I think that the Clinton campaign has reached its low point of support during this election and that she will see a steady increase in support of about 1% per month, winning the election by about 10% points in the popular and a landslide in the electoral college (between 312 and 342 - picked 323). Watch this space.

Or, you can play at home: interactive map by CNN.

Here's my thinking: The general polling is nearly worthless, but Clinton has maintained a lead throughout of about 5%. In battleground States, her lead has been generally larger. After the conventions, the ground game will begin to take hold, and Clinton's advantage is significant. Trump will get some more Republican support, but it will not help substantially. I think ALL of the battleground States favor Clinton, and Arizona and Utah are in play as well.

A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.

Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich