Trump's fall from grace may be imminent. His rallies are becoming more and more chaotic with battles between supporters and protesters. His move to skip the Debate might also serve to trip him up.
I'd like to see him win the nomination as it will insure a Democratic win in the general election. But if he doesn't it's no skin off my ass and there won't be a brokered convention so I win the bet either way.
One poll has Bush in second place in New Hampshire?
We shall see. But if he drops out he doesn't get the nomination. So I win
The bet is only that he either gets the nomination, or else makes it to the convention, thus forcing a brokered convention. If he doesn't make it to the convention there would be no need for the brokerage.