Is there precedent for a bounceback to a competitive race? What would trump have to do to claw his way back to the polls?
I was just looking at Silver's latest projections, which just ticked up again for Clinton (remarkable at this point because she's approaching the ceiling) and thought the reason has little to do with Clinton, and a lot to do with Trump.
One means of regaining strength in the polls is to have your opponent suffer a setback, which is still a possibility for Clinton. But the fact is, Trump is losing ground on his own merits, not because Clinton is performing better. I think that indicates a more difficult prospect for Trump to recover even with the help of a Clinton setback.
