FiveThirtyEight has three projections for Clinton probability to win this morning: 79% (polls plus), 82% (polls only) and 87+% (now cast). The difference is +Iowa and +Arizona. This is before the grope-splosion and the Wall Street speech leak. Which will have the bigger impact? I have a guess.

A well reasoned argument is like a diamond: impervious to corruption and crystal clear - and infinitely rarer.

Here, as elsewhere, people are outraged at what feels like a rigged game -- an economy that won't respond, a democracy that won't listen, and a financial sector that holds all the cards. - Robert Reich