Election update, Trump and Biden are still in a basic tie in only a two-candidate race and are still in a basic tie in a 4 candidate race giving the MOE of plus or minus 3 points. Two candidate race, Trump 46.7%, Biden 45.1%
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2024/president/us/general-election-trump-vs-biden-7383.html4 candidate race, Biden 36%, Trump 35%, RFK Jr. 19%, West 8%, Other 1%. Question 5 below the narrative.
https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3881But Biden has a problem - Poll: A majority of Democrats want new candidate to challenge Biden in 2024 primary
https://www.yahoo.com/news/poll-a-m...nge-biden-in-2024-primary-100031348.htmlThe generic congressional ballot is also tied. Each party has 23 at risk of switching seats up for next year’s elections.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2024_generic_congressional_vote-7969.htmlWith Manchin’s retirement, West Virginia is now rated as solid republican, a gain of at least one seat for the Republicans. Ohio, Montana, Arizona currently held Democratic seats are all rated pure tossups. There are no Republican held seats at risk for next year’s election in the senate.
https://www.270towin.com/2024-senate-election/consensus-2024-senate-forecast