This is from May 8th so it's kind of old, but the facts stand and it isn't based on skewed polls or media profits. It's based on past election results.
Republicans will not win the presidency in November and it’s not just because Trump is the nominee, it’s really more about math and the electoral college. And – furthermore – the data is indisputable, at least since 1992.
Here’s the deal: since 1992 eighteen states plus the District of Columbia have voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in every single election. When you add all of them up, you get a total of 242 electoral votes. Why is this important? You only need 270 to win. The democratic nominee is only 28 votes shy of winning right out of the gate. That’s a pretty big deal.
Also – since 1992, Republicans have only won 102 electoral votes (13 states), which makes it infinitely harder for them to win in November. They have a lot of catching up to do.
Put another way – all Hillary Clinton has to do is win every state Democrats have always won over the last several decades without fail, and win just one other state like Florida (29 electoral votes) and she takes the White House. It’s really just simple math.
