Here’s one view of where it stands:

‘ By fitting an immunological model to population-level vaccine effectiveness data, we estimate that neutralizing antibody titres for Omicron are reduced by 4.5-fold (95% CrI 3.1–7.1) compared to the Delta variant. This is predicted to result in a drop in vaccine efficacy against severe disease (hospitalisation) from 96.5% (95% CrI 96.1%–96.8%) against Delta to 80.1% (95% CrI 76.3%–83.2%) against Omicron for the Pfizer-BioNTech booster by 60 days post boost if NAT decay at the same rate following boosting as following the primary course, and from 97.6% (95% CrI 97.4%-97.9%) against Delta to 85.9% (95% CrI 83.1%-88.3%) against Omicron if NAT decay at half the rate observed after the primary course. Integrating this immunological model within a model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission, we show that booster doses will be critical to mitigate the impact of future Omicron waves in countries with high levels of circulating virus.

The money shot:

“In all scenarios it is likely that health systems will be stretched. It may be essential, therefore, to maintain and/or reintroduce [Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs)] to mitigate the worst impacts of the Omicron variant as it replaces the Delta variant.“

Report 48 - The value of vaccine bo...impact of the Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant

My guess is ‘na gunna happen’ in neoliberal land of the commodified returns on investment. Unless we reach a critical mass of palms getting greased, NPI’s are going to be discouraged and/or mocked by the political factions. More coming from Demcorp at the moment. We saw the disparaging for the prophylactic whose name will not be said but is turning in good results in other countries where it is being used effectively.

Has the CDC acknowledged Rona spreading thru aerosols of exhaled breath of the infected yet? Not droplets or fomites but mainly aerosols? I sure would hate to think that they’ve wasted all this time so far. I’d like to think they’ve come up with mitigation strategies for dealing with aerosol spread. Hard to imagine they would be going all in on a waning vaccine shot.

I hope the ‘Omicron is mild’ hopium the Pfizer funded media has been selling turns out to be true.

Last edited by chunkstyle; 12/19/21 03:13 PM.