The Republican national convention is just a month away (July 18-21) and the party is in disarray. Meanwhile, the Democratic convention follows a week later (July 25-28). Party candidates usual receive a "convention bump" (as do many party girls) the weeks after the convention. If the pattern holds true, even Trump could get a positive bump from the convention (John Kerry remains the only modern candidate to not have gotten a bump following the convention). Once Hillary gets hers, though, that will have been Trump's high water point for the campaign. I see record viewership and the contrast between the conventions likely to be stark. Democratic unity will lead to a tsunami in November.

A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.

Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich