I believe there are fundamental problems with your analysis. While the frequency stats are probably correct, you have neglected many variables which may not explain your conclusion.

Examples are if 90% are voting party line who did the other 10% vote for? was it the other party of someone else? This may make independent voters irrelevant. Suppose 75% of Democrats vote and only 60% of Republicans .... I should conclude it doesn't matter how independents voted, which points out one of the most important stats .... how many of each party voted. And most important of course is the electoral votes, not the national stats.

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