Originally Posted by Greger
Quote
These up-for-grabs voters have mostly negative views of both Trump and Biden
Lots of folks have negative opinions of both parties and neither candidate is a particularly stellar choice.

I'm still banking on an anti-Trump surge. Pollsters and the media are downplaying the numbers to keep it looking like a horserace.

All Biden has to do to win is stay alive.

I think you are pretty much mostly spot on. The reason Trump and Co are trying to mock him into coming out of his basement is because running as Generic Democrat You Have Heard About Before But Who Never Spearheaded Anything That Ticked You Off Personally, while Trump continues to periodically self-immolate, is the best strategy.

Napoleon put it best: Never interrupt an enemy when they are making a mistake.

That being said, I think the bar is slightly higher than that for Biden to lose. If he publicly demonstrates serious mental incapacity (for example, if he falls asleep during a debate or begins to shout garbled nonsense like a dementia patient), that could cost him the election. He has to be both

Alive

and

Minimally capable of functioning as an adult human being.

Winter Is Coming