Capitol Hill Blue Forums Political Issues Politics In General Is it too soon to be talking 2020?

polling

The fundamental mathematical tenet on which all polling is based is the selection of a random sample. If a sample is random then the results should be relatively accurate within the MoE. One possibility why in the past two major polling efforts for the general election, has been a failure, is the possibility political polarization has skewed the sampling, and thus inherently introduced bias or or to say another way, inaccurate results.

When the mathematics fail ... I use my spidey sense