I have found the preliminary testing results from New York and the Theodore Roosevelt intriguing. With lockdowns in place, but exposure inevitable, the infection rate is around 16-18%. The implications are profound. It is estimated that 80% of those that are infected are asymptomatic (although, there may be some overlap in that data). If that were true, this is a 20% infection. 20% are susceptible, 20% are symptomatic, 20% of those are hospitalized, and 20% of those require ICU intervention. That implies an upper end of the disaster in the range of 523,000 ICU beds over the course of the pandemic, and 100,000 deaths. Pretty close to where we're heading. (If we are currently at the peak at 50,000 deaths, we can anticipate another 50,000.)