538's electoral college vote prediction model.

They run 40,000 scenarios each time. The graphic shows the top 100 results.

Last weekend it had Biden winning 70 scenarios, Trump 29, with one toss-up.

Today it's Biden 77 to Trump 22, and one toss-up.

538 election forecast

You never change things by fighting the existing reality.
To change something, build a new model that makes the old model obsolete.
R. Buckminster Fuller