If you look back on 2016, you had days when Trump lead by 1 and Hillary as many as 7. Now Hillary lead from 1 Sep through election day from 1-7 points. Ending with a 3 point lead in RCP averages on election day, she won the popular vote by 2 points. That a gap or swing of 8 points that were in flux, Trump by 1 to Hillary's 7 point lead.

So far this year, Biden's lead has been between 6-9 points A 3 point gap or 3 points in flux. This is probably due to the number of undecided's and those stating they'll vote third party. 20% in 2016 until around 1 Oct vs 8% today.

There's no doubt Trump has closed a national 9 point lead down to 6 today over the last couple of weeks. Could that be because of the protests turning violent which some folks, especially in the suburbs wanting to feel safe are switching to Trump? That is unknown as it could be many factors which this is probably one.

Three weeks ago Biden led Trump by 9 points among suburb voters, today he leads by 6, 47-41. Nationally, regionally, Biden leads big time in the Northeast by 15 points and in the west by 19. But Trump has a slight 2 point advantage in the Midwest and the south. California explains Biden huge lead in the west, he leads Trump by 21 points in California, 25 in Washington state and 22 in Oregon. The east is explain by Biden's 28 point lead in New York, 34 points in Massachusetts and 21 in New Jersey.

Those states provide Biden his lead nationally. So this race may be much closer than anyone thought to include me. Regardless of Florida, I still don't think Trump can win Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania for a second time.

It's high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first instead of their political party. For way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.