Capitol Hill Blue Forums Political Issues Politics In General Is it too soon to be talking 2020?

We have court ordered gerrymandering in Georgia. Majority Minority Districts. Georgia is approximately 35% black. Around Atlanta, around 50% or more in some counties. Around Augusta and Columbus is also heavily populated by blacks. So most blacks go into 5 districts where the black congressman wins with 60-80% of the vote if the Republicans run someone, a lot of times they don't bother. So we almost always end up with 9 GOP congressmen and 5 Democratic.

Democrats win their districts 75-25 or higher, Republicans their districts 55-45. After 2010 census, the courts ordered the original redistricting map redrawn because not enough minorities were included in the majority minority districts. I live in a county south of Atlanta divided into 4 congressional districts. We have a population of probably around 50-60,000. The northern 2/3rds of the country were divided into 3 different majority minority districts. Although where I live is probably mixed 40-40 black and white with 20% Asian. The bottom third, mostly white was placed in a Republican district. All done by the courts which made our state legislature redraw them 4 or 5 times until enough minorities were squeezed into their 5 majority minority districts.

Georgia has the third highest black population of any state at around 35%. Which by the way, comes out to the exact percentage of black congressmen we have, 5. That's exactly what the courts wanted. Which makes Republicans happy as that leaves the remaining 9 pretty much a sure thing for the Republicans. Georgia is just one of several southern states that the courts have to approve the drawing of their districts. So party gerrymandering is pretty much out of the question.

There is around 35 of these types of districts where blacks are in the majority. They guarantee each of those districts will go Democratic. Basically leaving 400 for the Republicans to contest. But in those remaining 400, the Republicans have a slight advantage since black democratic voters are packed into those 35 majority minority districts. Black democrats hold everyone of those 35 districts.

Now Hispanics have 30 majority minority districts nationwide, 23 held by democrats, 7 by republicans. This is as of the 2018 election, I haven't delved into this for the 2020 house election yet as their still counting in 8 districts.

To round this out, Asians have two majority minority districts where they make up over 50% of the voters, Hawaii and California. Hawaii 1st district is 59% Asian, Hawaii's 2nd district is 37%. So only Hawaii 1st qualifies as majority minority. California's 17th district is the majority minority Asian districts with just 50%.