Here's how I see it playing out
unlike you I do not see any evidence of rational analysis by a yuge section of American voters (ergo the disbelief of the media in reporting on Mr. Trump). Instead I see the visceral response of Americans dog whistle trained to believe there exists instantaneous bumper-sticker solutions to problems, whether their own or in the global arena.
Rational voters may not outnumber the ignorant and/or lo-info voters in this cycle.
