Election polls - Where things stand as of 11 Oct 2023
Republican primaries – Trump 58%, 45 point lead
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/e...blican_presidential_nomination-7548.htmlPresidential Trump vs. Biden – Trump 1-point lead over Biden
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2024/president/us/general-election-trump-vs-biden-7383.htmlGeneric congressional ballot – Republicans 1-point lead
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2024_generic_congressional_vote-7969.htmlsenate forecast – Republicans are heavily favored to gain West Virginia from the democrats which it seems most democrats will get their wish and be rid of Manchin. The remaining 3 states currently listed as tossups are all held by democrats or an independent caucusing with the democrats, Ohio, Brown, Brown slightly favored, Montana, Tester, republican slightly favored, Arizona, Sinema, pure tossup. There are no republican senate seats at risk of switching, only currently held democratic seats.
https://www.270towin.com/2024-senate-election/consensus-2024-senate-forecast