softball questions. It's clear that Megyn is now part of the reality show, so she's compelled to play her proper role going forward.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/20/16 03:34 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
What WILL be interesting will be who she announces as VP. Warren? Sanders? Somebody else who can deliver a big slightly Red state?
It won't be Warren, Lizzy really doesn't like Hillz! I was thinking Hillz! should make Bernie her VP to soothe and heal wounds.

Any "big red state" is mostly purple now anyway - and the really big red state - no really cares about Alaska anyway. smile

Sanders already indicated that he *might* be willing to consider a VP slot.
"Make me do the right thing."......which president is famous for having said that?
Bernie could function as both conscience and plausible deniability alibi for a Hillary administration. Sorry guys, I will not be able to do the bidding of your Diet-GOP agenda this time around because my liberal wing won't allow it.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/20/16 03:35 AM
Originally Posted by Phil Hoskins
I am sick to death of the people who post for Bernie on Facebook and criticize anyone who doesn't swallow their views.

Boy howdy you ain't kidding.
I just got internet lynched tonight, LOL tinfoilhat
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/20/16 03:51 AM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Originally Posted by Phil Hoskins
I am sick to death of the people who post for Bernie on Facebook and criticize anyone who doesn't swallow their views.

Boy howdy you ain't kidding.
I just got internet lynched tonight, LOL tinfoilhat
Did'ya ask for a second helping? "I'll have some more please." smile
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/20/16 05:49 AM
Always
Posted By: jgw Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/22/16 08:21 PM
I remain amazed at this election cycle. I just finished with watching Sunday's Politics on TV. Its all the same old stuff. Everybody hates Hillary, powerful people hate Trump, taking money from the rich is always bad but Trump is going to do it for the main show and, if Bernie is the Democratic choice so will he and we all know Hillary already has. Everybody also agrees that Hillary and Trump are disliked by everybody.

Whilst all this is going on not a single candidate, on either side will even mention fixing anything. This infers, to me, that the candidates themselves think that gov is doing just fine and no fixing is necessary. My suspicion is that if the Libertarians really want to compete they should go in with a fix gov plan (I actually believe that ANY candidate that can bring themselves to say they want to fix gov right out loud, and are given space on TV, will be the winner).

I also believe that I am not sure that our nation's government can continue to be hammered, by all of media, constantly and without letup, and survive in the long run. For some strange reason our entire elected class, and the current crop of candidates, seem to believe that gov is just fine and dandy yet I have been unable to find a single person who believes that is even vaguely true. Even before the election there were signs that gov has lost the support of its citizens. This is, I believe, why so many of our elected have absolutely nothing good to say about the gov they are supposed to be running. So, the media reports only gov stories of failure, those in charge of those failures are, for the most part, eager to point out those same failures. Its as if we have an entire crop of elected that hate the very gov they are responsible for. What is even more interesting is that those who vote WILL vote these people back into office.

Then there are the parties. We have the Republicans who, historically, have abandoned any thoughts of fiscal responsibility and seem to be completely enmeshed in social conservatism, morality, and bias of one sort or another. The Democrats would have us believe that they love everybody but some more than others. The Dems have also demonstrated a really great ability to ignore, and allow, the other side to demonize, and trash talk them. Hillary, for instance, has publicly stated that she will not even bother to reference any of Trump's trash. She doesn't seem to understand that when Trump, 50/100 times a day referencing Hillary as 'Crooked' Hillary, people are bound to wonder what in the hell is going on.

Its generally agreed that both candidates, Hillary and Trump, have more negatives than any two candidates in the history of the nation. I predict that the Libertarians are going to have a genuine field day this election cycle. The Libertarians will have the only candidates worth voting for if one believes even half of the two majors have to say about each other.

This stuff is not going to get better but, I am sure, WILL get worse. I wish us all good luck..............
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/22/16 09:54 PM
JGW, the media isn't interested in hearing candidates speak about the issues anymore.
It's just a horse race now.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/23/16 06:56 AM
Considering all the lies and made up "scandals" the Republicans endlessly told about the Obama administration, he's actually been a pretty good President. They've been doing the same thing to Hillary for quite a long time, so even some Democrats have started to believe some of them.

But you know what? She will also be a pretty good President, when we look back 9 years from now.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/23/16 01:59 PM
never underestimate the ignorance of American voters

Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/24/16 04:48 PM
a strange election

i suppose many liberals would look at Mr Trump and say, he is a cretin, etc and immediately dismiss the possibility he could be elected

I may agree with them but I do not dismiss the possibility

I suspect the ignorance of the American electorate is YUUUUUUGE
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/24/16 05:35 PM
Originally Posted by rporter314
...the ignorance of the American electorate is YUUUUUUGE
That, and the fact that many Americans simply do not like the Clintons. Hmm
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/24/16 05:56 PM
The unfortunate part of this election is that the Democrats have disinterred an army of Clinton skeletons that will haunt the campaign until November. However, Mr. Drumpf has many more and when the gloves come off, and they will in short order, with his thin skin he'll be a much bigger asshat than he already is. I think the probability of a Drumpf victory is in the less than one hundredth of a percent. I still have doubts that he will actually be the nominee no matter how much the 'idiocracy' wants him.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/24/16 06:51 PM

Plus, at this point ( late May ) in 2012, Romney was ahead of Obama in the polls. Piffle, I say to all of this early polling.
Posted By: jgw Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/24/16 08:02 PM
Jeffrey;
The media is, unfortunately, the same our elected, our gov, corporations (of all stripes), and political parties. The similarity is pretty simple. They are ALL obsessed with themselves/itself to the exclusion of just about anything else. Some of that is probably normal - what we are getting now is NOT normal, nor healthy (I think).

One example might be in order. When Trump starting really running his mouth, on TV, those in charge of TV found that they could get up to 4 times the income from a show with Trump as he entertained. As a result Trump got, we are told, up to 2 billion dollars of free exposure. In other words the greed and irresponsibility, of TV management, is actually responsible for Trump's success.

I wonder, does anybody else remembers the good old days when TV had to adhere to the concept of equal time programming.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Equal-time_rule
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fairness_Doctrine
Posted By: matthew Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/26/16 12:46 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Considering all the lies and made up "scandals" the Republicans endlessly told about the Obama administration, he's actually been a pretty good President. They've been doing the same thing to Hillary for quite a long time, so even some Democrats have started to believe some of them.

But you know what? She will also be a pretty good President, when we look back 9 years from now.

I agree -- apart from all the wars, mayhem and murder she will have supported.
.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/26/16 12:07 PM
For me, Trump (and to some extent, the Republican party) is an existential threat to the United States, and Hillary Clinton is more about the status quo. In that regard, I am conservative.

Trump is out of control, and represents the worst instincts of the American populace. A truly considered view of his candidacy should produce horror, much like the atomic bomb. He represents crudity, greed, and the oligarchy more than any candidate ever, yet pretends to be a "populist". It is ridiculous.

But, you're right that Trump is the product of the tastelessness of television, and really launched the "reality TV" morass we are saddled with. It became all about money, and quality went out the window. Trump really represents the worst elements of American culture of the last 50 years - the "me" generation, the greed generation, the modern Robber Barons, and the rude generation. If he is truly what we've become, we are doomed.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/26/16 12:54 PM
Gentlemen - please define pretty good??? If you mean better than Trump the bar is way too low. I think she'll be worse than Obama - in other words, not so good.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/26/16 02:12 PM
Originally Posted by jgw
I wonder, does anybody else remembers the good old days when TV had to adhere to the concept of equal time programming.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Equal-time_rule
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fairness_Doctrine

We're being told that's socialism, therefore it's bad. tinfoilhat
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/26/16 03:30 PM
Ain't it funny - anything that implies fairness is bad. Well, human stupidity is definitely infinite...
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/26/16 07:55 PM
I believe there should be a tax applied to any public statement which is blatantly false

these characters should preface any statement with the caveat the following series of words is an opinion

thus we would have this conversation

it is my opinion that Democrats are evil because
1+1 = 213


Posted By: matthew Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/27/16 10:46 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
For me, Trump (and to some extent, the Republican party) is an existential threat to the United States, and Hillary Clinton is more about the status quo. In that regard, I am conservative.

Trump is out of control, and represents the worst instincts of the American populace. A truly considered view of his candidacy should produce horror, much like the atomic bomb. He represents crudity, greed, and the oligarchy more than any candidate ever, yet pretends to be a "populist". It is ridiculous.

But, you're right that Trump is the product of the tastelessness of television, and really launched the "reality TV" morass we are saddled with. It became all about money, and quality went out the window. Trump really represents the worst elements of American culture of the last 50 years - the "me" generation, the greed generation, the modern Robber Barons, and the rude generation. If he is truly what we've become, we are doomed.
I don't think Trump is all that different from our past Oligarchs and Robber Barons --- he is just being more tasteless in pandering to the prejudices of the Great Unwashed Brainwashed and tearing the mask from his face.

In this, he is being a Traitor to His Class, and the Establishment does not forgive him.
.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/27/16 11:08 PM
I think the fact that the Koch brothers are not giving him any money tells us everything we need to know: The old rich are probably horrified by Trump and would rather see Clinton in there with a Republican Congress to keep her leftward tendencies in check.
Posted By: matthew Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/28/16 12:13 AM
.
The Oligarchs are only tangentially concerned with us serfs -- they devote most of their energy competing with each other.

A main rival to Koch and his ilk is Trump -- and vice versa.

Caesar, Pompey, and Crassus fought and maneuvered against each other, and either bribed or oppressed the citizen canaille.
.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/28/16 12:36 AM
Yes, they are rivals but I don't think that is because they are both rich. They are rivals because the Kochs represent old money (and old-time conservatism) and see Donald Trump as a classless upstart loose canon.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/28/16 01:46 AM
It seems a bit odd to me that despite the support of Trump by the neo-nazis, the Aryan Brotherhood, and the KKK that Sheldon Adelson has decided to support him.

It also lays waste to claims that he not in anyone's pocket.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/28/16 02:05 AM
If history and Nazi Germany have taught us anything it is that money has no loyalty other than to its own furtherance.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/28/16 03:16 AM
”Sheldon Adelson has decided to support him”.

As has been said

Quote
politics makes strange bedfellows proverbial saying, mid 19th century, meaning that political alliances in a common cause may bring together those of widely differing views

For them Hillary and the Dems must go away--whatever it takes. Simple as that.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/28/16 12:02 PM
Quote
CONTRA NATURAM
They have brought whores for Eleusis
Corpses are set to banquet
at behest of usura.
Ezra Pound - Canto XLV
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/28/16 03:43 PM

My belief is that so many people don't like Hillary Clinton that her candidacy will give us a Trump presidency.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/28/16 05:31 PM
My concern too. The constant “scandaling” of the Clintons since they first appeared on the political scene has been relentless and unyielding. That combined with our total and absolute political divide means half of the population will hate the other half no matter who they might be. Just insert the political label and it’s off to the races.

With someone as well known as H Clinton the hate and distrust levels become exponential. Although I am still befuddled by the email gift she handed her opposition. How could she not be aware that any whiff of impropriety whatsoever would be pounced upon with full force by her detractors?.... I just don’t get it.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/28/16 05:48 PM
Originally Posted by Ken Condon
My concern too. The constant “scandaling” of the Clintons since they first appeared on the political scene has been relentless and unyielding. That combined with our total and absolute political divide means half of the population will hate the other half no matter who they might be. Just insert the political label and it’s off to the races..
The "problem" with the Clintons is that they lie and coverup mistakes. That is their history. Everyone makes mistakes - own them!!! Sheesh!!
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/28/16 05:50 PM
Originally Posted by Ken Condon
With someone as well known as H Clinton the hate and distrust levels become exponential.
Yet Debbie Wasserman Schultz can't get that through her thick, curly, locks. rolleyes

Originally Posted by Ken Condon
Although I am still befuddled by the email gift she handed her opposition. How could she not be aware that any whiff of impropriety whatsoever would be pounced upon with full force by her detractors?.... I just don’t get it.
Bernie said it succinctly: ARROGANCE!
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/28/16 10:11 PM
Bernie is making a long game move:

Sanders begins helping down ticket candidates

Quote
The Vermont senator is beginning to expand his political network by helping upstart progressive congressional candidates and state legislators, lending his fundraising prowess and national fame to boost their bids.

And win or lose for the White House hopeful, Sanders's candidacy has given them a prominent national messenger and new energy they hope will trickle down-ballot in primaries and the general election.

"Bernie Sanders is really building this political revolution all the way up and down the ballot," said Matt Blizek, MoveOn.org's electoral field director. "His entire campaign, the mantra has been 'not me, us.'"

Guess I'll donate to him again.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/28/16 10:18 PM
Ditto.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/28/16 11:10 PM
Quote
The Vermont senator is beginning to expand his political network by helping upstart progressive congressional candidates and state legislators
Too little and too late. The arrogant Madame Clinton has been doing this from the start.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/28/16 11:15 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
The Vermont senator is beginning to expand his political network by helping upstart progressive congressional candidates and state legislators
Too little and too late. The arrogant Madame Clinton has been doing this from the start.
ROTFMOL
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/29/16 02:31 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
My belief is that so many people don't like Hillary Clinton that her candidacy will give us a Trump presidency.

To paraphrase Dylan:

"That's like saying I have a cold, better take a shot of malaria!'
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/29/16 04:48 AM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Bernie is making a long game move:

Sanders begins helping down ticket candidates

Quote
The Vermont senator is beginning to expand his political network by helping upstart progressive congressional candidates and state legislators, lending his fundraising prowess and national fame to boost their bids.

And win or lose for the White House hopeful, Sanders's candidacy has given them a prominent national messenger and new energy they hope will trickle down-ballot in primaries and the general election.

"Bernie Sanders is really building this political revolution all the way up and down the ballot," said Matt Blizek, MoveOn.org's electoral field director. "His entire campaign, the mantra has been 'not me, us.'"

Guess I'll donate to him again.
There are givers and takers in the world. Madam Clinton is obviously a taker; Bernie, a giver. smile
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/30/16 12:38 AM
There might be a wee bit of rigging-like activity going on in this Democratic primary... take a look and tell us what you think:

MSNBC working to suppress the Bernie vote...
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/30/16 01:01 AM
Good catch, Loggy. They are completely bought and paid for. The whole f@&$in bunch. No wonder I stopped watching MSNBC a long time ago.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/30/16 02:32 AM
Quote
Late last week, Bernie Sanders’ campaign announced that it raised $44 million in March, which represents an extraordinary success story. The Vermont independent raised a jaw-dropping $109 million in the first quarter, which in practical terms, may actually be more money than the campaign knows what to do with. For any national political endeavor, it’s a fantastic “problem” to have.

Quote
Hillary Clinton raised about $29.5 million for her primary campaign during March. That amount brings the first quarter total to nearly $75 million raised for the primary, beating the campaign’s goal of $50 million by about 50 percent. [Hillary For America] begins April with nearly $29 million on hand.

Clinton raised an additional $6.1 million for the DNC and state parties during the month of March, bringing the total for the quarter to about $15 million

How much did you say Bernie raised for the down ballot candidates?

And who's the taker here?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/30/16 10:17 AM
April 13, 2016
Quote
Bernie Sanders is raising money for a trio of progressive House candidates who have endorsed him, a move that comes just weeks after he faced friendly fire for not committing to fundraise for down-ballot Democrats.
In the fundraising emails, backers are given an opportunity to split their donation between Sanders and the local candidate.

The trio of candidates — New York's Zephyr Teachout, Nevada’s Lucy Flores, and Washington state’s Pramila Jayapal — is running in primaries that pit them against more establishment-aligned foes. Each has the backing of liberal groups like Democracy for America, and one of Flores’ opponents, for example, was endorsed by Harry Reid.
It seems that he is, in fact, helping to raise money for other down-ballot democratic candidates.

Clinton has raised from Super PACs almost 85 million while Bernie has raised zero. So, the bulk of his fundraising comes from grass-roots while CLinton's comes from lobbyists.
Of her 85mm she has used roughly 15mm for the democratic party. There is a qualitative difference in the source of the money going to the candidates. So the taker, yes, the taker, is Ms. Clinton.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/30/16 02:32 PM
I've complained before about ideologues "seeing" only what they want to see, rather then the reality before them, and that is on full display here at RR - but in this particular case on the left, rather than the right. I've said before that I like Bernie Sanders, and I'm glad he's in the race. I think that he had inspired a generation of voters and has made the race exciting - but his race is over. Reality check: Bernie Sanders has lost the race for the Democratic nomination. He knows that. Everyone with any political savvy knows that.
Quote
Of course, it's technically possible for Sanders to still get the nomination. But what he would have to do would take some Herculean efforts. He would have to pull off multiple landslide victories — not just in the handful of states coming up in the next couple weeks, but also in massive, diverse states like California and New Jersey (where Clinton currently has big polling leads) — to overcome his current deficit in the pledged delegates chosen by the voters.

Sanders is behind by about 300 delegates. That is a lot. Because of the Democrats' proportional allocation rules, he'll need to win every state by 65 percent or more to overcome that deficit. These are margins of victory he hasn't seen in any primary except for his home state of Vermont.

To put the odds in perspective: Sanders's fans celebrated after he crushed Hillary Clinton in West Virginia last week. It seemed like a hopeful moment for Sanders's campaign — until you realize that he only beat Clinton there by a 51 to 36 margin, or by far less than what he needs to win by to cut into her delegate advantage.
All that Chris Matthews was saying in that clip is what all the math says.

Hillary Clinton is not the devil incarnate (The jury's still out on Ted Cruz). She is not the "ideal" progressive, but she is firmly on the left side of the ledger. She has far more pull within the party and has been campaigning for down-ballot candidates throughout her campaign. I thought it interesting that the earlier quote left out the following paragraphs:
Quote
How much money did Sanders raise for the DNC and state parties in March? Actually, zero. For the quarter, the total was also zero.

And while the typical voter probably doesn’t know or care about candidates’ work on behalf of down-ballot allies, this speaks to a key difference between Sanders and Clinton: the former is positioning himself as the leader of a revolution; the latter is positioning herself as the leader of the Democratic Party. For Sanders, it means raising amazing amounts of money to advance his ambitions; for Clinton, it means also raising money to help other Democratic candidates.

The headline from politico was news because the Sanders campaign has just awoken to this reality. "Bernie Sanders is raising money for a trio of progressive House candidates who have endorsed him, a move that comes just weeks after he faced friendly fire for not committing to fundraise for down-ballot Democrats."
Bernie begins raising cash for down-ballot progressives.

Again, I'm really glad he's doing this, and I'm glad he's pushing the party in the progressive direction. It needs to go there, the country is ripe for that change in direction, and the Clinton campaign is acutely aware of that as well.

What Sanders acolytes refuse to acknowledge is where he wins and why he doesn't. His slice of the general electorate is small, and shrinking - except among the youth. That is a crucial demographic for the future of the Democratic party, but it is still a small slice. The Hidden Importance Of The Sanders Voter.
Quote
The good news for Clinton is that she has the opportunity to gain ground among Sanders voters if and when she officially wraps up the nomination, just as Trump did among Republicans. Although many Sanders supporters will start the general election campaign with a negative view of Clinton, they aren’t necessarily eager to vote for Trump. In the YouGov poll, just 55 percent of Sanders supporters said they’d vote for Clinton over Trump in November. However, only 15 percent said they’d vote for Trump. That leaves 30 percent of Sanders voters who say they are undecided, would vote for a third-party candidate or would sit out the election.

Clinton has an overwhelming (87%) lead in registered Democrats, Sanders leads among independents. Clinton needs that vote, but not as badly as Trump does. Clinton will likely get 55-70% of that vote (if polling holds true). Given the registration lead of Democrats over Republicans nationally, and in swing states, that has the true potential for a landslide election. Landslide elections have a strong potential to change the shape of Congress and the country for decades.

Here's the acid question: would it be better for the country to have Clinton in the White House with a Democratic Congress, or Sanders with a Republican majority?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/30/16 03:03 PM
It is astounding how you're all so damned concerned with who is winning the nomination - and not HOW it is being won. The question is: why is this nomination process so rigged? How comes it that if the party bosses don't want someone to win the nomination, they don't win the nomination? The question is far more important than Bernie or Hillary.
As far as Hillary being the devil incarnate: I don't believe in either god or the devil. She is better than any of the Republicans but look at how low that bar is set. She is not progressive.

Quote
Here's the acid question: would it be better for the country to have Clinton in the White House with a Democratic Congress, or Sanders with a Republican majority?

What makes you so certain that that would happen? Sounds like a lame attempt to justify the lesser of two evils.
I think that the opposite situation would be more likely. Especially because if Bernie were to win the election the Republican party would be in a greater state of disarray than it already is.
But, no matter. We know that she has been anointed, right?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/30/16 03:12 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I've complained before about ideologues "seeing" only what they want to see, rather then the reality before them, and that is on full display here at RR - but in this particular case on the left, rather than the right.
...
It seems anyone who takes an opposing view is labeled an ideologue. Is it not possible for people to disagree with Ms. Clinton's positions? I think that has much more to do with Bernie's base of support than does ideology, which, by the way, should not be so very different twixt the candidates, seeing as how they are both from the same party.

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/30/16 06:04 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Hillary Clinton is not the devil incarnate (The jury's still out on Ted Cruz). She is not the "ideal" progressive, but she is firmly on the left side of the ledger.
I so disagree. Bernie PULLED Hillary to the Left. Hillary is no way, no how, a 'progressive.' Hillary is most certainly Center-Right. Plus Hillary is a Hawk as her 2003 Iraq vote demonstrates AND her bombing of Libya and removal of Muammar el-Qaddafi from power as SecState. Hillary will govern no differently from her husband did as POTUS.

(...and, yes, I "get" that the Libya/Qaddafi thing was payback for the Flight 103).
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 02:33 AM
We've seriously drifted into fantasy land, here. "The question is: why is this nomination process so rigged?" How is winning the majority of elected delegates "rigged"? It is not "rigged" just because you don't like the outcome. Clinton has won more delegates. Ignore the SUPER DELEGATES. They truly don't matter, except for talking points. Bernie Sanders is behind by 300 elected delegates, and he cannot make up that deficit. Sanders has actually gotten more benefit from "rigging" the system than Clinton - The System Isn’t ‘Rigged’ Against Sanders.
Quote
Sanders fans have claimed that because caucuses have lower turnout the current national caucus and primary vote underrates how well Sanders is doing. In fact, the opposite is true. When we switch all caucuses over to primaries, Sanders actually does worse. Clinton’s lead in the popular vote would grow from 2.9 to 3.3 million votes. Moreover, her edge in elected delegates would expand significantly.7 Instead of her current lead of 272 elected delegates, Clinton would be ahead by 424.8 Some states that were won by Sanders in caucuses, including Colorado and Minnesota, would be won by Clinton in primaries, according to our calculations.

"Pop" goes that argument.

"She is not progressive." Again, this has no basis in reality, but is just a partisan talking point. Hillary Clinton Was Liberal. Hillary Clinton Is Liberal.
Quote
We’ve gotten this raft of “Clinton is liberal” exposés as Clinton has revved up her 2016 campaign, speaking out in support of gay marriage, a pathway to citizenship for immigrants in the U.S. illegally, and criminal justice reform. But what many of these articles miss is that Clinton has always been, by most measures, pretty far to the left. When she’s shifted positions, it has been in concert with the entire Democratic Party....Clinton was one of the most liberal members during her time in the Senate. According to an analysis of roll call votes by Voteview, Clinton’s record was more liberal than 70 percent of Democrats in her final term in the Senate. She was more liberal than 85 percent of all members.

When I take a position, I base it upon facts, not wishful thinking. According to, On The Issues.Org, "She is as liberal as Elizabeth Warren and barely more moderate than Bernie Sanders."

From FiveThirtyEight: "Clinton got beat on the left on one issue the last time she ran for president: the Iraq War." But in voting for the resolution, she was in the majority of the Democratic party: 58% of Democratic senators (29 of 50) voted for the resolution. In the context of the time, this is not actually surprising. People conveniently forget that the resolution authorized the President the discretion to use force. At the time, many believed it was necessary to do so to strengthen the President's hand in ongoing negotiations with the Hussein regime. A vote against the resolution (which was bipartisan and co-sponsored) would have undermined his negotiating position. While I didn't trust Bush to behave responsibly, he was the President, and needed that authority in the interest of national security. That he misused that authority once he got it cannot be blamed on the Democrats, even those that voted for it.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 02:37 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
We've seriously drifted into fantasy land, here. "The question is: why is this nomination process so rigged?" How is winning the majority of elected delegates "rigged"? It is not "rigged" just because you don't like the outcome.
Actually it is "rigged." When Bernie Sanders wins a state and Hillary gets nearly the same number or more delegates than Bernie, when he actually wins - that's a "rigged" system. Hmm

Look at Oklahoma, Bernie won by 10 points, yet only 4 delegates difference between them.

Kansas, Bernie won by 26%, yet only 15 delegates separate the two.

Nebraska, Bernie wins by 15%, 5 delegates separate Bernie and Hillary.

Colorado, Bernie wins by 18 points, 7 delegates separate the two.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 02:56 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
According to, On The Issues.Org, "She is as liberal as Elizabeth Warren and barely more moderate than Bernie Sanders."
I find that hard to believe. I don't think Lizzy Warren will be taking a Golden Sacks check anytime soon. Hillary never met a Golden Sacks check which she didn't like. Hmm

I'm sure everyone has noticed that Lizzy hasn't endorsed Hillary yet, right? smile
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 03:12 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
From FiveThirtyEight: "Clinton got beat on the left on one issue the last time she ran for president: the Iraq War." But in voting for the resolution, she was in the majority of the Democratic party: 58% of Democratic senators (29 of 50) voted for the resolution. In the context of the time, this is not actually surprising. People conveniently forget that the resolution authorized the President the discretion to use force..
We Lefties also said at the time, that the Bush Administration made-up Intel and the vote was based upon that. According to Fronline's documentary on the History of ISIS, VP Cheney's Office DID re-write the analysis from the CIA to promote an invasion, and Powell repeated those made-up "facts" at the U.N. - unwittingly.

For Senators like Sanders, he never violated his principal aversion to war and he didn't let the a-hole conservative neocons ("You're either with us; or against us") embarrass him into not voting for war. Good on him! smile
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 04:52 AM
Good god, Rick, you do do basic math, don't you? Have you applied that to these results? (I have, it works. You have to know how votes are allocated.) In Oklahoma and Nebraska he actually got more than his proportional share of delegates.

Second, the rules are the same for all candidates. Just because the math doesn't work for Sanders does not indicate it is "rigged." That is truly just partisanship speaking.

Look, I'm a political scientist by training. I'm just analyzing this as an academic exercise. I'm not wearing blinders based upon my partisan desires.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 05:02 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Good god, Rick, you do do basic math, don't you? Have you applied that to these results? (I have, it works. You have to know how votes are allocated.) In Oklahoma and Nebraska he actually got more than his proportional share of delegates.
Naw mang, too lazy. Hmm

Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Look, I'm a political scientist by training. I'm just analyzing this as an academic exercise. I'm not wearing blinders based upon my partisan desires.
smile
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 05:52 AM
Quote
I'm a political scientist by training.
I'm not. But we seem to have come to the same conclusion.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 08:59 AM
The "rigging" is all in the super-delegates. But, you know it's very easy to subtract them out when you look at the delegate counts. Other than their votes, all states have a set of rules that do not favor one candidate over another. Not the same set of rules, mind you, but still fair. The fact that one candidate in this race has more enthusiastic fans who are motivated to attend a caucus (as opposed to just a mail-in ballot like my area) is simply a matter of the rules for those states.

Are caucuses more democratic than primary elections? Got me!
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 09:58 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
We've seriously drifted into fantasy land, here. "The question is: why is this nomination process so rigged?" How is winning the majority of elected delegates "rigged"? It is not "rigged" just because you don't like the outcome. Clinton has won more delegates.
You truly DID NOT understand the issue. It is not about this particular primary process - it is about the whole process. I have shown with fact that it is rigged. The existence of delegates that are not tied to the results of popular votes and who answer only to the party bosses is a FACT. Please read previous posts before responding.
Your partisanship is showing dear fellow.

What is being classified as liberal? Is that the same as progressive? To compare Hillary to Warren is to muddy the waters.

Quote
For example, in her book, “The Two Income Trap,” Warren slammed Clinton for casting a Senate vote in 2001 for a bankruptcy bill that ultimately passed in 2005. That legislation makes it more difficult for credit card customers to renegotiate their debts, even as it allows the wealthy to protect their second homes and yachts from creditors. According to a 2009 study by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the bankruptcy bill’s provisions changing debt payback provisions played a central role in the foreclosure crisis, as the new law forced homeowners to pay off credit card debts before paying their mortgage.

“As first lady, Mrs. Clinton had been persuaded that the bill was bad for families, and she was willing to fight for her beliefs,” Warren wrote. “As New York’s newest senator, however, it seems that Hillary Clinton could not afford such a principled position. … The bill was essentially the same, but Hillary Rodham Clinton was not.”
Salon

Quote
When I take a position, I base it upon facts, not wishful thinking. According to, On The Issues.Org, "She is as liberal as Elizabeth Warren and barely more moderate than Bernie Sanders."

Not sure what you are calling fact but it does not pass the test of actual fact or even common sense.

Quote
From FiveThirtyEight: "Clinton got beat on the left on one issue the last time she ran for president: the Iraq War." But in voting for the resolution, she was in the majority of the Democratic party: 58% of Democratic senators (29 of 50) voted for the resolution. In the context of the time, this is not actually surprising. People conveniently forget that the resolution authorized the President the discretion to use force. At the time, many believed it was necessary to do so to strengthen the President's hand in ongoing negotiations with the Hussein regime. A vote against the resolution (which was bipartisan and co-sponsored) would have undermined his negotiating position. While I didn't trust Bush to behave responsibly, he was the President, and needed that authority in the interest of national security. That he misused that authority once he got it cannot be blamed on the Democrats, even those that voted for it.
This is a cop out. And it isn't true. She didn't lose on the left ONLY because of the Iraq war. She lost because she has no real positions on the issues that matter to the left. And she has been known to cater to opposing interests when it suits her ends. She is not a believable candidate, never was.

This is why:

Quote
On Thursday, Clinton herself vented about the Sanders campaign at a rally in New York, and when confronted by a Greenpeace activist about her financial ties to the fossil fuel industry, she replied testily: “I am so sick of the Sanders campaign lying about me. I’m sick of it.”

Of course, no one is lying about Clinton, who employs a number of bundlers registered as lobbyists for the fossil fuel industry — as Greenpeace documents here — and in an issued response, Greenpeace Democracy Campaign Director Molly Dorozenski said the following:

“Secretary Clinton is conflating Greenpeace with the Sanders campaign, but we are an independent organization, and our research team has assessed the contributions to all Presidential candidates. We have not and will not endorse candidates. Earlier this year, we asked both Secretary Clinton and Senator Sanders to sign our pledge to #fixdemocracy, and while Sanders signed, Clinton did not. We intend to continue to challenge all candidates to listen to the people, not their biggest donors.”

Hillary is sick of the left

I think you will find the partisan by looking in the mirror. coffee

Now add to that her ties to Wall Street and to neo liberal economics and you've got a clear distinction between Sanders and Warren vs. Clinton.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 10:01 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I'm not wearing blinders based upon my partisan desires.

Maybe you are? Hmm
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 10:12 AM
And of course, as if more proof were needed, here are her picks for the DNC Platform:

Intercept
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 10:56 AM
The Goldman connection (a part of it, anyway):

Quote
WHEN HILLARY CLINTON’S son-in-law sought funding for his new hedge fund in 2011, he found financial backing from one of the biggest names on Wall Street: Goldman Sachs chief executive Lloyd Blankfein.

The fund, called Eaglevale Partners, was founded by Chelsea Clinton’s husband, Marc Mezvinsky, and two of his partners. Blankfein not only personally invested in the fund, but allowed his association with it to be used in the fund’s marketing.

The investment did not turn out to be a savvy business decision. Earlier this month, Mezvinsky was forced to shutter one of the investment vehicles he launched under Eaglevale, called Eaglevale Hellenic Opportunity, after losing 90 percent of its money betting on the Greek recovery. The flagship Eaglevale fund has also lost money, according to the New York Times.

There has been minimal reporting on the Blankfein investment in Eaglevale Partners, which is a private fund that faces few disclosure requirements. At a campaign rally in downtown San Francisco on Thursday, I attempted to ask Hillary Clinton if she knew the amount that Blankfein invested in her son-in-law’s fund.

Intercept
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 11:23 AM
I get it: I disagree, therefore I am partisan. Great logic there. "I'm rubber, you're glue..."
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 05:57 PM
Quote
What is being classified as liberal? Is that the same as progressive?
No, I don't think so. Just to make the point, the difference is rather like the difference between the TEA Party and mainstream Republicans. Progressives, while nothing like the right wing lunatic fringe, tend to lean farther left than Liberals. I consider myself Progressive but the common sense side of me says that, at this time, a Liberal is better suited for the presidency. Hence my preference for Hillary. President Obama is not nearly as progressive as I would have liked, yet he made great strides. Hillary is not as progressive as I would like her to be, yet I expect to see the country swing farther left during her administration. At the very least we will get a more liberally biased Supreme Court which will pave the way for more politically progressive endeavors in the future. Efforts put forth by a more moderate president will stand a better chance of gaining traction in Congress than those of a progressive. Most of our Democratic congressmen and women are somewhat moderate. The president needs their support first and foremost. They are, unfortunately, beholden to the voters and beset by attacks from the right so it's not politically expedient for them to swing too far left if they want to keep their jobs. Even if they are really just a bunch of DINOs we need them as placeholders as we continue to wrest control of our government from the mindless ravages of the Right.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 06:46 PM
NW
Once again you are projecting. That we disagree about Ms. Clinton is obvious. But my arguments are based on her record and her actions. I disagree with her politics. That is not partisan, in fact, it is logic. And it is how I would hope people would think when choosing a candidate: if you agree with the candidate's politics you should support her/him. If not then you should seek an alternative. I believe the good reception that Bernie has had this cycle is a function of that: having a choice and expressing one's opinion about the candidates.
It worked wonders here in NY. Zephyr Teachout challenged Cuomo and even though we all knew she couldn't win we all turned out to vote for her. As a result, Cuomo has had to take a more progressive position on a whole host of issues.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 08:24 PM
So, if somebody loses money and has a Clinton connection, it is evidence of corruption? And if somebody makes money and has a Clinton connection it is evidence of corruption?

Seems like you are just going in with a belief that there is corruption and blaming any outcome on your belief.

Not so unusual for a hedge fund to lose money. They make some pretty scary bets sometimes.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 08:42 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
So, if somebody loses money and has a Clinton connection, it is evidence of corruption? And if somebody makes money and has a Clinton connection it is evidence of corruption .
I want whatever your smoking ROTFMOL
It is evidence of a connection - that's what the article says- if you bother to read it.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 08:58 PM
Am I an ideologue too?
Here's my question, or questions:

If Bernie loses the nomination, as expected, do the rest of the Democratic Party supporters feel justified in telling the progressives to DROP DEAD?

Does that make his supporters illegitimate and most importantly, how does it make his positions on the issues illegitimate?
Because if any of the above is true, then it means that the Democratic Party HAS NO liberal wing anymore. So what does that make the party?
Neoconservative?
Neoliberal?
Diet GOP?

Here's what I want you to think about.
Bernie's supporters now total approximately 40-45% of the party. How is it beneficial to throw almost half the base under the bus?
How does that help anything?

Now, I do not feel that this is an ideologue position, it's a simple question of effectiveness. If we throw almost half the base under the bus, doesn't it become obvious that the remainder of the base will certainly do their utmost to prove that they are just as conservative as the Republicans? After all, once you erase the progressives, you're left with Blue Dogs (CONSERVATIVE Democrats) Third Way, Democratic Leadership Council minions and DINO's, the Joe Liebermans, the Max Baucuses, the Zell Millers, the Ben Nelsons and the Jim Webbs, who by the way are the kind of Democrats who walked away from OBAMA during the midterm elections thus HANDING both houses of Congress to the Republicans.

If that's ideology, then you better label it the ideology of survival because if that is the Democratic Party platform, then we really do have a one party system, and the term Democrat stands for absolutely nothing, it's just the less racist and less misogynistic version of the Republican Party.

Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 09:38 PM
Quote
If Bernie loses the nomination, as expected, do the rest of the Democratic Party supporters feel justified in telling the progressives to DROP DEAD?

Does that make his supporters illegitimate and most importantly, how does it make his positions on the issues illegitimate?

Progressive positions are extremely relevant to the Democratic platform. If anything they are, like Bernie, just a little ahead of the times. There is a lot of political calculation at play here, Progressives want to jump in with both feet, make waves, and upset the apple cart. Liberals feel that things will work more smoothly if changes are made incrementally. Ultimately the goals are the same.


Posted By: matthew Re: Campaign 2016 - 05/31/16 10:38 PM
'
The present situation rather reminds me of 1964:

one candidate who might start a nuclear war and one candidate who definitely will start wars and keep the mayhem going on.
.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/01/16 08:29 AM
Really, Liberals do NOT want to throw the Progressives under the bus: They want to elect a President who will get changes (especially in the Supreme Court) that Progressives will like. They won't get the revolution, and they won't suddenly get to hunt down and barbeque the rich. But they will get a liberal Supreme Court for the next 30 years. They probably won't get single-payer for all, but they will get some movement towards it maybe including profit limits on Big Pharma. They won't get free college for everybody, but they will get some relief programs for student loans and some low-cost state colleges and universities for the qualified.

Why settle for the broken dream of changes that the American public will not support versus some changes that they will support? Politics is the Art of the Possible. Having dreams is great, but fixating on dreams that never come true is for losers.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/01/16 10:15 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Having dreams is great, but fixating on dreams that never come true is for losers.
Gee I'll bet all those losers in the Civil Rights, Workers Rights, Women's Rights, Gay Rights, etc. movements are so sorry that you hadn't told them this before they started. Then they could have just waited for things to happen instead of making them happen.
And those soldiers who died in WWII could have stayed home, while millions were fried, and waited until they voted Hitler out of office.
Ah yes, it is the losers who create change. Interesting... coffee
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/01/16 05:21 PM
Quote
Gee I'll bet all those losers in the Civil Rights, Workers Rights, Women's Rights, Gay Rights, etc. movements are so sorry that you hadn't told them this before they started.
True. But the gains in these areas have come about slowly, with fits and starts, incrementally you might say. Dreamers provide the impetus, policy wonks get the job done. Society doesn't always go along.
If Bernie Sanders commitment to peace is as great as some would have me believe, then the US would never have entered into WWII. Hitler was a dreamer too.


Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/01/16 06:29 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
Gee I'll bet all those losers in the Civil Rights, Workers Rights, Women's Rights, Gay Rights, etc. movements are so sorry that you hadn't told them this before they started.
True. But the gains in these areas have come about slowly, with fits and starts, incrementally you might say. Dreamers provide the impetus, policy wonks get the job done. Society doesn't always go along.
If Bernie Sanders commitment to peace is as great as some would have me believe, then the US would never have entered into WWII. Hitler was a dreamer too.

These movements achieved gains by CONSTANT POLITICAL PRESSURE as well as the blood, sweat and tears (and death) of the people who fought for them. Parts of any society will ALWAYS be opposed to change. Not sure how you're defining slowly but without disruption and protest nothing happens.
As for WWII, I have NEVER met a pacifist who was against it. There was a real threat and there were millions dying. The need for military intervention was evident to all. So I don't think Bernie, or any person with a conscience, would have sat that one out.
Bernie is not a dreamer. He is a realist. He wants to salvage what is left of this country.
Johnson was a hard nosed politician but he knew that the civil rights bill was a political necessity, while all of his fellow southerners were telling him to take it slow. He lost the Dixiecrats in then process but, he made it happen,
Lincoln too, a hard nosed politician. Ending slavery (aside from the moral imperative) was an economic necessity. Half the country went to war over that.
So, in fact, only those who have the courage to make things happen achieve anything.
As for Hitler, he too (as evil as he was) made things happen. He didn't sit around in a bar talking about how great it would be to conquer the world.
Ms. Clinton will walk this country backward, in my opinion. I really hope I'm wrong about that, but I don't believe I am.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/01/16 07:08 PM
Quote
As for WWII, I have NEVER met a pacifist who was against it.
Yes, but nonetheless America was deeply reluctant to enter into that war. We had been embroiled in the Great Depression and had lost over 100,000 soldiers not too many years before in WWI.
FDR wanted to intercede on behalf of Great Britain but Hitler's conquest of Europe wasn't enough to draw us in. It wasn't Hitler but Japanese Emperor Hirohito's bombing of Pearl Harbor that did the trick.
Quote
Bernie is not a dreamer. He is a realist.
Oh, Please. Bernie's Platform is based on three things. Breaking up the big banks. Free college education for all. And Single payer healthcare. He has done nothing for Women, Blacks, Hispanics, or the LGBTQ community. The very people whose blood sweat and tears you cite he has basically ignored. Bernie's appeal is mostly to intellectual white people, and Rick. It is Bernie who will walk the country backward because everything he wants involves massive tax increases and the redistribution of wealth(downward as oppose to our current situation). You can believe this or not, but calling for massive tax increases, despite his lofty goals(dreams?) would be political suicide. I don't even need to get out my cracked crystal ball to tell you that he would be a single term president and would be defeated in 2020 by a Republican.


Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/01/16 08:27 PM
You're joking, right? If that's what you think Bernie's platform is you're on crack.
The only thing you'll get with Clinton is more Wall Street, more concentration of wealth and more mass imprisonment of minorities. A couple more wars to boot. Nation building. Yeah, all those good things you so love.
If you don't raise taxes on the rich then you're a republican. If you believe in trickle down you're an idiot.
If you think you can ignore the environment then you're really stupid.
If you think the only way to help minorities is by jailing them, and then trying to be nice as you take any chance they ever had of economic advancement and pass it on to the corporations, well, I have no words for someone who thinks that.
The only thing that will help the majority, I.e. 99% of the population, (which, of course, includes large portions of the so-called minorities) is economic and social justice. If you think that's a dream then you've got some issues that are, as yet, unidentified.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/01/16 08:47 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
...Bernie's appeal is mostly to intellectual white people, and Rick...
Rick libel! cry

It takes intelligence to write snark this good. smile
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/01/16 09:27 PM
Quote
If you don't raise taxes on the rich then you're a republican. If you believe in trickle down you're an idiot.
If you think you can ignore the environment then you're really stupid.
If you think the only way to help minorities is by jailing them, and then trying to be nice as you take any chance they ever had of economic advancement and pass it on to the corporations, well, I have no words for someone who thinks that.
I don't recall ever saying I was in favor of any of those things.
But that is pretty much the beliefs of half the country and the majority in Congress, and that is exactly what the next president, just like the current president, will be dealing with.
I don't think we've ever had to suffer through a period of economic and social justice in this country, many have dreamed of it, none have made it come to pass. Instead, the war must be fought on a thousand fronts with a Congress that is determined to make any Democratic president fail and they don't give a rat's ass if the country goes straight to hell and the entire world economy is destroyed as they do it. This is our reality. I don't like it any more than you do but sweeping changes simply aren't in the cards. Genuine economic and social justice may have never existed in the entire history of mankind and Bernie is not liable to deliver them to us in the next four years. The reality is that he will pound his head against a wall of dissent trying to get it to break while a politician like Clinton will scratch and scrabble at it in a thousand different ways and places to weaken it. His method would get him a bloodied head, hers will make gains.
The art of the possible, y'know?
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/01/16 09:30 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Greger
...Bernie's appeal is mostly to intellectual white people, and Rick...
Rick libel! cry

It takes intelligence to write snark this good. smile
I wondered how long it would take you to pick up on that smile
I'm genuinely sorry for making a joke at your expense but sometimes I just can't help myself.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/01/16 09:33 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
I wondered how long it would take you to pick up on that smile
Nanoseconds. Not bad for a dumbfvck. coffee
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/01/16 09:36 PM


So, given polls showing Bernie beating Trump by wide-margins, and Hillary even with Trump and possibly losing to him - how is it that Hillary has any support? Hmm
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/01/16 11:05 PM
I was not referring to you personally but rather to the types of policies I expect from Ms. Clinton.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/01/16 11:16 PM
That's just because the Republicans have been so nice to Sanders: Not a single attack ad! Because he's the man the Republicans would LOVE to run against.

Supporting Sanders at this point is playing right into their strategy. They want Sanders to run because he is SO very vulnerable. If they got their wish and he was the candidate, the attacks would be so intense even you would not vote for him.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/01/16 11:57 PM
Apparently you are unaware of all the skeletons in Ms. Clinton's closet. Somehow I don't think Bernie can compete with her on that issue. ROTFMOL
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/01/16 11:59 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
That's just because the Republicans have been so nice to Sanders: Not a single attack ad! Because he's the man the Republicans would LOVE to run against.

Supporting Sanders at this point is playing right into their strategy. They want Sanders to run because he is SO very vulnerable. If they got their wish and he was the candidate, the attacks would be so intense even you would not vote for him.
That is, of course, all speculation.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 01:40 AM
>speculation

Have you seen a single Republican ad attacking Bernie Sanders?
I have not. I wonder why not. You would think Republicans are opposed to Socialists, wouldn't you?
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 01:56 AM
Quote
Apparently you are unaware of all the skeletons in Ms. Clinton's closet. Somehow I don't think Bernie can compete with her on that issue.
Links to some of those skeletons?

It could be said that Bernie hasn't done much of anything and so of course he hasn't accumulated many skeletons, just an inconsequential legislator who (mostly) voted for progressive causes. But that's not entirely true. He has a long and sordid history with socialist and communist causes. Doesn't bother me since I could be considered a social democrat, but Bernie isn't a social democrat. He is a democratic socialist. He has said it himself and I can assure you he knows the difference. If you'd like a taste of what the right wing press has on him here is a link to a right wing rag that outlines some of the skeletons we'd be seeing dragged out if he were the nominee.

They're keeping it pretty much on the down low so far but you can bet your ass we'd be pounded with adds about his communist ties should he become the nominee.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 02:26 AM
Quote
Have you seen a single Republican ad attacking Bernie Sanders?
I have not. I wonder why not. You would think Republicans are opposed to Socialists, wouldn't you?
Quite right PIA. They've handled him with kid gloves hoping against hope that he might be the nominee. They must be ecstatic with the turmoil in the Democratic Party right now. They'll let him damage Clinton as much as possible because he's saving them from having to pay for the ads now. If he became the nominee the gloves would come off.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 02:30 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
>speculation

Have you seen a single Republican ad attacking Bernie Sanders?
I have not. I wonder why not. You would think Republicans are opposed to Socialists, wouldn't you?
I speculate that the Republicans don't think Sanders will be the opponent.
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 02:37 AM
This election cycle has brought out all the crazies, and made quite a few who were not apparent before now show their colors
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 03:03 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
...some of the skeletons we'd be seeing...
You're linking an article that doesn't quite know the difference between socialism and Marxism and uses the terms interchangeably? rolleyes

I feel like this post is from a "conservative" - they certainly don't know the difference and they most certainly use the terms interchangeably. Hmm
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 04:12 AM
Rick, I said it was from a conservative rag, of course they have no idea what they are talking about. But neither do the voters they would be targeting with ads about Sanders communist ties. And they are there! He honeymooned in the USSR for chrissake. Here's another. Like it or not Bernie's closet is full of communist skeletons.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 04:14 AM
Originally Posted by Phil Hoskins
This election cycle has brought out all the crazies, and made quite a few who were not apparent before now show their colors
Are you calling me crazy, Phil? wink
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 04:16 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
Rick, I said it was from a conservative rag, of course they have no idea what they are talking about. But neither do the voters they would be targeting with ads about Sanders communist ties. And they are there! He honeymooned in the USSR for chrissake. Here's another. Like it or not Bernie's closet if full of communist skeletons.
At least YOU could have put communist in quotations... Hmm , rolleyes , coffee
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 05:53 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
Originally Posted by Phil Hoskins
This election cycle has brought out all the crazies, and made quite a few who were not apparent before now show their colors
Are you calling me crazy, Phil? wink
ONLY as a compliment
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 09:32 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Greger
...some of the skeletons we'd be seeing...
You're linking an article that doesn't quite know the difference between socialism and Marxism and uses the terms interchangeably? rolleyes

I feel like this post is from a "conservative" - they certainly don't know the difference and they most certainly use the terms interchangeably. Hmm

The Post doesn't even qualify as a rag - toilet paper is more appropriate. In the political world it counts for zero. But, in a way, it's actually a compliment. coffee
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 09:38 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
Apparently you are unaware of all the skeletons in Ms. Clinton's closet. Somehow I don't think Bernie can compete with her on that issue.
Links to some of those skeletons?

It could be said that Bernie hasn't done much of anything and so of course he hasn't accumulated many skeletons, just an inconsequential legislator who (mostly) voted for progressive causes. But that's not entirely true. He has a long and sordid history with socialist and communist causes. Doesn't bother me since I could be considered a social democrat, but Bernie isn't a social democrat. He is a democratic socialist. He has said it himself and I can assure you he knows the difference. If you'd like a taste of what the right wing press has on him here is a link to a right wing rag that outlines some of the skeletons we'd be seeing dragged out if he were the nominee.

They're keeping it pretty much on the down low so far but you can bet your ass we'd be pounded with adds about his communist ties should he become the nominee.

But you forget, dear boy, that Hillary has accumulated so many skeletons without actually doing anything of consequence. Methinks she wins the prize.
I know the difference between Social Democrat (wishy-washy liberal stuff) and democratic socialist (someone who has some actual principles). I prefer the latter.
I wish he were a commie, but unfortunately he is not.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 10:49 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
>speculation

Have you seen a single Republican ad attacking Bernie Sanders?
I have not. I wonder why not. You would think Republicans are opposed to Socialists, wouldn't you?

Not sure if you've considered the fact that she is the easier target. She is easier to attack because she mucks things up and makes vague statements about important issues. It is harder to attack someone who is clear about what they think.

Quote
Though Sanders hasn’t been hit nearly as hard as Clinton, he has been attacked by the right a few times. Future 45, a conservative Super PAC funded by backers of Marco Rubio, ran a 30-second spot sounding the alarms on higher taxes to come under Sanders.

Also note, Hillary's campaign is doing the work for the Republicans (they have sponsored many more attack ads against Bernie) so why should the Republicans spend money when their presumptive opponent is doing their dirty work.

Quote
Our ruling

Clinton said, "Let me say that I don't think (Sanders has) had a single negative ad ever run against him."

The number of attack ads against Sanders pales in comparison to the number against Clinton, but she’s wrong that he’s been completely spared.

Democratic groups, including one supporting Clinton, and Republican outfits alike have gone after Sanders.

We rate her claim False.

PF
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 04:58 PM
Quote
I know the difference between Social Democrat (wishy-washy liberal stuff) and democratic socialist (someone who has some actual principles). I prefer the latter.
I wish he were a commie, but unfortunately he is not.
Well, that explains a lot. And it sets you up for a lot of disappointment. Nearly half of America wants government to be so small that they could drown it in a bathtub and I'd like for it to at least have a nice Jacuzzi to give it some room to wiggle, you seem to want it so big it needs to be wedged into an Olympic pool.
Social democracies have been a success in many nations and are a foreseeable goal here. Once you turn the corner into democratic socialism you begin to open up the same opportunities for corruption that have destroyed many other socialist states. Not unlike the corruption inevitable in a primarily capitalist state such as we are dealing with here and now. Social democracy, to me, represents that place between the frying pan and the fire.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 05:06 PM
I could provide my own analysis, here, but this sums it up pretty well:  
Why Bernie Sanders’s trouncing of Donald Trump may not mean that much
Quote
part of the reason that Clinton does worse against Trump is because of Sanders supporters. The Upshot's Nate Cohn made this point last week, noting that recent YouGov polling showed Clinton leading Trump by 40 points among Sanders voters — and Sanders leading Trump by 70. Trump has benefited from consolidation of Republican support; it's fair to assume that Clinton will similarly benefit once Democrats unify behind her candidacy.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 05:27 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Really, Liberals do NOT want to throw the Progressives under the bus: They want to elect a President who will get changes (especially in the Supreme Court) that Progressives will like. They won't get the revolution, and they won't suddenly get to hunt down and barbeque the rich.

Sorry to burst any bubbles but in all my years of being a liberal I cannot confess to any sort of desire to be a cannibal, even though in 1971 or 72 I seem to remember chants from some of my oldest brother's SDS friends, "Free Stanley Baker! EAT THE RULING CLASS!"

Why is it people imagine that liberals harbor some kind of confiscatory wet dream littered with soviet donoshikestya and neighborhood politburos. Please see "neighborhood HOA" and "church social" instead, as those are distinctly Republican ideas and as conservative as mounting a flag to your scooter and yelling about Jade Helm! ROTFMOL

Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
But they will get a liberal Supreme Court for the next 30 years.

For some reason, liberals are still behind the curve on this, preferring instead to just let Trump win, let Rome go up in flames and muddle through the next four years. No matter how carefully I explain the damage that can be done by two or even three new Scalia/Thomas clones, they just don't seem to get it yet.
The remainder are happy to just yell that "Bernie isn't a real Democrat" and vote for Hillary.


Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
They probably won't get single-payer for all, but they will get some movement towards it maybe including profit limits on Big Pharma.

I still maintain that a crisis is coming in the near future. Hospitals are fed up with insurance companies, and doctors are finding it too expensive to maintain a practice outside of a corporate environment. The clerical resources necessary for a solo doctor to negotiate with big insurance are too expensive.

Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
They won't get free college for everybody, but they will get some relief programs for student loans and some low-cost state colleges and universities for the qualified.

My UCLA tuition in 1981-82 was couch change, about a thousand a year, which translates to roughly $2600 today if my math is right.
Any kid working a part time McJob can handle that, yes?
Believe it or not I actually think that if university is totally free for EVERYONE it will become "worthless", thus I actually favor a means tested and performance tied setup.
If Junior is of wealthy means or being supported by wealthy parents, full price. If not, Junior gets the 2600 dollar a year plan as long as he maintains at least a C average.
I think that even Bernie would settle for a deal like that.
He's nothing if not pragmatic.

Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Why settle for the broken dream of changes that the American public will not support versus some changes that they will support? Politics is the Art of the Possible. Having dreams is great, but fixating on dreams that never come true is for losers.

Again I am convinced that Sanders values pragmatism above all else because how else could a so called "socialist" reach across the aisle successfully for decades?
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 05:35 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
For some reason, liberals are still behind the curve on this, preferring instead to just let Trump win, let Rome go up in flames and muddle through the next four years. No matter how carefully I explain the damage that can be done by two or even three new Scalia/Thomas clones, they just don't seem to get it yet
Conversely, Bill Kristol type "conservatives" say just let Hillary win and they'll get someone better in four years. Hmm
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 05:37 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
My UCLA tuition in 1981-82 was couch change, about a thousand a year, which translates to roughly $2600 today if my math is right.
Any kid working a part time McJob can handle that, yes?
Not if they're typical, most of their salary would go to paying rent.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 05:43 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
For some reason, liberals are still behind the curve on this, preferring instead to just let Trump win, let Rome go up in flames and muddle through the next four years. No matter how carefully I explain the damage that can be done by two or even three new Scalia/Thomas clones, they just don't seem to get it yet
Conversely, Bill Kristol type "conservatives" say just let Hillary win and we'll get someone better in four years. Hmm

While SCOTUS nominations are important, after Ms. Clinton's choice of economic advisors I wonder... (Not comparing to Trump because he will not be nominating anyone)
He may very well be incarcerated before the election. He doesn't have the chutzpah for a real election.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 05:49 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
For some reason, liberals are still behind the curve on this, preferring instead to just let Trump win, let Rome go up in flames and muddle through the next four years. No matter how carefully I explain the damage that can be done by two or even three new Scalia/Thomas clones, they just don't seem to get it yet
Conversely, Bill Kristol type "conservatives" say just let Hillary win and we'll get someone better in four years. Hmm

While SCOTUS nominations are important, after Ms. Clinton's choice of economic advisors I wonder... (Not comparing to Trump because he will not be nominating anyone)
He may very well be incarcerated before the election. He doesn't have the chutzpah for a real election.
It's very unfortunate who we will have to choose from in November. We only get to choose those who step up to the plate, and the populace votes for... Hmm

We're basically screwed either way whomever gets into office in given today's current hypothetical. Having said that, we'll be slightly better off with Hillary - but our country is screwed either way with Trump or Hillary, to be honest. gobsmacked
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 06:23 PM
Quote
We're basically screwed either way whomever gets into office
Somehow, I think you will change your tune after a couple of years of Hillary as President, versus Trump. They are completely different people, no matter how much you dislike Hillary. Trump would be a disaster on many fronts. Hillary will not.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 06:29 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
We're basically screwed either way whomever gets into office
Somehow, I think you will change your tune after a couple of years of Hillary as President, versus Trump. They are completely different people, no matter how much you dislike Hillary. Trump would be a disaster on many fronts. Hillary will not.
I don't dislike Hillary, it's just the crap that follows her around and the decisions which she made, I don't agree with, and this crap is mostly of her own doing. I also fear that she'll govern closely to how her husband governed. Yes, I was around and I voted for Bill, but I didn't really pay attention to what he was doing - except for how it affected me, personally, being gay. That's really the only thing that I cared about back then. In hindsight, I learned this of Bill Clinton's tenure in office:
  • NAFTA
  • The Repeal of Glass-Steagall
  • Bill Clinton championed laws denying federal financial aid to "drug offenders" for college.
  • Bill Clinton championed laws banning people with criminal convictions from access to public housing.
  • Bill Clinton championed laws denying food stamps under federal law, to people who were once caught with drugs.

To me, this was all Republican-lite. I don't want that for President. Obama has moved us to the left, I'd like that progression to continue and I fear that Hillary will be regressive and she'll be too easy on Wall Street and get us into more wars. Hmm

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 06:42 PM



At the end of the day come this November, when I check Hillary's name, I won't be voting FOR Hillary, I'll be voting AGAINST Donald Trump. It will be a lessor of two evils vote, in my humble opinion. Hmm

How I really want the country to be governed, probably won't happen, sadly. cry
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 06:58 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
I know the difference between Social Democrat (wishy-washy liberal stuff) and democratic socialist (someone who has some actual principles). I prefer the latter.
I wish he were a commie, but unfortunately he is not.
Well, that explains a lot. And it sets you up for a lot of disappointment. Nearly half of America wants government to be so small that they could drown it in a bathtub and I'd like for it to at least have a nice Jacuzzi to give it some room to wiggle, you seem to want it so big it needs to be wedged into an Olympic pool.
Social democracies have been a success in many nations and are a foreseeable goal here. Once you turn the corner into democratic socialism you begin to open up the same opportunities for corruption that have destroyed many other socialist states. Not unlike the corruption inevitable in a primarily capitalist state such as we are dealing with here and now. Social democracy, to me, represents that place between the frying pan and the fire.

Actually I won't be disappointed because I don't expect miracles. What half of the country wants can change if the economic landscape changes. When they hurt in their pockets then they'll start to look for alternatives.
As for corruption: It happens everywhere when there are large amounts of money involved. Socialism can't eradicate it anymore than Sharia Law can. However, you are incorrect in thinking that Socialism is more prone to corruption than social democracy. The difference is only in the orders of magnitude (usually higher in social democracy).
I have lived in very poor socialist countries. The problems are myriad, but there is a willingness to try and overcome them - whereas in social democracy they just look to blame some group.
Under capitalism, of course, they reward corruption - while making it seem like they are promoting free enterprise.
There is no panacea. But anything is better than moving backwards.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 07:30 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I could provide my own analysis, here, but this sums it up pretty well:  
Why Bernie Sanders’s trouncing of Donald Trump may not mean that much
Quote
part of the reason that Clinton does worse against Trump is because of Sanders supporters. The Upshot's Nate Cohn made this point last week, noting that recent YouGov polling showed Clinton leading Trump by 40 points among Sanders voters — and Sanders leading Trump by 70. Trump has benefited from consolidation of Republican support; it's fair to assume that Clinton will similarly benefit once Democrats unify behind her candidacy.

And???? What are we to understand, that all the sheep should follow the leader into the slaughterhouse? That there shouldn't be dissent? Seems to me the writer of this piece thinks that the Dems will rally behind Clinton eventually, so your point is? A candidate who the arrogant Clintons had written off is giving them a run for their money (as it should be in any democracy)? They tried a similar tack with Obama in 2008 until the momentum overtook them.
There is no doubt that Bernie's candidacy - especially through the vehicle of the Democratic Party, thus assuring that there is no loss of support if he loses the nomination - is the first breath of fresh air that the Dems have had since 2008. They should thank him for possibly bringing more people into the fold. In spite of Wasserman Shultz.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 08:33 PM
Quote
How I really want the country to be governed, probably won't happen, sadly.
Welcome to reality. Even if Bernie were elected the country still wouldn't be governed the way you want it. But if Trump were elected it would be governed like you really don't want it to be governed.
When the president clocks in for his/her four year shift he/she is handed a veto pen, a bully pulpit, a few supreme court nominations, and a million chances to make the wrong decision after not nearly enough sleep. In the balance lies world peace, human rights, climate change issues, the economy, and the day to day operation of the Federal Government.
We already know that Donald Trump would throw away the veto pen, select supreme court justices who use that pocket version of the Constitution, and give Republicans and the TEA Party free reign while they turn the entire country into Kansas. All while sleeping soundly and making more wrong decisions than George W. Bush.
Obamacare would go out the window, Dodd-Frank would go out with it.
Social Security would be slashed, deficits and the national debt would soar, the economy would likely collapse, LBGTQ rights would disappear, Rowe Wade would be overturned, taxes slashed for the wealthy. Immigrants would be faced with unspeakable indignities, police forces become more militarized and more unarmed black children would be gunned down in the streets. Veterans would be ignored while the military budget became even more bloated and we'd have boots on the ground in a dozen shytepot countries and flag covered caskets rolling in by the dozens. Trump not only doesn't believe in climate change, he doesn't even think there's a drought in California.
In a nutshell, America would be great again.
So, when you ponder the depredations that would invariably occur under a Trump administration perhaps you'll breath a little easier and not have to hold your nose while voting for Hillary.

Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 08:56 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
For some reason, liberals are still behind the curve on this, preferring instead to just let Trump win, let Rome go up in flames and muddle through the next four years. No matter how carefully I explain the damage that can be done by two or even three new Scalia/Thomas clones, they just don't seem to get it yet
Conversely, Bill Kristol type "conservatives" say just let Hillary win and they'll get someone better in four years. Hmm

So that's why Kristol is stumping for a Ryan or some other shill?
Come on mang, you know what his wet dream really is.
You don't?

Kristol, like a lot of other GOP-ers, intends to dilute everything down to the point where NO CANDIDATE can get 270 votes.
Guess what happens then?
It goes to the largely Republican Congress, who SELECTS the new President!

Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 08:58 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
My UCLA tuition in 1981-82 was couch change, about a thousand a year, which translates to roughly $2600 today if my math is right.
Any kid working a part time McJob can handle that, yes?
Not if they're typical, most of their salary would go to paying rent.

I dunno bout chew mang, but most of my fellow students were either commuting from home or living with a minimum of three roommates, maybe four.

Rent ain't too high when you have three other roomies helping out, mang. wink
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 09:00 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
We're basically screwed either way whomever gets into office
Somehow, I think you will change your tune after a couple of years of Hillary as President, versus Trump. They are completely different people, no matter how much you dislike Hillary. Trump would be a disaster on many fronts. Hillary will not.

I keep saying that Hilz will not be the end of the world if we can count on a Bernie type liberal wing acting as a counterbalance.
I not only think that is reasonable, I think we can count on that being reality.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 09:05 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
How I really want the country to be governed, probably won't happen, sadly.
Welcome to reality. Even if Bernie were elected the country still wouldn't be governed the way you want it. But if Trump were elected it would be governed like you really don't want it to be governed.
When the president clocks in for his/her four year shift he/she is handed a veto pen, a bully pulpit, a few supreme court nominations, and a million chances to make the wrong decision after not nearly enough sleep. In the balance lies world peace, human rights, climate change issues, the economy, and the day to day operation of the Federal Government.
We already know that Donald Trump would throw away the veto pen, select supreme court justices who use that pocket version of the Constitution, and give Republicans and the TEA Party free reign while they turn the entire country into Kansas. All while sleeping soundly and making more wrong decisions than George W. Bush.
Obamacare would go out the window, Dodd-Frank would go out with it.
Social Security would be slashed, deficits and the national debt would soar, the economy would likely collapse, LBGTQ rights would disappear, Rowe Wade would be overturned, taxes slashed for the wealthy. Immigrants would be faced with unspeakable indignities, police forces become more militarized and more unarmed black children would be gunned down in the streets. Veterans would be ignored while the military budget became even more bloated and we'd have boots on the ground in a dozen shytepot countries and flag covered caskets rolling in by the dozens. Trump not only doesn't believe in climate change, he doesn't even think there's a drought in California.
In a nutshell, America would be great again.
So, when you ponder the depredations that would invariably occur under a Trump administration perhaps you'll breath a little easier and not have to hold your nose while voting for Hillary.

I got nothin but love for you Greger.
You win the internet for that post. Bow

All I would say is that Hillary can only BENEFIT from allowing Bernie and his liberal wing to act as something of a conscience.
Was it LBJ who said, "Make me do the right thing" ??
Well, there it is, Bernie can "make her do the right thing" when it is necessary.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 09:34 PM
If she goes into office with an open line of communication (and maybe even some political debt) to the left wing, that would be fine. I actually admire a lot of Bernie's goals. I just think Hillary has a much better chance of realizing some of them.

I still think Bernie would make a very fine President of the Senate for her, AKA the VP. Especially if he had a Democratic majority in that house.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 10:22 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
My UCLA tuition in 1981-82 was couch change, about a thousand a year, which translates to roughly $2600 today if my math is right.
Any kid working a part time McJob can handle that, yes?
Not if they're typical, most of their salary would go to paying rent.

I dunno bout chew mang, but most of my fellow students were either commuting from home or living with a minimum of three roommates, maybe four.

Rent ain't too high when you have three other roomies helping out, mang. wink
Naw mang, look at LA's Craig's List: $2685 1 bdrm, $5870 3 bdrm, $6700 3 berm - those are some Iranian royalty prices!! Ain't no student working at Micky D's can afford that! smile
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 10:52 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
How I really want the country to be governed, probably won't happen, sadly.
Welcome to reality. Even if Bernie were elected the country still wouldn't be governed the way you want it. But if Trump were elected it would be governed like you really don't want it to be governed.
When the president clocks in for his/her four year shift he/she is handed a veto pen, a bully pulpit, a few supreme court nominations, and a million chances to make the wrong decision after not nearly enough sleep. In the balance lies world peace, human rights, climate change issues, the economy, and the day to day operation of the Federal Government.
We already know that Donald Trump would throw away the veto pen, select supreme court justices who use that pocket version of the Constitution, and give Republicans and the TEA Party free reign while they turn the entire country into Kansas. All while sleeping soundly and making more wrong decisions than George W. Bush.
Obamacare would go out the window, Dodd-Frank would go out with it.
Social Security would be slashed, deficits and the national debt would soar, the economy would likely collapse, LBGTQ rights would disappear, Rowe Wade would be overturned, taxes slashed for the wealthy. Immigrants would be faced with unspeakable indignities, police forces become more militarized and more unarmed black children would be gunned down in the streets. Veterans would be ignored while the military budget became even more bloated and we'd have boots on the ground in a dozen shytepot countries and flag covered caskets rolling in by the dozens. Trump not only doesn't believe in climate change, he doesn't even think there's a drought in California.
In a nutshell, America would be great again.
So, when you ponder the depredations that would invariably occur under a Trump administration perhaps you'll breath a little easier and not have to hold your nose while voting for Hillary.

Still gotta hold your nose. Comparing Trump to Clinton is ridiculous. Reality is she is retrograde from a progressive point of view. Trump is a Buffon. I have little hope for this election cycle. Especially when the rationale is "she's not the end of world". No she isn't but if that's a reason we're in trouble. The only reason I can see to vote for her is to vote against Trump - but I will do it wearing a gas mask.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 11:02 PM
You can get a 1 bedroom in my little town for under $800, 3 bedroom for twice that. The local college aint fancy but it's cheap. You want to live in the big city you gotta pay big city prices.
a few listings
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 11:34 PM
I have no problem voting for Hillary Clinton. The only people who believe she is "retrograde" are those who are too far left to recognize the difference between Mao and Mussolini. She has always been much more liberal than her husband (you can look through history to see that). Being liberal, however, does not mean marching lockstep with every progressive wet dream. I'm very progressive. I'm also very pragmatic and very idealistic. You can throw out all the invective you want, that doesn't make it any more "real" than anything that Trump spews. Hillary Clinton is now a seasoned politician. Much as I like Bernie Sanders, he is not. Nor is he ever likely to be.

We're on the verge, I believe, of a significant (and hopefully permanent) political shift to the left. This is at least generational. Do I want seriously progressive policies? Oh yeah! Do I agree with Sanders on many issues/principles? Certainly. What is missed is, so does Hillary Clinton. Inside Gov; Hillary or Bernie?; Who Is the Real Progressive: Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders?

Sanders is on the forefront of a progressive wave, yes - but, he isn't leading it. That is a significant point. If you want to see the leadership of progressivism, you have to look elsewhere, like at Elizabeth Warren or Russ Feingold. OR, dare I say it, Hillary Clinton.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/02/16 11:45 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I have no problem voting for Hillary Clinton. The only people who believe she is "retrograde" are those who are too far left to recognize the difference between Mao and Mussolini. She has always been much more liberal than her husband. Being liberal, however, does not mean marching lockstep with every progressive wet dream. I'm very progressive. I'm also very pragmatic and very idealistic. You can throw out all the invective you want, that doesn't make it any more "real" than anything that Trump spews. Hillary Clinton is now a seasoned politician. Much as I like Bernie Sanders, he is not. Not is he ever likely to be.

We're on the verge, I believe, of a significant (and hopefully permanent) political shift to the left. This is at least generational. Do I want seriously progressive policies? Oh yeah! Do I agree with Sanders on many issues/principles? Certainly. What is missed is, so does Hillary Clinton.
Do you know the difference between Mao and Mussolini?
You may ordain yourself progressive etc. Your opinion. Clinton is retrograde. And somehow you've managed to convince yourself otherwise. C'est la vie.
Doesn't make it so.
BTW Mussolini was not on the left - just a hint LOL
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 12:00 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Do I agree with Sanders on many issues/principles? Certainly. What is missed is, so does Hillary Clinton.
gobsmacked

If Bernie hadn't been in the race, for example, would Hillary have taken a firm position on the Keystone XL pipeline, the minimum wage and the Asia trade deal?

I think not... Hmm
  • As secretary of state, Hillary described TPP in glowing terms. Later, she stepped back from that support
  • For much of 2015, Hillary avoided taking a position on the XL Pipeline - she finally relented.
  • In July 2015, Hillary said she supported a $12 federal minimum wage - Bernie said $15
Whereas, Bernie was always in front on these issues, on the correct side. Hmm

Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 12:05 AM
I wasn't comparing Trump to Clinton, just pointing out what would likely happen with Trump. When it comes down to brass tacks the difference between a Clinton and a Sanders presidency wouldn't be that great. Both would wield the veto pen about equally. Both would pick great Supreme Court justices. I don't think Clinton would be particularly eager to go to war, remember that one time she voted for a war and all the grief she's gotten from it? And as you said there are some conflicts that even a pacifist will not shy away from...

Quote
Sanders supported Bill Clinton’s war on Serbia, voted for the 2001 Authorization Unilateral Military Force Against Terrorists (AUMF), which pretty much allowed Bush to wage war wherever he wanted, backed Obama’s Libyan debacle and supports an expanded US role in the Syrian Civil War.

More problematic for the Senator in Birkenstocks is the little-known fact that Bernie Sanders himself voted twice in support of regime change in Iraq. In 1998 Sanders voted in favor of the Iraq Liberation Act of 1998, which said: “It should be the policy of the United States to support efforts to remove the regime headed by Saddam Hussein from power in Iraq and to promote the emergence of a democratic government to replace that regime.”

Later that same year, Sanders also backed a resolution that stated: “Congress reaffirms that it should be the policy of the United States to support efforts to remove the regime headed by Saddam Hussein from power in Iraq and to promote the emergence of a democratic government to replace that regime.” These measures gave congressional backing for the CIA’s covert plan to overthrow the Hussein regime in Baghdad, as well as the tightening of an economic sanctions regime that may have killed as many as 500,000 Iraqi children. The resolution also gave the green light to Operation Desert Fox, a four-day long bombing campaign striking 100 targets throughout Iraq. The operation featured more than 300 bombing sorties and 350 ground-launched Tomahawk cruise missiles, several targeting Saddam Hussein himself.

Even Hillary belatedly admitted that her Iraq war vote was a mistake. Bernie, however, has never apologized for his two votes endorsing the overthrow of Saddam.
Counterpunch

In foreign affairs I'd have to give Hillary the edge due to her Secretary of State experience. In dealing with congress Bernie might come out ahead, he's been doing it a long long time. Neither really has much in the way of executive experience but I think she has a much better idea about what she's getting into once she's elected since she has already lived in that big white house for eight years and seen firsthand what it's like to be under that kind of pressure.
She'd likely use her bully pulpit to push for more social justice while Bernie would focus on economic equality. Either candidate would probably be a great president. It just turned out that Clinton is the one most likely to get the chance.

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 12:05 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
She has always been much more liberal than her husband (you can look through history to see that)..

  • DADT - same as her husband
  • NAFTA - same as her husband
  • Gay Marraige - same as her husband
  • Glass-Steagall - same as her husband

In the 90s, I can only find that Hillary was "liberal" on healthcare, she wanted a single-payer and the Republicans put up HEART which is exactly where Obamacare came from.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 12:18 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
My UCLA tuition in 1981-82 was couch change, about a thousand a year, which translates to roughly $2600 today if my math is right.
Any kid working a part time McJob can handle that, yes?
Not if they're typical, most of their salary would go to paying rent.

I dunno bout chew mang, but most of my fellow students were either commuting from home or living with a minimum of three roommates, maybe four.

Rent ain't too high when you have three other roomies helping out, mang. wink
Naw mang, look at LA's Craig's List: $2685 1 bdrm, $5870 3 bdrm, $6700 3 berm - those are some Iranian royalty prices!! Ain't no student working at Micky D's can afford that! smile

Rick, those are luxury apts in Westwood.

You DO realize that people commute to UCLA all day long, yes?

Opening up the locale gives you a range starting at around 800 or so for a 1 BR and 1 BR apts typically wind up with two or even three people (if two of them are a couple) renting it out.

Sure, if you limit your apts to "right around UCLA" you WILL pay through the nose. UCLA also has dorms, by the way.

Hollywood has apts ranging anywhere from 650 and up.
Don't like Hollywood apts? Neither do I (there are exceptions) but kids going to school ain't that picky!
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 12:36 AM
We rent out a three bedroom house easy bike, bus or drive distance from UCSD for $1900/month. My stepmother was renting rooms just a bit further away for $500/month with kitchen priviliges, cable TV, and broadband. UCSD students lived there.

Oh, yes. With a pool.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 12:39 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
I wasn't comparing Trump to Clinton, just pointing out what would likely happen with Trump. When it comes down to brass tacks the difference between a Clinton and a Sanders presidency wouldn't be that great. Both would wield the veto pen about equally. Both would pick great Supreme Court justices. I don't think Clinton would be particularly eager to go to war, remember that one time she voted for a war and all the grief she's gotten from it? And as you said there are some conflicts that even a pacifist will not shy away from...

Quote
Sanders supported Bill Clinton’s war on Serbia, voted for the 2001 Authorization Unilateral Military Force Against Terrorists (AUMF), which pretty much allowed Bush to wage war wherever he wanted, backed Obama’s Libyan debacle and supports an expanded US role in the Syrian Civil War.

More problematic for the Senator in Birkenstocks is the little-known fact that Bernie Sanders himself voted twice in support of regime change in Iraq. In 1998 Sanders voted in favor of the Iraq Liberation Act of 1998, which said: “It should be the policy of the United States to support efforts to remove the regime headed by Saddam Hussein from power in Iraq and to promote the emergence of a democratic government to replace that regime.”

Later that same year, Sanders also backed a resolution that stated: “Congress reaffirms that it should be the policy of the United States to support efforts to remove the regime headed by Saddam Hussein from power in Iraq and to promote the emergence of a democratic government to replace that regime.” These measures gave congressional backing for the CIA’s covert plan to overthrow the Hussein regime in Baghdad, as well as the tightening of an economic sanctions regime that may have killed as many as 500,000 Iraqi children. The resolution also gave the green light to Operation Desert Fox, a four-day long bombing campaign striking 100 targets throughout Iraq. The operation featured more than 300 bombing sorties and 350 ground-launched Tomahawk cruise missiles, several targeting Saddam Hussein himself.

Even Hillary belatedly admitted that her Iraq war vote was a mistake. Bernie, however, has never apologized for his two votes endorsing the overthrow of Saddam.
Counterpunch

In foreign affairs I'd have to give Hillary the edge due to her Secretary of State experience. In dealing with congress Bernie might come out ahead, he's been doing it a long long time. Neither really has much in the way of executive experience but I think she has a much better idea about what she's getting into once she's elected since she has already lived in that big white house for eight years and seen firsthand what it's like to be under that kind of pressure.
She'd likely use her bully pulpit to push for more social justice while Bernie would focus on economic equality. Either candidate would probably be a great president. It just turned out that Clinton is the one most likely to get the chance.
The stuff about Bernie is pretty well known. As I said before: there are a bunch of things I disagree with on his record. The difference is - he's really interested in economic change and I think he's still less hawkish than Clinton. She's very close to being a neo liberal in that camp.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 01:48 AM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
You DO realize that people commute to UCLA all day long, yes?
I forgot! Sheesh! gobsmacked

I've only been here 19 mos and I've already adopted the "more than 5 mi is a long-distance commute" mentality. Hmm
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 02:14 AM
Quote
The stuff about Bernie is pretty well known. As I said before: there are a bunch of things I disagree with on his record. The difference is - he's really interested in economic change and I think he's still less hawkish than Clinton. She's very close to being a neo liberal in that camp.
I'm not judging Bernie on this. But neither of them are die hard peaceniks. You may think he's less hawkish but as far as I'm concerned it's only an opinion and isn't backed up by facts.
He's really interested in economic change, she's really interested in social justice. Either would work hard to improve the lives of all Americans both socially and economically.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 02:26 AM
Zeke, my friend, you miss subtlety. The point is when you start as left as you do, everything looks retrograde. Mussolini and Mao were really not all that different. They just used different excuses for being dictators.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 03:28 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
He's really interested in economic change, she's really interested in social justice. Either would work hard to improve the lives of all Americans both socially and economically.
Then they should run as a ticket. laugh

Glad this is settled now. smile

What shall we discuss next? Hmm
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 03:34 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
You may ordain yourself progressive etc. Your opinion. Clinton is retrograde. And somehow you've managed to convince yourself otherwise. C'est la vie.
Doesn't make it so.
Sticking with the rubber/glue approach, huh?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 03:36 AM
Y'all do realize that Bill Clinton left office 16 years ago? Nothing of note has happened since then, right? No one's opinions or positions have changed?
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 04:12 AM

I post this only for the title of the article. Now mainstream media is calling 2016 a "hold your nose" election.

Hmm
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 09:13 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
You may ordain yourself progressive etc. Your opinion. Clinton is retrograde. And somehow you've managed to convince yourself otherwise. C'est la vie.
Doesn't make it so.
Sticking with the rubber/glue approach, huh?
Your failure to present any proof of your statements is the issue.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 09:17 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Zeke, my friend, you miss subtlety. The point is when you start as left as you do, everything looks retrograde. Mussolini and Mao were really not all that different. They just used different excuses for being dictators.
I don't know where you got that from, but that is historical revisionism at its worst - and about as subtle as an elephant in heat. Fascism is not communism, in fact they are polar opposites. They have nothing is common, dear friend. And I really think you know that.

Quote
Fascism is a form of radical authoritarian nationalism that came to prominence in early 20th-century Europe, influenced by national syndicalism. Fascism originated in Italy during World War I and spread to other European countries. Fascism opposes liberalism, Marxism and anarchism and is usually placed on the far-right within the traditional left–right spectrum.

Quote
In political and social sciences, communism (from Latin communis, "common, universal") is a social, political, and economic ideology and movement whose ultimate goal is the establishment of the communist society, which is a socioeconomic order structured upon the common ownership of the means of production and the absence of social classes, money, and the state.

Oh I forgot: they do have something in common: their names both begin with "M" ROTFMOL
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 09:23 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Y'all do realize that Bill Clinton left office 16 years ago? Nothing of note has happened since then, right? No one's opinions or positions have changed?
If you can believe a word that either of them say, then maybe something has changed. That is difficult. And it seems I'm not alone in that.

WaPo
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 10:29 AM
NOAM CHOMSKY on Bernie Sanders:

Quote
NOAM CHOMSKY: Well, Bernie Sanders is an extremely interesting phenomenon. He’s a decent, honest person. That’s pretty unusual in the political system. Maybe there are two of them in the world, you know. But he’s considered radical and extremist, which is a pretty interesting characterization, because he’s basically a mainstream New Deal Democrat. His positions would not have surprised President Eisenhower, who said, in fact, that anyone who does not accept New Deal programs doesn’t belong in the American political system. That’s now considered very radical.

The other interesting aspect of Sanders’s positions is that they’re quite strongly supported by the general public, and have been for a long time. That’s true on taxes. It’s true on healthcare. So, take, say, healthcare. His proposal for a national healthcare system, meaning the kind of system that just about every other developed country has, at half the per capita cost of the United States and comparable or better outcomes, that’s considered very radical. But it’s been the position of the majority of the American population for a long time. So, you go back, say, to the Reagan—right now, for example, latest polls, about 60 percent of the population favor it. When Obama put through the Affordable Care Act, there was, you recall, a public option. But that was dropped. It was dropped even though it was supported by about almost two-thirds of the population. You go back earlier, say, to the Reagan years, about 70 percent of the population thought that national healthcare should be in the Constitution, because it’s such an obvious right. And, in fact, about 40 percent of the population thought it was in the Constitution, again, because it’s such an obvious right. The same is true on tax policy and others.

So we have this phenomenon where someone is taking positions that would have been considered pretty mainstream during the Eisenhower years, that are supported by a large part, often a considerable majority, of the population, but he’s dismissed as radical and extremist. That’s an indication of how the spectrum has shifted to the right during the neoliberal period, so far to the right that the contemporary Democrats are pretty much what used to be called moderate Republicans. And the Republicans are just off the spectrum. They’re not a legitimate parliamentary party anymore. And Sanders has—the significant part of—he has pressed the mainstream Democrats a little bit towards the progressive side. You see that in Clinton’s statements. But he has mobilized a large number of young people, these young people who are saying, "Look, we’re not going to consent anymore." And if that turns into a continuing, organized, mobilized—mobilized force, that could change the country—maybe not for this election, but in the longer term.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 12:40 PM
Zeke, with due respect, you are an ideologue of the highest order, "an adherent of an ideology, especially one who is uncompromising and dogmatic." While I greatly respect that you do so openly, it is beyond disingenuous to suggest I haven't provided any "proof" of my positions. You haven't read anything I've presented because you have a fixed idea and are not open to other views.

I'm glad you finally recognized that both Mao and Mussolini begin with "M", but their similarities go WAY beyond that. Both were totalitarians of the highest order. Fascism and communism may start from opposite ends of the spectrum, but they get to the same place by different paths. I doubt their victims really made subtle distinctions about why they were being exterminated. Their politics were just the excuse for taking power and enforcing their edicts. It's not so different between radical left and tea party adherents here.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 01:06 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Y'all do realize that Bill Clinton left office 16 years ago? Nothing of note has happened since then, right? No one's opinions or positions have changed?
If you can believe a word that either of them say, then maybe something has changed. That is difficult. And it seems I'm not alone in that.

WaPo

And you offer us opinion polls as proof you are right? Well done, lad!

And on that same page a little blurb giving Bernie three Pinocchios for another of his lies.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 01:14 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Y'all do realize that Bill Clinton left office 16 years ago? Nothing of note has happened since then, right? No one's opinions or positions have changed?
If you can believe a word that either of them say, then maybe something has changed. That is difficult. And it seems I'm not alone in that.

WaPo

And you offer us opinion polls as proof you are right? Well done, lad!

And on that same page a little blurb giving Bernie three Pinocchios for another of his lies.
So you think all polls are created equal? Surely you jest. Criteria, my boy, criteria.
You mean as opposed to the countless lies told by Ms. Clinton? Don't even go there, brother. She has dodged and obfuscated with the best of them. No contest.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 01:22 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Zeke, with due respect, you are an ideologue of the highest order, "an adherent of an ideology, especially one who is uncompromising and dogmatic." While I greatly respect that you do so openly, it is beyond disingenuous to suggest I haven't provided any "proof" of my positions. You haven't read anything I've presented because you have a fixed idea and are not open to other views.

I'm glad you finally recognized that both Mao and Mussolini begin with "M", but their similarities go WAY beyond that. Both were totalitarians of the highest order. Fascism and communism may start from opposite ends of the spectrum, but they get to the same place by different paths. I doubt their victims really made subtle distinctions about why they were being exterminated. Their politics were just the excuse for taking power and enforcing their edicts. It's not so different between radical left and tea party adherents here.
Please tell me that someone with your education is joking. That is utter nonsense and you know it. What are you trying to prove? If you believe in capitalism come out and say it. Ideologue bullshyte again? Anyone who disagrees with you is an ideologue.
There is a clear distinction between the two and if you don't believe me PLEASE read history and don't make it up as you go along.
You are trying to pin a label on me. Don't waste your breath, such a label has not been invented nor will it ever be.
The only classification I accept is human being - and unfortunately it seems that that is not enough nowadays.
Your claim flies in the face of history, my friend. I am disappointed.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 01:47 PM
Not to argue with the venerable Chomsky, but...
Quote
So we have this phenomenon where someone is taking positions that would have been considered pretty mainstream during the Eisenhower years, that are supported by a large part, often a considerable majority, of the population, but he’s dismissed as radical and extremist.
Health insurance was indeed important to Eisenhower as can be witnessed Here.
Unfortunately not much seemed to come from it so despite the fact that it was pretty mainstream, Congress still didn't put forth an effort to make it happen. Unlike Chomsky and yourself, I really don't remember those years since I was just a wee tyke. On the other hand it could have been nothing more than platitudes passed out to the masses when Ike, nor Congress, ever had any intention of collecting the taxes or creating the programs to insure less fortunate Americans. Nothing came of it then just as nothing has come of it now despite its mainstream popularity.

Quote
he has mobilized a large number of young people, these young people who are saying, "Look, we’re not going to consent anymore." And if that turns into a continuing, organized, mobilized—mobilized force, that could change the country—maybe not for this election, but in the longer term.
Now this is a jewel! And the reason I so admire Chomsky. He recognizes the genuine takeaway of the Sanders phenomenon. Even though he minces words a bit here, the fact is that Sanders has deeply affected the future politics of this country. In fact, even though he will lose this election, he has planted seeds in the minds of the next generation. A huge generation of voters who want more from government and are better connected, through social media, than any generation in the past. Perhaps, because he lost, he will be better remembered than if he won and then failed to bring these seeds to fruition himself. His acolytes will carry on and the oligarchs will eventually be toppled.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 01:53 PM
Excuse me! a late edit to the above post...

Something did indeed come of it!

Quote
Medicare & Medicaid. On July 30, 1965, President Lyndon B. Johnson signed into law the bill that led to the Medicare and Medicaid. The original Medicare program included Part A (Hospital Insurance) and Part B (Medical Insurance). Today these 2 parts are called “Original Medicare.”
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 03:11 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
...
Perhaps, because he lost, he will be better remembered than if he won and then failed to bring these seeds to fruition himself. His acolytes will carry on and the oligarchs will eventually be toppled.
I am in total agreement with you on that one. ThumbsUp
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 03:58 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Please tell me that someone with your education is joking. That is utter nonsense and you know it. What are you trying to prove?
Zeke, I'm trying to hold the mirror so you can see it, but you have to look at it in order for it to work. You have expressed here extreme left views and said anyone who doesn't agree isn't credible. You seem to dis anyone who doesn't hold with your views. You "pronounce" who is, or is not, "progressive." Well, my friend, you are not the arbiter of who is "progressive." I have provided independent sources for all of my claims about people's political views, yet this is not "proof." You see why I have difficulty swallowing the labeling? What, pray tell, is the difference between your labeling and a Tea Party adherent? Seriously.

Originally Posted by Ezekiel
If you believe in capitalism come out and say it. Ideologue bullshyte again? Anyone who disagrees with you is an ideologue. .... You are trying to pin a label on me.
Mirror? Anyone? I've got label printer here in my office you can borrow. Feel free to continue to label everything...

Originally Posted by Ezekiel
There is a clear distinction between the two and if you don't believe me PLEASE read history and don't make it up as you go along. ...
Your claim flies in the face of history, my friend. I am disappointed.
My god, man, I'm talking about history. AS I SAID - both communism (under Mao, Stalin, Pol Pot, pick your poison) and Fascism (whether Mussolini, Hitler, or Franco) are totalitarian systems. It has nothing to do with the "philosophy" underlying how they got there. As I said "Fascism and communism may start from opposite ends of the spectrum, but they get to the same place by different paths."
Quote
Totalitarianism is a political system where the state recognizes no limits to its authority and strives to regulate every aspect of public and private life wherever feasible.
Some have argued that Hitler was not totalitarian "enough" because he allowed private companies to continue to exist, so he was only "authoritarian" - allowing some semblance of a private life. As I also said, I doubt the victims recognized the niceties of their political positions. "The state" seeks complete control over the lives of their subjects - they just give their excuse for seizing such control different labels. What, pray tell, distinguishes a gulag, a reeducation camp, or a concentration camp? Do you think the internees cared?

My use of the term "ideologue" is self-defensive. It is because of your persistent discounting of any opposing view, or even, it seems, just a more subtle view. I've consistently said I agree with many of Bernie Sanders' goals, yet youwant to label me (let me make a list)capitalist, warmonger, Hillary sycophant, ignorant, retrograde, non-progressive....)
Go back, read the thread. I'll wait. I'm just trying to inject a little perspective.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 05:46 PM
Apparently you are the one who needs to look. My extreme left views are called democratic principles. If that makes me an extremist so be it. You have tried to straddle a middle ground that does not exist. You are trying to defend something (not sure what) but without accepting the principles of what you espouse. As such, I ask you, without malice, who is the ideologue?
I have never said that I determine anything except - to a limited extent - my own destiny. I have expressed a view that is widely held amongst progressives that Hillary is not a progressive and I have backed it up with facts regarding her record and her choices.
You seem to think that because she is better than Trump that makes her progressive. The bar, as I've said many times, is way too low.
You are comparing people and not systems. That is not what determines the basis of a society. Mussolini was hung by his feet and set on fire BY THE ITALIAN PEOPLE! Mao died of old age and much of what he did in China remains today. You can agree or disagree with his policies, but that is YOUR reading of them - not history's.
Yes there are despots on the left and on the right. Of course, there are no saviors. I am not defending everything that ANY ONE PERSON does. But you seem to be doing that.
Again, it is disappointing.
You also seem to be ascribing to socialism the worst actors. Why is that? Do you see them as the only representatives of the idea of socialism? If so, you are, once again incorrect.
BTW I did not say that you were wrong to defend capitalism - just stand up for whatever principles you believe in. That way we can speak to each other as intelligent human beings which I believe we both are.
To call me extreme is funny, actually. I always thought that democracy meant the free expression of ideas and the OBLIGATION to dissent when one group is oppressed. I must be mistaken.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 06:48 PM
I feel like I need to quote Ronald Reagan (whom I despise) here: " there you go again!"
Quote
I have expressed a view that is widely held amongst progressives that Hillary is not a progressive ...
So, again, because I disagree, I'm not a progressive, I'm an ideologue, etc., etc., etc. Do you read what you write?

Did you look at anything that I posted comparing the records of Sanders and Clinton? How can one carry on a dialogue when only one conversant's opinions matter?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 06:54 PM
Where does the notion come from that the system is "rigged"? As has been pointed out, Hillary Clinton is winning her party's vote by millions of votes. That is represented by a hundreds of pledged delegate lead. While the margin of her lead may shrink, out will not disappear. Mathematics, not superdelegates, will determine the outcome. Is that not democracy in action?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 07:01 PM
It is apparent that you have entered some zone where you only hear the sound of your own voice. I have no idea what you're talking about.
System is rigged but I will repeat for the 200th time - if you read my posts I wouldn't have to - I was talking ABOUT THE NOMINATION PROCESS IN GENERAL AND NOT HILLARY OR BERNIE.
I read what you wrote and posted and I don't agree with your conclusion. Now: before anything else READ MINE and stop attributing things to me that I never said. Do me the same courtesy I did you.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 07:10 PM
Just in case it needs repeating here is yet another reason why Clinton is not progressive IN MY OPINION - that is if I dare have one
Hillary Clinton Super-Lobbyist says...
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 07:16 PM
Zeke, my friend, what gave you the notion that my last post was in response to yours? Did you not notice that it was a separate post from the response? There are other participants in this thread.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 07:20 PM
Broken Link: The Intercept
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 07:34 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Zeke, my friend, what gave you the notion that my last post was in response to yours? Did you not notice that it was a separate post from the response? There are other participants in this thread.
Sorry about that ! My bad. I thought because it was following my post that it was. Although I should have known it didn't make sense.
Posted By: matthew Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 09:46 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
BTW I did not say that you were wrong to defend capitalism - just stand up for whatever principles you believe in. That way we can speak to each other as intelligent human beings which I believe we both are.
To call me extreme is funny, actually. I always thought that democracy meant the free expression of ideas and the OBLIGATION to dissent when one group is oppressed. I must be mistaken.
Americans are always blathering about free speech and how much they support freedom of expression, but if you get too far beyond a narrow range of acceptable opinions -- watch out! the knives come out!

My theory is: the more a group of people espouse a principle, and the stronger they claim to adhere to it, so much the more is the real situation the exact opposite.
.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 09:53 PM
I think, my friend, that we've lost sight of the central point of this thread. It's about the campaign. I think most observers recognize that Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump have tapped into disparate veins of populism within the electorate. I don't think either expected their campaigns to go as long or be as successful as they have been. But, elections are about where we are "in the moment." In the current moment, outsiders do well. But neither Bernie Sanders nor Donald Trump represent the majority of the electorate (or even their own parties).

I believe that Hillary Clinton will represent more of the electorate come November. Polling suggests that will be true. Progressives, liberals, moderates, Democrats and independents of every stripe should take note and get out to vote. If they don't, we could be saddled with a Trump presidency. When Ronald Reagan won I thought that would be as bad as it could get, then we got George Bush junior. And then he was reelected! Now thRepublicanse are putting up someone who could be the biggest liar in presidential history.

I'm not sure most people realize just how pathological the Donald really is. It's not as if he hides it. He will lie about anything and not bat an eye. I'm not sure he utters a sentence without a lie in it. But Republicans, no matter how little he represents their views, will vote for him. Republicans get in line.

When Sanders eventually concedes, I am confident he will throw his weight behind Clinton. He will lose some supporters when he does, but he wants to defeat the Republicans as much as any Democrat.
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 10:09 PM
You heard it here first:

The GOP has decided to appear to back Trump all the while setting him up for a classic failure just by letting him talk. That way they can legitimately claim to simply rescue the party with a different candidate.

Well, maybe not first
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 10:28 PM
In an effort to dispel the semantic embroglio we seem to have conjured up I suggest we call Hillary a liberal (in the Wilson/Jane Adams vein) and Bernie can be called a Lefty in the Gene Debs style, although Debs was more to the left than Bernie.
The term progressive has lost any meaning at this point, anyway.
Phil, I think there is something to that. I also think he might have a meltdown before the convention. He doesn't seem to be able to play hardball.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 10:36 PM
Originally Posted by matthew
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
BTW I did not say that you were wrong to defend capitalism - just stand up for whatever principles you believe in. That way we can speak to each other as intelligent human beings which I believe we both are.
To call me extreme is funny, actually. I always thought that democracy meant the free expression of ideas and the OBLIGATION to dissent when one group is oppressed. I must be mistaken.
Americans are always blathering about free speech and how much they support freedom of expression, but if you get too far beyond a narrow range of acceptable opinions -- watch out! the knives come out!

My theory is: the more a group of people espouse a principle, and the stronger they claim to adhere to it, so much the more is the real situation the exact opposite.
.

It's funny isn't it. But in fact, Debs in the U.S. And John McLean in Scotland were both jailed for "sedition" because they spoke out (note the word, speak) against conscription in WWI. They both died shortly after being released from prison - as a result of their encarceration. So I guess, the whole freedom of speech thing is sort of a suggestion.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/03/16 11:35 PM
Interesting thing about what Noam Chomsky had to say about the general popularity of single-payer healthcare: The public might favor it, but they keep on reelecting Republicans to Congress, and those Republicans vote against it. Even when they elect Democrats, often those are Blue Dogs who likewise vote against it.

When ACA passed Congress, it barely squeaked by because single-payer was removed. This was not Obama's preference but had to be done to get any bill at all. From a democratic point of view, we should have it right now because most people support it. But we do not have a popular democracy in which we get to vote on every issue.

The reality is that in many districts people will keep on voting against their own best interests because of the "dog whistle" issues some candidate brings up. Reality sucks some times.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 05:04 AM
Originally Posted by matthew
My theory is: the more a group of people espouse a principle, and the stronger they claim to adhere to it, so much the more is the real situation the exact opposite.

That right there is the Rule of the Opposite Thang! I most gen'ly sees it when Conservatives is talkin', so then it's ConROT.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 08:07 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Broken Link: The Intercept
Hillary Clinton Super-Lobbyist Says “We’re Not Paid Enough,” Pans Obama Lobbying Reforms

Aww...poor baby political money whore - find a new line of work - one that is less sleazy. smile
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 08:09 AM
Originally Posted by Phil Hoskins
You heard it here first:

The GOP has decided to appear to back Trump all the while setting him up for a classic failure just by letting him talk. That way they can legitimately claim to simply rescue the party with a different candidate.

Well, maybe not first
What does that mean? The Donald HAS his 1273 delegates. Hmm
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 11:41 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Phil Hoskins
You heard it here first:

The GOP has decided to appear to back Trump all the while setting him up for a classic failure just by letting him talk. That way they can legitimately claim to simply rescue the party with a different candidate.

Well, maybe not first
What does that mean? The Donald HAS his 1273 delegates. Hmm

I think what it means, Rick, is that the RNC bosses are waiting for the Donald to self-destruct. Something we've all be waiting (hoping) for but hasn't happened yet. I believe that it is within the realm of possibility given his cry-baby temperament. Obviously, the campaign is going to get ugly once Hillary is the presumptive nominee - he'll have Bernie and Hillary and the rest of the Dems concentrating only on him.
I've got my popcorn ready for the spectacle. grin
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 12:20 PM
I think we got a flavor of the tenor of the general election campaign in Trump's response to the judge in the California Trump university case. The public, which really hasn't been paying attention, will learn just what a racist, misogynist, pampered, bully Trump really is. He is an odious creature. What he doesn't realize is that people have been entertained by his performance, but that the Presidency isn't the place where they are comfortable with buffoonery. Real issues are going to be raised about his taxes, his constant lies, and his mistreatment of anyone who crosses him.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 12:32 PM
I'm posting this because it's hilarious, not to bash Sanders supporters:
If Sanders supporters complained about other things the way they complain about election results
. E.g.:
Quote
SCRABBLE:
I played exactly the same word as my opponent, using exactly the same letters, and received fewer points for it — just because I wasn’t on some pink square, which my opponent claimed gave you DOUBLE the points. Pretty sure that’s the definition of rigged. Why would you just randomly have squares all over the board that counted for MORE or FEWER points when it’s just the same words? Also my opponent had two BLANK tiles, which just got to be WHATEVER letters she wanted. This seems made-up. Milton Bradley are shills who are trying to prevent the revolution. Also, “BERN” is totally a word.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 01:58 PM
I wouldn't be surprised if Trump ramps up his maniacal behavior in the hopes that the Republicans take him out of the race. I've always had the sneaking suspicion that he was in it for the notoriety and press coverage rather than actually being a candidate.
Goldwater was a bigoted SOB but he did want to be president. Trump seems to be putting on yet another show. At some point the curtain will fall.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 02:50 PM
I think Trump will "ramp up" his behavior for a different reason: it hasn't had a downside, yet. He's gotten away with such boorish behavior because there haven't been any negative effects that he has felt. He has always behaved with impunity and it has harmed innumerable other people, but has never redounded to him. And, even when he loses, he blames others. He only accepts responsibility for successes.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 04:07 PM
Two more bits of election trivia: Clinton Will Likely Clinch The Democratic Nomination In New Jersey

Quote
Sanders would need to win 68 percent of the remaining elected delegates to take a pledged delegate lead, and both the polls and demographics point to his defeat in the two largest delegate prizes remaining, California and New Jersey.
and
Watch CNN's Jake Tapper Grill Trump Over His Racist Attacks On Federal Judge

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 04:35 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I think we got a flavor of the tenor of the general election campaign in Trump's response to the judge in the California Trump university case. The public, which really hasn't been paying attention, will learn just what a racist, misogynist, pampered, bully Trump really is. He is an odious creature. What he doesn't realize is that people have been entertained by his performance, but that the Presidency isn't the place where they are comfortable with buffoonery. Real issues are going to be raised about his taxes, his constant lies, and his mistreatment of anyone who crosses him.
I wanted The Donald to be the GOP nominee just to watch it all blow-up in the Rethuglicowns faces. I'll be eating a lot of popcorn between now and November. smile
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 04:42 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
He has always behaved with impunity and it has harmed innumerable other people...
Oh how Citizens United of you NW_P. Now you're humanizing polticial Rethugliclowns? coffee
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 04:44 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
...even when he loses, he blames others. He only accepts responsibility for successes.
What part of Art of the Deal do you not understand? smile , coffee
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 05:31 PM
Quote
I've always had the sneaking suspicion that he was in it for the notoriety and press coverage rather than actually being a candidate.

In essence that might mean that he was in it for the money.

Quote
Donald Trump's entry into the Republican race for president was a business bonanza for the real estate mogul, with a new federal financial filing providing a snapshot of the billionaire's sprawling operations — from real estate to golf courses, and licensing deals to management businesses.

Trump's disclosure form filed last July showed his holdings brought in revenue of $362 million in 2014 and the first half of 2015, the campaign said in a statement, the Washington Post reports.

The form released Wednesday — which the campaign said shows revenue spiking to $557 million — covers a shorter period of time, from July 2015 until Monday.

But does he actually want to be president? That is a question that has plagued me from the start. Personally I doubt it. But I have a hard time navigating the twisted thought processes of Republicans. Just the idea that anyone actually wants him to be president is beyond me. It's like trying to place myself into the mind of a squid. Too alien, too far removed from my reality as a thinking rational being.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 07:39 PM
The irony is, if Trump were president, many of the perks he is used to might be illegal for him to use. I haven't researched it in detail, but federal law prohibits, generally, "supplementation" of appropriated funds with private resources. It's called the "anti-deficiency act". As a government official, also, he would be required to give up control of Trump enterprises to avoid conflicts of interest. CRS Report for Congress: The Use of Blind Trusts By Federal Officials
Quote
For elected federal officials, that is, Members of Congress, the President and Vice President, public financial disclosure and the attendant publicity is the principal method of conflict of interest regulation, as such constitutional officers are not required by statute to disqualify or recuse themselves from the performance of their constitutional duties.
Just ask Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld how that felt. Considering how adverse he is about disclosing his tax returns, how will he react to having to disclose all of his finances? (Especially since he routinely lies about their value -inflating or deflating them- depending on who is asking.)
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 08:37 PM
the least of his problems

and he is a very special person .... maybe above the law
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 09:07 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
But does he actually want to be president? That is a question that has plagued me from the start. Personally I doubt it. But I have a hard time navigating the twisted thought processes of Republicans. Just the idea that anyone actually wants him to be president is beyond me. It's like trying to place myself into the mind of a squid. Too alien, too far removed from my reality as a thinking rational being.

I'm with ya on this one. I truly believe that there is going to be some sudden illness, or other excuse, for him not to be the nominee. If in fact he is, the Republicans have sealed their own fate. The attack on him, and by extension on the entire Republican platform (if indeed there is such a thing) will be nuclear. I can't imagine that they don't see this.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 09:27 PM
The safest thing for a none-race Republican Senator or Governor might be to be very very quiet until this whole fiasco is over, Don't endorse. Don't say anything at all to the press. Your career might survive.

Other Republican politicians don't have that luxury, since they need to run for reelection in November on the "death ballot" with Trump.

Oh well, Republicans are happier being the Minority Party in Congress anyway. Then they can fume about stuff without having to offer any solutions.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 09:44 PM
Actually, if he had to let somebody else run his business ventures for 4 or 8 years it might be a lot better for him financially. He is actually a spectacularly bad businessman. For all his claims about "greatness", if he had put his inherited hundred million in the S&P 500 and just stayed home, he would have made more than he has now. And he wouldn't have ripped off countless investors with his four bankruptcies. Or created the Trump U scam.

I am starting to believe that he really does not want to win: We might be seeing a The Producers remake here. (He does better financially if he loses.) He really seems to have done everything short of bursting into "Springtime For Hitler" at his public appearances. Attacking the judge in his current trial seems to be the ultimate act: He could actually be in jail for contempt during the election!
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/04/16 09:56 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
...
I am starting to believe that he really does not want to win: We might be seeing a The Producers remake here. (He does better financially if he loses.) He really seems to have done everything short of bursting into "Springtime For Hitler" at his public appearances.
...
ThumbsUp ThumbsUp
I can actually see it happening ROTFMOL
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/05/16 12:15 AM
Just got back from early voting, with my and my wife's California ballots. We live in an oddball district that only has mail-in or drop-off voting, no polling places. So we mail them in or drop them off at the library.

Things are going to be tough for the Independents who want to vote for Sanders: Lots of Californians think they are registered as independents, but are actually registered as Independent Party. (The NeoNazis!) They can't vote for Sanders, because the Democratic Party does not want the White Supremacists voting in their primary..

People who are registered as "No Preference" can request a Democratic Party ballot at the polls (or by mail several days ago) and vote for Sanders. But of course, they have to know to do that.
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/05/16 01:44 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
...
I am starting to believe that he really does not want to win: We might be seeing a The Producers remake here. (He does better financially if he loses.) He really seems to have done everything short of bursting into "Springtime For Hitler" at his public appearances.
...
ThumbsUp ThumbsUp
I can actually see it happening ROTFMOL
I thought this from the beginning, just a ploy
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/05/16 06:17 AM
Well, if it is a ploy it certainly is a nasty prank. The Republican Party has been a coalition of several disparate groups for many years. This breaks up the delicate balance and pretty much destroys the party.

On the other hand, maybe it is better this way. I'm sure the Evangelicals really got tired of waiting for the Economic Republicans to do anything much about abortion. Likewise the "bamboozled working class" Republicans unsatisfied with the Chamber of Commerce Republicans dragging their feet on immigration because of their addiction to cheap Mexican labor.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/05/16 05:10 PM

A lot of my Dem friends are freaking out about Bernie still being in the race. "He's handing the race to Trump." "He's dividing the Dem Party."

To which I say: Let the democratic process work. Trump will NEVER be President.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/05/16 05:13 PM
Looks like he's going to do pretty well in CA. ThumbsUp
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/05/16 05:20 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Looks like he's going to do pretty well in CA. ThumbsUp
Oh yeah...he'll clean-up there. He does really well with western state New Democrat Hippies. smile
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/05/16 05:53 PM
Quote
Chamber of Commerce Republicans dragging their feet on immigration because of their addiction to cheap Mexican labor.
It's not just an "addiction". For the agricultural industry it is an economic necessity and it's the reason we need immigration reform. There are jobs that Americans simply won't do. That isn't to say that the current system hasn't been abused by that industry and others but that there is room in our economy for migrant workers and there is room for them and their children to become American citizens if they so desire. Many don't. They want only to follow the harvests, work their asses off, then return to Mexico flush with cash for a few months of relative leisure with their families before doing it all over again.
Those who screech loudest at the thought of "illegals" stealing our jobs would screech even louder if the cost of an agricultural living wage were tacked on to their grocery bill. Not to mention that crops would rot in the fields and that farmers would go broke because there is no one else available at harvest time to bring the crops in. There was a time in our history, possibly back when America Used To Be Great, when craftsmen, tradesmen, women, and children put down their tools and set aside everything else to work in the fields until the harvest was in. Those days are gone and will never return.
We need our brown brothers and sisters from South of the Border to take up the slack. When Katrina ravaged New Orleans, who do you think came to clean up the mess and rebuild the city? One candidate would build a wall to keep them out. One party refuses to accept this influx of relatively cheap labor, when and where it's needed, is an economic necessity.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/05/16 06:04 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Looks like he's going to do pretty well in CA. ThumbsUp
Oh yeah...he'll clean-up there. He does really well with western state New Democrat Hippies. smile

There is a chance he may win in California. But along with those Western State Neo Democrats are a shyte ton of Hispanics, blacks, and old school Democrats who like Hillary better. There's also a shyte ton of fools who registered with the American Independent Party because they were just too prissy to admit that, yes, they are fekking Democrats, and were too blinded by their ideological purity to bother to read and understand how the Democratic Party chooses candidates.
So, yes, he may win, but it will be by a tiny margin and he won't gain enough delegates to make a difference in the end.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/05/16 06:31 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Looks like he's going to do pretty well in CA. ThumbsUp
Oh yeah...he'll clean-up there. He does really well with western state New Democrat Hippies. smile

There is a chance he may win in California.
Gonna WIN IT BIG! I'm gonna say six points. smile

Originally Posted by Greger
But along with those Western State Neo Democrats are a shyte ton of Hispanics, blacks, and old school Democrats who like Hillary better.
Oh that's right. Never mind. But wait!! Hillary hasn't won ANY western state. Not one. smile

Originally Posted by Greger
Those who screech loudest at the thought of "illegals" stealing our jobs would screech even louder if the cost of an agricultural living wage were tacked on to their grocery bill.
We also know that grocery bill canard isn't true - marginal mark-up at best. What's next, traipsing the pooping in the fields canard and e. coli outbreaks? smile
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/05/16 07:58 PM
Quote
It's not just an "addiction".

I'm not saying it's a bad thing, needing their labor. I'm just saying it IS a bad thing to want workers who you can have deported if they give you any trouble. (EG. Wanting their paychecks.) I would like to see a program in which the only "illegals" here are the real criminals who come here because we are richer than the victims in Mexico. The vast majority of migrants would be here with temporary work visas.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/05/16 08:25 PM
Quote
Gonna WIN IT BIG! I'm gonna say six points.

The polls of likely voters may say that, but the logistics of independents voting for Sanders on election day will wipe that out. We have a LOT of non-affiliated voters in California.

The latest voter registration figures:
44.82% Democrat
27.29% Republican
2.55% American Independent
0.43% Green
0.64% Libertarian
0.40% Peace & Freedom
0.55% Other
23.32% non-affiliated

The Democrats let non-affiliated voters vote in their primary, but they have to ask for a Democratic ballot. They do NOT let those registered for any other party vote in it. But the real problem is that 64.9% of the ballots in the last primary were cast by mail. If you want to get a Democratic primary ballot by mail, you had to do that some number of weeks ago. You can't just wait until this week to open your mail ballot and still have time to do that.

Even if that 23.32% of voters all show up at the polls and ask for Democratic ballots, are they going to have that many spare ballots at each polling place?

So I think you have to apply a pretty big discount to the number of non-affiliated and non-Democratic Party voters who intended to vote for Sanders. And I bet those people who are Democratic Party registered heavily favor the actual Democratic in the race.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/05/16 08:35 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Greger
Those who screech loudest at the thought of "illegals" stealing our jobs would screech even louder if the cost of an agricultural living wage were tacked on to their grocery bill.
We also know that grocery bill canard isn't true - marginal mark-up at best. What's next, traipsing the pooping in the fields canard and e. coli outbreaks? smile

Wages for crop picking duties is at or near the lowest overall costs to agricultural production.
Always has been, always will be even IF it is ramped up to living wage levels.
The markup on the typical head of lettuce might be forty cents max.

Posted By: matthew Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/05/16 09:06 PM
'
[Linked Image from s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com]
.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 09:44 AM
In a move sure to infuriate Sanders acolytes, NBC and AP have declared Clinton the presumptive Democratic nominee: Hillary Clinton Makes History - ahead of today's New Jersey and California contests. These announcements depend on superdelegates, but New Jersey and California would put her over the top with pledged delegates anyway. Hillary Clinton Will Be Nominated Because More Democrats Are Voting For Her.
Quote
On Tuesday, Clinton will almost certainly clinch majorities of elected delegates and the popular vote. Suppose that Sanders, who currently trails Clinton by a narrow 5 percentage points in our California polling average, were to win the state by 20 percentage points instead. Even in that case, Sanders would still trail Clinton nationally by almost 200 elected delegates and about 2 million votes, depending on turnout in California.

In fact, Clinton can still win an elected delegate majority provided that she wins just 215 of the remaining 714 pledged delegates available on Tuesday and in the District of Columbia’s primary next week, or 30 percent.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 09:59 AM
Senate 2016: The Democrats Strike Back

Quote
It may come as a shock given all the attention being paid to the presidential race this year, but the president isn’t all-powerful. In fact, the U.S. Congress is supposed to be a coequal branch of the federal government. From voting on important legislation to confirming Cabinet appointees and federal judges, the Senate matters.

Right now, Republicans hold 54 seats to the Democrats’ 46 (including two independents who caucus with the Democrats). The Democrats have a favorable map in 2016[.]

Senate control could be crucial to a Democratic president, especially with unfilled judicial seats and cabinet posts. I personally think Republicans have shot themselves in the foot with their stance on Garland. Eight is not enough. -WaPo editorial board.
Quote
Mr. McConnell’s admission that Mr. Garland is “well-qualified” should end the discussion. The president gets to nominate; the Senate gets to object in extraordinary circumstances, but has an obligation to confirm if nominees are, as in this case, obviously qualified and within the mainstream of judicial thinking. No other arrangement can keep the system working. But the majority leader obviously has other considerations in mind.
The board also stated, "Mr. McConnell’s claims do not pass the laugh test — unless by “worst,” he means “most-qualified” and therefore most difficult plausibly to reject."
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 10:42 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
In a move sure to infuriate Sanders acolytes, NBC and AP have declared Clinton the presumptive Democratic nominee: Hillary Clinton Makes History - ahead of today's New Jersey and California contests. These announcements depend on superdelegates, but New Jersey and California would put her over the top with pledged delegates anyway. Hillary Clinton Will Be Nominated Because More Democrats Are Voting For Her.
Quote
On Tuesday, Clinton will almost certainly clinch majorities of elected delegates and the popular vote. Suppose that Sanders, who currently trails Clinton by a narrow 5 percentage points in our California polling average, were to win the state by 20 percentage points instead. Even in that case, Sanders would still trail Clinton nationally by almost 200 elected delegates and about 2 million votes, depending on turnout in California.

In fact, Clinton can still win an elected delegate majority provided that she wins just 215 of the remaining 714 pledged delegates available on Tuesday and in the District of Columbia’s primary next week, or 30 percent.

Not sure acolytes is the correct word. Supporters seems more appropriate. The fact that Clinton will get the nomination hardly comes as a surprise. It is, after all, what the oligarchs want. And they always get what they want.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 10:56 AM
Major oligarch speaks:

Quote
Oil tycoon and conservative mega-donor Charles Koch had kind words for both Bill and Hillary Clinton in an interview Sunday, saying there was an outside chance he could support her in November.

"We would have to believe her actions would be quite different than her rhetoric. Let me put it that way," he said on ABC's "This Week" Sunday. "But on some of the Republican candidates we would -- before we could support them, we'd have to believe their actions will be quite different than the rhetoric we've heard so far."
Earlier in the interview, Koch said Bill Clinton was better than George W. Bush on issues of economic growth and government spending but did not offer a full-throated endorsement of either Clinton.

CNN
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 11:53 AM
Life After Bernie NYTimes.

Quote
While a few die-hard Sanders supporters have vowed that it’s “Bernie or bust,” a Quinnipiac University poll from late May found that three-quarters of Sanders supporters would vote for Mrs. Clinton if it came down to a Donald Trump-Hillary Clinton race in November. Alex Sheehan, 29, an digital media entrepreneur in New York, said he thought that when faced with the prospect of a Trump presidency, most Sanders supporters would end up voting for Mrs. Clinton — and “If not, we deserve the catastrophic failure that follows,” he said.
....
"This is a movement,” [Minnie Wong] said. “It is not about Bernie Sanders. He’s a part of this movement.” And, according to Mr. Sanders’s most ardent supporters, that movement isn’t going anywhere.
....
“It’s getting people to understand that this is more than just casting your ballot every four years or every two years,” Ms. Changa said. “It’s not about the presidential election. It’s whether we’re participating in mayoral elections, city councils, statehouses.”
I'm heartened to see so many Sanders supporters "get it."
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 12:51 PM
I find it hard to believe that anyone who really understood Bernie's platform could vote for Trump. They might abstain but not vote for him.
Ms. Clinton, WHEN elected, will owe a debt of gratitude to Sanders. I truly hope she will be willing to acknowledge and repay it.
That would help redeem her pusillanimous platform.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 01:47 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Ms. Clinton, WHEN elected, will owe a debt of gratitude to Sanders. I truly hope she will be willing to acknowledge and repay it.

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 01:50 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
In a move sure to infuriate Sanders acolytes, NBC and AP have declared Clinton the presumptive Democratic nominee: Hillary Clinton Makes History - ahead of today's New Jersey and California contests.
What these two organizations did was total bullsh!t!!! mad

I was a kid when Reagan was deemed the winner in 1980 and I remember it was only 5 pm and the West Coast had not finished voting.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 01:51 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Major oligarch speaks:

Quote
Oil tycoon and conservative mega-donor Charles Koch had kind words for both Bill and Hillary Clinton in an interview Sunday, saying there was an outside chance he could support her in November.

"We would have to believe her actions would be quite different than her rhetoric. Let me put it that way," he said on ABC's "This Week" Sunday. "But on some of the Republican candidates we would -- before we could support them, we'd have to believe their actions will be quite different than the rhetoric we've heard so far."
Earlier in the interview, Koch said Bill Clinton was better than George W. Bush on issues of economic growth and government spending but did not offer a full-throated endorsement of either Clinton.

CNN
I could see how the Koch Bros would support a Center-Right Democrat. Hmm
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 02:31 PM
The truth is this is what you would expect. The oligarch controlled media wants everyone to believe that she's already won - especially on the day of the actual voting in CA where the race is so close. She has been anointed. There is no denying that she has more votes but the secret super delegates were secretly consulted by the major media outlets in secret. How fitting for a democratic process.
Now you will see them downplay Bernie's contribution so as to make it seem that their agenda is the only one that matters. Of course, they have enforced that vision on the public. It is just another way of quashing dissent.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 02:49 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
The truth is this is what you would expect. The oligarch controlled media wants everyone to believe that she's already won - especially on the day of the actual voting in CA where the race is so close. She has been anointed. There is no denying that she has more votes but the secret super delegates were secretly consulted by the major media outlets in secret. How fitting for a democratic process.
Now you will see them downplay Bernie's contribution so as to make it seem that their agenda is the only one that matters. Of course, they have enforced that vision on the public. It is just another way of quashing dissent.
It totally sucks. mad
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 04:30 PM


Oh hey!! Di'ja know that The Donald is the one who "broke the glass ceiling?" Yes sire!!

Quote
I have great respect for women,” Trump explained in all seriousness. “I was the one that really broke the glass ceiling on behalf of women more than anybody in the construction industry. And my relationship, I think, is going to end up being very good with women.”

Linky Dinky
Wow! Hiring women to do jobs! In the eighties? That is bonkers! This is like the time he so progressively allowed black people and Jewish people to join his Mar-a-lago Club as early as the 1990s!
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 04:59 PM
[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 05:18 PM


Whooooo boy. Election 2016 keeps getting weirder and weirder.

House Speaker Paul Ryan Tuesday issued a strong condemnation of Donald Trump’s racist remarks about a federal judge, then immediately said that of course he still plans to vote for the guy making racist remarks - because that's what people with principles do! And, because The Donald isn’t Hillary Clinton, duh.

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 06:27 PM

Oh my stars and bless his heart! Did the confirmed bachelor gentleman senator from South Carolina, Lindsey Graham just suggest that if you love America, you will vote for Hillary?

Quote
Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, another former primary rival of Mr. Trump’s, urged Republicans who have backed Mr. Trump to rescind their endorsements, citing the remarks about Judge Curiel and Mr. Trump’s expression of doubt on Sunday that a Muslim judge could remain neutral in the same lawsuit, given Mr. Trump’s proposed ban on Muslim noncitizens entering the country.

“This is the most un-American thing from a politiciansince Joe McCarthy,” Mr. Graham said. “If anybody was looking for an off-ramp, this is probably it,” he added. “There’ll come a time when the love of country will trump hatred of Hillary.”

Linky Dinky

Golem, Big Swede, you heard the man! You Republicans better start showing your love for America by #Undorsing Trump and supporting Hillary. The rest of you Republicans who hate America, you may carry on supporting Trump.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 06:49 PM
With the Puerto Rico and Virgin Island results in, plus some uncommitted super delegates who committed, she actually has more elected and pledged delegates than she needs to win on the first ballot of the convention. The reporting is legitimate, if unfortunate. (Because it could suppress the voting today.)

But will it really suppress the vote? Most of California primary voting is by mail, so quite a bit of it is already done. She had to hit the top sometime, and it would have been today if not yesterday.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 07:22 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Most of California primary voting is by mail...
Most?!? Pshaw! Oregon is 100% via mail. And! You automatically get registered when you get a driver's license:

Quote
This new law will make voter registration automatic, shifting from an opt-in process to an opt-out process.


Take that red states that make you jump through hoops to register to vote! smile
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 08:36 PM
Just a slightly different topic, who do you think President Clinton should propose for the Supreme Court? She may owe Merrick Garland something for helping deliver the Senate, but she would be under no obligation to renominate him.

I think she should go for Elizabeth Warren. Elizabeth actually has a fantastic legal and academic background, most citations in some legal areas, books published, etc. She is 66, though that is not all that old by Supreme Court standards.

Obama might be interested too. Taft was President and then later Chief Justice, so there is precedence. I think it would be great to watch all the heads explode, too.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/07/16 08:43 PM


Leave Lizzy alone. She wants nothing to do with upper government management and she does a fine job irritating the Banking Industry in her current position. smile
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 01:36 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
But will it really suppress the vote? Most of California primary voting is by mail, so quite a bit of it is already done. She had to hit the top sometime, and it would have been today if not yesterday.

CNN started calling New Jersey for Hillary with one percent of the votes counted. AP called Hillary "THE NOMINEE" before California even started voting, but naaaah, we have a free press, don't we?
They're totally objective!

[Linked Image from scontent-lax3-1.xx.fbcdn.net]
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 04:35 AM
With only 12% counted Clinton 62% in California. I am very surpirsed
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 06:20 AM
Originally Posted by Phil Hoskins
With only 12% counted Clinton 62% in California. I am very surpirsed
So am I !!!!!! What the Hell California?!? Sheesh!!!!! rolleyes
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 08:06 AM
61% reported in California, and Clinton leads by 16%.

I am not surprised at all. I think there were a lot of folks who thought they would vote for Sanders but couldn't because of the cross-party complication.

Like my dear neighbor who wrote Trump in on her American Independent Party ballot. (No, she's not a racist, she thought she was registered as an independent.) But it won't be counted.

Also, 99% counted in New Jersey, Clinton wins by 27%.

I think Sanders is done. If they throw out all the superdelegates and only go by the votes and caucuses, she would now have well more than half. So the argument that Sanders has made that superdelegates are undemocratic is moot. Without them, she would be the clear winner. Hope that he could convert some superdelegates to his side is the only reason for him to not to quit right now. And after his pounding in California and New Jersey it just ain't gonna happen.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 09:19 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
...
So the argument that Sanders has made that superdelegates are undemocratic is moot. Without them, she would be the clear winner.

No it isn't moot. They are still undemocratic. It has NOTHING to do with this election. The process is corrupted and would be no matter who won.
I wonder how much voter suppression was the result of the AP/NBC "announcement" which, by the way, was not even permitted by the DNC.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 09:35 AM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
But will it really suppress the vote? Most of California primary voting is by mail, so quite a bit of it is already done. She had to hit the top sometime, and it would have been today if not yesterday.

CNN started calling New Jersey for Hillary with one percent of the votes counted. AP called Hillary "THE NOMINEE" before California even started voting, but naaaah, we have a free press, don't we?
They're totally objective!

[Linked Image from scontent-lax3-1.xx.fbcdn.net]
ThumbsUp
Oh Yeah! So objective their objectives are showing... rolleyes
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 10:27 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
I wonder how much voter suppression was the result of the AP/NBC "announcement" which, by the way, was not even permitted by the DNC.
Well never know. To me, it's repeat of the November 1980 election when Reagan was called at 5 pm PST.

Who voted on the west coast after that point? Hmm
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 12:10 PM
Bernie seems to have had significant down ballot influence in my neck of the woods. In the county commissioner contest, the three Progressive candidates trounced the Old Guard Democratic candidates in the primaries. I expected one of them to win, maybe on the second, and probably not on the third. But it was a solid set of wins across the board.

If these three win the general election (a high probability), it will overturn a decades long dominance of the Commission by R's and Bluedogs.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 12:41 PM
Sounds like a bit of good news ThumbsUp
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 12:54 PM
I wish someone could explain what is so historic about Hillary winning the nom. It was pre-ordained by the DNC to being with. The fact that she is a woman somehow makes her the best candidate? Margaret Thatcher was a woman too... There have been many women presidents in the rest of the world - some good and some bad, just like a lot of men. I thought the presidency was supposed to be about ideas and not gender. I must be mistaken Hmm
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 01:04 PM
How Bernie Sanders exits the race will determine how much impact his campaign will actually have. If he "fights on" and refuses to concede he will expose a hypocrisy that will undermine his credibility. If he gives a "fought the good fight" kind of speech he can have an impact on the platform and bring a great deal of credibility to the process and greatly influenced the future of the party.

It's really come down to whether his race is about Bernie Sanders or his ideas. Sanders will be 78 at the end of his term. He is not going to run again. His chance to make a real impact is now, while he has the momentum and the credibility. If he pulls his supporters into the general election campaign, he can influence an entire generation and move the entire Democratic party to the left. They will become the leaders of the party. The longer he stands off, the less impact he and they will have on the direction of the party. They will be on the outside looking in.

My prediction is, he will continue the fight and his, and their, moment will pass. I will be severely disappointed. I want that impact to be felt. Like Obama's election, this could be a generational sweep, if he plays it right. It could create a sweeping change in the Senate and even the House. He could get those representatives he's been supporting elected. Honestly, though, I'm not convinced Bernie Sanders is up to the task. He really is a politician, after all.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 01:14 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
I wish someone could explain what is so historic about Hillary winning the nom.
....There have been many women presidents in the rest of the world - some good and some bad, just like a lot of men. I thought the presidency was supposed to be about ideas and not gender. I must be mistaken...
There has never been a woman nominee. That is historic. Ask most women. Yes, other leaders, other countries, have gone before, but not in the United States. Although it really is historic, the significance has been overshadowed and diluted by other things - Obama's election, her previous campaign success, service by many women in the cabinet and the Senate (including her own), so it doesn't feel as momentous. Come November, however, that will change.

Marriage equality now seems like a foregone conclusion, and yet it was only a year ago that a decades-long campaign finally bore fruit. The bathroom fight demonstrates that there is still room to go. Many felt Clinton should not be "the" woman who finally got the nod (many said the same about Obama), but one should not let their personal predilections color the significance of the moment. In some ways it is encouraging that people are not talking about her gender. But I guarantee there are many old white men who are lamenting her success because she is a woman, especially one named Trump.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 01:21 PM
You mean like Clinton didn't concede in 2008... Bernie's message should not, cannot be shut down.
And whatever the results of the primaries, she will remain the cagey politician she has always been, not unlike Bill.
Even the NY Times, while congratulating her on the win (and endorsing her) has said in editorial that she if she wants to be accepted by the Sanders supporters she must be more open about the questions regarding her relationship with Wall Street, etc.
This is not a personality contest, it is SUPPOSED to be a debate of ideas.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 01:34 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
I wish someone could explain what is so historic about Hillary winning the nom.
....There have been many women presidents in the rest of the world - some good and some bad, just like a lot of men. I thought the presi.dency was supposed to be about ideas and not gender. I must be mistaken...
There has never been a woman nominee. That is historic. Ask most women. Yes, other leaders, other countries, have gone before, but not in the United States. Although it really is historic, the significance has been overshadowed and diluted by other things - Obama's election, her previous campaign success, service by many women in the cabinet and the Senate (including her own), so it doesn't feel as momentous. Come November, however, that will change.

Marriage equality note seems like a foregone conclusion, and yet it was only a year ago that a decades-long campaign finally bore fruit. The bathroom fight demonstrates that there is still room to go. Many felt Clinton should not be "the" woman who finally got the nod (many said the same about Obama), but one should not let their personal predilections color the significance of the moment. In some ways it is encouraging that people are not talking about her gender. But I guarantee there are many old white men who are lamenting her success because she is a woman, especially one named Trump.

All the press seems concerned with is her gender (as they were with Obama's race), both of which are mistakes in my opinion. Obama won not because he is black but because he had good ideas (many of which, unfortunately, he abandoned along the way). My concern is not with a woman or a man, black, white or green, straight or gay, but with what the candidate stands for.
So historic because she is a woman only means we are behind the rest of the world in that regard (should I put my surprise face on, now?). I truly hope that she has learned from this campaign that rhetoric is not enough. I truly hope that she is willing to enforce a vision for this country that is inclusive economically and socially.
I hope...
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 01:36 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
You mean like Clinton didn't concede in 2008...
What are you talking about?
Quote
Bernie's message should not, cannot be shut down.
The question is, will it be carried within the party or outside? Realistically, Bernie Sanders is not the best spokesman for these ideas. He just happened to be the vehicle for them at this moment. He's not been a member of the Democratic party until now, and will probably leave when this is over. His followers, however, will have other leaders they can support within the party (Elizabeth Warren, Kirsten Gillibrand) if they are in the party. They, in turn, can become the party's future leaders. That is how true change will occur.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 01:41 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
...My prediction is, he will continue the fight and his, and their, moment will pass. ...
Had a few drinks with a politically savvy good friend last night who has been a solid Clinton supporter until just a month ago when he switched to being a Bernie guy. Like myself, the appeal of Bernie is that he is a "leader", meaning that he is trying to lead to a fresh place, while Clinton is merely a political operative.

Neither of us is anti-Clinton, however. We both think that Sanders is sophisticated enough to pivot at, or after the convention, but will strategically not cease to "lead" until that point.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 01:43 PM
Another prediction: Republicans will pressure Trump to pick a woman running mate (Nikki Haley?) to blunt Clinton's historic significance and to counter Trump's misogynistic tendencies. Literally putting lipstick on an elephant.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 01:48 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Another prediction: Republicans will pressure Trump to pick a woman running mate (Nikki Haley?) to blunt Clinton's historic significance and to counter Trump's misogynistic tendencies. Literally putting lipstick on an elephant.
Do you really think Trump will be pressured by the Republicans?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 01:51 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
You mean like Clinton didn't concede in 2008...
What are you talking about?
Quote
Bernie's message should not, cannot be shut down.
The question is, will it be carried within the party or outside? Realistically, Bernie Sanders is not the best spokesman for these ideas. He just happened to be the vehicle for them at this moment. He's not been a member of the Democratic party until now, and will probably leave when this is over. His followers, however, will have other leaders they can support within the party (Elizabeth Warren, Kirsten Gillibrand) if they are in the party. They, in turn, can become the party's future leaders. That is how true change will occur.
She didn't concede immediately after Obama was the presumptive nominee. That's what I'm talking about. It took her a while.
As far as Bernie carrying on the message within the Democratic Party - I would say that depends on how receptive the party is to the ideas he has put forth.
Kirsten Gillibrand?? Surely you jest.
Warren, perhaps. I might think that Warren could just as easily leave the Democratic Party if it gets too far to the right (as it very easily could).
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 01:52 PM
I personally like Bernie Sanders (he's like a curmudgeonly uncle), and I love the ideas he's championed. I have been encouraged by his presence in the campaign and feel that it has been good for the party and our future as Americans. The reality is the Clinton will be the nominee, the party standard-bearer, and likely next President. The question is, how can the ideas he has championed best influence the party's future? What course is most likely to get Clinton to take up the banner?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 01:58 PM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Another prediction: Republicans will pressure Trump to pick a woman running mate (Nikki Haley?) to blunt Clinton's historic significance and to counter Trump's misogynistic tendencies. Literally putting lipstick on an elephant.
Do you really think Trump will be pressured by the Republicans?
Who do you think wrote the speech he delivered by teleprompter last night? Did that "sound" like Trump? GOP leaders are trying mightily to rein him in, but... you may be right. He's a 70-year-old rich white guy used to getting his way. He is going to resist and undermine that "influence" any way he can - just like he contradicted his "walk back" of his Judge Curiel comments immediately after the press release.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 02:00 PM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Another prediction: Republicans will pressure Trump to pick a woman running mate (Nikki Haley?) to blunt Clinton's historic significance and to counter Trump's misogynistic tendencies. Literally putting lipstick on an elephant.
Do you really think Trump will be pressured by the Republicans?

I don't. Too much hubris.
Posted By: Bored Member Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 02:07 PM
Here's the most recent Vegas odds.....

2016 US Presidential Election - Next President of the United States Odds as of June 2

Hillary Clinton -220
Donald Trump +190
Bernie Sanders +1600

They have Hilly as a shoe in.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 02:25 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I personally like Bernie Sanders (he's like a curmudgeonly uncle), and I love the ideas he's championed. I have been encouraged by his presence in the campaign and feel that it has been good for the party and our future as Americans. The reality is the Clinton will be the nominee, the party standard-bearer, and likely next President. The question is, how can the ideas he has championed best influence the party's future? What course is most likely to get Clinton to take up the banner?

I think the curmudgeonly uncle thing is actually a fresh look at politics. smile It kind of emphasizes the ideas instead of the person.
The fear that many have is that Hillary will move the Party more to the right - and as I said before - I really hope I'm wrong about that.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 02:27 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
You mean like Clinton didn't concede in 2008...
What are you talking about?
She didn't concede immediately after Obama was the presumptive nominee. That's what I'm talking about. It took her a while.
Sorry, Zeke, on this you're just plain wrong. I think you are misremembering: This is a transcript of Hillary Cli... the Democratic presidential nomination. Yes, it was four days after the last primary, but anyone who thought she could give a concession speech that night was delusional, just as anyone who thinks Bernie should have last night. It's what he does before the convention that is important.

Sanders acolytes, like many Obamaites in 2008, put him on a pedestal and invest him with superhuman traits and every wish they want fulfilled. The truth is, he's a politician. He's spent 30 years running for and serving in Congress and the Senate. He's from a very small State with a quirky constituency which has insulated him from some of the worst effects of it, but he's still "played the (political) game" for decades. He loved playing the outsider, the "independent", for all of those years, and like Trump, will have a hard time changing that role. But, if he wants to have an impact on the party, he will have to concede gracefully, as Clinton did 8 years ago, or go into the twilight alone.

If he does concede, say this weekend, he will have a great impact on this election and will become a leader. It's his choice.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 02:41 PM
Just two quick notes:

"Acolyte" is a bit of a hyperbolic generalization that sounds pejorative; I am a supporter of Sanders, but not an acolyte. Are you only talking about a vague subset of Sanders supporters?

Sanders is already a leader, more so than Clinton. Unless you want to narrow the definition of "leader".
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 02:50 PM
Fact is she waited and evaluated the landscape before conceding. Likely Bernie will do something similar. And even if he takes it to the convention, I don't see any harm in that. If he keeps Hillary and Wasserman honest then it will be worthwhile. There should be no dictators in the Democratic Party. And if he can get Hillary to choose a more left-leaning running mate, so much the better.
I disagree - I don't think his supporters attribute any superhuman powers - on the contrary, his appeal is the HUMAN quality he exudes, as opposed to Obama and Clinton.
He is a guy who is pronouncing clear ideas - again, one can only hope that Clinton has learned something from that.
As far as his future in the Democratic Party - it depends more on said party than on him.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 02:52 PM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Just two quick notes:

"Acolyte" is a bit of a hyperbolic generalization that sounds pejorative; I am a supporter of Sanders, but not an acolyte. Are you only talking about a vague subset of Sanders supporters?

Sanders is already a leader, more so than Clinton. Unless you want to narrow the definition of "leader".

Thanks, Loggy. I mentioned the use of that word in a previous post and suggested "supporter", which is what I consider myself, and most of the folks I know that support Bernie feel the same way.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 02:58 PM
I don't use it as a pejorative, but it is a subset of "true believers". I don't think that is hyperbolic at all.

And, as much as I like Sanders and his message, he's not a true "leader." He wants to be, and he now has "followers" who believe in the same things he does. What he needs, though, is to give them direction. That is what a leader does. I subscribe to the principle of leadership as "a process of social influence in which a person can enlist the aid and support of others in the accomplishment of a common task".

Right now he is just a spokesman for a nascent movement. He's identified goals, but has not developed a plan to get there. That is what he has often been criticized for. Leadership is what gets things done.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 03:07 PM
I've been a Sanders supporter from the beginning. I'm not a Sanders "acolyte". You're imbuing the word with far more import than it deserves and downplaying the fervency that "supporter" implies. Now, if I said one was an apostle, that, I think, would be closer to your implication.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 03:15 PM
Acolyte: a person assisting the celebrant in a religious service or procession
Synonyms: minion, underling, lackey, henchman

So I guess it is fair to say that you are a Hillary acolyte? grin
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 03:18 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I don't use it as a pejorative, but it is a subset of "true believers". I don't think that is hyperbolic at all.

And, as much as I like Sanders and his message, he's not a true "leader." He wants to be, and he now has "followers" who believe in the same things he does. What he needs, though, is to give them direction. That is what a leader does. I subscribe to the principle of leadership as "a process of social influence in which a person can enlist the aid and support of others in the accomplishment of a common task".

Right now he is just a spokesman for a nascent movement. He's identified goals, but has not developed a plan to get there. That is what he has often been criticized for. Leadership is what gets things done.

Pray tell, dear fellow, how does one become a leader?
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 03:27 PM
That's exactly what I meant about narrowing down the definition of "leader". I don't see the need for that.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 03:59 PM


On another blog that I frequent, prior to nearly everyone in the GOP realizing this week, that The Donald truly is a racist dumbass, the conservative-leaning bloggers LOVED to discuss politics. Now that most of the talk from The Left is about what a dumbass racist bigot The Donald is, the conservatives would prefer that political talk remain little to none.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 04:05 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
... the NY Times, while congratulating her on the win (and endorsing her) has said in editorial that she if she wants to be accepted by the Sanders supporters she must be more open about the questions regarding her relationship with Wall Street, etc.
I would really, really like that, but I have a bad feeling that leopard Hillary won't be changing her spots. Hmm
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 04:06 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Another prediction: Republicans will pressure Trump to pick a woman running mate (Nikki Haley?) to blunt Clinton's historic significance and to counter Trump's misogynistic tendencies. Literally putting lipstick on an elephant.
Are you kidding me?!? Nikki Haley HATES Trump - nearly as much as confirmed bachelor gentleman senator from South Carolina, Dame Lindsey Graham, who suggested that if you love America, you will vote for Hillary.

Quote
Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, another former primary rival of Mr. Trump’s, urged Republicans who have backed Mr. Trump to rescind their endorsements, citing the remarks about Judge Curiel and Mr. Trump’s expression of doubt on Sunday that a Muslim judge could remain neutral in the same lawsuit, given Mr. Trump’s proposed ban on Muslim noncitizens entering the country.

This is the most un-American thing from a politiciansince Joe McCarthy,” Mr. Graham said. “If anybody was looking for an off-ramp, this is probably it,” he added. “There’ll come a time when the love of country will trump hatred of Hillary.”
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 05:59 PM
A few points:

1) Nikki Haley I put out just as an example of the type of candidate the party apparatchiks would want, not that she would do it.

2) "Leader" I defined. Log got it, even if he disagreed. I will be suitably impressed if Sanders concedes gracefully and forcefully, as Clinton did in 2008, and Gore did in 2000. He can show leadership by how he shapes the agenda.

3) Hillary supporter, not acolyte. I support her candidacy, as I did Sanders', because of her positions on issues. I also acknowledge her experience and her character. You may denigrate that, but she has incredible fortitude to keep with it this long. Plus, she's a woman, and equality talk is cheap. Equality in action is more important to me. I've never said she was my favorite, but she's won the popular vote, the majority of delegates and the majority of State contests, 32-23.

Finally, I'm sick of carping about "rigged system." She won by every measure. THAT is how democracy works.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 06:25 PM
Reason I asked is because I think what Bernie is doing is the actual path to credible leadership - that is, someone who emanates trust.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 06:44 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Reason I asked is because I think what Bernie is doing is the actual path to credible leadership - that is, someone who emanates trust.
As I said in the break room at work last night while we all watched another "historic moment" in American politics - Bernie is the only candidate of the three of them still running that truly would help the middle class. Us middle-class'ers just lost our only advocate.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 08:26 PM
It seems that "those in the know" are betting on Julian Castro as her Veep pick. One thing for sure: it would be a firm slap in the face to Mr. Drumpf.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 09:30 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Reason I asked is because I think what Bernie is doing is the actual path to credible leadership - that is, someone who emanates trust.
As I said in the break room at work last night while we all watched another "historic moment" in American politics - Bernie is the only candidate of the three of them still running that truly would help the middle class. Us middle-class'ers just lost our only advocate.
I think you guys have been wrong from the start, so I'm just going to put a bookmark here so I can come back next year and say "I told you so." You can do the same if I am wrong.

I believe Hillary Clinton has the interest of the middle class in her heart. I think she genuinely cares about people and what happens to them. I think that she doesn't express it very well, she can be awkward at times, and she has her own financial interests, too. Don't we all. I would not nominate her for sainthood, but if that is your standard, you will never be represented in Congress or the White House.

Bernie Sanders is not a saint, either, by the way. He is quite prone to self-aggrandizement, exaggeration and "shading the truth". That is why he gets more "false" and "mostly false" rulings than Clinton.
Clinton's statements by ruling;
Sanders's statements by ruling

And she's been followed a whole lot longer.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 09:56 PM
Greger tried that polifact thingy - you can see my comments on that - not reliable.
I never said nor do I believe that Bernie is a saint. In fact I have stated several times that there are many things I don't agree with that he has said and done. Problem is: she has done more and said more things that I don't agree with.
But time will tell.
Her picks for economic issues will be the litmus test for me.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 10:12 PM
I agree that time will tell. At this point my confidence level is high that she'll run a strong campaign and best Trump and the GOP lie machine. My fervent hope is that she'll have a Senate to back her, especially for judicial nominations. My concern remains that budget bills start in the House and that will still be bollixed up by die-hard TEA spouters. This election cannot overcome decades of gerrymandering.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 10:19 PM
I'm very confident that she can beat Trump. I hope that she actually runs against him-and the RNC doesn't pull some rabbit out of their hat and quash his candidacy at the 11th hour. I'm still not convinced that they will let him run.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/08/16 11:58 PM
Quote
I'm still not convinced that they will let him run.

Anything they do at this point will only hurt the party worse. All those angry old white guys have had their say and gotten the candidate they want. The third party plan hasn't gotten any traction at all and hasn't even been able to find a viable candidate or even one who would risk his career tilting at that windmill. If establishment Republicans yank the nomination out from under Trump it will disenfranchise a majority of their voters who seem not to like the Republican Party any more than we do.

Bernie might do better in the polls and might even win by a larger margin than Madame Clinton but I don't think Trump stands much of a chance against either of them. That, I think, is going to be the wall that Bernie runs into at the convention.

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 12:15 AM
I'm not sure that letting him shoot his mouth off for the next 5 months will not do more harm than pulling the rug.
And if that's really their voting base then they should probably shut down the damned party anyway. They can forget about ever winning an election. Hell, eventually they could lose both houses as well.
I can dream, can't I?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 02:38 AM
I watched Chris Hayes tonight and he had a Republican strategist on who essentially made the same argument: the party deserves Trump and nominating him with the resultant disaster should destroy the existing party and allow the creation ofa credible conservative party to replace it.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 02:40 AM
By the way, have you been watching the dueling meltdowns and tantrums from both the Hillz-bots and Bernie or Bust Bros?

Fickle minded naive revolutionaries in waiting are now claiming that Dr. Jill "Rainbow Farting Unicorn" Stein has had their best interests at heart all along, and that she now owns the Bernie revolution. So naturally all TWELVE MILLION Bernie voters should just attach themselves to her coat tails so she can ride into the White House on Bernie's dime, wave her magic Green wand and cause the curtain of Green socialism to cure the nation's ills instantly.

And of course she will respect Bernie and have room for him in HER administration.
(Because as we all know, she and her party have always had "nuthin but lo-o-o-ove for Bernie!"
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 02:50 AM
Meanwhile legions of Hillary Pumas can't wait to toss the entire Bernie movement under the bus because Lord knows, she does not need their support, and after all, that SINO (Socialist In Name Only) is really just a closet commie trying to sabotage her.

And, in other news, still more Sanders supporters are being encouraged to vote for The Donald.

How many plan to?
Humble Arianna and her rag think a significant number, because The Hillz is worse than Trump, yes?

By the way, that's a sentiment shared far and wide in Singapore, apparently, where citizens are expressing a desire "to trade PAP for Trump" in a heartbeat, and they're convinced Sanders is a commie.
Thanks, INFOWARS.

INFOWARS is upset because as of 2013 Singapore wants to regulate online news sites, like the one Alex operates.

Jones and other chafe at Singapore online regs



Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 02:52 AM
And meanwhile, Jane and Bernie Sanders have announced today that they WILL vote for Hillary if they have to, but the superdelegate system SUCKS.

How many Bernie-istas are going to listen to the advice of their leader? Who knows.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 03:00 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
...All those angry old white guys have had their say...
...and there's less and less "angry old white guys" every four years. smile
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 03:05 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
...I don't think Trump stands much of a chance against either of them. That, I think, is going to be the wall that Bernie runs into at the convention.

According to Real Clear Politics' Monday, June 6th 2016 poll, Bernie beats Trump by 10 points; Hillary beats Trump by 5 points.

[Linked Image from i1308.photobucket.com]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 03:08 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
I'm not sure that letting him shoot his mouth off for the next 5 months will not do more harm than pulling the rug.
And if that's really their voting base then they should probably shut down the damned party anyway. They can forget about ever winning an election. Hell, eventually they could lose both houses as well.
I can dream, can't I?
The issue that the Republican Elite have with Donald Trump is that he voices what they say in private.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 05:03 AM
Quote
the superdelegate system SUCKS.

If it sucks so much, how about we cancel all their votes. Then Hillary is instantly the winner, because she would have more than half the total remaining delegates. No, the Sanders camp has to take this argument back because the existence of superdelegates is all that is keeping the race open now.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 05:12 AM
Quote
This is a transcript of Hillary Clinton's [2008 concession speech] it was four days after the last primary

So, I guess we'll be hearing from Sanders on about Friday? Or is he not really a Democrat?

Hillary's concession in 2008 is the act that signaled her devotion to the Democratic Party. And that single act made her LOTS of friends who are now in superdelegate positions. This is how the party system works. Sometimes you take one for the team, and sometimes the team decides you are MVP. Nobody owes the new guy anything.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 09:19 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
the superdelegate system SUCKS.

If it sucks so much, how about we cancel all their votes. Then Hillary is instantly the winner, because she would have more than half the total remaining delegates. No, the Sanders camp has to take this argument back because the existence of superdelegates is all that is keeping the race open now.

Sorry PIA, but it does suck. The idea that there is a need for deciding votes from lobbyists and Party hacks that can supersede the votes from the rank and file is a BAD idea. Always has been. Bernie doesn't need the super delegates to make his point. It has already been made: there is a deep schism in the Democratic Party.
This is common in Parties that act as umbrellas to differing factions (as any two Party country must). What happens when there are multiple Parties? They form coalitions for the elections around some candidate, however, each Party keeps its identity.
What we see in both the Republican and Democratic Parties is that the internal factions do not allow the existence of one Party identity, hence, no identity (or a very fuzzy one).
The reality is that NO ONE Party will ever truly represent a majority. It will always be a coalition of varying degrees of differentiation between members of any Party (even in small Parties this happens).
In the end, anyone with a brain will not vote for Trump so this is the Dems election to lose. Hopefully they can get their act together and win back both houses, eventually. The only way that will happen is if they acknowledge the existence of the left within the ranks of the Democratic Party. Trying to make believe it doesn't exist, or worse, as Jeff has said, throwing it under the bus is a losing proposition for the Democratic Party, and dare I say, for the country as well.

Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 10:30 AM
I think almost all Democrats like the idea of free college for everybody so inclined and talented, and they like the idea of single-payer health coverage. Nobody in the mainstream Democratic Party wants to throw the left under a bus. BUT they just think that those are long-term goals. Run on those as issues today and you lose. Try to implement those things on day 1 of a Presidency and they get defeated. We have to work toward them and one way to do that is to change the makeup of the Supreme Court. The other is incremental legislation, and to do that we need to take back both Houses of Congress. I know Bernie's Bros are not big on patience, but that is the way the US system of governance works. Revolutions get crushed.

================================================================

Right now, this very moment, the existence of superdelegates is the only reason Bernie has to stay in the race. If not for them, Hillary would be the winner right now and Bernie would be done. So you can say they suck, and Bernie and his wife can say they suck, but if that really is true then Bernie is free to pretend they don't and quit. I doubt he will.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 10:47 AM
You keep returning to Bernie, as if he were the first to point out the flaws in the super delegate system. In 2008, when the super delegate system was NOT working in her favor, Hillary said:

Quote
As Clinton said in 2008: “I do think we’re going to have to look at [the nomination system] because the primaries have been incredibly exciting for people, so I think we need to figure out how we can have a process that reflects the desire of the voters.”

It's called opportunism and it is a common trait amongst politicians. grin


Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 10:58 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
I know Bernie's Bros are not big on patience, but that is the way the US system of governance works. Revolutions get crushed.

They do if you are a Hillary Sheep. LOL
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 11:07 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Right now, this very moment, the existence of superdelegates is the only reason Bernie has to stay in the race.
The idea of advancing an agenda?? I dunno, just a thought.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 04:20 PM
Last night Rachel Maddow made a good point about Sanders. Of he stays in the Democratic party when he returns to the Senate, that is a big win for the Democrats. It will also be good for him, because he will have a party to support his platform. And it will bring all those Bernie supporters into the tent. As I have said often, they are the future leaders of the party.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 06:59 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Nobody in the mainstream Democratic Party wants to throw the left under a bus. [...] I know Bernie's Bros are not big on patience, but that is the way the US system of governance works.

Au contraire, some of the biggest lights on social media ARE indeed throwing the left under the bus, same as they tried to do in 2008.
They are the modern extension of the PUMAS.

But I want to address the Bernie Bros who express a willingness to burn it all down if necessary.


"Bernie or Bust - Even If It Means Trump" is a remarkably staggering display of knee jerk reactionary fascism, so when a liberal utters a decision like that, what we are witnessing is that liberal person's "release of their own inner fascist".
That is the sign of a FAILED liberal, because if you ARE liberal, you must learn to CONTROL your inner fascist at all costs.
People who make decisions like that usually wind up becoming super hard core extremist right wingers later in life because too many of their stupid decisions backfire on them...and then they BLAME liberalism, when in reality it was their own stupidity that failed them.

They are so narrow minded and arrogant that they assume ALL other liberals are just like them, and that they all make the same kind of stupid decisions just like they did, so they attack the very liberalism that they failed to understand and implement in their own lives.

I am putting each and every one of you (you know who you are) on notice today to let you know that I AM NOT ANYTHING LIKE YOU AT ALL, and I NEVER WILL BE.
I HAVE learned how to control my inner fascist, at least to the point where I am BETTER than YOU ARE at it.

Liberalism is not for the lazy, the faint hearted or the WEAK of mind or spirit. So don’t even dare to blame liberals for the fact that you [censored] up and made stupid decisions. If you allow a fascist like Trump to win, you HAVE made the same kinds of decision a FASCIST WOULD ALSO MAKE, because you too ARE a fascist. You are a FAILED LIBERAL.

Go now, away with you, do not associate my name with anything that you do.
You are extremists and you have hurt the country far more than anything your fellow liberals could do.

Yeah, that’s right, I paraphrased BARRY [censored]-ing GOLDWATER, because in HIS final days even HE was a better liberal than you are.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 07:09 PM

All that has to be done for the Bernie Bros is hammer the fact that a vote for Trump is a vote for immorality. We are NOT a nation of bigots and knuckle draggers as Donald Trump would have you believe - only half of us are. smile
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/09/16 07:16 PM
My my... Jeff, don't give yourself a myocardial infarction. Seems as though you're getting yourself worked up about people who aren't worth it.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/10/16 04:11 PM


Very mean Lizzy Warren gave Donald Trump a wedgie and took his lunch money yesterday (metaphorically speaking smile )



Quote
“Donald Trump says ‘Judge Curiel should be ashamed of himself.”No, Donald - you should be ashamed of yourself. Ashamed for using the megaphone of a Presidential campaign to attack a judge’s character and integrity simply because you think you have some God-given right to steal people’s money and get away with it. You shame yourself and you shame this great country.”
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/10/16 04:36 PM
Quote
a vote for Trump is a vote for immortality.

Huh? Whose immortality? Mine or Trumps's? If he's promising eternal life for your vote his ego might be even bigger than I imagined.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/10/16 05:08 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
a vote for Trump is a vote for immortality.

Huh? Whose immortality? Mine or Trumps's? If he's promising eternal life for your vote his ego might be even bigger than I imagined.
Trump is a con artist who uses his brand-name for people who are gullible to shake as much money out of them as possible. Trump is a bigot and racist as well.

Voting for Trump is not a political decision - it's a moral decision. And folks will be held accountable if they back a demigod.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/10/16 05:21 PM
Funny ROTFMOL
I read immortality so I guess I discounted Rick's post as a typo.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/10/16 05:23 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Funny ROTFMOL
I read immortality so I guess I discounted Rick's post as a typo.
It is a typo I see now. I have a MAC and it autocorrects for me and I need to be more careful.

Should be: immorality
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/10/16 06:07 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
a vote for Trump is a vote for immortality.

Huh? Whose immortality? Mine or Trumps's? If he's promising eternal life for your vote his ego might be even bigger than I imagined.

Ah Greger, he CAN promise immortality - all snake-oil salesmen do. It's the main part of their shtick.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/10/16 07:49 PM
Quote
immortality

Germany was having trouble
What a sad, sad story
Needed a new leader to restore
Its former glory
Where, oh, where was he?
Where could that man be?
We looked around and then we found
The man for you and me

And now it's...
Springtime for Hitler and Germany

from The Producers

I think Trump has a script.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/10/16 08:11 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
immortality

Germany was having trouble
What a sad, sad story
Needed a new leader to restore
Its former glory
Where, oh, where was he?
Where could that man be?
We looked around and then we found
The man for you and me

And now it's...
Springtime for Hitler and Germany

from The Producers

I think Trump has a script.

ROTFMOL
Sounds about right.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/11/16 10:54 AM
Now, in the world of VOTING AGAINST YOUR INTERESTS:

Quote
The whole thing made me angry. Here in Northern California, I feel like I’m a unicorn: I’m a gay Hispanic who’s a Republican. It was much harder to come out as a Trump supporter than it was to come out as gay — the minute you say you’re for Trump, everyone comes at you — but this has pushed me out of the closet about it completely.

What in the hell is he thinking? Maybe he just isn't...

WaPo
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/11/16 11:18 AM
Donald Trump Has No Platform. Paul Ryan Isn’t Helping.

Quote
HOUSE SPEAKER PAUL RYAN spent the past week announcing policy plans designed to fill the void left by the party’s presumptive nominee, Donald Trump, who has virtually no detailed policy proposals save for outrageous propositions like building a giant wall on the U.S.-Mexico border at no cost to the U.S. taxpayer.

But Ryan’s plans are themselves little more than platitudes and proverbs, offering few actionable policies.

Take the poverty plan. It states that we should “expect work-capable adults to work or prepare for work in exchange for welfare benefits,” something that’s already required under the 1996 welfare reform law.

Under “Policy Recommendations,” Ryan calls on Congress to use the next authorization of the nation’s welfare programs “to strengthen the focus on work and work preparation by requiring states to engage more recipients in activities that will help them advance up the economic ladder.”

What exactly that means is anyone’s guess. Does he mean more job training, a temporary public works program, government-backed internships? If Ryan is proposing to toughen work requirements or the sanctions against people who fail to meet them, why doesn’t he explain that in any detail? Who will it apply to, how will states implement it, and what is the timeline for that implementation? What’s the proposed budgetary impact?

“The language is incredibly vague, it’s full of mantras and platitudes and old Republican talking points,” Rebecca Vallas, a poverty expert at the Center for American Progress, told The Intercept. “At points he acknowledges problems that exist — the importance of child care in terms of removing barriers to employment for parents who have children — … and then he has no solutions for it.”

The Intercept

"... and like Pharaoh's tribe, they'll be drownded in the tide, and like Goliath they'll be conquered" - Bob Dylan
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/11/16 05:15 PM
 
Trump has Republicans everywhere on the defensive
-WaPo
I Smell a Landslide

HuffPo
What Is Trump Trying to Hide in His Tax Returns? the Atlantic
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/16/16 04:29 AM


Ever wonder where the T-Baggers went? They became Trump supporters. Speaking of T-Baggers, both looney pants Nevada T-Bagger ladies Sharron Angle and Michele Fiore lost their re-election primaries. Sad face.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/16/16 06:32 AM

Lastest poll, Drumpf's unfavorables at record highs:

73 percent of moderates
77 percent of women
89 percent of Hispanics
88 percent of nonwhites
75 percent of voters under 40
59 percent of whites
71 percent of white college graduates
67 percent of white women
52 percent of white men
53 percent of non-college whites

CNN.com
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/16/16 08:35 AM
Massacre numbers. We may be seeing the end of the Republican Party. It will certainly be different for a very long time if a Democrat gets to pick Supreme Court justices for a while. Possibly for the rest of my life.

I can see a coalition of Moderates (formerly moderate Republicans) that vote with the Democrats (as long as they don't run anybody too crazy left.) Then the Trump-Tea Party could spin it's wheels with 25% of the votes. Their slogan could be: "You kids get off my lawn!" (because they are all old straight white guys)
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/16/16 12:58 PM
He's even losing in his main demographic: non college educated whites. They should add the category "morons of all stripes". Probably lose even there LOL
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/16/16 03:50 PM
For all intents and purposes, this election is over.

Which isn't to say that there's no excitement left in it. There's a fair chance that John McCain will lose his seat to a Democrat due to the Trump Factor and we may well see the Senate flip along with a few seats in the House. That's pretty heady stuff. Also, Orlando wasn't good for Republicans as it further highlighted their lack of support for the LGBTQ community. The way things are heading, the only chance trump has to avoid a massive landslide is that Democratic voters might pay too much attention to the polls, which will likely convince many that a Democratic win is in the bag and they don't need to get off their asses to vote. Even that is likely to be offset by Republicans who just can't be bothered to vote for an asshat like Trump.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/16/16 04:41 PM
If things stay as they are you are probably right, Greger. The only wrinkle is that Trump never makes it to the General Election. He is losing more and more support among Republicans. If there is some last ditch attempt to save the party, or if he get indicted for one of the many indictable offenses he has committed, then they could run someone else. Not that I think whoever that was would have a snowball's chance in hell of winning but it could change the dynamic a bit.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/16/16 06:40 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
...Orlando wasn't good for Republicans as it further highlighted their lack of support for the LGBTQ community...
There's an escalating catfight between hero journalist Anderson Cooper, a gay, and Florida Attorney General Pam Bondi, a Republican, who has spent much of her professional career fighting against LGBT equality, but who, in the wake of 49 people murdered at a gay club in Orlando, wants us to believe she’s ALWAYS been a friend of the Friends of Dorothy.

Like, how it is so unfair how Anderson Cooper and all of the internet is saying, "Pam is a bigot." While Pam Bondi is flipping her hair this way and that, asking why everybody gotta be so mean? Let's watch:

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/16/16 06:44 PM


Apparently Donald Trump has been dissing our military and accusing them of grift:

Quote
Iraq, crooked as hell. How about bringing baskets of money — millions and millions of dollars — and handing it out? I want to know who were the soldiers that had that job, because I think they’re living very well right now, whoever they may be.

Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/16/16 08:17 PM
The interesting thing about that money we sent to Iraq: It was Iraq's money! Apparently it was oil income we held while Iraq was under an embargo. So we definitely owed it to them after the regime changed and the embargo was lifted.

I'm not sure the right government officials received it, but it certainly got into the Iraqi economy when their own currency had collapsed.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/16/16 10:26 PM
It was the sloppiest, most ill conceived method of transferring money imaginable. Doesn't matter whose money it was.

But come to think of it everything about that Iraqi mess was sloppy and ill conceived.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/17/16 12:29 AM
Quote
everything about that Iraqi mess was sloppy and ill conceived

A non-stop cluster-f**k, right from the start.

And still continuing!
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/17/16 01:11 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
everything about that Iraqi mess was sloppy and ill conceived

A non-stop cluster-f**k, right from the start.

And still continuing!
As Frontline stated, VP Cheney and Scooter Libby changed (read: fixed) the CIA Analysis to read that Saddam had weapons of mass destruction - and Colin Powell unwittingly repeated the lie to the U.N.

Why Cheney isn't being investigated for this and war crimes is beyond me! mad , Hmm
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/17/16 04:00 AM

Whoooo boy! On Memorial Day 1927 in Queens, NY - a brawl erupted led by sympathizers of the Italian fascist movement and the Ku Klux Klan. A one Fred Trump of 175-24 Devonshire Rd. in Jamaica, Queens, NY was arrested and later discharged. Fred Trump is Donald's daddy. No wonder The Donald is so hard-pressed to disavow the Klan. Sheesh!

[Linked Image from i1308.photobucket.com]

Quote
The predication for the Klan to march, according to a flier passed around Jamaica beforehand, was that "Native-born Protestant Americans" were being "assaulted by Roman Catholic police of New York City." "Liberty and Democracy have been trampled upon," it continued, "when native-born Protestant Americans dare to organize to protect one flag, the American flag; one school, the public school; and one language, the English language."

Washington Post
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/17/16 11:01 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
everything about that Iraqi mess was sloppy and ill conceived

A non-stop cluster-f**k, right from the start.

And still continuing!
As Frontline stated, VP Cheney and Scooter Libby changed (read: fixed) the CIA Analysis to read that Saddam had weapons of mass destruction - and Colin Powell unwittingly repeated the lie to the U.N.

Why Cheney isn't being investigated for this and war crimes is beyond me! mad , Hmm

Because the Gilded Folk protect their own. They have the blood of every victim of Isis, Al Qaeda, etc. on their hands.
They have engendered the beginning of a global war that will drag everyone down. They are guilty of crimes against humanity. There are punishments for that...
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/17/16 12:42 PM
Analysis: An Ominous Week of Polling for Donald Trump - Town Hall. Waitaminit, what?

Yes, that über-liberal virtual rag, Town Hall, is even down on the Donald.
Quote
Writes Allahpundit: "If even a major terror attack can’t get voters to take a second look at the would-be strongman, what’ll it take? Trump’s image is so horribly poor among the general electorate that he can’t win without convincing voters to give him a second look. If a jihadi shooting up a nightclub while Trump is demanding a ban on Muslims abroad doesn’t do it, maybe nothing’s going to do it." A reasonable concern. Is his description of Trump's standing among the overall electorate as "horribly poor" perhaps a bit unfair? Not according to a new Washington Post/ABC News poll. Remember when I characterized Trump's 67 percent unfavorable mark in that series as "unelectable" territory back in March? Well, the billionaire rebounded to a less-catastrophic (37/60) after clinching the nomination last month, edging slightly ahead of Clinton on a hypothetical ballot. Those gains have now disappeared, and then some:
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/17/16 12:52 PM
In his biggest political blunder since naming Sarah Palin to the Republican ticket as his running mate, McCain backtracks after blaming Obama for shooting in Orlando. Yeah he "misspoke", since he should have pointed out that it was George Bush (with McCain's full-throated support) that created ISIS by invading Iraq, and then giving millions of armed Iraqi soldiers and Baathists the boot following the destruction of its infrastructure...

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/17/16 01:15 PM
The Republican national convention is just a month away (July 18-21) and the party is in disarray. Meanwhile, the Democratic convention follows a week later (July 25-28). Party candidates usual receive a "convention bump" (as do many party girls) the weeks after the convention. If the pattern holds true, even Trump could get a positive bump from the convention (John Kerry remains the only modern candidate to not have gotten a bump following the convention). Once Hillary gets hers, though, that will have been Trump's high water point for the campaign. I see record viewership and the contrast between the conventions likely to be stark. Democratic unity will lead to a tsunami in November.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/17/16 01:47 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
In his biggest political blunder since naming Sarah Palin to the Republican ticket as his running mate, McCain backtracks after blaming Obama for shooting in Orlando. Yeah he "misspoke", since he should have pointed out that it was George Bush (with McCain's full-throated support) that created ISIS by invading Iraq, and then giving millions of armed Iraqi soldiers and Baathists the boot following the destruction of its infrastructure...
Yup. Yet Rethugliclowns say it was Obama's early withdrawal from Iraq the caused ISIS. Rethugliclowns never seem to accept responsibility for what they have done. Hmm

This country cannot afford four years or eight years of their administrations. mad
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/17/16 01:58 PM
I have long suspected that McCain lost any semblance of sanity in 2008.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/17/16 03:10 PM

...and to be fair to George W, it was L Paul Bremmer that caused ISIS when he fired ALL Iraqi Police and ALL Iraqi Military in June 2003 as Coalition Authority Act 2. And, it was George W's VP Dick Cheney that fixed the Intel analysis from the CIA which Colin Powell repeated to the U.N. which got us into the Iraq 2 War.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/17/16 03:19 PM
To "be fair" to George W. Bush, he appointed both Dick Cheney and L. Paul Bremer and supported their cockamamie decisions. Just How Much Should Paul Bremer Be Blamed for the Rise of the Islamic State?
Quote
[ In the Boston Globe, Neil] Swidey quotes from an article he wrote in 2003, in which Middle East specialist As’ad AbuKhalil said: “The Soviet occupation of Afghanistan gave us the Taliban. The American occupation of Saudi Arabia gave us bin Laden and Al Qaeda. The Israeli occupation of Lebanon gave us Hezbollah. Let us see what the American occupation of Iraq is going to give us.”

We all know the answer to that: the Islamic State — perhaps the most authoritarian, cruelest, and powerful terrorist organization of all time. The Islamic State, of course, is comprised at its command levels by former members of Saddam Hussein’s military. You know, the one that Paul Bremer disbanded shortly after he banned much of the Baath Party from civil service jobs under the new regime. For his part, writes Swidey:

Quote
Although Bremer has come to be regarded as the sole author of this decree to root out Saddam loyalists from the Iraqi government, that is simply not true. Drafts of the order had been circulating around the Pentagon long before Bremer’s appointment.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/17/16 04:42 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
To "be fair" to George W. Bush, he appointed both Dick Cheney and L. Paul Bremer and supported their cockamamie decisions.
Frontline stated that it was L. Paul Bremmer's unilateral decision to invoke Coalition Provisional Authority 2 against George W's wishes. Hmm

(Trust me, I'm no George W fan, but I've come to realize that he really wasn't in charge during the first-half of his tenure.)
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/17/16 05:50 PM
Inasmuch as it happened on his watch, he should be held responsible. But, I agree that he probably hadn't yet figured out the deeper meaning in "Curious George and the Birthday Surprise" so, how much of a cardboard cutout he was, and the obvious fact that the decisions that emanated from Cheney and Rumsfeld, and that whole neo-con sleaze fest, were the driving forced behind the whole Iraq tragedy make it, in my view, more their fault. He was easily manipulated and that very well may be why they wanted him as president from the get go.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/17/16 06:33 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
He was easily manipulated and that very well may be why they wanted him as president from the get go.
Which goes to show that his college transcripts, etc does suggest that George W wasn't very bright, but a very naive, affable, man.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/17/16 09:49 PM
I think that you are being far too kind.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/17/16 10:15 PM
I have found conservatives do not like taking responsibility for much of anything ... however, they love believing their delusions

Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/18/16 01:50 AM
I think it was all the drugs and booze that rendered him unfit for academic life, the National Guard, and political careers. He was a mere shadow of his father, who was bright enough to run the CIA before becoming President. George W. was just a spoiled rich kid in college, in the military, and in politics banking on the family name. He never should have been governor of Texas, much less President.

There is a term for children of the rich who get a check every month to stay far away from the family to avoid embarrassment: Remittance Man. That would have been a good job for George W.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/18/16 09:46 AM
War crimes anyone?????

Quote
Disturbing details of "illegal" torture techniques used by the US government after the 9/11 attacks were revealed by the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) following a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request from the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU).
More than 800 pages were released Tuesday, which the ACLU says highlights the “inhumanity of the torture conceived and carried out” by the CIA under the George W Bush administration.

RT
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/18/16 03:12 PM

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/18/16 03:24 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

ROTFMOL
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/18/16 06:19 PM
Lol. Just too true!! grin
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/21/16 06:48 AM

Trump to The Big Lewandowski: You're Fired !!!!

Corey, show us on the doll where the mean orange man hurt you. smile
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/21/16 04:42 PM


The Trump campaign just gets better. In their most recent FEC filing, the Donald Trump campaign revealed that they paid $35,000 to an ad agency that, by all appearances, doesn’t actually exist.

[Linked Image from i1308.photobucket.com]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/21/16 07:11 PM


Trump Campaign is broke. Bernie had more money than Trump at the end of May - so did Ben Carson.

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/23/16 05:54 PM
Krugman has some interesting points about why Trump's primary tactics are not working in the general election:

A Tale of Two Parties

Quote
So pay no attention to anyone claiming that Trumpism reflects either the magical powers of the candidate or some broad, bipartisan upsurge of rage against the establishment. What worked in the primary won’t work in the general election, because only one party’s establishment was already dead inside.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/23/16 06:54 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Krugman has some interesting points about why Trump's primary tactics are not working in the general election
I could tell Trump, and I'm not even a campaign guy:
  • Dude had $1.9m at the end of May
  • Trump's staff is less than 30
Hmm
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/23/16 10:41 PM
Well, that's plenty of people to run a big con.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/24/16 04:33 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Well, that's plenty of people to run a big con.
Whereas, Hillary's campaign staff is over 750. It just puts things into perspective of who is in it to win it, and who isn't .

I'm starting to wonder if Trump is in over his head? The RNC is only three weeks away.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/24/16 05:27 AM
I think it is very clear now that the big Republican donors are not going to waste their money on Trump, and he's not willing to go broke self-financing. He is so unpredictable, if he won he could do stuff they really didn't like. This is because he isn't running out of some dedication to an ideology. He's just running for self-aggrandizement, and that could lead him to do anything.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/24/16 05:05 PM
Quote
I'm starting to wonder if Trump is in over his head? The RNC is only three weeks away.
Trump has been in over his head since the very beginning. He is no more politically savvy than his army of idiots. He offered them nothing more than a carrot on a stick with no regard for demographics, the Constitution, or the economic necessities of a presidential run. He even convinced them that he was too rich to even need donations when his actual wealth is ephemeral at best and at worst just another of many lies.
The entire, bloated and lackluster, field of Republican candidates sought the lowest common denominator of voters from the start. A race to the bottom which has, not surprisingly, landed them at the very bottom.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/24/16 05:36 PM
Indeed G-man. ThumbsUp
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 06/24/16 07:31 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
... He is no more politically savvy than his army of idiots...
When have Trump supporters (...formerly known as T-Baggers) ever not been idiots?

[Linked Image from cdn1.vox-cdn.com]

[Linked Image from 4.bp.blogspot.com]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/02/16 03:52 PM


That was a stupid move by Bill Clinton. As Monica Lewinsky is now saying to Loretta Lynch: At least you didn't get a dress ruined when Bill Clinton was around you.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/02/16 04:19 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
That was a stupid move by Bill Clinton. As Monica Lewinsky is now saying to Loretta Lynch: At least you didn't get a dress ruined when Bill Clinton was around you.

Bill's hubris and arrogance is and always has been beyond the pale. And the collateral damage is always a shyteshow.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/02/16 04:33 PM

A Hillary Clinton Administration will be one GOP attack after another, one investigation after another. Don't these GOP a-holes get tired of their own bullshyte? I know I do... Hmm
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/03/16 12:12 AM
"The thing about democracy, beloveds, is that it is not neat, orderly, or quiet. It requires a certain relish for confusion." Molly Ivins
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/03/16 12:14 AM
Quote
At least you didn't get a dress ruined when Bill Clinton was around you.

Are you kidding? Monica probably has that "ruined" dress in a picture frame over her mantle. That bj has to be the high point of her life.

Funny, she has that in common with Kim Kardashian.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/03/16 03:04 AM
Quote
A Hillary Clinton Administration will be one GOP attack after another
As was the Obama administration, the Clinton administration, the Carter administration and as will be any Democratic administration in the foreseeable future.
At least Madame Clinton knows exactly what to expect and has dealt with it for years.

And no, they never tire of it.
Just imagine the uproar if the Democrats had fielded a candidate as poorly qualified as Trump.....
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/03/16 03:33 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
A Hillary Clinton Administration will be one GOP attack after another
As was the Obama administration, the Clinton administration, the Carter administration and as will be any Democratic administration in the foreseeable future.
...
That's what Righties do. They don't have much interest in solving problems, or getting along with others.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/03/16 04:50 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
That bj has to be the high point of her life.
You know that Monica has never had a job in her life - no one will hire her.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/03/16 06:23 AM
Well, if she lost some weight I think a lot of people would hire her.

She might not like her job duties, though. LOL
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/03/16 10:06 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
...
At least Madame Clinton knows exactly what to expect and has dealt with it for years.
...
Yes she does. Her motto seems to be - if you can't beat 'em, join 'em.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/03/16 10:29 AM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
A Hillary Clinton Administration will be one GOP attack after another
As was the Obama administration, the Clinton administration, the Carter administration and as will be any Democratic administration in the foreseeable future.
...
That's what Righties do. They don't have much interest in solving problems, or getting along with others.

Not only do they have no interest, they don't have the requisite tools, namely, gray matter.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/03/16 11:04 AM
Real Clear Politics Poll

[Linked Image from s31.postimg.org]

Noteworthy is the fact that, while Clinton's lead is greater than the margin of error (MoE) for the most part, it isn't by very much. In this poll, the weighted average (weighted by sample size) of her spread above the MoE is only 1.71.

Real Clear Politics
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/03/16 04:43 PM
Quote
if you can't beat 'em, join 'em.
She's certainly no Republican, and truly, I see no shame in being moderate. Philosophically I'm farther left than Bernie, but realistically I see more gains coming from a left leaning moderate.
Certainly more gains than we would see from any Republican since there are no remaining moderate Republicans.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/03/16 06:17 PM
She's not a republican in their current incarnation - but if she's left leaning I'm a fu$king astronaut .
LOL
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/04/16 12:33 AM
I can only judge Republicans by their current incarnation. Compared to them she leans way left.

Blast off, Rocketman.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/04/16 05:15 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
A Hillary Clinton Administration will be one GOP attack after another
As was the Obama administration, the Clinton administration, the Carter administration and as will be any Democratic administration in the foreseeable future.
At least Madame Clinton knows exactly what to expect and has dealt with it for years.

And no, they never tire of it.
Just imagine the uproar if the Democrats had fielded a candidate as poorly qualified as Trump.....

Conservative labels for Democratic presidents:

FDR = Socialist
Truman = Socialist
Kennedy = Socialist
Johnson = Socialist
Carter = Socialist
Clinton = Socialist
Obama = Socialist

And for Eisenhower - COMMUNIST!!!

That's SEVEN Democratic presidents over an eighty-four year period, which is three generations, and one COMMUNIST who was one of their own.

I think I see a pattern here...you??
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/04/16 05:26 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
She's not a republican in their current incarnation - but if she's left leaning I'm a fu$king astronaut .
LOL

Quote
"You got a 1400 on your SATs, kid. You're an astronaut, not a Statie."

---THE DEPARTED

[Linked Image from images4.fanpop.com]

Oh by the way, up there, they say "Fart-teen hundred". LOL
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/04/16 12:30 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
I can only judge Republicans by their current incarnation. Compared to them she leans way left.

Blast off, Rocketman.

I know, compared to Attila the Hun she leans left to get out of the way of the punch.
Unfortunately she is the choice between the shyte and the stink, how wonderful the first world democracy that her ilk has wrought. So nice and comfy for the captains of capital. It all seems so well timed.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/04/16 12:37 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
A Hillary Clinton Administration will be one GOP attack after another
As was the Obama administration, the Clinton administration, the Carter administration and as will be any Democratic administration in the foreseeable future.
At least Madame Clinton knows exactly what to expect and has dealt with it for years.

And no, they never tire of it.
Just imagine the uproar if the Democrats had fielded a candidate as poorly qualified as Trump.....

Conservative labels for Democratic presidents:

FDR = Socialist
Truman = Socialist
Kennedy = Socialist
Johnson = Socialist
Carter = Socialist
Clinton = Socialist
Obama = Socialist

And for Eisenhower - COMMUNIST!!!

That's SEVEN Democratic presidents over an eighty-four year period, which is three generations, and one COMMUNIST who was one of their own.

I think I see a pattern here...you??

Yes there is, it is called stupidity and ignorance on levels never before witnessed. But then, we already knew that.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/04/16 12:51 PM
I guess the Democratic Party has rarely been much different. FDR interned thousands of innocent Japanese. Truman incinerated two cities with NO justification. Kennedy almost ignited the world because of a small island in the Caribbean. Johnson had the blood of countless American and Vietnamese people on his hands. Carter bought into the neoliberal bullshyte and set the stage for a massive transfer of wealth (both internal and external). Clinton finished the job and turned the country into a whorehouse for the rich.
Yes, I know, they all did good things too. But the point is, it is systems and not people that are the problem.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/04/16 11:51 PM
Of course, everybody else in the real world was much worse: The Germans killed all of their "others", we just interned them for the duration of the war. Many more Japanese people would have died if the allies had to invade Japan rather than bluffing them into surrendering in a week with our vast nuclear arsenal of two bombs. Johnson inherited a mess, and he left a mess in Vietnam but he did a hell of a lot domestically with the Civil Rights Act. And Clinton's main talent was to find common ground so both sides of the aisle could vote for legislation, because getting half way to a goal is better than not making any progress.

And I think we are going to see that with Madame Clinton too: A President who will break the deadlock between the partisans in Congress and find common ground Congress can act on (and the voters will support). Remember, probably 90% of the stuff Congress should do does not have a particularly Democratic or Republican aspect. We used to pass most legislation with bipartisan support, and we can again.

I'm sorry, but the American public simply is not as Liberal as you wish. Even if they won't vote for free college, they could be lead to support inexpensive state colleges and universities for the talented, by a skillful President.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/04/16 11:56 PM
Dream on. ROTFMOL Clinton will do nothing more than her corporate masters will allow her to do.

Tell that to the thousands in the internment camps, many of whom died there.
Tell that to generations of children deformed from radiation poisoning.
Tell that to the tens of thousands tortured in Batista's prisons.
Tell that to hundreds of thousands whose families were destroyed by the war in Vietnam.
Tell that to the 45 million people who live below the poverty line.
Tell that to millions of non white people who live in fear of their own country every single day.
You live in a fantasy world, my friend. It's time to wake up.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/05/16 12:04 AM
We'll see. I was pretty happy with Bill's administration while it was happening. I made my first million dollars in the stock market during that 8 years. I would not mind 8 more years of prosperity.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/05/16 12:11 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
We'll see. I was pretty happy with Bill's administration while it was happening. I made my first million dollars in the stock market during that 8 years. I would not mind 8 more years of prosperity.

Ah! now I understand.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/05/16 07:50 AM
Yes, I have successfully reached retirement after a long life of work, and I always lived frugally and invested at least 15% of my earnings. I did everything the most responsible financial planners suggested and I am not in the least little bit ashamed of all that.

From the time of Eisenhower to present I have always been a Moderate Democrat, and I think I will probably be one until I die. The overarching motive in my life has been inclusion: I want everybody to get to play, to enjoy success, to find love, etc. I know they won't all make the right choices, because some people are stupid, some are selfish, some are gullible. But everybody should have a chance.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/05/16 09:58 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
I know they won't all make the right choices, because some people are stupid, some are selfish, some are gullible. But everybody should have a chance.

And that chance will come from what? Wishful thinking? Closing one's eyes to reality and seeing only what one wants to see?
Somehow, I think not.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/05/16 03:06 PM
Zeke, you are suffering from "zealot" syndrome, attacking your allies because they are not "pure" enough. I get it. You're impatient (aren't we all), and the country has gone the wrong way for a number of decades, so the frustration level is extremely high. There are urgent issues that need addressing and little evidence they are being addressed, but the overwhelming evidence is that they are more likely to be addressed by Democrats than any other party, period. Most of us play to probabilities because that is how the real world works.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/05/16 03:36 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Zeke, you are suffering from "zealot" syndrome, attacking your allies because they are not "pure" enough. I get it. You're impatient (aren't we all), and the country has gone the wrong way for a number of decades, so the frustration level is extremely high. There are urgent issues that need addressing and little evidence they are being addressed, but the overwhelming evidence is that they are more likely to be addressed by Democrats than any other party, period. Most of us play to probabilities because that is how the real world works.

No, dear fellow, I am not a zealot, I am a realist. And I refuse to play donkey chasing an imaginary carrot, BTW, probabilities (I have made a successful career of using them, so my insights do have some foundation) are not what is in play. It is the refusal to push the envelope by my friends here. If there were probabilities at play, Trump (an outlier), would not have made it as far as he has.
The real world is ours (humankind) to make. However, not fighting for what we believe in does not reality make. It is the easy road to a very bad end.
Reality is always a lot harder than that.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/05/16 05:36 PM
It amuses me no end to see how differently we define "realistic." I agree in the main with your goals, Zeke, but I dispute what you call a "realist's" approach. Yes, we need to reset the agenda, but there is no path from here to there that doesn't involve skipping numerous steps. As the Brexit vote demonstrated, democracy does not ensure the use of common sense.

I continue to believe that the most "realistic" approach is to elect leaders who come closest to our preferences, then put pressure on them to move in our preferred direction. That is what Bernie Sanders is attempting now, and it has worked in civil rights and many other subjects. Do you think any such reforms would come from a Republican?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/05/16 06:10 PM
NW_P I'm sure you know by now that the point I'm trying to make goes beyond Democrat or Republican. Yes, we may be better off with a Democrat rather than a Republican, and it should be obvious to all here where I stand with respect to any of the republican candidates. I see no reason to belabor that issue. Realistic means not fooling oneself into thinking that just because the Lion is a beautiful animal (and it most certainly is) it is not a wild one. So, sticking your arm in his mouth is usually not a good idea. Hillary has defended neoliberal economics (sometimes outright and others in a veiled fashion) since she began her political career. I have seen no EVIDENCE that that has changed. So I am a realist, I don't HOPE she has changed. I am willing to wait and see. Hell, if Merle Haggard can do it, so can she.
I am merely, as you say, applying pressure. I don't believe that we can be complacent just because we are pretty sure she will win and she's not a rabid right wing lunatic. We have to keep applying pressure and reminding ourselves and our friends that it is easy to slip into apathy. So, the fly keeps humming around your head to make sure you don't forget that the only certainty is death and human stupidity.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/05/16 08:43 PM
And while they're at it, they should get Bill to dislodge his head from his arse.

Quote
If you believe we can rise together, if you believe we've finally come to the point where we can put the awful legacy of the last eight years behind us and the seven years before that where we were practicing trickle-down economics, then you should vote for her," the former president said about his wife.
Republicans immediately seized on the comment, with the Republican National Committee arguing that the comment "is about as off message as you can get" in an email to reporters.
A Bill Clinton aide later clarified that the former President was "referring to the GOP's obstructionism and not President Obama's legacy."

Clearly he DID mean Republican obstructionism (unless he's completely insane) but he should have been PLAIN about that fact.
He seems to do more harm than good for Hillary. Even back in 2008 he put his foot in his mouth several times during the primaries.
Maybe they should send him off on vacation until the election is over.

CNN

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/07/16 07:57 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
Blast off, Rocketman.

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/07/16 09:39 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Greger
Blast off, Rocketman.

I could do without the threads. wink But the song is cool.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/07/16 12:16 PM
The Polls Are All Wrong. A Startup Called Civis Is Our Best Hope to Fix Them - Wired.

I don't know whether to be inspired or very scared.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/07/16 02:21 PM
Nothing new. Correct application of random and stratified sampling as well as competent machine learning. I started working with that in the early 90s. And, as is the case with all probabilistic modeling, it is very often wrong when the assumptions are wrong. The only thing new is that with today's hardware, Monte Carlo simulation is much faster and the random number generators are more efficient. So, it is possible to get results faster and more accurately than in the past.
And of course big data - storage, collection and analysis is faster and easier.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/07/16 05:37 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Greger
Blast off, Rocketman.

I could do without the threads. wink But the song is cool.
Notice that the lyrics overemphasize "...and I'm gonna be high...and I'm gonna be high...and I'm gonna be higher than a kite by then."

It's the special Dance Club version of the track. X-cellent smile
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/07/16 05:47 PM
I saw him perform this piece in person at the Nassau Colliseum back when dinosaurs roamed the earth grin
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/07/16 08:36 PM
Originally Posted by NWP
I don't know whether to be inspired or very scared
i have always thought those kind of responses are strange. I see it as simply another evolutionary step in data analysis.

Now if one of those guys used a crystal ball ...
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/08/16 01:21 AM
I do think the article made one very important point: If your poll depends on random landline calls, it is worthless now. Unless you want to know how elderly white ladies are going to vote.

A lot of younger voters don't even have landlines, and those that do rarely answer them.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/12/16 12:40 AM
Hillary insight
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/12/16 04:21 AM
Quote
Hillary insight

And that is why I think she will make a particularly effective President: She is not motivated by status competition: She doesn't need "to win". She wants to form relationships and find common ground in order to move forward.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/12/16 09:30 AM
Originally Posted by logtroll

It's sounds like the guy/gal who gets married and then realizes he/she ain't what they thought. So you start to justify your mistake. Rationalizing away the obvious.
Hillary has a record. It hasn't been the best of records, but like all politicians (human beings) it has high points and low points.
And I don't give a shyte what she's like personally. She could be the nicest person or a mean ahole. Makes no nevermind. The only thing that matters is what she will do once she's in office.
And that remains to be seen.
Klein is not exactly an impartial observer. So I take his opinion with a grain of salt.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/12/16 12:37 PM
I am disturbed by the fact that every one of these people is a Christian of some sort.

Why are non-religious people (i.e. folks lacking the bizarre impulse to "believe" in fantasies) discriminated against so doggedly?

Onward Christian soldiers!
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/12/16 01:02 PM
Good point! Yeah, it is probably easier to elect a gay, ethnic minority president (providing she/he spewed some religious claptrap) than it would be to elect an atheist.
While Marx is famously quoted at writing: "Religion is the opiate of the masses" I would alter that and say that religion is the cancer of the masses.
It eats away at any hope of inclusiveness, and of course, it is a fantastic weapon in the hands of tyrants and other assorted exploiters.
It creates wars and keeps people from seeing their true enemy: a system that keeps them in the condition of a permanent underclass.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/12/16 04:31 PM
Bernie Sanders Endorses Hillary Clinton. Shocked, anyone?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/12/16 04:41 PM
I think that the Clinton campaign has reached its low point of support during this election and that she will see a steady increase in support of about 1% per month, winning the election by about 10% points in the popular and a landslide in the electoral college (between 312 and 342 - picked 323). Watch this space.

Or, you can play at home: interactive map by CNN.

Here's my thinking: The general polling is nearly worthless, but Clinton has maintained a lead throughout of about 5%. In battleground States, her lead has been generally larger. After the conventions, the ground game will begin to take hold, and Clinton's advantage is significant. Trump will get some more Republican support, but it will not help substantially. I think ALL of the battleground States favor Clinton, and Arizona and Utah are in play as well.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/12/16 05:04 PM
From the way some of the shills for Hillz were trumpeting about in the media you would have thought he was going to endorse Trump rolleyes
Sarcasm aside, her campaign will gain momentum with the help of the progressive wing. The addition to the platform of a few items from the progressive agenda makes it slightly better. But this whole "it's the most progressive agenda ever" is misleading, the platform before Sanders could have been drafted by Reagan. So yes, it is an improvement, but it is still far from where it needs to be in order to truly move the country in a progressive direction.
And of course, it is just words on paper. It isn't binding. Which can cut both ways.
Alas, we shall see eek
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/12/16 05:33 PM
Quote
it is just words on paper

Quite true: It binds nobody, and if she doesn't have a Congress to pass any of it, she is very limited in what she can do. And the make up of the Congress falls directly on the voters, not the President.

Except she can nominate Supreme Court Justices that might undo some of the gerrymandering that keeps the House so Republican. But that is a long-term project, not a revolution.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/12/16 06:07 PM
Actually, I think as leader of the Party - President - she can influence the outcome of the local elections. She can put forward a platform that will motivate the electorate to vote for the Dems. If the people that came out to support Bernie feel they have a chance at having their voices heard they just might make a difference.
The Supreme Court appointments are important, and again, as long as she can get progressive Justices in the Court that might help swing the balance.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/12/16 10:17 PM
Now we are shedding and dumping all of the fair weather friends, they can all go vote for Jill Chemtrails if they want, and then go back to sleep for 3.5 years.
75% OF THE PEOPLE WHO ARE right this minute promising to vote for Jill Stein and abandoning Bernie Sanders will become HARD CORE NEOCONS in five years or less after they hit the wall, and they will run around trying to convince their new conservative friends that ALL LIBERALS THINK THE WAY THEY USED TO THINK.
Jill Stein does HAVE her faithful supporters to be sure, but I am talking about the ones who are ready to jump ship and climb aboard her bandwagon right this minute, today, July 12, 2016.
Give them a couple more failed HARDCORE socialist elections where they barely register a blip on the radar and they will throw the whole thing out the window and turn Republican or worse, Republicans for Jesus.

If you trusted Bernie's leadership as a candidate, you should continue to trust it now.
I often wonder what the world would have been like if we had gotten eight years of HHH as president instead of Dick Nixon.
I don't know, but I lived through him and then had to live through eight years of Reagan, and then Bush and then Bush, Jr. NONE OF WHICH probably would have become President had it not been for Nixon.

And now some are even saying that they would rather see Trump win, just to teach us all a lesson.

When people say they'd rather see Trump win rather than vote for Hillary, what I hear is, "I can survive a Trump presidency and screw those who can't."
If that is what you think, you're basically telling ME, and my wife, and our two kids (one gravely ill) that we can go f*** ourselves.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/12/16 10:23 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Except she can nominate Supreme Court Justices that might undo some of the gerrymandering that keeps the House so Republican. But that is a long-term project, not a revolution.

The damage done by the Scalia Court has been very long term, and profound.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/12/16 10:43 PM
Jeff - you make it sound as if Trump actually had a chance to win???
If - and that's a big if - he is actually nominated it is the greatest gift they could give the Dems.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/12/16 11:00 PM
If you actually want Hillary to accomplish anything, you can't just go to sleep for another 3.5 years: You have to come out and vote for Democratic Senators and Representatives in 2018.

And look at all the Republican Governors who have screwed with the Medicaid expansion! How would you like being too rich to get Medicaid and too poor to get ACA coverage. That is directly these Governor's doing that, and they are killing people.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/13/16 06:22 AM
Forget Trump, okay?
Guess what happens if NO candidate gets the required 270 electoral votes?

This is a TWO PART answer, by the way because it's not only "guess who picks", it's also "guess who they get to pick FROM".
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/13/16 10:16 AM
Recent polls from Real Clear Politics:

[Linked Image from s31.postimg.org]

Nate Silver's 538

[Linked Image from s31.postimg.org]

Hillary Clinton (chance of winning)
77.4%

Donald Trump (chance of winning)
22.5%



These numbers do not reflect the recent endorsement of Hillary by Sanders. They do not reflect the campaign that is crisscrossing the country to get young people out to vote. And, they do not reflect the possible choice of Newt the pig's designation as VEEP (manna from heaven) on the Trump ticket, if such a ticket ever really exists.

[Linked Image from s31.postimg.org]

Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/13/16 11:48 AM
the House and top 3 candidates (assuming Johnson is ahead of Stein)

the Republican House may vote against Mr Trump and Sec Clinton and elect the Libertarian candidate as the least offensive among the 3

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/13/16 12:40 PM
The planet Kolob??? ROTFMOL
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/14/16 12:13 AM
Actually, if nobody got the required majority of electoral votes The House could vote for any American citizen over the age of 35. That is the only limitation in the law. They are not limited to the candidates who ran.

They would probably pick Speaker Ryan, if he agreed.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/14/16 03:05 AM
Election Update: When To Freak Out About Shocking New Polls -FiveThirtyEight.Com

I get tired of the breathless reportage of each newly released poll. Today was a big such day. The reality is that, almost definitively, the poll is wrong. That is one of the reasons I like FiveThirtyEight. They weight the polls by reliability, sample size, etc., THEN aggregate them. That eliminates most of the outliers and gives a better feel for trends. Nate Silver recommends mostly ignoring them until August.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/14/16 03:21 AM
Originally Posted by 12th Amendment
... and if no person have such majority, then from the persons having the highest numbers not exceeding three on the list of those voted for as President, the House of Representatives shall choose immediately, by ballot, the President.

sorry ... had to have electoral votes
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/14/16 06:28 AM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J.
Guess what happens if NO candidate gets the required 270 electoral votes?
Zeke will know this answer given that he's our resident mathematician. is there even a permeable that shows that reaching 270 is not possible?
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/14/16 07:12 AM
It doesn't take any math skills at all: If both candidates got 269 electoral college votes then nobody has a majority and it goes to the House. But it is just very unlikely, especially in this election. Nate Silver shows 342:197.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/14/16 10:15 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Jeffery J.
Guess what happens if NO candidate gets the required 270 electoral votes?
Zeke will know this answer given that he's our resident mathematician. is there even a permeable that shows that reaching 270 is not possible?

See my response to Jeff's post, based on Stats reported by Nate Silver and the WaPo and Real Clear Politics.
There is little chance that that will happen.
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/15/16 06:07 AM
I am very concerned that the attacks in Nice and elsewhere will assure Trump of election.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/15/16 07:29 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Jeffery J.
Guess what happens if NO candidate gets the required 270 electoral votes?
Zeke will know this answer given that he's our resident mathematician. is there even a permeable that shows that reaching 270 is not possible?

See my response to Jeff's post, based on Stats reported by Nate Silver and the WaPo and Real Clear Politics.
There is little chance that that will happen.
That's what I figured - little chance of that happening. See I paid attention in Math Theory in college. smile
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/15/16 07:31 AM
Originally Posted by Phil Hoskins
I am very concerned that the attacks in Nice and elsewhere will assure Trump of election.
That would mean that most Americans will buy into fear. I'm not seeing that. Yes, it will happen that most Republicans will buy into fear - that's what they naturally do. That's why they're Republicans.

[Linked Image from 4.bp.blogspot.com]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/15/16 09:52 AM
Originally Posted by Phil Hoskins
I am very concerned that the attacks in Nice and elsewhere will assure Trump of election.

Trump has signed the end of any chance at winning by picking Pence as a running mate. Instead of broadening the demographic he has only reduced it and is not adding to his support (those who would support Pence would have voted for Trump anyway).
The important point is that, although Hillary may dip in the polls, mostly a reaction to the email issue, Trump is not gaining any ground. And we have to see what the effect of Sanders support will add, and that certainly will add, to her base.
Also, she has yet to "leak" the VEEP appointment. That could possibly (obviously depending on who she chooses) swing things further her way.
And last but not least, the best weapon the Dems have against Trump is the plethora of batshyte crazy things he has said for the past year.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/15/16 03:24 PM
There's a whole slew of new ads out on the net that are just quotes of Trump.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/15/16 08:34 PM
Quote
the best weapon the Dems have against Trump is the plethora of batshyte crazy things he has said for the past year.
and despite that, he has a large Republican following and apparently more who would sacrifice their "principles" to support CRAZY

there is a reason I say ignorance is the enemy
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/15/16 08:58 PM
Don't underestimate the opposition to Ms. Clinton. That's a big issue as well. She's doing poorly among independents which would come in part from a more moderate Republican base. Her unfavorable rating is pretty bad.
We all agree on ignorance - but a lot of that ignorance comes from the political system itself.
All that notwithstanding, he can't win a general election no matter what he does. He is doomed to fail, just like his casinos.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/15/16 10:27 PM
Trump-Pence. Isn't that an old coin? Something not worth very much.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/15/16 10:58 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Trump-Pence. Isn't that an old coin? Something not worth very much.

ROTFMOL
I believe it is completely worthless.
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/16/16 01:12 AM
Never underestimate the stupidity of the American voter
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/16/16 02:07 AM
And that’s the thing that gets me Phil. The fact that Trump could even be in the running is astonishing to me and very disconcerting. Some polls have him neck and neck, others with a slight lead, and some that show Hillary with a substantial lead. I don’t know how these polls are conducted but if they only call landlines then the results would not be representative of the voters in general. At least I hope so.

We understand why he is so popular. He promises the left behind Americans that he will, through his sheer awesomeness, bring back the “good old days”. And they believe him. He thinks that tulips bloom beneath the snow......

Yet as RBG (ill-advisedly) stated, he is indeed a charlatan.

“Funny" times indeed...
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/16/16 03:33 AM
Quote
Never underestimate the stupidity of the American voter
In their(our) defense President Obama was elected twice by comfortable margins. Republicans did their level best to defeat him. The first time they tried a war hero/monger who never met a war he didn't like and and and a radical right winger who preached pretty much the same message Trump is running on. The second time a rich businessman/politician and a well loved Republican economic policy wonk known to have his eye on the presidency. They couldn't put the numbers together then and they wont this time either. There is a fair percentage of Republicans who will sit this one out or vote for Gary Johnson. Johnson is polling around 10% and very few of those are Democrats, his numbers may go up as the race progresses.

Democrats have their own problems but I just don't see them affecting as many voters. Jill Stein might pull in a few disgruntled Bernie Bros but my cracked crystal ball says it wont be much over 2%. The biggest thing Democrats have going for them is universal hatred for Donald Trump. Many, who might have sat this one out, will be energized to get out and vote against him.

The Republican Convention is playing out to be an utter failure as it looks more and more like nobody who is anybody is actually going to show up and their sponsorship has dried up as well. The excitement level among Republicans is off the bottom of the charts.

The Republican Platform is draconian and guaranteed to appeal only to the very basest of the Republican base voters. The Democratic Platform is perhaps the most progressive in my lifetime. Any lefty who still thinks this is a lesser of two evils situation is, in my opinion, just plain wrong and I generally credit progressives for having at least some degree of common sense politically.

Despite what the polls may be saying, things really aren't looking good for Trump. So try to relax, Phil, and please, if I get kinda nervous and jittery in the next few months, do me the kindness of reassuring me that a Donald Trump presidency is just not going to happen.



Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/16/16 06:21 AM
Originally Posted by Ken Condon
And that’s the thing that gets me Phil. The fact that Trump could even be in the running is astonishing to me and very disconcerting.
It's the T-Baggers that are supporting Trump, not real conservatives. Hmm Real conservatives are sitting this one out, while the T-Baggers are employing their scorched earth philosophy as usual with Trump.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/16/16 09:18 AM
Here is one major reason why Trump doesn't have a snowball's chance in hell:

Quote
What has happened is that the gap between the share of voters who identify themselves as Democrats compared with those who consider themselves Republicans has grown so wide that, for the GOP, winning a majority of the independent vote nationally is necessary but no longer sufficient for winning a national popular vote. In this past election, 38 percent of voters called themselves Democrats, and just 32 percent called themselves Republicans. In 2008, it was Democrats at 39 percent and Republicans at 32 percent. Over the past five elections, only in 2004 were the two parties evenly matched at 37 percent each. In the other four elections, the Democratic advantage has been 4 points in 2000 (when Al Gore won the popular vote but lost the Electoral College), 5 points in 1996, 6 points in 2012, and 7 points in 2008. This is certainly one reason why Republicans have lost the popular vote in five of the past six elections; generally there are more Democrats than Republicans. When the gap gets really wide, independents can’t make the difference.

America not a conservative country
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/16/16 09:44 AM
With open carry laws in Cleveland, the Republithug convention will make for interesting TV. Massive protests are planned. The FBI has been "interrogating" known Democratic supporters in advance of the convention.

The Intercept

Quote
LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES, including the FBI, have been knocking on the doors of activists and community organizers in Cleveland, Ohio, asking about their plans for the Republican National Convention in July.

As the city gears up to welcome an estimated 50,000 visitors, and an unknown number of protesters, some of the preparations and restrictions put in place by officials have angered civil rights activists. But the latest string of unannounced home visits by local and federal police marks a significant escalation in officials’ efforts to stifle protest, they say.

“The purpose of these door knocks is simple: to intimidate the target and others in efforts to discourage people from engaging in lawful First Amendment activities,” Jocelyn Rosnick, a coordinator with the Ohio chapter of the National Lawyers Guild, wrote in a statement denouncing the home visits.



Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/16/16 12:55 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Any lefty who still thinks this is a lesser of two evils situation is, in my opinion, just plain wrong and I generally credit progressives for having at least some degree of common sense politically.

Nonsense. No one on the left would vote for the Republican Party (and certainly NEVER for Trump and sixpence), period. Clinton will get the votes from the left - since usually most Democratic candidates do.
The changes to the platform are encouraging but way less than they should be, especially with respect to the economy and foreign policy.
So it is and always has been, for those who believe in real democracy, the lesser of two evils.

Quote
The Democratic platform doesn’t achieve that coherence. It is significantly more progressive than recent party platforms, especially on criminal-justice reform and the need to empower workers. It’s got some good language on climate change and banking reform, but too frequently punches are pulled where they should be thrown—as with its wrongheaded avoidance of formal opposition to the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal, corporate-welfare schemes, and lobbyist abuses. But the devil is not in the details; it’s in the lack of an overarching vision. The platform doesn’t provide a clear sense of how all the pieces of America’s economic, social, and political puzzle might fit together with the Democrats in power.
That’s something Clinton and her running mate will have to provide. They must paint the big picture of America as a country where prosperity really is shared, where inequality is addressed, and where marginalized people will know that a strong and functional government is on their side. Clinton should tell the convention and the country that it’s a very big deal that a woman has been nominated by a major party for president, and she should use this evidence of social progress to explain the greater progress she now seeks. There will be doubters—of the nominee’s commitment, and of the prospects for serious change. Clinton should answer them with a bolder vision and a sense of what could be accomplished if we’re prepared to tax billionaires and to ensure that no one who works 40 hours a week will live in poverty; to break up corporate monopolies and renew competition and honest entrepreneurship; to address climate change with the same determination with which we put a man on the moon; to amend the Constitution to get big money out of politics; and, finally, to guarantee the right to vote and to address structural racism, sexism, homophobia, and anti-immigrant bigotry, because doing so will free all of us to build on the promise of an American dream that has been too long deferred. She should not hesitate to echo Sanders, who endorsed her on July 12, and Sanders and his supporters should not hesitate to prod the nominee to fully and consistently embrace progressive positions. That prodding, especially on issues of economic and political reform, will make Clinton and the Democrats stronger.

The Nation
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/16/16 03:25 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
No it is not. Nor is America a Christian Country. Yet, many on the right try to make America both Christian AND Conservative.

What these people are trying to do to America is no different than what ISIS is doing to the middle east: Assert their influence and lifestyle.

Those lofty Liberal ideas that man has free will, is a free thinker, that our Founding Fathers invoked to begin our country - should tell the conservatives everything that they need to know.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/16/16 03:28 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Any lefty who still thinks this is a lesser of two evils situation is, in my opinion, just plain wrong and I generally credit progressives for having at least some degree of common sense politically.
This election IS about the lessor of two evils. Period. To state otherwise is being disingenuous. Hillary Clinton is center-right (or Republican-lite) as I stated here on many occasions.

Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/16/16 08:07 PM
Quote
He is doomed to fail, just like his casinos.

I don't think that is true. Casinos are in the business of fleecing rubes. If he bought a casino and simply left it in the hands of ANY competent manager, it would thrive. That is just their nature.

Either he bought the casino with horrible financial terms, or he ran it into the ground through horrible decisions. Whichever it was, that takes exceptional talent as a screw-up. This single fact should be main reason why he should NOT be making any decisions in the White House.

He imagines himself a "businessman" but he is just a guy who inherited a lot of money and spends it on whatever feeds his ego.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/16/16 09:20 PM
Quote
Hillary Clinton is center-right (or Republican-lite) as I stated here on many occasions.
We'll just have to agree to disagree on that. No center right politician would endorse the policies she endorses. She's slightly to the right of Sanders but still left of center.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/16/16 10:29 PM
It all depends on what you're calling center these days - she is right of Obama who is pretty much center. Sorry man, she ain't never been left.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/17/16 04:31 AM
Quote
It all depends on what you're calling center these days
Halfway between extreme right and extreme left lies the center.

And it's kind of funny, but I believe she is left of Obama and willing to push harder in that direction than he has been.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/17/16 04:58 AM
It may sound a little racist, but I think Obama's liberality has always been hobbled by his race. He couldn't act freely because he always had to be sensitive to the average voter's racist tendencies. That's why he gave in so easily to "whatever Congress comes up with" as the ACA. That's why he has been so passive about the Republicans doing everything in their power to defeat anything he approves, even if their actions border on treason.

As I recall, he wanted a public option and the best the Congress of the time could pass was the totally Big Health Insurance and Big Pharma thing we have now. I don't think Hillary is going to "tread lightly" because she is a woman. In fact, I think she is going to do a bit of extra stomping when it comes to Congress. Anybody who attacks her personally is going be singled out to feel some pain, like maybe being defeated in the next election, indicted for past crimes, etc.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/17/16 09:35 AM
The Everly Brothers:

Quote
Dream, dream, dream
Dream, dream, dream, dream
Dream, dream, dream, dream
Dream
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/18/16 10:26 AM
[Linked Image from s32.postimg.org]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/18/16 10:39 AM
This is what I call a REAL BARE PROTEST!
Go get 'em ladies!!

Quote
As the sun rises Sunday morning over the Quicken Loans Arena in downtown Cleveland, 100 women stand completely nude, holding large, round mirrors facing the arena. They're on an empty lot in between a fire station and a shipping warehouse, right on the Cuyahoga River. It's the day before the Republican National Convention kicks off, but on this side of the river, it's nearly silent, except for the snaps and pops of a camera.

Artist Spencer Tunick stands on a ladder holding the camera focused on the women, wiping sweat off his brow. He shouts, "We love you all! This is beautiful," as he takes photos for his art installation, "Everything She Says Means Everything."


Esquire
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/18/16 09:22 PM
I remember a short fiction piece in which a South American football team gave out large mirrored programs to all their fans in attendance at the game. When the eternally corrupt referee made a bad call, they all focused the reflection of the sun on the official and he went up in a puff of smoke.

Wouldn't it be funny if these 100 women with mirrors did the same thing! Sunlight is 1 kilowatt per square meter, if the sun is shining. Say 90 kilowatts concentrated in 1 square meter of Trump's backside?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/19/16 05:43 PM
New York Times Upshot Poll gives Hillary a 76% chance of victory as opposed to Drumpf who has a whopping 24% chance of victory in November.
And this has not yet felt the effect of the misbegotten Melania speech last night.

New York Times
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/21/16 03:38 PM
Chamber of Commerce May Prefer Hillary Clinton to Donald Trump

(to the tune of: "Ain't that a kick in the head")

Quote
THE PRESIDENT OF the U.S. Chamber of Commerce on Wednesday signaled that the big-business community is still undecided between newly minted Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton. Chamber President Tom Donohue’s statements to Fox Business News on Wednesday morning represented an astonishing break from the organization’s nearly invariable support for Republican candidates.

“Trump talks about some important things in energy and taxes and financial areas,” Donohue said. “Hillary perhaps has more experience and businessmen like that — businessmen and women like that — but I don’t think that’ll be decided until you hear the speeches here and next week and you see the first debate, and I think people will start to move more clearly to where they’re going to vote.”

Chief among Donohue’s complaints about Trump was his opposition to the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).

The Intercept
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/21/16 04:42 PM
Their positions are not so very different on so many issues. (It's that 90% of things are non-partisan point.)

Trump's "positions" don't exist, since he says contradictory things days apart. The most important thing for business is to have predictability so they don't make planning mistakes. Hillary is predictable, and business did great under the last Clinton.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/21/16 09:38 PM
Will a mistake-filled convention doom Trump? Don’t count on it. Joe Scarborough
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/21/16 09:46 PM
i am ruminating ..... a coin toss within the MoE

God save America
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/21/16 09:50 PM
Not a coin toss with a 70% probability of Ms. Clinton winning as opposed to < 30% for Drumpf. That would be one biased coin. LOL
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/22/16 11:04 AM
The latest stats by Nate:

Only 20 Percent Of Voters Are ‘Real Americans‘

Quote
These politicians, implicitly and often explicitly, usually have certain people in mind when they refer to “real Americans.” They often mean white people without college degrees — the so-called “white working class.” They usually mean practicing Christians. Their examples usually refer to people in the South or the Midwest — not East Coast elites or West Coast hippies.

If you’re one of these “real Americans,” you’re in the majority in almost every respect. Most Americans are white, most are Christian, most don’t have college degrees, and most live in the South or Midwest Census Bureau regions. And yet, only about 1 in 5 voters meets all of these descriptions.

This helps to explain what seems like a paradox. “Real Americans” overwhelmingly voted Republican in the 2012 election. The differences might be even more pronounced this year. And yet, President Obama won re-election four years ago. And Clinton leads Donald Trump in the polls, albeit narrowly.

538

Hillary = 60.2% chance of winning
Trump = 39.7% chance of winning
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/22/16 11:47 AM
If Hillary picks Kaine for VEEP we may have a problem. He doesn't exactly scream progressive:

From Wikipedia

Quote
Reproductive rights
Kaine, a Roman Catholic, is for religious reasons personally against abortion, but is "largely inclined to keep the law out of women's reproductive decisions." Kaine has said: "I have a traditional Catholic personal position, but I am very strongly supportive that women should make these decisions and government shouldn't intrude. I'm a strong supporter of Roe v. Wade and women being able to make these decisions. In government, we have enough things to worry about. We don't need to make people's reproductive decisions for them." Kaine supports some legal restrictions on abortion, such as requiring parental consent and banning late-term abortions in cases where the woman's life is not at risk.

Kaine previously criticized the Obama administration for "not providing a 'broad enough religious employer exemption'" in the contraceptive mandate of the Affordable Care Act, but praised a 2012 amendment to the regulations that allowed insurers to provide birth control to employees when an employer was an objecting religious organizations.

In 2005, when running for governor, Kaine said he favored reducing abortions by: (1) "Enforcing the current Virginia restrictions on abortion and passing an enforceable ban on partial birth abortion that protects the life and health of the mother"; (2) "Fighting teen pregnancy through abstinence-focused education"; (3) "Ensuring women's access to health care (including legal contraception) and economic opportunity"; and (4) "Promoting adoption as an alternative for women facing unwanted pregnancies."

In 2007, as governor, Kaine cut off state funding for abstinence-only sex education programs, citing studies which showed that such programs were ineffective, while comprehensive sex education programs were more effective. A Kaine spokesman indicated that Kaine believes that both abstinence and contraceptives must be taught, and that education should be evidence-based.

Afghanistan and ISIL
On the issue of the war in Afghanistan, Kaine's website states "The main mission in Afghanistan—destroying Al Qaeda—is nearly complete and we should bring our troops home as quickly as we can, consistent with the need to make sure that Afghanistan poses no danger in the broader region."

In November 2014, at the Halifax International Security Forum, Kaine, together with Senator John McCain, emphasized the necessity of congressional authorization for U.S. military operations against the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL), saying: "You just can't have a war without Congress."

On December 11, 2014 after a five-month campaign by Kaine, the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee approved by 10–8 (straight party lines) a measure authorizing military force against the ISIL, but barring the use of ground troops.

Capital punishment
Despite his personal opposition to capital punishment, often cited during the 2005 campaign by both sides, Kaine oversaw eleven executions as governor, including the execution of John Allen Muhammad, the Beltway Sniper, on November 10, 2009. He has vetoed eight death-penalty expansion bills although some of the vetoes were overturned, and opposed the electric chair as an option. In June 2008, Kaine commuted the death sentence of Percy Levar Walton to life imprisonment without parole on grounds on mental incompetence, writing that "one cannot reasonably conclude that Walton is fully aware of the punishment he is about to suffer and why he is to suffer it" and thus executing him would be unconstitutional.

Kaine said: "I really struggled with [capital punishment] as governor. I have a moral position against the death penalty. But I took an oath of office to uphold it. Following an oath of office is also a moral obligation."

Energy and climate change
Kaine endorses a comprehensive energy plan. Kaine acknowledges the scientific consensus on climate change, and in a speech on the Senate floor in 2014 criticized both "science deniers" (who deny climate change) and what he termed "leadership deniers"—people who "may not deny the climate science, but they deny that the U.S. can or should be a leader in taking any steps."[89] He has expressed concern about sea level rise, and in particular its effect on coastal Virginia. Kaine endorses an incremental approach toward moving to clean energy, saying that it is imperative " to convert coal to electricity with less pollution than we do today."[89] He has criticized those who "frame the debate as a conflict between an economy and the environment," saying that "Protecting the environment is good for the economy."

Kaine supports the use of fossil fuels as a bridge source of energy, and co-sponsored the Advanced Clean Coal Technology Investment in Our Nation (ACCTION) Act, legislation to stimulate large-scale federal and private sector investment in clean coal technologies. However, he voted against passage of legislation to approve the Keystone XL pipeline.[91] Kaine supports the use of hydraulic fracturing technology (fracking) that has allowed the US to access natural gas in shale formations. He sees use of natural gas as a way to reduce carbon pollution.
Like his fellow senator from Virginia, Mark Warner, Kaine applauded the U.S. Forest Service's compromise plan to close most, but not all, of the George Washington National Forest to hydraulic fracturing ("fracking") and other horizontal drilling activities.

Kaine supports oil and gas exploration off the Atlantic Coast, saying, "I have long believed that the moratorium on offshore drilling, based on a cost-benefit calculation performed decades ago, should be re-examined." He also supports the development solar energy and of offshore wind turbines.

As governor, Kaine established the Climate Change Commission, a bipartisan panel to study climate change issues. The panel was shuttered under Kaine's Republican successor, Governor Robert F. McDonnell, but was revived (as the Governor's Climate Change and Resiliency Update Commission) under his successor, Democratic Governor Terry McAuliffe.

Healthcare
Kaine supported passage of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2009 ("Obamacare"), saying in 2012: "I was a supporter and remain a supporter of the Affordable Care Act. I felt like it was a statement that we were going to put some things in the rear-view mirror." In 2013, Kaine said that he agreed that changes to the ACA should be debated, but criticized Republicans for "wrapping them up with the threat" of a federal government shutdown.

As governor, Kaine set up a review panel following the Virginia Tech shooting, and subsequently proposed many mental health reforms reflecting the panel's recommendations. Kaine specifically proposed $42 million of investment in mental health programs and reforms, included "boosting access to outpatient and emergency mental health services, increasing the number of case managers and improving monitoring of community-based providers."

LGBT rights
When talking about LGBT adoption in 2005, Kaine said that "No couples in Virginia can adopt other than a married couple — that's the right policy. Gay individuals should not be able to adopt." In 2011, however, Kaine would change his position and become more open to the idea of adoption. Kaine said he believed that the judges would be able to make effective case-by-case analyses when dealing with unmarried couples applying to be possible parents. He said that he was open to consideration being made available to all couples, gay or straight.In 2012, Kaine said that "There should be a license that would entitle a committed couple to the same rights as a married couple."

In March 2013, Kaine announced his support of same-sex marriage,saying "I believe all people, regardless of sexual orientation, should be guaranteed the full rights to the legal benefits and responsibilities of marriage under the Constitution."

In the Senate, Kaine has co-sponsored the Employment Non-Discrimination Act, which would bar employment discrimination on the basis of sexual orientation.

Local issues
Kaine supports some "smart growth"–style policies to manage sprawl and transportation issues; he refers to these plans as "balanced growth".

Taxes
Kaine says he supports allowing the Bush tax cuts to expire for those with high incomes. Kaine also stated during a debate that he would be open to establishing a minimum tax that everyone must pay.

In 2012, Kaine supported raising the cap on income subject to Social Security taxes, saying "[f]or Social Security, we can raise the income payroll tax cap so that it covers a similar percentage of income as it did in the 1980s under President Reagan, which would greatly extend the solvency of the program."

Kaine supports introducing an internet sales tax that would require online retailers to collect the same sales taxes that traditional brick-and-mortar retailers currently collect.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/22/16 02:59 PM


A Millennial at work said to me on Tuesday that it would be great if Hillary picked Bernie as her VP. She said it would unify the Democratic party.
Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/22/16 03:27 PM
If she picks Sanders, that would allow tea-bagger Governor LePage to appoint a Senate replacement until the next election. Who wants to bet that Democrat would be a DINO? I am pretty sure, though, that in that next election, a Sanders-backed Democrat would get in.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/22/16 03:41 PM
Originally Posted by Spag-hetti
If she picks Sanders, that would allow tea-bagger Governor LePage to appoint a Senate replacement until the next election. Who wants to bet that Democrat would be a DINO? I am pretty sure, though, that in that next election, a Sanders-backed Democrat would get in.
If Hillary wins, that would ensure more Dems in the House and Senate by virtue of "down-ticket" voting and a LePage appointment would be offset. Hmm
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/22/16 03:51 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
If Hillary picks Kaine for VEEP we may have a problem. He doesn't exactly scream progressive:
No, it doesn't, and Trump will hit her ticket with pro-globalization and more job loss rhetoric because of Kaine's voting record and positions.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/22/16 04:16 PM
Yup. Not a wise choice.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 12:48 AM
Tim Kaine - it's official rolleyes

Quote
Hillary Clinton named Senator Tim Kaine of Virginia to be her running mate Friday, selecting a battleground state politician with working-class roots and a fluency in Spanish, traits that she believes can bolster her chances to defeat Donald J. Trump in November.

Mrs. Clinton’s choice, which she announced via text message to supporters, came after her advisers spent months poring over potential vice-presidential candidates who could lift the Democratic ticket in an unpredictable race against Mr. Trump.


NY Times
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 01:00 AM
Here you go - Here's your Democratic Party!


New Leak: Top DNC Official Wanted to Use Bernie Sanders’s Religious Beliefs Against Him

Quote
AMONG THE NEARLY 20,000 internal emails from the Democratic National Committee, released Friday by Wikileaks and presumably provided by the hacker “Guccifer 2.0,” is a May 2016 message from DNC CFO Brad Marshall. In it, he suggested that the party should “get someone to ask” Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders about his religious beliefs.

From:MARSHALL@dnc.org
To: MirandaL@dnc.org, PaustenbachM@dnc.org, DaceyA@dnc.org
Date: 2016-05-05 03:31
Subject: No s***
It might may no difference, but for KY and WVA can we get someone to ask his belief. Does he believe in a God. He had skated on saying he has a Jewish heritage. I think I read he is an atheist. This could make several points difference with my peeps. My Southern Baptist peeps would draw a big difference between a Jew and an atheist.
The email was sent to DNC Communications Director Luis Miranda and Deputy Communications Director Mark Paustenbach. It’s unclear who the “someone” in this message could be — though a member of the press seems like a safe bet. A request for comment sent to Marshall was not immediately returned.


...

It is also unclear why the Democratic National Committee, which isn’t supposed to favor one Democratic candidate over another until they receive a nomination, would have attempted to subvert the Sanders campaign on the grounds that “he is an atheist.”

A reply to Marshall’s email from DNC CEO Amy Dacey read only “AMEN.”

Emphasis is mine.

The Intercept
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 02:31 AM
Of course we never heard a peep about this from Hillary's campaign. I think somebody has to think up all the angles and then discard the bad ones.

Just like we have never heard Hillory refer to Trump as a child rapist.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 06:37 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Tim Kaine - it's official rolleyes
The only positive I see is that Kaine speaks Spanish. Hmm
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 07:42 AM
It was always going to be Kaine, and it is a solid pick for a lot of very good reasons. Kaine has been a progressive for his entire career - from pursuing redline cases in lending to Mayor of Richmond to Governor to Senator. Yes, he supported TPP and yes he sought deregulation of local banks, but he has a 100% pro-choice record and an "F"from the NRA. He's been a minorities advocate his entire career.

Kaine contrasts well against Pence and will be billed as ready to take over as President. He is relatively young (58) and will not scare off middle-of-the-road voters. He is steady, thoughtful, personable and smart. Sanders and Warren are on board and the Convention will be a good one. Expect big roles for Booker, Warren, and Sanders to stir up the progressive wing of the party. Who would have been a better pick?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 08:04 AM
Two other things Kaine provides: Virginia Democratic governor picks his replacement, meaning they'll be the incumbent for the next election and the Dems keep the sear in the Senate. Second, his ethics are above reproach, balancing out some of her trustworthiness issues. And, of course, he does speak Spanish fluently, a skill he learned as a missionary (religious voters...). And, finally, he makes Virginia evenl harder for Trump/Republicans.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 11:00 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Kaine has been a progressive for his entire career - from pursuing redline cases in lending to Mayor of Richmond to Governor to Senator.

Never was a progressive. Is not a progressive.
Please read my previous post.

Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Yes, he supported TPP and yes he sought deregulation of local banks,...
Wow - so progressive.

Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
but he has a 100% pro-choice record

Seriously????

Originally Posted by Wikipedia
Kaine, a Roman Catholic, is personally against abortion,but is "largely inclined to keep the law out of women's reproductive decisions."
...
Kaine supports some legal restrictions on abortion, such as requiring parental consent for minors (with a judicial bypass procedure) and banning late-term abortions in cases where the woman's life is not at risk.
Kaine previously criticized the Obama administration for "not providing a 'broad enough religious employer exemption'" in the contraceptive mandate of the Affordable Care Act, but praised a 2012 amendment to the regulations that allowed insurers to provide birth control to employees when an employer was an objecting religious organization.
In 2005, when running for governor, Kaine said he favored reducing abortions by: (1) "Enforcing the current Virginia restrictions on abortion and passing an enforceable ban on partial birth abortion that protects the life and health of the mother"; (2) "Fighting teen pregnancy through abstinence-focused education"; (3) "Ensuring women's access to health care (including legal contraception) and economic opportunity"; and (4) "Promoting adoption as an alternative for women facing unwanted pregnancies."
Kaine believes that both abstinence and contraceptives must be taught, and that education should be evidence-based.
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Who would have been a better pick?
Sherrod Brown? Perez? Warren?

I fear that HRC shows her true colors once again.
I expected this type of thinking, i.e., that she can get moderate Republican votes with this pick.
I believe this is dangerous, can backfire and may make her chances a lot less likely than they would have been had she taken a more progressive position. But, the leopard never changes its spots.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 11:12 AM
Meanwhile, in the merry old land of DNC:


DNC Staffers Mocked the Bernie Sanders Campaign, Leaked Emails Show

Quote
A NEW TROVE of internal Democratic National Committee emails, stretching back to April 2016, released by Wikileaks show that the organization’s senior staff chafed at Bernie Sanders’s continued presence in the presidential primary. Staffers were also irritated by criticism that they were biased towards Hillary Clinton.


The Intercept
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 11:19 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
...
Second, his ethics are above reproach, balancing out some of her trustworthiness issues.

Quote
As a politician, Mr. Kaine has been scandal-free. But under Virginia’s liberal ethics laws at the time, he accepted more than $120,000 worth of gifts, including some from companies with business before the state, while he was lieutenant governor and governor.

NY Times

And of course, the Repubs will shout and rant and rave.
I'm waiting to see how the numbers react, but I have a bad feeling.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 03:27 PM
Prescient, no?

Originally Posted by Bob Dylan
A question in your nerves is lit
Yet you know there is no answer fit
To satisfy, insure you not to quit
To keep it in your mind and not forget
That it is not he or she or them or it
That you belong to

Although the masters make the rules
For the wise men and the fools
I got nothing, Ma, to live up to

For them that must obey authority
That they do not respect in any degree
Who despise their jobs, their destinies
Speak jealously of them that are free
Cultivate their flowers to be
Nothing more than something they invest in

While some on principles baptized
To strict party platform ties
Social clubs in drag disguise
Outsiders they can freely criticize
Tell nothing except who to idolize
And then say God bless him

While one who sings with his tongue on fire
Gargles in the rat race choir
Bent out of shape from society’s pliers
Cares not to come up any higher
But rather get you down in the hole
That he’s in

But I mean no harm nor put fault
On anyone that lives in a vault
But it’s alright, Ma, if I can’t please him

It's Alright Ma - Bob Dylan
Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 03:33 PM
I knew she wouldn't pick Elizabeth Warren or Bernie Sanders, since she probably thinks she has that wing covered. Plus, I think she's still a little mad at Bernie.

So I was hoping for Julian Castro. He speaks Spanish, too. But she picked someone like herself, but with a better reputation.

Oh, and why does Hillary have such a bad reputation? Because the GOP has been flinging mud at her since 1992, when Bill Clinton was elected and put her in charge of health care. Twenty four years of mud slinging and nothing has stuck. But it doesn't matter that she has been proven clean over and over, the accusations still hang in the air.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 03:52 PM
Originally Posted by Spag-hetti
I knew she wouldn't pick Elizabeth Warren or Bernie Sanders, since she probably thinks she has that wing covered. Plus, I think she's still a little mad at Bernie.
...

If anyone has the right to be mad it is Bernie - especially with the release of these emails from the DNC. But of course, we knew that and now we can prove it.
She DOESN'T have the left covered, and this pick may make it worse. She is losing support from the progressives - not surprising - and I have little belief that she will pick up much support from moderate Republicans who seem to want to sit this whole mess out.
Castro may have been a little better. But now it's just wait and see.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 06:38 PM
Hillary will never pick up support from the ultra-left wing of the party that thought Bernie was too moderate, but they're not really Democrats, anyway. She will get support from the majority of Bernie supporters, at least those with a pragmatic bone in their bodies. She's making a play for the majority of voters and Kaine is a good pick for that because he offers stability. That is an excellent counterweight to Trumppence's gloom and doom.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 06:39 PM
I favored Castro myself, but she was probably right: Bernie supports this, so it will lose fewer Progressives than it gains Independent votes. She has said she wants somebody who is ready to step into the Oval Office on day one if anything happens to take her out. So she picked a moderate.

Progressives were probably almost all going to vote for her just because of Trump. The real gain a VP can get her is in the Independents, which is now huge. If she can do that, she doesn't need a single moderate Republican vote.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 06:44 PM
As the campaign moves forward, Sanders, Warren, Booker, etc. Will be powerful advocates for progressive support, moderates of both major parties will swing her way, and the DNC will be seen as a major turning point towards her eventual landslide. Having said that, it is important for true progressives to join in that fight because you know the right is going to pull out all the stops. There is a real threat from Trump. He's watching Erdogan and getting pointers.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 07:18 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Hillary will never pick up support from the ultra-left wing of the party that thought Bernie was too moderate, but they're not really Democrats, anyway. She will get support from the majority of Bernie supporters, at least those with a pragmatic bone in their bodies. She's making a play for the majority of voters and Kaine is a good pick for that because he offers stability. That is an excellent counterweight to Trumppence's gloom and doom.

Ultra left wing????? LOL You must be kidding. There is no such thing in the Democratic party. The same party that was thinking up ways to sabotage Sanders. The same party that has done little in the past 20 years to advance a social and economic policy that favors the working people of this country. The only reason progressives vote democrat is because there is no other choice. An unfortunate state of affairs that one can only hope will change in the remaining years of my lifetime.

She's moving in the wrong direction. I said it before and I'll say it again: that is a perilous play.
Kaine adds nothing to the ticket. Just another party hack. A series of wishy-washy positions on most major issues.
The only thing this ticket has going for it is that they are running against a proto-primate and a neanderthal. And one can only hope that that will be enough to bring them across the finish line.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/23/16 07:47 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Progressives were probably almost all going to vote for her just because of Trump. The real gain a VP can get her is in the Independents, which is now huge. If she can do that, she doesn't need a single moderate Republican vote.

You forget, dear boy, that the among the "independents" are many moderate Republicans.
And if she had taken a more positive step in the direction of a progressive agenda she would have attracted a much more robust and growing base.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/24/16 12:09 AM
And those "Moderate Republican" Independents would be turned off by more progressive VP pick. For some unknown reason you seem to think they would "see the light" and all go for a progressive. This is simply NOT true. You would be happier, but they would not be.

She doesn't need to make you happy now. She needs to appeal to every Independent centerist and Republican who can't stand Trump. I agree that this will be well to the right of my preferred positions and candidate picks, but she actually has to win before she can do anything.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/24/16 12:16 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
And those "Moderate Republican" Independents would be turned off by more progressive VP pick. For some unknown reason you seem to think they would "see the light" and all go for a progressive. This is simply NOT true. You would be happier, but they would not be.

She doesn't need to make you happy now. She needs to appeal to every Independent centerist and Republican who can't stand Trump. I agree that this will be well to the right of my preferred positions and candidate picks, but she actually has to win before she can do anything.

What I SAID: she shouldn't bother courting the so-called moderate Republicans. She should rather concentrate on the more progressive wing.
And yes she does have to win, but this seems to be a bad way of going around it.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/24/16 02:15 AM
CK
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/24/16 02:31 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer

ROTFMOL literally LMAO
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/24/16 08:22 AM
Okay, conspiracy theory time...

Last month it was revealed that Russian hackers got into the DNC mail system. DNC hack: What you need to know. Suddenly two days before the DNC, Wikileaks drops thousands of hacked DNC emails. Who benefits from this? Why would Putin's government want to release this information now? Oh yeah... Trump & Putin. Yes, It's Really a Thing.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/24/16 10:05 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Okay, conspiracy theory time...

Last month it was revealed that Russian jackets got into the DNC mail system. DNC hack: What you need to know. Suddenly two days before the DNC, Wikileaks drops thousands of jacked DNC emails. Who benefits from this? Why would Putin's government want to release this information now? Oh yeah... Trump & Putin. Yes, It's Really a Thing.

That's even funnier than your previous post. ROTFMOL
Truth is a conspiracy. Oh well, if you live long enough you'll see everything.
Why is it that when truth is exposed, someones will always try to blame some imaginary enemy instead of actually turning their attention to what has been exposed?
Let's just bring back the cold war while we're at it. rolleyes
Oh wait, they've already done that.

Quote
However, there is one facet of national security — arguably the most important one — where President Obama is turning out to be a real hardliner. That area is nuclear weapons. Obama has backed investment in new nuclear delivery systems, upgraded warheads, resilient command networks, and industrial sites for fabricating nuclear hardware that, when added to the expense of maintaining the existing arsenal, will cost $348 billion between 2015 and 2024. At least, that’s what the Congressional Budget Office estimated earlier this year. If the Obama plan continues to be funded by his successors, it will be the biggest U.S. buildup of nuclear arms since Ronald Reagan left the White House.

Forbes

Puuuullllleeeeessssseeee.!!!!! LOL

From those who REALLY know what happened.

Quote
[UPDATE at 5:10 p.m. ET: In a private message, the hacker “Guccifer 2.0” confirmed he provided the email trove to Wikileaks, saying “Yeah man, as I promised.”]


The Intercept

But the clowns don't give up.

Quote
CrowdStrike said the hacker and their claims are actually an elaborate coverup by the sneaky Russians. Having interviewed Guccifer 2.0, Vice decided the Russian coverup narrative was the truthiest of the truths. The reasons put forth included that CrowdStrike and WaPo said it was Russia, the hacker's pseudonym is new, incorrect use of an emoticon, an instance of the username "Iron Felix" in the leaked docs, and they at some point used a cracked version of Office 2007. They also said it was because Russia obviously wants Trump to win.

The security firm would not confirm to press whether the file was indeed original stolen material. But it did call on friends, Mandiant/FireEye and Fidelis Cybersecurity, to back it up in another Washington Post piece. A third company, ThreatConnect, hopped on the train, saying it found evidence of a phishing technique (a misspelled domain name) in its analysis. CrowdStrike said that this very common thing that countless phishers do is exactly what one of those Bears does all the time.

engadget

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/24/16 03:20 PM
Election Update: Is Trump Getting A Convention Bump? FiveThirtyEight

Now is when I start paying attention to polls (well, actually, August), and FiveThirtyEight does it better than anyone. Unfortunately, this year's polls, so far, have been pretty bad, owing primarily to the rapid change in technology, but I think exacerbated by the weird year (and the high negatives of both candidates). There is always a good deal of "noise" in the polling, but not nearly the wide swings so many are taking, indicating the data is unreliable and the"margin of error" optimistic.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/24/16 03:39 PM
unreliable & MoE optimism .... sounds like the key buzzwords

coin toss within the MoE sans any optimism
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/24/16 04:00 PM
Originally Posted by rporter314
unreliable & MoE optimism .... sounds like the key buzzwords

coin toss within the MoE sans any optimism

One more time, with verve!

Coin toss = 1/2 probability. (Vide J.H.S Maths)

Hillary 58.3% chance of winning
Trump 41.7% chance of winning
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/24/16 04:10 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
One more time, with verve!
Ok... Hmm

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/24/16 05:01 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
One more time, with verve!
Ok... Hmm


ThumbsUp
LOL good one!
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/24/16 05:17 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
ThumbsUp
LOL good one!
Former DJ... cool
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/24/16 08:35 PM
Quote
Unfortunately, this year's polls, so far, have been pretty bad, owing primarily to the rapid change in technology

I think polling has reached a singularity: People with any brains either don't have land lines or they let their answering machine take the call. So the old polling methodology is obsolete. (I hardly ever answer my landline, because 3/4 of the calls are people or machines I don't want to talk to.) Telephone scams have ruined telephone polling. It's only useful to discover how rather stupid elderly people will vote.

Maybe they can come up with some sort of secure email polling to replace it. Kind of like all the brokerage houses use to obtain shareholder votes.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 01:42 AM
This is an interesting article that looks into why so many people despise Hillary:

Why Do People Hate Hillary Clinton So Much

Quote
Marianne Cooper, a sociologist at Stanford’s Clayman Institute for Gender Research and the lead researcher on Sheryl Sandberg’s Lean In, says that women who are successful in areas that are culturally coded as male are typically seen as “abrasive, conniving, not trustworthy, and selfish.”

What’s happening to Clinton, says Cooper, “happens to a lot of women. There are millions of people who will say about another woman: She’s really good at her job, I just don’t like her. They think they’re making an objective evaluation, but when we look at the broader analysis, there is a pattern to the bias.”
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 02:01 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by rporter314
unreliable & MoE optimism .... sounds like the key buzzwords

coin toss within the MoE sans any optimism

One more time, with verve!

Coin toss = 1/2 probability. (Vide J.H.S Maths)

Hillary 58.3% chance of winning
Trump 41.7% chance of winning
Watch this space.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 02:02 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
This is an interesting article that looks into why so many people despise Hillary:

Why Do People Hate Hillary Clinton So Much

Quote
Marianne Cooper, a sociologist at Stanford’s Clayman Institute for Gender Research and the lead researcher on Sheryl Sandberg’s Lean In, says that women who are successful in areas that are culturally coded as male are typically seen as “abrasive, conniving, not trustworthy, and selfish.”

What’s happening to Clinton, says Cooper, “happens to a lot of women. There are millions of people who will say about another woman: She’s really good at her job, I just don’t like her. They think they’re making an objective evaluation, but when we look at the broader analysis, there is a pattern to the bias.”

Here we go again. Women don't need this happy horsehyte to demand and receive respect. I have known plenty of women who were true leaders , who commanded respect from men and women alike , and didn't need any excuse for it. They were respected because anyone could see they deserved respect. These are things one earns, and as such, do not need some condescending nonsense in order to be attained.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 02:06 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by rporter314
unreliable & MoE optimism .... sounds like the key buzzwords

coin toss within the MoE sans any optimism

One more time, with verve!

Coin toss = 1/2 probability. (Vide J.H.S Maths)

Hillary 58.3% chance of winning
Trump 41.7% chance of winning
Watch this space.

I am hoping this differential will increase in months to come. It was once 70/26. The Kaine appointment didn't help and the Republican convention may have caused a bump for Trump.
Now the Democratic convention may have a similar effect.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 02:12 AM
I'm not the only one who has noticed this. I've asked a lot of Hillary haters why. A VERY few have a substantial reason based on something she actually did. (And Zeke, you are one of these few.)

From one of the posts to the above article:
Quote
I've personally noticed that the more frothing at the mouth someone is about Hillary Clinton, the less likely they are to cite a real reason based in reality for why. There's something visceral, emotional, and personal that people don't like about her that stokes that level of hatred.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 02:35 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
I'm not the only one who has noticed this. I've asked a lot of Hillary haters why. A VERY few have a substantial reason based on something she actually did. (And Zeke, you are one of these few.)

From one of the posts to the above article:
Quote
I've personally noticed that the more frothing at the mouth someone is about Hillary Clinton, the less likely they are to cite a real reason based in reality for why. There's something visceral, emotional, and personal that people don't like about her that stokes that level of hatred.

I can see why. There can be a dose of misogyny, but I think even among women who dislike Hillary, it is something that she exudes, it has that sales aspect to it, a sort of slickness that raises peoples hackles with respect to her true intentions. There is a natural distrust of any salesperson - you immediately feel they are trying to sell you something that is in their interest and not yours.

I also think most people become too personally involved in the election process. You know, the old, oh yeah, someone I'd like to have a beer with (as if that were a reason to vote for someone).
Obama - in spite of being African American - exuded trust and earnestness. She did/does not. Hence, he won the nomination even though she was the "favorite" at the start.

Bernie's ascension in the primaries was due to the same sensation.
You also note that Elizabeth Warren does not have that same level of rejection - so it's not [only] the fact that she is a woman.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 02:52 AM
Quote
There is a natural distrust of any salesperson - you immediately feel they are trying to sell you something that is in their interest and not yours.
So where is the natural distrust of Trump? Republican voters are eating up his sales pitch.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 02:59 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
There is a natural distrust of any salesperson - you immediately feel they are trying to sell you something that is in their interest and not yours.
So where is the natural distrust of Trump? Republican voters are eating up his sales pitch.

Have you been sleeping? He has higher negatives than Clinton.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 04:16 AM
Apparently it is just on TV that Clinton has this problem. People who have disliked her and then met her usually come away with a totally different impression. Maybe she just isn't photogenic!

I would suggest she mostly use radio and inspirational still images on the internet.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 10:41 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Apparently it is just on TV that Clinton has this problem. People who have disliked her and then met her usually come away with a totally different impression. Maybe she just isn't photogenic!

I would suggest she mostly use radio and inspirational still images on the internet.

How many voters have actually met her? ROTFMOL
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 04:26 PM
Quote
Have you been sleeping? He has higher negatives than Clinton.
His negatives are decreasing. Clinton's are rising.
His poll numbers are rising. Independents are swinging to him and away from Clinton.
He just got an eight point convention bump from the worst convention in history. Can Clinton counter that? I doubt it. We're going into the home stretch with Donald in the lead and progressives continue to pound out the message that Clinton is awful.

Your grudging vote for Clinton will do no good when you've convinced dozens to vote against her with constant anti Clinton rhetoric. You're going to see the system you despise finally change. But not the way you want it to.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 04:47 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
We're going into the home stretch with Donald in the lead...
Hardly a 'home stretch.' crazy It's only the 3rd week of July - not the 3rd week of October. smile

Donald Trump will not be President. Chillax, bro. Hmm
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 04:56 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
Have you been sleeping? He has higher negatives than Clinton.
His negatives are decreasing. Clinton's are rising.
His poll numbers are rising. Independents are swinging to him and away from Clinton.
He just got an eight point convention bump from the worst convention in history. Can Clinton counter that? I doubt it. We're going into the home stretch with Donald in the lead and progressives continue to pound out the message that Clinton is awful.

Your grudging vote for Clinton will do no good when you've convinced dozens to vote against her with constant anti Clinton rhetoric. You're going to see the system you despise finally change. But not the way you want it to.

LOL I see - it's my fault if she loses. You must be nuts!
G-man wake the f&ck up. She's doing it to herself.
Oh, and BTW, the only place I speak my mind about her is here, so I doubt my opinions will convince anyone not to vote for her.
But you seem to think I should make believe she isn't who she is. There is nothing anyone can do about that but the lady herself. Convention bumps are the norm. Wait till after the Democratic convention and we'll see. Her lead is shrinking because there has been a series of bad events - they'll blow over. They always do. But after listening to Kaine speak at the rally you have to wonder what she was thinking.
Her advantage remains inasmuch as Trump is Trump and that will become ever more obvious with time.
But don't blame me. She's the one who has to convince the population that she is the right person for the job.
With all the bad shyte that has come out about Trump she should be doing better. That's got nothing to do with people who are voting for her, yet criticizing her. It's how they're running the campaign.
FYI - her unfavorable rating is growing but stil less than Trump,
Clinton = 55.3%
Trump = 56.6%
The trend is better for Trump (he is decreasing and she is increasing).
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 05:08 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
LOL I see - it's my fault if she loses.
Don't flatter yourself Zeke, Greger wrote that it was my fault. blush

Obviously Greger is freaking-out and needs some Xanax® - is there a doctor in the house? coffee
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 05:18 PM
Clinton = 55.3%
Trump = 56.6%

Less than the margin of error and I expect Clinton will soon overtake him.
No I don't blame you personally, Zeke, although just because you only attack Clinton here doesn't mean much, this isn't a private space, I see at the moment we have 53 guests all nodding their heads in agreement with you that Clinton does not deserve their vote or trust.
Better to sit it out and let the Democratic fools elect her without their help.
No it's not just you, there is a nationwide movement against Clinton and it's working out perfectly for Republicans. They will toe the party line and vote for their candidate whether they like him or not. Democrats not so much.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 05:32 PM
No I'm not freaking out, Rick, I'm just sitting on my porch and watching which way the political wind is blowing right now. And it is the home stretch. Only three months to go and I see excitement on the Republican side and apathy on the left. Voters are mostly decided, independents are swinging to the right, Trump is in the lead. Johnson is statistically tied with Clinton and Trump in Utah, Stein is up from 2% to 10%.
The anti Clinton movement is winning on both sides of the aisle.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 05:36 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
And it is the home stretch
No. It's only the convention season. We have a long way to go. smile
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 05:40 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Clinton = 55.3%
Trump = 56.6%

Less than the margin of error and I expect Clinton will soon overtake him.
No I don't blame you personally, Zeke, although just because you only attack Clinton here doesn't mean much, this isn't a private space, I see at the moment we have 53 guests all nodding their heads in agreement with you that Clinton does not deserve their vote or trust.
Better to sit it out and let the Democratic fools elect her without their help.
No it's not just you, there is a nationwide movement against Clinton and it's working out perfectly for Republicans. They will toe the party line and vote for their candidate whether they like him or not. Democrats not so much.

Her numbers need to get better and they probably will. Like I said: Trump is Trump and there is plenty to capitalize on that.
I think you're getting ahead of yourself, G-man. Wait until:
1) After the convention;
2) After the 1st debate;
3) After the media begins to pour out the rot in his past.
But, as I said, she has to help. And that means being more aggressive with respect to her ideas.
Trump has nothing, nada, zilch. No program. He has populist rhetoric.
She needs to address the same issues but with pragmatism and concrete plans on how to accomplish these ideas. That will go far with independents.
As far as her image goes, she needs to be humanized. But for that she has to let people humanize her. This is something that I'm sure she's heard before, but if she doesn't want to go down in flames she'd better get with the program; it is likely more important than any other aspect of her campaign.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 06:23 PM
Hillary Clinton is who she is and she is quite human. Both sides of the aisle have gone to great lengths to de-humanize her and have succeeded.
1) after the convention.
We'll know about that in a week. Just for the record I'm going to predict a 6 point bump. Trump got 8. The Never Trump movement was shut down on day one. Cruz effectively ended his career. It was the most lackluster convention EVER.
The DNC email leaks are going to hover over the Democratic Convention like some foul effluvium that just wont go away. It tarnishes Hillary even further and tells many that she shouldn't be the one accepting the nomination. SANDERS SANDERS SANDERS!

2)After the first debate.
She'll win, of course. But it will make no difference. She represents the status quo. Trump will make America Great Again.
Because of the Never Hillary movement, everything she says will be a lie. Remember, she can't be trusted. He tells it like it is.

3)After the media begins to pour out the rot in his past.
Please! That's been going on since day one of his candidacy and it hasn't worked. If anything it makes him more popular.


Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 06:50 PM
Apparently a large faction of the electorate doesn't agree with you. Image is the main driver behind her unfavorable ratings. No me saying that. It is all over the media.

You are reading way too much into the numbers. Historically, at 109 days to election, the polls are off, on average, by 7.5%. NY Times, not me grin

NY Times

As far as the dirt on him: it hasn't even started yet. Suffice it to say that it wasn't only the DNC that was hacked.

She will win. That is a good bet. What will happen after that?
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 07:30 PM
Quote
Donald Trump will not be President
I hope you are right but I am pessimistic like Greger. It’s early and things will change many say. Again I hope they are correct. The prospect of a Trump presidency is really too much for me to comprehend.

Yet both Trump and Sanders have a similar message in some areas. Both say they will bring back the former middle class to its former glory. But i wonder how that would be possible? Globalization is not going away and it’s unlikely free trade agreements will be rescinded. If they were to be it would mean international contracts are not worth the paper they are written upon-- so they mean nothing. Yet I agree that they have hurt the former US middle class and to a large extent they have been left behind as a result of them. The rest of the globe has prospered at the US workers expense.

The federal government was remiss to just let those people hang out to dry but I am not sure what they could have done for them aside from transfer payments or “education”. But were/are those people capable of becoming high tech workers in a high tech economy? Did/do they have the skills, education, and savvy to do so?

It is said manufacturing is returning to the US and it is. Yet those new manufacturing facilities employ a fraction of the workers they used to. Most of those former jobs have been replaced by robots and technology and that will just continue to increase exponentially. i really have no clue as to how to reestablish the former US middle class aside from a massive new transfer payment program.

Does anyone really have an honest and workable answer to any of this? I certainly don’t have a clue.

Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 08:05 PM
See, this is something that really bothers me about Sanders "Socialism": He's talking about taking the Middle Class from slightly poorer to slightly richer. What about the poor? What about the people who are too sick to work, either physically or mentally?

Sure, he talks about redistribution of wealth so the rich are not so rich. But how about a minimum income for the poor? Or does he really plan on that but doesn't want to mention it because it infuriates so many middle class or working poor people?

Also he is a "Socialist" who only cares about US residents. Those trade deals have really helped people in India, China, etc. Don't those people matter? Look at this graph of increase in income for different income levels:

Income levels

This shows that people in the 77th to 87th percentile of income have not had a raise between 1988 and 2008, but look at the folks in the 10th to 65th percentile: They have more than 40% raises, and that's a LOT of people. Sure the really rich made more, but their incomes did not rise as much as the bulk of the lower waged.

Those gains are the result of increased world trade, and that increased world trade is the result of trade deals lowering tariffs. And those trade deals are Bill Clinton's legacy. So I guess Bill Clinton caring about all the world's people is not selfish enough?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/25/16 08:31 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
See, this is something that really bothers me about Sanders "Socialism": He's talking about taking the Middle Class from slightly poorer to slightly richer. What about the poor? What about the people who are too sick to work, either physically or mentally?

Sure, he talks about redistribution of wealth so the rich are not so rich. But how about a minimum income for the poor? Or does he really plan on that but doesn't want to mention it because it infuriates so many middle class or working poor people?

Also he is a "Socialist" who only cares about US residents. Those trade deals have really helped people in India, China, etc. Don't those people matter? Look at this graph of increase in income for different income levels:

Income levels

This shows that people in the 77th to 87th percentile of income have not had a raise between 1988 and 2008, but look at the folks in the 10th to 65th percentile: They have more than 40% raises, and that's a LOT of people. Sure the really rich made more, but their incomes did not rise as much as the bulk of the lower waged.

Those gains are the result of increased world trade, and that increased world trade is the result of trade deals lowering tariffs. And those trade deals are Bill Clinton's legacy. So I guess Bill Clinton caring about all the world's people is not selfish enough?

First: Sanders is concerned with all Americans because he was running for president of this country, not the world.
Second: Why do you draw a connection between a global lessening of the the poverty level and trade deals? Much of that improvement comes from those countries internal economic policies - such as those implemented in Brazil from 2003 - 2010. Brazil is not part of the trade deal that Clinton tried to foist on South America in the 90s.
Your premise requires proof of the connection between trade deals and improvement of poverty levels.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/26/16 03:57 AM
Quote
Much of that improvement comes from those countries internal economic policies

You really don't think that trade deals with China did not help Chinese workers? I thought that was what people are complaining about: Exporting jobs to the developing world. I would think that if you export a job to China, somebody in China gets a job. Forgive my naivete.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/26/16 07:39 AM
Trump did NOT get an 8-point bump. The only poll that had that was inaccurate because it compared June to July. Trump got 3-4 which is low-average.
Quote
The now-cast also suggests that Trump has gained a net of about 4 percentage points on Clinton in national polls from a week ago, turning a deficit of about 3 points into a 1-point lead. If so, Trump would turn out to have a fairly typical convention bounce. Over the past few cycles, convention bounces have been 3 to 4 percentage points, on average. As is also typical of convention bounces, Trump appears to have gained in the polls (taking votes from undecided and third-party candidates) more than Clinton has declined.
FiveThirtyEight

It is also important to take into consideration the built-in bias of the polls. FiveThirtyEight does a good job of that. In addition, be mindful that it is to need media advantage to report poll changes to drive views/clicks.

Similarly, the favourable/unfavorable numbers haven't really changed. I don't know where you got that info. Trump is underwater by about 22.5%, Clinton by 17 (RCP), but even that is questionable given timeframes of surveys.

I expect Clinton bounce to be 6% or so. Dems have a more positive message, better speakers, more unity, and DNC follows RNC.(One should also not discount location. Philly has historical significance.) As I said before, I think this is Trump's apex and Clinton will gain a point a month August- November. Don't panic, but do vote.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/26/16 08:03 AM
bounce
Quote
On average, candidates get about a 5-point bounce, according to Gallup data going back to 1964. That includes candidates like George McGovern (1972), John Kerry (2004) and Mitt Romney (2012) — each of whom received no discernible bounce during their conventions. But it also includes Jimmy Carter (1980) and Bill Clinton (1992) — who both got double-digit bounces. (Gallup is the most comprehensive source of historical polling data for presidential elections, despite the organization’s decision to forgo horse-race polling thiis year.
Politico.

The trend, BTW, is smaller convention bounces.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/26/16 09:35 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
Much of that improvement comes from those countries internal economic policies

You really don't think that trade deals with China did not help Chinese workers? I thought that was what people are complaining about: Exporting jobs to the developing world. I would think that if you export a job to China, somebody in China gets a job. Forgive my naivete.
Forgiven. You assume that paying slave wages improves the poverty level? There are dozens of examples where the mere existence of jobs, exported or not, do nothing to improve the station of those workers. In fact, exporting jobs generally goes hand in hand with low wages as a way of cost reduction to the international capitalists.
Usually said improvement comes about as the result of a more equitable internal policy of the distribution of wealth. Or better internal social programs that protect the citizens.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/26/16 09:47 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Trump did NOT get an 8-point bump. The only poll that had that was inaccurate because it compared June to July. Trump got 3-4 which is low-average.
Quote
The now-cast also suggests that Trump has gained a net of about 4 percentage points on Clinton in national polls from a week ago, turning a deficit of about 3 points into a 1-point lead. If so, Trump would turn out to have a fairly typical convention bounce. Over the past few cycles, convention bounces have been 3 to 4 percentage points, on average. As is also typical of convention bounces, Trump appears to have gained in the polls (taking votes from undecided and third-party candidates) more than Clinton has declined.
FiveThirtyEight

It is also important to take into consideration the built-in bias of the polls. FiveThirtyEight does a good job of that. In addition, be mindful that it is to need media advantage to report poll changes to drive views/clicks.

Similarly, the favourable/unfavorable numbers haven't really changed. I don't know where you got that info. Trump is underwater by about 22.5%, Clinton by 17 (RCP), but even that is questionable given timeframes of surveys.

I expect Clinton bounce to be 6% or so. Dems have a more positive message, better speakers, more unity, and DNC follows RNC.(One should also not discount location. Philly has historical significance.) As I said before, I think this is Trump's apex and Clinton will gain a point a month August- November. Don't panic, but do vote.

I agree that there is a good chance Clinton's numbers will improve. But RCP unfavorability numbers for both candidates are:

[Linked Image from s32.postimg.org]

[Linked Image from s32.postimg.org]

His trend is improving more than hers although her current number - July 25 - is better than his.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/26/16 09:58 AM
But again I think this is a reasonable assessment:
Quote
I expect Clinton bounce to be 6% or so. Dems have a more positive message, better speakers, more unity, and DNC follows RNC.(One should also not discount location. Philly has historical significance.) As I said before, I think this is Trump's apex and Clinton will gain a point a month August- November. Don't panic, but do vote.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/26/16 03:56 PM
Dixie Chicks still not ready to make nice.
Quote
The Dixie Chicks still aren’t ready make to make nice, and they aren’t ready to back down. Especially when it comes to Donald Trump.

Kicking off the band’s North American tour in Cincinnati on Wednesday night, Natalie Maines, Martie Maguire and Emily Robison stuck it to the Republican presidential hopeful by unfurling a giant photo of him defaced with a devilish mustache, goatee and horns.
[Linked Image from img.huffingtonpost.com] I can imagine them appearing onstage playing "I hope" to Clinton's "they're watching us" ad.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/26/16 04:24 PM
ThumbsUp ROTFMOL
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/26/16 05:59 PM
Poll: No Post-Convention Bounce for Donald Trump. See, all over the place.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/26/16 07:33 PM
So Donald is climbing in the polls even without a convention bump...
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/26/16 07:36 PM
This is my take on the Never Hillary morons:

[Linked Image from scontent-lax3-1.xx.fbcdn.net]
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/26/16 08:12 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
So Donald is climbing in the polls even without a convention bump...
Again, it all depends on which poll you are using.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/26/16 10:05 PM
Quote
Again, it all depends on which poll you are using.
And I have wondered about that on this board before. Do any polls call cell phones aside from landlines? In years past I have answered polls conducted thru our landline but now we don’t have one. Just a cell.

I have never had a poll--or survey for that matter- call my cellphone. Do some? And if not, they are bound to get very skewed results in their polling data as few of them young types have landlines anymore..
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/26/16 10:12 PM
I answered my own question. How would the world function without googling these days?

Quote
All major survey organizations that conduct telephone surveys include cellphones in their samples. They have to, because the kinds of people who rely only on a cellphone are different from those reachable on a landline, even though being cellphone-only is becoming more mainstream.

Linque

Still-if I see an unknown number on my caller ID I likely won’t answer that call. I am sure I am not alone in that response.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/26/16 10:36 PM
Rethuglicons dismiss Melania's flagrant plagiarizing of Michelle Obama's 2008 DNC speech...becuase it was actually Michelle who stole the Rethuglicon message in 2008, according to them.

The mental gymnastics that Rethuglicons do to contort and to assuage their own ignorance and stupidity in lieu of being honest about reality is something else:




Also see how Rethuglicons reimagine the three-fifths clause of The Constitution. It's quite disgusting and sickening. mad

Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 12:10 AM
Quote
Rick said:
The mental gymnastics that Rethuglicons do to contort and to assuage their own ignorance and stupidity in lieu of being honest about reality is something else:

Mm-hmmm. Those broadcasting degrees have to teach something. Apparently that thing is the pivot, which even Sarah Palin was able to master.

Here's what you do. You don't return the opponent's serve, like in tennis; you throw a bowling ball down the lane next to your opponent. You talk about the topic, in a parallel universe. Question be damned.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 12:24 AM
Originally Posted by Spag-hetti
Quote
Rick said:
The mental gymnastics that Rethuglicons do to contort and to assuage their own ignorance and stupidity in lieu of being honest about reality is something else:

Mm-hmmm. Those broadcasting degrees have to teach something. Apparently that thing is the pivot, which even Sarah Palin was able to master.

Here's what you do. You don't return the opponent's serve, like in tennis; you throw a bowling ball down the lane next to your opponent. You talk about the topic, in a parallel universe. Question be damned.
idea So all a conservative has to do is answer a non-sequitur and be satisfied that they "owned" their opponent. smile
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 12:47 AM
We normal rational people then think they must be insane, but their base thinks they did great!
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 01:35 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Spag-hetti
Quote
Rick said:
The mental gymnastics that Rethuglicons do to contort and to assuage their own ignorance and stupidity in lieu of being honest about reality is something else:

Mm-hmmm. Those broadcasting degrees have to teach something. Apparently that thing is the pivot, which even Sarah Palin was able to master.

Here's what you do. You don't return the opponent's serve, like in tennis; you throw a bowling ball down the lane next to your opponent. You talk about the topic, in a parallel universe. Question be damned.
idea So all a conservative has to do is answer a non-sequitur and be satisfied that they "owned" their opponent. smile

It's called obfuscation and/or dissimulation. It happens in both parties. It's a tactic common to those who do not have the strength of their arguments to fall back on.
The Republithugs are just VERY bad at it.
Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 04:23 PM
Quote
Zeke said:
It's called obfuscation and/or dissimulation. It happens in both parties. It's a tactic common to those who do not have the strength of their arguments to fall back on.
The Republithugs are just VERY bad at it.

Yeah, Kind of like during the debates when Trump was trying to establish his international affairs bona fides, and he said of Putin, "I got to know him very well because we were both on '60 Minutes,' we were stablemates, and we did very well that night."

We were all supposed to think that they had a real soul-baring conversation. When pressed about it later, he pointed out that he did not SAY that they had met. No, he just implied it until cornered.

He walked it back pretty hard in a recent interview, saying, "... I have nothing to do with Russia, nothing to do, I never met Putin, I have nothing to do with Russia whatsoever."

And Zeke is right, Trump isn't even good at it. But his fanatics don't care WHAT he says, he remains their savior, just because.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 04:52 PM
Was The Democratic Primary A Close Call Or A Landslide? FiveThirtyEight
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 07:02 PM
It is hard, when you care about the outcome, to not watch polls. As a political scientist, moreover, they are like snacks to me. But my brain and my heart are not in alignment. That causes some dissonance.

I expect that, as happens nearly every election, the candidates will be very close at convention time, and so it is. I recognize that even in a good polling year (and this isn't one) most headlines focus on "noise" - trumpeting variations in results with words like "surge", "eclipse", "fading" - when such variations are better explained by the margin of error. A 3-5% difference is, truly, meaningless.

My nerves, however, jangle when the "race" is "close". A Democratic/progressive tide is so important and a Trump victory, even a close one, would be so devastating. Trump represents everything I detest in politics, and in cultural terms. I don't want him defeated, I want him to be obliterated in historic terms. I want decency and community to prevail. I want him and his ilk to be humiliated and relegated to the dustbin from whence they sprang.

My heart feels we are on the precipice, about to take a leap to a new level of inclusiveness, rationality and tolerance - with immigration reform, tax fairness, and economic equality - but my head recognizes the obstacles in the way - the GOP, entropy, lobbyists, and inertia. It's maddening.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 07:19 PM

Trump Snaps at Female Journalist: ‘Be Quiet,’ ‘I Know You Want to Save’ Hillary



Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 07:20 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
...Trump represents everything I detest in politics...
Trump represents everything that I detest in humans. Hmm
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 07:26 PM
Originally Posted by Spag-hetti
But his fanatics don't care WHAT he says, he remains their savior, just because.
Yeah...no kidding.

Quote
I could stand in the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldn't lose voters

- Donald Trump 1/23/2016
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 07:37 PM
Trump urges Russia to hack Clinton’s emails

Quote
“Russia, if you’re listening, I hope you’re able to find the 30,000 emails that are missing. I think you will probably be rewarded mightily by our press,” Trump said during a news conference at his South Florida resort on Wednesday.

“They probably have them. I’d like to have them released. .&#8201;.&#8201;. It gives me no pause. If they have them, they have them,” Trump added later when asked if his comments were inappropriate. “If Russia or China or any other country has those emails, I mean, to be honest with you, I’d love to see them.”

This is the stuff that passes for rhetoric in today's GOP. Really, all the Dems have to do is let him keep shooting his mouth off. And let the GOP, always scrambling, backpedal on the shyte that comes out of his mouth.

WaPo
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 08:05 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Trump urges Russia to hack Clinton’s emails

Quote
“Russia, if you’re listening, I hope you’re able to find the 30,000 emails that are missing. I think you will probably be rewarded mightily by our press,” Trump said during a news conference at his South Florida resort on Wednesday.

“They probably have them. I’d like to have them released. .&#8201;.&#8201;. It gives me no pause. If they have them, they have them,” Trump added later when asked if his comments were inappropriate. “If Russia or China or any other country has those emails, I mean, to be honest with you, I’d love to see them.”

This is the stuff that passes for rhetoric in today's GOP. Really, all the Dems have to do is let him keep shooting his mouth off. And let the GOP, always scrambling, backpedal on the shyte that comes out of his mouth.

WaPo

Does this border on treason?
It certainly crosses the line when it comes to rooting for a hostile takeover by a potential enemy.
What's next, inviting ISIS to snoop around?
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 08:07 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I don't want him defeated, I want him to be obliterated in historic terms.

It's nice of you to clarify but for my money I wish G. Gordon Liddy was still 30 years old. I know he's a rock ribbed righty but my gut tells me he detests Trump to the marrow of his bones.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 08:41 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Trump urges Russia to hack Clinton’s emails

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 08:43 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Does this border on treason?
It certainly crosses the line when it comes to rooting for a hostile takeover by a potential enemy.
Trump's financial backers are Russians, since no US Bank will do business with him because of all of his bankruptcies. Russians are no "enemy" to him. Hmm
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 08:45 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
is the stuff that passes for rhetoric in today's GOP. Really, all the Dems have to do is let him keep shooting his mouth off. And let the GOP, always scrambling, backpedal on the shyte that comes out of his mouth.

WaPo
The Republican Party Officials must be dying inside. smile
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 08:49 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Trump urges Russia to hack Clinton’s emails

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

What a duo! Mutt and Jeff LOL
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 09:25 PM
Quote
The Republican Party Officials must be dying inside.
Why would they be dying inside while their candidate is rising in the polls and Democrats are clawing each other's eyes out.
Their only fear was that it looked like Trump would be beaten badly. They don't give a flying f*ck at a rolling donut what their candidate says or does as long as he wins.
I'm thinking it's Democratic officials who are dying inside right now.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 09:41 PM
Oh my, I think the G-man is sad. Don't be... It's okay to see things as they are.
It will make things clearer.
And the Dems will survive , unlike the Republican Party.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 10:28 PM
Not sad at all, and as I've said, neither am I pessimistic.

I'm actually looking forward to this Trump Administration. As many nails as we've seen driven into that Republican coffin only to see the zombie rise again and again, my thinking is that the only way to truly destroy the movement is to really give them enough rope to hang themselves with and a drop sufficient to rip the head from the beast and end it forever. Then perhaps we can bury it with a stake through its heart.
We will pay dearly for it as the so called middle class descends into squalor and the world economy collapses. But we will see the ever confident Donald Trump wilt like yesterday's lettuce as he goes from being loved by the masses to seeing his effigy hanged and burned by mobs across America. Torches and pitchforks will come out, dear fellow. Imagine living in Paris during the French Revolution! Such a time it will be!
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/27/16 10:43 PM
Well- live and learn. Greger, that description is fantastic and cinematic. You need to continue recounting your vision!
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/28/16 04:06 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
Not sad at all, and as I've said, neither am I pessimistic.

I'm actually looking forward to this Trump Administration. As many nails as we've seen driven into that Republican coffin only to see the zombie rise again and again, my thinking is that the only way to truly destroy the movement is to really give them enough rope to hang themselves with and a drop sufficient to rip the head from the beast and end it forever. Then perhaps we can bury it with a stake through its heart.
We will pay dearly for it as the so called middle class descends into squalor and the world economy collapses. But we will see the ever confident Donald Trump wilt like yesterday's lettuce as he goes from being loved by the masses to seeing his effigy hanged and burned by mobs across America. Torches and pitchforks will come out, dear fellow. Imagine living in Paris during the French Revolution! Such a time it will be!

Wife is having a bad MS attack last couple of days but last time she did we got her to the VA and they were able to give her meds and treatment that cleared up symptoms pretty well.

Not looking forward to watching Karen turn into Annette Funicello after Trump gives her a bottle of aspirin, a tiny voucher and a big middle finger salute.
Not looking forward to burying my son who won't get his heart transplant after losing his health insurance.

Imagine Paris during the Revolution? I won't have anything left to lose.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/28/16 04:47 PM
Quote
Imagine Paris during the Revolution? I won't have anything left to lose.
And that, Jeffery, is my point. Until conservatives have nothing left to lose and no one to blame it on but themselves, they will remain on the wrong side of history.
But, as the world goes down in flames, progressives will know in their hearts that they did not vote for the lesser of two evils.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/28/16 09:23 PM
Noam has nailed it (as usual). He has put into clear, cogent words why I am voting for Hillary.

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1) Voting should not be viewed as a form of personal self-expression or moral judgement directed in retaliation towards major party candidates who fail to reflect our values, or of a corrupt system designed to limit choices to those acceptable to corporate elites.

2) The exclusive consequence of the act of voting in 2016 will be (if in a contested “swing state”) to marginally increase or decrease the chance of one of the major party candidates winning.

3) One of these candidates, Trump, denies the existence of global warming, calls for increasing use of fossil fuels, dismantling of environmental regulations and refuses assistance to India and other developing nations as called for in the Paris agreement, the combination of which could, in four years, take us to a catastrophic tipping point. Trump has also pledged to deport 11 million Mexican immigrants, offered to provide for the defense of supporters who have assaulted African American protestors at his rallies, stated his “openness to using nuclear weapons”, supports a ban on Muslims entering the U.S. and regards “the police in this country as absolutely mistreated and misunderstood” while having “done an unbelievable job of keeping law and order.” Trump has also pledged to increase military spending while cutting taxes on the rich, hence shredding what remains of the social welfare “safety net” despite pretenses.

4) The suffering which these and other similarly extremist policies and attitudes will impose on marginalized and already oppressed populations has a high probability of being significantly greater than that which will result from a Clinton presidency.

5) 4) should constitute sufficient basis to voting for Clinton where a vote is potentially consequential-namely, in a contested, “swing” state.

6) However, the left should also recognize that, should Trump win based on its failure to support Clinton, it will repeatedly face the accusation (based in fact), that it lacks concern for those sure to be most victimized by a Trump administration.

7) Often this charge will emanate from establishment operatives who will use it as a bad faith justification for defeating challenges to corporate hegemony either in the Democratic Party or outside of it. They will ensure that it will be widely circulated in mainstream media channels with the result that many of those who would otherwise be sympathetic to a left challenge will find it a convincing reason to maintain their ties with the political establishment rather than breaking with it, as they must.

8) Conclusion: by dismissing a “lesser evil” electoral logic and thereby increasing the potential for Clinton’s defeat the left will undermine what should be at the core of what it claims to be attempting to achieve.

Chomsky
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/28/16 10:11 PM
Quote
"I am a member of no organized political party-I am a Democrat." - Will Rogers
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 12:12 AM
Here's the reason I am not yet nervous (kinda-sorta) about Clinton losing per -NYT: If she won Virginia and the states carried by Mr. Obama where she’s not airing advertisements (including Michigan, Maine, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin), she would have 260 electoral votes — just short of the 270 needed to win. She could win with Ohio or North Carolina or Florida. If she lost all of those three states, she could win with any two of Colorado, Nevada, Iowa and New Hampshire.

I think she wins them all.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 03:01 AM
Colorado might be losing its swing-state status
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 03:17 AM
And Florida may be becoming more red(if that's really possible)
Currently Clinton is dropping in the polls and Trump is rising.
You can probably count us red in this upcoming election.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 03:29 AM
Huh: New Rasmussen poll shows … Hillary ahead

Some things about this poll: it started Monday at the beginning of the DNC; Rassmussen is consistently conservative; Rasmussen is consistently volatile.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 03:50 AM
From the comments under that article, I don't know if it's accurate but I think so.
Quote
Republican nominee Donald Trump gained 17 points in roughly two weeks, according to the Reuters online tracking poll.
On July 14, 2016, Trump was 15 points behind Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton 46.5 percent to 31.5 percent. However as of July 26, 2016, Trump closed that 15 point gap and is now up two points over Clinton, 40.2 percent to 38.5 percent.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 06:08 AM
Rasmussen is consistently wrong. I don't even look at their numbers.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 06:19 AM
Rasmussen is why I rely on FiveThirtyEight.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 11:32 AM
Anyone who has understood signal analysis knows there is a phenomenon called "transient noise". Polls are subject to this effect. I would advise that we give some time for the dust to settle, after the immediate effects of the convention, etc. die out, and then concern ourselves with the polls. And then, only as we draw near the election date - October is probably the best month to begin to take the numbers more seriously.
The volatility of the polls is an intrinsic characteristic of uncertainty, and the higher it is, the less certain the numbers.
Do not, I repeat, do not confound this with the MoE. MoE is a statistical measure of error built into the survey itself. Volatility is an organic quality of the resulting numbers. You can manipulate the MoE. The volatility is almost impossible to manipulate. It is far more relevant to understanding the results of the polls than is the MoE.
At the moment, because of the transient noise, the volatility is very high. This makes the results very uncertain.
So beware of numbers that are changing willy nilly on a daily basis.

And yes, 538 is still the most reliable source for an impartial reading of the numbers.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 11:39 AM
That is sort of the point I was making, Zeke. And while MoE is supposed to be accurate (statistically speaking) how one determines the "pool" throws the results off more than statistical variation. Many of the polls use such small samples that the MoE makes their results almost meaningless.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 11:55 AM
I look at the results and then I wait for the SC decision
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 12:20 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
That is sort of the point I was making, Zeke. And while MoE is supposed to be accurate (statistically speaking) how one determines the "pool" throws the results off more than statistical variation. Many of the polls use such small samples that the MoE makes their results almost meaningless.

Indeed. Like many statistical measures, it is subject to bias and manipulation. One needs to understand it and take it with a grain of salt (if at all).
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 07:08 PM
MoE is a product of sample size: The bigger your sample, the smaller your Moe in general. But if your sample all came from a non-representational pool, then your results can be way off. You can sample every single member in that pool and get your MoE down to zero, and your results will still be wrong.

I am more concerned with pollers methodology: How are they reaching the people they poll? If they are still using random land-line calls then their methodology is wildly biased. I don't even answer my land-line any more and I think few people under 50 do or don't even have land-lines.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 07:30 PM
Actually you can't survey the entire population. But you can increase the sample size, within reason.
But you're right, the quality of the sample is questionable - and most times they don't take the necessary care with that. Which is why Silver's Bayesian method is much better.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 07:38 PM
This has been a great month for voting rights. Appeals courts have invalidated several different Republican voting suppression laws, and the 4/4 split in the Supreme Court means these decisions will likely stand. The four liberals in the SC are very supportive of voting rights of minorities and poor people. This bodes well for Clinton in the November election.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 09:34 PM
I was just about to post that. In two states - Wisconsin and North Carolina - I think it will have an immediate impact. I was particularly struck by the unequivocal conclusion of the North Carolina court.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 09:40 PM
It is good news. And about time the courts start putting the kaibash on this remnant of Jim Crow.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 11:34 PM
And just to cloud the picture... Clinton leads Trump by 6 points after Democratic confab: Reuters/Ipsos poll. Is this bounce or noise?
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/29/16 11:51 PM
signals bouncing between clouds of political rhetoric

its all good
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 12:10 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
And just to cloud the picture... Clinton leads Trump by 6 points after Democratic confab: Reuters/Ipsos poll. Is this bounce or noise?
It is a noisey bounce wink
The "other" category is too large = 25%
Noise is definitely present - but the timing is definitely from the convention.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 12:49 AM
Yes, I agree, I agree.

I was just putting it out there. I'm an addict, what can I say?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 12:57 AM
Another shoe drops: Federal judge strikes down Wisconsin election laws. (This is new. Previously a different federal judge modified the "voter ID" provision.)
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 09:28 AM
Here's an interesting article from MarketWatch about all the smears Hillary has suffered through the decades:

All the terrible things Hillary has done - In one big list

By far the most interesting thing is that MarketWatch ran it! Not exactly a Liberal media outlet.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 11:21 AM

In the Hillary Clinton Era, Democrats Welcome Lobbying Money Back Into the Convention

Quote
BY QUIETLY DROPPING a ban on direct donations from registered federal lobbyists and political action committees, the Democratic National Committee in February reopened the floodgates for corruption that Barack Obama had put in place in 2008.

Secret donors with major public-policy agendas were welcomed back in from the cold and showered with access and appreciation at the Democratic convention in Philadelphia.

Major donors were offered “Family and Friends” packages, including suites at the Ritz-Carlton, backstage passes, and even seats in the Clinton family box. Corporate lobbyists like Heather Podesta celebrated the change, telling Time: “My money is now good.”

The Intercept

Heather Podesta
Quote
As a lobbyist, Podesta’s clients include the energy, finance, healthcare, retail, real estate, education, and transportation sectors.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 01:51 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Here's an interesting article from MarketWatch about all the smears Hillary has suffered through the decades:

All the terrible things Hillary has done - In one big list

Here is a list for Trump:
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/06/donald-trump-scandals/474726/
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 02:02 PM

While Hillary Clinton's baggage is mostly suspicion and shadowy innuendo; Trump’s are fully documented in court cases. The information that Turmp's baggage lacks is financial - The Donald forces winners of lawsuits against him to sign non-disclosure statements.

Plus Donald Trump won't release his tax records. Some allege that the reason is that his taxes show that he's tied to the Russian Oligarchy.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 02:03 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
While Hillary Clinton's baggage is mostly suspicion and shadowy innuendo; Trump’s are fully documented in court cases. The only information that Turmp's baggage lacks is financial - The Donald forces winners of lawsuits against him to sign non-disclosure statements.

Trump's dirt trumps Hillary's? grin
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 02:04 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
[Trump's dirt trumps Hillary's? grin
Well played sir. smile
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 02:05 PM
Has Greger come down off of the bridge yet? smile
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 02:06 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Has Greger come down off of the bridge yet? smile

I hope so cry
Poor G-man...
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 02:16 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Has Greger come down off of the bridge yet? smile

I hope so cry
Poor G-man...
I know right? Didn't we both tell him that the sun will keep on rising, there's going to be brighter days, and everything is going to be Alright?



Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 03:07 PM
Here's my estimate of the volatility of the polls based on the spread between Clinton and Trump. Note the spike at the most recent dates.

[Linked Image from s31.postimg.org]
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 04:15 PM
I've been told that convention bounces mean nothing.

You laugh....but I was right about Trump getting the nomination at an uncontested Convention.....
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 04:31 PM
Exactly - they don't mean a whole lot FOR ANYONE!
Trump has no advantage - but a lot of disadvantages.
The nomination is not a general election.
What makes you think he can win the election??
If memory serves you were pretty sure Obama was going to lose for a while there.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 08:09 PM
Whether Obama won or lost was of little consequence to me, I deemed him more electable at the time because Republicans were prepared to defeat Clinton. I was rooting for him but not so much that I was willing to give up my Independent status and actually cast a vote between him and Clinton. Just like this time around. If Sanders had won I would have been slightly disappointed but certainly not butthurt enough to withhold a vote in the general election. There was nothing about Sanders' ideology that I disagreed with, my problem with Sanders is that he has been in Washington for 30 years and has failed to build any sort of working coalition with the Democrats he would depend on in Congress if he hoped to move his agenda forward. It is, and has been, my opinion that Clinton will actually be able to move the progressive agenda forward farther than Sanders would be able to. Sanders' crowning achievement in his long and illustrious career in Washington is that he has moved the Democratic Party farther to the left than they have ever been.
For this we owe him an immense debt of gratitude.

Regarding a Trump victory, I'm only half serious about that. This race is far closer than it should be, given the two candidates and their qualifications, it shouldn't be close at all and I suspect that it really isn't. Even Nate Silver lives and dies by clicks and ratings. Everyone involved in the media is determined to make this race look as close as possible, it's how they make a living after all. Like PIA, I question the methods used to gather information for polls. They represent only a small slice of the population who have landlines and are willing to answer them and agree to participate in the poll. It's a blurry snapshot at best and at worst a barely recognizable sketch by a not very talented artist.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 08:45 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Whether Obama won or lost was of little consequence to me, I deemed him more electable at the time because Republicans were prepared to defeat Clinton. I was rooting for him but not so much that I was willing to give up my Independent status and actually cast a vote between him and Clinton. Just like this time around. If Sanders had won I would have been slightly disappointed but certainly not butthurt enough to withhold a vote in the general election. There was nothing about Sanders' ideology that I disagreed with, my problem with Sanders is that he has been in Washington for 30 years and has failed to build any sort of working coalition with the Democrats he would depend on in Congress if he hoped to move his agenda forward. It is, and has been, my opinion that Clinton will actually be able to move the progressive agenda forward farther than Sanders would be able to. Sanders' crowning achievement in his long and illustrious career in Washington is that he has moved the Democratic Party farther to the left than they have ever been.
For this we owe him an immense debt of gratitude.

Regarding a Trump victory, I'm only half serious about that. This race is far closer than it should be, given the two candidates and their qualifications, it shouldn't be close at all and I suspect that it really isn't. Even Nate Silver lives and dies by clicks and ratings. Everyone involved in the media is determined to make this race look as close as possible, it's how they make a living after all. Like PIA, I question the methods used to gather information for polls. They represent only a small slice of the population who have landlines and are willing to answer them and agree to participate in the poll. It's a blurry snapshot at best and at worst a barely recognizable sketch by a not very talented artist.

You are partially right. The polls do have a bias (but they use cell phones as well and they try to randomize the samples), but the bias comes more from the survey questions.
If you look a little deeper you'll see that Nate (who does not do surveys himself, but rather analyzes and critiques them) adjusts his forecasts for the bias.
The reason that the race SEEMS so close is because the information is incomplete. And again, I agree, everyone in the media wants it seem closer than it probably is because that's how they get paid. But you would do well to remember that Clinton's unfavorable ratings are as high as Trump's, hence, she is battling on two fronts:
1) fixing her own image
2) showing Trump for the a$$hole he is

But you do have a promising career as a writer of dystopian stories.
As for Sanders, I disagree. Any time anyone raises the bar in political discourse is a good time. Took him 30 years. Ms. Clinton has yet to do that. We shall see.

Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 10:23 PM
Quote
1) fixing her own image
2) showing Trump for the a$$hole he is
My feeling is that she will fix her own image after she's elected. It's pretty much impossible right now with the attacks coming both from the right and the left. To her detractors and those who listen to them, nothing she says or does will convince them she is anything less than the Wicked Witch of the West. Just try to convince Rick that she's not center right, a shill for wall street, and Republican Light. It aint gonna happen and he's not nearly as anti-Clinton as many lefties.
She doesn't need to show Trump for the assh0le he is. He's done a remarkable job of doing that himself. Unfortunately it doesn't matter to Republican voters they are also assh0les who just love having their hot buttons pushed. Truth and facts mean nothing to them. Why do you think there is no equivalent of Rush Limbaugh on the left? Trump is nothing but Limbaugh with deeper pockets and bigger dreams.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 10:23 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
...This race is far closer than it should be...
That's because half of the American voters are being political nihilists. Hmm
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 10:44 PM
Quote
Trump's dirt trumps Hillary's? grin

Actually Hillary's dirt is just Republican masturbatory fantasies.

Trump's dirt is countless people ruined financially, countless women sexually harassed (and worse), real lawsuits, real bankruptcies, real frauds, etc. It's amazing just how much you can get away with when you have great lawyers and 100 million dollars.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 10:46 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
Trump's dirt trumps Hillary's? grin

Actually Hillary's dirt is just Republican masturbatory fantasies

Not only. She's made her share of cock ups but nothing that compares to Trump.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 11:15 PM
I don't think you can count her ideological differences from yours as actual mistakes. That's well within the bounds of the differences we tolerate in friends and family. I think her number of actual mistakes falls well within normal human failings. Nobody is perfect.

I know I've made mistakes.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/30/16 11:47 PM
Not what I meant. She's been less than straight several times. But again, not comparing to the orangutan.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 02:00 AM
Orang Utan.
I had a friend long ago who joined the Peace Corps to avoid serving in Vietnam. He served in Malaysia where the orangutan lives and in his time there learned some of the language in order to get along since there weren't a lot of English speakers around at the time and upon his return he told me that Orang is Malaysian for "wild" and Utan simply means "man". Hence, the Orangutan is a "wild man".
Just an interesting little factoid which may or may not be true.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 02:03 AM
Quote
She's been less than straight several times.
Every politician, including Bernie, has been known to play a little free and loose with the truth at times.
Trump, on the other hand, is a flat out liar most of the time.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 02:06 AM
My point exactly. As I have repeatedly affirmed: it is a difference in kind not of degree.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 02:15 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
Trump, on the other hand, is a flat out liar most of the time.
When he tells the truth it is only a function of it serving his interest at the time... it is never out of integrity.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 03:59 AM
I don't think that Trump has gotten through a single interview without spouting some whopper of a lie. No one in the history of fact checking has gotten more "pants-on-fire" or "4-pinochios" ratings. Not. Even. Close.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 07:05 AM


Huh...

Quote
KOCH: Well, I— that— her— we would have to believe her actions would be quite different than her rhetoric. Let me put it that way. But on some of the Republican candidates we would— before we could support them, we’d have to believe their actions will be quite different than the rhetoric we’ve heard so far

Linky Dinky

Mebbe Greger should worry about us Bernie Bros support, again. Hmm
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 10:52 AM
Who can blame them...

Candidates poised for classified briefings despite spy agency worries over Trump


Quote
But Clapper’s remarks came amid new signs of deep discomfort with Trump among the upper ranks of the intelligence community. In a measure of that growing animosity, one senior intelligence official said Wednesday that he would decline to participate in any session with Trump.

“I would refuse,” the official said, citing not only concern with Trump’s expressions of admiration for Russian President Vladi­mir Putin but seeming uninterest in acquiring a deeper or more nuanced understanding of world events.

“He’s been so uninterested in the truth and so reckless with it when he sees it,” the official said. He and others spoke on the condition of anonymity, citing a desire to speak candidly about domestic political issues that intelligence officials typically refuse to discuss.

WaPo
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 11:49 AM
[Linked Image from s31.postimg.org]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 11:52 AM
[Linked Image from s31.postimg.org]

Quote
Take away the right to say "F$CK" and you take away the right to say F$CK the government.
Lenny Bruce
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 11:54 AM
[Linked Image from s31.postimg.org]
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 01:59 PM
If Trump were elected, his nightmare vision of America would come true.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 02:00 PM
Query: is it a nightmare vision OF America, or maybe nightmare vision FOR America?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 02:07 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Query: is it a nightmare vision OF America, or maybe nightmare vision FOR America?

Both he sees it as a nightmare and wants to make it an even worse nightmare.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 02:11 PM
Tea leaves: reports are that Mike Pence declined to attend the Koch Bros gala in Colorado, and that the Koch's are influencing other donors to dry up Trump's pool. I think that those who know Trump best know that he is unfit to serve and are getting scared he could win. When they meet with him in person, they realize it's not an act, he's really that scattered and uncontrollable.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 04:53 PM
This is from May 8th so it's kind of old, but the facts stand and it isn't based on skewed polls or media profits. It's based on past election results.

Quote
Republicans will not win the presidency in November and it’s not just because Trump is the nominee, it’s really more about math and the electoral college. And – furthermore – the data is indisputable, at least since 1992.

Here’s the deal: since 1992 eighteen states plus the District of Columbia have voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in every single election. When you add all of them up, you get a total of 242 electoral votes. Why is this important? You only need 270 to win. The democratic nominee is only 28 votes shy of winning right out of the gate. That’s a pretty big deal.

Also – since 1992, Republicans have only won 102 electoral votes (13 states), which makes it infinitely harder for them to win in November. They have a lot of catching up to do.

Put another way – all Hillary Clinton has to do is win every state Democrats have always won over the last several decades without fail, and win just one other state like Florida (29 electoral votes) and she takes the White House. It’s really just simple math.

Source
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 05:04 PM
Nate has been saying that since 2008.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 07:19 PM
It's that mathematical advantage that gives me hope. To win, Trump needs to win everything. He needs every swing State. Or turn at least a few blue States red.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 08:02 PM
So why do we keep losing the Senate? The House I can understand: It's the gerrymandered districts. But why the Senate?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 08:20 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
So why do we keep losing the Senate? The House I can understand: It's the gerrymandered districts. But why the Senate?

Local elections have an entirely different dynamic. People tend to vote without regard to Party. So much so that NYC has had Republican mayors and the State has had Republican Governor.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 08:22 PM
Because the Senate is dominated by small population States. California has 21% of the population, but two Senators. New York, 2 Senators. Illinois, 2 Senators. But then, so does Alaska, Wyoming, Montana, Arizona, both North AND South Dakota... with a combined population of 4 million (less than Cook COUNTY, IL and less than half the population of Los Angeles County). The nine most populous U.S. states contain slightly more than half of the total population. The 25 least populous states contain less than one-sixth of the total populatio, but still have 50 Senators.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 07/31/16 09:32 PM
Oh yes, brain fart. Must be the MS. (Handy excuse for any stupidity!)

We win the popular vote and the electoral college but we lose the majority of the states
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/01/16 06:12 AM

Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/01/16 01:46 PM
Looks like Clinton's post convention bump is kicking in...

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now

I wonder if the Kahn incident is figuring in yet?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/01/16 02:10 PM
Seems like it may start to kick in if it already hasn't:


John McCain Denounces Donald Trump’s Comments on Family of Muslim Soldier


McCain on Trump:
Quote
“In the end, I am morally bound to speak only to the things that command my allegiance, and to which I have dedicated my life’s work: the Republican Party, and more important, the United States of America. I will not refrain from doing my utmost by those lights simply because it may benefit others with whom I disagree. I claim no moral superiority over Donald Trump. I have a long and well-known public and private record for which I will have to answer at the Final Judgment, and I repose my hope in the promise of mercy and the moderation of age. I challenge the nominee to set the example for what our country can and should represent.”

NY Times
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/01/16 04:03 PM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Looks like Clinton's post convention bump is kicking in...

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now

I wonder if the Kahn incident is figuring in yet?
I suspect not. This, however, is what I have been expecting (and I'm not prescient, it's what a lot of political observers have expected). The race has returned to where it was, mostly, before the conventions. But we still have 3 months of ups-and-downs. It is incumbent upon Clinton to really push, which she is fully capable of doing.

Another thing... I'm getting really tired of Paul Manafort. He's like the ultimate flak. He reminds me of the odious characters on "Wag the Dog" and "Our Brand is Crisis". The Quiet American - Slate ("Paul Manafort made a career out of stealthily reinventing the world’s nastiest tyrants as noble defenders of freedom. Getting Donald Trump elected will be a cinch.") I watched the Sunday talk shows, and he was on all of them. Man is he smarmy.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/01/16 04:27 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I watched the Sunday talk shows, and he was on all of them. Man is he smarmy.

I can't imagine a better front man for the Donald. Peas in a pod. Cut from the same cloth. Soul mates...
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/01/16 04:34 PM
More from the article, above, on Manafort:
Quote
Manafort has spent a career working on behalf of clients that the rest of his fellow lobbyists and strategists have deemed just below their not-so-high moral threshold. Manafort has consistently given his clients a patina of respectability that has allowed them to migrate into the mainstream of opinion, or close enough to the mainstream. He has a particular knack for taking autocrats and presenting them as defenders of democracy. If he could convince the respectable world that thugs like Savimbi and Marcos are friends of America, then why not do the same for Trump? One of his friends told me, “He wanted to do his thing on home turf. He wanted one last shot at the big prize.”
His client list is a "who's who" of international reprobates, including Mobutu Sese Seko, Jonas Savimbi, Ferdinand Marcos, Victor Yanukovych, Lebanese arms dealer Abdul Rahman al-Assir.
Quote
“Name a dictator and Black, Manafort will name the account,” Art Levine wrote. (Levine’s piece, published in Spy, featured a sidebar ranking the ethical behavior of Washington lobbyists: It found Black, Manafort the worst of the bunch.) The client list included Philippine strongman Ferdinand Marcos (with a $900,000 yearly contract) and the despots of the Dominican Republic, Nigeria, Kenya, Equatorial Guinea, and Somalia. When the Center for Public Integrity detailed the firm’s work, it titled the report “The Torturers’ Lobby.”
So, Manafort is a natural fit for Trump.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/01/16 04:43 PM
you are listing Mr Trumps good points

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/01/16 05:31 PM
Originally Posted by rporter314
you are listing Mr Trumps good points
Wait, are you saying Trump has good points?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/02/16 10:31 AM
Amazon's New Bestseller: The Whacko Right Wing Version of the Constitution

I (and hundreds of others) have trashed this version.

Quote
FOLLOWING GOLD STAR father Khizr Khan’s powerful speech at the Democratic convention last week, sales of pocket Constitutions have skyrocketed. But the edition topping Amazon’s charts – right up there with the new Harry Potter book — comes with annotations and right-wing commentary from Glenn Beck’s favorite conspiracy theorist.
...
Skousen’s edition interprets the Constitution as evidence that the United States is subject to a Christian God’s ruling. It emphasizes that the federal government should not interfere in people’s lives.

The Intercept
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/02/16 05:50 PM
AP Sources: CEO Of Democratic National Committee Resigns

Bye bye... don't let the screen door hit ya on the way out.

Quote
WASHINGTON (AP) — The chief executive of the Democratic National Committee has resigned in the wake of an email hack that embarrassed the party on the eve of its convention.

That's according to three Democratic strategists familiar with Amy Dacey's decision to leave her job. The people spoke on condition of anonymity, because they were not authorized to discuss it publicly.

The Democrats say other personnel moves at the party are also expected Tuesday.

TPM
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/02/16 05:57 PM
The Clinton campaign just laid a bouquet at Sanders' feet:

Hillary Clinton Campaign Wants A Progressive DNC Chair

Quote
“We will want a person at the head of the party that represents the progressive platform that the party adopted and that represents that spirit of reform and integration of the grassroots into the party,” Clinton campaign Chairman John Podesta told The Huffington Post in an interview Thursday at the Democratic National Convention.

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/02/16 06:24 PM
Seeing is believing.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/02/16 06:34 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Seeing is believing.
Yup. smile
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/02/16 07:46 PM
Nice article on brilliant businessman Trump's many ventures:

The Art of the Bad Deal

Pretty much demolishes any claim to be "a businessman who knows how to get things done". Trump fans need to understand that he is a consistent failure who has just spent his father's money on his various vanity projects and con games.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/02/16 08:15 PM
Anyone who believes in Trump's business acumen would probably buy the bridge I have to sell also.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 03:18 AM
The "now cast" from FiveThirtyEight has it 86% for Clinton, 14% for Trump. I don't think that is safe enough. We have 3 months to go. I'd like to see it at 98% by the end of the Olympics. I agree with the President. Trump is simply unfit.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 09:52 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
The "now cast" from FiveThirtyEight has it 86% for Clinton, 14% for Trump. I don't think that is safe enough. We have 3 months to go. I'd like to see it at 98% by the end of the Olympics. I agree with the President. Trump is simply unfit.

Even the "polls only" have Clinton at 68% and Trump at 32%. That is a pretty wide lead (more than double). In probability that is extremely significant.
Her numbers have always been better than his. As I said - better to let the dust settle and the volatility die down. I think by late September we'll be closer to a reliable forecast.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 12:17 PM
Is it just my impression or is the Donald doing everything he can to lose this election?


Meg Whitman, Calling Donald Trump a ‘Demagogue,’ Will Support Hillary Clinton for President

NY Times

Trump refuses to endorse Paul Ryan in GOP primary: ‘I’m just not quite there yet’

WaPo

Trump attacks mothers and babies too...

Quote
“Actually, I was only kidding: You can get the baby out of here,” he said when the child continued to cry. “I think she really believed me that I love having a baby crying while I’m speaking. That’s okay. People don’t understand, that’s okay.”


WaPo
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 12:32 PM
From the Wall Street Journal:

Quote
CEO Amy Dacey, communications director Luis Miranda and Chief Financial Officer Brad Marshall will be leaving the DNC, the committee said Tuesday. Their departures follow on the heels of Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who resigned last month after hacked emails that appeared to show staffers at the DNC conspiring against Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders in the late days of his Democratic primary race against Hillary Clinton.

WSJ

I wonder why the NY Times and Washington Post are not so anxious to talk about this. But the right, of course, is.
The self-ordained liberals refuse to own up to their own cock-ups. So, instead of owning and thus, defusing the situation, they close their eyes and chant "There's no place like home."
This gives the right the fodder they need to attack. What ever happened to common sense? Hmm
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 01:26 PM
Quote
What ever happened to common sense?
<sheepishly> never existed in politics?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 02:45 PM
Clearing brush takes time. You know, of course, that this has been blown completely out of proportion. There was no "conspiracy". There was water cooler talk via email. Now, THAT is unprofessional, but, as I've said before, there is no smoking gun, and I've asked before for someone to provide it (but it isn't there). What is there is bad headlines and conspiracy theories. We, the sheep, have been doing Putin's work for him.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 02:58 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Clearing brush takes time. You know, of course, that this has been blown completely out of proportion. There was no "conspiracy". There was water cooler talk via email. Now, THAT is unprofessional, but, as I've said before, there is no smoking gun, and I've asked before for someone to provide it (but it isn't there). What is there is bad headlines and conspiracy theories. We, the sheep, have been doing Putin's work for him.

Talk about Da Nile. ROTFMOL
The emails speak for themselves as do the resulting resignations - or did you think that was just happenstance? Conspiracy theories such as your absurd (and frankly incomprehensible) paranoia about Putin?
C'mon - take off the blinders and smell the shyte.
Putin is not the issue. Trump is a proven train wreck and whatever his ties to Putin, they are further proof of what we already know right here.
This is about the party that we are electing. If they don't get their act together it will only get worse.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 03:19 PM
Zeke, I've asked before, and it has never been provided. In 19,000 plus emails and a dozen recordings there are maybe 12 that contain "questionable" threads, and only one (that I've seen) that expressed an active sentiment. Opinions were expressed, disparaging remarks were made (as I said, water-cooler comments), but there is NO evidence of an active effort. At least, none that has been provided. Please, feel free to provide evidence. I've read the press, I know that heads are rolling, but the problem, as always, is overreaction - by Bernie-bots, by the press, by Trump, etc.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 03:29 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Zeke, I've asked before, and it has never been provided. In 19,000 plus emails and a dozen recordings there are maybe 12 that contain "questionable" threads, and only one (that I've seen) that expressed an active sentiment. Opinions were expressed, disparaging remarks were made (as I said, water-cooler comments), but there is NO evidence of an active effort. At least, none that has been provided. Please, feel free to provide evidence. I've read the press, I know that heads are rolling, but the problem, as always, is overreaction - by Bernie-bots, by the press, by Trump, etc.

You are downplaying the fact that these were not office drones expressing opinions but people at the top of the food chain looking to discredit a candidate in their own party. If that isn't enough then you are really trying to close your eyes to what was going on.
There are plenty more emails. We don't know what is in them. But it doesn't matter. The fact that they thought to discredit Sanders is enough to show bias. Or do you honestly think that they were going to treat him as fairly as they did Hillary?
I think 91% of Bernie's supporters are showing remarkable restraint with the DNC - they know what is at stake and are acting accordingly. What remains to be seen, as I've repeated ad nauseam, is how the Dems will treat the people who are voting for Hillary in November. I have reservations about that, but we shall see.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 03:42 PM
Again... smoke and mirrors. Where's the evidence my friend? Where is there ANY evidence that anyone ACTIVELY tried to prevent Sanders from winning? You can make all the accusations you want, but that doesn't make them real, any more than Donald Trump's. OF COURSE the "establishment" preferred Clinton, who has been a loyal soldier for decades, to someone who became a "Democrat" only for the race. That is water-cooler talk. Once again, provide me with ANY email that shows that anyone actively tried to interfere with Sanders' campaign. Seriously. I haven't found one. Show me the money.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 04:11 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Again... smoke and mirrors. Where's the evidence my friend? Where is there ANY evidence that anyone ACTIVELY tried to prevent Sanders from winning? You can make all the accusations you want, but that doesn't make them real, any more than Donald Trump's. OF COURSE the "establishment" preferred Clinton, who has been a loyal soldier for decades, to someone who became a "Democrat" only for the race. That is water-cooler talk. Once again, provide me with ANY email that shows that anyone actively tried to interfere with Sanders' campaign. Seriously. Show me the money.

There is nothing more disturbing than having one's illusions dashed. I get it.
But you say they "preferred" Clinton? Is that the way it is supposed to be? If Sanders was running in their party should they not have been impartial and let the voters decide (without showing preference)?
Oh wait, the voters don't really decide, do they? Only the so-called "super-delegates" get to make that call. You know, the ones who can vote however they are told to.
So please, my friend, don't make it sound as though it were a high school prank. It was a concerted effort to quash the progressives. It didn't work - because people actually wanted to be heard. Now they have to deal with it. But the cover-up is always worse than the event.
Not so hypothetical: A sitting president is shown to have ties with a conspiracy to bug his opponents. His campaign is using a slush fund to undertake covert actions against said political adversaries. There is no direct proof - or smoking gun. Who is responsible? Even if he claims he didn't know, then what else doesn't he know? Who handed out authority to people who perpetrated the crimes?
This is a big deal - and the sooner they get out in front of it, the better it will be.
It is a question of moral responsibility.

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 04:30 PM
Zeke, why, when someone disagrees, do you have to make it personal? Why is your response ridicule rather than facts? I find it rather insulting and irritating. You say "It was a concerted effort to quash the progressives." - Yet, once again, provide no examples of how this was done. To save you some trouble, I've read through the Intercept's oh-so-unbiased reportage, and even there it is more accusation than substance.

This is the kind of response that I find so infuriating. "That you don't want to see the truth is understandable. There is nothing more disturbing than having one's illusions dashed. I get it." What unmitigated bullsh!t. I'm simply pointing out that this conspiracy theory, like so many others, has no substance, merely innuendo.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 04:46 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Zeke, why, when someone disagrees, do you have to make it personal? Why is your response ridicule rather than facts? I find it rather insulting and irritating. You say "It was a concerted effort to quash the progressives." - Yet, once again, provide no examples of how this was done. To save you some trouble, I've read through the Intercept's oh-so-unbiased reportage, and even there it is more accusation than substance.

This is the kind of response that I find so infuriating. "That you don't want to see the truth is understandable. There is nothing more disturbing than having one's illusions dashed. I get it." What unmitigated bullsh!t. I'm simply pointing out that this conspiracy theory, like so many others, has no substance, merely innuendo.
It ain't personal.
Why would high ranking executives write the emails that really do exist? Why would the party that is supposed to be impartial show bias? You said that (they "preferred her"), not me.
The emails show a lot.It is that simple. It is logic.
Why would they prefer Clinton to Sanders or Sanders to Clinton? The argument is silly. There is no proof that those emails didn't mean more than "water-cooler". We (neither of us) know what was going on in the heads of the top tier of the DNC. And we don't know if any action was taken.
It's not personal, NW, it is purely rational. Something lacking in your argument.
To call it a conspiracy theory is to assume it without fact. It is an opinion. I disagree. I have emails which trump conjecture on what one may think they mean. Hence your argument is based on something whose results no one can possibly know - i.e., the results of emails THAT ACTUALLY DO EXIST.

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 06:05 PM
Republicans Are Realizing They’ve Made a Huge Mistake

Quote
Of course, it’s one thing for Obama to call upon Republican leadership to denounce Trump, and quite another for them to follow through. Trump overwhelmingly won the Republican primaries. Indeed, he garnered more votes than any other Republican in history (although he also got the most votes against him too). Make no mistake, Ryan and McConnell, and senators like McCain, are relying heavily on these voters to turn out in the general election and vote for down-ticket Republicans. To pull their endorsements would be to effectively denounce these voters as well, falling into exactly the trap that Trump has often spoken of: that of an elite establishment that thinks it knows better than the voting public.

The New Republic
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 06:15 PM

Quote
The strategy of endorsing Donald Trump while keeping him at arm's length is going as badly as anyone could have expected
I hope that Trump keeps opening his big mouth and going rouge, all the way until November, and causes the GOP and its voters so much embarrassment that most stay home and The Dems win both the House and the Senate and we can finally get some work done.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 06:19 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I'm simply pointing out that this conspiracy theory, like so many others, has no substance, merely innuendo.

I don't normally buy into the correlation is causation gambit but when one assembles a timeline of the accusations, lawsuits, and then the resignations on the back end of the email dump, followed by the Hillary campaign asking for a much more progressive DNC chair, one does see a loose fitting set of puzzle pieces that point to some smelly business.

And the talk of Bernie not being "a real Democrat" is no longer "cricket" either because the man might not now be a "real Democrat" but he has now shown how he would like to SEE a real Democratic Party do business by using his campaign swan song as an example.
By being the classy guy he is, he is showing them how they should be, and in my book, he has done the Democratic Party a great service while transcending party politics to a certain extent at the same time.

And by the way, plenty of Bernie fans AND Democrats have responded in kind. Unity IS happening. It is slow, it is messy, it is still rife with bad blood but it is beginning to heal.

And Bernie WILL be an important asset to the Hillary administration. She's not stupid. She knows enough to align with a class act.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 06:22 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
In the Hillary Clinton Era, Democrats Welcome Lobbying Money Back Into the Convention

Quote
BY QUIETLY DROPPING a ban on direct donations from registered federal lobbyists and political action committees, the Democratic National Committee in February reopened the floodgates for corruption that Barack Obama had put in place in 2008.

Secret donors with major public-policy agendas were welcomed back in from the cold and showered with access and appreciation at the Democratic convention in Philadelphia.

Major donors were offered “Family and Friends” packages, including suites at the Ritz-Carlton, backstage passes, and even seats in the Clinton family box. Corporate lobbyists like Heather Podesta celebrated the change, telling Time: “My money is now good.”

The Intercept

Heather Podesta
Quote
As a lobbyist, Podesta’s clients include the energy, finance, healthcare, retail, real estate, education, and transportation sectors.

At this point, with a Godwin Approved Nazi at the gates, I'm thinking this is straight self preservation.
Use the money bomb any way you can, just vaporize that Cheeto Jesus any way you can.

EDIT: Like another great Ranter already said: "I'd like to see the 538 say she's at 98% by September.
Yeah, I think I can relax at that point. Not even the most strenuous Republican voting machine hacks can overcome a 98% tidal wave.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 06:25 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
...but he has now shown how he would like to SEE a real Democratic Party do business by using his campaign swan song as an example..
Exactly.

Would the DNC appoint an Independent as Chair? Naw...that would be too progressive. smile
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/03/16 06:27 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
In the Hillary Clinton Era, Democrats Welcome Lobbying Money Back Into the Convention

Quote
BY QUIETLY DROPPING a ban on direct donations from registered federal lobbyists and political action committees, the Democratic National Committee in February reopened the floodgates for corruption that Barack Obama had put in place in 2008.

Secret donors with major public-policy agendas were welcomed back in from the cold and showered with access and appreciation at the Democratic convention in Philadelphia.

Major donors were offered “Family and Friends” packages, including suites at the Ritz-Carlton, backstage passes, and even seats in the Clinton family box. Corporate lobbyists like Heather Podesta celebrated the change, telling Time: “My money is now good.”

The Intercept

Heather Podesta
Quote
As a lobbyist, Podesta’s clients include the energy, finance, healthcare, retail, real estate, education, and transportation sectors.

At this point, with a Godwin Approved Nazi at the gates, I'm thinking this is straight self preservation.
Use the money bomb any way you can, just vaporize that Cheeto Jesus any way you can.

EDIT: Like another great Ranter already said: "I'd like to see the 538 say she's at 98% by September.
Yeah, I think I can relax at that point. Not even the most strenuous Republican voting machine hacks can overcome a 98% tidal wave.

While I understand the point you make, an old adage comes to mind:
"You sleep with dogs, you wake up with fleas"
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/04/16 12:28 PM
Fox News latest polls:

Quote
The support for each candidate comes from the by-now-expected demographics. Clinton leads with women by 23 points; Trump leads with men by five. Clinton leads with black votes by 83 points (!); Trump leads with whites by 10. Of note: Clinton trails with independents by eight points, but gets 12 percent of the Republican vote to five percent of Democrats who say they'll back Trump.

[Linked Image from s6.postimg.org]

WaPo
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 08:28 AM


Looks like the Trumptanic has it an iceberg. laugh

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

Clinton surges to big lead in McClatchy-Marist poll

Quote
Among poll respondents, Clinton was seen more often as a potential president. Fifty-three percent said they would find her acceptable; 39 percent felt that way about Trump.

Francis Duffy, 76, an Upper Darby, Pennsylvania, Republican, said she was voting for Clinton because she found Trump to be scary. “I just don’t feel that Donald Trump is qualified. I think he’s a loose cannon,” she said.

Link

No wonder the RNC is looking at a backup plan. smile

...and of course, if Trump doesn't win - the election is rigged. Yeah...let's go with that - it couldn't actually be that most Americans think that Trump is an idiot. coffee
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 01:01 PM
Trumps poll numbers have tanked nationally and in the key battlegrounds. It is still 3 months away from the election and convention bounce fades to kick in.

Nate Silver suggests that we should be wary of polls with such a lead now, if they still show it in 3 weeks then it will be far more predictive of the outcome.

Is there precedent for a bounceback to a competitive race? What would trump have to do to claw his way back to the polls?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 01:08 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
...
What would trump have to do to claw his way back to the polls?

Not be Trump?
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 01:19 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
Is there precedent for a bounceback to a competitive race? What would trump have to do to claw his way back to the polls?
I was just looking at Silver's latest projections, which just ticked up again for Clinton (remarkable at this point because she's approaching the ceiling) and thought the reason has little to do with Clinton, and a lot to do with Trump.

One means of regaining strength in the polls is to have your opponent suffer a setback, which is still a possibility for Clinton. But the fact is, Trump is losing ground on his own merits, not because Clinton is performing better. I think that indicates a more difficult prospect for Trump to recover even with the help of a Clinton setback.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 02:16 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
Is there precedent for a bounceback to a competitive race? What would trump have to do to claw his way back to the polls?

Some of my friends are worried that he's going to attempt to fake an assassination attempt and then try to "rally his fellow Americans" around him in patriotic fervor. Most think he will try to pull this off and blame either Bernie-ites or Clintonians, while some others think he will blame Muslims.

I don't know if I am ready to buy into such a theory but I would not put it past him.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 03:12 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Originally Posted by Schlack
Is there precedent for a bounceback to a competitive race? What would trump have to do to claw his way back to the polls?

Some of my friends are worried that he's going to attempt to fake an assassination attempt and then try to "rally his fellow Americans" around him in patriotic fervor. Most think he will try to pull this off and blame either Bernie-ites or Clintonians, while some others think he will blame Muslims.

I don't know if I am ready to buy into such a theory but I would not put it past him.

As long as he gets the Gang that couldn't Shoot Straight for the plot, I'm good.
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 03:23 PM
Lifelong Texas Republican Quits GOP With Scathing Must-Read Letter

wow

Quote
I will not contribute my name, my work, or my character to an utterly indefensible cause. No sensible adult demands moral purity from a political party, but conscience is meaningless without constraints. A party willing to lend its collective capital to Donald Trump has entered a compromise beyond any credible threshold of legitimacy. There is no redemption in being one of the “good Nazis.”
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 03:57 PM
Great find!! Unbelievable!!!!
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 04:57 PM
Yay!!!!! Schlacky is in da House. Whoop...whoop. Bow
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 05:02 PM


...from Schlacky's link:

Quote
“The Iraq War, the financial meltdown, the utter failure of supply-side theory, climate denial, and our strange pursuit of theocratic legislation have all been troubling.

A Republican wrote this?!? Wow! This is the first time I have ever seen a Republican being honest and owning up to the mess that the Republican party has caused America.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 05:12 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
Trumps poll numbers have tanked nationally and in the key battlegrounds. It is still 3 months away from the election and convention bounce fades to kick in.
I'm pretty sure that Trump has said to Reince Priebus that he'll quit the race if things don't start to go his way and that is why the RNC is looking for a back-up.

Could you imagine if a major party candidate quit before the election? Donald Trump is thin-skinned enough just to do that. It would be historic and one that college professors will be lecturing on for decades.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 06:10 PM


[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

This guy thinks he's owed the presidency? LOL
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 06:18 PM


[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

Really? Perhaps that idiot should take his own advice and have all of his signature goods made on American soil. Just sayin'...
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 06:18 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

This guy thinks he's owed the presidency? LOL

Wrong verb, Rick. "Think" does not apply to the Donald. "Hallucinates" is more accurate.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 06:18 PM
Quote
A Republican wrote this?!? Wow! This is the first time I have ever seen a Republican being honest and owning up to the mess that the Republican party has caused America.

How about Max Boot’s (love that name) interview today on NPR? A scathing indictment of todays Republican Party that has lead to the rise of Trump.

Here & Now’s Eric Westervelt talks with Boot about how the party’s long-time embrace of anti-intellectualism set the stage for Trump:

Interview
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 06:45 PM
Originally Posted by Ken Condon
...the party’s long-time embrace of anti-intellectualism...
Ya think?!? coffee

[Linked Image from cubsinsider.com]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 06:47 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by pdx rick
[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

This guy thinks he's owed the presidency? LOL

Wrong verb, Rick. "Think" does not apply to the Donald. "Hallucinates" is more accurate.
The guy is seriously mentally ill with emphasis on delusion. Hmm
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 06:54 PM
Quote
Trump is not merely a poor candidate, but an indictment of our character. Preserving a party is not a morally defensible goal if that party has lost its legitimacy.

- Chris Ladd, goplifer.com
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 06:59 PM
Did you listen to Boot’s interview?
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 07:09 PM
Originally Posted by Ken Condon
Did you listen to Boot’s interview?
Not yet. I bookmarked it for later.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 07:25 PM
Trump is exactly the age his father was diagnosed with Alzheimer's disease. (Of course this disease doesn't seem to be a problem for Republicans, EG. Ronald Reagan fans.)

There are a number of different genes that can be checked. Some predispose the carrier to Alzheimer's. Some make it a sure bet. Maybe Trump should consider genetic testing.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 07:46 PM


This campaign season is a college professor's gold strike. They have enough material that will fill their syllabuses for an entire term. Heck, I'll will go as far as to suggest that Trump will be a political science topic all on its own. smile
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/05/16 09:48 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
This campaign season is a college professor's gold strike. They have enough material that will fill their syllabuses for an entire term. Heck, I'll will go as far as to suggest that Trump will be a political science topic all on its own. smile

The only way Trump would get a whole chapter is if he wins. So its hopefully a punctuation mark. The period that marks the end of the GOP Southern Strategy 1964-2016.

Not the end of the Republican party, but the end of this version of the GOP

Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/06/16 01:07 AM
Good to see you back after your long absence on this board Mr. Schlack. I have a question which you might have answered before, but if you have done so I missed it. So here it is:

Why your interest in the politics of the US?

Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/06/16 02:23 AM
Schlacky! It's good to see you!
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/06/16 04:27 AM
Paddy lay back! (Paddy lay back!)
Take up the schlack! (Take up the schlack!)
Take a turn around the capstan, haul away! (Haul away!)
All ship's stations boys, be handy...
For we're bound for Valparaiso, round the Horn

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/06/16 10:01 AM
The 538 Now Forecast as of yesterday:

[Linked Image from s32.postimg.org]

Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/06/16 10:58 AM
Originally Posted by Ken Condon
How about Max Boot’s (love that name) interview today on NPR? A scathing indictment of todays Republican Party that has lead to the rise of Trump. Interview
It's good to know that not all conservatives have fallen for the Limbaughian dystopia.

Here's a little song that talks about the creation of "anti" world views:

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/06/16 11:13 AM
Both myself and NW_P posted Max Boot's op-ed which synthesizes his interview. Worth reading.
What is most interesting is that the growing number of Repubs and conservative organizations abandoning Trump reminds one of rats jumping off a sinking ship.

[Linked Image from s6.postimg.org]

Zeke's Post
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/06/16 02:49 PM
Ajamu Baraka, Jill Stein's running mate.

The Green Party's New VP Candidate

It starts with his condemnation of the still warm corpse of Muhammed Ali and spirals downward in a dour, armband-wearing display of the very behavior that signifies a FAILED LIBERAL, the release of the inner fascist.
This fellow is a textbook 3%-er true believer, a fractuous and vituperative malcontent who never met a human being or a political philosophy he wasn't offended by.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/06/16 03:06 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
...the very behavior that signifies a FAILED LIBERAL, the release of the inner fascist...
What? Hmm

You're getting your political ideologies mixed up:

[Linked Image from i1308.photobucket.com]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/06/16 04:14 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Ajamu Baraka, Jill Stein's running mate.

The Green Party's New VP Candidate

It starts with his condemnation of the still warm corpse of Muhammed Ali and spirals downward in a dour, armband-wearing display of the very behavior that signifies a FAILED LIBERAL, the release of the inner fascist.
This fellow is a textbook 3%-er true believer, a fractuous and vituperative malcontent who never met a human being or a political philosophy he wasn't offended by.

Not sure why failed liberal?
The guy sounds lost in a time that he thinks existed but never really did. It's not even extreme, it's delusional.
Sure he'll make a good impression on the Birkenstock crowd LOL
But I agree with him on the Ali thing: The only person less fitting to speak at Ali's funeral might have been Trump. Clinton is very far from someone who understood and agreed with Ali's activism.
Also, Beoyonce giving a nod to the Panthers smacks of corporate BS, I wouldn't argue with that.
The rest of his rants sound crazy
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/06/16 09:51 PM
So the dude's totally bonkers. Fits right in with the Green Party.

Meanwhile, Nate Silver's Nowcast has Hillary at 92.5% if the election were held today. That's a number I'm comfortable with.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/06/16 10:04 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
But I agree with him on the Ali thing: The only person less fitting to speak at Ali's funeral might have been Trump. Clinton is very far from someone who understood and agreed with Ali's activism.

This requires more than just a general rehash about Clinton's political overtures but rather, it asks that you supply something that spotlights her as being against Ali's activism specifically.
Now, if you're focusing exclusively on his early activities with Elijah Muhammed I would be forced to remind you that he soundly rejected NOI shortly after the death of Malcolm X, who died BECAUSE HE rejected NOI as well.
In fact, Ali said that not having reconciled with Malcolm X after his epiphany was one of his greatest regrets.
Ali and X had very complicated political evolutions which defy the broad brush.

Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Also, Beoyonce giving a nod to the Panthers smacks of corporate BS, I wouldn't argue with that.
The rest of his rants sound crazy

I am forced to assume you are referencing The New Black Panther Party. If not, and you are instead referencing the original group, then it means you don't know a lot about the original Black Panthers or their activism, none of which would be considered corporate at all. Nor would appropriating their symbolism be considered corporate.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/06/16 10:14 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
...the very behavior that signifies a FAILED LIBERAL, the release of the inner fascist...
What? Hmm

You're getting your political ideologies mixed up:

[Linked Image from i1308.photobucket.com]

No, I am not getting my ideologies mixed up, the young naive campus lefties are. Rick, you're one of the few who recognize the political failure that occurs when one releases their inner fascist so you of all people should recognize the cognitive dissonance of the radical campus lefties. The reason they ARE failed liberals is that their would be affinity for liberal belief systems run up against their desire to impose fascism upon their opponents and the inner fascist wins, and their beliefs in liberal values collapses.

That is why almost ALL the current crop of Reagan era neocons all started out as radical campus lefties. They failed as liberals and rush to the arms of conservatism, could not jive with the personal freedoms espoused by them and tried to invent this illegitimate baby called "neo-conservatism" which is just campus lefty radicalism's nuts and bolts driving a right wing ideology.

HORSESHOE THEORY

Quote
The horseshoe theory in political science asserts that rather than the far left and the far right being at opposite and opposing ends of a linear political continuum, they in fact closely resemble one another, much like the ends of a horseshoe.


You might say that the majority of screaming radical campus lefties very quickly "jump the ends of the horseshoe" and their minds catch up after their emotional maturity sets in, but that is almost always accompanied by a sort of amnesia which allows them to pretend that ALL liberalism is as they once saw it, which justifies their wild accusations which they level at liberals, or "libtards" as they like to say.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/06/16 10:15 PM
and ipsos dipsos says they are within 3 points .... the MoE

i like Mr Trumps idea .... a rigged election
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/06/16 10:31 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
This requires more than just a general rehash about Clinton's political overtures but rather, it asks that you supply something that spotlights her as being against Ali's activism specifically.
Now, if you're focusing exclusively on his early activities with Elijah Muhammed I would be forced to remind you that he soundly rejected NOI shortly after the death of Malcolm X, who died BECAUSE HE rejected NOI as well.
In fact, Ali said that not having reconciled with Malcolm X after his epiphany was one of his greatest regrets.
Ali and X had very complicated political evolutions which defy the broad brush.


I am forced to assume you are referencing The New Black Panther Party. If not, and you are instead referencing the original group, then it means you don't know a lot about the original Black Panthers or their activism, none of which would be considered corporate at all. Nor would appropriating their symbolism be considered corporate.

Did you actually read the post? Hmm

1) I was referring to BILL CLINTON (you know the guy who read the eulogy) rolleyes Nothing to do with NOI - ALI'S CIVIL RIGHTS AND ECONOMIC JUSTICE ADVOCACY that does not jive with Bill Clinton's Neo liberal policy. Missed my point entirely.

2) Again - my point was BEYONCE's co-opting of the ORIGINAL Panthers at the super-bowl was corporate, not the Panthers themselves, of which I was a member! rolleyes Yes, appropriating the symbols of the movement without understanding it smacks of corporatism.

Please read with care.

So, why a failed liberal? Don't get it.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/06/16 10:45 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
HORSESHOE THEORY

Quote
The horseshoe theory in political science asserts that rather than the far left and the far right being at opposite and opposing ends of a linear political continuum, they in fact closely resemble one another, much like the ends of a horseshoe.

I think they misspelled the theory - it was originally HORSESHYTE THEORY ROTFMOL
A failed attempt at classifying political systems in order to justify the status quo.

Quote
In the mathematics of chaos theory, a horseshoe map is any member of a class of chaotic maps of the square into itself. It is a core example in the study of dynamical systems. The map was introduced by Stephen Smale while studying the behavior of the orbits of the van der Pol oscillator. The action of the map is defined geometrically by squishing the square, then stretching the result into a long strip, and finally folding the strip into the shape of a horseshoe.

Most points eventually leave the square under the action of the map. They go to the side caps where they will, under iteration, converge to a fixed point in one of the caps. The points that remain in the square under repeated iteration form a fractal set and are part of the invariant set of the map.


Or maybe it was this horseshoe they were thinking of? idea
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 01:18 AM
Just wanted to drop in and put into the mix that labels always divide, that is their purpose, and we are all humans in essence and reality.

Continue ......
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 01:43 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
This requires more than just a general rehash about Clinton's political overtures but rather, it asks that you supply something that spotlights her as being against Ali's activism specifically.
Now, if you're focusing exclusively on his early activities with Elijah Muhammed I would be forced to remind you that he soundly rejected NOI shortly after the death of Malcolm X, who died BECAUSE HE rejected NOI as well.
In fact, Ali said that not having reconciled with Malcolm X after his epiphany was one of his greatest regrets.
Ali and X had very complicated political evolutions which defy the broad brush.


I am forced to assume you are referencing The New Black Panther Party. If not, and you are instead referencing the original group, then it means you don't know a lot about the original Black Panthers or their activism, none of which would be considered corporate at all. Nor would appropriating their symbolism be considered corporate.

Did you actually read the post? Hmm

1) I was referring to BILL CLINTON (you know the guy who read the eulogy) rolleyes Nothing to do with NOI - ALI'S CIVIL RIGHTS AND ECONOMIC JUSTICE ADVOCACY that does not jive with Bill Clinton's Neo liberal policy. Missed my point entirely.

2) Again - my point was BEYONCE's co-opting of the ORIGINAL Panthers at the super-bowl was corporate, not the Panthers themselves, of which I was a member! rolleyes Yes, appropriating the symbols of the movement without understanding it smacks of corporatism.

Please read with care.

So, why a failed liberal? Don't get it.

I read it carefully, and if you read Baraka's screeds, then you know that he has turned it into a help wanted poster for his ridiculous campaign, so I sneer at his attempt to turn Bubba into an imperialist enemy of blackdom just because he doesn't jive with Far Left tropes.
I know you love Jill Stein and I know you're considerably farther left than I am but please consider that Stein is already pretty far left as it is and instead of choosing a moderating influence, she went farther out on the fringe.

If he doesn't seem fringe to you, then I guess we have to agree to disagree on that one.

As for Beyonce, you can call it corporate appropriation of Panther symbols if you want or you can call it Beyonce paying homage, whatever suits your fancy or your agenda.

I wager most people, most who weren't far right anyway, took it as net positive. Leave it to you to turn it into a negative.

Some people are offended BY ABSOLUTELY EVERY. THING.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 01:45 AM
PS: You are doing a bangup job of proving the horseshoe theory.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 01:45 AM
Originally Posted by Schlack
Originally Posted by pdx rick
This campaign season is a college professor's gold strike. They have enough material that will fill their syllabuses for an entire term. Heck, I'll will go as far as to suggest that Trump will be a political science topic all on its own. smile

The only way Trump would get a whole chapter is if he wins. So its hopefully a punctuation mark. The period that marks the end of the GOP Southern Strategy 1964-2016.

Not the end of the Republican party, but the end of this version of the GOP

Wow, good call!
Spot on, mate.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 01:48 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Quote
In the mathematics of chaos theory, a horseshoe map is any member of a class of chaotic maps of the square into itself. It is a core example in the study of dynamical systems. The map was introduced by Stephen Smale while studying the behavior of the orbits of the van der Pol oscillator. The action of the map is defined geometrically by squishing the square, then stretching the result into a long strip, and finally folding the strip into the shape of a horseshoe.

Most points eventually leave the square under the action of the map. They go to the side caps where they will, under iteration, converge to a fixed point in one of the caps. The points that remain in the square under repeated iteration form a fractal set and are part of the invariant set of the map.

Or maybe mixing physics with politics is a dead end right from the start. We are not particles, we are people.

Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 01:50 AM
Originally Posted by Phil Hoskins
Just wanted to drop in and put into the mix that labels always divide, that is their purpose, and we are all humans in essence and reality.

Continue ......

Nevertheless while I grant you everything, quantifying behavioral tendencies is the standard method of classification.
People who like hunting do not generally go to vegan restaurants.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 02:01 AM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
This requires more than just a general rehash about Clinton's political overtures but rather, it asks that you supply something that spotlights her as being against Ali's activism specifically.
Now, if you're focusing exclusively on his early activities with Elijah Muhammed I would be forced to remind you that he soundly rejected NOI shortly after the death of Malcolm X, who died BECAUSE HE rejected NOI as well.
In fact, Ali said that not having reconciled with Malcolm X after his epiphany was one of his greatest regrets.
Ali and X had very complicated political evolutions which defy the broad brush.


I am forced to assume you are referencing The New Black Panther Party. If not, and you are instead referencing the original group, then it means you don't know a lot about the original Black Panthers or their activism, none of which would be considered corporate at all. Nor would appropriating their symbolism be considered corporate.

Did you actually read the post? Hmm

1) I was referring to BILL CLINTON (you know the guy who read the eulogy) rolleyes Nothing to do with NOI - ALI'S CIVIL RIGHTS AND ECONOMIC JUSTICE ADVOCACY that does not jive with Bill Clinton's Neo liberal policy. Missed my point entirely.

2) Again - my point was BEYONCE's co-opting of the ORIGINAL Panthers at the super-bowl was corporate, not the Panthers themselves, of which I was a member! rolleyes Yes, appropriating the symbols of the movement without understanding it smacks of corporatism.

Please read with care.

So, why a failed liberal? Don't get it.

I read it carefully, and if you read Baraka's screeds, then you know that he has turned it into a help wanted poster for his ridiculous campaign, so I sneer at his attempt to turn Bubba into an imperialist enemy of blackdom just because he doesn't jive with Far Left tropes.
I know you love Jill Stein and I know you're considerably farther left than I am but please consider that Stein is already pretty far left as it is and instead of choosing a moderating influence, she went farther out on the fringe.

If he doesn't seem fringe to you, then I guess we have to agree to disagree on that one.

As for Beyonce, you can call it corporate appropriation of Panther symbols if you want or you can call it Beyonce paying homage, whatever suits your fancy or your agenda.

I wager most people, most who weren't far right anyway, took it as net positive. Leave it to you to turn it into a negative.

Some people are offended BY ABSOLUTELY EVERY. THING.

Apparently again you didn't read my post.
1) I don't like Jill Stein- never said I did.
2) I called the guy crazy - so clearly I don't support him or her.
3) Fringe is what exactly? Everything that doesn't suit you?
4) I'm not offended by anything except ignorance.
5) Bill is a neo liberal per his policies - not opinion. Do the research.
6) Beyonce is someone who doesn't understand what the panthers were about.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 02:04 AM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Quote
In the mathematics of chaos theory, a horseshoe map is any member of a class of chaotic maps of the square into itself. It is a core example in the study of dynamical systems. The map was introduced by Stephen Smale while studying the behavior of the orbits of the van der Pol oscillator. The action of the map is defined geometrically by squishing the square, then stretching the result into a long strip, and finally folding the strip into the shape of a horseshoe.

Most points eventually leave the square under the action of the map. They go to the side caps where they will, under iteration, converge to a fixed point in one of the caps. The points that remain in the square under repeated iteration form a fractal set and are part of the invariant set of the map.

Or maybe mixing physics with politics is a dead end right from the start. We are not particles, we are people.

In case I need remind you - people are particles ROTFMOL
And the theorem is from topology - pure mathematics - not physics.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 02:07 AM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
PS: You are doing a bangup job of proving the horseshoe theory.

No such theory, dear fellow. It is balderdash. Unadulterated nonsense. coffee
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 02:15 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
So, why a failed liberal? Don't get it.

If your liberalism consists mainly of attacking others for merely not agreeing with your point of view and you invest significant effort into demanding that other points of view get censored and prohibited, that IS FASCISM, which has NO place in liberal thought, word or deed.

Such conduct is also ammunition that the right uses when describing liberals as INTOLERANT. If you are intolerant, you CANNOT BE liberal.

EXAMPLE:



EXAMPLE:



EXAMPLE:



EXAMPLE:





Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 02:42 AM
What is it with being a liberal? Generalization is dangerous and leads to bigotry - a hallmark of fascism.
People believe what they believe and that is rarely ever black and white.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 03:52 AM
You asked for examples of failed liberals.
If you watch each of the clips above, you will see liberals demanding censorship of dissent. That is grounds for revoking their "LIBERAL CARD".
If you are demanding "safe space", if you are demanding vengeance for "being offended" or "being triggered", you are intolerant and therefore a failed liberal.

Tolerance is the definition of liberalism. Liberals are supposed to have open minds.

I am actually NOT generalizing at all, I am focusing on specific types, that is the opposite of generalization.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 10:28 AM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Tolerance is the definition of liberalism. Liberals are supposed to have open minds.

I am actually NOT generalizing at all, I am focusing on specific types, that is the opposite of generalization.

Your statement immediately before saying that this is not a generalization IS a generalization. When one ascribes a strict set of traits or values to a diverse group in which there is no way to assess how close in opinion every person in that group is to the other, one is generalizing.
Much like our RR group here: there are some things we might all agree on, but even our reasons for those items of agreement may be quite different.
Open mind to me may not be the same as open mind to you, etc. You get the picture.
In summary, attributing a set of beliefs or opinions or dogmas to any group constitutes a generalization. It assumes facts not in evidence, i.e., the actual reasons and details that underlie those beliefs.
Political parties should house diversity of opinion. There should be an open and frank discussion of ideas. That is not the case (for the most part).
Left of center is a fuzzy definition - by that I mean it is a range of values and not a crisp value.
Same goes for right of center.
But as anyone with our (yours and mine) experience knows: getting any group to agree on anything is always tricky. There will be lines in the sand that will divide any group, no matter how cohesive they may seem to be.
Labels divide.
Ideas (and more importantly, actions) are the currency by which we can make sound decisions. If a politician's actions move in a direction that I want to go, I will support her/him. Otherwise I will not. I don't need a label for that.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 04:48 PM
Labels can be useful, and labels can be divisive, depending on how they are used.

For example, a census categorizes people according to, among other things, race, ethnicity, gender, age, income, working status. Polls do the same. In both cases they are categorized in order to achieve greater understanding. Political parties use their label to group thoughts or philosophical approaches together to distinguish themselves. People do too (e.g., "I'm a white, working-class, male"; or "I'm a person of color AND means".) "Black lives matter".

But, labels can also be used to divide, demean, and discriminate. "White's only"; "libtard"; and every kind of racial, national or ethnic slur.

Attitudinal labels "Liberal", "Conservative", "Progressive" can be used or misused the same way. If they are used to bring understanding, they are useful (in organizing thoughts, for example). If they are used pejoratively, they are not. My wife and I used to teasingly call each other "empty-headed liberal" and "dyed-in-the-wool conservative" because it was funny, since we agree on 95% of everything, but it pointed out the ridiculousness of trying to categorize our positions as black or white.

Let's keep our discussion on the philosophical and useful side, and not on the pejorative.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 04:54 PM
By the way, "horseshoe theory" is not horse shyte, but a well-established model for grouping and discussing political thought. When individuals or groups get extreme in support of their views, they become indistinguishable. A crowd killed by a bomb doesn't care if the bomb- wielder was a fascist or an anarchist, they're just as dead. There are authoritarians that call themselves communist and those that call themselves fascist. Their behavior is indistinguishable - who was worse, Stalin or Hitler?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 05:16 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
By the way, "horseshoe theory" is not horse shyte, but a well-established model for grouping and discussing political thought. When individuals or groups get extreme in support of their views, they become indistinguishable. A crowd killed by a bomb doesn't care if the bomb- wielder was a fascist or an anarchist, they're just as dead. There are authoritarians that call themselves communist and those that call themselves fascist. Their behavior is indistinguishable - who was worse, Stalin or Hitler?

Sounds likes horseshyte to me. Of course it matters, unless you don't mind if it happens again.
One needs to find the root cause of things and not the superficial labels attributed in order to facilitate the digestion as desired by those who distribute the news.
I've read about it. It is prime grade BS. It is based entirely on a coarse grained stratification. In statistics we call that nonsense.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/07/16 05:18 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Labels can be useful, and labels can be divisive, depending on how they are used.

For example, a census categorizes people according to, among other things, race, ethnicity, gender, age, income, working status. Polls do the same. In both cases they are categorized in order to achieve greater understanding. Political parties use their label to group thoughts or philosophical approaches together to distinguish themselves. People do too (e.g., "I'm a white, working-class, male"; or "I'm a person of color AND means".) "Black lives matter".

But, labels can also be used to divide, demean, and discriminate. "White's only"; "libtard"; and every kind of racial, national or ethnic slur.

Attitudinal labels "Liberal", "Conservative", "Progressive" can be used or misused the same way. If they are used to bring understanding, they are useful (in organizing thoughts, for example). If they are used pejoratively, they are not. My wife and I used to teasingly call each other "empty-headed liberal" and "dyed-in-the-wool conservative" because it was funny, since we agree on 95% of everything, but it pointed out the ridiculousness of trying to categorize our positions as black or white.

Let's keep our discussion on the philosophical and useful side, and not on the pejorative.

Pejorative? ROTFMOL Truly...

BTW - I can't think of any instance where labels are inclusive. They are usually used to exclude some group from some other group. Can you?
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/08/16 03:12 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Tolerance is the definition of liberalism. Liberals are supposed to have open minds.

I am actually NOT generalizing at all, I am focusing on specific types, that is the opposite of generalization.

Your statement immediately before saying that this is not a generalization IS a generalization. When one ascribes a strict set of traits or values to a diverse group in which there is no way to assess how close in opinion every person in that group is to the other, one is generalizing.

The social justice warrior faction is NOT diverse at all, Zeke.
That's their problem. Diversity is NOT tolerated in the far out regressive left in any way whatsoever. Example after example abounds where one can observe all nails that stick up, getting pounded down or shouted out of the area in order to protect their "safe spaces".
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/08/16 06:15 AM

This is what that slimy bitchy queen Matt Drudge headlines at his site tonight:

[Linked Image from i1308.photobucket.com]

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/08/16 10:30 AM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Tolerance is the definition of liberalism. Liberals are supposed to have open minds.

I am actually NOT generalizing at all, I am focusing on specific types, that is the opposite of generalization.

Your statement immediately before saying that this is not a generalization IS a generalization. When one ascribes a strict set of traits or values to a diverse group in which there is no way to assess how close in opinion every person in that group is to the other, one is generalizing.

The social justice warrior faction is NOT diverse at all, Zeke.
That's their problem. Diversity is NOT tolerated in the far out regressive left in any way whatsoever. Example after example abounds where one can observe all nails that stick up, getting pounded down or shouted out of the area in order to protect their "safe spaces".
Extremes occur in almost any human grouping. Whenever they target the quashing of dissent they are wrong. My point is: they result from very different causes and the causes are important if one wishes to stop and correct them.
When one lumps all such extremes into the same bin, one runs the risk of creating yet another extreme which does nothing to help correct the original problem, it only exacerbates them making a solution that much more difficult.
The difference again, is in kind. Thus, the solutions will necessarily be different.
So don't read this as a justification of any extreme that aims to silence dissent. Read it as a clarification of how to deal with and understand and attempt to correct it.
Such is the world we live in and such are the people that inhabit it. Filled with nuance and not at all "black and white", as Trump would have it.
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/08/16 01:12 PM
So, any validity to the Hillary heath claims?

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/08/16 02:09 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
. I can't think of any instance where labels are inclusive. They are usually used to exclude some group from some other group. Can you?
I didn't say labels, of themselves, are inclusive, only that they can be useful - especially when seeking inclusion. Just to use an example from history... last week ... the Circuit Court struck down the voter ID laws in NC because they were drafted with discriminatory intent. How would we know that unless the voters has not been categorized or labeled. In this case the labels were used to ensure inclusion.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/08/16 02:18 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
. I can't think of any instance where labels are inclusive. They are usually used to exclude some group from some other group. Can you?
I didn't say labels, of themselves, are inclusive, only that they can be useful - especially when seeking inclusion. Just to use an example from history... last week ... the Circuit Court struck down the voter ID laws in NC because they were drafted with
Quote
discriminatory intent
. How would we know that unless the voters has not been categorized or labeled. In this case the labels were used to ensure inclusion.

In this case the label was used solely to identify a group that shares one or other provable trait and decide whether they had been targeted or not. It doesn't ascribe anything other than that to this group.
Example: you may say that a group of people is comprised of folks of Northern European descent. You can even get more specific and say that they hail from the UK. However, what doesn't make sense is to attribute any monolithic trait or behavior to a diverse group of people, even when they share some common provable characteristic.
My comments are based on the latter and not the former. Labeling for the purpose of identifying some factual and provable trait, i.e., born in the UK, is not the issue. The issue is the extrapolation of that fact into a trait that generalizes ways of thinking, ways of behavior, etc.
I believe my comments were quite clear on that point.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/08/16 02:38 PM
Anti-Trump Republican Evan McMullin to launch independent bid for presidency

Quote
Evan McMullin, the chief policy director for Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives, will offer discontented members of his party an option this November by launching an independent, conservative bid for president.
“In a year where Americans have lost faith in the candidates of both major parties, it’s time for a generation of new leadership to step up," McMullin said in a statement to ABC News. "It’s never too late to do the right thing, and America deserves much better than either Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton can offer us. I humbly offer myself as a leader who can give millions of disaffected Americans a conservative choice for President.”

Politico

Not sure how much effect this would have for the Dems (many people on the conservative train might have just stayed home) but it might have the effect of further taking votes from the Drumpf.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/08/16 04:12 PM
And adding votes to the down ballot Republicans...

But can he actually get onto the ballots in time for the elections?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/08/16 04:14 PM
Good question...

Quote
An individual can run as an independent. Independent presidential candidates typically must petition each state to have their names printed on the general election ballot. For the 2016 presidential contest, it was estimated that an independent candidate would need to collect in excess of 880,000 signatures in order to appear on the general election ballot in every state.

Link
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/08/16 04:51 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
So, any validity to the Hillary heath claims?
Yes, it's all valid. Let's see Donald's every little medical condition in the past seven years.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/08/16 05:47 PM
Conservatives Are Desperate to Pretend Donald Trump Never Happened
They want him to drop out not just to protect the country, but to sweep him under the rug.

Quote
In many ways, Donald Trump’s mesmerizing self-destruction last week seemed almost rehearsed, like a building implosion in human form. His fixation with settling the score against the Khan family was the primer charge, which triggered a series of connected explosives,...

The process unfolded too rapidly for Republicans to cycle through the stages of grief over one explosion before another went off. In the crude overlap of anger, bargaining, and denial that resulted, some anti-Trump conservatives clung to the hope that Trump would leave the campaign, either voluntarily or through public pressure, and the party could press ahead to November with a new and not altogether unhinged nominee.

New Republic
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/08/16 06:06 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Extremes occur in almost any human grouping. Whenever they target the quashing of dissent they are wrong. My point is: they result from very different causes and the causes are important if one wishes to stop and correct them.
When one lumps all such extremes into the same bin, one runs the risk of creating yet another extreme which does nothing to help correct the original problem, it only exacerbates them making a solution that much more difficult.

I did not lump "all of them" into one bin, I said that those on the very extreme regressive left often have more in common with those on the very extreme oppressive right.
That's why the linear scale of Left-to-Right in politics is more aptly depicted as a kind of "horseshoe" because there seems to be evidence that once one ventures too far toward the extremes of both Left and Right, strange similarities begin to appear.

Originally Posted by Ezekiel
The difference again, is in kind. Thus, the solutions will necessarily be different.
So don't read this as a justification of any extreme that aims to silence dissent. Read it as a clarification of how to deal with and understand and attempt to correct it.
Such is the world we live in and such are the people that inhabit it. Filled with nuance and not at all "black and white", as Trump would have it.

It often attempts to correct itself with disastrous results.
You see, once again, I am focusing on the extremes in both groups and one behavior they have in common is devotion to a very fundamentalist code of conduct that lashes out at the moderate centers IN both Left and Right.
Both extremes are overly fond of tagging the moderate centers as sellouts, imperialists, stooges, toadies for the elites and criminals who must be silenced at all costs, even at the cost of democracy itself. The other glaring similarity is that ALL of the above tags prove to be pure projection and blame shifting.

Psychological projection is a psychological theory which says such humans defend themselves against their own unconscious impulses or qualities by denying their existence in themselves while simultaneously attributing them to their targets.

Eventually a schism occurs in the minds of most extreme regressive leftists because their would-be liberal values find themselves in conflict with their inner fascist, and the inner fascist wins.
It can be a moment where the bubble fails and they are exposed to the harsh realities of life, it can be a personal trauma where key figures in their small circle hurt them, it can be almost any trauma which causes a shift in the magnetic poles of their psyche.
Or it can be as simple a reality as being forced to live by the very values they seek to impose on others.
In any case, at that point they often experience an identity crisis so unsettling that they seek the shelter of whatever will provide cover for that inner fascist, because their conduct is that of the average schoolyard bully. The bully needs protection, and it finds refuge in the codes and values of the extreme right.
That is when the jump across the ends of the horseshoe occurs.

It explains why almost all of the key figures in the Reagan era neoconservative movement are former ultra leftists.

The bullying tactics remain, the projection tendencies are nurtured, the fundamentalism legitimized and the intolerance is justified.
All that is required is that small sacrifice in personal values, a switch from Left to Right.
Since democracy and tolerance aren't important to them and never have been, and since intellectual laziness is a key component to preserving the bubble, it's almost unnoticeable for them, especially once they are nurtured enough to regain their confidence.

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/08/16 06:15 PM
A scientific theory must be a well substantiated explanation of a phenomenon or set of phenomena. In order for horseshoe
theory to be valid, it needs to be able to accurately describe a phenomenon, and has to be backed up by a significant
amount of evidence. Aside from that, exceptions must be be explained as not inherently violating the theory,
otherwise the theory itself is false.
What exactly does horseshoe theory state? Quoting Wikipedia:
"The horseshoe theory in political science asserts that rather than the far left and the far right being at opposite
and opposing ends of a linear political continuum, they in fact closely resemble one another,
much like the ends of a horseshoe."
So, in order for this to be considered a valid theory, one must have a good body of evidence suggesting that
far left always ends up being more similar to the far right than to the political center. Does that exist?
No, not at all. Anarchism, usually considered even farther to the left of most communist ideologies (note here that
there is not just one),is the polar opposite of fascism in almost every way, and is far more similar to liberal democracy
than it is to fascism. If horseshoe theory were valid, then anarchism must closely resemble fascism, or there should be
an explanation for why it doesn't, yet, horseshoe theory doesn't provide such an explanation, and it clearly breaks down
whenever we expand the far left and far right to include more than just Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union.
Nor does it actually provide an explanation for anything. It's just a claim of coarsely and selectively observed evidence.
It just says "x will lead to y" and tries to pass this off as a theory. In reality, it doesn't predict or
explain evidence, it just claims observed evidence (which is quite thin and limited, and carefully selected to support its own tenets)
and then says "yeah that's what always happens because ????? (no underlying reason)."
This is just bad science, plain and simple.
Another problem arises when one realizes that there is no single left-right spectrum. Assuming all ideologies are
just more left or more right wing versions of each other is bad politics in and of itself, because it ignores the
many things that make each ideology different.
When even the basic assumption of your theory is flawed, your theory itself is flawed.
It also confounds political radicalism with political extremism. Just being dogmatic and using violence to
advocate your opinion doesn't automatically make your opinion extremely radical, yet horseshoe theory assumes it does.
It is possible to be a social democrat who advocates violence or an anarchist who advocates pacifism.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/09/16 01:43 AM
When far left "liberalism" exerts fascist characteristics:
Stein’s VP Pick Called Support For Charlie Hebdo Victims ‘White Supremacy’

I am liberal, but I'm not an extremist.
Stein's VP really IS the kind of "bomb throwing leftist radical" that Republicans claim Obama was. Now, when the whole world gets to see and hear Ajamu Baraka speak his mind, Republicans should be ashamed and should immediately apologize to Sanders, Hillary and ESPECIALLY Barack Obama for character assasination they've engaged in for all these years.
Maybe conservatives NEED a reminder of what a bomb throwing leftist radical really sounds like to remind them that Sanders, Clinton and Obama represent reasoned moderate views.

Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/09/16 02:56 AM
This "horseshoe theory" is new to me. But my immediate takeaway is that the horseshoe is not a circle, hence the far right and far left, though they share some similarities, ostensibly bomb throwing, they will never actually meet.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/09/16 03:37 AM
Maybe they meet at the front of the horseshoe...?

I have a friend who was a professional farrier, I'll ask him and report back.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/09/16 04:52 AM
Perhaps it is not a theory "in the scientific sense" but rather, a paradigm.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/09/16 07:29 AM
Oh for.@&$#%... sake, Zeke, you can't be serious. As is pointed out, the "horseshoe" is a paradigm/observation, not some ultra-specific scientific "theorem." It has long been pointed out in social science circles that the left-right continuum inadequately explains the variations in political thought. Various descriptions have been used, using graphs of various sorts, x-y, Venn, etc., to plot the various positions different groups occupy. As was noted earlier, the horseshoe was used as a descriptor because a circle implies connection, whereas the horseshoe describes similarities but not overlap. It is derived from observation that when placing viewpoints on an x-y array the dots tend to describe a horseshoe shape. Beyond that, this discussion does indeed resemble horseshyte intended to obfuscate not illuminate, and is very far from the subject of the thread.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/09/16 09:39 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
This "horseshoe theory" is new to me. But my immediate takeaway is that the horseshoe is not a circle, hence the far right and far left, though they share some similarities, ostensibly bomb throwing, they will never actually meet.
The lines of the horseshoe referenced in the theory are not parallel so in theory they would meet on a linear plane (one of the underlying assumptions).
If they lines are supposed to be parallel - a feature of which one finds no mention - then the theory is further misstated. More sloppy, shoddy work.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/09/16 09:40 AM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Maybe they meet at the front of the horseshoe...?

I have a friend who was a professional farrier, I'll ask him and report back.

Please do, Loggy, so that we can stop this nonsense ROTFMOL
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/09/16 09:50 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Oh for.@&$#%... sake, Zeke, you can't be serious. As is pointed out, the "horseshoe" is a paradigm/observation, not some ultra-specific scientific "theorem." It has long been pointed out in social science circles that the left-right continuum inadequately explains the variations in political thought. Various descriptions have been used, using graphs of various sorts, x-y, Venn, etc., to plot the various positions different groups occupy. As was noted earlier, the horseshoe was used as a descriptor because a circle implies connection, whereas the horseshoe describes similarities but not overlap. It is derived from observation that when placing viewpoints on an x-y array the dots tend to describe a horseshoe shape. Beyond that, this discussion does indeed resemble horseshyte intended to obfuscate not illuminate, and is very far from the subject of the thread.

Junk science is junk science. One can jump up and down and pout and scream, but it doesn't change the fact that this so-called "horseshoe" (horseshyte) theory explains nothing. coffee
Its basis is flawed and there is ample proof of that. If anything, it "obfuscates" reality and builds a comfy little hiding place for its "believers".
Conflating diametrically opposed ideologies is pure and utter nonsense. It disregards logic and reason.
As for this discussion, I have tried to return to the topic but, as Michael Coreleone said, "Every time I try to leave they pull me back in" LOL
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/09/16 09:51 AM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Perhaps it is not a theory "in the scientific sense" but rather, a paradigm.

Paradigm:
Originally Posted by Merriam-Webster
a philosophical and theoretical framework of a scientific school or discipline within which theories, laws, and generalizations and the experiments performed in support of them are formulated; broadly : a philosophical or theoretical framework of any kind

It certainly is not a scientific theory. Paradigms can be true or false, in this case, false is the appropriate classification.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/09/16 09:57 AM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
When far left "liberalism" exerts fascist characteristics:
Stein’s VP Pick Called Support For Charlie Hebdo Victims ‘White Supremacy’

I am liberal, but I'm not an extremist.
Stein's VP really IS the kind of "bomb throwing leftist radical" that Republicans claim Obama was. Now, when the whole world gets to see and hear Ajamu Baraka speak his mind, Republicans should be ashamed and should immediately apologize to Sanders, Hillary and ESPECIALLY Barack Obama for character assasination they've engaged in for all these years.
Maybe conservatives NEED a reminder of what a bomb throwing leftist radical really sounds like to remind them that Sanders, Clinton and Obama represent reasoned moderate views.

Bomb throwing? ROTFMOL
Hyperbole much? coffee
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/09/16 11:12 AM
Read the letter by former GOP national security officials opposing Trump

Quote
The undersigned individuals have all served in senior national security and/or foreign policy positions in Republican Administrations, from Richard Nixon to George W. Bush. We have worked directly on national security issues with these Republican Presidents and/or their principal advisers during wartime and other periods of crisis, through successes and failures. We know the personal qualities required of a President of the United States.
None of us will vote for Donald Trump.

WaPo
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/09/16 08:52 PM
Trump says 'Second Amendment people' could stop Clinton

...

A joke surely but ... jeebus
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/09/16 09:03 PM
Hard to know if it is a joke with the Donald rolleyes
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 01:59 AM
It's only a joke after somebody calls him on it.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 02:08 AM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Stein's VP really IS the kind of "bomb throwing leftist radical" that Republicans claim Obama was. Now, when the whole world gets to see and hear Ajamu Baraka speak his mind, Republicans should be ashamed and should immediately apologize to Sanders, Hillary and ESPECIALLY Barack Obama for character assasination they've engaged in for all these years.
Maybe conservatives NEED a reminder of what a bomb throwing leftist radical really sounds like to remind them that Sanders, Clinton and Obama represent reasoned moderate views.

Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Bomb throwing? ROTFMOL
Hyperbole much? coffee

Miss quotation marks much?
I highlighted them for you this time, so that you would be reminded of the context they were used in.
Love ya Zeke, but you're all over the road this time.
I just think that the linear spectrum that portrays the Left-to-Right alignment is not doing justice to describe the philosophy, values and conduct of groups that wind up on the extreme ends.
If the horseshoe idea doesn't work for you, it doesn't work for you.
It works better for a lot of people for whom the linear scale doesn't because it seems to explain certain phenomena like the exodus from extreme left to extreme right which is well documented.

Lots of people think it's a natural function of age but I disagree because most people in the moderate portion of the spectrum stay pretty much in the same spot save for a traumatic experience such as Trump's candidacy, or a radical restructure of party agendas.
Thus they remain moderate liberals or moderate conservatives despite the change in party labels.

Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 02:11 AM
Originally Posted by Schlack

United States Secret Service on Twitter
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 02:13 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
It's only a joke after somebody calls him on it.

It's only a joke until:

Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 02:16 AM
It is called "stochastic terrorism".

Stochastic terrorism is the use of mass communications to incite random actors to carry out violent or terrorist acts that are statistically predictable but individually unpredictable. In short, remote-control murder by lone wolf.

Osama bin Laden used it, Charles Manson used it and now Donald Trump uses it but IOKIYAR.

It's OK If You Are Republican, Donald Trump gets a free pass.



Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 02:49 AM
However you look at it this is not going to help Donald trump in the polls.
Posted By: Irked Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 03:28 AM
Calling for the death of one's opponent - the opponent of all humanity - is hardily a new thing.

Everyone can agree that, in the days of yore, the objective (Political Power) was achieved by physically removing one's political enemy from this mortal coil. A good, conservative way to conduct business.

It's not as though anyone is suggesting one ceremonially sacrifice and consume a political foe!
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 09:06 AM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Stein's VP really IS the kind of "bomb throwing leftist radical" that Republicans claim Obama was. Now, when the whole world gets to see and hear Ajamu Baraka speak his mind, Republicans should be ashamed and should immediately apologize to Sanders, Hillary and ESPECIALLY Barack Obama for character assasination they've engaged in for all these years.
Maybe conservatives NEED a reminder of what a bomb throwing leftist radical really sounds like to remind them that Sanders, Clinton and Obama represent reasoned moderate views.

Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Bomb throwing? ROTFMOL
Hyperbole much? coffee

Miss quotation marks much?
I highlighted them for you this time, so that you would be reminded of the context they were used in.
Love ya Zeke, but you're all over the road this time.
I just think that the linear spectrum that portrays the Left-to-Right alignment is not doing justice to describe the philosophy, values and conduct of groups that wind up on the extreme ends.
If the horseshoe idea doesn't work for you, it doesn't work for you.
It works better for a lot of people for whom the linear scale doesn't because it seems to explain certain phenomena like the exodus from extreme left to extreme right which is well documented.

Lots of people think it's a natural function of age but I disagree because most people in the moderate portion of the spectrum stay pretty much in the same spot save for a traumatic experience such as Trump's candidacy, or a radical restructure of party agendas.
Thus they remain moderate liberals or moderate conservatives despite the change in party labels.
Jeff, love ya right back smile But this time you've got it kinda backwards.
Originally Posted by Jeffrey J. Haas
Maybe conservatives NEED a reminder of what a bomb throwing leftist radical really sounds like to remind them that Sanders, Clinton and Obama represent reasoned moderate views.
1) See, no quote marks. Emphasis is mine.
The syntax implies that Mr. Baraka is a real bomb throwing leftist radical.
Mr. Baraka, as far as I can tell, never advocated the throwing of bombs, or any other violent methods. As whacky as some of his ideas may sound, they aren't violent.

2) And the horseshoe theory IS a linear paradigm. The progression that describes the curve is linear. So my argument is that the curve is non linear, like so:
[Linked Image from s6.postimg.org]
The age aspect seems anecdotal, and I'm not sure it holds any water. I agree with you on that.
Extremes occur in most (but not all) distributions but the important thing to remember is that they always have OPPOSITE SIGNS. -3 DOES NOT EQUAL 3 (even though the number 3 is present in both). Equal distance from the center does not imply similarity in nature, all it says is that the distance is more or less the same.
My contention is that the right side of the distribution (the right extreme) is longer with a higher probability than the left. There is a skew, in other words.
I am not alone is recognizing the silliness of the horseshoe theory. It does not withstand the rigor of its claims. It is just bad science.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 09:19 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
It's only a joke after somebody calls him on it.
Exactly. In the meantime, there are many 2nd amendmenteurs out there with itchy fingers. coffee

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 09:22 AM
The ravings of the Drumpf ARE intended to incite. They represent the psychopathic delusions of a sick mind. People like him usually wind up in padded cells wearing a Napoleon Bonaparte hat. What keeps him from that fate is his money and his relative clown-like fame.
I continue to think he will not make it to November, and if he keeps it up at the current pace, he won't make it to the end of August.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 09:22 AM

Trump was very clearly referring to what happens AFTER Hillary gets elected (something even he seems to be realizing is very likely to occur). Hmm
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 09:31 AM
If Nate is correct then it seems like he's headed for the shytehole (where he verily belongs):
The Nowcast:

[Linked Image from s6.postimg.org]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 09:33 AM

Hillary with 373 electoral votes would be a blow-out.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 09:39 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Hillary with 373 electoral votes would be a blow-out.

Yup - it's starting to look as it should. LANDSLIDE defeat of America's ubiquitous moron. dunce
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 10:19 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Hillary with 373 electoral votes would be a blow-out.

Yup - it's starting to look as it should. LANDSLIDE defeat of America's ubiquitous moron. dunce
A defeat that large will surely break the GOP apart.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 10:25 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Hillary with 373 electoral votes would be a blow-out.

Yup - it's starting to look as it should. LANDSLIDE defeat of America's ubiquitous moron. dunce
A defeat that large will surely break the GOP apart.

One can hope, Rick, fingers crossed! ThumbsUp
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 10:29 AM

Then again, Trump will simply say that the election 'was rigged' and go on his merry way.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 10:30 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Then again, Trump will simply say that the election 'was rigged' and go on his merry way.

Well, he could give two shytes about the GOP. I'll bet he and his mob accountants are drumming up ways for him to pocket the campaign donations as we speak.
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 01:28 PM
Originally Posted by Irked
It's not as though anyone is suggesting one ceremonially sacrifice and consume a political foe!

It is only August after all. Isn't he planning to say this during the first debate and do it instead of the second?
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 03:24 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
The ravings of the Drumpf ARE intended to incite. They represent the psychopathic delusions of a sick mind. People like him usually wind up in padded cells wearing a Napoleon Bonaparte hat. What keeps him from that fate is his money and his relative clown-like fame.
I continue to think he will not make it to November, and if he keeps it up at the current pace, he won't make it to the end of August.
My bet is he will end up in litigation that sends the election to the 4-4 supremes
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 03:51 PM
Originally Posted by Phil Hoskins
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
The ravings of the Drumpf ARE intended to incite. They represent the psychopathic delusions of a sick mind. People like him usually wind up in padded cells wearing a Napoleon Bonaparte hat. What keeps him from that fate is his money and his relative clown-like fame.
I continue to think he will not make it to November, and if he keeps it up at the current pace, he won't make it to the end of August.
My bet is he will end up in litigation that sends the election to the 4-4 supremes

I suspect that even the more conservative justices are appalled with the Drumpf. sick
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 07:12 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Trump was very clearly referring to what happens AFTER Hillary gets elected (something even he seems to be realizing is very likely to occur). Hmm

Actually Rick's point demonstrates that his intention was to call for violence. After she's elected there is no vote to change who she would pick for the SCOTUS. Wolf Blitzer must have read Rick's post ThumbsUp
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 07:57 PM
Concerns with a "blow out" election. First, Paleo-conservatives will assert it was "because Trump wasn't conservative enough" despite all evidence to the contrary; second, Democrats should not be complacent; third, it is early yet, and circumstances can change; fourth, Trump's core constituency will insist it was rigged, and may, indeed, seek "Second amendment" remedies.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/10/16 08:52 PM
Too early to celebrate - that's for sure. But he doesn't seem to care. In fact, he seems to want to tank.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/11/16 12:06 AM
Quote
Trump wasn't conservative enough
That's actually a good thing. It means they lose again in 2020 and 2024. Let's hope they keep up the stupid racist stuff, too, in spite of the 2008 post-election autopsy.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/11/16 12:08 AM
Quote
In fact, he seems to want to tank.

I'm telling you, Trump has figured out a way to come out ahead by losing. It's The Producers scenario.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/11/16 12:26 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
In fact, he seems to want to tank.

I'm telling you, Trump has figured out a way to come out ahead by losing. It's The Producers scenario.
Gotta hand it to ya, PIA, you called it early on!
ThumbsUp
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/11/16 03:21 PM
For a presidential candidate this is rambling incoherence at its finest
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/11/16 06:32 PM
Ahhh, how he has changed since 2007 interview
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/11/16 07:14 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
In fact, he seems to want to tank.

I'm telling you, Trump has figured out a way to come out ahead by losing. It's The Producers scenario.
Gotta hand it to ya, PIA, you called it early on!
ThumbsUp

Actually Sarah Palin was a forerunner but she actually did the dumb thing by taking office and quitting, and then she flamed out.

Trump has refined it to an art form.
He doesn't even have to win the election.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/11/16 07:19 PM
every conservative radio talk show host, I heard, rejected the autopsy and doubled down on their current belief system .... they are still looking for a savior who will be able to verbalize their message, which will convert all listeners

Sen Cruz may have been the Messiah, but he is still working on the end times
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/11/16 07:36 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
In fact, he seems to want to tank.

I'm telling you, Trump has figured out a way to come out ahead by losing. It's The Producers scenario.
Gotta hand it to ya, PIA, you called it early on!
ThumbsUp

Actually Sarah Palin was a forerunner but she actually did the dumb thing by taking office and quitting, and then she flamed out.

Trump has refined it to an art form.
He doesn't even have to win the election.

I was reading the transcript of his interview on CNBC. He pretty much admits he's in the shyter - and doubles down saying he's not going to change a thing. Ergo: he's looking forward to taking down the Republican Party - and they deserve it for being a$$hats and supporting the Buffon.
I wonder how much he is being paid to finish the job grin
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/12/16 04:30 AM
Quote
every conservative radio talk show host, I heard, rejected the autopsy

They may actually do better when Republicans out of power. They are certainly much more free to complain and offer simplistic solutions that can't work in real life.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/12/16 09:34 AM
How Much Does Donald Trump Pay in Taxes? It Could Be Zero

Quote
Mitt Romney was excoriated during the 2012 presidential campaign for paying $4.9 million in federal income tax, or an average of just 14 percent of his adjusted gross income, in the two years for which he released returns.

No one should be surprised, though, if Donald J. Trump has paid far less — perhaps even zero federal income tax in some years. Indeed, that’s the expectation of numerous real estate and tax professionals I’ve interviewed in recent weeks.

Even with hundreds of millions in gross revenue from his vast real estate empire, “it’s both possible and legal that Donald Trump would pay little or no income tax,” said Len Green, an accountant and chairman of the Green Group, a tax and accounting advisory firm. Mr. Green is also a real estate investor, teaches at Babson College and is the author of the forthcoming “The Entrepreneur’s Playbook.”

“I would expect he’s paying little or no tax,” agreed Steven M. Rosenthal, a veteran tax lawyer and senior fellow at the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy center.

NY Times
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/13/16 12:18 AM
What do we know? Hillary is a challenged candidate. But, Hillary is smart, wonky, knows details, has a domestic and foreign policy and is liberal. Then there is Don Trump. Trump is ethically challenged, lies daily and consistently. He doesn't know basic geography, basic law, political reality, the powers of the Presidency, manners, common decency... and really has no interest in learning any of that. He doesn't have a real policy position on any domestic issues, or foreign policy, that doesn't change frequently and inconsistently. So...

It looks like he's losing badly (based upon polls, but yanno, how reliable are those?). I wish it were November and this nightmare was over.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/13/16 12:47 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I wish it were November and this nightmare was over.

So do I
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/14/16 02:41 AM

Now Hezbollah is quoting Donald Drumpf:

[Linked Image from i1308.photobucket.com]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/15/16 06:11 AM


This is what a full-on nutcase looks like. Hmm

This guy is the kinda guy I have total contempt for... mad He is hoping for more ISIS attacks so that Drumpf gets elected:

Quote
...these polls will inevitably look better for Trump as ISIS attacks...

What a very sick and disturbed individual. crazy
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/15/16 10:00 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
This is what a full-on nutcase looks like. Hmm

This guy is the kinda guy I have total contempt for... mad He is hoping for more ISIS attacks so that Drumpf gets elected:

Quote
...these polls will inevitably look better for Trump as ISIS attacks...

What a very sick and disturbed individual. crazy

Rick, dear friend, you are after all talking about Trump supporters. Are there any other kind?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/15/16 03:52 PM
I am genuinely concerned that Trump has loosed the dogs the GOP has been nurturing for decades. Trump will lose, and lose badly. The best majority of Americans understand why, and WANT him to lose. Nonetheless, Trump supporters are not tethered to reality like the rest of us. Many, like the ranter quoted earlier, are full-on nuthouse conspirators. Some want to foment discord. And a small number, we don't know how many, yet, will want to take up arms in support of their detached-from-reality schemes. They scare me more than ISIS.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/15/16 08:15 PM
Quote
Trump has loosed the dogs the GOP has been nurturing for decades.
And even the GOP plans to chain those dogs in the backyard once this election is over. A mean dog can be helpful at times but, once loose, can cause immeasurable damage to the neighborhood.
This election has served to show Republicans just how dangerous these dogs actually are.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/15/16 08:27 PM
They bred them. Lord Bolton, is that you?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/15/16 08:53 PM
Why plenty of Donald Trump supporters will believe that Hillary Clinton stole the election - WaPo
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/15/16 09:19 PM
What I find most disconcerting about the stats is even if you present factual evidence to the contrary, these people would still believe rampant (no matter how one defines it) voter fraud exists and political races have been stolen by liberals/Dems.

The right wing radio talk show hosts have drilled this lie into their audiences. This is now a fundamental truth, and a fundamental tenet in their idiot-ology.

It would be impossible to have an intelligent conversation with these folks.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/15/16 09:30 PM
Intelligent conversation implies intelligence on both sides of the table. When one side believes in the man in the moon, it is nigh impossible.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/16/16 08:56 AM
Trump is setting up the scenario that when he loses, it will be a "rigged" campaign that caused his loss - not his actual buffoonery and asinine proposals.

Creating the "rigged election" story line also then creates doubts about the legitimacy of Hillary Clinton's presidency. It will be akin to 'the birth certificate' for four years. (She's not really the President. She can't do that.)
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/16/16 09:22 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Trump is setting up the scenario that when he loses, it will be a "rigged" campaign that caused his loss - not his actual buffoonery and asinine proposals.

Creating the "rigged election" story line also then creates doubts about the legitimacy of Hillary Clinton's presidency. It will be akin to 'the birth certificate' for four years. (She's not really the President. She can't do that.)

As a failed party with a failed ideology that's all they have left.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/16/16 09:49 AM
Mandatory retirement for politicians:
When they start sounding like this...

Quote
More than six years later, Giuliani is still confused.
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani on Monday said terrorists failed to successfully strike the United States in the eight years before President Obama and former secretary of State Hillary Clinton took office.

“Under those eight years, before Obama came along, we didn’t have any successful radical Islamic terrorist attack in the United States,” Giuliani said Monday ahead of a speech by Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump on foreign policy. “They all started when Clinton and Obama got into office.”

MSNBC

That he is an a$$hat we already knew. But seriously????
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/16/16 01:12 PM
Probably crunch week for the Trump campaign. If He cant right the ship somewhat this week the GOP will likely abandon him.

Another Monday, another reset.

Trump can usually hold it together for a few days, he usually goes off by Thursday. Will be interesting to see if hes using the nice phone or the naughty one for his tweets. I understand he is now also being babysat by Prebius/Gulliani to keep his busy fingers away from the phone.

So we taking bets on the next breakdown?

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/16/16 01:25 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
Probably crunch week for the Trump campaign. If He cant right the ship somewhat this week the GOP will likely abandon him.

Another Monday, another reset.

Trump can usually hold it together for a few days, he usually goes off by Thursday. Will be interesting to see if hes using the nice phone or the naughty one for his tweets. I understand he is now also being babysat by Prebius/Gulliani to keep his busy fingers away from the phone.

So we taking bets on the next breakdown?

The ship is sunk. And Giuliani ain't helping.
Preibus has zero credibility and the speech yesterday will only alienate more people.
Next breakdown? What time is it? Give it a few minutes. grin
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/16/16 05:35 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by Schlack
Probably crunch week for the Trump campaign. If He cant right the ship somewhat this week the GOP will likely abandon him.

Another Monday, another reset.

Trump can usually hold it together for a few days, he usually goes off by Thursday. Will be interesting to see if hes using the nice phone or the naughty one for his tweets. I understand he is now also being babysat by Prebius/Gulliani to keep his busy fingers away from the phone.

So we taking bets on the next breakdown?

The ship is sunk.
I'm afraid you're correct. smile

[Linked Image from pbs.twimg.com]

It should have been the former Tea Party 'Patriots' first clue that Liberals supported their choice of Donald Trump for President. Don't ever trust the oppositions support of YOUR guy! dunce , ROTFMOL
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/16/16 05:41 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
So we taking bets on the next breakdown?
The breakdowns are coming fast and furious. Just yesterday, Trump proposed "Extreme Vetting" and swearing alliance to the Constitution.

Immigrants are already required to do that. So glad that Trump is familiar with U.S. law and policy. rolleyes

Plus, how do you vet a liar who will lie to get into the country to do evil things? Hmm
Posted By: Ardy Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/16/16 05:50 PM
I hear so many pundits in the media
offering such blindingly obvious good advice
And am always afraid trump will wake up from his oblivious stupor

Anyway, in this election cycle, it seems that most anything can happen
.... Except of course offering me a candidate that i actually want to vote for
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/16/16 05:54 PM
Originally Posted by Ardy
.... Except of course offering me a candidate that i actually want to vote for
I know....

(Heavy sigh...)

We only get to vote for those who are willing to do the work and go through the primary process.

Having said that, if Debbie Wasserman-Schultz's DNC wasn't so heavy into anointing Hillary Clinton and truly supported both candidates, would Bernie have faired better?

He did pretty well, but would he have done better if the DNC wasn't totally in the bag for Hillary.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/16/16 05:56 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Don't ever trust the oppositions support of YOUR guy! dunce , ROTFMOL
You'd think the former Tea Party 'Patriots' would know enough about history and not accept the Liberals' Trojan Horse. LOL
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/16/16 06:08 PM
Originally Posted by Ardy
.... Except of course offering me a candidate that i actually want to vote for

Amen ThumbsUp
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/16/16 06:14 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by Ardy
.... Except of course offering me a candidate that i actually want to vote for

Amen ThumbsUp
Bernie Bros...party of three. Our table is ready. smile
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/16/16 07:55 PM
Quote
He did pretty well, but would he have done better if the DNC wasn’t totally in the bag for Hillary.
Akin to Trump I am not convinced that Bernie really wanted to be president and all that it entails. Rather I feel he was more interested in changing the dialogue and inserting some of his ideas that would then be embraced in the Democratic platform. I have no evidence of this other than a gut feeling.

I also feel Bernie’s motives were more noble than Trumps. Bernie really wants/wanted to see some changes enacted that would benefit downtrodden Americans, whereby what Trump seeks is solely to further enhance his brand. Us vs. me.

If through some miracle Bernie would have been elected and assumed office, he would have immediately rolled up his sleeves and gotten down to the grinding work of enacting policy, while The Donald would have just gazed at himself in the mirror, while telling himself how truly awesome he was. That is the main difference twixt the two.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/16/16 08:11 PM
Quote
would he have done better if the DNC wasn't totally in the bag for Hillary

By "in the bag" do you mean she was a loyal Party soldier most of her adult life, especially in 2008 when she graciously stepped aside and endorsed Obama. Then served as Obama's Secretary of State. Almost all of the superdelegates voted for her because she knew them personally and had worked with them. This is how you build Party loyalty.

As opposed to Sanders who only registered as a Democrat when he decided to run?
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/16/16 08:22 PM
Daryl Issa may have a real chance for defeat this election: His Democratic opponent is a retired Marine Corps colonel who spent 32 years in the service and ended it at Camp Pendleton (in the district). He was within a few percentage points in the open primary. Issa has gone all out for Trump, so a Trump defeat might sink him too. The district is relatively wealthy but has become increasingly Hispanic and other minorities.

Applegate is fantastically qualified, being a lawyer, an infantry officer, a judge advocate, and having blue collar roots.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/16/16 08:27 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
would he have done better if the DNC wasn't totally in the bag for Hillary

By "in the bag" do you mean she was a loyal Party soldier most of her adult life, especially in 2008 when she graciously stepped aside and endorsed Obama. Then served as Obama's Secretary of State. Almost all of the superdelegates voted for her because she knew them personally and had worked with them. This is how you build Party loyalty.

As opposed to Sanders who only registered as a Democrat when he decided to run?

Actually I think he was referring to the PROVEN concerted effort by high ranking officials in the DNC to damage Sander's campaign . rolleyes

Onward Christian soldiers ... ROTFMOL
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/17/16 08:28 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Actually I think he was referring to the PROVEN concerted effort by high ranking officials in the DNC to damage Sander's campaign . rolleyes
That was exactly my reference. Thanks for having my back, fellow Bernie Bro. smile
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/17/16 08:32 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
would he have done better if the DNC wasn't totally in the bag for Hillary

By "in the bag" do you mean she was a loyal party soldier most of her adult life, especially in 2008 when she graciously stepped aside and endorsed Obama. Then served as Obama's Secretary of State. Almost all of the superdelegates voted for her because she knew them personally and had worked with them. This is how you build Party loyalty.

As opposed to Sanders who only registered as a Democrat when he decided to run?
I get that Hillary is a life-long Party soldier. Having said that, no matter how long she has been a party soldier and no matter how long Bernie has been a Democrat, equality and justice for all is equality and justice for all. Fairness is fairness. A level playing field is a level playing field. Hmm
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/17/16 09:32 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Actually I think he was referring to the PROVEN concerted effort by high ranking officials in the DNC to damage Sander's campaign . rolleyes
That was exactly my reference. Thanks for having my back, fellow Bernie Bro. smile

Got it, Bro. ThumbsUp
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/17/16 09:39 AM
The long awaited trump pivot has happened. Brietbart is now running the campaign.

Buckle up!

GOP exodus incoming.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/17/16 09:43 AM
Lemmings to the sea

[Linked Image from s6.postimg.org]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/17/16 05:33 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
The long awaited trump pivot has happened. Brietbart is now running the campaign.
Dead Andrew has risen up Zombie-style to help tiny hands Trump out? That is sure to bring the gravitas the Trump campaign has been lacking. coffee
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/17/16 06:29 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Schlack
The long awaited trump pivot has happened. Brietbart is now running the campaign.
Dead Andrew has risen up Zombie-style to help tiny hands Trump out? That is sure to bring the gravitas the Trump campaign has been lacking. coffee

I thought you meant the GRAVE for the Trump campaign .
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/17/16 07:50 PM
Quote
no matter how long she has been a party soldier and no matter how long Bernie has been a Democrat, equality and justice for all is equality and justice for all. Fairness is fairness. A level playing field is a level playing field.

You do know that the DNC is NOT part of the federal government, right? Your demand of "equality and justice for all" is incredibly naive. They tend to favor Democrats and have no obligation to treat outsiders the same as loyal Democrats. Bernie was not a Democrat before the primary and he is not a Democrat now. Maybe if he had bothered to register as a Democratic Party member a few years ago his treatment would have been better. That is his failing. Not the DNC's.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/17/16 09:43 PM
I'm gonna make believe I didn't read that.
He was a candidate of the Democratic Party and deserved fair treatment. All else is discrimination and just plain wrong .
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/17/16 10:53 PM
He was a Socialist until he decided to run. Only then did he decide to "become" a Democrat. Now that the primaries are over, he has gone back to being a Socialist. I'm sorry that your politics prevents you from admitting this. And the DNC IS NOT OBLIGATED to non-discrimination! They can discriminate against in-name-only Democrats all they want.

You seem to be confusing them with being part of the government and thus obligated to non-discrimination. They have no such obligation.

If Bernie wanted the full support of his Party then he should have run as a Socialist Party candidate. That certainly would have been a lot more honest than trying to hijack the Democratic Party.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/17/16 10:58 PM
Nonsense. That's all I can say. I'm sorry you think that. frown
BTW they did allow him to run, n'est pas tonbricks
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/17/16 11:00 PM
I wonder if the same standard is applicable to Don Trump, who is a "Republican" in label only... at least according to the Republican cognoscenti.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/17/16 11:23 PM
Yes, I think Trump did the same thing, but the difference is he won. If Sanders had won enough votes I think he would be the Democratic candidate, no matter how little officials of the DNC or old Party members with an office that gave them superdelegate status felt about him.

I agree that the use of superdelegates is not perfectly democratic, but the Parties are not government agencies with an obligation to everybody's ideas about fairness. Sanders knew about the superdelegates relationship with Clinton going in. That's exactly why Parties have mechanisms like that, so they will resist hijacking from outsiders.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/17/16 11:27 PM
So then, the RNC should have detonated his candidacy? ROTFMOL
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/17/16 11:45 PM
Some of them certainly tried. Maybe they should have tried harder. In their case, I think it shows that they care more about winning then they care about being Republicans, and this is exactly what has been wrong about the Party for years.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/17/16 11:57 PM
Thing is- they can't seem to make it happen.
Posted By: chunkstyle Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/18/16 12:00 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
He was a Socialist until he decided to run. Only then did he decide to "become" a Democrat. Now that the primaries are over, he has gone back to being a Socialist. I'm sorry that your politics prevents you from admitting this. And the DNC IS NOT OBLIGATED to non-discrimination! They can discriminate against in-name-only Democrats all they want.

You seem to be confusing them with being part of the government and thus obligated to non-discrimination. They have no such obligation.

If Bernie wanted the full support of his Party then he should have run as a Socialist Party candidate. That certainly would have been a lot more honest than trying to hijack the Democratic Party.

I can admit to Bernie's being allowed in the democratic primary but not having to be treated fairly by the DNC, PIA, if you can admit to the DNC being primarily a club in which they get to choose the winner beforehand. Being a Democrat and going to the effort of showing up to vote in it's primary is only useful insofar as I vote for the DNC's choice. Fair?
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/18/16 03:14 AM
Quote
the DNC being primarily a club in which they get to choose the winner beforehand

Not at all. He did not get more votes in the primary and he did not get more superdelegate votes. If Bernie had received more votes than Hillary in either one it would be a different story, but he did not. So how can you claim that he was somehow cheated and the DNC always gets to pick the candidate?

The truth is that he lost because more Democrats wanted Hillary, face it.
Posted By: Irked Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/18/16 05:03 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Schlack
The long awaited trump pivot has happened. Brietbart is now running the campaign.
Dead Andrew has risen up Zombie-style to help tiny hands Trump out? That is sure to bring the gravitas the Trump campaign has been lacking. coffee
Mr Bannon will assure that the True Trump TM is projected to the American People at all times. He'll keep the Great One on message - Trump's message and not the message of squishy, PC-strangled losers in the RNC.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/18/16 08:59 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
the DNC being primarily a club in which they get to choose the winner beforehand

Not at all. He did not get more votes in the primary and he did not get more superdelegate votes. If Bernie had received more votes than Hillary in either one it would be a different story, but he did not. So how can you claim that he was somehow cheated and the DNC always gets to pick the candidate?

The truth is that he lost because more Democrats wanted Hillary, face it.

Excuses, excuses, excuses... rolleyes
The question, I am forced to repeat, is not who won the 9% nomination process (yeah, only 9% of the population voted in the primaries) but rather, why Sanders was not treated fairly.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/18/16 03:03 PM
Oh good lord, give it a rest.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/18/16 03:22 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Oh good lord, give it a rest.

I try ROTFMOL
Posted By: chunkstyle Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/18/16 04:21 PM
Well, I dont want to risk angering the grown ups on the boards and incur another 'Oh good Lord!" or a blistering 'FOR HEAVENS SAKE!" so I'll just refer back to a John Oliver episode and let him explain why it should still be discussed.

Ground hogs day!


Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/18/16 04:42 PM
Originally Posted by chunkstyle
Well, I dont want to risk angering the grown ups on the boards and incur another 'Oh good Lord!" or a blistering 'FOR HEAVENS SAKE!" so I'll just refer back to a John Oliver episode and let him explain why it should still be discussed.

Ground hogs day!

Well said John ThumbsUp
Great find chunkstyle!
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/18/16 05:03 PM
The "polls-plus" forecast on FiveThirtyEight is lagging the "Now-cast" by less than 12%. 78.4% to 90%. That is getting into comfort territory for me, anyway, but I am terribly concerned about the absolute Sh!tstorm that is about to be unleashed on the public. Bannon will drag everyone into the gutter and then roll them around in the slime. Goebbels was an amateur, I tell you!! (And he didn't have the internet)
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/18/16 05:39 PM
There will always be people willing to believe bullshyte. Especially when it reinforces their own biases.
The real work is to make sure they NEVER become a majority.
We can't get consensus in a room with 4 people. So while you can't get everyone on the same page you gotta fight for the majority. Bannon will be railing to himself by the time the election is over. For now: gotta fight back with sanity .
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/18/16 06:13 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
The "polls-plus" forecast on FiveThirtyEight is lagging the "Now-cast" by less than 12%. 78.4% to 90%. That is getting into comfort territory for me, anyway, but I am terribly concerned about the absolute Sh!tstorm that is about to be unleashed on the public. Bannon will drag everyone into the gutter and then roll them around in the slime. Goebbels was an amateur, I tell you!! (And he didn't have the internet)
Did Bannon write Trump's pathetic outreach to Black Americans yesterday? LOL

Trump embedded the “exceptional negro” disclaimer that lets white voters know he’s only talking to the good ones who “want a different and much better future,” (Ben Carson, Herman Caine) as opposed to those other blacks who are happy on the "Democrat plantation" (takers of freebies).
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/18/16 06:17 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
There will always be people willing to believe bullshyte. Especially when it reinforces their own biases.
The real work is to make sure they NEVER become a majority.
Bow
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/18/16 06:34 PM
Rick, it wasn't outreach. It was trying to reassure moderates that he is not actively courting racists.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/18/16 06:54 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
Rick, it wasn't outreach. It was trying to reassure moderates that he is not actively courting racists.
Yet, actively courting racists was exactly what that dog whistle speech was about. Hmm
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/18/16 07:29 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Schlack
Rick, it wasn't outreach. It was trying to reassure moderates that he is not actively courting racists.
Yet, actively courting racists was exactly what that dog whistle speech was about. Hmm

Then there's the whole "my African - American" thing he did during the primaries. The racist component is very present every time he opens his mouth.
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/19/16 07:06 AM
whiplash

Well he's trying. Transparently so.
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/19/16 07:26 AM
and perhaps an explanation

Well other than tanking in the polls, but then the two are related.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/19/16 09:14 AM

Schlacky, neither link works.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/19/16 10:09 AM
Revealed: The Secret Donor Behind “Children of Israel,” the Ghost Corporation Funding GOP Super PACs

Is there anybody here who thinks this is Democracy?

Quote
THE 2016 ELECTIONS have seen a surge in contributions from “ghost corporations,” so-called because they are not functioning businesses or non-profits, and hence seem to exist solely to shield their owners’ identities.

Ghost corporations are a particularly dangerous and alarming new twist in campaign financing in the wake of the Supreme Court’s 2010 Citizens United decision. They make a mockery of one of the central claims of that decision: that “prompt disclosure” and “transparency” would allow U.S. democracy to survive the unlimited flood of money into elections from individuals, corporations and unions.

So exposing the real donors hiding behind ghost corporations is essential. And The Intercept has now determined the identity of the donor behind this cycle’s second-most generous ghost corporation, Children of Israel LLC. He is Saul Fox, a California private equity CEO.

Children of Israel LLC contributed $150,000 in 2015 to Pursuing America’s Greatness, a Super PAC supporting Mike Huckabee’s presidential run; $400,000 in 2016 to Stand for Truth, a Super PAC supporting Ted Cruz; and $334,000 to the Republican National Committee.

The Intercept
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/19/16 11:16 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Schlacky, neither link works.

Both should be fixed.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/19/16 06:45 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Schlacky, neither link works.

Both should be fixed.

ThumbsUp
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/19/16 06:47 PM
Quote
GOP preps tough perjury case against Clinton
The Hill

This is what four to eight years of a Hillary Clinton presidency will bring to America. Every day a new inquiry from the Republicans who will spend public money to investigate. rolleyes
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/19/16 06:51 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
whiplash

Well he's trying. Transparently so.
Donald Trump:
Quote
I will always tell you the truth

Uh...huh. Like not being able to release any previous tax returns due to being under audit. All of his tax returns prior to 2011 have been audited. Yet Trump lies and says he can't release them.

That's only one example of Trump's many, many, lies. Hmm
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/19/16 10:41 PM
There is a reason Congress has approval ratings in the single digits.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/20/16 02:59 AM
Quote
Republicans who will spend public money to investigate

Unless we elect Democratic majorities in both houses. Then we will waste no money at all on endless investigations that go nowhere.

Actually, this might make a very good campaign point for Democratic Congressmen! They can list all the stupid investigations, taxpayer money wasted, and futile Obamacare votes cast by their opponents. Everybody hates wasted money most of all, even if they opposed Obamacare, etc.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/20/16 08:47 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Actually, this might make a very good campaign point for Democratic Congressmen! They can list all the stupid investigations, taxpayer money wasted, and futile Obamacare votes cast by their opponents. Everybody hates wasted money most of all, even if they opposed Obamacare, etc.
Yeah...no kidding!!!! Hmm

For the party of 'Fiscal Responsibility' - they sure do waste a lot of money. gobsmacked
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/20/16 11:09 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Actually, this might make a very good campaign point for Democratic Congressmen! They can list all the stupid investigations, taxpayer money wasted, and futile Obamacare votes cast by their opponents. Everybody hates wasted money most of all, even if they opposed Obamacare, etc.
Yeah...no kidding!!!! Hmm

For the party of 'Fiscal Responsibility' - they sure do waste a lot of money. gobsmacked

In the undying words of George Carlin:

"It's all bullshyte, and it's bad for ya"
Posted By: Irked Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/20/16 11:31 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Actually, this might make a very good campaign point for Democratic Congressmen! They can list all the stupid investigations, taxpayer money wasted, and futile Obamacare votes cast by their opponents. Everybody hates wasted money most of all, even if they opposed Obamacare, etc.
Yeah...no kidding!!!! Hmm

For the party of 'Fiscal Responsibility' - they sure do waste a lot of money. gobsmacked

Since the goal is the death of the unnatural and unholy General Government anything that brings about that ultimate goal quicker is, by definition, a good thing.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/20/16 11:36 PM
Mr Trump has made an appeal for black voters to abandon the Democrat Party at an almost all white rally.

I believe there are two reasons he will not be present at any rally of predominantly black folks
1. he is afraid of blacks
2. he is afraid they will jeer him
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/21/16 10:57 AM
Originally Posted by Irked
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Actually, this might make a very good campaign point for Democratic Congressmen! They can list all the stupid investigations, taxpayer money wasted, and futile Obamacare votes cast by their opponents. Everybody hates wasted money most of all, even if they opposed Obamacare, etc.
Yeah...no kidding!!!! Hmm

For the party of 'Fiscal Responsibility' - they sure do waste a lot of money. gobsmacked

Since the goal is the death of the unnatural and unholy General Government anything that brings about that ultimate goal quicker is, by definition, a good thing.

Irked's power of synthesis never ceases to amaze me. ThumbsUp
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/21/16 02:45 PM
Originally Posted by rporter314
Mr Trump has made an appeal for black voters to abandon the Democrat Party at an almost all white rally.
Trump has done that twice in a week, now. Guess the irony is lost on his supporters. LOL
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/21/16 02:55 PM
I think I can envision the next anti-Trump ad... "what the hell have you got to lose?" Followed by a series of shots of blacks gunned down with a voice-over of "more cops" or "law and order" a clip of his "tax plan" which eliminates child-care credits, and, for good measure, several snippets about "his black" and his pledge to lower the minimum wage. The answer? Everything.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/21/16 02:58 PM
He will die by his own words. A fitting end for a buffoon and a liar and a fascist... You all know the rest...
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/22/16 08:19 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I think I can envision the next anti-Trump ad... "what the hell have you got to lose?"
The Chicago Tribune has taken up the cudgel: Commentary: What black Americans have to lose if Donald Trump is elected
Quote
Let's, however, return to the question he posed: What do African-Americans have to lose by electing Trump? Let's count the ways.

Trump has championed a strict law-and-order agenda that rejects the suggestion there are legitimate complaints in the African-American community about policing. He is a lightning rod for racial animus and tension, falsely accusing cities with large African-American populations to be crime havens. With Trump, we'd lack a president who had any conception that there is a problem with policing in minority communities or any desire to bring communities and police together.
There is much, MUCH more...
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/22/16 08:28 PM
The African-American community would lose ANY possibility of advancement of the agenda of economic progress. If it's bad now, under Trump they'd be relegated to refugee status. Jobs, education, and of course civil rights would vanish. The disaster would be incalculable.
The numbers show that they know this grin
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/22/16 10:45 PM
I'm surprised by just how many African-Americans do know it. I think it suggests racial superiority over his many White followers.

If 98% of Blacks know what a disaster he would be and only something like 50-70% of Whites think so, then we must be incredibly stupid!
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/24/16 04:15 PM
I wasn't quite sure where to put this, but this is the best "explainer" I've found on the subject.US election: Why is Clinton's foundation so controversial? Naturally it comes from the BBC.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/24/16 05:08 PM
In any event, the problem Will ALWAYS be the appearance of impropriety, regardless of the actual facts. The Republithugs abhor facts. Gossip and innuendo are their stock-in-trade.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/24/16 05:56 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
The Republithugs abhor facts. Gossip and innuendo are their stock-in-trade.
Absolutely! See below. Bow
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/24/16 05:57 PM


Which is YOUR personal favorite disgusting, racist, homophobic, misogynistic Breitbart headline, the one that would make you want to get on the Trump Train, for real?

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/25/16 10:34 AM
"Climate expert:
Marxist, Global Warming Extremists
Control Vatican"

I wish they did ROTFMOL
The worse thing is that some dolts actually believe that horseshyte.
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/25/16 02:07 PM
My head is spinning with all the pivoting.

He's going to lose the white sheet vote too at this rate.

Full steam ahead in the Trumptanic. (note to mods this is describing the campaign and not the person)

Although there do appear to be some signs of an actual campaign developing. Trump has finally got into the air war in some of the swing states, but at a paltry fraction of clintons spending. A good few rallies have been cancelled in deep blue states where he had no chance anyway. The "new" immigration message might have worked if he had not already sh!t the bed on that. His outreach to minorities moderate republicans may also work to a minor degree but again, hes rolling in another pile of his own excrement there.

National polls are showing a mild tightening in the national race, but Trump is taking a hammering in the swing states.

Next few weeks will be interesting. I had expected more of a down ticket exodus already, but the RNC will try to extract as much cash as possible before jumping in the lifeboats.

The campaign narrative will probably refocus on not giving a Clinton a blank cheque as president a la the 96 race. I'm Bob Dole and I don't approve of this message.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/25/16 03:44 PM
Quote
Full steam ahead in the Trumptanic. (note to mods this is describing the campaign and not the person)

Quote
Elected Officials, both past and present, are referred to by name, not by nickname or by verbal/visual insulting reference. Feel free to criticize an elected official's actions, but don't attack the person. Address what the person did, not what the person "is".

Donald Trump is not an elected official. He has never held office of any sort and thus, as I see it, is exempt from this particular guideline.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/25/16 03:52 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
Full steam ahead in the Trumptanic. (note to mods this is describing the campaign and not the person)
That rule only applies to elected officials. At this point, we need to keep that from happening to Trump. smile

[Linked Image from pbs.twimg.com]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/25/16 03:54 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
Full steam ahead in the Trumptanic. (note to mods this is describing the campaign and not the person)

Quote
Elected Officials, both past and present, are referred to by name, not by nickname or by verbal/visual insulting reference. Feel free to criticize an elected official's actions, but don't attack the person. Address what the person did, not what the person "is".

Donald Trump is not an elected official. He has never held office of any sort and thus, as I see it, is exempt from this particular guideline.
What Greger said. laugh
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/26/16 12:01 AM
Clinton tears Trump a new one


Quote
We wouldn’t tolerate that kind of behavior in our own homes. How can we stand for it from a candidate for president?

This is a moment of reckoning for every Republican dismayed that the Party of Lincoln has become the Party of Trump. It’s a moment of reckoning for all of us who love our country and believe that America is better than this.

Twenty years ago, when Bob Dole accepted the Republican nomination, he pointed to the exits and told any racists in the Party to get out.

The week after 9/11, George W. Bush went to a mosque and declared for everyone to hear that Muslims "love America just as much as I do."

In 2008, John McCain told his own supporters they were wrong about the man he was trying to defeat. Senator McCain made sure they knew – Barack Obama is an American citizen and "a decent person."

We need that kind of leadership again.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/28/16 07:44 PM
I admit that I am disturbed by the inevitable. FiveThirtyEight's forecasts have Clinton's probability of winning eroding, if ever so slightly (from 90+% to 80+% in the "now cast" and from near 80% to just 73+% in the "polls-plus"). I don't think this augers a sea change, but I would prefer he lead to remain more pronounced.
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/28/16 11:55 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I admit that I am disturbed by the inevitable. FiveThirtyEight's forecasts have Clinton's probability of winning eroding, if ever so slightly (from 90+% to 80+% in the "now cast" and from near 80% to just 73+% in the "polls-plus"). I don't think this augers a sea change, but I would prefer he lead to remain more pronounced.

As I understand it, the polls plus has a built in tightening factor due to the economic fundamentals signifying a tight race.

Been thinking about the Brexit effect, where the pollsters missed a significant voter cohort on which that vote ultimately hinged. Could that happen here? I think on the GOP side the Brexit voting types were already captured by the tea party movement and are already counted in Trumps support. That would leave the traditionally Democratic party voters. 538's Blue state polling abyss still leaves some uncertainty.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/29/16 12:02 AM
Originally Posted by Schlack
I think on the GOP side the Brexit voting types were already captured by the tea party movement and are already counted in Trumps support.
The Tea Party folks and Trump supporters are the very same demographic - the very same folks.

This election is different. We have a GOP nominee that every other day puts his foot into this big mouth and says something stupid or backtracks causing his base to drop support.

I am prepared for a Hillary presidency and the investigation after investigation which the Republicans will launch simply because she is a Clinton. Hmm
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/29/16 04:57 AM


So glad that Trump will never, ever be an "elected official" so that we can mock him until our hearts content. smile

[Linked Image from i1308.photobucket.com]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/29/16 01:05 PM
The Line between True Position and Political Expediency

Election time, for me, always brings to the fore this question:
How much of what politicians say is actual positioning on a question and how much is political posturing and/or expediency?
The constant flip-flopping (as it is commonly referred to) could have two distinct meanings:
1) The person ACTUALLY changed their mind.
2) They are trying to court some portion of the electorate that they need in order to get elected.

In my more cynical moods I tend to think it is always the second option. But I admit that there may be some instances where the first is, in fact, the case.
I imagine that timing is always an important data point. When the change of position comes as a result of public opinion that tends to favor a certain side, it would seem that
for the most part, the politician is being merely expedient.
I have not been able to identify changes of position that came at off times, when it would be more likely to be truly a change of heart.
And for that matter, how does one tell what a politician really thinks?

Thoughts?
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/29/16 02:44 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Thoughts?
Running for office is little more than being a top salesman. Acquiring market share. Convincing enough people that you will give them more of what they want.

Trump is a professional salesman. He has no policy positions other than what his instinct tells him will sell to a lot of people. The difference between running for president and running his "businesses" is that to become president you need to get a majority of the market share.

Clinton is a less accomplished salesman, and I believe she has some real policy positions. But I also believe that she cannot win unless she panders judiciously to acquire the majority market share.

The other side of the equation is that people want to be sold something. Otherwise, salesmen wouldn't exist. Unfortunately, the majority of the market share does not have much in the way of common sense when it comes to buying.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/29/16 04:05 PM
I do not think it is very likely at all that any person in the heat of a presidential campaign would seriously change their mind on any issue. I believe they come into the race with a set of "principles" and a set of "beliefs". They design a set of policies based on those principles and beliefs and try to sell people on them.

Mr Trump's outreach to blacks should be seen for what it is, pandering. If he wanted to demonstrate his "authenticity", he should have had a history minority community visitations and dialogue.

I believe people do not change their core beliefs overnight. It takes years of introspection and inner argumentation to convince a people to change those positions.

As a related aside, I should note Mr Trump's inability to maintain a coherent position on immigration should be not only a warning but an omen of what to expect from his possible election.


Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/29/16 04:22 PM
Not so much interested in Trump who I think, as Loggy said, is a snake-oil salesmen.
But Hillary was for the TPP now she's against it. She was slow to come around on LGBTQ issues as well. She has changed her position on many issues.
The Repubs do the same (don't mean Trump).

So my question is: which are the real deeply held (core) positions (if any) and which are not?
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/29/16 05:08 PM
Like I said, principles and beliefs are not easily changed for anyone. In the examples you mention it stands to reason she would slowly change long held deep beliefs. Anyone who snapped theirs fingers and said I just changed my mind on that issue never had any core beliefs.

TPP is just a specific example of the larger position that free trade is beneficial to not only America but all the trading partners. It should be and probably was always the position of anyone involved in negotiating these treaties to get the best deal possible. As in all negotiations there is compromise. I suspect Mr Trumps sees countries as small businesses which can be intimidated into agreeing to treaties which would only benefit America. I believe it is more a case of mathematical economics. As someone says .... do the math.

More broadly, any issue or position which speaks to the national benefit and is firmly based on the Constitution should be a principle worthy of discussion.
Free Trade
Foreign involvement (nation building)
universal healthcare
universal higher education
energy - depletion or renewable
infrastructure - building and maintenance
job creation - job incentives
etc

are these and many more, items which promote the general welfare? these would be my principles
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/29/16 06:00 PM
I think your list is a good start. Note, though, my question is a general one about all politicians, not just Hillary or Trump. They are mere examples.

Why should I believe any politician?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/30/16 04:32 PM
This may be an excercise in futility, but here goes:

Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton Diffen.com

Compare the candidates: Clinton vs. Trump on the economy Politifact

Inside Gov

Donald Trump v Hillary Clinton: what are their key policy differences in battle for the White House Telegraph

It saved me time.


Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/30/16 04:39 PM
I forgot:

Clinton Campaign Issues Page (Be prepared to get 'wonky')

Trump Campaign Issues Page Although the Positions page may be somewhat more useful.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/30/16 06:44 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
I think your list is a good start. Note, though, my question is a general one about all politicians, not just Hillary or Trump. They are mere examples.

Why should I believe any politician?
Just because... you might want to peruse this list: Politifact Obamameter.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/30/16 07:11 PM
Ok, one more time with gusto:
My question is how many of the reversals of position- not promises- are actually changes of heart or just the result of political expediency. And how does one gauge that?
Example: someone changes their position on gay rights. Is it because they actually believe in those rights or is it political expediency? Did they not support them before because that could cause political damage? There are many other issues like that.

Campaign promises aren't a good measure- for example in Obama's case there was clearly a lot of obstruction to anything and everything he wanted to do.
And there are several examples of obstruction during other presidencies as well. So that is not so interesting.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/30/16 07:59 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Campaign promises aren't a good measure...
If Trump supporters are any indication of how voters get riled-up with broken promises... LOL
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/30/16 08:10 PM
I get the impression that Trump is sort of a seat-of-the-pants guy (a kid giving a book report on a book he never read): He has not held any deep policy positions for long because he never thought about them before. When he had to announce a platform he probably spent a few minutes with somebody else's list and just used his gut reaction to proclaim his positions. Then (much) later he actually was given a few relevant facts and possible implications, so he changed some of those positions.

I think we have certainly seen that on immigration. He started out with the simplistic: "Build a 30 foot wall!" But right in one of his "wall" speeches he brought up the possibility of a 31 foot ladder. His current position is tending toward a much more physically possible plan.

All of his flip-flops might be such. "Trust me" might actually mean "I'll think of something".
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/30/16 08:51 PM
I think all successful politicians find ways to obfuscate their views to make them more palatable to more of the electorate. One reason that Ted Cruz fared so poorly was he tends not to sugarcoat his extreme views. The trick is to still seem "authentic" - which is to say, lie well. How it is that people think Donald Trump is "authentic" is beyond me. He exudes deception. (And enthuses in it, too. Marla Maples opens up about her affair with Donald Trump; A fact checker looked into 158 things Donald Trump said. 78 percent were false.)
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/30/16 09:17 PM
For many political pundits, Labor Day marks the start of the General Election season. I think that is absurd, but yanno - it's the beltway press. Most especially, the conservative press. This Race Isn't Over: Media Cites The Polls, But Election 2016 Begins On Labor Day - FOX Nation. History is not on their side:
Quote
If history is any precedent, though, it might be tough for him: no candidate in recent history has faced the kind of polling deficit Trump has at this point in the race and gone on to win the election in November.
Presidential campaign history: Where did the polls stand in August? - CBS. So, the question becomes, Could Trump turn the tide post-Labor Day? The Greatest Presidential Comebacks Could Donald Trump be one of the lucky ones? - Politico.

The betting markets say no: USA Presidential Election: 2016 Odds; History says no; most pundits say no; There Is No Horse Race - Slate. What say you?

Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/30/16 09:28 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
- for example in Obama's case there was clearly a lot of obstruction to anything and everything he wanted to do.
And there are several examples of obstruction during other presidencies as well. So that is not so interesting.

What's interesting about Obama's case is that the obstructionism broke every record in congressional history.

2009

2011

2012

2016
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/30/16 10:20 PM
Doesn't surprise me. You could feel the hate in the air. mad
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/30/16 10:58 PM
Quote
What say you?
pooh pooh

I don't have a sense of what it a poll in Aug means. But what I do know is, Murphy is not dead.

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/30/16 11:56 PM
But he is moribund. grin
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/31/16 05:25 AM
Ignoring Obama's Supreme Court nominee has to be some kind of record obstruction. If they keep doing that to President Clinton she's going to have to do something about it. Like maybe file a federal lawsuit against Congress for failing to do their constitutional duty? It should have some cost.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/31/16 11:54 AM
isn't failure to carry out one's mandated duties an impeachable offense?
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/31/16 12:02 PM
I suspect it is a case by case paradigm and founded on one's life experiences.

Real example in the news: from inside the Trump camp, it appears he has been advised to both maintain the hard line on immigration but soften it up in order to appear more palatable to moderate voters. Political expediency in the flesh

From Mr Trump's own mouth ... a softening but it is still hard

a penis, can not be at the same time, soft and hard
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/31/16 04:22 PM
Originally Posted by rporter314
isn't failure to carry out one's mandated duties an impeachable offense?
It may be unethical, and is grounds for ejection from the body, but when a majority of the Senate is in the conspiracy, it ain't gonna happen. (Article I, Section 5 of the United States Constitution provides that "Each House [of Congress] may determine the Rules of its proceedings, punish its members for disorderly behavior, and, with the concurrence of two-thirds, expel a member.") Such are the perils of an ultra-partisan political environment.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 08/31/16 06:22 PM
when i was much younger, i considered the failures of our system of government and played with the idea we needed to take it down and build a better system.

Perhaps I should revisit those ideas (I quizzically ask myself)?

The problem I see is in as you point out, a hyper-partisan political world, there would be no consensus and thus no document. Some of the right wing nuts have already written that Pres Obama will cancel the elections, declare martial law, and anoint himself president for life.

Pres Obama could tell the American people the government created by the Constitution can no longer function as intended or it can no longer fulfill its Constitutional mandate, that he would take control as interim president until a tyrant could be appointed or elected. Maybe he could nullify all laws enacted since 1789 and allow men to be truly free. Maybe a dystopian America is closer than I think.

Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/02/16 03:23 AM
I think I recall some lefties worrying about President Bush doing he same thing. It was silly then, it's silly now.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/02/16 08:53 AM
Quote
Some of the right wing nuts have already written that Pres Obama will cancel the elections, declare martial law, and anoint himself president for life.

Can we at least dance a little dance and sing "Youz guys are morons!" when Obama follows the law and leaves the White House in an orderly fashion on Jan 20th?
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/03/16 06:44 PM
On the persistence of conspiracy theories and rumors
Quote
Still, there's some evidence — if anecdotal — that the problem is getting worse. In a December article on conspiracy theories, Vox's Dave Roberts pointed to a quote from Republican Rep. Devin Nunes, as reported by Ryan Lizza:

"The overwhelming majority of [Rep. Nunes's] constituent mail is now about the far-out ideas, and only a small portion is 'based on something that is mostly true.' He added, 'It's dramatically changed politics and politicians, and what they're doing.' "
Belief in rumors and conspiracy theories appears shallow, but widespread — it's not that there are a lot of Americans who fear chemtrails, wear tinfoil hats, and believe that mysterious cigarette-smoking men are hiding the truth about UFOs. In that 2015 paper, Berinsky presented subjects with seven rumors, and found that only 5 percent of subjects believed all seven. However, each subject believed 1.8 on average.

"It's not that there are some people who believe a lot of crazy things," Berinsky has said. "There are a lot of people who believe some crazy things."
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/03/16 08:56 PM
The crazy ideas may be sort of mutually exclusive. For example, believing somebody is an idiot and at the same time a super smart criminal mastermind are kind of difficult to hold in your tiny little brain at once.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/06/16 01:28 AM
I note, with just a hint of some relief, that for the first time in a couple of weeks, FiveThirtyEight has Clinton's chances improving (modestly) in all three parameters. As I noted earlier, I will not be satisfied until she's over 90%, but my preference is that the election is over and she's already won a landslide, as unlikely as that ever has been.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/06/16 03:30 AM


"Don The Con" is picking up usage on other blogs. cool
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/06/16 03:32 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I note, with just a hint of some relief, that for the first time in a couple of weeks, FiveThirtyEight has Clinton's chances improving (modestly) in all three parameters. As I noted earlier, I will not be satisfied until she's over 90%, but my preference is that the election is over and she's already won a landslide, as unlikely as that ever has been.
Just relax. Breathe. Everything will be alright. smile

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/06/16 04:02 PM
Get ready for the pump-up of the candidates' debate prowess....
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/06/16 07:06 PM
and yet conservative geniuses believe it is true
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/06/16 07:07 PM
Sec Clinton has prowess

Mr Trump has prow
Posted By: matthew Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/06/16 10:27 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
The crazy ideas may be sort of mutually exclusive. For example, believing somebody is an idiot and at the same time a super smart criminal mastermind are kind of difficult to hold in your tiny little brain at once.
Not at all. The same person may be brilliant and cunning in some limited field and a childish dunce in some other aspects of life.

A good example is John Wheeler, who was a genius in physics and General Relativity, but was infantile in his understanding of society and politics, who would believe whatever garbage the CIA and Military-Industrial Conspiracy fed him.
.
Posted By: matthew Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/06/16 10:31 PM
Originally Posted by rporter314
when i was much younger, i considered the failures of our system of government and played with the idea we needed to take it down and build a better system.

Perhaps I should revisit those ideas (I quizzically ask myself)?
If you did, you would provide an exception to the generally valid rule --

"NO ONE OVER 30 CAN BE TRUSTED"

.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/06/16 11:15 PM
Originally Posted by matthew
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
The crazy ideas may be sort of mutually exclusive. For example, believing somebody is an idiot and at the same time a super smart criminal mastermind are kind of difficult to hold in your tiny little brain at once.
Not at all. The same person may be brilliant and cunning in some limited field and a childish dunce in some other aspects of life.

A good example is John Wheeler, who was a genius in physics and General Relativity, but was infantile in his understanding of society and politics, who would believe whatever garbage the CIA and Military-Industrial Conspiracy fed him.
.

The concept of idiot savant is an old one.
Wheeler is a great example ThumbsUp
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/07/16 02:39 AM
Nine weeks.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/07/16 03:23 AM
I sincerely LOVE this! Guac the Vote:Hispanic group wants taco trucks at every polling site.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/07/16 09:01 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Nice. I found a really good taco place in Des Moines on Pacific AV if you're interested.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/07/16 09:02 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Nine weeks.
It can't get here fast enough. cry
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/07/16 09:31 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Nine weeks.

Then reality sets in... LOL
Mister Johnson said (not to be confounded with the late president)
"Times of great crusades are times of unreality"
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/07/16 02:08 PM
I'm going to watch tonight's "Commander in Chief" forum on NBC (8 EDT). That will be the first in-depth questioning (30 minutes each) of Clinton and Trump in a public setting. Details.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/07/16 02:56 PM
As, I believe, many on this thread have been noting:

Quote
Television news media has long seen Trump’s campaign as its bread and butter. “Go Donald! Keep getting out there!” CBS chief executive Les Moonves told an investor presentation last December. He followed up by saying that Trump “may not be good for America, but it’s damn good for CBS, that’s all I got to say.”

The Intercept

Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/07/16 03:16 PM
i can imagine Mr Trump is more than capable of navigating 30 min to discuss the origin of the universe but for more thoughtful folks 30 min doesn;t provide enough time to lay down the foundation of a discussion on foreign policy

I predict a lot of sound bites but not much substance
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/07/16 03:20 PM
I do too, but I suspect that the quality of the answers will be significantly different between the candidates.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/07/16 08:23 PM
This story may be growing legs: Trump Held Fundraiser For Pam Bondi At His Palm Beach Mansion After She Passed On Lawsuit. The second element of note:
Quote
The Republican Party of Florida paid much less for the venue than Trump’s own campaign has paid.
Quote
The use of Mar-a-Lago alone was a donation of some value. Space at the resort is expensive to rent, and Trump has charged his own presidential campaign roughly $140,000 per event for use of the mansion.

In contrast, the Republican Party of Florida paid only $4,855.65 for the Bondi fundraiser, cutting a check on March 25, 2014. It was a “small event on the lawn ... featuring snacks and refreshments, attended by about 50 people,” a Bondi campaign staffer told The Huffington Post.
yeah, riiight.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/07/16 08:31 PM
For those who see a pattern... Texas Gov. Abbott Received $35,000 Donation from Trump After Dropping Trump University Investigation - RedState.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/08/16 12:36 AM
Clinton's machine
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/08/16 01:11 AM
I'm still watching the commander in chief forum, and it appears Trump is bombing horribly. Yeah.
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/08/16 07:36 AM
From what I've read he's spewing the same shyte as on the stump.

Did he at least use full sentences?
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/08/16 09:10 AM
Originally Posted by Schlack
Did he at least use full sentences?
Don The Con and word salad smith Sarah Palin are kindred spirits.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/08/16 09:38 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Schlack
Did he at least use full sentences?
Don The Con and word salad smith Sarah Palin are kindred spirits.

They would make great speaking partners. Gibberish is stereo.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/08/16 12:53 PM
Few full sentences.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/08/16 01:56 PM
Having watched the forum in full, I'd give Clinton a C+, maybe B-. She was hampered by a feckless Matt Lauer and three straight questions on the same subject (emails), but she didn't answer at least two questions at all, and her answers tended to be canned and non-responsive. She did, however make two important points: she knows details and understands the job.

In contrast, Trump got a solid F. I was going to give him a D, but I didn't want to grade on the curve. Anyone with a modicum of military experience realized that he is woefully ignorant on virtually every military topic raised (law, capabilities, planning, structure, culture), and he got into very dangerous waters three times (at least). He insulted the military (especially the General staff), seemed to imply he would cashier the Generals, doubled down on his praise of Putin, and advocated taking Iraqi oil (again). He also belittled women in the military, especially when he "corrected" (erroneously) a female DAV advocate about how many vet suicides occur daily. From a military standpoint, he could almost not have done worse.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/08/16 02:11 PM
I didn't watch it. But from the clips that I saw it was ridiculous-Matt Lauer should be relegated to the trash bin of journalism.
The insistence on the email thing wilth Clinton and the non challenge when Trump said he was against the war in Iraq from the beginning were enough, IMHO, to disqualify his presence.
Net value added -> zero.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/08/16 02:21 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
...
In contrast, Trump got a solid F. I was going to give him a D, but I didn't want to grade on the curve. Anyone with a modicum of military experience realized that he is woefully ignorant on virtually every military topic raised (law, capabilities, planning, structure, culture), and he got into very dangerous waters three times (at least). He insulted the military (especially the General staff), seemed to imply he would cashier the Generals, doubled down on his praise of Putin...

But... But,NW_P the Donald says he knows more about the military and strategy than the generals. He wants to be known as high commander Drumpf. grin
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/08/16 03:17 PM
It should have been a great opportunity to provide the kind of insight needed, but, as you note, Matt Lauer's performance seems to be the one most harshly criticized - not the candidates'. I am biased, but I tried to watch it objectively (hence the grading). It was abundantly clear (to anyone who actually cares) how woefully unprepared Trump is. Literally two months before the election, some "supporters" are insisting he "will be ready" by the time he is sworn in. He's had over a year to prepare and he still doesn't have a clue! Seriously, not a CLUE. You can criticize Clinton for her positions and tin ear, but at least she knows something about the military, government structure, policy, diplomacy, etc., etc., etc. He doesn't even CARE to know.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/08/16 03:24 PM
Clinton holds a press conference! I don't really care about this, but it shows she's paying attention. In the last three days, she's had three "press events" of a half-hour each - two "gaggles" on her plane, and now a press conference. But, despite the need to discuss the issues, what is the lede? "Holding her first formal press conference in 278 days..." C'mon PRESS! Grow F*n up!

Clinton: Trump's Praise of Putin Is 'Scary' and 'Unpatriotic'

I think, though, it is a good idea that she remain constantly available to the press. After 2 or 3 days, they will get tired of asking the same questions about the email server and actually start learning something of substance. It actually happened today.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/09/16 06:32 PM


The love that dares not speak its name gobsmacked :

Donald Trump’s Campaign Stands By Embrace of Putin

[Linked Image from i1308.photobucket.com]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/09/16 07:24 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
It should have been a great opportunity to provide the kind of insight needed, but, as you note, Matt Lauer's performance seems to be the one most harshly criticized - not the candidates'. I am biased, but I tried to watch it objectively (hence the grading). It was abundantly clear (to anyone who actually cares) how woefully unprepared Trump is. Literally two months before the election, some "supporters" are insisting he "will be ready" by the time he is sworn in. He's had over a year to prepare and he still doesn't have a clue! Seriously, not a CLUE. You can criticize Clinton for her positions and tin ear, but at least she knows something about the military, government structure, policy, diplomacy, etc., etc., etc. He doesn't even CARE to know.
Yup. Plus Hillary has the backing of the military brass from when she SOUGHT THEM OUT on strategic advise when she was in the Senate. Hillary built relationships with the military brass - Don The Con is taring down any relationship he could have fostered.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/10/16 12:33 AM
He probably thinks very highly of the Russian Military..

Seriously though, Hillary was the Secretary of State: The top diplomat of the US. As such, she had to work with the military because any diplomat who rejects military force is crippling themselves. Even if we never use it, our friends and enemies have to believe we could or we are just pussies that can be ignored.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/10/16 11:52 AM
U.S., Russia reach deal on cease-fire in Syria

Obama and Kerry - Putin stooges... ROTFMOL

WaPo
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/10/16 01:19 PM
This is what black folks are dealing with.
The Dems don't really shine, albeit, relative to Trump supporters they are better.
The Sanders people too need to get their collective heads out of their arses (but still better than everyone else).

[Linked Image from s16.postimg.org]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/11/16 11:16 AM
[Linked Image from s12.postimg.org]
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/11/16 10:14 PM
I think the email stuff may actually help Hillary, It's not much of a scandal anybody would care about. (Oh no, she did exactly what that irresponsible bastard Colin Powell did!) Absolutely no sex involved. No state secrets stolen. People will probably get bored with it by November.

Meanwhile, if Republicans investigate it over and over again with no results, like Benghazi, to the tune of millions of taxpayer dollars that is just more fodder for Democrats to use to unseat them. As they should! I am getting tired of paying a whole bunch people to sit around with the thumbs stuck up their butts, doing nothing.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/11/16 10:53 PM
emails will continue until well after the election .... the proverbial dripping evidence of no wrong-doing

Benghazi is limited to a policy position .... should the US be engaged in foreign affairs (as an aside .... I heard the other day a newscaster report that 911 is remembered by terrorists as an important event .... and yet there has been no evidence any terrorists have mentioned it .... re-writing history in real time)

now whether she pulled the trigger to kill Foster ... well I can not say
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/11/16 11:06 PM
Apparently Clinton was diagnosed with pneumonia on Friday last. She almost passed out at the ceremony today.
Right wing knutz going ape shyte. dunce
They wish they could get rid of her that easily.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/11/16 11:48 PM
The problem is, it will feed the right-wing fantasy machine, and the election is too close for that kind of disruption.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/12/16 12:05 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
The problem is, it will feed the right-wing fantasy machine...
Carrion eaters... dung beetles... maggots.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/12/16 12:10 AM
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/12/16 01:33 AM
Quote
pneumonia

They have a vaccine for that now. I would recommend to all elderly ranters. Still kills a lot of people even though the antibiotic treatment is very good.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/12/16 04:36 AM
I got pneumonia three years in a row in the summer, so I know exactly what she's going through. I kept working all three times, and it went away after antibiotics.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/12/16 10:12 AM
Pneumonia is a non issue - especially for someone who is privileged enough to have the best healthcare that money can buy. Of course the right will make a big issue out of it because they don't have any real issues and it will be attributed to her innate secrecy.
Yesterday was hot and muggy and the ceremony was packed. I wasn't there and just seeing it made me sick. So I can only imagine what it must have been like for someone who was genuinely ill.
It's just another blip that she'll have to ride out.
Meanwhile there are real issues that need to be discussed... hopefully her campaign will redirect the focus.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/12/16 03:04 PM


I really don't understand why the "half of a basket of deplorables" comments that Hillary stated causing the alt-right to go ballistic. A quick perusal of Breitbart.com or Gateway Pundit's comment section will show the statement to be correct. I guess the truth must hurt.

Now if Hillary stated "all," I can see the backlash as being legitimate.

Here's some Preparation H for those butthurt Trump supporters. If you live by your bigotry, racism, sexism and misogyny; you'll die by your bigotry, racism, sexism, and misogyny.

Here is MY evidence of what Hillary stated is true:


Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/12/16 05:12 PM
The Trump campaign mischaracterizes the statement as an attack on all voters.

The questions should be does one's occupation or patriotic index determine if one is a bigot? of course not. Do any of the Trump surrogates condone or support bigotry? of course not. Then why deny they support the Trump campaign?

She obviously should have considered a better approach in characterizing Trump's bigotry.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/12/16 07:15 PM
The funny thing is she said only half of them have some sort of problem. Why would anyone be insulted by that? Either they are in the half that is deplorable, so she's just telling the truth about them, or they are in the other half who are not deplorable.

To be insulted, you would have to be a racist (etc.) and not think you are a racist? I'm not sure how that would work.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/12/16 08:00 PM
Trump issues pledge on medical records after Clinton diagnosis - BBC. I'm willing to bet money, real money, this ends up being another of his false promises, like "I'll release my tax returns." After Clinton fell ill Sunday, Trump appeared on FOX:
Quote
Mr Trump wished her a speedy recovery and said he would release the results of a medical examination he took over the past week, with "very, very specific numbers".
"Hopefully they're going to be good. I think they're going to be good. I feel great," he told Fox News.
So far Mr Trump has only released a note, in which his doctor declared that he would be "the healthiest individual ever elected to the presidency".
No word on his psych profile...
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/12/16 08:11 PM
I'm sure his psych profile would confound even the best psychologist in the world. There's more than just crazy in that orange shell that he calls a head.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/12/16 09:39 PM
Officials: Florida mosque fire may be hate crime; Trump supporters sought...
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/12/16 09:41 PM
That may be a mistake, apparently the Trump campaign was SEEKING the arsonists to run their Florida office. My mistake.
Posted By: matthew Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/12/16 10:55 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
I really don't understand why the "half of a basket of deplorables" comments that Hillary stated causing the alt-right to go ballistic. A quick perusal of Breitbart.com or Gateway Pundit's comment section will show the statement to be correct. I guess the truth must hurt.
The Republicans appear to consist of three "baskets":

1. A large number of useful idiots

2. A fair number of psychopaths

3. A much smaller number of sociopaths who run the show

I suppose the same can be said of the Democrats, though the proportions may differ somewhat.
.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/13/16 12:44 AM
It's a matter of degree, not kind. wink
Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/13/16 02:30 AM
Matthew. Ni-i-i-i-i-ce.
Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/13/16 02:33 AM
Quote
Zeke said:
It's a matter of degree, not kind.

And, see? Here I was all thinking it was a matter of volume. (the sound kind)
Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/13/16 02:38 AM
Quote
Matther said:
... though the proportions may differ somewhat.

Yep, I'm with you there.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/13/16 08:53 AM
[Linked Image from i1308.photobucket.com]

#TangerineNightmare ROTFMOL
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/13/16 09:35 AM
Quote
Qué linda es la democracia
en este hermoso país,
qué hermosas son las callampas
que se pueden construir.

Ésta permite que el pobre
y el rico de igual a igual
tengan los mismos derechos
cuando llaman a votar.

Soy demócrata, tecnócrata,
plutócrata e hipócrita

Me gusta la democracia
porque permite apreciar
el arrollador avance
del que tiene libertad
para exprimir a unos cuantos
y aumentar su capital.

Angel Parra
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/14/16 06:54 PM
I believe that Clinton has reached the nadir in her campaign, and that there will be a widening of her lead over the next two months.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/15/16 10:32 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I believe that Clinton has reached the nadir in her campaign, and that there will be a widening of her lead over the next two months.

Likely...
Although he does have one advantage:

[Linked Image from s21.postimg.org]
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/15/16 11:50 PM
I've been in the doldrums over the past week or so. There are some things at home that have contributed to that, but most of it has been the political scene. Now that Clinton is back from her medically-imposed hiatus, I think things are likely to begin turning around, and here's why:

1) Clinton has always done her best when her back is against the wall. (How Has Hillary Clinton Performed With Her Back to the Wall? - Bloomberg) I think particularly of how she did when she lost the Iowa primary in 2008, and again when she lost the nomination. She performed with class and heart.

2) She's rested. Really, taking some time off can really recharge the batteries.
Quote
"As you may know, I recently had a cough that turned out to be pneumonia. I tried to power through it but even I had to admit that maybe a few days of rest would do me good," Clinton said, after walking out into a school gymnasium to James Brown's "I Got You (I Feel Good)." "I'm not great at taking it easy even under ordinary circumstances, but with just two months to go until Election Day, sitting at home was pretty much the last place I wanted to be."
Hillary Clinton returns -- and not a moment too soon

3) Her illness will actually humanize her. Trump has already overplayed his hand (naturally). I think she will be able to demonstrate not only her stamina, but her perseverance, in a way she could not have otherwise.

4) Trump's "Troubles" will begin to take on a life of their own. There are a number of throughlines that are beginning to take shape - complicated business transactions that threaten national security; a lack of substance in even his policy "pronouncements" (such as the childcare deduction, which actually hurts middle class Americans); Tax issues (charitable contributions, debt, tax rate ( Does Donald Trump Pay Any Income Taxes at All? - New Yorker), foreign investments), and his complete lack of acumen when it comes to foreign affairs. I get the feeling there is a bombshell out there that may yet drop (like purloined tax returns, or exposure of his actual economic status).

5) A return to the mean. Clinton was too far ahead in the polls for that to be sustained. There has been a shift, but what is overlooked is that much of the "change" had to do with methodology. Prior to Labor Day, most of the polls were using "registered voters" as their sample, but almost all have shifted to "likely voters." Invariably, every year the "likely voter" methodology equals a trend toward Republicans. Some of the likely voter modalities are flawed and overcount older, whiter Americans and skew conservative. I do believe there has been a shift, but it is probably less pronounced than the headlines blare. Her lead is probably about double what is "predicted" (4 as opposed to 2%), about where Obama was.

6) Ground game makes a difference. Yes, Democrats are less enthusiastic than they were in 2008, but 2012 is probably a better measure of where the vote will actually land. Trump is still behind where Romney was, then, and he lost.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/16/16 12:11 AM
All reasonable. But one more thing: if Scheneiderman gets his hands on Trump he'll be watching the election returns with the boys in cell block C.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/16/16 12:17 AM
or Trump supporters do not care what your argument is and more ignoramuses will find their way to polling booths
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/16/16 08:33 PM
Quote
People Magazine quote

Nice idea, but Snopes says it is a fake.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/17/16 12:58 AM
Nate Silver sez...
Election Update: Democrats Should Panic … If The Polls Still Look Like This In A Week

Quote
Hillary Clinton’s lead in the polls has been declining for several weeks, and now we’re at the point where it’s not much of a lead at all. National polls show Clinton only 1 or 2 percentage points ahead of Donald Trump, on average. And the state polling situation isn’t really any better for her. On Thursday alone, polls were released showing Clinton behind in Ohio, Iowa and Colorado — and with narrow, 3-point leads in Michigan and Virginia, two states once thought to be relatively safe for her.
538

I'm tellin' ya, we're looking at Bush vs. Gore all over again.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/17/16 11:07 AM
[Linked Image from s16.postimg.org]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/17/16 11:42 AM
Every day the corporate run media follow the same pattern. And the result is always this:

Quote
Just seconds after Donald Trump appeared at his new hotel in Washington on Friday, it dawned on many of the reporters in the room and others watching the live coverage on every cable news channel that they had been conned.

The Intercept

Quote
Driven in part by interest in the 2016 presidential campaign, viewership increased for cable news channels in 2015.

In prime time – the premier time slot for advertisers – combined average viewership rose for the three major news channels (CNN, Fox News and MSNBC) by 8% to 3.1 million, according to Pew Research Center analysis of Nielsen Media Research data. The cable viewership increase was largely due to CNN, which experienced an especially sharp uptick, growing its evening viewership 38% to an average of 712,000 viewers. Cable-hosted presidential candidate debates helped drive some of the surge in viewership. Fox remained the evening viewership leader with 1.8 million (up 3% over 2014 levels). MSNBC was down 1% to 579,000.

Daytime viewership grew as well for these three 24-hour news channels in 2015. Between the hours of 6 a.m. and 6 p.m., average viewership for the three channels combined increased 9% to 2 million


Apparently, the audience for cable news is not quite as significant as one would think.

Pew Research Center
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/17/16 02:35 PM
I try so hard to be dispassionate about this, but it's too important. How do we deal with someone so unqualified as Trump being a major party nominee?
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/17/16 02:53 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I try so hard to be dispassionate about this, but it's too important. How do we deal with someone so unqualified as Trump being a major party nominee?
I used to think that the U.S. was exceptional, in that our society and government was immune to coming apart at the seams. It is truly shocking to see it happening with such a very large portion of our populace so easily becoming delusional and destructive, following the insane "leadership" of a con man who I don't think actually has a single policy position on anything, except whatever works in selling himself to the suckers.

It feels like a gravitational pull into chaos.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/17/16 03:10 PM
It seems the only thing we, as a country, are immune to is the stench of our own shyte. Let's face it: our society CREATED Donald Trump. It made him rich. It elevated him to celebrity status. It plasters his stupidity disguised as discourse all over the world. What the f$ck did we think would come of it?
The monster said it quite appropriately to Dr. Frankenstein :
I'm alive
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/17/16 03:31 PM
A moment of clarity - to many of us, Trump is so obviously an unprincipled con artist that we can't even consider him seriously, and it is stupidly easy to list his failings.

But to Trump supporters, they do not recognize a con artist, even one so blatant as il Douche. His pitches unfetter their normally socially unacceptable desires and gives them justification to be angry and irrational.

Rational thought and unfettered desire are contrary and cannot exist in the same space. Logic, facts and reason will not work to change the minds of Trump supporters.

On the other hand, Clinton cannot use Trump's tactics against him because her supporters are those who are not so easily taken in by a con and do not want to be subjected to one. And trump supporters won't be turned against him because he sets them free.

I think that Clinton needs to understand this and not try out ploys like "deplorable", even though it is obviously true.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/17/16 04:41 PM
Zeke....

Who's hair is gonna be on fire if Trump wins this thing?

It's easy to dismiss him and say there's no way he could win. But it's just not true. It should be, but it's not.

I doubt if a presidential candidate has ever received as much bad press as Trump. Has it hurt him? No, quite the contrary, he has owned it and made it work for him rather than against him. Never has the old adage about all press being good press been quite so relevant. But the same hasn't held true for Clinton. The slightest foible, the most outrageous claims, the biggest lies, all work against her.
Trump is beating her just like he beat all his opponents in the primaries. He has effectively painted her as being exactly what he is...crooked, corrupt, a pathological liar. He has shown her to be unqualified, pointed out her lack of accomplishments, questioned the Clinton Foundation, outlined her weakness, belittled her policies, and, in general, made her look foolish.
At the same time he has managed to paint himself as being more like Clinton than Clinton herself.
We can see through the ruse, most can't or won't.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/17/16 06:09 PM
LOL it won't be mine - I may be corresponding from jail after being convicted for sedition. Or maybe just the firing squad? Either way they will need to shut me up. smile
Everything you said is correct, G-man, but the fact that he can win (possible) doesn't mean he will or even that the chance of winning is very high. I don't think he has much of a chance.
If we created the monster we have to know how to stop him. I believe Obama knows how to do that, and Clinton, if she's wise, will pay very close attention .
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/17/16 07:33 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
I'm tellin' ya, we're looking at Bush vs. Gore all over again.
Except this time, dead Scalia can't vote. Progress! smile
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/17/16 09:13 PM
Quote
I may be corresponding from jail after being convicted for sedition. Or maybe just the firing squad? Either way they will need to shut me up.
Ted Nugent had similar words to say regarding Obama. he's neither dead nor in jail and somehow survived the Obama years just as we will soldier on through the wars and economic destruction which are pretty much inevitable should Republicans be handed complete control.
Quote
If we created the monster we have to know how to stop him. I believe Obama knows how to do that, and Clinton, if she's wise, will pay very close attention.
I'm not sure what President Obama would be able to do if Trump wins. Even if the Republican led Congress should decide to impeach him in the next couple years we'd still have Pence sitting in the oval office.
Clinton and her team are surely paying very close attention to what is going on. Just as his primary opponents did. He was a joke at first without a chance at winning. Then he was up in the polls. One by one they crashed and burned despite going farther right than any candidates in history.
"Never Trump" became "Long Live The King".
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/17/16 09:25 PM
I mean now-before the election. Obama has good approval ratings and he sure knows how to speak and persuade. If there were ever a time for him to use that, it would be now.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/18/16 12:43 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
I mean now-before the election. Obama has good approval ratings and he sure knows how to speak and persuade. If there were ever a time for him to use that, it would be now.
Absolutely. Bow We don't need a Hitler-esque demigod like Trump in the White House.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/18/16 03:34 AM
Quote
I mean now-before the election. Obama has good approval ratings and he sure knows how to speak and persuade. If there were ever a time for him to use that, it would be now
He's been speaking and trying to persuade from the get go. the FLOTUS has hit the campaign trail, Bernie is begging his supporters to vote for Clinton. The Democrats have pulled out the big guns but it remains to be seen if it will be enough. Republicans are excited about this race, Democrats are like "Ho hum, wish it was Bernie, Clinton will win anyway so I'll just sit home."
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/18/16 10:28 AM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
I mean now-before the election. Obama has good approval ratings and he sure knows how to speak and persuade. If there were ever a time for him to use that, it would be now
He's been speaking and trying to persuade from the get go. the FLOTUS has hit the campaign trail, Bernie is begging his supporters to vote for Clinton. The Democrats have pulled out the big guns but it remains to be seen if it will be enough. Republicans are excited about this race, Democrats are like "Ho hum, wish it was Bernie, Clinton will win anyway so I'll just sit home."

He needs to seize the air waves. He needs to be take over the campaign, because frankly, she's faltering.
Between the First Lady and the President, they have enough clout to send Trump back to the zoo (my apologies to the animals), where he belongs.
During the final days of WWII the Soviets were relentless in their bombing of Berlin. They didn't let the Nazis come up for air. Same principle applies here.
Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/18/16 02:45 PM
Quote
Rick said:
Absolutely. Bow We don't need a Hitler-esque demigod like Trump in the White House.

Yeah, especially if back up by Dick Cheney wannabe, Mike Pence.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/18/16 02:54 PM
It takes a Donald Trump to let Mike Pence "seem" normal.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/18/16 02:58 PM
Originally Posted by Spag-hetti
Quote
Rick said:
Absolutely. Bow We don't need a Hitler-esque demigod like Trump in the White House.

Yeah, especially if back up by Dick Cheney wannabe, Mike Pence.
Pence and Trump are on the same page in this regard. Trump doesn't want to DO the job, and Pence is willing to play Dick Cheney to Trump's Bush, i.e., do it for him.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/18/16 03:08 PM
FiveThirtyEight's projections have it down to a 3:2 race. I still think she takes FL and NC for a comfortable win, but even now she takes the electoral college handily (without FL, NC, Arizona, Ohio OR Iowa).
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/18/16 03:44 PM
whatever you believe will allow you to sleep soundly at night
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/18/16 03:56 PM
Pence is a complete moron. Cheney was evil but not stupid.

Quote
Mike Pence, GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump’s running mate, told the news media at a press conference Thursday that he no longer wants to be called a vice presidential candidate.

The Indiana governor, an evangelical Christian, explained that he opposes the word “vice” on religious grounds. Pence said that the Bible has strict prohibitions against vice. He said the word “vice” means, among other things, “immoral” or “wicked behavior.”

“That’s not who I am, and that’s not who I want people to think I am,” he said. “I can’t in good faith willingly condone a word I find deplorable without violating my Christian principles.”

ROTFMOL You can't make this shyte up...

HuffPo
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/19/16 01:35 AM
Apparently, you can. LOL
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/19/16 02:39 AM
Originally Posted by Spag-hetti
Quote
Rick said:
Absolutely. Bow We don't need a Hitler-esque demigod like Trump in the White House.
Yeah, especially if back up by Dick Cheney wannabe, Mike Pence.
I saw that. So Mike Pence aspires to be a Dick Cheney wanna-be. Such low standards these days. rolleyes
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/19/16 02:40 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
Originally Posted by Spag-hetti
Quote
Rick said:
Absolutely. Bow We don't need a Hitler-esque demigod like Trump in the White House.

Yeah, especially if back up by Dick Cheney wannabe, Mike Pence.
Pence and Trump are on the same page in this regard. Trump doesn't want to DO the job, and Pence is willing to play Dick Cheney to Trump's Bush, i.e., do it for him.
We saw how well that worked the last time: a war of convenience costing trillions in treasure, the genesis of ISIS, economic meltdown. Yeah, I want more of that. rolleyes
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/19/16 02:43 AM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Pence is a complete moron. Cheney was evil but not stupid.

Quote
...The Indiana governor, an evangelical Christian, explained that he opposes the word “vice” on religious grounds. Pence said that the Bible has strict prohibitions against vice. He said the word “vice” means, among other things, “immoral” or “wicked behavior.”

“That’s not who I am, and that’s not who I want people to think I am,” he said. “I can’t in good faith willingly condone a word I find deplorable without violating my Christian principles.”

ROTFMOL You can't make this shyte up...

HuffPo
Perhaps Pence should read-up on something called the Separation of Church and State and get over it. Hmm
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/19/16 03:23 AM
Unfortunately Rick, conservatives only know what they can read, literally. Thus there is no subtext or supratext.

Since there is no prohibition against it in the Constitution and the religious nuts believe America is God's chosen country, it stands to reason there is no separation between Christianity and the federal government.

This is also how they argue the case for their "religious freedom" i.e. the Constitution does not prohibit the discrimination against sexual preference therefore Christians may write law to discriminate.

What does Mr Pence want to be called? .... Mr blanking president?
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/19/16 05:08 AM
I may be out of line here but I think I'll just call him a fecking idiot.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/19/16 06:25 AM
Article 6 of the Constitution contains:

Quote
The Senators and Representatives before mentioned, and the Members of the several State Legislatures, and all executive and judicial Officers, both of the United States and of the several States, shall be bound by Oath or Affirmation, to support this Constitution; but no religious Test shall ever be required as a Qualification to any Office or public Trust under the United States.[

It was in the original Constitution, not added in The Bill of Rights.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/19/16 10:40 AM
I suspect English language is not taught in Indiana. (Neither is science, math, history, geography...) The difference between a noun and an adjective used in compound form - vice-_____ - (originally from the Latin, genitive, preposition vicis which means instead of, in place of) is too difficult for a mental midget to absorb.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/19/16 11:45 AM
so let me repeat .... no subtext or supratext .... must be literal ... ergo "vice" is read as a single word and his religion would prohibit its use .... i
'll allow the readers to speculate as to what a presidency of religious nuts would mean

perhaps the religious fundamentalists are right and we are in the end of days .... religious wars raging here and overseas ....

as to the Constitution & religion .... please note it only says no test is required .... it does not say there can not be an official religion .... conservatives read it literally (and interpret at their convenience)

the definitive and succinct statement regarding the separation is from Pres Jefferson's famous letter and conservatives only use his words when in their favor. Remember Mass had an official religion long after the Constitution was adopted.


Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/19/16 11:50 AM
Quote
“That’s not who I am, and that’s not who I want people to think I am,” he said. “I can’t in good faith willingly condone a word I find deplorable without violating my Christian principles.”
Jeezus... Dawg have mercy!!
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/19/16 03:01 PM
Y'all do realize this was a satire, right? Pence is a religious bigot, I concede, but the story was not true.

When it was said, "you can't make this [stuff] up" - I said, "apparently you can." And they did.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/19/16 03:17 PM
I initially did think it was true smile given that he is stupid enough to say it smile
Posted By: matthew Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/19/16 11:04 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
I suspect English language is not taught in Indiana. (Neither is science, math, history, geography...)
Don't expect much from Indiana. During the 1920's, Indiana had the highest proportion of KKK members of all the states.

Imbecility goes back a long way there.
.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/19/16 11:24 PM
Originally Posted by matthew
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
I suspect English language is not taught in Indiana. (Neither is science, math, history, geography...)
Don't expect much from Indiana. During the 1920's, Indiana had the highest proportion of KKK members of all the states.

Imbecility goes back a long way there.
.

There was a sign between two towns in Indiana that read:
"Ni$$er, don't let the sun set on you in this town"
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/19/16 11:40 PM
Iiiindiana! - where the wind goes rushing through the brains...!!!
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/20/16 01:39 AM
Indiana the Northernmost Southern state...

I spent a year there while my wife did a program at Purdue. Sure was happy to be White, and I spent my year in a college town. I did enjoy the tornado that came through town and ripped the crap out of things.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/20/16 08:54 AM
Originally Posted by rporter314
...perhaps the religious fundamentalists are right and we are in the end of days .... religious wars raging here and overseas ....
Interesting post there rporter - because that's exactly what ISIS wants as well: A Trump Presidency that will lead to end-days.

Who knew that Extreme Christians and Extreme Muslims have so much in common? coffee

...but then again, you did write 'religious fundamentalists' rporter. laugh
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/20/16 11:05 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
...
Who knew that Extreme Christians and Extreme Muslims have so much in common? coffee
...

The basis for the extremism is exactly the same.
Two peas in a pod. coffee
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/20/16 04:00 PM
Quote
Two peas in a pod.
More like two turds in a punch bowl. Each shouting that the other stinks and is spoiling the punch.

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/20/16 04:25 PM
Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
Two peas in a pod.
More like two turds in a punch bowl. Each shouting that the other stinks and is spoiling the punch.

ROTFMOL
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/20/16 08:21 PM
It's coming down to temperament for me for these two running for POTUS.

Donald Trump trashes our military every other day. The days he doesn't, he's praising them. Same with our law enforcement: One day he likes them, the next day he doesn't. Also, Trump's favorable words for Putin simply because Putin "says nice things" about Trump is beyond the pale.

Yes, Hillary is no prize. She lies (...as does Donald Trump - he even more so, in my opinion). She's secretive. She's a war hawk. But one of them is going to be President and with Hillary I know the Devil that I'm getting. With Trump, I don't know which Trump will show up to work on any given day given that he's been on both sides of every issue.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/20/16 10:15 PM
Well Clinton was Secretary of State, Americas top diplomat. A diplomat who always told the truth would be a disaster! A diplomat certainly has to keep secrets. Her whole email scandal is maybe she didn't keep secrets. Likewise, a diplomat who didn't back up situations with a consideration of using force would be a pushover. Other countries and NGOs would just walk all over us.

So you have more or less described her qualifications for being President.

We DID have a President who was exceptionally honest about everything, and really disliked secrets. His name was Jimmy Carter.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/22/16 09:46 AM
[Linked Image from s9.postimg.org]

Quote
Justice William O. Douglas wrote, "Brandeis was a militant crusader for social justice whoever his opponent might be. He was dangerous not only because of his brilliance, his arithmetic, his courage. He was dangerous because he was incorruptible. . . [and] the fears of the Establishment were greater because Brandeis was the first Jew to be named to the Court." On June 1, 1916 he was confirmed by the Senate by a vote of 47 to 22, to become one of the most famous and influential figures ever to serve on the high court. His opinions were, according to legal scholars, some of the "greatest defenses" of freedom of speech and the right to privacy ever written by a member of the Supreme Court.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/22/16 11:35 PM
In general, I have great admiration for a race that requires every man to be able to read and intelligently discuss their founding documents.

I am not too happy with their treatment of Palestinians, but 4000 years of honoring education and literacy means something.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/22/16 11:54 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
...
I am not too happy with their treatment of Palestinians, ...

There are plenty, and I do mean plenty of Jews here and in Israel who would love to see Netanyahu run out on a rail. Another right wing fascist who uses fear to remain in power. You'd think he would be disgusted at using the same tactic that Hitler used.
Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/23/16 12:57 AM
Quote
Greger said:
More like two turds in a punch bowl. Each shouting that the other stinks and is spoiling the punch.

Eau de pew pew.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/23/16 10:03 AM
[Linked Image from s17.postimg.org]
Posted By: matthew Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/24/16 12:03 AM
'
[Linked Image from s17.postimg.org]

That's very good, Ezekiel. ---- ThumbsUp
.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/24/16 01:11 AM
The reason I think he's going to lose? Most voters are women.

Every woman who has ever been raped, sexually harassed, treated like a piece of meat by a man, treated as a lesser sub-species by a woman-hater, marginalized at work, or received less pay for the same work is going to go into that voting booth and think: "This is that man. He thinks women are all either on their periods, bimbos, or fatties, and he has said that many times."

They may say they are voting for Trump to please some man, but he's not in there with them...
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/25/16 11:45 AM
The never ending saga of America. Trump's Secretary of Science and Technology??

Comic relief...

[Linked Image from s17.postimg.org]

Quote
TULSA, Okla. — Republican Senator James Inhofe spoke out today against the scientific theory of gravity and what he called “secular extremists taking God out physics,” calling for an investigation into the infiltration of “pagan gravitationists” within the Federal Government.

“These people hate God, and are forcing their radical, non-Christian views on your children!” Warned Inhofe at a hastily-called press conference at the First Evangelical Church of Jesus Christ Our Savior. “This so-called ‘theory of gravity’ is nothing less than the second greatest hoax scientists have ever pulled on the good people of Oklahoma. The first, of course, being global warming. Or evolution. I forget which.”
...
With Senator Inhofe at the press conference was Gus Hornsby, family man, farmer, and part-time pastor at the newly-formed Church Of The Unholy Inhale in nearby Sapulpa, Oklahoma. “Scientists want to teach your children that gravity is nothing more than two particles of matter attracting one another with a force directly proportional to the product of their masses and inversely proportional to the square of the distance between them!” he cried out, grabbing the microphone out of Inhofe’s hands. “That’s a load of horsepucky! The Good Book teaches us that we remain glued to the Earth’s surface because Satan is forever sucking in his breath, pulling us closer and closer to the fires of Hell below. It is only by the grace of God that He chose to cover the molten core of Earth with a crust, thereby creating a layer of salvation between His children and eternal damnation.”

Hornsby then launched into a sermon damning basements, below-ground swimming pools, and deep, open pits while Inhofe smiled and nodded.
ROTFMOL

Newslo
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/25/16 12:04 PM
Debates and outcomes

Quote
The presidential debates are generally considered the last big opportunity to move voters before the election. They offer rare moments for Americans to do some head-to-head comparison shopping between two candidates on the same stage discussing the issues.

And yet, according to the numbers, the debates have done little to change the fundamental structure of recent presidential races. Looking at pre-debate NBC News/Wall Street Journal presidential polls and the final election results since 1992, there is only one campaign where the debate may have made a serious difference — 2000.

In every other case, the candidate that led going into the debates wound up winning on Election Day.

[Linked Image from s13.postimg.org]

NBC
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/25/16 01:44 PM
What do networks do when the program is failing?
Can the shyte. Change it.

[Linked Image from s22.postimg.org]

Quote
Voter satisfaction with the choice of presidential candidates, already at a two-decade low, has declined even further. A new survey finds that just a third of registered voters say they are very or fairly satisfied with the choices, while 63% say they are not too or not at all satisfied. That represents a 7-percentage-point drop since June in the share of voters expressing satisfaction with their candidate choices.

Pew Research
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/25/16 02:16 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Quote
Voter satisfaction with the choice of presidential candidates, already at a two-decade low, has declined even further. A new survey finds that just a third of registered voters say they are very or fairly satisfied with the choices, while 63% say they are not too or not at all satisfied. That represents a 7-percentage-point drop since June in the share of voters expressing satisfaction with their candidate choices.
I keep wondering (as we all are) how things have gotten so irrational. My opinion, as a broad generalization, is that a pervasive attitude of negativity is blanketing the world. I suspect it comes from the stress that humanity, overbearing and overpopulated as it is, is placing upon the planet. Our "growth", as a species, and our pro-growth ideologies, are no different than cancer in any organism. The symptoms are terrorism, hate, pollution, greed, territorialism, anger, denial...

What is the cure for cancer on the Earth?
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/25/16 02:48 PM
One solution .... don;t everyone rush for the suicide machine .... make it in an orderly fashion

OTOH .... we could cooperate with each other and work as a collective and try to ensure the survival of the species
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/25/16 02:52 PM
Originally Posted by rporter314
OTOH .... we could cooperate with each other and work as a collective and try to ensure the survival of the species
That's socialism, socialism is bad...
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/25/16 03:00 PM
Growth, as a self-organized system (as it is in cancer), when it is unbounded, eventually kills the host organism. The bounds are the check on growth, such as ["OTOH .... we could cooperate with each other and work as a collective and try to ensure the survival of the species"] but, it requires the administration of treatment and, almost always, against the desire of the host organism.
It can work. But we can't wait for it to happen on its own. By then it'll be too late.
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/25/16 05:24 PM
Finally the press tells the truth
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/25/16 09:01 PM
It would be nice if the networks carrying the debate would put a fact check display on screen in real time. A bottom of the screen band could say "LIE" or "TRUTH" in red or green, for the dimwits who can't tell the difference.

THAT would be informative. It's not really a debate if one of the parties lies all the time.
Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/25/16 09:47 PM
That's a great idea, PIA.

If they couldn't do it live, with the right team I bet they could get it out with just a bit of time delay.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/25/16 11:30 PM
PIA, you're trying to take the fantasy out of the circus. Circuses aren't fun without the clowns and the fantasy.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/26/16 12:22 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
...THAT would be informative. It's not really a debate if one of the parties lies all the time.
I did a little probing on a Rightie blog, asking if people thought there should be fact-checking by moderators. It's a legitimate question for discussion, there being a slew of 'technical' problems with carrying it out. But there is also the issue with what PIA said above.

However, the response by Trump supporters is bluntly "No"... I wonder if they are actually aware that Trump lies all the time and know that fact-checking would destroy him as a candidate? If so, then why do they support him?

Might as well have a bumper sticker saying, "I'm Voting for the Compulsive Liar for President!!" Of, course, at this point they will always say that Hillary is a bigger liar, while refusing to list any of her supposed lies. If Clinton was the bigger liar, I'd think her opponents would welcome fact-checking.
Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/26/16 03:34 PM
Quote
Loggy said:
If Clinton was the bigger liar, I'd think her opponents would welcome fact-checking.

Touche! Bow
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/26/16 08:00 PM
I've gone through this angst over many cycles- like many of you, I cannot get my head around how anyone can support as chronic and excessive liar as Donald Trump, but it is because I, like you, am applying the wrong metric. We tend to put a premium on things like "facts" and "reality", but that is not Trump's appeal. His appeal, like all demagogues, is to emotion. My fear is that the hard sell will work at the end, and then what? Really, we're screwed. No one has been less prepared to occupy the oval office in a century, and these are, as they say, "interesting times." North Korea, Russia, Iran and China are chomping at the bit to go crazy on the goofball Trump, whose bravado is only exceeded by his sheer ignorance.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/26/16 09:07 PM
i think you can find numerous anecdotes from Trump supporters who believe what you call lies are really not lies but liberal media saying they are lies and they are therefore truths

gorilla thumping
once there was lightness
now dark seas swallow
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/26/16 11:44 PM
This is exactly true. Since the “mainstream media’ is reporting the “lies” uttered by Trump, they are indeed nothing but lies. Put forth my the MSM.

Everything the Trumpster says is true. Because he says it is. Therefore it is. So.

Let me say this--about that.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/27/16 12:16 AM
Quote
It would be nice if the networks carrying the debate would put a fact check display on screen in real time.
POLITICS Bloomberg TV will conduct ‘onscreen fact checks’ in real time during tonight’s presidential debate source
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/27/16 12:33 AM
Fellas, what's the mystery? If his lips are moving he's lying. No need to check any facts.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/27/16 09:05 AM



Will & Grace cast reunite for 2016 election

Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/28/16 01:54 PM
Quote
Big media news for Hillary Clinton Tuesday night as the Arizona Republic which had never in its history endorsed a Democrat for president &#8213; has thrown its endorsement to the former secretary of state, citing her lifetime of never coming across like an impulsive man-baby: “The president commands our nuclear arsenal. Trump can’t command his own rhetoric.”

And from the same article

Quote
But not so fast! Donald Trump has a media coup of his own to brag about. Seems that some eagle-eyed investigative reporters at the Baltimore Gazette have brought home a dilly of a scoop: “Multiple reports and leaked information from inside the Clinton camp claim that the Clinton campaign was given the entire set of debate questions an entire week before the actual debate.”

Trumpet sting!

Earlier last week an NBC intern was seen hand delivering a package to Clinton’s campaign headquarters, according to sources. The package was not given to secretarial staff, as would normally happen, but the intern was instead ushered into the personal office of Clinton campaign manager Robert Mook. Members of the Clinton press corps from several media organizations were in attendance at the time, and a reporter from Fox News recognized the intern, but said he was initially confused because the NBC intern was dressed like a Fed Ex employee.
That’s some serious shoe-leather! Unfortunately there was un problema. As the Baltimore City Paper’s Brandon Weigel reported last week:

The Baltimore Gazette, a newspaper that existed very briefly just after the Civil War, has returned online as a site to spread fake news stories and other nonsense.

Side bets on whether Trump cites the Baltimore Gazette story for his latest conspiracy theory?
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/16 12:12 AM
I have lived through many Presidential elections, my first was the election of Harry Truman (I was too young to really be aware of the final Roosevelt election), and that includes many quite bizarre campaigns, but this one tops them all in misdirection.

Trump criticizes women for being fat and then his staff claims Clinton said it. Just on of the many such instances.

Help me out, I'm looking for the famous quote, was it in 1984?
Posted By: Golem Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/16 01:52 AM
Phil, Trump is a scumbag. He's not just an embarrassment to Republicans and conservatives, he's also an embarrassment to Americans.

I'm not a Hillary fan either.
Posted By: Golem Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/16 01:56 AM
'Star Trek' cast and crew, including J.J. Abrams and George Takei, sign an open letter against Trump

Melanie Mason
Los Angeles Times
September 29, 2016

Quote
Live long and...vote for Hillary Clinton?

A bevy of "Star Trek" cast and crew members from multiple generations signed an open letter Thursday by the Facebook group "Trekkies Against Trump," blasting GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump and arguing against a third-party "protest vote" in the November election...

Endorsed by:

J.J. Abrams
Allan Apone
Richard Arnold
René Auberjonois
Ira Steven Behr
Rick Berman
John Billingsley
Christopher Black
Paula Block
Paul Boehmer
André Bormanis
Brannon Braga
Mark Robert Brown
LeVar Burton
Terri Potts-Chattaway
John Cho
George Colucci
Denise Crosby
Dan Curry
Joseph D'Agosta
Nicole de Boer
John de Lancie
Jonathan Del Arco
Chris Doohan
Aron Eisenberg
Terry Erdmann
Terry Farrell
Lolita Fatjo
Juan Carlos Fernandez
Louise Fletcher
Jonathan Frakes
Bryan Fuller
Tim Gaskill
David Gerrold
Bruce Greenwood
Max Grodénchik
Martha Hackett
Manu Intiraymi
Dominic Keating
John Knoll
Walter Koenig
Alex Kurtzman
Judith Levitt
Jeff Lewis
Justin Lin
David Mack
Dennis Madalone
Chase Masterson
Gates McFadden
Robert Duncan McNeill
Nicholas Meyer
Anthony Montgomery
Ronald B. Moore
Tom Morga
Kate Mulgrew
Larry Nemecek
Adam Nimoy
Susan Nimoy
Robert O'Reilly
Leslie Parrish
Robb Pearlman
Simon Pegg
Ethan Phillips
Robert Picardo
Sandra Piller
Chris Pine
Zachary Quinto
Andrew Robinson
Eugene & Heidi Roddenberry
Marvin Rush
Tim Russ
Zoe Saldana
Naren Shankar
Armin Shimerman
Gregory Smith
Brent Spiner
Rick Sternbach
Peter Sternlicht
Eric Stillwell
Sandy Stone
Carel Struycken
Marina Sirtis
Michael Sussman
Kitty Swink
George Takei
Michael Taylor
Connor Trinneer
Karl Urban
Wil Wheaton
Herman Zimmerman
More
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/16 02:02 AM
Quote
I'm not a Hillary fan either.

Still, you've got to admit the US will still exist in 2020 and 2024 if Hillary gets elected. With Trump, probably not.

There may yet arise some great conservative spokesman for a generation, who gets elected as the Republican after Hillary. All he has to do is appeal to Hispanics, Blacks, and women and he could be elected. I can just see a Moderate Republican running against a Sanders-style Socialist, and it would be his election. As a moderate Democrat, Hillary is not so very different from a Moderate Republican anyway.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/16 02:13 AM
The Arizona Republic newspaper has endorsed Clinton (first Democrat since 1890!).

The are getting the usual letters cancelling subscriptions, denouncing their choice, etc. but they are also getting death threats. This is exactly why they had to make the endorsement they did. Trump surrounds his campaign with the deplorables who WOULD make death threats or even attempt to carry them out.

Rather a self-fulfilling prophesy, no? No big surprise though: No matter how well behaved a candidate is, the Republicans always have somebody who shows up at their rally who is happy to make all the disgusting comments the press needs. They just can't seem to help it.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/16 02:22 AM
Is it time to start speculating on who will take Trump's place on account of the Cuba treason thing?

Looks like Rubio is ready to throw his hat in the ring. Maybe Cruz, too?
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/16 04:23 AM
Gov Pence is next in line.

Republicans have a never ending supply of theocrats
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/16 08:08 AM
I think the Trump Foundation revelations and the Cuba thing will have real impacts. That is "real" corruption.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/16 08:47 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I think the Trump Foundation revelations and the Cuba thing will have real impacts. That is "real" corruption.
All the fun stuff seems to happen while I'm at work. I need to catch-up. Hmm
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/16 10:03 AM
[Linked Image from s18.postimg.org]
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/16 04:27 PM
Today I got up and did some analysis. I watched Steve Kornacki last night on "The 11th Hour" showing Trump's "path" and he just couldn't get there. I did the same thing this morning. I want it to be a blowout. I don't think it will be, but the electoral college is not likely to be close (David Plouffe is downright giddy). I see it as in the 313-343 range. Even if you give Trump EVERY SWING STATE, he still loses 272-267. Try it yourself.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/16 06:18 PM
Okay, I literally laughed out loud at this one: "You know it's going to be so much better when he begins to focus on the real issues." Ben Carson. Seriously!? The election is a month from now. Focus? Real issues? What planet do you inhabit?
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/16 06:35 PM
Ben has some serious case of time-delay syndrome. It probably explains why he always seems so sleepy.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/16 06:43 PM
Quote
I think the Trump Foundation revelations and the Cuba thing will have real impacts. That is "real" corruption.

Unfortunately, the Cuba deal is beyond the statute of limitations and some could argue the Foundation mess is civil. So I doubt Trump gets any jail time.

He managed to turn rape of a 13 year old girl into a civil matter. It's amazing what you can get away with when you have enough money.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/16 08:17 PM
soooo ... the election is rigged
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 09/30/16 08:22 PM
Dr Carson in my humble opinion was absolutely the worst Republican candidate this cycle. He had absolutely no grasp of the issues and almost everything he said was irrational.

However, he did say one thing which was and remains true and valid. Anyone who holds their religion above the Constitution has no business running for office. At the time he of course did not realize it applied to him as well ergo the worst.
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/01/16 12:29 AM
Jeebus. This has turned into the first twitter flame war presidential election. I suppose it was only a matter of time, but I'm still a little shocked.

Linky

So when the Trump campaign is being hit with bad news on multiple fronts the Hillary campaign is putting up an obvious target in an obvious challenge on Trump's home turf.....


[Linked Image from eonline.com]
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/01/16 12:37 AM
Oh and I'd best leave this here

Quote
Donald Trump Appeared In A 2000 Playboy Softcore Porn


I'm no longer quite sure this election season isn't all just some weird dream.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/01/16 12:59 PM
Trump recants pledge to accept a Clinton win
Quote
Donald Trump said on Friday that he would not necessarily accept the results of the presidential election in the event that Hillary Clinton defeats him, reversing his statement four days earlier that he would “absolutely” respect them.

After the first presidential debate on Monday, the Republican nominee told reporters “absolutely I would” honor the results of the election should he lose. In an interview with the New York Times on Friday, he backtracked: “We’re going to have to see. We’re going to see what happens. We’re going to have to see.”
And what would he do about it? A huge storm of late night tweeting, nasty tweeting like has never been seen in the history of politics?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/01/16 04:02 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
Oh and I'd best leave this here

Quote
Donald Trump Appeared In A 2000 Playboy Softcore Porn
Talk about a double standard! Lessee... It's bad for a woman to be accused of being in a non-existent porn, but okay for a man to actually participate in one?
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/01/16 06:04 PM
Quote
a man to actually participate in one
stretching a little NWP?

He appeared in it but I would hardly call what he did as participating in the activities.

However, I do not think his cameo was on a higher moral plain than an appearance in a reality show
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/01/16 06:14 PM
He's treading on very dangerous ground here. He is being sued by a woman for raping her when she was 13 at his convicted pedophile friend's sex-party house. These other things he is tweeting about all involved consenting adults. According to the plaintiff, it was NOT statutory rape either.

I don't believe that case is under a gag order, so the Clinton campaign could parade the victim in front of the TV cameras to tell her story if they wanted to sink into the gutter like Trump.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/01/16 06:53 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
He's treading on very dangerous ground here. He is being sued by a woman for raping her when she was 13 at his convicted pedophile friend's sex-party house.
I get the sense that no one is taking this alleged encounter seriously even though Trump himself has said of Jeffrey Epstein:

Quote
“He’s a lot of fun to be with. It is even said that he likes beautiful women as much as I do, and many of them are on the younger side. No doubt about it—Jeffrey enjoys his social life.”
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/01/16 07:36 PM
Yeah, I've read that quote. At the very least Trump was expressing admiration for this now convicted rich pedophile BECAUSE of the underaged girls he had around him.

Republicans claim some sort of equivalence because Bill Clinton is known to have ridden on Jeffrey Epstein's private plane. But so did lots of people. Epstein was a major party guy, inviting lots of people to his house, ride on his plane, etc. Doesn't mean they knew anything about his sexual perversion. (Most people keep that secret, especially if they are breaking the law.)

But Trump DID know, and looks like HE went for a ride on one of Epstein's sex toys. See the difference there? Ride on a plane versus rape a child?
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/01/16 07:47 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Republicans claim some sort of equivalence because Bill Clinton is known to have ridden on Jeffrey Epstein's private plane. But so did lots of people.
Apparently, a one Donald Trump rode Jeffrey's plane to Sex Slave island as well. Hmm
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/01/16 08:04 PM

An even more damaging report on Trump's use of Epstein's play toys written nine months ago.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/01/16 08:49 PM

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/02/16 12:47 AM
Never thought I'd see the day:

San Diego Union Endorses Hillary Clinton

Quote
“We could see an administration that’s friendlier to ruthless Russia … that reneges on its treaty commitments … that ruins U.S. trustworthiness in international finance … that launches a trade war … [and] with an open enemies list,”

Quote
“We understand the lack of enthusiasm for her candidacy, the anger over her private email server, family foundation and income from Wall Street speeches, and the questions about how America fared in foreign affairs when she was secretary of state,” the endorsement reads. “But despite Trump’s insistence otherwise, she has the better temperament to be president—and the experience, background and relationships with world leaders that we need in a president.”
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/02/16 11:24 PM


[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/02/16 11:27 PM

[Linked Image from media.cagle.com]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/16 10:32 AM
Quote
They're selling postcards of the hanging, they're painting the passports brown
The beauty parlor is filled with sailors, the circus is in town
Here comes the blind commissioner, they've got him in a trance
One hand is tied to the tight-rope walker, the other is in his pants
And the riot squad they're restless, they need somewhere to go
As Lady and I look out tonight, from Desolation Row

Bob Dylan
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/16 12:03 PM
Just a couple of observations on the presentments of Trump surrogates; Trump better than a woman in the White House.

Giulianini first... I think his problem is that his glasses are so bent out of shape that he can't see straight.

The woman in the interview... she seems to have caught what Mitch McConnell is suffering from (remember where he blames Obama for not telling him that the bill allowing lawsuits against Saudi Arabia is a bad idea?); her version is that in an interview responding to Trump saying Hillary is not faithful to Bill, that she is dragging Donald into "gutter politics". Come to think of it, that's just like how Obama caused racism in America to flare up again - he flaunted his 'blackness' just to divide people!

I think I'm finally starting to get a grasp on Conservative thinking, and I like its playful absurdity!
Posted By: Bored Member Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/16 03:20 PM
Looks like Don the Con had a bad week...... He was at +175 last week. Hilly was at -250

Next President of the United States of America

Odds as of October 3 at Bovada

Hillary Clinton -300
Donald Trump +225
Other +2000

Bovada
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/16 05:37 PM


How does the -/+ thing work in odds making? Hmm
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/16 05:44 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
How does the -/+ thing work in odds making? Hmm

American odds:

Originally Posted by Wiki
Moneyline odds are favoured by American bookmakers. The figure quoted is either positive or negative.
When moneyline odds are positive, the figure indicates how much money will be won on a $100 wager (this is done for an outcome that is considered less likely to happen than not). For example, a net payout of 4/1 would be quoted as +400.
When moneyline odds are negative, the figure indicates how much money must be wagered to win $100 (this is done for an outcome is considered more likely to happen than not). For example, a net payout of 1/4 would be quoted as -400.
Moneyline odds are often referred to as American odds. Moneyline refers to odds on the straight-up outcome of a game with no consideration to a point spread. The favorite will have negative moneyline odds (less payoff for a safer bet) and the underdog will have positive moneyline odds (more payoff for a risky bet)
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/16 05:48 PM


Thanks Zeke! smile
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/16 05:52 PM
So from those odds:

Hillz has a 75% probability of winning
Trump has a 30.77% probability of winning
Other has a 4.76% probability of winning
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/16 06:49 PM
I think the odds on "other" represent a huge money-making opportunity. As long as nobody gets assassinated or drops dead, the actual odds of somebody other than Clinton or Trump getting elected has to be zero. Do they really believe some Black Swan scenario is that likely? The most likely of such events involve one of the candidates dying or dropping out, in which case the other wins. For this bet to lose you need something like a meteor landing on a debate to take them both out.

You would have to bet a lot of money, but you could make 4.76% in about 33 days. That's about a 55% annualized return!
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/16 07:11 PM
Quote
Hillz has a 75% probability of winning
Trump has a 30.77% probability of winning
which is ~ 538 prediction last i peeked
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/16 07:33 PM


Trump Supporter: Hillary has dementia
Reporter: How do you know that?
Trump Supporter: I watch a lot of Fox News

ROTFMOL

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/16 07:45 PM
I guess that explains the expression on her face... certainly hazardous to your health
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/16 07:58 PM
You would think that Fox viewers would eventually realize that almost everything Fox has told them (with absolute certainty) has not proved to be true. I suppose their audience is self-selecting: The people who are able to concentrate on anything long enough to figure that out stop watching. The ones who remain have no long-term memory.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/16 08:00 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
I guess that explains the expression on her face... certainly hazardous to your health
She's actually not the one that said Hillary has dementia, it's a guy at the end that looks like a 70s porn star.

[Linked Image from i1308.photobucket.com]

There's a reason why that part of Pennsylvania is called Pennsyl-tucky.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/04/16 11:08 PM
Something about the polls... Things are better for Clinton than they look. Her lead in poll averages has remained in the 3-5% range since June. The difference is that a month ago pollsters moved to their "likely voter" models, which have always skewed Republican. So her lead NOW is 3-5% of likely voters, meaning that it's a percent or so higher than previously.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 12:09 AM
Just heard on the radio: Trump; "If Hillary didn't want me using those tax laws, she should have changed them!"
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 12:21 AM
since voter turnout is not dependent on previous turnouts, one should not arrive at categorical conclusions (it is a suggestion, not a rule)

then, of course .... unless this is an anomalous cycle
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 12:26 AM
was she emperor of the universe? she was a junior senator and had an uphill battle with republicans/conservatives/democrats to even suggest changes

Rep Ryan's plan is in my opinion lipstick to placate those who are railing for change

reducing tax brackets is not reform of the tax code, it is superficial simplification of a complex law.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 12:43 AM
Quote
Just heard on the radio: Trump; "If Hillary didn't want me using those tax laws, she should have changed them!"
Mr. T seems to credit Madame Clinton with a great deal more power than she ever had.

I suspect he really might not have any idea how government actually works.../S
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 01:14 AM
It's another tacit admission that what he did was not "right", even though it may have been legal.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 01:48 AM
Watching the VP debate. Pence loves to dominate the talk while dodging the questions. Both are very nimble but Kaine is speaking from his mind, Pence is sticking to the temious talking points.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 02:01 AM
Pence never answers the questions. Probably because he can't.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 04:20 AM
Lawrence O'Donnell just made a very good point: Pence gave a lot of sound bites for Clinton's campaign, but Kaine didn't reciprocate.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 10:41 AM
Kaine is weak, as has been noted here many times in the recent past. His convictions are not very convincing. Pence, while being a right wing bigot, is very sure of his convictions. Not that I think this debate will matter one whit. Both have the charisma of wet rag. I don't think they'll add anything to the respective campaigns.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 11:01 AM
that is what i heard

Trump supporters said Gov Pence offered detailed solutions but what I heard was variations of simple motifs of make America great or their solution to ISIS is to defeat them ... their solution is law & order is law and order .... their solution for the economy is reduce taxes ... etc

the contrast with Sen Kaine was actual detailed plans .... 5 pt .... 3 pt ... etc

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 03:26 PM
The "style" points go to Pence, the "substance" points go to Kaine. Interestingly, the "avalanche of insults" was just quoting Trump...

I have an idea for a video: it starts with an empty apple barrel, then with overdubs of Trump, people start putting rotten food in the barrel... migrant farmworker..."Their rapists" thud... women's hands. "pig", "slob"... military sleeves, "Generals are rubble", "Soldiers are weak", "not captured"... thud, thud, thud... then the tag line over an image of a fly-swarmed, dripping barrel of rotten food with a Trump-Pence sign attached... "Hungry yet?"
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 03:29 PM
Another video -- quotes of Trump/Pence saying things... then videos of them denying that. Wait, I just saw it. Mike Pence To America: Trump Never Said Those Things He Said - HuffPo
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 03:35 PM
Moderator Elaine Quijano caught in multiple lies! She kept referring to Kaine and Pence as "Gentlemen."
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 03:40 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
The "style" points go to Pence, the "substance" points go to Kaine.

Funny how the liar can win on style, innit it? What's that say about the electorate?

Saw this somewhere yesterday:
"Liar, liar, Pence on fire!!"
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 03:48 PM
I think the fallout from the debate is going to be against Pence... since he so frequently - really frequently - denied verifiable statements.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 07:27 PM
For Trump supporters your comment will fall on deaf ears ... whereas Gov Pence could not shoot someone in Times Square, he could lie as much as necessary to avoid answering questions and get away with it

Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 08:58 PM
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 09:32 PM
For the third time since The Atlant...president. The case for Hillary Clinton.


Quote
Donald Trump, on the other hand, has no record of public service and no qualifications for public office. His affect is that of an infomercial huckster; he traffics in conspiracy theories and racist invective; he is appallingly sexist; he is erratic, secretive, and xenophobic; he expresses admiration for authoritarian rulers, and evinces authoritarian tendencies himself. He is easily goaded, a poor quality for someone seeking control of America’s nuclear arsenal. He is an enemy of fact-based discourse; he is ignorant of, and indifferent to, the Constitution; he appears not to read.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 10:00 PM
Nice find, Schlack.
Of his opponent they said...
Quote
Hillary Rodham Clinton has more than earned, through her service to the country as first lady, as a senator from New York, and as secretary of state, the right to be taken seriously as a White House contender. She has flaws (some legitimately troubling, some exaggerated by her opponents), but she is among the most prepared candidates ever to seek the presidency. We are confident that she understands the role of the United States in the world; we have no doubt that she will apply herself assiduously to the problems confronting this country; and she has demonstrated an aptitude for analysis and hard work.

And they did it without even choosing sides with one party or the other.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/05/16 10:04 PM
Wow. I could not have stated my opposition to Trump any better than that. Scathing.

Unfortunately many of the criticisms leveled against Mr. Trump in the Atlantic endorsement are precisely the reasons why many of the fans of the Donald love him. He gives a voice to their twisted ways of thinking.

We as humans and a nation still have a very long road to travel. And many humans will always hold the views that the Donald espouses. Hopefully they will remain marginalized as they never will fully disappear.

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/06/16 08:23 PM
Interesting how some of the most scathing criticism of Trump is coming from the right:

Quote
There are a lot of folks out there who, like me, don’t care one bit for Hillary Clinton&#8202;—&#8202;53 percent of you, according to the latest Real Clear Politics average. Whether you are Republicans or Bernie bros or just people who have fully functioning auditory systems, you don’t trust her, don’t think she is in touch with your concerns, and don’t really want her to be president.
I come before you today, Hillary haters, as one of your standard-bearers. I find her utterly loathsome. I literally wrote a book on her failures&#8202;—&#8202;you can buy it for the low, low price of 99 cents on Amazon dot com. I started the first anti-Hillary super PAC of the presidential cycle back in 2013. My bona fides are real.
But here is the painful reality. As truly awful as Hillary Clinton is, Donald Trump is far, FAR worse. It is not even close. Trump is a clear and present danger to our republic. And no matter how deep and abiding your mistrust is of Hillary, you cannot pull the lever for Trump. Let a charter member of the vast, right-wing anti-Clinton conspiracy convince you.

The Ringer
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/06/16 11:13 PM


wow, it aint subtle
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/06/16 11:31 PM
About as subtle as an elephant in heat grin
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/07/16 10:42 AM
[Linked Image from s21.postimg.org]
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/07/16 11:45 AM
Hmm
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/08/16 02:59 PM
FiveThirtyEight has three projections for Clinton probability to win this morning: 79% (polls plus), 82% (polls only) and 87+% (now cast). The difference is +Iowa and +Arizona. This is before the grope-splosion and the Wall Street speech leak. Which will have the bigger impact? I have a guess.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/08/16 03:51 PM
The groping bombshell simply outblasted other shocking news on Friday. Imagine how big a story Trump's continued abuse of black teens exonerated after years in prison would play if not overshadowed by a grosser outrage. "Of course they're guilty. They're black! So what if the evidence was manufactured and confessions coerced..." Donald Trump Says Central Park Five Are Guilty, Despite DNA Evidence.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/08/16 06:53 PM
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/08/16 06:59 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
FiveThirtyEight has three projections for Clinton probability to win this morning: 79% (polls plus), 82% (polls only) and 87+% (now cast). The difference is +Iowa and +Arizona. This is before the grope-splosion and the Wall Street speech leak. Which will have the bigger impact? I have a guess.
[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/08/16 07:11 PM

Posted By: Irked Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/09/16 05:38 AM
Originally Posted by logtroll


How'd they do that Hmm
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/09/16 10:49 AM
Originally Posted by logtroll

ROTFMOL
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/09/16 07:21 PM


RNCs Reince Preibus effectively tells RNC staff to "do what's best for them" as far as working for Trump's campaign and their career future. This is probably why Kellyanne has been MIA since Friday's audio leak.

Writes Mediaite:

Quote
The RNC has already redirected funds away from the Trump campaign to further help down-ballot candidates in this final month of the election, indicating the party knows Trump’s chances of winning are effectively nil now.

Tonight's debate will probably be the final nail in the coffin for Trump's run at the presidency.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/09/16 09:43 PM
And yet his fans are sticking by him. This could actually affect the down races. We thought all Republicans and Trump fans would vote straight-ticket and send all the Republicans back to block Hillary (ala Obama). But if those politicians take a stand on Trump, it's going to piss somebody off. If they stick by him, they could lose the mainstream Republicans. If they desert him, they could lose the Trump fans.

I think that former Trump supporters disgusted with him might just not go to the polls at all this time. Hillary just might get the Congress she needs!
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/09/16 10:15 PM
Quote
former Trump supporters disgusted with him might just not go to the polls at all this time.
I'm also seeing some stirrings that Trump supporters are so pissed at the down ballot candidates they may vote Trump and leave the down ballot blank.

It all bodes well for Democrats.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/10/16 11:47 AM
And you want to know why 40% vote for Trump:

[Linked Image from s14.postimg.org]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/10/16 05:03 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
And you want to know why 40% vote for Trump:

[Linked Image from s14.postimg.org]
Bow

Dumbasses rolleyes
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/10/16 05:04 PM


Let Bill Clinton's past treatment of women be a lesson to ALL men:

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/10/16 07:52 PM
ok .... what is the definition of lepo????
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/10/16 08:08 PM
woah
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/10/16 08:17 PM
GOP U.S. Senate candidate Darryl Gl...s two-day-old rejection of Donald Trump:
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/10/16 10:25 PM
Like I said, you're either for him or against him. Either way, what's a Republican to do? If you support him, the Never-Trumps (getting bigger and bigger) will vote against you, leave the down-ballot blank, or just stay home on election day.

If you say he is pondscum, the Trump-fans will do the same because you are a traitor.

If you don't say anything to the press for the next month, I bet your opponent will.

Trump has done a fantastic job of destroying the GOP.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/16 08:48 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Trump has done a fantastic job of destroying the GOP.
At least he's been good for something. smile
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/16 10:28 AM
Trump's greatest triumph will be dismantling the GOP in plain view. They'll be left with shyte on their faces. When it's all said and done, they will be unveiled for what they are: racist xenophobic homophobic morons with no plan, no platform and no excuses. Their base, as it were, will migrate to the alt right proving, yet again, that there is no reconciliation between extremes.
And of course, the Dems will have to figure out what their party is all about, which will not be pretty either.
All of this just goes to show that the political spectrum has many more shades than were imagined in their vain philosophy.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/16 03:27 PM
When Glenn Beck is against you, you know you must be beyond the lunatic fringe. ROTFMOL

Quote
It is not acceptable to ask a moral, dignified man to cast his vote to help elect an immoral man who is absent decency or dignity," Beck wrote on Facebook in reference to Trump. "If the consequence of standing against Trump and for principles is indeed the election of Hillary Clinton, so be it. At least it is a moral, ethical choice."


CNN
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/16 08:32 PM
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/16 10:08 PM
NC’s 2016 Voter Turnout (through 10 October)

NC Republican early voting down by 45% on 2012 at this point in election. Dem/Indy up 6/7

Quote
Again, please bear in mind: it’s still early days yet.

Ballot numbers are only in the l000s at the moment, but it could be a harbinger?
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/16 10:33 PM
Quote
All of this just goes to show

Or as the Japanese might say--“It goes to shoyu.”
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/16 10:36 PM
LOL

Good one Schlacky!
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/16 10:49 PM
I have received either my ballot or a sample ballot. I haven't opened it yet but will soon either vote or use it to research which judges lean republican and which democratic. Those are non partisan positions so the party isn't listed with their names.
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/16 10:50 PM
A new front just opened in the republican civil war

Quote
Christianity Today — the flagship Evangelical magazine in America — denounces Trump

Enthusiasm for a candidate like Trump gives our neighbours ample reason to doubt that we believe Jesus is Lord,” Christianity Today editorial director Andy Crouch wrote Monday in an editorial. “They see that some of us are so self-interested, and so self-protective, that we will ally ourselves with someone who violates all that is sacred to us.”

Christianity Today was founded by evangelist Billy Graham in 1956 and today serves as a major voice of evangelicals, who make up about more than a quarter of the U.S. population.

The publication does not endorse candidates because it is a nonprofit organization, Crouch wrote in the editorial. But Monday’s editorial, which devoted a paragraph to criticizing Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton (mostly for her use of a private email server), hammered Trump for about 1,000 words.

Best election ever!

Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/16 11:07 PM
Ouch. First the Mormans, then the Catholics. Now the Evangelicals.

I thought the "Grab her" tape might make some Christians come to their senses and stop supporting The AntiChrist. LOL
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/16 11:11 PM
I don't believe Jesus is Lord... does that mean I have to vote for Trump?
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/16 11:12 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
I thought the "Grab her" tape might make some Christians come to their senses and stop supporting The AntiChrist. LOL
I wonder if the fallout would have been less amongst the Christians if he had advocated grabbing them by the tw@t?
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/16 11:32 PM
Quote
I wonder if the fallout would have been less amongst the Christians if he had advocated grabbing them by the tw@t?
I think tw@t has even worse connotations than p*ssy, so I doubt it.

Maybe he should have used "Nether Regions"? "Baby-maker"? Or the euphemistic "Down There"? How about "Hoo Haw"? Everybody would have known he was joking if he said "Hoo Haw". How could you take that seriously?
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/16 11:46 PM
GOP vice presidential nominee Mike ... the federal government if Clinton wins.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/11/16 11:46 PM
I honestly don't know how anybody takes anything he says seriously.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/16 12:13 AM
If Clinton wins Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida OR North Carolina, she wins.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/16 07:04 AM
Quote
if Clinton wins...

That lady should expect a visit from the FBI. It is a crime to suggest overthrowing the US government by force. We call it "treason". Even Bundy Senior and the Bird Sanctuary Boys did not propose this.

If they want to keep post-election violence down, they should very publicly arrest her and charge her. I'm afraid just ignoring her is encouraging this kind of behavior.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/16 07:26 AM
Florida on Tuesday night, Trump spoke to supporters:
Quote
“Go register,” Trump implored. “Make sure you go out and vote Nov. 28.”
And I say his supporters should listen to him, not some damned federal government employee with other ideas...

Trump tells supporters to vote on wrong day
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/16 09:26 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
His Presidency would probably be fraught with errors as well. coffee
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/16 11:45 AM
Even the LA times poll has them tied

538 weighs this poll with a +5 trump bias.

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/16 01:44 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
I wonder if the fallout would have been less amongst the Christians if he had advocated grabbing them by the tw@t?
I think tw@t has even worse connotations than p*ssy, so I doubt it.
In the immortal words of Master Carlin "Tw@t is tw@t and that is that" LOL
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/16 02:14 PM
Seems like the word of the campaign is pussy:
Donald Trump Campaign Manager Kellyanne Conway:
Quote
“We want the support of anybody who’s going to publicly endorse us. But enough of the pussyfooting around in terms of, you know, do you support us or do you not support us," Conway said today on ABC News’ "Good Morning America." "Some of these leaders have been very wishy-washy.”

ABC
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/16 03:12 PM
I'm looking the trend on FiveThirtyEight. The now -cast has her over 90%, with the other predictions over 80%. Utah is in play.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/16 03:47 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I'm looking the trend on FiveThirtyEight. The now -cast has her over 90%, with the other predictions over 80%. Utah is in play.
The Upshot (NY Times) has it at 88% to 12%. All forecasts are more aligned and less volatile (as I mentioned earlier, more reliable).
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/16 04:07 PM
The longer she maintains this lead, the higher the probability. 4 of five pundits say, "it's over." The greatest risk now is Democratic complacency.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/16 04:10 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
Even the LA times poll has them tied

538 weighs this poll with a +5 trump bias.
The LA Times is an outlier - they're polling the same people every day. The LA Times is doing an experiment with USC to determine how much the needle moves every day for the same set of voters given the day's news cycle.

LA Times Polling Methodology
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/12/16 05:33 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Originally Posted by Schlack
Even the LA times poll has them tied

538 weighs this poll with a +5 trump bias.
The LA Times is an outlier - they're polling the same people every day. The LA Times is doing an experiment with USC to determine how much the needle moves every day for the same set of voters given the day's news cycle.

LA Times Polling Methodology

So not really a poll. Doesn't sound like it will yield anything useful either.

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/13/16 12:42 AM
[Linked Image from s18.postimg.org]
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/13/16 12:56 AM
The LA Times is NOT a poll, but it does show how perceptions and inclinations change. It is useful information.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/13/16 12:57 AM
The sample is contaminated. Information is useless.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/13/16 01:09 AM
Quote
The greatest risk now is Democratic complacency.
If (some) voters are that lax about not using their ballot power and therefore allowing a very disturbed and totally unprepared man to take the reigns of US power, perhaps we all deserve what will then ensue.

I think its safe to say this is the most disturbing and consequential election of our lifetimes. Perhaps ever in our history--Abe L. excluded.

Gawd help us all.


Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/13/16 01:12 AM
Ryan called it quits re: Trump. A very brave man. Statesman like doncha think Zeke?
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/13/16 01:23 AM
Originally Posted by Ken Condon
Quote
The greatest risk now is Democratic complacency.
If (some) voters are that lax about not using their ballot power and therefore allowing a very disturbed and totally unprepared man to take the reigns of US power, perhaps we all deserve what will then ensue.
Hey! I don't deserve it!!!!
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/13/16 03:38 AM
I would not be so sure loggy. I have it on good word that Trump has you pegged first in line for the governorship of New Mexico’s hinterlands.

It’s a good opportunity so I would not dismiss the Orange-One’s potential at this moment.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/13/16 09:29 AM

Responded to a blogger on Mediate:

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

laugh
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 03:20 AM
Quote
For years, Republicans managed an exceptional acrobatic act: to mobilize right-wing populist anger and white working-class voters behind a program whose benefits flowed to the economic elites. The operation was supported by large expenditures from the very rich. The assumption was always that the base would get the noise and the elites would get the policy.

The Republican coalition is falling apart, and there may be no way to put it back together again.

from: How the GOP's Big Tent Turned Into a House of Horrors
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 10:38 AM
The rhetoric from the Trump campaign grows alarmingly sinister and anti-semitic:
Quote
“.@TeamTrump should avoid rhetoric&tropes that historically have been used ag. Jews & still spur #antisemitism. Lets keep hate out of cmpgn,” Anti-Defamation League chief executive Jonathan Greenblatt tweeted Thursday. He was responding to Trump’s comment that Clinton “meets in secret with international banks to plot the destruction of U.S. sovereignty in order to enrich these global financial powers, her special-interest friends and her donors.”

Emphasis is mine.

WaPo

Ripped from the pages of The Protocols of the Elders of Zion .
I don't think I need to elaborate on what this means... mad
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 02:03 PM
my first reaction when i heard him say it was, bannon is at work

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 02:12 PM
Very likely
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 06:07 PM
Quote
It all depends if Trump considers Cassandra a 1 or a 10.
Oooooh! You boys should kiss and make up.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 06:27 PM
I’ll stay out of this one....moving on.......

I’m waiting for Trump to melt down during the final debate (assuming he shows up) like the Howard Beale character on the flick Network. A total and complete meltdown.

I’m pretty sure that is going to happen. Should be quite a spectacle.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 06:33 PM
Originally Posted by Ken Condon
I’m waiting for Trump to melt down during the final debate (assuming he shows up) like the Howard Beale character on the flick Network. A total and complete meltdown.

I’m pretty sure that is going to happen. Should be quite a spectacle.
I was thinking about that too last night - whether Trump will show-up for the last debate. Hmm
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 06:39 PM
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 06:40 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
I was thinking about that too last night - whether Trump will show-up for the last debate. Hmm

Probably not. He doesn't like to answer questions.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 06:54 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by pdx rick
I was thinking about that too last night - whether Trump will show-up for the last debate. Hmm

Probably not. He doesn't like to answer questions.
Trump made use of the pivot well in the last debate. He maybe answered two or three questions during the last 90 minute debate.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 06:58 PM
Mr Trump already tweeted he was finished with the (very rigged) debate commission .... they do not know what he meant by that

perhaps the readers in this forum will channel his thoughts and warn the rest of us
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 06:59 PM
i am kinda hoping he will moon the media as his final hurrah
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 07:01 PM
Originally Posted by rporter314
i am kinda hoping he will moon the media as his final hurrah
Now that's an image I could live without LOL
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 07:06 PM

I don't know why the media has surrogates on to talk about issues or things that happen during the campaign. Take Kellyanne Conway for example, CNN will have her on to talk about the Access Hollywood tape and when asked a question about the tape, she pivots and asks why Hillary hasn't done anything in the past 30 years to make lives better. (Hillary has.)

The whole media thing is to attract eyes so that they can charge ad revenue.

I'm getting pretty fed-up with this charade.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 07:14 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
...
The whole media thing is to attract eyes so that they can charge ad revenue.

I'm getting pretty fed-up with this charade.

That's pretty much all it is.
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 10:43 PM
Just four years ago, Big Bird was the GOP's biggest fear
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/14/16 11:36 PM
The real job of a president
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/16/16 02:45 AM
Originally Posted by Ken Condon

Excuse me, that is an insult to the Howard Beale character, at least at THAT point in the story anyway.
Now, were you to reference Howard Beale AFTER the meeting of the minds with Arthur Jensen, I might be inclined to agree although even the post pimped "new" Howard was infinitely more eloquent than Mr. Trump.

So maybe I might offer THIS character instead:



In fact, Andy Griffith almost PREDICTED a Donald Trump candidacy:

Posted By: Irked Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/16/16 04:53 AM
Andy Griffith ThumbsUp
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/16/16 06:05 AM

What...the...hell?


  • Donald Trump calls Hillary Clinton a 'globalist.' He's the one that off-shores his branded items
  • Donald Trump goes after Bill Clinton for being a perv; yet it is Donald Trump who says he just goes up to women and kisses them and grabs their pu55y.
  • For two debates, Donald Trump is sniffling. 'Some say' it's cocaine. He wants to drug test Hillary.
[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/16/16 11:02 AM
Yeah, Jeff, I had forgotten about this movie. Interesting parallel ThumbsUp
Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/16/16 05:50 PM
Quote
Rick astutely pointed this out:

Donald Trump calls Hillary Clinton a 'globalist.' He's the one that off-shores his branded items
Donald Trump goes after Bill Clinto for being a perv; yet it is Donald Trump who says he just goes up to women and kisses them and grabs their pu55y.
For two debates, Donald Trump is sniffling. 'Some say' it's cocaine. He wants to drug test Hillary.

A couple of other things

Trump bragged publicly that he was allowed to walk into the changing rooms of beauty pageants. Women come forward saying that he did, indeed, walk into the changing room at a teen pageant, for crying out loud.

Trump bragged that he gave money to politicians of both stripes because he got things in return. He was caught using his 'charity' to give money to Pam Bondi's campaign right when her office was considering legal action against Trump University. Ok, ok, here's the Wiki

Trump publicly said he wished Russia would hack Hillary Clinton's email. The Russians hacked her campaign email. (Because she no longer used the private server, I guess.)

Trump bragged that he could kiss and grab women by the purr without consent or even friendly feelings, apparently, and get away with it because he is a star. Women have come forward, reporting incidents exactly like that. (And whether he was lying when he said it, or when he said he was lying when he said it, doesn't that make him a liar either way?)

About that drug test challenge
Trump's campaign has gone way dark in recent weeks. Do you think it's because he's jonesing, just in case she takes him up on it? That would probably qualify as debate prep.

The way Hillary Clinton's popularity rating remains ridiculously low in spite of her qualifications, maybe Trump is the only guy she could beat. I imagine she appreciates his help.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/17/16 11:26 AM
[Linked Image from s22.postimg.org]
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/17/16 01:22 PM
Interesting article by Nate Silver:

Where the race stands with 3 weeks to go

Quote
10. What would keep me up late at night if I were Trump?

I’m not sure I can keep up the gag of pretending that Trump has some sort of rational inner monologue. So instead, I’ll think of this question as what would keep me up late at night if I were Kellyanne Conway, Trump’s campaign manager. And the answer is that the Trump campaign was never really set up to have a strong finishing kick. Trump has considerably less cash on hand than Clinton; he also has a much inferior ground game and is burning bridges with Republicans who could help him. And in the primaries, Trump consistently struggled with late-deciding voters, perhaps because he was such a polarizing candidate. So even if Trump catches a couple of breaks over the final weeks, he might not be poised to take advantage of them.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/17/16 04:07 PM

Republicans are pushing Arkansas Rep. Tom Cotton to consider a 2020 presidential run as if he were their last great, white hope.

NYTimes
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/17/16 04:39 PM
I thought I'd pull up some of my previous predictions so y'all can laugh... or not:
Quote
09/29/15 Predictions:* the GOP field is not likely to be winnowed much further until February (excepting maybe Jindal and Gilmore). After the three earliest States there will be a large exodus. Santorum, Pataki, Carson, Fiorina, and maybe even Christie, will drop out. Huckabee and Paul will be clinging to life with a hope for a "southern strategy" and unique constituencies. Theirs are "issues" candidacies, not real contenders (as is Graham's).

On the Dem side, Murray and Chafee will bow out. Sanders will have done well enough in New Hampshire and Iowa to keep it a race and continue to push Clinton to the left. Clinton will find that to not be such an uncomfortable place to be, as she has been shoring up her bona fides on that side consistently already (Keystone, immigration, etc.).

By mid-March, Clinton will have cleared the field, begun to pivot to the General election, and be gearing up for the Convention and establishing the juggernaut of a campaign. The GOP field will still be in flux. Trump may bow out by April, or may take his marbles to an Independent run. Rubio and Bush will be slugging it out for the establishment mantle, with Kasich clinging to relevance. Huckabee may finally run out of money and give inb with a sanctimonious speech about the importance of "values". Cruz will be riding the "outsider" money train and continue being the obnoxious a-h he always is (all the way to the Convention) where he will be a disruptive, destructive force hampering his party's chances in November.

* Bookmark this so you can laugh at me come May.
Quote
07/12/16 I think that the Clinton campaign has reached its low point of support during this election and that she will see a steady increase in support of about 1% per month, winning the election by about 10% points in the popular and a landslide in the electoral college (between 312 and 342 - picked 323). Watch this space.

Or, you can play at home: interactive map by CNN.

Here's my thinking: The general polling is nearly worthless, but Clinton has maintained a lead throughout of about 5%. In battleground States, her lead has been generally larger. After the conventions, the ground game will begin to take hold, and Clinton's advantage is significant. Trump will get some more Republican support, but it will not help substantially. I think ALL of the battleground States favor Clinton, and Arizona and Utah are in play as well.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/17/16 06:35 PM
a level of confidence i do not have

this is not a regular or usual cycle. we are in the midst of profound and fundamental differences between political philosophies. Trump rallies are devolving into angry crowds willing to consider 2nd amendment solutions. the nominee is openly supporting the notion he will lose because the established political machinery to guarantee he lose.

i smell the acrid odor of anarchy wafting across my lawn.

in a conventional cycle your analysis may be accurate. on Nov 9th I believe we will hear the sound of Ignorance in America Matters.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/17/16 06:47 PM
Latino Likely voters chart only adds up to 90%. Did they leave somebody out?
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/17/16 07:16 PM
Marco Rubio ROTFMOL
It's the undecided.
Posted By: Ted Remington Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/17/16 08:05 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Marco Rubio ROTFMOL
It's the undecided.

Spelled underided wrong.
Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/17/16 11:28 PM
On one of the MSNBC talk shows Kellyanne Conway said that she thought the polls were inaccurate because a lot of people who were going to vote for Trump were embarrassed to say so.

Anybody want to bet that there are a lot of men who plan to vote for Hillary Clinton but are embarrassed to admit it? I know a couple.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/17/16 11:42 PM
why would anyone be embarrassed about voting for Mr Trump?
are they closet bigots? ... do they support groping women? ... do they support his policy statements?

lot's of good choices
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/18/16 12:06 AM
And how many women tell their husbands they will vote for Trump, just to get along? Does't mean they do it once they get in that voting booth.

In fact, most women have an incident in their past (or multiple incidents) when they encountered a sexual predator like Trump. He probably evokes PTSD in many women. Do you really think they could bring themselves to vote to put him in charge? When the remembered trauma makes them break out in cold sweat and nausea?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/18/16 11:06 PM
I find this hilarious (by the way, I detest Julian Assange - more if asked). This week, Assange/Wikileaks implied a "State actor" had interfered with his internet access. It turns out it is true! But, unlike the implication meant by Assange, the "State actor" is... Ecuador, the country in whose embassy he has been hiding for years. Ecuador: We Have 'Temporarily Restricted' Assange's Internet
Quote
Ecuador's government has acknowledged that it has "temporarily restricted" WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange's internet access at its embassy in London after the whistleblowing site published documents from Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign

The foreign ministry in a statement Tuesday said that while it stands by its decision in 2012 to grant Assange asylum, it doesn't interfere in foreign elections. Leftist President Rafael Correa's government said it was acting on its own and not ceding to foreign pressures.

The foreign ministry didn't specify the extent of the restrictions on Assange's access to the internet, saying only that the restrictions on his communications wouldn't affect WikiLeaks' ability to carry out its journalistic activities.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/18/16 11:14 PM
Obviously it doesn't matter, something I'm sure they already knew ROTFMOL
It's all just politics. But...
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/19/16 01:03 PM
[Linked Image from s12.postimg.org]
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/19/16 02:54 PM
I propose 2 items for Sec Clinton in debate
1. make a call for all emails from Lewandowski, Manafort, and Bannon to be released to level the playing field .... I would like to see how they make sausage in the Trump campaign
2. in response to his secret plan to defeat ISIS ... ask if his plan is to use harsh language and talk them to death

Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/19/16 04:25 PM
Originally Posted by rporter314
I propose 2 items for Sec Clinton in debate
1. make a call for all emails from Lewandowski, Manafort, and Bannon to be released to level the playing field .... I would like to see how they make sausage in the Trump campaign
2. in response to his secret plan to defeat ISIS ... ask if his plan is to use harsh language and talk them to death

Hmm read a story yesterday about Trump's poor email server security. Some sauce for the goose perhaps to be poured shortly?

Wouldn't it be fun to also see inside how the RNC operates?
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/19/16 06:32 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
Originally Posted by rporter314
I propose 2 items for Sec Clinton in debate
1. make a call for all emails from Lewandowski, Manafort, and Bannon to be released to level the playing field .... I would like to see how they make sausage in the Trump campaign
2. in response to his secret plan to defeat ISIS ... ask if his plan is to use harsh language and talk them to death

Hmm read a story yesterday about Trump's poor email server security. Some sauce for the goose perhaps to be poured shortly?

Wouldn't it be fun to also see inside how the RNC operates?
Would love to see some Anonymous leaks of RNC emails.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/22/16 01:47 AM
Election Update: There Are 4 Ways This Election Can End — And 3 Involve Clinton Winning

I like the way that Fivethirtyeight does their analysis (not because of their result). I've followed their process throughout the campaign, and their prediction models (I'm a geek that way). What is significant about this particular story is understanding the "scenarios" within the "87% chance" of winning. (I tried to post the charts, but failed.) Most revealing is that there is about an even split between three scenarios: 32% Clinton Blowout; 36% an "Obama-size win"; and 17% chance of it being close. (And some 16% chance Trump could pull something out.) That makes me, personally, more comfortable.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/22/16 02:00 AM
Nate's models are Bayesian and he knows what he's doing. Every model, by definition, is a simplification of reality. But, the method used by Nate and Co. is far superior. It's one of the best ways to measure probabilities with little or poor data. They are the most reliable.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/22/16 06:42 AM
They certainly get some accurate results in the last few weeks of an election.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/22/16 12:01 PM
It Isn’t Just Donald Trump. The Bush Campaign Plotted to Reject Election Results in 2000

Quote
DONALD TRUMP IS being pilloried for refusing to say that he will accept the results of the election on November 8.

However, this is not new behavior for the GOP. While it’s almost forgotten now, the George W. Bush campaign was planning to challenge the results of the 2000 vote if he lost the electoral vote, but won the popular vote. His campaign hoped to spark a national movement to pressure members of the Electoral College in states where the popular vote went for Al Gore to ignore that and instead vote in line with the national popular vote — thus making Bush president.

The Intercept
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/22/16 02:32 PM
There have been a number of articles pointing out that Trump is just the denouement of GOP themes for decades. He is a product of their efforts, not an outlier.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/22/16 02:35 PM
From the Upshot:

[Linked Image from s11.postimg.org]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/22/16 10:34 PM


[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/22/16 10:48 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Best part of the link smile :

[Linked Image from i1308.photobucket.com]

Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/22/16 11:47 PM
Thank God, it will not be a close race. His supporters will not be able to claim that the results were that faked in so many states. Or I suppose a few will, but nobody will believe them.

When cornered, Trump says the "rigging" is all in the press. Which he has been very hostile to and threatened if he wins. He created this by his own acts.

His main problem with the press is that they keep on accurately quoting him!
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/23/16 01:08 PM
[Linked Image from s14.postimg.org]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/23/16 04:04 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
[Linked Image from s14.postimg.org]
ROTFMOL
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/23/16 04:08 PM



Last night's 10/22/16 SNL cold open

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/23/16 05:03 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Last night's 10/22/16 SNL cold open


The best part of SNL LOL

Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/23/16 05:48 PM
Texas just flipped to a tossup on real clear politics.

Texas.
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/23/16 06:53 PM
It wont be too many years before Texas turns blue. Lots of Mexicans there. Lots of Millenials too. I expect Trump will win this time around but if Republicans continue this self destructive attempt to win elections with the votes of uneducated white Christian men and their obedient wives then next time around it might be different.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/24/16 07:03 AM


Dang Matt Drudge is becoming a nasty bitch in her old age. (She'll be 50 later this week.)


[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/24/16 09:42 AM
Ya think she can read the sign she's holding up???? ROTFMOL

[Linked Image from s13.postimg.org]
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/24/16 01:29 PM
Et tu LA Times tracking poll?

Clinton +1

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/24/16 01:35 PM
[Linked Image from s17.postimg.org]
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/24/16 07:26 PM
Stunning Audio Leaked PROVING Trump’s Campaign Was A Pre-Planned Con Job
Nothing on Snopes yet
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/24/16 08:06 PM
I guess that's what con men do... And he has millions of marks. Oh well - the bigger the con the easier it is to believe I guess.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/24/16 08:39 PM
ok ... i must be a little or a lot dense as i do not see the con

1. he is correct about using the media with no money ... what is the con?
2. how to accomplish sucking oxygen from anything ... say outlandish things .... what is the con?

he is what he is .... he is the greatest
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/24/16 09:37 PM
... and you think he told that nation this?
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/24/16 11:06 PM
based on my recollection .... yes

he stated many times he did not need nor want contributions since he was running a low money campaign ... he thought it smart and media pundits noticed more than once how he accomplished actually getting the limelight without any money ... media savvy i suppose

as an extension of that please notice conservatives routinely say outlandish things (i sometimes think they do that for some contest of the most outlandish things one can say ... the prize? .... column inches in the media or they are just idiots) .... Mr Trump has captured that paradigm with gusto ..... whether he believes it or not, it got column inches

now the following would be a con .... he is ostensibly running for office while having the ulterior motive of arranging a "mainstream" audience for steve bannon and the alt-right

i am not sure i can argue he is conning anyone or only people who are willing to be conned are ever conned
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/24/16 11:43 PM
That is how cons work.

I heard a good analogy today saying Trump is the "John the Baptist" laying the ground for the true demagogue to follow.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/25/16 12:13 AM
I am not sure if Snopes cosiders that to be their function. Never the less:
Quote
Trump nailed this point. He hasn’t needed to spend much at all to stay in the limelight. He can simply say horrible things and the media blasts his face everywhere. That doesn’t necessarily mean he believes the things he says, just that he knows what his base believes and will express those beliefs publicly......

Italics mine.

And that’s my point. The only thing this man believes is what the polls derived from the various extreme right wing sites tell him to say. And on those Mr. Trump does indeed deliver. It does not matter if Mr. Trump believes any of these talking points or not. For him--they work.

And that’s all that matters.

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/25/16 10:33 AM
The Faust Dialectic

Quote
Faust enters into a pact with Mephistopheles...who empowers Faust to obtain the pleasure he seeks. Faust then seduces Gretchen. But, in doing so, he indirectly causes the deaths of Gretchen's mother, her brother and eventually Gretchen herself... Faust realizes that he, like Gretchen, her mother and her brother, has become a victim-of Mephistopheles... Gretchen has been seduced by Faust; Faust has been seduced by the devil. The Faust tale generates several microdialectics. In the first, the thesis is the predator (Faust), the antithesis is the prey or "victim" (Gretchen) and the synthesis is predator = victim (Faust). Predator and victim are united in Faust, who is both. He is the synthesis.
Leonard Wheat
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/25/16 05:11 PM
and in a continuation, could one say someone such as Sen Cruz would make a real demagogue?

The only substantive difference I see between the two is Sen Cruz will impose his religious views on the People and work toward the End Times. I suppose one could say his appeal is a sort of religious populism or to use a term already in the lexicon, dominionist.

does your source have some details?
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/25/16 08:37 PM
And RCP just put Clinton on 272 EV as of today. That's +5 polling average in each state. She could lose all other battleground states and still win.

Record breaking early voting in texas

Top Hispanic Republican in Texas says he will vote for Clinton

Clinton with 32 offices in AZ, trump has....

The Trump Supporters...Who Are Secretly Voting for Hillary

Early voting reports

Still to early to tell of course, but the straws in the wind may be blowing towards something big (league).
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/26/16 06:22 PM

Trump 'winds down' fundraising. Translation: We know we're not going to win.
Mediaite.com
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/26/16 07:58 PM

Looks like the third party Mormon Businessman Evan McMullin is going to win Utah. Trump can't get to 270 Electoral Votes without Utah.

CNBC.com
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/26/16 08:33 PM
That actually increases his chances to win. If nobody gets 270 electoral votes it goes to the House. I think they get to pick from the top three electoral winners which would almost surely be Clinton, Trump, and McMullin.

I doubt they would pick McMullin.

Pretty unlikely though. 538 has Clinton at 332 votes without Utah. McMullin and Trump could actually split the Republican votes in Utah and let Clinton win. It all depends on those Mormon women who could be secret Clinton voters. (Apparently not all that uncommon for married women to tell pollsters they go along with their husbands choice but to vote their own in the voting booth. There's a good reason you go in the voting booth alone!)
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/26/16 10:44 PM
I am curious: Why would you announce that you plan to block all of the next President's Supreme Court nominees BEFORE the election? Doesn't this seem like it could hurt your chances of maintaining a Senate majority?

Or have they given up on that already and are just trying to appeal to their bases in their own reelections? Who benefits from announcing these plans? Are the Senators who announced this idea so far into senility they can't see it would be better to NOT announce them?

Or is this some sort of alternate reality fantasy? Game theory assumes rational opponents. So what is really happening here?
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/26/16 10:56 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Or is this some sort of alternate reality fantasy? Game theory assumes rational opponents. So what is really happening here?
Some of the opponents are irrational?
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/26/16 10:57 PM
On the other hand, Alan Turing simplified the enigma code breaking vastly because the Germans ended every encrypted message with "Heil Hitler" and the first message of the day always started with "Weather Report". The brute force encryption was taking way too long until he changed it to only consider the keys that made those words decrypt to that.

Perfect example of non-rational behavior in your opponent, leading directly to winning the war.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/27/16 01:27 AM
Here's something that should be a major through-line in national reporting: Clinton Voters Aren’t Just Voting Against Trump.
Quote
The latest ABC News survey reveals that, in fact, Clinton’s voters feel about as positively about their candidate as any candidate’s supporters have felt about their own preferred candidate since 1980. Trump voters are less enthusiastic about him: Since 1980, no group of supporters has been less affirmative in its support for its candidate.

Right now, 56 percent of Clinton voters say they are mainly for her compared with just 42 percent of the same voters who say they are voting against Trump. This 56 percent is the highest it’s been all year in the ABC News poll, and it’s been steadily climbing for Clinton since July. In the same survey, only 41 percent of Trump supporters say they are voting for him, while 54 percent say they are mostly voting against Clinton. Those numbers are about the same as they’ve been all year.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/27/16 04:00 AM
A new ‘war on women’ breaks out. This time, it’s inside the Republican Party. - WaPo.

What is particularly interesting is the impact of having a reprehensible misogynist candidate, supported by reprehensible misogynist surrogates, means for a party headlined by misogyny. The Republican platform has, for decades, been terrible for issue that actually impact women, and are of interest to women. What Trump's candidacy has done has brought to the fore all of the issues that women have had with the party, with no sugarcoating or cute phrasing. Trump really does represent the leadership of the party.

Quote
“If the GOP has truly convinced itself that openly engaging in sexual assault fantasies is something normal that men do among one another, I have a suggestion. Relocate the Republican National Committee headquarters into a men’s-only locker room,” [Amanda] Carpenter[, a conservative commentator and former communications director for Sen. Ted Cruz’s presidential campaign] wrote. “Eliminate all pretenses of wanting to let women in.”
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/27/16 09:09 AM

Originally Posted by pdx rick
Looks like the third party Mormon Businessman Evan McMullin is going to win Utah. Trump can't get to 270 Electoral Votes without Utah.

CNBC.com
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
That actually increases his chances to win. If nobody gets 270 electoral votes it goes to the House. I think they get to pick from the top three electoral winners which would almost surely be Clinton, Trump, and McMullin.

I doubt they would pick McMullin.

Pretty unlikely though. 538 has Clinton at 332 votes without Utah. McMullin and Trump could actually split the Republican votes in Utah and let Clinton win. It all depends on those Mormon women who could be secret Clinton voters. (Apparently not all that uncommon for married women to tell pollsters they go along with their husbands choice but to vote their own in the voting booth. There's a good reason you go in the voting booth alone!)
‘I’m Pissed!’ Sean Hannity Absolutely Loses It Over ‘Never Trumper Jerks’ and Evan McMullin
Mediate.com


Looks like Evan McMullin keeping Trump from reaching 270 is the real, deal.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/27/16 10:18 AM
Now who would have thunk it Hmm

[Linked Image from s11.postimg.org]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/27/16 11:23 AM
And then there is...

[Linked Image from s14.postimg.org]
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/28/16 12:03 AM
enjoy
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/28/16 12:39 AM
Awe-SOME!
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/28/16 10:11 AM
VOTER SUPPRESSION IS THE REAL ELECTION SCANDAL

Quote
THE INTEGRITY OF this year’s election is under attack — but not in the way Donald Trump claims it is. Ahead of last week’s final debate, the Republican nominee called the election “rigged” dozens of times — in at least 20 tweets sent in the course of a single weekend as well as at rallies across the country in which he called on supporters to show up in “certain areas” and watch the polls.

“And when I say ‘watch,’ you know what I’m talking about, right?” he told supporters in Ohio. “Go to your place and vote. And go pick some other place and go sit there with your friends and make sure it’s on the up and up,” he encouraged supporters in Michigan. “The only way we can lose, in my opinion — and I really mean this, Pennsylvania — is if cheating goes on.”

Trump’s comments, as well as those made by some of his supporters who more explicitly voiced the racism behind his call to watch the polls, sent chills down the spines of many Americans, conjuring up visions of civil rights-era violence and voter harassment that’s not unheard of even in more recent elections.

But the real problems with this year’s vote will be largely invisible on Election Day. Three years ago, the Supreme Court struck down a major section of the Voting Rights Act, opening the doors to new efforts to restrict voting. The impact of that decision will be felt at the polls for the first time this year. Measures passed in the aftermath of that decision — restrictive voter ID laws, new requirements for voter registration, cuts to early voting options and polling sites, and other schemes — are the real threat to the November 8 vote, civil rights advocates say. And these procedural obstacles to the polls pose more insidious, large-scale challenges to suffrage than the more egregious and illegal harassment of the sort Trump has repeatedly advocated.

“This is an unfortunate part of our history,” Leah Aden, a senior counsel with the NAACP’s Legal Defense Fund, told The Intercept. “People are acutely aware of the changing demographics in this country and while we should all be working towards more people participating, there’s always been this segment of our country that has wanted to limit who is part of the political process.”

The Intercept
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/29/16 03:05 PM
[Linked Image from s14.postimg.org]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/16 01:19 AM


Republicans, if you're going to have a Black Republican Committee Booth - you probably should have at least one black person running the booth.

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/16 01:24 AM


Voter fraud suspect arrested in Des Moines (Yup, registered Republican)
Des Moines Register

Quote
Des Moines woman has been arrested on suspicion of voting twice this month in the general election, police and court records show.

Terri Lynn Rote, 55, was booked into the Polk County Jail about 3:40 p.m. Thursday on a first-degree election misconduct charge, which is a Class Dfelony.

Rote, a registered Republican, reportedly cast an early voting ballot at the Polk County Election Office, 120 Second Ave.,and another ballot at a county satellite voting location in Des Moines, according to a Des Moines police report.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/16 01:30 AM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Republicans, if you're going to have a Black Republican Committee Booth - you probably should have at least one black person running the booth.

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

So very Trump LOL
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/16 01:34 AM


Very Trumpette. Dumb asses. rolleyes
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/16 01:38 AM


This Halloween, Donald Trump probably ought not pass out Tic Tacs, Donald Jr probably ought not pass out Skittles, and Melania probably ought not pass out Sugar Daddies.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/16 01:42 AM
Quote
Terri Lynn Rote, 55, was booked into the Polk County Jail

She was probably just trying to demonstrate how easy it is to commit fraud. (Actually it is very easy to detect, and it pays nothing which is why it is so rare.) This is what happens when you believe your own propaganda: Republican Article of Faith collides with reality.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/16 01:46 AM



Trump supporter screams "Jew-S-A" while rest of crowd chants "USA" at Trump rally:



He seems nice. smile
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/16 01:47 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
Terri Lynn Rote, 55, was booked into the Polk County Jail

She was probably just trying to demonstrate how easy it is to commit fraud. (Actually it is very easy to detect, and it pays nothing which is why it is so rare.) This is what happens when you believe your own propaganda: Republican Article of Faith collides with reality.
If you Google 'Voter Fraud', page after page of citations come up - of Republicans committing voter fraud. Guess that's why THEY KNOW that it's being done - they're doing it. coffee
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/16 01:50 AM

Shocker: Republicans Account For Most Cases Of U.S. Voter Fraud
Addicting Info
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/16 02:07 AM
From the article:
Quote
Last November two Republican voters in separate states decided to prove how easy it would be to vote illegally. Both were arrested and charged with voter fraud.

I bet we get quite a few this time around. The supposed ease of committing voter fraud is seriously believed by so many Republicans. They are idiots and have no idea how the system actually works.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/16 02:13 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
From the article:
Quote
Last November two Republican voters in separate states decided to prove how easy it would be to vote illegally. Both were arrested and charged with voter fraud.

I bet we get quite a few this time around. The supposed ease of committing voter fraud is seriously believed by so many Republicans. They are idiots and have no idea how the system actually works.
Yeah no kidding. One might suggest that Republican voters are actually gullible. After all, look at who they nominated at their convention. Hmm
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/16 06:16 PM

Hillary haters final push to have their orange clown elected:

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/16 08:55 PM
Interesting that we have reached the stage in the race where FiveThirtyEight's polls-plus is now more bullish on Clinton than the polls-only (albeit, not by much). Conversely, the Senate campaign is closer in polls-plus, but Dems gained over the weekend from high 60's to low 70's. All in all, I like the Dems' position with less than 10 days to go.

I'm not close to forgiving Comey for his "October surprise" letter, but I think it will affect the election only marginally. The GOP voter suppression efforts (many legislative) are likely of more significance. Most encouraging is Darrell Issa's reelection struggle.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/16 09:01 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
... The GOP voter suppression efforts (many legislative) are likely of more significance....
BAMZ!!! and Holder will take care of those issues in time for the next redistricting. smile
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/16 10:57 PM
Issa certainly has spent a lot of money on signs. I live just a block outside of his district but when we drive into town you can hardly spit without hitting one. Like 10 per corner!

I keep wanting to match his sign color and size with my own:
Quote
ARSON & FRAUD
GOOGLE IT
sign to put up right below his.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/30/16 11:17 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Issa certainly has spent a lot of money on signs. I live just a block outside of his district but when we drive into town you can hardly spit without hitting one. Like 10 per corner!

I keep wanting to match his sign color and size with my own:
Quote
ARSON & FRAUD
GOOGLE IT
sign to put up right below his.
Like Trump supporters don't care about all of the misdeeds Don The Con has done, Issa supporters don't care that signs strongly point to Issa being an arsonist and insurance scammer.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/31/16 12:27 AM
how fast can the trend lines converge to make this a toss-up? (I think that was my prediction in July or early August)

did the Comey bomb facilitate the convergence?

apparently there are republicans who want to PRE -impeach, EX POST FACTO impeach Sec Clinton ... simply amazing

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/31/16 04:10 AM
Monday there will be new issues, and the email issue will fade. It is becoming more apparent that the letter was inappropriate when even Trump supporters agree it is suspect. Trump Supporter Jeanine Pirro Defends Hillary Clinton Over FBI Announcement.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/31/16 04:47 AM


It turns out that pro-Russia agent, Paul Manafort, manipulated Trump into selecting Pence. Trump really wanted Christie as VP. No wonder Putin wants Trump to win - Don The Con is easily manipulated.

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/31/16 04:53 AM

Hillary Clinton's campaign pushes back against Comey in new ad:

Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/31/16 04:55 AM
Of course Putin prefers Trump: He is a child and easily distracted by a few compliments. A Trump election would be a major coup for Putin. Basically, he could get away with anything.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/31/16 05:01 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Of course Putin prefers Trump: He is a child and easily distracted by a few complements. A Trump election would be a major coup for Putin. Basically, he could get away with anything.
Bow
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/31/16 10:38 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Of course Putin prefers Trump: He is a child and easily distracted by a few compliments. A Trump election would be a major coup for Putin. Basically, he could get away with anything.

Lest we forget, Putin did not create Trump. The U.S. did. And the Repubs have given him a platform. I'd be more concerned with that than with Putin.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/31/16 07:57 PM
The 538 polls for Utah are pretty interesting. Trump and McMullin are almost neck-to-neck splitting the Republican vote. Hillary is just a few points behind.

But that doesn't reflect the fact that Mormon wives will tell pollsters they support their husband's choice, but cast their own secret ballot in the voting booth. Those good Mormon wives probably are horrified by Trump and his positions.

It will be interesting to see how this plays out in Utah. I bet Trump comes in third. But I won't predict who wins.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/31/16 08:39 PM
This may end up getting is own thread, but the teaser headline got my attention: Don't blame voters for Trump, blame the stupid way we vote. -Slate
Quote
How could a major party grant a guy like Donald Trump a puncher’s chance at the presidency? This fiasco of an outcome—landing Trump one step from the White House—might have been avoided with a simple change to the GOP’s nomination process. Don’t blame Trump’s ascent on economic anxiety, or racism, or the media. Blame it on the way we hold elections.

This is a problem in so many ways. It is why parties have so much power; it is why our "Representatives" don't represent us; it is how a marginal human being can become a nominee. "Winner-take-all" skews elections and makes them unrepresentative. The rationale is to help States, not voters.

The solution the author presents is "approval voting."
Quote
In his excellent 2008 book Gaming the Vote, author William Poundstone explored the problems with our current voting system. “The plurality vote we use in America is mathematically the absolute worst way to vote,” Poundstone told me by phone when I spoke to him recently. Why? For one thing, Poundstone estimates that roughly 1 in 10 of our presidential elections has been swung by a “spoiler” candidate who alters the outcome. The example that lingers in recent memory is that 2000 campaign, in which Nader siphoned votes from Gore and very likely threw the election to Bush. But it’s happened many times before—in 1848, 1884, and 1912, to name a few. Allowing the second-most-popular candidate to win a three-way race is a “catastrophic error,” in Poundstone’s view. And it could easily be prevented by switching to a different voting system.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 10/31/16 11:01 PM
What's with Trumps facial color? Does he really have an orange skin color, or is that some clown's idea of good makeup for the camera? I don't think I have ever seen any human being of any race with this face color. Could it be liver failure? Jaundiced people look pretty weird.

Could it be some sort of color balance problem? The only other color I have seen of Trump made it so purple he looked like a heart attack in progress. We have all made jokes about it (The Orange One) but what is really going on?
Posted By: Greger Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/01/16 02:53 AM
Quote
What's with Trumps facial color?
It's a spray on tan. Like the one John Boehner had.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/01/16 03:55 AM
Trump has gotten a newspaper endorsement!!
The Crusader The paper of the Ku Klux Klan. I kid you not!
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/01/16 05:19 PM
The 2016 Presidential Election: A Devil's Glossary
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/01/16 06:41 PM
Donald Trump is voting for Hillary Clinton!
Quote
Trump said that his politics have long been left of center and that he plans on voting for Hillary Clinton next Tuesday.
"I have always felt kinship with Democratic political theories and approaches," he said
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/01/16 07:40 PM
Looking at Utah again. The numbers right now show if a few percent of Trump's supporters actually vote for McMullin, Hillary takes the state. All three are very close, and Johnson has 7%.

She could really take it if women who say they support Trump secretly vote for McMullin.

Latest poll:
Clinton 30%
Trump 33%
Johnson 7%
McMullin 26%

So if about 10.5% of Trump supporters voted for McMullin, she might win without getting any more votes. A bigger shift would put it in McMullin's column.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/01/16 07:48 PM
just eyeballing it but it appears if the inertia of the 538 trendlines is maintained there will be convergence about Monday or Tuesday i.e. it would be a coin toss in the popular votes

even if Dir Comey made a statement there was nothing there, the damage was done ... point, game, match
Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/01/16 11:44 PM
Quote
NWP said:
I'm not close to forgiving Comey for his "October surprise" letter, but I think it will affect the election only marginally.

I hope you're right. I have my fingers crossed.

It's all the media wants to talk about. Can Hillary Clinton's emails really be more damning than that fact that Trump will be in court on November 28, twenty days after election day, defending himself in a $40 million lawsuit filed by people bilked by Trump University.

He has a December 16 court date to defend himself against charges of raping a thirteen-year-old girl in 1994.

And how about this article from Media Matters? "Trump Has 75 Ongoing Legal Battles -- Which Media Are Ignoring During Their Breathless FBI Letter Coverage"

I guess Hillary Clinton is so busy playing defense that she can't put up a good offense.

The media sure isn't helping.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/02/16 12:00 AM
It's hilarious how much the press wants this to be a horserace.
Slate has a nice piece on the difference between Clinton's and Trump's faults:

Making a Choice
Posted By: Spag-hetti Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/02/16 12:48 AM
ROTFMOLSins: Trump 230, Hillary 1 ROTFMOL

Loved it. Thanks.

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/02/16 10:53 AM
Iceland Election Results 2016: Pirate Party Wins Big, Prime Minister Resigns As Internet Activists Lead Nation


Now THIS is an interesting turn of events ThumbsUp

Quote
The Icelandic Pirate Party won big in Saturday's legislative elections in Iceland, prompting Prime Minister Sigurdur Ingi Johannsson to announce he would resign after his center-right Progressive Party saw its hold over the 63-seat Parliament sink from from 19 seats to just eight.

The Pirate Party received 10 seats, up from three in the last election. The Left-Green Party also won 10 seats, while the Independence Party came in first with 21 seats, up from 19, the New York Times reported. It's unclear who will rule. A party needs 34 seats to command a majority in Iceland’s Parliament, the world’s oldest. The Progressive Party and Independence Party have teamed up in the past, but don't have enough seats to rule after Saturday's election.

IBT
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/02/16 02:00 PM
White nationalists plot Election Day show of force.
Quote
Neo-Nazi leader Andrew Anglin plans to muster thousands of poll-watchers across all 50 states. His partners at the alt-right website “the Right Stuff” are touting plans to set up hidden cameras at polling places in Philadelphia and hand out liquor and marijuana in the city’s “ghetto” on Election Day to induce residents to stay home. The National Socialist Movement, various factions of the Ku Klux Klan and the white nationalist American Freedom Party all are deploying members to watch polls, either “informally” or, they say, through the Trump campaign.
Oh, THIS is going to go well...
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/02/16 02:45 PM
FiveThirtyEight's presidential and senatorial forecast have both dropped to the 2:1 range for Democrats, giving me a knot in my stomach. Still, that's better than the other way around and there are many reasons to be optimistic. I can't help feeling, though, that we are collectively playing Russian roulette with TWO chambers loaded.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/02/16 03:38 PM
was there any one alive or dead who thought Dir Comey's letter would have no impact on the election? [indubitably obvious rhetorical ?]

there are either a bunch of Egyptians in the Democrat party or they are lying to keep the ship afloat
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/02/16 04:48 PM
Director Comey... ? No, not really...
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/02/16 05:15 PM
I choose to be optimistic today: that in a week, the election will be over; that Hillary Clinton will have secured over 300 Electoral College votes and the popular vote by a 4%+ margin; that the Senate will return to democratic control, allowing administrative and judicial nominees to be considered and confirmed; and that Donald Trump will grudgingly accept defeat, ending the nightmare. My hope is that the Senate will quickly confirm Merrick Garland to the Supreme Court, and that a chastened GOP will look to reform their party's image by finding compromise, starting with immigration. (Okay, that last may be seriously wishful thinking, but I did say "hope.")

I expect that in short order lawsuits against Trump will come to trial widely exposing his avarice and dirty dealing, and that nothing will come of the Clinton email probe, shocking absolutely no one. There will be further revelations about hacking, and Syria will continue to be a humanitarian disaster and military quagmire (we can't have everything) amid further Russian and Chinese adventurism and mischief.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/02/16 07:14 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I choose to be optimistic today: that in a week, the election will be over; that Hillary Clinton will have secured over 300 Electoral College votes and the popular vote by a 4%+ margin; that the Senate will return to democratic control, allowing administrative and judicial nominees to be considered and confirmed; and that Donald Trump will grudgingly accept defeat, ending the nightmare. My hope is that the Senate will quickly confirm Merrick Garland to the Supreme Court, and that a chastened GOP will look to reform their party's image by finding compromise, starting with immigration. (Okay, that last may be seriously wishful thinking, but I did say "hope.")

I expect that in short order lawsuits against Trump will come to trial widely exposing his avarice and dirty dealing, and that nothing will come of the Clinton email probe, shocking absolutely no one. There will be further revelations about hacking, and Syria will continue to be a humanitarian disaster and military quagmire (we can't have everything) amid further Russian and Chinese adventurism and mischief.
My thoughts as well. Kindred-spirits? smile
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/02/16 07:16 PM

Meanwhile...

Black Church in Mississippi burned down and "vote Trump" spay painted on building. How deplorable.
WCET TV

[Linked Image from ]
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/02/16 08:05 PM
Quote
I choose to be optimistic today
LOL ... when Mss Porter wrote a children's book in 1913, she had you in mind

I am a bettor not a gambler ... it appears to be a coin toss ... they have a saying in Texas about filling up one hand with hope and the other with xxx and see which one fills up faster

while your hopes and aspirations are admirable, the results of the election are out of my control

one thing is for sure .... if Sec Clinton is elected she will be in hearings forever









[quote][/quote]
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/02/16 10:45 PM
I've played this game many times: CNN Electoral Map. As long as Clinton doesn't lose Virginia, Pennsylvania or Wisconsin, she wins, even if she doesn't win Florida, North Carolina, Nevada, Ohio, or Iowa. If she wins Florida, she can lose Pennsylvania; if she wins North Carolina, she can lose Wisconsin AND Nevada; if she wins Ohio, she can lose Michigan. Personally, I think she wins them all, except, maybe, Ohio/Iowa.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/02/16 11:12 PM
Trump's child rape accuser to speak out publicly

This should bury the FBI emails story.
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/02/16 11:35 PM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Trump's child rape accuser to speak out publicly

This should bury the FBI emails story.

Presser cancelled due to threats apparently.

Why the press isnt covering the story
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/02/16 11:40 PM
Quote
one thing is for sure .... if Sec Clinton is elected she will be in hearings forever
Hillary could always get more involved with particular House races: Say for example visit Daryl Issa's home district many times and flood it with federal money, thus becoming popular enough to sponsor somebody to knock him out of the race next term. He can't investigate anyone if he is sitting in his garage wondering what happened to his House seat. She just has to do that to a few of the peskier House members and the rest will all start to behave. Believe me, they all want their little position of power and money.

LBJ was the master of this Hardball, and look at all the stuff he got through Congress. It is possible but you can't be a Constitutional Scholar, College Professor, and Nice Harmless Guy like Obama. You don't go have a beer with somebody, you send Federal Marshals to arrest his ass. Or wait out idiots occupying federal property with weapons: Call in the FBI SWAT team..
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/02/16 11:54 PM
I loved this portmanteau today, calling the FBI statement as a "mailstrom"
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/03/16 04:32 PM
It's Turdsday, and Donald Trump is still campaigning, and much of the electorate pays no attention to his NUMEROUS faults. Meanwhile, the Senate and Presidential races are steadying at around 65%D-35%R chance for both. I wish it were not so close. I still see about 323 EC votes for Clinton - by giving her Florida, North Carolina and Nevada, and maintaining her firewall States. Having 56 Senators would be handy, but probably not in the cards. 52 was barely enough last time around.
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/03/16 05:37 PM
Well today at least the polls appear to be stabilising, trump is lo longer rising. I suspect as last Friday's Comey intervention recedes that Clinton's numbers will tick up slightly over the next few days.

She is currently in a spot where a systemic opinion polling error in favour of trump would flip the election. The shy trump voter theory. Although it would appear that they dont exist.

That said there is also the possibility of a polling error in favour of Clinton (The Hispanic vote not being adequately modeled in lively voter weighting). Early voting reports would suggest that as a possibility in Florida and Texas (yes that Texas) but such reports are generally not good predictors of eventual results.

The firewall appears to have held over the past week, so she has that going for her. Trump appears to need to win at lease one blue state in which he is 3-4% behind - can such a deficit be made up in a weekend?

I would put a small wager on sufficient female (and indeed sane male) traditionally republican voters pulling the level for Clinton to give her a decent popular vote plurality if not an outright majority. Where this vote is concentrated will of course be key.

One other factor to consider is Trumps official and unofficial ballot security voter suppression*. I would not be surprised to see some incidents of violence in certain parts of the country. I really hope I'm wrong and every behaves in a polite, civic and dignified manner.... News reports of flashpoints however small could have a major influence -especially if breathlessly over-exaggerated as is the current vogue.


And I've taken Wednesday off so I'll be appearing here all night with increasingly less sober commentary as it gets later (and earlier).

*they should burn in hell for grabbing democracies pussy like that.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/03/16 05:52 PM
Unfortunately, (for his supporters), Trump has urged people to send in another ballot if they think the first one might not have counted. If the first one WAS counted, then this is voting fraud. Everybody who does this gets caught immediately because there is a list of registered voters and people are crossed off when they vote. If they find another ballot with the same name it goes right to the DA for prosecution.

They don't dismiss these charges: People who do this pay fines and get jail time. It is a very bad idea because it pays you nothing and you are sure to get caught.

And if anybody does it, I think they can say Trump told then to do it and drag him into it as the "mastermind".
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/03/16 07:22 PM


A San Diego church printed flyers in October stating that it was a "mortal sin" to vote Democratic because the party supports abortion, same-sex marriage, euthanasia, human cloning and embryonic stem cell research.

Quote
It is a mortal sin to vote Democrat … immediately after death the souls of those who die in a state of mortal sin descend into hell.
The San Diego Tribune-Union
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/03/16 08:05 PM
Makes the case for looking forward to going to hell grin
N'est pas?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/04/16 12:59 AM
Democrats are bouncing back... slowly.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/04/16 04:19 AM
The FBI is literally putting its thumb on the scales right now as you read this.

'The FBI is Trumpland'

Quote
The currently serving FBI agent said Clinton is “the antichrist personified to a large swath of FBI personnel,” and that “the reason why they’re leaking is they’re pro-Trump.”

The agent called the bureau “Trumplandia,” with some colleagues openly discussing voting for a GOP nominee who has garnered unprecedented condemnation from the party’s national security wing and who has pledged to jail Clinton if elected.

Quote
The man [Rudy Giuliani] who now leads “lock-her-up” chants at Trump rallies spent decades of his life as a federal prosecutor and then mayor working closely with the FBI, and especially its New York office.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/04/16 08:43 AM


Melania Trump Plagiarized Again…This Time Copying Marla Maples

[Linked Image from ]

ROTFMOL You can't make this stuff up!!!!!!
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/04/16 11:57 AM
Donald Trump Can’t Count on Those ‘Missing White Voters’


Quote
Donald J. Trump and his supporters hope to overcome sweeping demographic shifts by rallying the support of “missing white voters” — disaffected, conservative populists who sat out the 2012 presidential election.

Millions of these voters could be activated, the theory goes — enough to overcome the demographic changes that favor Hillary Clinton.

Mr. Trump may yet win this election. But if he does, it probably won’t be because of a huge influx of Republican-leaning “missing” voters.

There has been no surge in registration among white voters since 2012, and the white voters who have joined the electorate are younger and likelier to support Mrs. Clinton than those who were already registered.

here's hoping.

Dont get me wrong though, the thought of a neoliberal neocon military interventionist with very close ties to Wall Street as president concerns me greatly.

The thought of an unstable white nationalist demagogue as president absolutely terrifies me.

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/04/16 12:05 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
Dont get me wrong though, the thought of a neoliberal neocon military interventionist with very close ties to Wall Street as president concerns me greatly.

The thought of an unstable white nationalist demagogue as president absolutely terrifies me.
I could not agree with you more. ThumbsUp
I would add neo-fascist "unstable white nationalist demagogue" to your description.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/04/16 01:32 PM
if we are peering through the looking glass then shouldn't it be mail storm or mal-storm or in some cases sturm und drang or ...
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/04/16 01:38 PM
silver says the models are bad .... trendlines converging .... and you are bouncing

H*O*L*D - F*A*S*T

i wonder if a large person with charismatic charms were to run would it matter what the message would be? i suspect for many people the mere {{presence}} of such a person may be more important than anything they would say ... it's a primal thing
Posted By: Golem Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/04/16 05:18 PM
Anderson Cooper Argues with Kellyanne Conway On Melania Trump Cyberbullying Speech - 11/3/16




Josiah Ryan, CNN: Cooper clashes with Conway over Trump insults

Matthew Rozsa, Salon: Kellyanne Conway tells Anderson Co...ia bullying isn't lost on the CNN anchor

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/04/16 06:52 PM

" If " Melania Trump becomes FLOTUS, she'll be the first FLOTUS to arrive in America in a shipping crate. coffee
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/04/16 10:46 PM
I'm struggling today to keep from going into a deep funk. How the hell can a completely unqualified clown be the candidate of a major party? How can this election even be close? I despair for our country
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/04/16 11:07 PM
I'm with ya there, ol' boy.

Trump still looks exactly like bad satire to me. How anyone could vote for him is beyond me. It does, however, explain how things like what's going on in Syria, and the whole Nazi thing, and ISIS, and the unprovoked and bumbling invasion of Iraq, and ... (I guess the list goes on and on) ... can happen.

Lots and lots of people are substantially delusional. Most everyone is to a degree, I reckon.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/04/16 11:30 PM
Quote
Lots and lots of people are substantially delusional. Most everyone is ...
speak for yourself .... I get a reality checkup every couple of days and have the certificates to prove it
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/04/16 11:33 PM
Originally Posted by rporter314
Quote
Lots and lots of people are substantially delusional. Most everyone is ...
speak for yourself .... I get a reality checkup every couple of days and have the certificates to prove it
Do you use Trump's quack doc?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 02:54 AM
National Enquirer Shielded Donald Trump From Playboy Model’s Affair Allegation. Wall Street Journal.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 03:35 AM
hey .... i am the one with the cert
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 04:17 AM
The word for this election is "irresponsible". Trump's rhetoric has been irresponsible. Director Comey was irresponsible. Bret Baier was irresponsible (but he works for FOX, so that's pretty much a given). The only hope now is that the voters will be responsible.
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 10:51 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
I'm struggling today to keep from going into a deep funk. How the hell can a completely unqualified clown be the candidate of a major party? How can this election even be close? I despair for our country

Yeah the Hysteria of the last few days has been unmatched in any previous election, even the madder ones like 2004 and 2008.

I'm surprisingly optimistic. Excessive noise is not necessarily substance. I still have some faith in enough US citizens to make the better choice, despite the horrific nature of this election.

If, and it's a big if, the recent Florida poll showing that 28 percent of GOP early voters picked Clinton is accurate Trump is toast.

Some major polls incoming over the weekend and there are already signs that Trumps recent Mo is waning.

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 11:23 AM
What the Trump campaign has clearly demonstrated is that an uneducated, alienated population (Repubs not only to blame for this, the Dems have their share in the neoliberal economic policies that have assailed the country for decades) can be easily manipulated and "radicalized" to burn down the barn when things don't go their way. It has further proven that there is a spiritual blackout in this country, in the words of Colonel West:

Quote
THE MOST FRIGHTENING feature of the civic melancholia in present-day America is the relative collapse of integrity, honesty, and decency — an undeniable spiritual blackout of grand proportions. The sad spectacle of the presidential election is no surprise. Rather, the neofascist catastrophe called Donald Trump and the neoliberal disaster named Hillary Clinton are predictable symbols of our spiritual blackout. Trump dislodged an inert conservative establishment by unleashing an ugly contempt for liberal elites and vulnerable citizens of color — and the mainstream media followed every performance (even his tweets!) for financial gain. Clinton laid bare a dishonest liberal establishment that was unfair to Bernie Sanders and obsessed with winning at any cost — and the mainstream media selectively weighed in for pecuniary ends.

Boston Globe

It has been perpetrated by the ruling classes of both parties. If ever there were a case to be made for a third/fourth/fifth party that would be now.
If ever there were a case to made for strengthening the education system and NOT allowing any fool with a bullhorn to poison the minds of the people, that would be now.
If ever there were a case to begin a process of - for the first time in this country's history - economic and social justice, that time would DEFINITELY BE NOW.
Guns, violence and rhetoric (on any side of the spectrum) do not address the problem and certainly do not help to solve it.
There are many reasons for this death-spiral into which the U.S. has currently unraveled, and understanding those reasons is surely important. But, doing something to change their raison d'etre is infinitely more important. And I'm not convinced that a Clinton victory will achieve that. It may only retard the descent.
It is the responsibility of every one who recognizes the danger to put pressure on the government to begin to engender that change.
In other words, complacency (of the type that occurred after Obama was elected) is no longer an option. Either we do it now, or we stand to face a MUCH WORSE scenario four years hence.


Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 01:48 PM
Looks like someone lied about being an illegal immigrant:

Melania worked in the U.S. before having a work visa
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 03:20 PM
Giuliani denies getting leaked info from FBI as Dems call for investigation

Hmmm in the parlance of these times i believe the appropriate phrase is "Lock him up"
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 05:08 PM
I mean really .... how did this character ever convict anyone .... he can not follow the facts to their logical conclusion

the first statement about knowing something was about to be released and it was big probably does not pertain to a political ad, so he almost had to be talking about something else .... and now the reader may speculate as to what ... in hindsight it may appear he was talking about the "letter" but it could have just as easily been Assange notifying the mayor of some new smoking gun wiki's

the problem is his statement on radio when he confirmed to the host he had currently employed FBI agents feeding him red meat for Trump, but later in the day he denied it. One of those statements is a lie.

Now it could have been he exaggerated his connection as there is a former agent, a Trump supporter, who has apparently been lying about the investigations, but he has denied current contact as well. Both of these characters were being feed the same "facts" from the FBI, now known as Full Blown Insurrectionists.

Based on their interviews I have concluded it is more likely, than not, someone in the FBI is feeding at least one of them information/disinformation meant to damage the Clinton campaign.

Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 06:28 PM
I suspect the Trump cabal within the New York FBI is much smaller than it is purported to be. I would not be surprised if it is just one or two agents. After all, this interference in an election is a crime of the sort the FBI investigates. I think every agent is aware of that fact, and very few are willing to go to loose their career, loose their pension, and go to jail to support Trump. Who is pretty to loose anyway.

It is kind of like thinking how many FBI and CIA agents are secretly employed by Russia. I'm sure there are a few, but really only a handful.
Posted By: Golem Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 08:32 PM
Bill Maher: 'I'll 'F***ing Kill Anthony Weiner' if Hillary Clinton Loses

Jerome Hudson
Breitbart
November 4, 2016

Quote
Bill Maher live-streamed his #WhinyLittleBitch stand-up comedy special on Facebook on Wednesday, during which he unloaded on Donald Trump and his daughter Ivanka, Republican voters and disgraced former New York Congressman Anthony Weiner...

He referred to Trump's campaign surrogates Dr. Ben Carson, Kellyanne Conway, Rudolph Giulianni, and Mike Pence as "flying monkeys."

But perhaps Maher's most cutting commentary was aimed at Weiner, whose alleged sexually explicit online conversation with a 15-year-old girl spurred the FBI's renewed investigation into Hillary Clinton's emails...
Full article
Posted By: Golem Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 08:38 PM
"Dilbert" creator Scott Adams thinks this Trump ad is very effective.

Trump the Closer

Scott Adams
Dilbert
November 4, 2016

Quote
I had been wondering if Trump was planning some sort of special closing argument. He did not disappoint. In my opinion, his final ad is the political ad of the year, if not the best ever. Watch it here first and I’ll include my thoughts below.
More

And here's the ad:



Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 08:50 PM
Originally Posted by Golem
"Dilbert" creator Scott Adams thinks this Trump ad is very effective.

Trump the Closer

Scott Adams
Dilbert
November 4, 2016

Quote
I had been wondering if Trump was planning some sort of special closing argument. He did not disappoint. In my opinion, his final ad is the political ad of the year, if not the best ever. Watch it here first and I’ll include my thoughts below.
More

And here's the ad:


Scott Adams has been a Trump supporter from day one. Given this fact, the comic strip should be viewed from the prism of a Trump supporter.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 08:51 PM
I find it hilarious : after a year and a half of stupidity, bigotry, lies and more lies, scams, investigations as serious as rape, lowest of the low with respect to women, etc. etc. etc., people are supposed to forget all of that and believe a 2 minute ad.
And there are dunderheads who believe that. ROTFMOL
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 09:06 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
I find it hilarious : after a year and a half of stupidity, bigotry, lies and more lies, scams, investigations as serious as rape, lowest of the low with respect to women, etc. etc. etc., people are supposed to forget all of that and believe a 2 minute ad.
And there are dunderheads who believe that. ROTFMOL
This ad will only reinforce the Trump supporter point of view.
Posted By: Golem Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 09:12 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Scott Adams has been a Trump supporter from day one.
I'm fully aware of that, Rick. I'm amazed and saddened that so many otherwise intelligent people support Trump.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 09:21 PM
Originally Posted by Golem
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Scott Adams has been a Trump supporter from day one.
I'm fully aware of that, Rick. I'm amazed and saddened that so many otherwise intelligent people support Trump.
Is said individual truly 'intelligent' if they support Trump? Trump supporters are the antithesis of non-thinking, knuckle draggers. Hmm

Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 09:33 PM
You beat me to it, Rick ThumbsUp
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 10:20 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
You beat me to it, Rick ThumbsUp
Kindred spirits, bro. cool
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/05/16 11:29 PM
Originally Posted by Golem
... I'm amazed and saddened that so many otherwise intelligent people support Trump.
Golem, what's your 30,000' view of what causes people support Trump?

I don't mean the 'not Clinton' crowd, I understand that, though Trump is still a stretch there. I'm more interested in the motivation of the folks who really think he'd be a great president.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 01:41 AM
I could understand somebody thinking we should elect a great businessman to be President, assuming that businessman oversaw a large company with many employees and complex operations. But Trump is NOT a great businessman. He's a cartoon of a businessman: A conman who screws over everybody who goes into business with him, and a (formerly) rich boy who has spent most his inheritance on frivolous projects that stroke his ego.

If you want a businessman, there must be hundreds of corporate CEOs who would be a better choice.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 05:39 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
If you want a businessman, there must be hundreds of corporate CEOs who would be a better choice.
Like Carly Fiorina? coffee

( ROTFMOL )
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 06:26 AM
Clark County, Nevada early voting: All the Republican pols are upset that so many Hispanics are voting. They were SURE that Hispanics don't vote!

That's why demonizing them wouldn't matter...
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 10:30 AM
Hmm charges of voter fraud, and the dead voting

There is nothing new under the sun.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 11:29 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
I suspect the Trump cabal within the New York FBI is much smaller than it is purported to be. I would not be surprised if it is just one or two agents. After all, this interference in an election is a crime of the sort the FBI investigates. I think every agent is aware of that fact, and very few are willing to go to loose their career, loose their pension, and go to jail to support Trump. Who is pretty to loose anyway.

It is kind of like thinking how many FBI and CIA agents are secretly employed by Russia. I'm sure there are a few, but really only a handful.

Bull-pocky.

This is not a "Giuliani-Trump Cabal".
It's a system wide infection.
You'd like to think that only a handful of FBI agents are rogue saboteurs because the alternative scares the crap out of you, and it should.
That's like expressing the thought that "only a handful" of rural Southern white cops are Klan members.
Come on, PIA...you are too frikeen smart to go all Rebecca of Sunnybrook Farm on this one.
This was not a ripple on the surface, this was a foreshock to an earthquake. What you describe as a single line of smoke in the hazy distance is actually a very widespread series of dumpster fires and a swelling of underground magma ten miles below the surface.

The Federal Bureau of Investigation committed suicide this week.
All pretense of integrity, impartiality, objectivity and morality disappeared in the last 72 hours.
It is now an agency which foments sedition and aids and abets domestic terrorism.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 11:42 AM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
...
Bull-pocky.

This is not a "Giuliani-Trump Cabal".
It's a system wide infection.
...
The Federal Bureau of Investigation committed suicide this week.
All pretense of integrity, impartiality, objectivity and morality disappeared in the last 72 hours.
It is now an agency which foments sedition and aids and abets domestic terrorism.

Indeed. And it is not restricted to the FBI. So, you are quite right, it should scare the crap out of all of us.
It has scared the crap out of many many people for many many years. COINTEL PRO being an example that always springs to mind. The FBI's "actions" during the McCarthy period being another shining example.
Police that operate from the shadows are always a menace. Their accountability is limited, if it exists at all. Their tactics are based on deception and lies. So, when they become the enforcement arm of an ideology, it is time to really be scared.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 12:15 PM
This will always be remembered as the election in which the KKK, the KGB and the FBI all supported the same candidate.
That in and of itself should be enough to spark a ferocious backlash the echoes of which should be felt for the next three decades.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 05:46 PM
The KGB became the FSB after the Communists fell. What will the FBI become in the Trump-Putin post-democratic America?
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 05:52 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
What will the FBI become in the Trump-Putin post-democratic America?
The KSC.

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 05:57 PM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
The KGB became the FSB after the Communists fell. What will the FBI become in the Trump-Putin post-democratic America?
Can you imagine a President Trump, Attorney's General Chris Christie, and Director of FBI Rudy Guliiani? cry
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 06:07 PM

Saturday Night Live Cold Open 11/06/2016

Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 06:17 PM
the dread is settling in ...
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 06:28 PM
I am 66% certain Clinton will win, but I'm dreading the prospect of a Clinton presidency with a GOP -controlled Senate.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 06:44 PM
Clinton will win. Senate is a tougher call but not too difficult to achieve. Dread is if she doesn't do what she has promised with respect to the progressive agenda.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 07:07 PM
But Wall Street is terrified Trump might win: Haven't you been looking at the stock market? They like stability, and that is Clinton all the way. Trump is a loose cannon, as far as they are concerned.

Same with the usual big Republican donors (the American Ruling Class): They are not supporting Trump. You combine both of these and Trump loses.

Now why would a majority of FBI agents side against The Rich and Wall Street? You really think FBI agents are supporting Putin's candidate?

When Clinton becomes President, the FBI purge will begin. Agents who broke the law to hurt her will be quietly escorted out, and I bet it is only a small percentage.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 07:24 PM
What the 2016 election has demonstrated in spades is that the Republican party has no values or principles. It really is as simple as that. Donald Trump was nominated by that party on a platform that they disagree with, and still the majority of the leadership (and followership) still accepts him. There is a HUGE slice of the middle of America ripe for a candidate with real values and sensible plans, but that candidate will be destroyed by the party Apparatchiks.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 09:05 PM
Just announced: FBI/Comey closes inquiry, no change in recommendation. Clinton cleared. CNN. It begs the question: why say anything at all?
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/06/16 09:44 PM
Clinton is powerfully back on message. I can actually envision her as President. On MSNBC live, now.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 12:26 AM
And now the FBI is suddenly NOT filled with Trump partisans? Like I said, there are surely some, but most FBI agents like their jobs and pensions too much to get involved in something so illegal.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 12:35 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
And now the FBI is suddenly NOT filled with Trump partisans? Like I said, there are surely some, but most FBI agents like their jobs and pensions too much to get involved in something so illegal.

PIA, there's a recklessness in the air, seemingly in both law enforcement and intelligence, that reflects the same poor judgment most Trump fans have in all areas of life, so while they might be on record as saying they value their tenure in the FBI, that doesn't mean they aren't prone to huge lapses in judgment when operating their brain and yapper simultaneously.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 12:37 AM
Besides, few things appeal more to Trump fans than a martyred G-man who "was unfairly singled out by the Clinton Conspiracy". I doubt the optics of firing an FBI man would look good even if he was begging for it.
Truth takes a back seat to perception.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 12:43 AM
Still is filled with Trumpites. That hasn't changed.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 01:12 AM
From William Falk, editor of The Week Magazine:

During every presidential campaign, pontificators solemnly declare that this is the most important presidential election of our lifetimes—a turning point in American history. Every election does mark a turning point of a kind, though in normal times it lasts four to eight years, as we zigzag from the center-left to the center-right. I wonder, though, if this time, our republic is about to tip over into an era unlike any we’ve seen since the 1960s, and perhaps the 1850s. The political norms that have held our factionalized nation together are coming apart at the seams. No matter who wins next Tuesday, we seem to be hurtling toward a constitutional crisis.
The rift between red and blue America has opened to a chasm of mutual contempt and incomprehension. Politics has become overtly racialized, venomous, toxic—a civil war by other means. For the first time, a presidential nominee, Donald Trump, has declared before the election that the results will be “rigged” and invalid. If Trump ascends to the presidency, Ross Douthat predicts in The New York Times this week, there’s a high likelihood of “major civil unrest,” with Trump’s caustic rhetoric serving to “pour gasoline” on protests and violence. He would take office burdened with multiple allegations that he’s a sexual predator, and battling two lawsuits charging him with defrauding students of Trump University. If Hillary Clinton is elected, she will face congressional investigations of the Clinton Foundation and her email server even before she moves into the Oval Office. In some Republican circles, talk of impeachment has already begun. More openly, some Republicans are vowing to refuse to let her fill Supreme Court vacancies for her entire term—in effect, nullifying the presidential election. I have to believe our resilient nation will survive the coming crisis, as we have survived so many others. But Americans have reason to fear where we’re headed.

William Falk, Editor-in-chief


I can hardly wait. Does anyone out there see this ending differently?
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 01:17 AM
[Linked Image from allthingsd.com]
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 01:58 AM
Let's see how you feel a week from now. We probably will have a new Democratic President coming and a new Senate even sooner. Then the Republicans can foam at the mouth all they want and it will be pointless.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 02:07 AM
Originally Posted by Ken Condon
FI can hardly wait. Does anyone out there see this ending differently?
I agree. I can only imagine that if Hillary become President, what the Rethugliclowns did to BAMZ!!! will be child's play - it will be BAMZ².
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 02:56 AM
When Clinton is president, I think the Rs can try all kinds of petty impeachments and investigations which only carry them further into the slit trench. Within two years the government will be an all blue outfit.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 04:08 AM
Quote
Within two years

Republicans will still be trying to reconcile the Trumpsters and the rest of their coalition. If they ever can.

Anybody who supported Trump (and few will admit it) will look pretty stupid once his fraud conviction kicks in.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 04:25 AM
I have been inoculated against succumbing to political optimism
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 04:50 AM


In less than 48 hours from now, the national clown sightings will cease. smile

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 04:51 AM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Anybody who supported Trump (and few will admit it) will look pretty stupid once his fraud conviction kicks in.
They'll deny they ever supported Trump. But, we know who that are! LOL
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 12:47 PM
checking 538 and noticed the prediction of June 9 is almost the same as Nov 7

that is clear evidence the system is rigged
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 02:54 PM



Kellyanne Conway keeps asking: Why can't Hillary get above 46%? Kellyanne acts like it's a two-person race, when, in fact, it's a four person race. Gary Johnson and Jill Stein have the other percentages keeping both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton from reaching 50%.

This is how disingenuous and how much a liar that Kellyanne Conway is.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 03:06 PM
Actually the winner of the stupid award, Bernie Kerik, convicted felon, ex Giuliani henchman and all around "moran" tweeted that the FBI couldn't have "looked at" all the emails in 8 days ROTFMOL He has since deleted the tweet but Trump repeated it yesterday. dunce
Apparently computers and e-discovery have yet to be invented.
Posted By: Ujest Shurly Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 03:17 PM
Originally Posted by Ken Condon
From William Falk, editor of The Week Magazine:

In some Republican circles, talk of impeachment has already begun. More openly, some Republicans are vowing to refuse to let her fill Supreme Court vacancies for her entire term—in effect, nullifying the presidential election. I have to believe our resilient nation will survive the coming crisis, as we have survived so many others. But Americans have reason to fear where we’re headed.

William Falk, Editor-in-chief


I can hardly wait. Does anyone out there see this ending differently?



This will only happen if the Senate is not flipped, otherwise... devil cry devil

My two cents
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 03:26 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Actually the winner of the stupid award, Bernie Kerik, convicted felon, ex Giuliani henchman and all around "moran" tweeted that the FBI couldn't have "looked at" all the emails in 8 days ROTFMOL He has since deleted the tweet but Trump repeated it yesterday. dunce
Apparently computers and e-discovery have yet to be invented.
Apparently morans like Trump and Kerik don't know about the "FIND" feature of computers that can process thousands of inquiries in mere seconds using key phrases.

Isn't modern scientific computer usage, amazing? smile
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 03:44 PM
RCP 4 way averages

Well it looks like the horse race narrative is over and the outlier polls have begun the traditional end of race "herding" to save reputation (barring one poll really) suggesting a 2-4% lead for Clinton.

Bear in mind that the RCP average underestimated Obama's 2012 popular vote % by nearly 3%.

At the risk of eating my words tomorrow night, it should be a comfortable win for Clinton with a blowout a distinct possibility.

What time does NC traditionally get called?

Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 04:45 PM
Originally Posted by Schlack
What time does NC traditionally get called?
Probably around 8:45 Eastern Time. That would be 1:45 a.m. for you.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 04:59 PM
Apparently Wall Street convinced of a Clinton victory. Dow up 338 points after an 8 day down trend.
SURPRISE grin
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 05:58 PM
Oh NO! I'm soooooo scared rolleyes

Quote
New York City is typically high on any list of possible terror targets for big public holidays and national events, but this year's election brings an added need for security as the two top presidential candidates will have their election night parties blocks away from one another.

This is the first time in over 70 years that both major-party presidential nominees will be in New York City on election night, and the city's police force is preparing in kind.

NYPD Police Chief of Department Carlos Gomez said the city is planning to deploy more police Tuesday than on any previous Election Day, with "more than double than our previous high." He said more than 5,000 officers will work on Tuesday but would not give a specific number.

ABC
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 06:50 PM
Clinton's chances keep improving, but Senate is sketchy.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 07:05 PM
Quote
the two top presidential candidates will have their election night parties blocks away from one another.

They mean one victory party and one wake. I imagine a rather poorly attended wake.
Posted By: Schlack Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 07:36 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
the two top presidential candidates will have their election night parties blocks away from one another.

They mean one victory party and one wake. I imagine a rather poorly attended wake.

I hope there is a live stream
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 07:54 PM
This election cycle is unique. For once it is going to be more fun to watch the wake than the victory party...
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 08:42 PM


Thought of the Day: Trump wants Washington outsiders like Newt Gingrich and Rudy Guiliani to drain the swamp of corruption with people like Chris Christie.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 09:00 PM

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

Nothing like getting voters out to vote like calling them rapists, murderers, and thieves. Good job Donald Trump! smile
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 09:00 PM
MAZEL TOV COCKTAIL ROTFMOL
Figures it was a Trump supporter...

Quote
How is the 2016 election different from all others? For one, it has gotten “mazel tov” to trend on Twitter.

The reason: Critiquing rapper Jay Z on CNN Sunday night, Donald Trump supporter Scottie Nell Hughes alleged that one of his videos started off “with a crowd throwing mazel tov cocktails.” The phrase is, obviously, Molotov cocktails, a combustible mixture of rags, gasoline and glass bottle common in street protests, as host Don Lemon pointed out a few moments later.

Twitter took notice. “Mazel tov,” a Jewish expression of congratulations or good luck, has been tweeted about almost 18,000 times since late Sunday, and was averaging more than 4,000 tweets per hour on Monday afternoon.


ABC
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 09:09 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
MAZEL TOV COCKTAIL ROTFMOL
Figures it was a Trump supporter...

Quote
How is the 2016 election different from all others? For one, it has gotten “mazel tov” to trend on Twitter.

The reason: Critiquing rapper Jay Z on CNN Sunday night, Donald Trump supporter Scottie Nell Hughes alleged that one of his videos started off “with a crowd throwing mazel tov cocktails.” The phrase is, obviously, Molotov cocktails, a combustible mixture of rags, gasoline and glass bottle common in street protests, as host Don Lemon pointed out a few moments later.

Twitter took notice. “Mazel tov,” a Jewish expression of congratulations or good luck, has been tweeted about almost 18,000 times since late Sunday, and was averaging more than 4,000 tweets per hour on Monday afternoon.


ABC

PBS: Trump overwhelmingly leads rivals in support from less educated Americans Hmm
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 09:12 PM
Recipe for a Mazel Tov Cocktail:

Quote
Mazel Tov Cocktail

1 serving

Culinary dried lavender is available at gourmet kitchen stores such as La Cuisine in Alexandria, and through various online gourmet food purveyors.

MAKE AHEAD The lavender syrup can be refrigerated for up to a month.

For the syrup
1/2 ounce culinary dried lavender (1/2 cup plus 2 tablespoons)
1/2 cup water
6 tablespoons sugar

For the drink

Ice

1 ounce Averell Damson plum gin liqueur, or good-quality sloe gin
1 teaspoon fresh lemon juice
4 ounces chilled champagne or white sparkling wine

For the syrup: Combine the dried lavender and water in a small saucepan; let soak for 5 minutes, then place over medium heat and add the sugar, stirring until dissolved. Cook for 7 minutes, stirring occasionally. Cool completely, then strain into an airtight container or glass jar, pressing on the solids to extract as much liquid as possible. Then discard the solids. The yield is about 1/3 cup. You’ll need 1/4 ounce for this recipe; the rest can be refrigerated for up to 1 month.

For the drink: Fill a mixing glass with ice.

Combine the 1/4 ounce of lavender syrup, the gin liqueur or sloe gin and the lemon juice in a mixing glass. Stir briefly, then strain into a champagne flute. Top with the chilled champagne or white sparkling wine.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/07/16 09:28 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Quote
the two top presidential candidates will have their election night parties blocks away from one another.

They mean one victory party and one wake. I imagine a rather poorly attended wake.

Karen says that people will be walking the eight blocks to try to beat the snot out of each other. ROTFMOL
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/16 01:38 AM
Of course, they plan to have LOTS of police between them. Might be fun to watch NY's finest beating Trump supporters. I really doubt Hillary fans are going to want to leave their party.
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/16 02:51 AM
A big problem that strikes me is that the Democrats have been screaming about whoever the Republican candidate might be as being the end of the world option. It’s sort of funny peering back at all of that. I would be willing to throw a thousand $ for charity if JEB were now Hillary’s opposing candidate. Or Mitt Romney. Or John McCain.

Those guys would not have screwed the pooch if elected and our nation would have continued on its way to wherever we are headed. Without so much as a few hiccups here and there. But now we face the prospect of the orange hewed Donald.

Lord forgive me..... for I have sinned.................
Posted By: Ken Condon Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/16 04:11 AM
A big deal for the conservative tribe are the future appointments of SCOTUS judges. I would be willing to bet one share of EPRSQ that the list of potential judges The Donald recently submitted as possible nominees awhile back was supplied to him by Republican insiders.

The Donald knows nothing of them nor does he give one chit who they are or the philosophies they might hold. To him they are nothing more than an annoyance to be deployed on his way to occupying his Trump House.

I really cannot believe this is happening. Nor can most Republican power brokers. But he is their boy so they are doing the “best” they can with the powder keg they have been handed. Funny stuff if it weren’t so pathetic.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/08/16 10:01 AM
Originally Posted by Ken Condon
I would be willing to bet one share of EPRSQ that the list of potential judges The Donald recently submitted as possible nominees awhile back was supplied to him by Republican insiders.
Absolutely! Don The Con is a former Lib after all. Hmm
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/11/16 07:44 PM

This is how the voting went down. I didn't realize how bigoted and misogynistic America really is! Perhaps I need a reality check.

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/11/16 09:33 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
This is how the voting went down. I didn't realize how bigoted and misogynistic America really is! Perhaps I need a reality check.

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

Yup. But looking at this map it is hard to imagine that still she won the popular vote.
Maybe the country is too damned big - needs to be split up into smaller parcels.
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/11/16 10:01 PM
It just shows how unevenly the population is divided: Most of the people actually live in those blue districts. It is actually very encouraging in that America has so much vastly under-populated area, in terms of population growth in the future.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/11/16 10:03 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
It just shows how unevenly the population is divided: Most of the people actually live in those blue districts. It is actually very encouraging in that America has so much vastly under-populated area, in terms of population growth in the future.

Until you actually visit those underpopulated areas and get a sense of why they are underpopulated.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/11/16 11:46 PM
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by pdx rick
This is how the voting went down. I didn't realize how bigoted and misogynistic America really is! Perhaps I need a reality check.

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

Yup. But looking at this map it is hard to imagine that still she won the popular vote.
Maybe the country is too damned big - needs to be split up into smaller parcels.
It is hard to imagine, since only Republicans live in the red areas and only Democrats live in the blue areas.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/12/16 01:11 PM
Originally Posted by logtroll
Originally Posted by Ezekiel
Originally Posted by pdx rick
This is how the voting went down. I didn't realize how bigoted and misogynistic America really is! Perhaps I need a reality check.

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

Yup. But looking at this map it is hard to imagine that still she won the popular vote.
Maybe the country is too damned big - needs to be split up into smaller parcels.
It is hard to imagine, since only Republicans live in the red areas and only Democrats live in the blue areas.
About the only bit of information that can be gotten from this map is that Democrats tend to be more social, Republicans more anti-social. That's not exactly news, but it is interesting to raise as a point (geo)graphically.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/17/16 09:47 PM
Campaign 2016 will be remembered as the automated campaign.

Face the facts, Never Hillary voters:
YOU GOT PLAYED like the tools you really are.
Trump voters, you're in for a very rude awakening.
Donald Trump doesn't give two sh!ts about you.

Quote
“The use of automated accounts was deliberate and strategic throughout the election, most clearly with pro-Trump campaigners and programmers who carefully adjusted the timing of content production during the debates, strategically colonized pro-Clinton hashtags, and then disabled automated activities after Election Day,” wrote Howard; Bence Kollanyi, a Ph.D. candidate at Corvinus University of Budapest; and Samuel Woolley, a Ph.D. candidate at the University of Washington.

How Pro-Trump Twitter Bots Spread Fake News

And the most telling:

Quote
"And as soon as the election ended, the researchers discovered a steep decline in content. Some nodes in networks began to disappear; others simply retweeted what Trump said."

Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/21/16 05:57 AM
My read about the election is that some people have felt unlistened to for many years and voting for Trump was a vote for the outsider and in that a way to be heard. I remember that in my lifetime there was much more blatant racism, misogyny and gender limitation. That would be consistent with Trump just saying outlandish things having to no idea what to do about governing.

As painful as it will be, maybe it is better for the bigots tp come out of their closet and say what they feel. I think we need to face the reality of a highly prejudiced nation that is far from the ideal we keep pretending we are,

It will take hard work and probably suffering to move more of us to what we hippies sought then last time we faced ourselves. But this time we ought not prevail over bigotry but rather lift the veil of hatred and work hard to treat each other with respect.

My depression from this election comes from seeing what I thought were significant gains over the years since the 1950's be wiped backwards to the hatred now, once again, exposed in our nature.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/21/16 11:39 AM
Originally Posted by Phil Hoskins
...
My depression from this election comes from seeing what I thought were significant gains over the years since the 1950's be wiped backwards to the hatred now, once again, exposed in our nature.
I agree. This retrograde movement is a slap in the face (or a kick in the nuts) to all those who fought (and many who have died) trying to make this country better for ALL OF ITS PEOPLE. The fight against racism, misogyny, homophobia, and economic exploitation (among other forms of exploitation) of the majority of Americans, apparently, is far from over - albeit I always believed that it was an ongoing battle.

If it is now revitalized, well, then we have to move ahead.

As they said in fight for freedom from colonialism in Mozambique - A LUTA CONTINUA (the struggle continues). And so we must proceed.
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/21/16 12:32 PM
We are in the midst of a hostile takeover of the levers of power in the United States, something that I keep coming back to - but is also being seen by many others. It is that perception that gives me a modicum of hope: Nation can't survive system that distorts the majority's will.
Quote
Even before the Nov. 8 election, Democrats had already lost more than 800 state legislative seats during Barack Obama’s presidency — a hemorrhage greater than any experienced by either major party since the 1950s, when Republicans saw a comparable reversal of their own legislative fortunes during Dwight Eisenhower’s tenure.

The latest election results provide little evidence that the tide is turning. When the new year begins, Republicans will control more than two-thirds of the nation’s 99 legislative chambers (Nebraska’s unicameral legislature is non-partisan), while Democrats will maintain majorities in just 30.
What is significant about this trend is that it is at odds with the electoral preferences of the populace:
Quote
But the long-term consequences for representative government may be even greater, especially if the trend toward single-party control continues through 2020.

That’s because even as Republicans strengthen their grip on the legislative process, America’s electoral majority continues moving steadily to the left.

Much has been made of the fact that Trump won in the Electoral College while losing the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by more than a million votes. But although his feat is rare, it’s hardly unprecedented; Trump is the fourth nominee to win the presidency with fewer votes than his opponent.

In fact, losing the popular vote has become the rule, rather than the exception, for Republican presidential nominees. In the 28 years since the elder George Bush beat Mike Dukakis in 1988, only one other GOP standard bearer — the younger George Bush, in his 2004 contest against John Kerry — has carried the popular vote in the general election. Democratic nominees won the popular vote in the other six elections.


It comes back to gerrymandering.
Quote
n each of the last two election cycles, more Michigan voters cast their ballots for Democratic congressional and legislative candidates than for their Republican opponents. Yet Republicans continue to maintain a comfortable 9-5 advantage over Democrats in the U.S. House, and a 63-47 majority in the Michigan House.

And this gap between voter preference and legislative representation is likely to grow even wider if Republicans continue to dominate the reapportionment process, in which Michigan and other states reconfigure themselves every 10 years into new legislative and congressional districts.

This article is about Michigan, but it is consistent with both the national experience, and the experience in other States. In Pennsylvania
Quote
During that decade, Democrats won 22 of 37 statewide elections, largely thanks to dominance in lower-profile races for state Supreme Court, auditor general and treasurer. Republicans dominated legislative and congressional elections, running on district maps they drew to maximize Republican victories.

When the new Legislature is seated in January, Republicans will hold 156 of 253 seats, 26 more than a decade ago.
GOP eyes long-term shift in Pennsylvania after Trump's Victory.

The Obama/Holder effort to counteract this anti-democratic tendency is going to be vital to restoring citizen control of the country. President Obama’s ambitious post-...ir of new national redistricting effort.
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/21/16 02:01 PM
Now, given all of this above, where exactly is the democratic process?
It is clear that when the will of the majority is overturned with bureaucracy and scam (legal or not, remember slavery and Jim Crow were once legal too), there is a systemic problem that allows a tyranny to be installed under the guise of democracy.
As I have said many times and will repeat ad nauseam, systems are the problem, not people.
Posted By: Phil Hoskins Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/21/16 06:09 PM
California is far from perfect but we have managed to take control of the electoral process fairly effectively.
Wikipedia
Posted By: matthew Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/22/16 12:50 AM
Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
We are in the midst of a hostile takeover of the levers of power in the United States, something that I keep coming back to - but is also being seen by many others. It is that perception that gives me a modicum of hope: Nation can't survive system that distorts the majority's will.
Hitler's Germany survived quite strongly --- until it was destroyed from outside.

All that Fuehrer Trump needs is a Reichstag Fire or a 9/11 to sweep him into a position on unassailable power.
.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/22/16 07:04 AM
[Linked Image from scontent-lax3-1.xx.fbcdn.net]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/22/16 12:03 PM
It HAS HAPPENED HERE shocked
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/23/16 12:44 PM
for those who are flagellating themselves, this makes for an interesting read

The dark rigidity of fundamentalist rural America: a view from the inside
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/23/16 08:00 PM
Probably, everything in that article is true. It will be interesting to see how a Republican administration will harm them. Will it get to the point that some will start to realize Republican ideas are poison, especially to them?

Educated, relatively well-off liberals will be much more able to live without government help (do they get any now?). People depending on farm subsidies, food stamps, or welfare checks are going to be hurting.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/23/16 10:28 PM
Originally Posted by pondering_it_all
Probably, everything in that article is true. It will be interesting to see how a Republican administration will harm them. Will it get to the point that some will start to realize Republican ideas are poison, especially to them?

Educated, relatively well-off liberals will be much more able to live without government help (do they get any now?). People depending on farm subsidies, food stamps, or welfare checks are going to be hurting.

No, it will get to the point where there isn't much "united" about the United States anymore. The people and entities which stand to gain the most from the current dismantling cannot afford to allow anyone to know the truth.
Well machined distribution of a false narrative which BLAMES liberals and liberalism is central to cementing their lock on power. A CENTURY from now this narrative will be as ingrained as the old Lost Cause folklore that drives memories of the old Civil War.
And it will drive us to a new one.

There's been a concerted effort (by Fox, Breitbart etc) to tell people that it's the fault of the lying politicians and the media (and of course, there is an element of truth in that) and of course, the LIBTARDS - and once they're hooked, those telling them such nonsense fill their heads with total s*** and the vacuum sucks it up.

We have become three separate countries already.
If the move to separate ourselves ever happens, do you think the three separate countries will live side by side in peace?
Oh HELL NO.

A lot of folks living in Dumbfvckistan (the middle) are going to blame the people living on the left and right coasts for all THEIR self inflicted problems, OF COURSE.

Do you remember the Enron Electricity Crisis in California in the late 1990's? You might have heard about it. ThumbsUp
That was, in my humble opinion, an actual act of war by Texas against California.
And I see Dumbfvckistan emerging with Texas as the capital, and further moves just like this because re petroleum, Texas is RUSSIA.
An act of war by Enron, SANCTIONED BY the State of Texas.
Expect more of the same.

I used to ridicule Texans for wanting to secede from the United States, but if there isn't anything uniting us anymore, perhaps our only salvation might be splitting into three separate countries.
But the phony narrative will continue to enrage the yokels in the middle, with disastrous consequences for all.

Maybe the Left Coast can convince "Canadia" to adopt us.
But I wonder if they want any part of the attacks from Dumbfvckistan.
Probably not. tonbricks
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/23/16 10:40 PM
How about an ObamaCare replacement plan where Democrats can keep ObamaCare policies and Republicans get a Republican plan? That way they can have medical bankruptcies, no subsidies, no coverage for pre-existing conditions, and death in the ER parking lot if they chose the ultimate Republican plan (no insurance).

Maybe natural selection is the optimal response to people who vote against their own best interests.
Posted By: rporter314 Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/24/16 12:09 AM
I am pretty sure you were being hyperbolic.

There are several Republican/conservative plans none of which address the fundamental issue, which is not providing healthcare to people, but, to reduce the impact of healthcare entitlement costs on the federal budget.

The Democrat argument is a complex mixture of strategic goals all of which meld to allow some people access to healthcare insurance. Note (and I realize we have discussed this previously without consensus) people on insurance was an ancillary bonus.

There has been numerous analysis of Republican plans and all have focused on costs and results relative to numbers of people with access. I think this misses the main point of impacting entitlement costs. The Republicans thin and believe by simply privatizing healthcare insurance it will solve all the federal budgetary problems.

Apparently they can not do the math nor do they understand the problem. Ideological principles do not solve this. Of course they probably have in their minds (for good reason) to ultimately privatize all entitlements, thus reducing all federal spending to the military. Not necessary to rehash all the contrary arguments to their plans as none achieve any real goal except for a few.

This is my prediction. Republicans will be able to defund ACA but will not have a viable replacement plan. They will never understand the "why" of our government.

Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/24/16 05:11 PM
Here are the 10 States Most Dependent on the Federal Government. There is a direct - and inverse - correlation to the politics and policies of the States and their "taker" status. They choose economic policies which - literally - bankrupt their polity. Yet we, as a nation, bail them out of their stupidity and thick-headed stubborn support of the worst policies possible. And, to top it off, they resent the aid that those of us who live in progressive America provide for their benefit. [Linked Image from cdn.theatlantic.com]
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/24/16 08:11 PM
So, let's "balance the budget" and cut off all states at $1 per dollar paid. This seems to be a favorite Republican meme. Vast stretches of the countryside will become unlivable and people will move to more populated areas.
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/24/16 08:26 PM
In New Mexico, two National Labs and several military bases would have to close, along with all the public lands.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/24/16 08:48 PM
Oh come on people, rational minds understand that some areas of the country HAVE to take more than they feed in. That's the whole point of the liberal side of the argument.
The right thinks we need to run the country "like a business" and meanwhile they dangle shiny things in front of our faces while intoning outrage about "takers" and bemoan the fact that the "makers" aren't rewarded enough, when all the while the loudest voices reside in the regions which take the very most.
It is pure projection.

But most liberals accept the fact that certain states are loss leaders but have value for other reasons. Loss leader subsidization isn't a direct loss at all and never has been, because it attracts other positives, some of which are revenue streams or alternate remuneration, some of which are increased resource security, some of which are positioned as vital assets, the list is endless.

Loss leadership is every bit as important in business as any other sales practice, so why is it that conservatives and libertarians are seemingly deaf to the idea when put into practice in government?
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/25/16 07:55 AM
My comment was ironic, since I have almost no respect for "states rights". But still it makes you wonder when some states are getting over three dollars for every dollar they pay if something is not seriously wrong.

Instead of states, you can think of these as "regions". But why are certain regions subsidized so heavily? Are these regions really so un-economical that residents have to be subsidized so much just to stay there? I'm pretty sure it has a lot to do with "good" Senators and Representatives who have been in Congress so long they chair committees that spend taxpayer money as directed.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/28/16 01:33 AM


Trump just Tweeted: If you deduct illegal votes, I won the popular vote.

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

Can he be anymore of an A-hole? rolleyes
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/28/16 01:35 AM

Which caused this response on Twitter:

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

Can't that moron Trump keep his big, fat, mouth shut for even a hot minute?
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/28/16 03:59 AM

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: Ezekiel Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/28/16 12:25 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
...
Can't that moron Trump keep his big, fat, mouth shut for even a hot minute?

It's a disease, not unlike the one devouring the country. coffee
Posted By: Golem Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/28/16 06:54 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Can he be anymore of an A-hole? rolleyes
I'm sure he can. Keep watching.

Did 3 million undocumented immigrants vote in presidential election?
Posted By: pondering_it_all Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/29/16 03:59 AM
Aside from that being totally fake "news" based on some guy's tweet, numerous studies have found the actual number of illegals who vote is near zero (or actually zero).

Which only makes sense: Illegals try to HIDE from the government to avoid deportation. Why would they register to vote and GIVE the government their name and address? It has no upside and very significant downside. Anyone with any sense at all should see right through this story.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/29/16 10:42 AM

Russian bloggers don't visit our blog sites and push fake news! It's just a figment of your imagination:

[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]
Posted By: NW Ponderer Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/29/16 04:05 PM
Isn't it amazing that "Campaign 2016" is still in full swing after the election has already taken place?
Posted By: logtroll Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/29/16 05:57 PM
Only the first step of the election has taken place. The EC does the real voting.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/29/16 08:09 PM


Looks like we will have more of Darryl Issa's snarl in the future. smile

Issa will now be free to get back to the important business of holding pointless, expensive investigations into the IRS, the Affordable Care Act, Benghazi, and anything else left over from the Obama presidency he’s still anger bear about.
Posted By: Jeffery J. Haas Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/29/16 08:28 PM
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Looks like we will have more of Darryl Issa's snarl in the future. smile

Issa will now be free to get back to the important business of holding pointless, expensive investigations into the IRS, the Affordable Care Act, Benghazi, and anything else left over from the Obama presidency he’s still anger bear about.

Don't forget killing off the Constitutionally mandated Post Office.
Posted By: pdx rick Re: Campaign 2016 - 11/29/16 08:30 PM
Originally Posted by Jeffery J. Haas
Originally Posted by pdx rick
Looks like we will have more of Darryl Issa's snarl in the future. smile

Issa will now be free to get back to the important business of holding pointless, expensive investigations into the IRS, the Affordable Care Act, Benghazi, and anything else left over from the Obama presidency he’s still anger bear about.
Don't forget killing off the Constitutionally mandated Post Office.
Government small enough to drown in a bath tub.
- Rethugliclowns
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