Originally Posted by NW Ponderer
FiveThirtyEight has three projections for Clinton probability to win this morning: 79% (polls plus), 82% (polls only) and 87+% (now cast). The difference is +Iowa and +Arizona. This is before the grope-splosion and the Wall Street speech leak. Which will have the bigger impact? I have a guess.
[Linked Image from uploads.disquscdn.com]

Contrarian, extraordinaire